id sid tid token lemma pos cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 1 1 key key NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 1 2 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 1 3 cord-265027-kvtqpgqq cord-265027-kvtqpgqq . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 1 authors author NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 2 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 3 Chatterjee Chatterjee NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 5 S. S. NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 6 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 7 Sarkar Sarkar NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 9 A. a. NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 10 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 11 Karmakar Karmakar NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 13 M. M. NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 14 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 15 Paul Paul NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 17 R. R. NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 18 title title NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 19 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 20 Studying study VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 22 progress progress NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 23 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 24 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 25 outbreak outbreak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 27 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 28 using use VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 29 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 30 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 31 date date NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 32 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 33 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 34 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 35 05 05 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 36 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 37 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 38 journal journal NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 39 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 40 nan nan NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 41 DOI DOI NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 2 42 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 1 10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 2 sha sha NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 4 d1b8b7bf82f286edf9b1d4170694f6bc4712cd87 d1b8b7bf82f286edf9b1d4170694f6bc4712cd87 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 5 doc_id doc_id CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 6 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 7 265027 265027 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 8 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 9 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 3 10 kvtqpgqq kvtqpgqq NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 2 explore explore VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 3 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 4 standard standard JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 5 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 6 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 8 known know VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 9 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 11 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 12 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 13 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 14 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 15 study study VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 18 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 19 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 20 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 22 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 23 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 24 few few JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 25 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 26 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 27 around around IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 28 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 29 world world NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 4 30 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 2 use use VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 4 a a LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 7 stable stable JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 8 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 9 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 11 various various JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 12 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 13 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 15 b b NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 18 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 19 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 20 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 21 versus versus IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 23 tests test NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 24 carried carry VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 25 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 26 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 27 evaluate evaluate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 28 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 29 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 5 30 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 2 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 3 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 4 dependent dependent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 5 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 6 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 8 set set VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 9 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 11 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 12 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 13 obtain obtain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 15 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 16 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 17 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 19 available available JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 20 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 6 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 3 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 4 simulated simulate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 5 aiming aiming NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 6 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 7 project project VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 9 probable probable JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 10 features feature NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 13 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 14 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 15 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 17 various various JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 18 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 19 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 20 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 21 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 22 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 23 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 7 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 1 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 2 imposed impose VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 3 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 4 early early JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 6 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 7 contain contain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 9 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 10 that that WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 11 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 12 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 13 treated treat VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 14 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 15 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 16 healthcare healthcare NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 17 system system NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 8 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 2 find find VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 3 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 4 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 6 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 7 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 8 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 9 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 10 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 11 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 14 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 15 active active JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 16 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 17 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 18 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 19 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 20 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 21 maximum maximum JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 22 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 24 end end NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 25 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 26 June June NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 27 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 28 beginning beginning NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 29 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 30 July July NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 31 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 9 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 1 With with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 2 proper proper JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 3 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 4 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 5 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 7 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 8 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 9 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 10 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 11 distancing distancing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 14 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 15 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 16 expected expect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 17 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 18 fall fall VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 19 considerably considerably RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 20 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 21 August August NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 10 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 1 If if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 3 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 4 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 5 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 6 relaxed relaxed JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 7 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 9 arrival arrival NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 12 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 13 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 15 more more JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 16 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 17 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 20 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 21 will will MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 22 fall fall VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 23 sick sick JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 24 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 25 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 26 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 27 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 28 expected expect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 29 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 30 see see VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 31 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 32 three three CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 33 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 34 fold fold JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 35 rise rise NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 36 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 37 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 38 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 11 39 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 1 If if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 3 relaxation relaxation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 5 given give VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 6 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 7 month month NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 8 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 10 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 11 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 13 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 14 second second JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 15 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 16 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 17 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 18 moderate moderate JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 19 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 20 will will MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 21 follow follow VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 12 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 3 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 4 gradual gradual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 5 relaxation relaxation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 6 applied apply VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 7 well well RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 8 ahead ahead RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 10 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 11 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 13 leads lead VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 14 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 15 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 16 two two CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 17 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 18 fold fold JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 19 increase increase NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 20 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 22 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 23 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 13 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 2 projection projection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 3 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 5 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 7 highly highly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 8 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 9 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 11 choice choice NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 14 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 15 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 17 available available JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 18 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 14 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 3 provides provide VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 4 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 5 semi semi JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 6 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 7 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 8 overview overview NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 11 progression progression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 14 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 15 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 17 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 18 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 19 projections projection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 20 reasonably reasonably RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 21 replicating replicate VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 23 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 24 progress progress NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 15 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 3 since since IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 5 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 7 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 8 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 9 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 10 phenomenon phenomenon NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 13 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 14 results result NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 15 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 16 subjected subject VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 17 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 18 regular regular JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 19 updates update NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 20 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 21 consonance consonance NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 22 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 24 acquired acquire VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 25 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 26 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 16 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 3 post post JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 4 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 5 WW-2 ww-2 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 6 era era NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 9 world world NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 10 probably probably RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 11 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 12 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 13 witnessed witness VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 14 such such JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 15 catastrophic catastrophic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 16 morbidity morbidity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 17 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 19 looming loom VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 20 threat threat NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 21 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 22 severe severe JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 23 economic economic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 24 challenges challenge NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 25 caused cause VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 26 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 28 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 29 outbreak outbreak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 30 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 31 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 17 32 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 2 caused cause VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 3 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 4 severe severe JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 5 acute acute JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 6 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 7 syndrome syndrome NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 8 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 18 9 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 19 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 19 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 19 3 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 19 4 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 19 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 19 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 2 detection detection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 3 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 5 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 8 human human JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 9 host host NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 10 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 11 first first RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 12 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 13 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 14 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 16 China China NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 17 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 18 31 31 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 19 December December NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 20 2019 2019 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 21 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 22 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 23 cluster cluster NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 24 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 25 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 26 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 27 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 20 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 1 As as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 3 highly highly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 4 contagious contagious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 5 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 6 transmitted transmit VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 7 rapidly rapidly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 8 all all RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 9 over over IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 11 globe globe NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 15 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 16 declared declare VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 17 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 18 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 19 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 20 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 22 WHO WHO NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 23 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 24 11 11 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 25 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 26 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 21 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 1 Tackling tackle VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 3 outspread outspread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 6 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 8 found find VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 9 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 10 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 11 very very RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 12 challenging challenging JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 13 across across IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 15 world world NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 16 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 18 following follow VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 19 reasons reason NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 20 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 22 a a LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 24 conventional conventional JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 25 flu flu NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 26 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 27 like like JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 28 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 29 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 30 human human JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 31 carriers carrier NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 32 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 34 b b LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 36 human human NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 37 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 38 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 39 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 40 human human JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 41 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 42 via via IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 43 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 44 human human JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 45 hosts host NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 46 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 48 c c NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 50 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 51 absence absence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 52 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 53 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 54 proper proper JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 55 clinical clinical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 56 doctrine doctrine NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 57 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 58 e.g. e.g. JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 59 vaccine vaccine NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 60 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 61 drugs drug NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 62 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 63 concrete concrete JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 64 ideas idea NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 65 about about IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 66 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 67 immunological immunological JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 68 response response NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 69 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 70 etc etc FW cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 71 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 72 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 22 73 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 1 Extensive extensive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 2 testing testing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 3 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 4 imposition imposition NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 6 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 7 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 8 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 9 maintain maintain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 10 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 11 distancing distancing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 12 turn turn VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 13 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 14 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 15 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 17 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 18 remedies remedy NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 19 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 20 prevent prevent VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 21 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 22 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 23 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 25 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 26 stage stage NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 27 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 28 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 30 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 31 several several JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 32 places place NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 23 33 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 1 To to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 2 evaluate evaluate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 4 impact impact NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 6 these these DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 7 preventive preventive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 8 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 9 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 10 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 11 spread spread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 13 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 15 death death NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 16 tolls toll NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 18 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 19 various various JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 20 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 21 associated associate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 22 factors factor NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 23 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 24 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 25 models model NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 26 become become VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 27 useful useful JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 28 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 29 predicting predict VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 30 realistic realistic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 31 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 32 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 33 estimates estimate NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 24 34 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 25 1 A a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 25 2 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 25 3 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 25 4 * * NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 26 1 sspsc6@iacs.res.in sspsc6@iacs.res.in NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 26 2 † † NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 27 1 sspas2@iacs.res.in sspas2@iacs.res.in NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 27 2 ‡ ‡ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 28 1 sspsc5@iacs.res.in sspsc5@iacs.res.in NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 28 2 § § NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 29 1 mcsmk2057@iacs.res.in mcsmk2057@iacs.res.in CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 30 1 ¶ ¶ NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 1 raja.paul@iacs.res.in raja.paul@iacs.res.in NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 2 suggests suggest VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 3 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 5 classic classic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 6 mean mean NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 7 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 8 field field NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 9 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 10 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 11 Infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 12 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 13 Recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 14 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 15 Death death NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 17 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 19 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 20 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 21 Kermack Kermack NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 22 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 23 McKendrick McKendrick NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 25 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 26 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 27 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 29 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 30 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 31 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 32 used use VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 33 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 34 obtain obtain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 35 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 36 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 37 picture picture NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 38 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 39 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 40 epidemic epidemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 41 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 42 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 43 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 44 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 45 4 4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 46 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 47 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 48 5 5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 49 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 50 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 51 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 52 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 53 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 54 7 7 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 55 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 56 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 57 8 8 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 58 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 31 59 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 2 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 3 article article NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 5 implementing implement VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 7 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 8 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 11 report report VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 13 temporal temporal JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 14 progress progress NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 15 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 16 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 17 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 18 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 19 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 20 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 21 various various JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 22 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 23 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 24 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 25 compare compare VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 26 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 27 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 28 some some DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 29 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 30 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 31 around around IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 32 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 33 world world NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 32 34 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 1 A a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 2 similar similar JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 3 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 4 used use VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 5 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 6 Fernandez Fernandez NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 7 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 8 Villaverde Villaverde NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 9 et et NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 10 al al NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 12 5 5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 14 provides provide VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 15 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 16 detailed detailed JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 17 overview overview NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 18 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 21 situation situation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 22 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 24 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 25 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 26 many many JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 27 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 28 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 33 29 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 1 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 2 implemented implement VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 3 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 4 nation nation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 5 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 6 wide wide JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 8 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 9 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 10 25 25 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 12 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 34 13 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 1 On on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 3 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 6 announcement announcement NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 8 nation nation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 9 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 10 wide wide JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 35 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 1 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 2 had have VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 3 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 4 657 657 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 5 corona corona NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 6 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 7 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 8 while while IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 10 first first JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 12 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 13 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 14 detected detect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 15 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 16 January January NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 17 30 30 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 18 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 19 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 36 20 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 2 socio socio JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 3 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 4 economic economic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 5 constraints constraint NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 8 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 9 context context NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 10 alludes allude VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 11 that that DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 12 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 14 a a LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 16 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 17 too too RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 18 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 19 prolonged prolong VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 20 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 22 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 23 difficult difficult JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 24 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 25 sustain sustain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 26 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 28 b b NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 30 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 31 sole sole JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 32 imposition imposition NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 33 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 34 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 35 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 36 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 37 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 38 manifold manifold JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 39 increase increase NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 40 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 41 testing testing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 42 capacity capacity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 43 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 44 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 45 futile futile JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 46 endeavor endeavor NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 47 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 48 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 49 c c NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 51 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 52 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 53 implementation implementation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 54 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 55 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 56 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 57 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 58 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 59 lenient lenient JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 60 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 61 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 62 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 63 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 64 spread spread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 65 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 66 highly highly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 67 improbable improbable JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 37 68 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 1 Henceforth henceforth RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 4 feasible feasible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 5 solution solution NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 6 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 7 limiting limit VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 9 spread spread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 10 lies lie VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 11 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 12 carefully carefully RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 13 balancing balance VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 14 various various JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 15 key key JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 16 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 17 factors factor NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 38 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 1 That that DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 3 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 5 importance importance NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 6 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 8 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 9 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 10 predictions prediction NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 11 becomes become VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 12 relevant relevant JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 39 13 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 2 study study NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 3 further further RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 4 highlights highlight VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 6 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 9 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 11 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 12 spread spread VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 13 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 14 predictions prediction NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 15 about about IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 17 variability variability NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 18 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 20 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 21 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 22 upon upon IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 24 severity severity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 25 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 26 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 27 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 28 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 30 and/or and/or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 31 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 32 lack lack NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 33 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 34 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 40 36 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 3 predicts predict VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 7 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 10 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 13 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 14 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 15 decreases decrease VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 16 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 17 stricter strict JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 18 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 19 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 20 but but CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 21 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 23 cost cost NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 24 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 25 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 26 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 27 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 