id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-282275-catapr59	1	1	key	key	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	1	2	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	2	1	cord-282275-catapr59	cord-282275-catapr59	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	2	2	authors	author	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	2	3	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	2	4	Baruah	Baruah	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	2	5	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	2	6	H.	H.	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	2	7	K.	K.	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	2	8	title	title	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	2	9	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	3	1	The	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	3	2	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	4	1	Spread	spread	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	4	2	Patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	4	3	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	4	4	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	4	5	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	4	6	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	4	7	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	5	1	A	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	5	2	Comparison	comparison	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	5	3	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	5	4	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	5	5	Current	current	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	5	6	Situations	Situations	NNPS
cord-282275-catapr59	5	7	date	date	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	5	8	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	5	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	5	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	5	11	06	06	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	5	12	-	-	SYM
cord-282275-catapr59	5	13	23	23	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	5	14	journal	journal	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	5	15	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	5	16	nan	nan	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	5	17	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	5	18	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	6	1	10.1101/2020.06.21.20136630	10.1101/2020.06.21.20136630	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	7	1	sha	sha	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	7	2	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	7	3	8e4763e762dbd4a0090ae32791b78a516e899ddd	8e4763e762dbd4a0090ae32791b78a516e899ddd	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	7	4	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	7	5	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	8	1	282275	282275	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	8	2	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	8	3	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	9	1	catapr59	catapr59	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	9	2	Epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	9	3	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	9	4	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	9	5	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	9	6	time	time	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	9	7	series	series	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	9	8	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	9	9	can	can	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	9	10	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	9	11	used	use	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	9	12	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	9	13	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	9	14	about	about	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	9	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	9	16	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	9	17	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	9	18	an	an	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	9	19	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	9	20	disease	disease	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	9	21	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	10	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	2	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	10	3	article	article	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	4	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	10	5	without	without	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	6	using	use	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	10	7	such	such	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	10	8	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	10	9	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	10	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	10	11	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	10	12	going	go	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	10	13	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	10	14	show	show	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	10	15	how	how	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	10	16	exactly	exactly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	10	17	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	10	18	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	19	evolves	evolve	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	10	20	day	day	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	21	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	22	day	day	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	23	once	once	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	10	24	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	10	25	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	10	27	seen	see	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	28	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	10	29	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	10	30	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	10	31	followed	follow	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	32	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	10	33	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	10	34	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	10	35	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	11	1	Although	although	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	2	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	3	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	11	4	as	as	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	11	5	well	well	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	11	6	as	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	7	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	8	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	11	9	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	11	10	novel	novel	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	11	11	corona	corona	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	12	virus	virus	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	13	appeared	appear	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	11	14	on	on	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	11	16	same	same	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	11	17	day	day	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	18	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	11	19	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	20	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	11	21	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	11	22	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	11	24	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	11	25	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	11	26	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	27	now	now	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	11	28	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	11	29	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	11	30	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	11	31	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	11	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	11	33	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	11	34	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	11	35	even	even	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	11	36	now	now	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	11	37	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	12	1	Various	various	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	12	2	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	12	3	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	12	4	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	12	5	study	study	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	12	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	12	7	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	12	8	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	12	9	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	12	10	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	12	11	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	12	12	available	available	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	12	13	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	12	14	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	12	15	literature	literature	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	12	16	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	13	1	Meyers	Meyers	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	13	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	13	3	1	1	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	13	4	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	13	5	studied	study	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	13	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	13	7	use	use	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	13	8	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	13	9	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	13	10	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	13	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	13	12	Infected	Infected	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	13	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	13	14	Recovered	recovered	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	13	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	13	16	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	13	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	13	18	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	13	19	for	for	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	13	20	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	13	21	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	13	22	affecting	affect	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	13	23	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	13	24	small	small	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	13	25	region	region	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	13	26	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	14	1	Kamp	Kamp	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	14	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	14	3	2	2	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	14	4	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	14	5	concluded	conclude	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	14	6	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	14	7	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	14	8	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	14	9	network	network	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	14	10	strongly	strongly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	14	11	influences	influence	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	14	12	speed	speed	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	14	13	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	14	14	range	range	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	14	15	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	14	16	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	14	17	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	14	18	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	14	19	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	15	1	Liu	Liu	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	15	2	et	et	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	15	3	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	16	1	al	al	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	16	2	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	17	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	17	2	3	3	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	17	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	17	4	studied	study	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	17	5	theoretically	theoretically	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	17	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	17	7	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	17	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	17	9	Infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	17	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	17	11	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	17	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	17	13	SIS	SIS	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	17	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	17	15	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	17	16	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	17	17	using	use	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	17	18	time	time	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	17	19	delays	delay	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	17	20	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	17	21	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	17	22	thresholds	threshold	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	17	23	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	18	1	Majeed	Majeed	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	18	2	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	18	3	Shawka	Shawka	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	