id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-262966-8b1esll4 Huang, Ganyu Prediction of COVID-19 Outbreak in China and Optimal Return Date for University Students Based on Propagation Dynamics 2020-04-07 .txt text/plain 3455 189 59 Furthermore, we propose the BAT model, which is composed of three parts: simulation of the return rush (Back), analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method, and technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) method, to figure out the best return date for university students. Nomenclature c-The average number of contacts of an exposed person without isolation each day n-The number of individuals nD-The death toll nE-The number of exposed individuals nI-The number of infectious individuals nR-The number of recovered individuals nS-The number of susceptible individuals N -The total population of China p-Intensity of isolation for exposed individuals r-Correlation coefficient R 2 -Coefficient of determination t0-Moment when the government began to take measures t-Outbreak duration α-Incubation rate β-Infectious rate of contacts of an exposed person γ-Recovery rate μ-Pneumonia mortality 0 Introduction On 12 December 2019, the first patient with unexplained pneumonia was admitted into the hospital in Wuhan. ./cache/cord-262966-8b1esll4.txt ./txt/cord-262966-8b1esll4.txt