29 position position NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 30 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 31 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 32 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 33 shifts shift NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 34 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 35 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 36 later later JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 37 month month NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 41 39 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 3 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 4 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 5 large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 6 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 9 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 10 will will MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 11 stay stay VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 12 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 13 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 14 long long JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 15 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 16 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 17 existing exist VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 18 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 19 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 20 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 21 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 22 immediately immediately RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 23 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 24 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 25 proper proper JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 26 medicine medicine NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 27 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 28 vaccine vaccine NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 29 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 30 employed employ VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 42 31 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 2 key key NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 3 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 4 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 5 quarantine quarantine VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 7 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 9 small small JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 10 pockets pocket NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 11 while while IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 12 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 13 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 14 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 15 prevent prevent VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 16 inter inter JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 17 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 18 pocket pocket JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 19 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 43 20 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 3 further further RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 4 underlines underline VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 5 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 8 highly highly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 9 contagious contagious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 10 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 12 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 13 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 14 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 15 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 16 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 17 COVID-19 covid-19 VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 18 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 19 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 20 continue continue VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 21 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 22 grow grow VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 24 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 25 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 26 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 27 present present JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 28 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 29 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 30 extended extend VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 31 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 32 reinforced reinforce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 33 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 34 stricter strict JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 35 quarantine quarantine NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 36 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 37 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 38 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 39 new new JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 40 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 41 will will MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 42 gradually gradually RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 43 plummet plummet VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 44 down down RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 45 flattening flatten VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 46 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 47 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 48 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 49 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 50 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 51 much much RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 52 faster fast JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 53 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 44 54 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 2 study study NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 3 also also RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 4 explores explore VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 6 plausibility plausibility NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 8 universality universality NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 9 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 11 spread spread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 16 amongst amongst IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 17 different different JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 18 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 20 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 22 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 23 compares compare VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 25 situation situation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 27 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 28 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 29 few few JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 30 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 31 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 33 e.g. e.g. RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 34 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 35 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 36 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 37 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 38 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 39 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 40 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 41 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 43 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 44 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 45 relevant relevant JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 46 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 47 window window NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 48 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 49 February February NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 50 -April -April NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 51 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 45 52 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 1 Due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 2 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 4 simplicity simplicity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 7 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 8 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 11 found find VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 13 difficult difficult JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 14 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 15 fit fit VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 17 observed observed JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 18 patterns pattern NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 19 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 21 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 22 using use VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 24 available available JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 25 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 46 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 2 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 3 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 5 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 7 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 8 's 's POS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 9 context context NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 11 collected collect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 12 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 14 repository repository NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 15 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 16 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 17 interactive interactive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 18 interface interface NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 19 hosted host VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 20 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 21 https://www.covid19india https://www.covid19india NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 47 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 48 1 org org NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 48 2 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 2 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 3 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 4 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 5 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 6 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 7 taken take VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 8 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 10 repository repository NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 11 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 12 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 13 interactive interactive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 14 interface interface NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 15 hosted host VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 16 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 17 https https NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 49 18 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 50 1 //www.worldometers.info //www.worldometers.info , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 50 2 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 50 3 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 50 4 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 2 purpose purpose NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 3 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 4 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 5 article article NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 7 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 8 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 9 make make VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 10 any any DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 11 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 12 prediction prediction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 13 that that WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 14 should should MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 15 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 16 used use VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 17 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 18 design design VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 19 policies policy NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 20 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 21 but but CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 22 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 24 research research NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 25 purpose purpose NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 26 only only RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 51 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 52 1 MODEL model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 2 employ employ VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 4 standard standard JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 5 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 6 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 7 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 9 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 10 N N NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 11 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 12 divided divide VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 13 into into IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 14 sub sub NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 15 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 16 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 17 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 18 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 20 S S NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 22 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 23 infected infect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 25 I i NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 27 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 28 recovered recover VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 30 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 32 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 33 dead dead JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 35 D D NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 37 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 38 all all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 39 times time NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 53 40 t. t. NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 54 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 55 1 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 55 2 N n NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 55 3 = = SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 55 4 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 56 1 + + CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 57 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 57 2 + + CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 58 1 R+D. r+d. NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 2 following following JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 3 set set NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 5 mean mean JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 6 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 7 field field NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 8 differential differential NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 9 equations equation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 10 governs govern VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 12 temporal temporal JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 13 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 16 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 17 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 18 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 20 S S NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 22 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 23 infected infect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 25 I i NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 27 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 28 recovered recover VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 30 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 32 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 33 dead dead JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 35 D D NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 37 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 38 describes describe VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 39 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 40 comprehensive comprehensive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 41 picture picture NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 42 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 43 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 44 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 45 epidemic epidemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 46 evolution evolution NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 59 47 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 1 Here here RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 3 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 5 γ γ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 7 δ δ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 8 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 11 determining determine VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 13 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 15 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 17 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 18 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 19 deaths death NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 20 respectively respectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 22 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 23 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 24 1A 1a NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 60 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 1 When when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 2 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 3 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 4 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 5 interacts interact VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 6 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 7 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 9 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 13 become become VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 14 infected infect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 15 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 16 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 17 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 18 βSI βsi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 19 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 20 N n NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 61 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 1 Large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 2 variability variability NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 3 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 4 observed observe VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 5 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 7 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 8 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 9 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 10 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 11 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 12 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 13 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 14 no no RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 15 longer long RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 17 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 18 equivalently equivalently RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 19 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 20 recovered recover VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 21 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 22 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 23 simplified simplified JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 24 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 62 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 1 Literature literature NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 2 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 3 9 9 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 6 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 9 11 11 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 11 suggests suggest VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 12 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 13 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 14 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 16 average average NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 18 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 19 appears appear VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 20 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 21 start start VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 22 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 23 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 24 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 25 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 26 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 27 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 28 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 29 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 30 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 31 visible visible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 63 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 2 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 3 increases increase VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 4 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 5 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 6 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 7 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 9 arrival arrival NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 12 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 13 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 14 remains remain VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 15 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 16 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 17 7 7 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 18 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 19 9 9 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 20 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 21 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 23 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 24 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 64 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 2 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 3 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 4 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 5 remains remain VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 7 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 8 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 9 12 12 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 10 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 11 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 13 average average NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 14 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 15 then then RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 16 recover recover VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 65 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 3 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 4 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 7 set set VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 9 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 10 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 11 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 12 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 13 1/12 1/12 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 15 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 16 however however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 17 does do VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 18 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 19 give give VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 21 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 22 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 23 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 24 all all PDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 25 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 26 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 27 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 28 studied study VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 66 29 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 2 essence essence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 5 numerical numerical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 6 values value NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 9 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 11 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 12 obtained obtain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 13 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 15 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 16 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 67 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 1 Initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 2 values value NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 4 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 5 t t NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 6 = = SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 7 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 8 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 12 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 14 infected infect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 16 recovered recover VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 17 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 18 deaths death NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 20 I i NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 21 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 22 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 23 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 24 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 25 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 26 D D NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 27 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 29 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 30 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 31 chosen choose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 32 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 33 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 34 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 68 35 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 2 choice choice NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 3 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 5 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 6 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 10 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 11 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 13 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 14 quite quite RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 15 difficult difficult JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 69 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 3 absence absence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 5 antibody antibody NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 8 entire entire JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 9 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 10 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 11 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 13 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 70 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 4 geographical geographical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 6 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 8 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 9 economical economical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 10 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 12 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 13 region region NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 15 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 16 various various JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 17 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 18 demographic demographic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 19 factors factor NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 21 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 22 substantially substantially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 23 influence influence VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 24 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 25 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 71 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 2 used use VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 3 two two CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 4 different different JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 5 approaches approach NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 6 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 7 get get VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 8 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 9 estimate estimate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 11 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 12 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 72 13 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 1 First first RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 4 study study VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 6 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 7 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 9 large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 10 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 11 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 13 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 14 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 15 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 16 have have VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 17 reached reach VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 18 closer close RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 19 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 21 plateau plateau NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 73 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 1 Though though RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 4 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 5 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 6 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 8 plateau plateau NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 9 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 10 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 11 determined determine VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 12 only only RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 13 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 16 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 17 over over RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 74 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 1 Dividing divide VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 2 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 3 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 4 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 6 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 7 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 10 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 11 gives give VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 12 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 13 fraction fraction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 14 that that WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 15 appears appear VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 16 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 17 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 18 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 20 order order NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 21 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 22 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 23 −3 −3 NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 24 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 25 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 26 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 27 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 28 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 29 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 30 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 31 Italy Italy NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 32 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 33 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 34 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 35 −4 −4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 36 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 37 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 38 −5 −5 NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 39 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 40 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 41 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 42 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 43 China China NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 44 respectively respectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 75 45 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 2 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 3 estimate estimate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 6 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 7 may may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 8 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 9 obtained obtain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 10 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 11 multiplying multiply VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 13 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 15 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 16 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 17 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 18 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 19 fraction fraction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 76 20 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 2 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 3 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 4 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 8 way way NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 10 however however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 12 indicates indicate VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 13 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 14 lower lower RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 15 bound bind VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 16 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 17 many many JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 18 individuals individual NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 19 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 20 mild mild JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 21 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 22 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 23 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 24 go go VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 25 unreported unreported JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 77 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 1 Another another DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 2 possibility possibility NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 3 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 4 estimate estimate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 6 fraction fraction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 7 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 8 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 9 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 10 test test VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 12 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 14 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 15 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 16 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 18 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 19 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 20 tests test NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 21 carried carry VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 22 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 78 23 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 2 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 3 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 4 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 5 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 6 upper upper JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 7 bound bind VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 8 since since IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 9 there there EX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 10 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 11 many many JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 12 regions region NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 13 within within IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 14 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 15 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 16 that that WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 17 remains remain VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 18 completely completely RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 19 isolated isolated JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 20 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 22 populations population NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 23 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 24 such such JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 25 pockets pocket NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 26 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 27 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 28 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 29 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 79 30 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 2 ratio ratio NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 3 between between IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 5 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 6 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 7 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 8 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 9 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 11 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 12 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 14 tests test NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 15 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 16 different different JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 17 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 18 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 19 given give VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 20 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 22 following following NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 23 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 25 fraction fraction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 26 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 27 0.159 0.159 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 28 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 29 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 30 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 31 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 32 0.016 0.016 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 33 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 34 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 35 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 37 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 38 per per IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 39 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 40 up up IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 41 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 42 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 43 7 7 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 45 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 46 0.1072 0.1072 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 47 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 48 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 49 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 50 0.063 0.063 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 51 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 52 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 53 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 54 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 55 per per IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 56 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 57 up up IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 58 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 59 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 60 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 61 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 80 62 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 1 Conventionally conventionally RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 3 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 4 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 5 modeling modeling NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 6 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 7 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 8 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 9 N N NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 81 10 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 3 simulation simulation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 6 have have VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 7 reasonably reasonably RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 8 varied varied JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 9 S S NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 10 0 0 NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 11 within within IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 12 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 13 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 14 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 15 obtain obtain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 17 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 18 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 19 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 20 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 21 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 22 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 23 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 24 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 25 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 26 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 27 manner manner NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 29 i.e i.e XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 30 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 31 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 32 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 33 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 34 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 82 36 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 1 With with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 3 formulation formulation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 6 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 8 comes come VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 10 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 11 estimate estimate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 14 speed speed NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 15 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 16 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 18 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 19 spreads spread VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 20 across across IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 21 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 22 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 83 23 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 2 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 3 words word NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 5 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 7 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 8 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 9 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 12 objective objective NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 13 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 14 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 15 assess assess VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 16 how how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 17 fast fast RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 18 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 19 human human JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 20 carrier carrier NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 21 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 22 infect infect VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 23 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 24 belonging belong VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 25 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 26 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 27 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 28 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 29 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 84 30 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 2 quantity quantity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 3 that that WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 4 determines determine VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 6 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 7 