18	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	18	5	4	4	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	18	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	18	7	studied	study	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	18	8	mathematically	mathematically	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	18	9	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	18	10	SIS	SIS	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	18	11	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	18	12	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	18	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	18	14	growth	growth	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	18	15	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	19	1	Wu	Wu	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	19	2	et	et	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	19	3	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	20	1	al	al	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	20	2	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	21	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	21	2	5	5	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	21	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	21	4	used	use	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	21	5	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	21	6	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	21	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	21	8	Exposed	exposed	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	21	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	21	10	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	21	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	21	12	Recovered	recovered	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	21	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	21	14	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	21	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	21	16	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	21	17	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	21	18	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	21	19	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	21	20	study	study	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	21	21	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	21	22	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	21	23	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	21	24	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	21	25	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	22	1	Recently	recently	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	22	2	Grant	Grant	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	22	3	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	22	4	6	6	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	22	5	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	22	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	22	7	shown	show	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	8	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	9	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	10	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	11	does	do	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	22	12	not	not	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	22	13	work	work	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	22	14	properly	properly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	22	15	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	16	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	22	17	case	case	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	18	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	19	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	22	20	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	21	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	22	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	22	23	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	23	1	There	there	EX
cord-282275-catapr59	23	2	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	23	3	certain	certain	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	23	4	other	other	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	23	5	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	23	6	too	too	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	23	7	such	such	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	23	8	as	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	23	9	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	23	10	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	23	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	23	12	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	23	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	23	14	Recovered	recover	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	23	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	23	16	Dead	Dead	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	23	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	23	18	SIRD	SIRD	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	23	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	23	20	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	23	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	23	22	7	7	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	23	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	23	24	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	24	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	24	2	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	24	3	quite	quite	PDT
cord-282275-catapr59	24	4	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	24	5	few	few	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	24	6	more	more	JJR
cord-282275-catapr59	24	7	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	24	8	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	24	9	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	24	10	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	24	11	use	use	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	24	12	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	24	13	study	study	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	24	14	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	24	15	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	24	16	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	24	17	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	24	18	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	24	19	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	25	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	25	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	25	3	been	be	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	25	4	seen	see	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	25	5	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	25	6	some	some	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	25	7	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	25	8	do	do	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	25	9	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	25	10	about	about	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	25	11	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	25	12	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	25	13	very	very	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	25	14	nicely	nicely	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	25	15	while	while	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	25	16	some	some	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	25	17	others	other	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	25	18	have	have	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	25	19	not	not	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	25	20	been	be	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	25	21	very	very	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	25	22	successful	successful	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	25	23	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	26	1	Time	Time	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	26	2	series	series	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	3	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	26	4	using	use	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	26	5	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	26	6	auto	auto	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	26	8	regressive	regressive	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	26	9	integrated	integrate	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	10	moving	move	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	26	11	average	average	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	26	13	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	26	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	26	15	method	method	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	16	have	have	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	26	17	also	also	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	26	18	been	be	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	19	used	use	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	20	successfully	successfully	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	26	21	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	22	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	26	23	few	few	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	26	24	authors	author	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	26	25	for	for	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	26	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	26	27	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	26	28	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	26	29	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	30	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	26	31	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	26	32	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	27	1	Poonia	Poonia	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	27	2	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	27	3	Azad	Azad	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	27	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	27	5	8	8	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	27	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	27	7	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	27	8	Azad	Azad	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	27	9	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	27	10	Poonia	Poonia	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	27	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	27	12	9	9	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	27	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	27	14	studied	study	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	27	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	27	16	situation	situation	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	27	17	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	27	18	two	two	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	27	19	phases	phase	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	27	20	using	use	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	27	21	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	27	22	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	27	23	method	method	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	27	24	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	28	1	Their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-282275-catapr59	28	2	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	28	3	were	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	28	4	close	close	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	28	5	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	28	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	28	7	actual	actual	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	28	8	values	value	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	28	9	observed	observe	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	28	10	later	later	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	28	11	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	29	1	Basu	Basu	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	29	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	29	3	10	10	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	29	4	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	29	5	studied	study	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	29	6	time	time	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	29	7	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	29	8	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	29	9	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	29	10	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	29	11	virus	virus	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	29	12	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	29	13	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	29	14	using	use	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	29	15	his	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-282275-catapr59	29	16	own	own	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	29	17	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	29	18	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	30	1	As	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	2	per	per	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	3	his	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-282275-catapr59	30	4	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	30	5	expressed	express	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	6	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	7	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	30	8	form	form	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	9	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	10	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	30	11	graph	graph	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	12	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	30	13	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	30	14	total	total	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	30	15	number	number	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	16	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	30	18	