id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-004332-99lxmq4u	Zhao, Shi	Large-scale Lassa fever outbreaks in Nigeria: quantifying the association between disease reproduction number and local rainfall	2020-01-10		.txt	text/plain	4195	218	53	title: Large-scale Lassa fever outbreaks in Nigeria: quantifying the association between disease reproduction number and local rainfall This work aims to study the epidemiological features of epidemics in different Nigerian regions and quantify the association between reproduction number (R) and state rainfall. LF surveillance data are used to fit the growth models and estimate the Rs and epidemic turning points (τ) in different regions at different time periods. As illustrated in Figure 3 , the reproduction numbers, R j s, are estimated for different epidemics from the selected growth models. To quantify the impacts of state rainfall, we calculate the percentage changing rate with different cumulative lags (t) from 4 to 9 months and estimate their significant levels. The estimated changing rate in R under a one-unit (mm) increase in the average monthly rainfall is summarised with different cumulative lag terms from 4 to 9 months (the t in Eqn (3)).	./cache/cord-004332-99lxmq4u.txt	./txt/cord-004332-99lxmq4u.txt