speed speed NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 11 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 13 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 14 reproduction reproduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 15 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 16 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 17 replacement replacement NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 18 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 20 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 21 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 85 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 86 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 86 2 12 12 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 86 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 86 4 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 1 Often often RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 3 basic basic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 5 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 6 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 7 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 9 defined define VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 10 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 12 average average JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 13 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 15 secondary secondary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 16 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 17 that that WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 18 occur occur VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 19 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 20 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 21 infec- infec- JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 22 tious tious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 23 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 25 primary primary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 26 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 27 source source NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 28 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 29 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 31 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 32 placed place VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 33 into into IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 34 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 35 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 36 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 37 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 38 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 39 used use VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 40 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 41 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 42 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 43 models model NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 87 44 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 1 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 2 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 3 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 4 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 6 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 8 very very RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 9 early early JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 10 stage stage NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 13 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 14 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 17 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 18 mixes mix VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 19 freely freely RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 20 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 22 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 23 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 88 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 1 Estimating estimating NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 2 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 3 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 5 often often RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 6 challenging challenge VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 7 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 8 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 9 lack lack NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 11 unbiased unbiased JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 12 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 13 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 14 all all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 15 secondary secondary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 16 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 17 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 18 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 19 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 20 determined determine VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 21 exactly exactly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 22 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 23 especially especially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 24 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 26 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 27 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 28 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 29 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 30 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 31 hardly hardly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 32 identified identify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 34 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 35 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 36 1B 1b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 89 38 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 2 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 4 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 6 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 7 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 10 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 12 used use VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 13 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 14 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 15 study study NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 17 evaluates evaluate VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 19 mean mean JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 20 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 21 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 22 new new JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 23 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 25 infected infect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 26 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 28 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 29 pool pool NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 31 directly directly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 32 transmitted transmit VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 33 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 34 induced induce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 35 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 36 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 37 typical typical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 38 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 39 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 40 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 41 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 42 vary vary VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 43 over over IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 44 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 45 entire entire JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 46 duration duration NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 47 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 48 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 49 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 51 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 52 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 53 1C 1C NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 90 55 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 3 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 4 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 6 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 7 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 8 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 9 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 10 represented represent VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 11 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 12 β/(γ β/(γ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 13 + + CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 14 δ δ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 91 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 1 From from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 3 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 4 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 7 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 10 find find VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 11 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 12 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 13 > > XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 92 14 > > XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 1 δ δ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 3 yielding yield VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 4 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 5 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 6 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 7 β β NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 8 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 9 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 93 10 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 1 If if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 2 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 3 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 4 > > XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 5 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 8 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 9 starts start VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 10 spreading spread VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 11 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 12 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 13 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 14 infecting infect VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 15 more more JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 16 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 17 more more JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 18 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 19 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 20 but but CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 21 spreading spreading NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 22 does do VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 23 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 24 occur occur VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 25 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 26 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 27 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 28 falls fall VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 29 below below IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 30 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 94 31 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 3 easy easy JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 4 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 5 notice notice VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 6 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 7 longer long JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 8 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 9 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 10 remains remain VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 11 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 13 i.e. i.e. FW cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 14 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 15 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 16 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 17 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 19 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 20 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 21 give give VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 22 rise rise NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 23 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 24 very very RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 25 large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 26 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 27 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 28 even even RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 29 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 30 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 31 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 32 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 33 interactions interaction NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 34 per per IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 35 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 37 i.e. i.e. FW cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 38 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 40 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 41 small small JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 95 42 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 1 Containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 2 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 3 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 4 terms term NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 6 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 7 distancing distancing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 8 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 9 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 10 have have VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 11 been be VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 12 implemented implement VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 13 world world NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 14 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 15 wide wide RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 16 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 17 mitigate mitigate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 19 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 20 speed speed NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 21 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 23 outbreak outbreak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 96 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 2 implemented implement VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 4 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 7 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 9 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 10 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 11 modifying modify VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 13 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 14 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 15 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 16 obtained obtain VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 18 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 19 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 20 fit fit JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 97 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 2 chose choose VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 4 following follow VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 5 functional functional JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 6 form form NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 8 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 9 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 10 dependent dependent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 11 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 12 rateβ(t rateβ(t NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 14 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 16 gradually gradually RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 17 decreases decrease VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 18 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 20 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 21 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 22 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 23 enforced enforce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 25 5 5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 26 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 27 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 98 29 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 1 Before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 2 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 5 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 6 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 8 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 9 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 11 constant constant JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 99 12 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 1 When when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 5 imposed impose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 6 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 7 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 8 τ τ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 10 counted count VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 11 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 13 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 14 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 15 point point NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 16 t t NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 17 = = SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 18 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 19 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 20 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 21 0 0 NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 22 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 23 chosen choose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 24 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 25 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 26 simulation simulation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 28 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 29 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 30 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 31 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 32 dependent dependent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 33 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 34 rateβ(t rateβ(t NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 36 diminishes diminish VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 37 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 38 every every DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 39 progressing progress VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 40 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 41 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 42 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 43 assume assume JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 44 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 45 vary vary VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 46 exponentially exponentially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 47 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 48 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 49 following following JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 50 manner manner NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 51 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 52 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 53 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 100 54 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 1 Here here RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 3 ζ ζ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 4 ∈ ∈ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 6 0,1 0,1 NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 8 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 10 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 11 parameter parameter NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 13 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 14 interaction interaction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 15 parameter parameter NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 17 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 18 T T NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 19 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 21 delay delay NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 22 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 24 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 25 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 26 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 27 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 28 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 29 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 30 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 31 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 32 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 33 visible visible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 34 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 35 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 36 propagation propagation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 37 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 38 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 101 39 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 1 Without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 2 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 3 ζ=1 ζ=1 NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 5 referring refer VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 6 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 7 rapid rapid JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 8 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 9 while while IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 10 ζ ζ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 11 = = SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 12 0 0 NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 13 means mean VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 14 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 15 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 16 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 17 contained contain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 19 e.g e.g IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 20 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 21 interaction interaction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 22 between between IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 23 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 24 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 25 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 26 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 27 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 28 hence hence RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 29 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 30 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 102 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 1 ζ ζ LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 2 ∈ ∈ VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 4 0,1 0,1 NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 6 reflects reflect VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 8 asymptotic asymptotic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 9 mitigation mitigation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 12 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 13 rateβ(t rateβ(t NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 16 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 17 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 18 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 19 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 20 imposed impose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 103 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 1 Lower lower VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 3 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 5 ζ ζ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 7 stricter strict JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 8 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 10 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 11 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 13 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 15 manifestation manifestation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 16 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 18 same same JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 21 5 5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 22 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 23 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 104 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 1 Here here RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 3 initially initially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 4 chosen choose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 5 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 6 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 7 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 8 ends end VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 9 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 10 ζβ ζβ XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 105 11 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 1 Essentially essentially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 4 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 5 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 6 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 7 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 8 determines determine VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 10 characteristic characteristic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 11 properties property NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 14 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 15 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 16 depends depend VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 17 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 19 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 20 interaction interaction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 21 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 22 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 23 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 24 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 25 region region NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 26 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 27 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 28 behavior behavior NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 29 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 30 density density NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 31 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 32 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 33 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 34 etc etc FW cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 106 35 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 2 terminal terminal JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 3 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 4 ζβ ζβ . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 5 reflects reflect VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 7 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 10 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 11 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 12 how how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 14 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 15 distancing distancing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 16 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 17 being be VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 18 maintained maintain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 107 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 2 functional functional JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 3 form form NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 4 ofβ(t ofβ(t IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 7 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 8 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 9 chosen choose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 10 semi semi RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 11 - - RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 12 empirically empirically RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 13 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 14 obtain obtain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 16 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 17 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 18 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 20 available available JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 21 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 108 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 3 simulation simulation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 5 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 6 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 8 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 9 plotting plotting NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 10 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 11 carried carry VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 12 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 13 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 14 python python NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 109 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 2 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 3 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 6 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 8 using use VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 10 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 11 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 12 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 13 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 15 sheds shed VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 16 light light NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 17 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 19 primary primary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 20 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 21 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 23 temporal temporal JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 24 evolution evolution NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 25 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 26 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 27 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 110 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 1 Relevant relevant JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 2 parameter parameter NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 3 values value NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 4 chosen choose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 5 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 7 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 8 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 9 few few JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 10 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 11 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 12 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 13 listed list VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 14 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 15 Table Table NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 16 S1 S1 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 17 -S2 -s2 ADD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 111 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 2 best well RBS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 3 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 4 fit fit JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 6 chosen choose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 7 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 8 foreign foreign JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 9 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 10 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 11 listed list VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 12 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 13 Table Table NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 14 S3 S3 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 112 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 2 carried carry VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 3 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 5 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 6 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 7 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 8 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 10 progression progression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 11 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 12 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 13 's 's POS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 14 context context NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 16 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 17 few few JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 18 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 19 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 113 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 114 1 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 114 2 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 114 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 114 4 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 115 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 115 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 115 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 115 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 115 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 115 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 116 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 117 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 118 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 118 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 118 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 2 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 3 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 4 realistic realistic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 5 variations variation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 7 following follow VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 9 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 10 rates rate NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 12 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 14 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 17 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 19 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 21 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 22 deaths death NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 24 δ δ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 26 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 28 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 29 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 30 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 31 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 33 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 34 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 36 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 37 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 38 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 39 reproduction reproduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 40 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 42 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 43 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 119 45 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 1 Detailed detailed JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 2 results result NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 3 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 4 described describe VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 5 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 7 following follow VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 8 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 9 illustrated illustrate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 10 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 11 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 120 12 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 121 1 2 2 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 121 2 -10 -10 NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 121 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 122 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 122 2 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 122 3 S1 s1 NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 122 4 -S2 -s2 ADD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 122 5 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 2 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 3 nutshell nutshell NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 6 start start VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 7 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 9 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 10 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 11 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 13 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 14 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 16 varying vary VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 17 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 19 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 20 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 21 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 22 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 23 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 24 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 25 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 26 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 27 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 28 keeping keep VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 29 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 30 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 31 reproduction reproduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 32 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 33 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 34 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 35 fixed fix VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 36 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 37 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 38 4.0 4.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 39 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 40 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 41 show show VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 42 how how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 43 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 44 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 45 prediction prediction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 46 fits fit VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 47 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 48 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 49 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 50 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 51 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 52 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 53 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 54 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 55 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 56 location location NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 57 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 58 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 59 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 60 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 61 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 62 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 63 relative relative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 64 deviation deviation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 65 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 66 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 67 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 68 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 69 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 70 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 71 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 72 2A 2a CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 73 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 123 74 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 2 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 3 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 7 tuning tune VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 9 rates rate NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 11 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 13 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 16 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 18 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 20 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 21 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 22 deaths death NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 24 δ δ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 26 keeping keep VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 27 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 28 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 29 constrained constrain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 30 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 31 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 32 mentioned mention VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 33 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 124 34 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 1 Then then RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 4 incorporate incorporate VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 6 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 8 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 9 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 10 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 11 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 13 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 15 functional functional JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 16 form form NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 17 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 18 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 19 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 20 show show VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 21 how how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 23 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 24 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 25 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 26 containmentmeasures containmentmeasure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 27 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 28 altered alter VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 29 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 30 location location NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 31 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 32 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 33 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 34 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 35 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 36 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 37 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 39 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 40 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 41 2B 2b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 125 43 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 1 Next next RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 4 explore explore VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 5 how how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 7 variability variability NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 10 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 11 reproduction reproduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 12 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 13 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 14 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 15 influences influence VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 17 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 126 18 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 127 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 127 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 127 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 127 4 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 127 5 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 127 6 4 4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 127 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 127 8 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 4 analyze analyze VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 7 progression progression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 9 few few JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 10 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 11 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 12 e.g e.g NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 13 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 15 Maharashtra Maharashtra NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 17 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 18 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 19 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 20 West West NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 21 Bengal Bengal NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 23 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 25 5 5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 26 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 27 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 29 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 30 foreign foreign JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 