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	19	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	30	20	should	should	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	30	21	have	have	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	30	22	crossed	cross	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	23	200,000	200,000	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	30	24	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	25	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	30	26	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	27	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	28	June	June	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	30	29	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	30	30	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	30	31	his	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-282275-catapr59	30	32	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	33	has	have	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	30	34	been	be	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	35	found	find	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	30	36	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	30	37	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	30	38	true	true	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	30	39	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	31	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	31	2	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	31	3	work	work	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	31	4	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	31	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	31	6	have	have	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	31	7	two	two	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	31	8	objectives	objective	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	31	9	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	32	1	First	first	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	32	2	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	32	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	32	4	shall	shall	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	32	5	compare	compare	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	32	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	32	7	current	current	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	32	8	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	32	9	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	32	10	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	32	11	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	32	12	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	32	13	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	32	14	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	33	1	From	from	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	33	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	33	3	graphs	graph	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	33	4	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	33	5	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	33	6	current	current	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	33	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	33	8	on	on	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	33	9	total	total	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	33	10	number	number	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	33	11	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	33	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	33	13	that	that	WDT
cord-282275-catapr59	33	14	includes	include	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	33	15	active	active	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	33	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	33	17	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	33	18	recovered	recover	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	33	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	33	20	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	33	21	deaths	death	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	33	22	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	33	23	some	some	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	33	24	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	33	25	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	33	26	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	33	27	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	33	28	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	33	29	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	34	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	34	2	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	34	3	find	find	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	34	4	out	out	RP
cord-282275-catapr59	34	5	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	34	6	current	current	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	34	7	approximate	approximate	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	34	8	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	34	9	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	34	10	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	34	11	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	34	12	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	34	13	these	these	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	34	14	two	two	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	34	15	countries	country	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	34	16	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	35	1	Secondly	secondly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	35	2	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	35	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	35	4	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	35	5	like	like	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	35	6	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	35	7	show	show	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	35	8	how	how	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	35	9	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	35	10	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	35	11	evolve	evolve	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	35	12	day	day	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	35	13	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	35	14	day	day	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	35	15	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	36	1	Hypothesizing	hypothesize	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	36	2	about	about	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	3	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	36	4	particular	particular	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	36	5	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	36	6	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	7	as	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	8	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	36	9	underlying	underlie	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	36	10	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	11	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	36	13	one	one	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	36	14	thing	thing	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	15	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	36	16	while	while	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	17	studying	study	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	36	18	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	36	19	changes	change	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	36	20	day	day	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	21	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	22	day	day	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	23	looking	look	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	36	24	into	into	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	36	25	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	36	26	recent	recent	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	36	27	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	36	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	36	29	quite	quite	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	36	30	another	another	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	36	31	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	37	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	37	2	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	37	3	show	show	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	37	4	how	how	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	37	5	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	37	6	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	37	7	function	function	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	37	9	being	be	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	37	10	followed	follow	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	11	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	12	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	37	13	total	total	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	37	14	number	number	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	15	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	37	17	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	18	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	37	19	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	37	20	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	37	21	how	how	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	37	22	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	23	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	37	24	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	37	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	37	26	following	follow	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	37	27	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	37	28	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	37	29	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	37	30	function	function	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	31	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	37	32	while	while	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	37	33	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	37	34	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	37	35	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	37	36	changing	change	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	37	37	slowly	slowly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	37	38	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	37	39	steadily	steadily	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	37	40	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	38	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	38	2	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	38	3	like	like	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	38	4	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	38	5	state	state	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	38	6	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	7	while	while	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	8	trying	try	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	38	9	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	38	10	find	find	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	38	11	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	38	12	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	38	13	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	14	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	38	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	38	16	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	17	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	18	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	19	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	38	20	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	21	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	38	22	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	38	23	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	38	24	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	38	25	assume	assume	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	38	26	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	27	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	28	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	38	29	first	first	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	38	30	phase	phase	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	31	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	32	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	38	33	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	34	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	38	35	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	38	36	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	38	37	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	38	38	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	38	39	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	39	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	39	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	39	3	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	39	4	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	39	5	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	39	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	39	7	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	39	8	very	very	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	39	9	simplified	simplified	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	39	10	one	one	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	39	11	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	40	1	Initially	initially	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	40	2	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	40	3	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	40	4	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	40	5	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	40	6	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	40	7	nonlinear	nonlinear	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	40	8	but	but	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	40	9	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	40	10	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	40	11	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	40	12	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	40	13	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	40	14	right	right	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	40	15	from	from	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	40	16	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	40	17	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	41	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	41	2	not	not	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	41	3	actually	actually	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	41	4	valid	valid	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	41	5	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	42	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	42	2	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	42	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	42	4	can	can	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	42	5	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	6	reality	reality	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	7	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	42	8	only	only	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	42	9	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	42	10	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	42	11	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	42	12	because	because	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	13	if	if	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	14	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	42	15	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	42	17	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	42	18	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	42	19	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	42	20	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	42	21	only	only	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	42	22	mean	mean	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	42	23	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	24	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	42	25	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	26	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	42	27	remain	remain	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	42	28	so	so	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	42	29	until	until	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	30	everything	everything	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	31	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	42	32	finished	finish	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	42	33	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	43	1	When	when	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	43	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	43	3	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	43	4	happens	happen	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	43	5	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	43	6	retard	retard	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	43	7	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	43	8	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	43	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	43	10	said	say	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	43	11	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	43	12	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	43	13	curve	curve	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	43	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	43	15	getting	get	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	43	16	flattened	flatten	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	43	17	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	44	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	44	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	44	3	important	important	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	44	4	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	44	5	examine	examine	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	44	6	following	follow	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	44	7	what	what	WP
cord-282275-catapr59	44	8	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	44	9	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	44	10	growth	growth	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	44	11	starts	start	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	44	12	retarding	retard	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	44	13	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	45	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	45	2	any	any	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	45	3	phase	phase	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	45	4	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	45	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	45	6	can	can	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	45	7	not	not	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	45	8	say	say	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	45	9	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	45	10	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	45	11	particular	particular	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	45	12	growth	growth	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	45	13	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	45	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	45	15	being	be	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	45	16	strictly	strictly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	45	17	followed	follow	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	45	18	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	46	1	When	when	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	46	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	46	3	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	4	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	46	5	finally	finally	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	46	6	come	come	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	46	7	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	8	an	an	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	46	9	end	end	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	10	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	46	11	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	46	12	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	46	13	mean	mean	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	46	14	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	46	16	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	46	18	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	46	19	straight	straight	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	46	20	line	line	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	21	parallel	parallel	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	46	22	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	23	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	46	24	time	time	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	25	axis	axis	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	46	26	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	47	1	Before	before	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	47	2	that	that	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	47	3	happens	happen	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	47	4	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	47	5	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	47	6	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	47	7	may	may	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	47	8	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	47	9	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	47	10	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	47	11	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	48	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	48	2	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	48	3	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	48	4	growth	growth	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	48	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	48	6	also	also	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	48	7	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	48	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	48	9	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	48	10	however	however	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	48	11	slow	slow	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	48	12	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	48	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	48	14	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	49	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	49	2	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	49	3	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	49	4	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	49	5	article	article	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	49	6	going	go	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	49	7	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	49	8	discuss	discuss	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	49	9	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	49	10	compare	compare	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	49	11	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	49	12	current	current	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	49	13	growth	growth	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	49	14	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	49	15	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	49	16	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	49	17	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	49	18	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	49	19	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	49	20	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	49	21	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	50	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	50	2	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	50	3	show	show	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	50	4	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	5	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	6	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	50	7	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	50	8	current	current	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	50	9	growth	growth	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	50	11	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	50	12	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	50	13	while	while	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	14	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	15	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	50	16	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	50	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	50	18	still	still	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	50	19	growing	grow	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	50	20	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	50	21	exponentially	exponentially	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	50	22	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	50	23	although	although	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	24	as	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	25	per	per	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	50	27	published	publish	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	28	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	29	Worldomters.info	Worldomters.info	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	50	30	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	50	31	11	11	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	50	32	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	50	33	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	50	34	on	on	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	35	February	February	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	50	36	15	15	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	50	37	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	50	38	2020	2020	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	50	39	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	50	40	both	both	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	50	41	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	42	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	50	43	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	50	44	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	45	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	50	46	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	50	47	total	total	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	50	48	numbers	number	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	50	49	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	50	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	50	51	were	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	50	52	equal	equal	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	50	53	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	50	54	3	3	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	50	55	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	51	1	where	where	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	51	2	m	m	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	51	3	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	51	4	c	c	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	51	5	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	51	6	constants	constant	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	51	7	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	52	1	If	if	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	52	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	52	3	need	need	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	52	4	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	52	5	fit	fit	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	52	6	such	such	PDT