31 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 32 e.g e.g NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 33 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 34 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 35 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 36 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 37 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 38 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 39 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 40 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 42 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 128 43 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 129 1 7 7 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 129 2 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 129 3 8 8 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 129 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 129 5 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 1 Lastly lastly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 4 explore explore VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 7 brief brief NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 9 what what WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 10 happens happen VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 11 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 13 outspread outspread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 15 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 18 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 19 lifted lift VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 21 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 22 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 23 words word NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 24 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 25 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 26 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 27 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 28 relaxed relaxed JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 30 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 31 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 32 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 130 33 context context NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 131 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 131 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 131 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 131 4 9 9 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 131 5 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 131 6 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 131 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 131 8 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 1 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 2 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 4 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 5 What what WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 6 could could MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 7 have have VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 8 happened happen VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 132 9 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 2 first first JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 3 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 4 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 5 human human JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 6 host host NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 7 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 8 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 9 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 10 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 11 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 12 30th 30th JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 13 January January NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 14 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 133 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 2 exponential exponential JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 3 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 6 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 8 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 10 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 11 30th 30th JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 12 January January NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 13 onward onward RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 15 reached reach VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 16 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 17 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 18 657 657 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 19 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 20 25th 25th JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 21 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 22 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 23 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 25 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 26 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 27 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 28 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 29 imposed impose VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 30 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 31 nation nation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 32 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 33 wide wide JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 34 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 36 Fig fig NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 134 37 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 135 1 S1A S1A NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 135 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 135 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 1 Using use VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 3 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 4 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 7 first first RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 8 explored explore VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 9 what what WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 10 could could MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 11 have have VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 12 happened happen VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 13 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 14 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 16 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 17 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 18 had have VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 19 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 20 been be VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 21 undertaken undertake VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 136 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 1 As as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 2 mentioned mention VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 3 earlier early RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 6 chose choose VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 8 factor factor NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 9 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 10 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 137 11 −3 −3 NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 2 obtained obtain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 3 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 4 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 6 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 7 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 8 few few JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 9 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 10 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 11 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 12 dividing divide VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 14 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 15 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 16 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 17 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 18 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 19 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 21 actual actual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 22 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 23 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 25 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 27 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 28 multiplied multiply VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 29 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 30 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 31 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 32 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 33 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 34 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 35 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 36 9 9 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 37 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 38 estimate estimate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 39 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 40 lower lower RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 41 bound bind VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 42 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 43 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 44 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 45 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 47 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 48 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 138 50 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 2 turns turn VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 3 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 6 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 7 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 8 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 9 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 10 good good JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 11 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 12 estimation estimation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 13 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 14 have have VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 15 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 16 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 17 working work VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 18 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 19 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 20 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 21 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 23 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 24 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 25 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 26 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 139 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 1 With with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 2 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 3 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 4 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 5 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 6 varied varied JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 7 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 9 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 10 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 11 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 12 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 13 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 14 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 16 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 17 fixed fix VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 18 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 19 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 20 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 21 4.0 4.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 23 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 25 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 26 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 28 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 29 occurs occur VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 30 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 31 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 32 first first JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 33 half half NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 34 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 35 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 37 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 38 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 39 2A 2a CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 140 41 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 1 As as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 2 expected expect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 5 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 6 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 8 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 9 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 10 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 12 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 14 increases increase NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 15 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 16 increasing increase VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 17 S S NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 18 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 141 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 1 For for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 2 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 3 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 4 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 5 pool pool NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 6 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 7 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 8 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 9 ∼ ∼ CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 10 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 11 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 14 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 15 reaches reach VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 16 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 17 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 18 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 19 0.4 0.4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 20 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 22 whereas whereas IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 24 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 25 jumps jump VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 26 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 27 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 28 1.2 1.2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 29 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 30 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 31 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 32 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 33 ∼ ∼ CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 34 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 142 35 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 143 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 143 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 143 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 143 4 2A 2a CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 143 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 143 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 2 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 3 death death NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 4 toll toll NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 5 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 6 estimated estimate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 7 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 8 reach reach VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 9 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 10 30,000 30,000 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 11 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 12 100,000 100,000 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 13 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 14 S S NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 15 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 16 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 17 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 18 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 19 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 20 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 21 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 22 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 23 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 24 during during IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 25 July July NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 26 -August -August NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 27 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 28 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 30 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 31 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 32 2A 2a CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 144 34 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 1 Next next RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 4 introduced introduce VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 6 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 8 containmentmeasures containmentmeasure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 9 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 11 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 12 rateβ(t rateβ(t NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 145 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 146 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 146 2 Eq Eq NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 146 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 147 1 5 5 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 147 2 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 147 3 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 147 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 147 5 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 1 Numerical numerical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 2 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 3 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 4 carried carry VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 5 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 6 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 7 investigate investigate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 8 whether whether IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 10 pro pro JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 11 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 12 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 13 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 14 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 148 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 149 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 149 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 149 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 149 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 149 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 149 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 150 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 151 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 152 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 152 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 152 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 2 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 3 gression gression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 8 mitigated mitigate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 9 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 12 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 13 imposed impose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 153 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 1 Straightening straightening NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 2 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 4 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 5 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 6 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 7 From from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 9 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 10 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 13 appears appear VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 14 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 16 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 17 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 18 begins begin VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 19 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 20 reduce reduce VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 22 15 15 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 23 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 24 20 20 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 25 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 26 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 28 national national JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 29 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 30 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 154 31 implemented implement VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 155 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 155 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 155 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 155 4 2A 2a CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 155 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 155 6 inset inset NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 155 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 155 8 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 2 further further RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 3 observed observe VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 6 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 7 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 8 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 10 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 11 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 12 displays display VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 13 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 14 straightening straightening NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 15 feature feature NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 16 during during IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 18 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 19 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 20 frame frame NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 156 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 3 expected expect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 4 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 5 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 6 observed observe VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 7 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 8 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 9 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 10 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 11 initiated initiate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 12 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 14 unhindered unhindered JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 15 exponential exponential JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 16 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 17 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 19 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 20 slows slow VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 21 down down RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 22 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 23 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 25 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 26 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 27 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 28 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 29 during during IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 30 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 31 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 157 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 1 While while IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 2 slowing slow VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 3 down down RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 4 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 5 deviating deviate VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 6 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 9 trajectory trajectory NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 12 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 13 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 14 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 16 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 17 progression progression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 18 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 20 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 21 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 22 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 24 acquires acquire VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 25 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 26 distinctive distinctive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 27 straightening straightening NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 28 feature feature NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 29 until until IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 30 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 31 very very RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 32 recent recent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 33 surge surge NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 35 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 36 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 37 2A 2a CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 38 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 39 inset inset NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 158 41 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 1 Next next RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 3 adding add VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 6 effects effect NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 7 into into IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 9 picture picture NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 12 fit fit VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 14 theoretically theoretically RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 15 obtained obtain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 16 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 17 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 18 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 19 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 21 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 22 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 159 23 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 2 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 3 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 4 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 6 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 7 set set NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 10 demonstrates demonstrate VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 11 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 13 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 14 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 16 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 17 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 19 present present JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 20 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 23 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 24 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 25 dwarfs dwarf VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 26 down down RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 27 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 28 about about IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 29 0.10 0.10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 30 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 31 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 32 about about IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 33 0.40 0.40 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 34 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 35 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 36 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 37 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 38 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 39 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 40 scenario scenario NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 42 dashed dash VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 43 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 44 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 45 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 46 . . NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 47 2B 2b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 48 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 49 inset inset NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 160 51 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 2 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 3 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 5 projected project VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 6 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 7 reach reach VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 8 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 9 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 10 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 12 end end NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 14 June June NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 16 tentatively tentatively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 18 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 20 2B 2b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 22 2B 2b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 23 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 24 inset inset NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 161 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 3 death death NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 4 toll toll NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 5 also also RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 6 reduces reduce VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 7 substantially substantially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 8 compared compare VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 9 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 11 earlier early JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 12 scenario scenario NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 13 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 14 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 15 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 162 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 4 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 5 also also RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 6 shows show VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 7 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 9 situation situation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 10 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 11 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 12 improved improve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 13 further further RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 163 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 2 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 3 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 4 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 5 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 6 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 7 dwarfed dwarf VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 8 down down RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 9 further far RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 10 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 13 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 14 extended extend VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 15 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 16 reinforced reinforce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 17 stringently stringently RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 18 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 19 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 20 prone prone JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 21 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 164 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 2 that that DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 3 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 6 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 7 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 8 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 9 noticeably noticeably RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 10 flattens flatten VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 11 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 13 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 14 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 15 reduced reduce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 16 further further RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 165 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 1 As as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 2 mentioned mention VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 3 earlier early RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 5 S S NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 6 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 8 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 9 very very RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 10 crucial crucial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 11 parameter parameter NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 12 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 13 governing govern VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 15 position position NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 16 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 18 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 19 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 21 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 22 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 166 23 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 3 following following NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 6 summarize summarize VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 7 how how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 9 variations variation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 10 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 12 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 15 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 16 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 17 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 18 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 19 influence influence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 21 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 22 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 23 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 167 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 1 Keeping keep VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 2 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 3 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 4 fixed fix VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 5 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 6 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 7 4.0 4.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 10 varied vary VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 12 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 15 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 16 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 17 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 18 within within IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 19 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 20 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 21 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 22 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 23 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 24 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 168 25 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 169 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 169 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 169 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 169 4 2A-2B 2a-2b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 169 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 169 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 3 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 4 shows show VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 5 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 7 larger large JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 9 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 13 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 16 higher high JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 18 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 19 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 21 Fig fig NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 22 . . NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 23 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 170 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 3 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 5 larger large JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 6 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 9 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 10 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 12 attainment attainment JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 15 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 16 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 17 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 18 delayed delay VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 19 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 21 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 22 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 23 shifted shift VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 24 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 25 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 26 later later JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 27 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 28 zone zone NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 30 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 31 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 32 2B 2b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 33 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 34 2B 2b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 35 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 36 inset inset NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 171 38 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 1 These these DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 2 characteristic characteristic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 3 features feature NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 4 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 5 consistent consistent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 7 both both DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 8 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 9 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 10 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 12 scenarios scenario NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 172 13 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 5 evident evident JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 6 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 8 key key NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 9 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 10 containing contain VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 12 outspread outspread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 13 lies lie VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 14 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 15 keeping keep VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 16 S S NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 17 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 18 small small JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 173 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 3 feasible feasible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 4 only only RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 5 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 6 interactions interaction NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 7 between between IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 8 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 9 demographic demographic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 10 region region NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 11 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 13 recent recent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 14 occurrence occurrence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 15 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 16 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 17 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 18 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 19 region region NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 20 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 21 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 22 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 23 latest late JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 24 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 25 instance instance NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 26 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 27 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 28 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 29 strictly strictly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 30 barred bar VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 174 31 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 1 Besides besides IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 3 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 4 global global JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 5 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 9 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 10 nation nation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 11 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 12 wide wide JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 13 sense sense NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 16 locally locally RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 17 keeping keep VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 18 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 19 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 20 region region NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 21 isolated isolate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 22 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 23 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 24 proximal proximal JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 25 unaffected unaffected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 26 regions region NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 27 may may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 28 help help VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 29 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 30 keep keep VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 31 S S NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 32 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 33 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 34 check check NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 175 35 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 2 next next JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 3 question question NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 5 crops crop VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 6 up up RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 8 what what WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 9 happens happen VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 10 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 12 magnitude magnitude NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 14 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 15 reproduction reproduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 16 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 18 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 19 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 21 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 22 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 23 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 24 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 25 put put VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 27 place place NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 176 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 2 discuss discuss VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 3 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 5 following following NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 7 how how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 9 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 10 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 11 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 12 changes change NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 13 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 14 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 15 during during IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 19 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 20 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 21 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 177 23 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 1 Effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 2 reproduction reproduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 3 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 5 Re re NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 7 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 178 9 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 2 start start VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 3 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 4 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 5 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 7 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 8 3.5 3.5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 9 ≤ ≤ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 10 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 11 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 12 ≤ ≤ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 13 4.4 4.4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 14 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 16 beginning beginning NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 179 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 1 As as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 5 implemented implement VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 7 less less JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 8 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 10 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 11 interact interact VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 180 12 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 4 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 5 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 6 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 8 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 10 t t NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 13 starts start VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 14 decreasing decrease VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 15 over over IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 16 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 181 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 182 1 How how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 182 2 much much JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 182 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 182 4 reduction reduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 182 5 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 182 6 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 182 7 forβ(t forβ(t NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 182 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 1 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 2 longer long JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 3 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 4 regime regime NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 7 determined determine VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 8 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 10 factor factor NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 11 ζ ζ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 12 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 13 Eq Eq NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 183 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 184 1 5 5 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 184 2 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 2 reducedβ(t reducedβ(t NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 4 settles settle VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 5 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 6 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 7 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 8 ζβ ζβ IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 9 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 10 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 12 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 13 effects effect NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 185 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 3 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 5 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 6 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 7 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 8 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 9 fixed fix VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 12 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 13 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 14 will will MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 15 diminish diminish VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 16 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 17 reach reach VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 18 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 19 valueβ valueβ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 21 t t NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 23 γ γ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 24 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 25 ζβ ζβ IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 26 γ γ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 186 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 2 decrease decrease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 3 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 4 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 5 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 6 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 7 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 9 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 12 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 13 evident evident JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 14 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 15 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 187 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 1 3 3 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 2 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 4 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 5 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 6 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 7 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 8 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 9 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 188 10 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 189 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 189 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 189 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 189 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 189 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 189 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 190 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 191 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 192 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 192 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 192 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 2 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 3 reduces reduce VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 4 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 5 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 6 40 40 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 7 % % NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 10 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 11 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 13 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 193 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 2 smeared smear VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 3 color color NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 4 shades shade NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 5 enveloping envelop VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 7 dashed dash VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 8 lines line NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 9 label label VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 11 variations variation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 12 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 13 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 14 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 15 within within IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 17 mentioned mention VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 18 range range NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 194 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 1 As as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 2 expected expect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 5 higher high JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 7 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 9 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 10 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 13 taller tall JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 15 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 16 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 195 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 2 feature feature NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 3 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 4 consistent consistent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 5 both both CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 7 presence presence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 8 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 9 absence absence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 196 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 4 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 6 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 8 inset inset NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 197 10 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 1 Next next RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 4 investigate investigate VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 6 whether whether IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 8 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 10 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 11 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 13 extracted extract VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 14 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 16 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 17 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 18 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 19 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 20 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 22 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 23 unique unique JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 25 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 26 course course NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 27 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 28 marginal marginal JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 29 variation variation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 31 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 32 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 33 variation variation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 34 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 35 nonmarginal nonmarginal JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 198 36 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 1 What what WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 2 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 3 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 5 scenario scenario NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 6 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 7 Re Re VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 8 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 9 large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 199 10 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 1 Instead instead RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 2 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 3 fixing fix VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 4 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 5 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 6 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 8 beginning beginning NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 11 varied vary VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 13 rates rate NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 15 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 17 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 19 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 20 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 22 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 24 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 25 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 26 deaths death NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 28 δ δ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 30 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 31 any any DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 32 restriction restriction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 33 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 34 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 35 resulting result VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 36 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 37 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 38 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 39 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 200 40 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 2 aimed aim VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 3 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 4 verify verify VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 5 whether whether IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 7 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 8 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 10 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 11 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 12 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 14 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 15 curves curve NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 17 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 18 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 19 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 20 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 21 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 22 death death NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 24 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 25 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 26 obtained obtain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 27 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 28 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 29 set set NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 30 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 32 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 33 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 34 γ γ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 35 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 36 δ δ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 38 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 39 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 40 than than IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 41 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 42 already already RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 43 chosen choose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 44 values value NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 45 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 46 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 201 47 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 1 2 2 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 2 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 3 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 5 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 6 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 7 apparent apparent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 8 constraint constraint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 9 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 11 values value NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 13 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 14 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 202 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 2 find find VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 3 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 5 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 6 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 7 fixed fix VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 8 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 10 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 11 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 13 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 14 0.8 0.8 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 15 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 16 1.2 1.2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 17 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 18 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 20 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 21 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 22 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 23 still still RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 24 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 25 fitted fit VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 26 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 28 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 29 curves curve NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 30 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 31 even even RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 32 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 33 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 34 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 35 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 36 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 203 37 large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 204 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 204 2 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 204 3 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 204 4 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 204 5 7.4 7.4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 204 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 204 7 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 204 8 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 205 1 4 4 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 205 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 205 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 206 1 Similar similar JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 206 2 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 206 3 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 206 4 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 1 2 2 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 2 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 3 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 6 active active JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 7 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 8 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 9 deviate deviate VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 10 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 12 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 13 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 14 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 15 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 16 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 18 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 20 enforced enforce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 22 effectively effectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 23 slows slow VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 24 down down RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 25 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 26 progression progression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 27 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 28 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 30 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 31 . . NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 32 4 4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 33 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 34 4 4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 35 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 36 inset inset NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 207 38 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 1 Note note VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 2 here here RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 5 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 6 comparison comparison NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 7 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 8 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 208 9 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 1 2 2 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 2 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 3 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 6 location location NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 7 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 8 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 11 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 12 peaks peak NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 13 change change NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 15 both both DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 16 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 18 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 19 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 20 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 22 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 23 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 24 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 26 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 27 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 28 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 29 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 30 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 31 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 209 32 increased increase VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 210 1 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 210 2 2-fold 2-fold CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 210 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 210 4 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 210 5 . . NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 210 6 4 4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 210 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 210 8 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 2 tandem tandem NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 3 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 5 definition definition NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 6 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 7 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 8 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 11 observe observe VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 12 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 13 greater great JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 15 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 16 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 17 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 18 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 19 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 20 larger large JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 22 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 23 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 25 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 26 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 28 compare compare VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 29 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 30 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 31 2B 2B NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 32 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 33 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 34 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 35 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 36 4.0 4.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 37 ; ; : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 38 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 39 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 211 40 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 212 1 4 4 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 212 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 212 3 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 212 4 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 212 5 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 212 6 7.4 7.4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 212 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 212 8 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 3 also also RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 4 noteworthy noteworthy JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 5 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 6 mention mention VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 7 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 8 here here RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 10 recovery recovery NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 11 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 12 γ γ NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 13 = = SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 14 0.0315 0.0315 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 15 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 16 −1 −1 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 17 correspond correspond VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 18 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 19 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 20 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 21 31 31 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 22 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 23 compared compare VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 24 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 25 12 12 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 26 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 27 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 28 discussed discuss VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 29 earlier early RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 213 30 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 1 A a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 2 prolonged prolong VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 3 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 4 leads lead VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 5 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 7 rise rise NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 10 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 11 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 12 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 13 consequently consequently RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 15 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 16 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 17 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 18 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 19 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 214 20 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 1 From from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 3 above above JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 4 observations observation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 7 connote connote VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 8 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 10 exactness exactness NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 12 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 13 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 14 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 15 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 16 ascertained ascertain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 18 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 20 have have VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 21 more more JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 22 data data NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 23 points point NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 24 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 25 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 26 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 27 evolution evolution NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 28 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 29 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 30 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 31 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 32 recovered recover VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 33 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 34 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 35 dead dead JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 36 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 215 37 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 2 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 3 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 4 setup setup NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 5 may may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 6 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 7 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 8 able able JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 9 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 10 precisely precisely RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 11 pinpoint pinpoint VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 13 exact exact JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 14 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 15 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 16 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 17 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 18 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 216 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 1 How how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 2 well well RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 4 individual individual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 5 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 6 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 7 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 8 doing do VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 217 9 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 2 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 5 first first JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 7 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 8 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 9 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 10 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 11 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 12 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 13 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 14 January January NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 15 30 30 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 17 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 18 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 19 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 20 now now RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 21 almost almost RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 22 half half NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 23 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 25 active active JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 26 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 27 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 28 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 29 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 30 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 31 Maharashtra Maharashtra NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 218 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 2 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 3 note note NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 6 explore explore VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 8 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 9 progression progression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 10 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 11 these these DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 12 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 13 along along IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 14 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 15 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 16 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 17 West West NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 18 Bengal Bengal NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 19 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 20 compare compare VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 22 features feature NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 23 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 24 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 25 progression progression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 26 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 27 each each DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 28 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 30 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 31 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 32 5 5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 33 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 34 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 35 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 36 S1B s1b NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 219 38 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 1 After after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 3 first first JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 4 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 5 being be VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 6 detected detect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 7 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 8 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 9 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 10 January January NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 11 30 30 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 14 second second JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 15 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 16 third third JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 17 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 18 were be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 19 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 20 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 21 Feb Feb NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 22 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 23 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 24 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 220 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 1 After after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 2 February February NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 3 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 5 there there EX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 6 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 7 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 8 new new JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 9 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 10 detected detect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 11 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 12 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 13 till till IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 14 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 15 7 7 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 221 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 2 previous previous JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 3 three three CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 4 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 5 were be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 6 all all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 7 recovered recover VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 8 within within IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 9 February February NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 10 20 20 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 222 11 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 2 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 3 second second JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 4 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 5 wave wave NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 6 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 8 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 9 started start VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 10 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 11 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 12 8 8 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 223 13 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 1 From from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 2 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 3 8 8 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 4 onwards onwards RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 6 there there EX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 7 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 8 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 9 rapid rapid JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 10 upsurge upsurge NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 12 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 224 13 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 3 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 4 two two CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 5 weeks week NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 6 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 8 national national JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 9 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 11 imposed impose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 13 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 14 reached reach VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 15 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 16 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 17 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 225 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 226 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 226 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 226 3 evident evident JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 226 4 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 226 5 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 226 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 227 1 5A 5a LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 227 2 -5B -5b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 1 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 3 downfall downfall NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 6 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 8 rapid rapid JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 10 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 12 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 13 curve curve NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 14 moved move VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 15 past past IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 16 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 17 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 228 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 1 If if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 4 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 5 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 6 enforced enforce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 9 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 10 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 11 projected project VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 12 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 13 occur occur VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 14 around around IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 15 mid mid NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 16 - - NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 17 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 229 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 1 But but CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 3 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 4 . . NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 5 5B 5B NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 6 alludes allude VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 7 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 8 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 9 implemented implement VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 11 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 12 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 13 so so RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 14 well well RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 15 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 17 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 18 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 19 occurred occur VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 20 early early RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 21 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 22 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 23 much much RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 24 lower low JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 230 25 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 231 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 231 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 231 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 231 4 5A-5B 5a-5b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 231 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 231 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 3 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 4 further further RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 5 projects project VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 6 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 7 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 8 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 10 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 13 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 14 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 15 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 16 reduces reduce VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 17 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 18 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 19 18 18 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 20 % % NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 21 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 23 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 24 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 25 during during IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 26 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 27 upsurge upsurge NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 28 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 29 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 30 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 31 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 232 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 2 reduced reduce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 3 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 5 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 6 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 8 < < XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 9 < < XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 10 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 12 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 13 means mean VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 14 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 15 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 16 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 18 way way NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 19 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 20 become become VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 21 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 22 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 23 free free JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 24 state state NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 25 soon soon RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 26 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 28 trend trend NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 29 continues continue VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 233 30 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 2 Maharashtra Maharashtra NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 5 first first JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 6 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 7 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 8 detected detect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 9 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 10 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 11 9 9 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 234 12 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 2 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 3 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 4 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 5 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 6 yet yet RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 7 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 8 attain attain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 10 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 235 11 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 2 projected project VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 3 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 4 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 5 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 6 occur occur VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 7 around around IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 9 end end NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 11 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 12 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 13 early early JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 14 June June NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 15 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 17 present present JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 18 trend trend NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 19 continues continue VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 20 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 21 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 22 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 23 remain remain VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 24 enforced enforce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 25 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 26 places place NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 28 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 29 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 30 5C-5D 5c-5d CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 236 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 3 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 4 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 5 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 6 West West NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 7 Bengal Bengal NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 10 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 11 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 12 curves curve NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 13 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 14 yet yet RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 15 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 16 attain attain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 17 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 18 respective respective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 19 peaks peak NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 21 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 23 6A-6D 6a-6d CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 237 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 2 first first JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 3 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 4 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 5 these these DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 6 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 7 were be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 8 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 9 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 10 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 11 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 12 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 13 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 14 17 17 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 15 respectively respectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 238 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 2 peaks peak NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 3 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 4 projected project VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 5 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 6 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 7 reached reach VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 8 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 10 end end NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 12 June June NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 13 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 14 mid mid NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 15 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 16 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 17 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 18 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 239 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 240 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 240 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 240 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 240 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 240 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 240 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 241 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 242 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 1 July July NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 2 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 3 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 4 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 5 West West NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 6 Bengal Bengal NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 7 respectively respectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 9 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 11 enforced enforce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 13 remains remain VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 14 deployed deploy VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 15 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 17 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 18 trend trend NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 19 continues continue VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 21 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 23 6B 6b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 24 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 25 6D 6D NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 243 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 3 important important JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 4 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 5 note note VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 6 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 9 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 11 Maharashtra Maharashtra NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 13 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 14 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 15 West West NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 16 Bengal Bengal NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 19 estimated estimate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 20 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 21 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 22 plummets plummet VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 23 down down RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 24 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 25 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 26 > > XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 27 1.0 1.