cord-282275-catapr59	52	7	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	52	8	curve	curve	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	52	9	from	from	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	52	10	some	some	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	52	11	observed	observe	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	52	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	52	13	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	52	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	52	15	have	have	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	52	16	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	52	17	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	52	18	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	52	19	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	52	20	from	from	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	52	21	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	52	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	52	23	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	53	1	That	that	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	53	2	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	53	3	need	need	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	53	4	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	53	5	method	method	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	53	6	such	such	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	53	7	as	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	53	8	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	53	9	method	method	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	53	10	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	53	11	least	least	JJS
cord-282275-catapr59	53	12	squares	square	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	53	13	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	53	14	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	53	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	53	16	two	two	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	53	17	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	53	18	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	54	1	However	however	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	54	2	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	54	3	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	4	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	54	5	case	case	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	6	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	54	8	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	54	9	currently	currently	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	54	10	going	go	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	54	11	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	54	12	discuss	discuss	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	54	13	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	54	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	54	15	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	54	16	assume	assume	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	54	17	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	18	from	from	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	19	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	54	20	certain	certain	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	54	21	value	value	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	22	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	23	x	x	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	24	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	54	25	concerned	concerned	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	54	26	curve	curve	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	54	27	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	54	28	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	54	29	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	55	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	2	taking	take	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	55	3	that	that	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	55	4	starting	start	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	55	5	value	value	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	6	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	7	x	x	SYM
cord-282275-catapr59	55	8	as	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	9	1	1	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	55	10	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	55	11	if	if	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	55	13	want	want	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	55	14	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	55	15	verify	verify	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	16	whether	whether	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	17	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	55	18	curve	curve	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	55	20	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	21	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	55	22	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	55	23	then	then	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	24	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	55	25	value	value	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	26	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	27	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	55	28	constant	constant	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	55	29	c	c	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	55	31	already	already	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	32	known	know	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	33	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	34	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	55	35	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	55	36	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	55	37	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	38	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	39	that	that	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	55	40	kind	kind	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	41	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	42	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	55	43	situation	situation	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	44	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	55	45	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	55	46	need	need	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	47	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	55	48	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	49	only	only	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	55	50	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	55	51	value	value	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	52	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	55	53	m.	m.	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	56	1	If	if	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	56	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	56	3	now	now	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	56	4	see	see	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	56	5	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	56	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	56	7	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	56	8	values	value	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	56	9	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	56	10	m	m	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	56	11	found	find	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	56	12	from	from	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	56	13	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	57	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	57	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	57	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	57	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	57	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	57	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	57	7	International	international	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	57	8	license	license	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	58	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	58	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	58	3	made	make	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	58	4	available	available	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	58	5	under	under	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	58	6	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	59	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	59	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	59	3	author	author	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	59	4	/	/	SYM
cord-282275-catapr59	59	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	59	6	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	59	7	who	who	WP
cord-282275-catapr59	59	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	59	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	59	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	59	11	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	59	12	license	license	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	59	13	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	59	14	display	display	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	59	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	59	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	59	17	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	59	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	59	19	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	60	1	The	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	60	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	60	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	60	4	for	for	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	60	5	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	60	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	60	7	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	60	8	version	version	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	60	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	60	10	June	June	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	60	11	23	23	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	60	12	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	60	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	60	14	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	60	15	 	 	_SP
cord-282275-catapr59	61	1	Although	although	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	2	there	there	EX
cord-282275-catapr59	61	3	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	61	4	two	two	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	61	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	61	6	involved	involve	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	7	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	61	8	when	when	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	61	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	61	10	proceed	proceed	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	61	11	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	61	12	apply	apply	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	61	13	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	61	14	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	15	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	16	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	61	17	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	61	18	phase	phase	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	19	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	20	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	61	21	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	22	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	61	23	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	61	24	can	can	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	61	25	take	take	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	61	26	some	some	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	61	27	particular	particular	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	61	28	date	date	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	29	as	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	30	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	61	31	base	base	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	32	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	61	33	describe	describe	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	61	34	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	61	35	few	few	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	61	36	dates	date	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	61	37	thereafter	thereafter	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	61	38	with	with	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	39	reference	reference	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	40	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	41	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	61	42	base	base	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	43	date	date	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	61	44	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	62	1	Accordingly	accordingly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	62	2	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	62	3	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	62	4	value	value	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	62	5	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	62	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	62	7	constant	constant	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	62	8	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	62	9	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	62	10	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	62	11	available	available	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	62	12	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	62	13	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	62	14	already	already	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	62	15	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	62	16	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	62	17	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	62	18	have	have	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	62	19	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	62	20	find	find	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	62	21	an	an	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	62	22	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	62	23	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	62	24	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	62	25	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	62	26	b.	b.	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	63	1	When	when	WRB
cord-282275-catapr59	63	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	63	3	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	63	4	observe	observe	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	63	5	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	63	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	63	7	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	63	8	values	value	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	63	9	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	63	10	b	b	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	63	11	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	63	12	very	very	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	63	13	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	63	14	constant	constant	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	63	15	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	63	16	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	63	17	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	63	18	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	63	19	able	able	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	63	20	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	63	21	say	say	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	63	22	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	63	23	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	63	24	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	63	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	63	26	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	63	27	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	63	28	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	64	1	As	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	64	2	per	per	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	64	3	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	64	4	Worldometers.info	worldometers.info	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	64	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	64	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	64	7	11	11	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	64	8	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	64	9	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	64	10	on	on	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	64	11	February	February	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	64	12	15	15	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	64	13	there	there	EX
cord-282275-catapr59	64	14	were	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	64	15	3	3	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	64	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	64	17	reported	report	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	64	18	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	64	19	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	64	20	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	65	1	From	from	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	65	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	65	3	graphs	graph	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	65	4	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	65	5	can	can	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	65	6	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	65	7	seen	see	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	65	8	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	65	9	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	65	10	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	65	11	middle	middle	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	65	12	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	65	13	March	March	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	65	14	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	65	15	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	65	16	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	65	17	became	become	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	65	18	highly	highly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	65	19	nonlinear	nonlinear	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	65	20	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	66	1	By	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	66	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	66	3	end	end	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	66	4	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	66	5	April	April	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	66	6	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	66	7	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	66	8	process	process	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	66	9	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	66	10	curve	curve	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	66	11	flattening	flattening	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	66	12	had	have	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	66	13	started	start	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	66	14	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	67	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	2	other	other	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	67	3	words	word	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	67	4	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	67	5	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	67	6	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	7	changed	change	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	8	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	9	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	67	10	end	end	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	11	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	12	April	April	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	67	13	from	from	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	14	an	an	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	67	15	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	67	16	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	67	17	form	form	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	18	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	19	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	67	20	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	67	21	form	form	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	67	22	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	68	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	68	2	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	68	3	explaining	explain	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	68	4	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	68	5	matters	matter	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	68	6	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	68	7	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	68	8	rather	rather	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	68	9	simple	simple	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	68	10	way	way	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	68	11	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	69	1	But	but	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	69	2	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	69	3	can	can	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	69	4	actually	actually	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	69	5	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	69	6	checked	check	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	69	7	whether	whether	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	69	8	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	69	9	was	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	69	10	really	really	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	69	11	so	so	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	69	12	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	70	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	70	2	Table-	Table-	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	70	3	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	71	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	71	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	71	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	71	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	71	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	71	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	71	7	International	international	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	71	8	license	license	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	72	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	72	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	72	3	made	make	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	72	4	available	available	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	72	5	under	under	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	72	6	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	73	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	73	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	73	3	author	author	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	73	4	/	/	SYM
cord-282275-catapr59	73	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	73	6	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	73	7	who	who	WP
cord-282275-catapr59	73	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	73	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	73	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	73	11	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	73	12	license	license	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	73	13	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	73	14	display	display	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	73	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	73	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	73	17	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	73	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	73	19	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	74	1	The	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	74	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	74	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	74	4	for	for	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	74	5	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	74	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	74	7	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	74	8	version	version	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	74	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	74	10	June	June	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	74	11	23	23	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	74	12	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	74	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	74	14	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	74	15	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	75	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	75	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	75	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	75	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	75	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	75	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	75	7	International	international	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	75	8	license	license	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	76	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	76	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	76	3	made	make	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	76	4	available	available	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	76	5	under	under	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	76	6	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	77	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	77	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	77	3	author	author	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	77	4	/	/	SYM
cord-282275-catapr59	77	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	77	6	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	77	7	who	who	WP
cord-282275-catapr59	77	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	77	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	77	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	77	11	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	77	12	license	license	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	77	13	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	77	14	display	display	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	77	15	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	77	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	77	17	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	77	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	77	19	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	78	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	78	2	which	which	WDT