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 28 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 29 even even RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 30 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 31 staying stay VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 32 months month NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 33 under under IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 34 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 244 35 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 1 Among among IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 3 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 4 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 6 analyzed analyze VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 8 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 9 turns turn VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 10 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 11 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 12 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 14 only only JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 15 exception exception NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 16 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 18 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 19 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 20 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 21 reduces reduce VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 22 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 23 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 24 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 25 < < XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 26 < < XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 27 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 28 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 29 meaning mean VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 30 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 31 further further RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 32 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 33 out out IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 34 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 35 ofbound ofbound NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 36 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 37 spreading spreading NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 38 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 39 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 40 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 41 occur occur VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 42 there there RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 43 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 44 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 45 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 46 trend trend NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 47 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 48 followed follow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 245 49 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 246 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 246 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 246 3 evident evident JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 246 4 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 246 5 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 246 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 1 7A-7D 7a-7d CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 2 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 3 S1A s1a NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 5 both both CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 6 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 7 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 8 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 9 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 10 have have VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 11 moved move VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 12 past past IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 14 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 15 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 247 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 2 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 3 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 5 decreasing decrease VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 6 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 7 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 8 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 9 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 10 those those DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 11 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 248 12 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 2 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 3 fit fit JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 4 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 5 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 6 data data NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 8 obtained obtain VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 9 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 11 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 12 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 13 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 14 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 15 3.0 3.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 16 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 17 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 18 4.5 4.5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 19 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 20 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 21 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 22 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 23 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 24 respectively respectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 249 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 3 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 5 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 6 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 7 were be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 8 undertaken undertake VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 9 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 10 those those DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 11 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 14 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 15 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 17 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 18 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 19 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 21 reduced reduce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 22 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 23 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 24 20 20 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 25 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 26 25 25 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 27 % % NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 28 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 29 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 30 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 31 values value NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 32 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 33 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 34 respective respective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 35 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 37 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 38 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 39 7B,7D 7b,7d CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 250 41 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 2 observation observation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 4 suggests suggest VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 5 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 7 counter counter NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 8 - - NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 9 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 10 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 11 fight fight VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 15 e.g e.g IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 16 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 17 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 18 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 19 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 20 dis dis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 21 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 22 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 23 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 24 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 251 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 252 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 252 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 252 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 252 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 252 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 252 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 253 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 254 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 255 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 255 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 255 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 2 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 3 tancing tancing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 5 quarantining quarantine VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 7 testing testing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 9 etc etc FW cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 10 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 13 undertaken undertake VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 14 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 15 these these DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 16 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 18 were be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 19 reasonably reasonably RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 20 successful successful JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 21 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 22 repressing repress VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 24 outspread outspread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 256 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 4 reduction reduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 6 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 7 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 8 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 9 20 20 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 10 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 11 25 25 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 12 % % NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 14 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 15 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 16 values value NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 18 rescales rescale VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 20 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 21 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 22 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 24 respective respective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 25 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 26 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 27 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 28 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 29 < < XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 30 1.0 1.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 31 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 32 alludes allude VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 33 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 34 new new JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 35 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 36 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 37 declining decline VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 38 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 39 any any DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 40 more more RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 41 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 42 out out IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 43 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 44 of of RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 45 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 46 bound bind VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 47 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 48 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 49 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 50 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 51 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 52 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 53 occur occur VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 54 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 55 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 56 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 57 trend trend NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 58 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 59 followed follow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 257 60 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 2 analyzed analyze VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 3 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 4 progression progression NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 5 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 6 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 7 two two CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 8 more more JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 9 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 10 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 11 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 12 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 13 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 15 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 17 8A-8D 8a-8d CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 258 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 2 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 3 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 4 approaching approach VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 6 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 7 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 8 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 9 will will MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 10 reach reach VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 11 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 12 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 13 shortly shortly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 14 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 16 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 17 trend trend NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 259 18 continues continue VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 260 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 260 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 260 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 260 4 8B 8b NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 260 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 260 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 3 contrary contrary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 4 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 6 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 8 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 9 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 10 already already RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 11 passed pass VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 13 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 14 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 15 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 17 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 18 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 19 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 20 decreasing decrease VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 21 gradually gradually RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 23 Fig fig NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 25 8D 8D NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 261 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 1 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 2 imposed impose VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 3 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 4 nation nation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 5 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 6 wide wide JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 7 lock lock NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 8 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 9 down down NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 10 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 11 March March NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 12 14 14 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 262 13 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 1 Model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 2 analysis analysis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 4 fitting fitting JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 5 parameter parameter NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 6 optimization optimization NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 8 suggests suggest VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 9 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 11 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 12 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 14 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 15 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 16 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 18 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 19 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 20 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 21 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 22 reduced reduce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 23 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 24 25 25 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 25 % % NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 26 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 27 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 28 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 29 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 263 30 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 1 But but CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 2 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 4 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 7 reduction reduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 9 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 10 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 11 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 12 only only RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 13 ∼ ∼ CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 14 42 42 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 15 % % NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 16 meaning meaning NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 17 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 19 implementation implementation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 20 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 21 local local JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 22 containments containment NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 23 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 24 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 25 that that RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 26 stringent stringent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 264 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 1 Contrary contrary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 2 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 4 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 5 curves curve VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 6 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 7 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 8 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 9 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 10 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 12 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 14 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 15 . . NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 16 7 7 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 17 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 18 8 8 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 20 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 21 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 22 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 23 yet yet RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 24 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 25 reach reach VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 26 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 27 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 28 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 30 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 31 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 32 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 33 about about JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 34 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 35 reach reach VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 36 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 37 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 38 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 265 40 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 2 following follow VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 3 remarks remark NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 4 briefly briefly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 5 summarize summarize VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 6 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 7 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 8 stands stand VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 9 compared compare VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 10 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 11 these these DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 12 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 266 13 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 267 1 1 1 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 267 2 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 2 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 3 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 4 during during IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 6 present present JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 9 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 10 indicates indicate VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 11 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 13 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 14 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 15 might may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 16 reach reach VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 18 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 19 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 21 end end NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 22 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 23 June June NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 25 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 26 . . NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 27 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 268 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 269 1 whereas whereas IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 269 2 Ger Ger NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 269 3 - - : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 269 4 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 269 5 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 269 6 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 269 7 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 270 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 270 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 270 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 270 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 270 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 270 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 271 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 272 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 1 many many JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 3 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 4 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 6 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 7 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 8 have have VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 9 already already RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 10 moved move VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 11 past past IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 13 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 14 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 15 daily daily JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 16 new new JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 17 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 18 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 19 decreasing decrease VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 21 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 273 23 _SP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 274 1 7 7 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 274 2 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 274 3 8 8 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 274 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 274 5 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 275 1 2 2 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 275 2 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 1 Since since IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 2 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 3 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 4 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 5 large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 6 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 9 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 11 expected expect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 12 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 13 stay stay VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 14 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 15 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 16 longer long JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 17 duration duration NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 276 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 1 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 3 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 4 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 6 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 7 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 8 might may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 9 have have VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 11 advantage advantage NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 13 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 14 smaller small JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 15 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 16 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 18 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 277 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 2 allude allude VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 3 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 5 higher high JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 7 actual actual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 8 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 10 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 11 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 14 higher high JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 15 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 16 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 18 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 19 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 20 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 22 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 23 pool pool NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 24 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 25 that that DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 26 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 27 while while IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 28 making make VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 29 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 30 previous previous JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 31 statement statement NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 278 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 2 key key NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 3 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 4 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 5 contain contain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 7 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 9 small small JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 10 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 11 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 12 prevent prevent VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 13 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 14 between between IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 16 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 17 non non JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 18 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 19 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 20 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 279 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 280 1 3 3 LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 280 2 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 2 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 3 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 5 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 6 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 7 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 8 Germany Germany NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 10 South South NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 11 Korea Korea NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 13 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 14 Spain Spain NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 15 were be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 16 greater great JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 17 than than IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 18 that that DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 19 experi experi NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 20 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 21 enced ence VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 22 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 23 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 24 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 25 gave give VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 26 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 27 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 28 additional additional JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 29 advantage advantage NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 30 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 31 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 32 buying buy VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 33 precious precious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 34 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 35 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 281 36 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 1 Slow slow JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 2 growth growth NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 3 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 4 alludes allude VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 5 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 6 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 7 smaller small JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 8 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 9 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 10 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 12 zenith zenith NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 15 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 282 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 3 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 4 mentioned mention VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 5 earlier early RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 8 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 11 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 12 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 13 subjected subject VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 14 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 16 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 17 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 18 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 20 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 21 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 22 pool pool NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 24 S s NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 25 0 0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 283 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 1 For for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 2 better well JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 3 clarity clarity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 4 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 5 wider wide JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 6 accessibility accessibility NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 7 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 8 general general JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 9 readers reader NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 12 discuss discuss VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 13 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 14 summarize summarize VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 16 important important JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 17 observations observation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 18 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 19 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 20 study study NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 21 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 22 Q&A Q&A NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 23 form form NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 24 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 25 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 26 following following NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 27 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 28 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 29 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 30 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 284 31 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 285 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 285 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 285 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 285 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 285 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 285 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 286 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 287 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 288 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 288 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 288 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 289 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 289 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 290 1 How how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 290 2 accurate accurate JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 290 3 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 290 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 290 5 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 290 6 predictions prediction NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 290 7 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 2 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 3 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 5 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 6 drastically drastically RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 7 simplified simplify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 8 approach approach NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 9 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 10 thoroughly thoroughly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 11 understand understand VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 13 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 15 COVID COVID NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 16 19 19 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 291 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 1 From from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 3 available available JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 4 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 6 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 8 now now RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 9 clear clear JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 10 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 11 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 13 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 14 goes go VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 15 through through IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 16 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 17 latent latent JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 18 period period NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 19 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 20 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 21 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 22 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 23 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 24 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 25 coming come VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 27 contact contact NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 28 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 29 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 30 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 31 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 292 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 1 Subsequently subsequently RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 4 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 5 remains remain VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 7 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 8 several several JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 9 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 11 ∼5 ∼5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 12 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 293 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 2 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 3 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 4 may may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 5 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 6 may may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 7 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 8 develop develop VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 9 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 294 10 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 2 current current JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 3 