cord-282275-catapr59	78	3	was	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	78	4	not	not	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	78	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	78	6	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	78	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	78	8	review	review	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	78	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	79	1	The	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	79	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	79	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	79	4	for	for	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	79	5	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	79	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	79	7	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	79	8	version	version	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	79	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	79	10	June	June	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	79	11	23	23	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	79	12	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	79	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	79	14	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	79	15	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	80	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.21.20136630	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.21.20136630	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	80	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-282275-catapr59	80	3	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	81	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	81	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	3	Contact	Contact	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	81	4	network	network	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	5	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	6	bond	bond	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	7	percolation	percolation	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	8	applied	apply	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	9	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	10	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	81	11	disease	disease	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	12	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	13	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	81	14	control	control	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	15	Demographic	demographic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	81	16	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	81	17	behavioural	behavioural	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	81	18	changes	change	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	81	19	during	during	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	20	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	81	21	SIS	SIS	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	81	22	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	23	on	on	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	24	homogeneous	homogeneous	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	81	25	networks	network	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	81	26	with	with	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	27	threshold	threshold	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	28	type	type	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	29	delayed	delay	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	30	contact	contact	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	81	31	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	1	The	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	82	2	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	3	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	4	an	an	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	82	5	eco	eco	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	82	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	82	7	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	82	8	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	9	with	with	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	82	11	SI	SI	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	82	13	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	82	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	82	15	SIS	SIS	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	82	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	18	disease	disease	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	19	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	20	prey	prey	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	21	Nowcasting	Nowcasting	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	22	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	82	23	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	82	24	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	82	25	potential	potential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	82	26	domestic	domestic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	82	27	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	82	28	international	international	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	82	29	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	30	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	31	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	82	32	2019	2019	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	82	33	nCoV	ncov	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	34	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	35	originating	originate	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	82	36	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	37	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	38	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	82	39	China	China	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	40	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	82	41	A	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	82	42	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	43	study	study	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	44	Dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	45	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	46	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	47	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	48	:	:	:
cord-282275-catapr59	82	49	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	50	models	model	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	51	underestimate	underestimate	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	52	peak	peak	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	53	infection	infection	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	54	rates	rate	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	55	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	82	56	overestimate	overestimate	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	82	57	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	58	duration	duration	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	59	Data	data	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	60	-	-	HYPH
cord-282275-catapr59	82	61	based	base	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	62	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	63	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	82	64	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	65	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	82	66	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	67	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	68	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	82	69	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	70	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	71	Short	Short	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	72	term	term	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	73	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	74	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	75	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	76	spread	spread	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	77	across	across	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	78	Indian	Indian	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	79	States	States	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	80	until	until	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	81	Short	Short	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	82	term	term	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	83	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	84	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	85	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	86	spread	spread	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	87	across	across	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	88	Indian	Indian	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	89	States	States	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	90	until	until	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	91	29	29	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	82	92	May	May	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	93	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	82	94	2020	2020	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	82	95	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	82	96	under	under	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	97	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	82	98	worst	bad	JJS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	99	case	case	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	100	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	101	fits	fit	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	82	102	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	82	103	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	82	104	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	105	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	106	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	82	107	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	82	108	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	82	109	12	12	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	82	110	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	82	111	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	82	112	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	83	1	To	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	83	2	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	83	3	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	83	4	value	value	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	5	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	83	7	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	8	b	b	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	9	at	at	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	10	some	some	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	83	11	point	point	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	12	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	13	time	time	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	83	15	would	would	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	83	16	need	need	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	83	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	83	18	about	about	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	19	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	83	20	total	total	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	83	21	number	number	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	22	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	83	24	for	for	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	25	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	83	26	few	few	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	83	27	days	day	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	83	28	prior	prior	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	83	29	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	83	30	that	that	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	83	31	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	84	1	If	if	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	84	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	84	3	values	value	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	84	4	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	84	5	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	84	6	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	84	7	first	first	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	84	8	order	order	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	84	9	differences	difference	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	84	10	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	84	11	z	z	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	84	12	are	be	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	84	13	seen	see	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	84	14	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	84	15	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	84	16	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	84	17	constant	constant	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	84	18	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	84	19	then	then	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	84	20	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	84	21	can	can	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	84	22	say	say	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	84	23	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	84	24	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	84	25	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	84	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	84	27	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	84	28	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	84	29	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	85	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	85	2	was	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	85	3	observed	observe	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	4	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	5	[	[	-LRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	85	6	12	12	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	85	7	]	]	-RRB-
cord-282275-catapr59	85	8	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	9	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	85	10	values	value	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	85	11	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	12	∆	∆	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	85	13	‫ݖ‬	‫ݖ‬	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	85	14	have	have	VBP
cord-282275-catapr59	85	15	been	be	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	16	following	follow	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	85	17	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	85	18	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	85	19	trend	trend	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	20	with	with	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	21	some	some	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	85	22	irregularities	irregularity	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	85	23	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	24	between	between	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	25	which	which	WDT
cord-282275-catapr59	85	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	85	27	inherent	inherent	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	85	28	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	29	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	85	30	case	case	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	31	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	32	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	85	33	time	time	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	34	series	series	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	35	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	36	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	85	37	type	type	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	38	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	39	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	85	40	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	85	41	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	86	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	86	2	Table-	Table-	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	87	1	This	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	87	2	shows	show	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	87	3	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	87	4	at	at	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	87	5	least	least	JJS
cord-282275-catapr59	87	6	up	up	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	87	7	to	to	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	87	8	June	June	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	87	9	17	17	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	87	10	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	87	11	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	87	12	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	87	13	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	87	14	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	87	15	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	87	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	87	17	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	87	18	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	87	19	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	88	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-282275-catapr59	88	2	objective	objective	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	88	3	was	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	88	4	not	not	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	88	5	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	88	6	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	88	7	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	88	8	but	but	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	88	9	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	88	10	show	show	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	88	11	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	88	12	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	88	13	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	88	14	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	88	15	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	88	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	88	17	still	still	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	88	18	continuing	continue	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	88	19	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	88	20	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	88	21	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	89	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	89	2	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	89	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-282275-catapr59	89	4	method	method	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	89	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	89	6	valid	valid	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	89	7	for	for	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	89	8	short	short	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	89	9	term	term	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	89	10	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	89	11	only	only	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	89	12	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	90	1	As	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	90	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	90	3	been	be	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	90	4	mentioned	mention	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	90	5	earlier	early	RBR
cord-282275-catapr59	90	6	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	90	7	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	90	8	values	value	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	90	9	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	90	10	∆	∆	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	90	11	‫ݖ‬	‫ݖ‬	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	90	12	were	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	90	13	seen	see	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	90	14	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	90	15	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	90	16	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	90	17	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	90	18	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	90	19	trend	trend	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	90	20	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	91	1	So	so	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	91	2	this	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	91	3	method	method	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	91	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	91	5	unsuitable	unsuitable	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	91	6	for	for	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	91	7	long	long	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	91	8	term	term	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	91	9	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	91	10	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	92	1	Although	although	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	92	2	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	92	3	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	92	4	had	have	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	92	5	started	start	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	92	6	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	92	7	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	92	8	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	92	9	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	92	10	on	on	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	92	11	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	92	12	same	same	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	92	13	date	date	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	92	14	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	92	15	February	February	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	92	16	15	15	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	92	17	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	92	18	2020	2020	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	92	19	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	92	20	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	92	21	situations	situation	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	92	22	soon	soon	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	92	23	became	become	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	92	24	very	very	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	92	25	different	different	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	92	26	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	92	27	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	92	28	two	two	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	92	29	countries	country	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	92	30	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	93	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	93	2	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	93	3	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	93	4	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	93	5	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	93	6	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	93	7	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	93	8	could	could	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	93	9	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	93	10	observed	observe	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	93	11	before	before	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	93	12	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	93	13	middle	middle	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	93	14	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	93	15	April	April	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	93	16	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	93	17	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	93	18	currently	currently	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	93	19	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	93	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	93	21	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	93	22	logarithmically	logarithmically	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	93	23	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	94	1	In	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	94	2	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	94	3	however	however	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	94	4	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	94	5	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	94	6	April	April	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	94	7	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	94	8	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	94	9	was	be	VBD
cord-282275-catapr59	94	10	just	just	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	94	11	highly	highly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	94	12	nonlinear	nonlinear	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	94	13	and	and	CC
cord-282275-catapr59	94	14	currently	currently	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	94	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	94	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	94	17	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	94	18	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	94	19	.	.	.
cord-282275-catapr59	95	1	This	this	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	2	shows	show	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	3	that	that	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	4	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	5	study	study	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	6	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	95	7	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	8	total	total	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	9	number	number	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	10	of	of	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	95	12	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	13	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	14	world	world	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	15	as	as	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	16	a	a	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	17	whole	whole	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	18	can	can	MD
cord-282275-catapr59	95	19	not	not	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	95	20	follow	follow	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	95	21	one	one	CD
cord-282275-catapr59	95	22	single	single	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	23	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	24	model	model	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	25	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	95	26	because	because	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	27	whereas	whereas	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	95	28	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	29	India	India	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	95	30	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	31	spread	spread	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	32	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	34	continuing	continue	VBG
cord-282275-catapr59	95	35	to	to	TO
cord-282275-catapr59	95	36	be	be	VB
cord-282275-catapr59	95	37	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-282275-catapr59	95	38	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	39	,	,	,
cord-282275-catapr59	95	40	in	in	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	41	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-282275-catapr59	95	42	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-282275-catapr59	95	43	is	be	VBZ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	44	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	45	inverse	inverse	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	46	function	function	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	47	-the	-the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	48	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-282275-catapr59	95	49	functionbeing	functionbeing	NN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	50	followed	follow	VBN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	51	by	by	IN
cord-282275-catapr59	95	52	the	the	DT
cord-282275-catapr59	95	53	data	datum	NNS
cord-282275-catapr59	95	54	.	.	.