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 4 does do VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 5 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 6 incorporate incorporate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 7 any any DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 9 these these DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 10 de de NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 11 - - NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 12 tails tail NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 13 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 14 hence hence RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 15 fitting fitting JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 16 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 17 imperfect imperfect JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 295 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 3 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 4 used use VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 5 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 6 fit fit VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 7 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 9 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 10 also also RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 11 vary vary VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 12 between between IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 13 different different JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 14 locations location NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 15 leading lead VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 16 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 17 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 18 predictions prediction NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 296 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 1 How how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 2 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 3 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 5 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 6 predictions prediction NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 7 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 8 parameter parameter VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 9 variations variation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 297 10 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 2 investigated investigate VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 4 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 7 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 8 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 9 parameter parameter NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 10 variations variation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 12 focusing focus VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 13 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 14 particular particular JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 15 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 17 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 18 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 19 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 20 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 298 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 299 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 299 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 299 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 299 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 299 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 299 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 300 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 301 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 302 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 302 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 302 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 303 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 303 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 1 To to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 2 investigate investigate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 4 universality universality NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 5 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 8 outspread outspread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 9 across across IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 10 different different JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 11 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 14 looked look VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 15 into into IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 16 iterative iterative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 17 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 18 lag lag NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 19 maps map NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 20 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 22 cumulative cumulative NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 23 confirmed confirm VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 24 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 26 C C NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 27 = = SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 28 I+R+D I+R+D NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 30 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 31 recovered recover VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 33 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 35 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 36 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 37 dead dead JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 39 D d NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 41 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 42 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 43 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 44 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 304 45 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 1 Using use VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 3 iterative iterative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 4 maps map NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 7 try try VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 8 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 9 extract extract VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 11 correlation correlation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 12 between between IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 13 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 14 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 15 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 17 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 18 n n NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 19 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 20 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 21 n n CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 22 + + SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 23 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 305 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 1 From from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 3 recurrence recurrence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 4 plots plot NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 6 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 7 count count VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 8 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 9 n n XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 10 th th DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 11 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 12 vs vs IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 13 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 14 count count VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 15 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 17 n n NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 18 + + SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 19 1 1 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 21 th th DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 22 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 24 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 25 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 306 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 307 1 S2 S2 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 307 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 307 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 307 4 ob- ob- VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 308 1 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 308 2 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 308 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 308 4 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 309 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 309 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 309 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 309 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 309 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 309 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 310 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 311 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 312 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 312 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 312 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 2 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 3 serve serve VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 6 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 7 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 8 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 9 all all PDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 11 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 12 follow follow VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 14 same same JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 15 power power NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 16 law law NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 17 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 19 following following JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 20 kind kind NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 313 21 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 314 1 f f LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 314 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 314 3 x x NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 314 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 314 5 = = NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 315 1 ax ax NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 315 2 b b NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 315 3 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 2 factor factor NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 3 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 4 exponent exponent NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 5 a a NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 6 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 7 b b NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 8 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 9 similar similar JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 10 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 11 all all PDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 13 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 14 considered consider VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 15 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 17 plots plot NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 316 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 2 finding finding NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 3 indicates indicate VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 5 there there EX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 6 exists exist VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 7 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 8 underlying underlying JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 9 universality universality NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 10 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 12 outspread outspread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 16 across across IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 17 various various JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 18 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 317 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 1 Rapid rapid JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 2 lifting lifting NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 3 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 5 local local JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 6 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 7 paves pave VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 9 way way NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 10 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 11 inter inter JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 12 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 13 mingling mingle VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 14 between between IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 15 regions region NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 16 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 17 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 18 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 19 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 21 green green JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 23 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 24 regions region NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 25 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 26 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 27 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 28 found find VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 29 lately lately RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 31 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 318 33 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 3 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 4 turn turn NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 6 results result NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 7 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 8 rapid rapid JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 9 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 12 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 13 across across IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 14 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 16 all all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 17 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 18 becoming become VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 19 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 22 rendering render VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 24 purpose purpose NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 25 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 26 preceding precede VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 27 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 28 futile futile JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 319 29 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 1 On on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 3 contrary contrary NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 5 initially initially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 8 partial partial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 9 lifting lifting NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 11 local local JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 12 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 13 only only RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 14 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 16 green green JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 17 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 18 bars bar VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 20 import import NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 21 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 22 transmissions transmission NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 23 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 24 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 25 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 320 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 1 When when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 2 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 3 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 4 zone zone NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 5 becomes become VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 6 green green JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 9 local local JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 10 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 11 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 12 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 13 lifted lift VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 14 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 15 that that DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 16 region region NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 321 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 1 Due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 2 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 4 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 6 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 7 gradual gradual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 8 lifting lifting NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 11 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 12 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 13 diminish diminish VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 14 over over IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 15 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 17 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 18 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 19 greens green NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 20 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 21 taking take VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 22 over over RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 24 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 25 reds red NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 26 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 322 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 323 1 How how WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 323 2 effective effective JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 323 3 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 323 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 323 5 quarantine quarantine NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 323 6 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 323 7 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 1 Can Can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 2 quarantining quarantine VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 3 single single RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 4 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 5 handedly handedly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 6 contain contain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 8 transmission transmission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 324 9 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 1 A a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 2 common common JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 3 perception perception NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 5 flu flu NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 6 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 7 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 9 diseases disease NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 11 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 12 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 13 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 14 individual individual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 15 spreads spread VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 16 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 17 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 18 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 19 appear appear VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 325 20 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 3 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 5 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 6 flu flu NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 8 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 9 mostly mostly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 10 occurs occur VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 11 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 12 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 13 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 14 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 15 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 17 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 326 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 3 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 5 understand understand VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 6 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 8 literature literature NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 9 survey survey NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 11 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 12 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 13 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 15 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 16 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 17 contagious contagious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 18 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 19 developing develop VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 20 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 327 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 2 incubation incubation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 3 period period NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 7 5 5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 8 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 10 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 11 maximum maximum JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 12 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 13 appears appear VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 14 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 15 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 16 2 2 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 17 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 18 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 19 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 20 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 22 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 23 appear appear VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 328 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 329 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 329 2 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 329 3 spread spread VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 329 4 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 329 5 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 329 6 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 329 7 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 329 8 maximum maximum JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 330 1 he/ he/ XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 1 she -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 2 becomes become VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 3 sick sick JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 5 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 7 14 14 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 331 9 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 1 Due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 2 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 3 limitations limitation NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 6 testing testing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 7 procedure procedure NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 8 diagnosis diagnosis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 9 takes take VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 10 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 11 5 5 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 12 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 13 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 14 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 15 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 16 visible visible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 17 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 18 i.e. i.e. FW cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 19 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 20 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 21 days day NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 22 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 24 day day NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 25 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 26 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 332 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 1 Clearly clearly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 3 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 5 average average NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 7 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 8 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 9 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 11 beyond beyond IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 13 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 15 maximum maximum JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 16 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 17 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 18 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 19 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 333 20 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 3 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 4 reduced reduce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 5 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 6 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 7 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 8 demands demand VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 9 early early JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 10 diagnosis diagnosis NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 11 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 12 isolation isolation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 14 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 15 patients patient NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 334 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 2 means mean VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 3 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 4 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 5 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 6 patient patient NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 7 needs need VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 8 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 9 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 10 identified identify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 11 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 13 pre pre JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 14 - - JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 16 stage stage NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 17 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 18 evidence evidence NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 19 suggests suggest VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 21 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 22 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 23 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 24 patient patient NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 25 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 26 developing develop VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 27 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 28 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 29 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 30 extremely extremely RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 31 challenging challenging JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 33 effectively effectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 34 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 35 RT RT NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 36 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 37 PCR PCR NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 38 needs need VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 39 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 40 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 41 carried carry VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 42 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 43 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 44 every every DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 45 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 46 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 47 might may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 48 have have VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 49 come come VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 50 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 51 contact contact NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 52 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 53 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 54 patient patient NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 55 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 335 56 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 2 epidemic epidemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 3 becomes become VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 4 even even RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 5 more more RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 6 complex complex JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 7 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 8 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 9 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 10 majority majority NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 13 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 14 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 15 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 16 develops develop VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 17 mild mild JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 18 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 19 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 20 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 22 14 14 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 23 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 24 15 15 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 336 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 2 even even RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 3 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 4 isolating isolate VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 5 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 6 quarantining quarantine VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 7 all all PDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 9 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 10 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 11 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 12 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 13 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 14 eliminated eliminate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 15 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 16 two two CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 17 reasons reason NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 18 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 19 a a LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 21 normally normally RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 22 an an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 23 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 24 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 25 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 26 tested test VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 27 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 28 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 29 appear appear VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 30 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 31 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 32 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 33 he -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 34 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 35 she -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 36 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 37 passed pass VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 38 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 39 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 40 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 41 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 42 contagiousness contagiousness NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 43 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 44 b b LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 46 asymptomatically asymptomatically RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 47 infected infect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 48 person person NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 49 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 50 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 51 general general JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 52 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 53 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 54 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 55 tested test VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 56 but but CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 57 he -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 58 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 59 she -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 60 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 61 also also RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 62 contagious contagious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 63 like like IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 64 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 65 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 66 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 337 67 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 1 Gradual gradual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 2 relaxation relaxation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 3 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 5 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 6 versus versus IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 7 extended extended JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 338 9 ? ? . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 1 Relaxing relax VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 3 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 4 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 5 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 6 have have VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 7 investigated investigate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 9 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 11 relaxing relax VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 13 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 14 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 15 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 16 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 17 different different JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 18 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 19 points point NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 20 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 21 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 23 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 25 9A-9D 9a-9d CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 339 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 2 find find VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 3 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 5 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 7 relaxed relax VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 8 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 10 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 11 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 12 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 13 reached reach VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 14 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 16 end end NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 17 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 18 June June NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 19 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 21 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 22 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 23 rise rise VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 24 rapidly rapidly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 25 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 26 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 27 great great JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 28 extent extent NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 30 Fig fig NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 31 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 32 9A 9a NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 340 34 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 2 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 3 height height NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 4 reduces reduce VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 6 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 8 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 9 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 10 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 11 relaxed relaxed JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 13 when when WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 15 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 16 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 17 close close JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 18 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 20 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 22 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 23 time time NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 24 point point NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 25 around around IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 26 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 27 3rd 3rd JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 28 week week NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 29 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 30 June June NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 32 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 33 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 34 9B 9b LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 341 36 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 1 However however RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 3 if if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 4 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 5 relaxation relaxation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 6 occurs occur VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 7 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 8 month month NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 9 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 11 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 12 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 13 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 14 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 15 second second JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 16 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 17 arrives arrive VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 18 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 19 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 20 lower low JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 21 than than IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 22 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 23 first first JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 24 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 25 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 26 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 28 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 29 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 30 9C 9c CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 342 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 1 A a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 2 third third JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 3 possibility possibility NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 5 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 6 gradually gradually RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 7 relax relax VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 9 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 10 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 11 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 12 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 13 17 17 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 343 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 3 shows show VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 5 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 6 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 7 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 9 original original JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 10 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 11 does do VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 12 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 13 shift shift VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 14 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 15 position position NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 16 but but CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 17 becomes become VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 18 two two CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 19 - - : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 20 fold fold VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 21 higher higher RBR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 22 than than IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 23 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 25 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 27 9D 9d CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 344 29 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 1 A a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 2 gradual gradual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 3 relaxation relaxation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 4 could could MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 5 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 6 carried carry VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 7 out out RP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 9 steps step NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 10 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 12 a a LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 345 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 1 First first RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 3 identify identify VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 4 all all PDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 6 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 8 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 10 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 11 safe safe JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 13 green green JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 15 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 16 having have VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 17 positive positive JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 18 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 19 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 20 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 21 respectively respectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 346 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 1 Smaller small JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 3 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 5 such such JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 6 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 7 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 8 easier easy JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 9 they -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 10 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 11 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 12 managed manage VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 13 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 15 administration administration NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 17 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 18 necessary necessary JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 19 supplies supply NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 20 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 21 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 22 arranged arrange VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 347 23 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 3 important important JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 4 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 5 seal seal VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 7 boundary boundary NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 10 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 11 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 348 12 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 2 b b LS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 4 Test test VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 5 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 6 new new JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 7 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 8 carrying carry VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 9 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 10 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 11 randomly randomly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 12 test test VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 13 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 14 few few JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 15 having have VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 16 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 17 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 349 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 2 c c NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 4 Dissolve dissolve VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 6 boundary boundary NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 7 between between IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 8 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 9 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 10 neighboring neighbor VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 11 green green JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 12 zones zone NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 13 once once IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 14 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 15 red red JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 16 zone zone NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 17 does do VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 18 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 19 report report VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 21 case case NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 22 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 23 two two CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 24 weeks week NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 350 25 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 2 process process NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 3 will will MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 4 increase increase VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 6 size size NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 9 green green JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 10 zone zone NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 11 where where WRB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 12 more more JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 13 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 14 more more JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 15 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 16 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 17 communicate communicate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 18 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 19 business business NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 20 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 21 restart restart VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 351 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 1 Successively successively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 2 extending extend VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 4 relaxation relaxation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 5 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 7 local local JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 8 neighborhood neighborhood NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 9 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 11 cities city NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 13 districts district NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 15 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 16 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 18 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 19 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 20 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 21 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 22 relaxed relax VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 23 across across IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 25 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 352 26 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 3 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 4 distancing distancing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 5 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 6 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 7 even even RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 8 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 10 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 11 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 12 officially officially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 13 lifted lift VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 14 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 15 there there EX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 16 might may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 17 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 18 many many JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 19 undetected undetected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 20 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 21 that that WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 22 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 23 trigger trigger VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 25 spread spread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 26 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 28 disease disease NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 29 again again RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 353 30 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 354 1 A a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 354 2 schematic schematic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 354 3 diagram diagram NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 354 4 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 354 5 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 354 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 1 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 2 summarizes summarize VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 4 above above RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 5 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 6 mentioned mention VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 7 steps step NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 9 relaxation relaxation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 10 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 12 consequential consequential JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 13 aftermaths aftermath NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 15 pictorially pictorially RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 355 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 2 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 3 nutshell nutshell NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 4 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 5 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 6 too too RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 7 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 8 early early RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 9 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 10 lifting lifting NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 12 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 13 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 15 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 16 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 17 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 356 18 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 357 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 357 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 357 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 357 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 357 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 357 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 358 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 359 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 360 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 360 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 360 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 2 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 3 long long RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 4 before before IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 5 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 6 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 7 reached reach VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 8 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 9 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 10 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 11 makes make VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 13 purpose purpose NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 16 ' ' `` cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 17 null null NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 18 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 19 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 20 - - HYPH cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 21 void void NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 22 ' ' '' cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 361 23 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 2 reduced reduce VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 3 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 4 rate rate NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 5 β β NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 6 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 7 again again RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 8 starts start VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 9 increasing increase VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 10 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 11 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 12 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 13 value value NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 14 yielding yield VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 15 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 16 larger large JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 17 R r NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 18 e e NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 19 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 20 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 21 outspread outspread NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 362 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 2 model model NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 3 projects project VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 4 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 5 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 6 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 7 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 8 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 9 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 11 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 12 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 13 active active JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 14 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 15 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 16 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 17 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 18 80,000 80,000 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 19 -140,000 -140,000 NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 20 at at IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 22 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 23 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 24 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 25 expected expect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 26 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 27 appear appear VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 28 sometime sometime RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 29 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 30 mid mid NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 31 - - NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 32 June June NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 34 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 35 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 36 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 363 38 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 1 Note note VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 2 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 4 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 5 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 6 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 8 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 10 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 11 populations population NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 12 decreases decrease VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 13 drastically drastically RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 14 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 15 only only RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 16 several several JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 17 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 18 while while IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 20 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 21 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 22 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 23 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 24 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 25 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 26 1.35 1.35 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 27 billion billion CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 364 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 1 If if IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 4 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 5 suddenly suddenly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 6 relaxed relax VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 7 locally locally RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 8 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 9 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 10 17 17 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 12 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 13 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 14 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 15 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 16 rise rise VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 17 sharply sharply RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 18 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 19 0.3 0.3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 20 -0.4 -0.4 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 21 million million CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 23 Fig Fig NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 25 9A 9a NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 365 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 1 Note note VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 2 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 3 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 4 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 5 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 8 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 9 altering alter VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 10 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 11 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 12 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 13 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 14 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 15 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 16 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 17 −3 −3 NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 18 times time NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 19 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 20 actual actual JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 21 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 22 observed observe VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 23 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 24 many many JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 25 large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 26 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 366 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 2 remaining remain VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 3 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 4 considered consider VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 5 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 6 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 7 shielded shield VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 8 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 10 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 11 due due IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 12 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 13 containment containment NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 14 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 15 demographic demographic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 16 segregation segregation NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 367 17 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 1 In in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 2 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 3 event event NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 5 complete complete JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 6 mixing mixing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 7 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 9 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 12 entire entire JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 13 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 16 peak peak NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 17 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 18 might may MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 19 see see VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 21 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 22 3 3 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 23 fold fold NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 24 rise rise NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 25 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 26 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 27 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 28 challenging challenging JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 29 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 30 any any DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 31 health health NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 32 care care NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 33 system system NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 368 34 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 3 social social JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 4 distancing distancing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 5 measures measure NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 6 must must MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 7 remain remain VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 8 unless unless IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 9 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 10 infectious infectious JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 11 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 12 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 13 drastically drastically RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 14 removed remove VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 369 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 1 An an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 2 important important JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 3 aspect aspect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 4 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 6 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 8 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 10 patients patient NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 11 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 12 do do VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 13 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 14 develop develop VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 15 any any DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 16 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 18 Fig fig NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 20 1B 1b CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 370 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 1 This this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 2 means mean VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 3 they -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 4 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 5 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 6 infecting infect VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 7 healthy healthy JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 8 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 9 unknowingly unknowingly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 371 10 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 1 According accord VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 2 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 4 WHO WHO NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 5 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 6 Indian Indian NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 7 Council Council NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 9 Medical Medical NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 10 Research Research NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 12 ICMR ICMR NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 15 as as RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 16 much much JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 17 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 18 80 80 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 19 % % NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 20 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 21 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 22 infected infected JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 23 individual individual NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 24 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 25 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 26 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 372 27 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 1 Thus thus RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 2 all all PDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 4 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 5 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 6 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 7 so so RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 8 far far RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 10 contributes contribute VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 11 only only RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 12 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 13 20 20 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 14 % % NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 15 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 16 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 17 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 18 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 373 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 1 Going go VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 2 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 4 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 5 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 6 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 7 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 8 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 9 61,356 61,356 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 10 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 11 on on IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 12 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 13 9 9 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 14 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 15 almost almost RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 16 all all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 17 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 18 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 19 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 20 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 21 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 22 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 23 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 24 correspond correspond VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 25 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 26 about about IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 27 245,424 245,424 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 28 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 29 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 30 also also RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 31 had have VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 32 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 33 virus virus NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 34 but but CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 35 did do VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 36 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 37 show show VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 38 any any DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 39 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 374 40 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 1 Together together RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 3 about about RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 4 306,780 306,780 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 5 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 6 have have VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 7 actually actually RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 8 been be VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 9 infected infect VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 10 so so RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 11 far far RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 12 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 13 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 14 carrying carry VBG cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 15 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 16 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 17 no no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 18 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 375 19 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 4 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 6 people people NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 7 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 8 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 9 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 10 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 11 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 12 still still RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 13 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 14 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 16 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 17 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 18 sim sim NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 19 1.37 1.37 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 20 billion billion CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 376 21 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 1 One one PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 2 can can MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 3 realize realize VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 4 that that DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 5 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 6 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 7 nearly nearly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 8 50,000 50,000 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 9 active active JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 10 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 12 free free JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 13 mixing mixing NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 14 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 15 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 16 countrywide countrywide JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 17 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 18 after after IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 19 17 17 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 20 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 21 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 22 cause cause VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 23 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 24 huge huge JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 25 surge surge NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 27 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 28 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 29 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 30 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 31 infections infection NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 32 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 33 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 34 nearly nearly RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 35 impossible impossible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 36 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 37 manage manage VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 38 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 39 any any DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 40 health health NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 41 care care NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 42 system system NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 377 43 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 2 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 3 noteworthy noteworthy JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 4 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 5 mention mention VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 6 that that IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 8 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 9 number number NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 10 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 11 cases case NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 12 reported report VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 13 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 14 all all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 15 over over IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 16 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 17 as as RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 18 well well RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 19 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 20 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 21 various various JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 22 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 23 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 24 are be VBP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 25 negligible negligible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 26 compared compare VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 27 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 28 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 29 total total JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 30 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 31 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 32 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 33 country country NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 34 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 35 states state NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 36 respectively respectively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 378 37 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 1 Besides besides RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 2 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 3 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 4 severity severity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 5 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 7 infection infection NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 8 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 9 symptoms symptom NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 11 relatively relatively RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 12 less less JJR cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 13 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 14 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 15 than than IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 16 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 17 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 18 USA USA NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 19 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 20 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 21 large large JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 22 European european JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 23 countries country NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 379 24 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 1 Whether whether IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 3 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 4 due due JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 5 to to IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 7 effect effect NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 8 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 9 hot hot JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 10 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 11 humid humid JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 12 weather weather NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 13 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 14 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 15 or or CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 16 other other JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 17 meteorological meteorological JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 18 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 19 such such JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 20 as as IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 21 high high JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 22 UV uv NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 23 index index NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 24 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 25 future future JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 26 research research NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 27 would would MD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 28 be be VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 29 able able JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 30 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 31 evaluate evaluate VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 32 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 380 33 _SP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 1 initial initial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 2 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 3 population population NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 4 1.0 1.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 5 - - SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 6 3.0 3.0 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 7 × × NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 8 10 10 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 9 6 6 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 10 TABLE table NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 11 S1 s1 NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 381 12 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 1 List list NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 2 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 4 chosen choose VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 5 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 6 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 7 best good JJS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 8 fit fit NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 9 with with IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 10 real real JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 11 data datum NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 12 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 13 Indian indian JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 14 context context NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 382 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 383 1 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 383 2 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 383 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 383 4 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 384 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 384 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 384 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 384 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 384 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 384 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 385 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 386 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 387 1 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 387 2 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 387 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 387 4 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 388 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 388 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 388 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 388 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 388 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 388 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 389 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 390 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 391 1 All all DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 391 2 rights right NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 391 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 391 4 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 392 1 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 392 2 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 392 3 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 392 4 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 392 5 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 392 6 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 393 28 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 1 The the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 2 copyright copyright NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 3 holder holder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 5 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 6 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 7 this this DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 8 version version NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 9 posted post VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 10 May May NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 11 13 13 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 12 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 13 2020 2020 CD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 14 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 394 15 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 395 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098681 VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 395 2 doi doi XX cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 395 3 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 2 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 3 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 4 Models Models NNPS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 5 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 6 Epidemiology Epidemiology NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 7 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 8 Modelling modelling NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 396 9 : : : cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 397 1 An an DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 397 2 Introduction introduction NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 397 3 No no DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 397 4 reuse reuse NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 397 5 allowed allow VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 397 6 without without IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 397 7 permission permission NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 397 8 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 2 which which WDT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 3 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 4 not not RB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 5 certified certify VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 6 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 7 peer peer NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 8 review review NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 10 is be VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 11 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 12 author author NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 13 / / SYM cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 14 funder funder NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 16 who who WP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 17 has have VBZ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 18 granted grant VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 20 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 21 license license NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 22 to to TO cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 23 display display VB cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 24 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 25 preprint preprint NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 398 26 in in IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 1 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 2 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 3 S.C. South Carolina NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 4 * * NFP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 5 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 6 A.S. A.S. NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 7 were be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 8 supported support VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 9 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 10 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 11 fellowship fellowship NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 12 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 13 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 14 University University NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 15 Grants Grants NNPS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 16 Commission Commission NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 18 UGC UGC NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 20 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 21 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 399 22 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 1 M.K. M.K. NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 2 was be VBD cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 3 supported support VBN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 4 by by IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 5 a a DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 6 fellowship fellowship NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 7 from from IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 8 CSIR CSIR NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 9 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 10 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 400 11 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 1 S.C. South Carolina NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 2 ‡ ‡ NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 3 thanks thank NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 4 Indian Indian NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 5 Association Association NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 6 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 7 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 8 Cultivation Cultivation NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 9 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 10 Science Science NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 11 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 12 Kolkata Kolkata NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 13 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 14 financial financial JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 15 support support NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 401 16 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 1 R.P. R.P. NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 2 thanks thank NNS cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 3 IACS IACS NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 4 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 5 support support NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 6 and and CC cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 7 Grant Grant NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 8 No No NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 9 . . . cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 10 EMR/2017/001346 EMR/2017/001346 NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 11 of of IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 12 SERB SERB NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 13 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 14 DST DST NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 15 , , , cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 16 India India NNP cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 17 for for IN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 18 the the DT cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 19 computational computational JJ cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 20 facility facility NN cord-265027-kvtqpgqq 402 21 . . .