id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-132307-bkkzg6h1	Blanco, Natalia	Prospective Prediction of Future SARS-CoV-2 Infections Using Empirical Data on a National Level to Gauge Response Effectiveness	2020-07-06		.txt	text/plain	3759	164	51	The total number of cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in 28 countries was analyzed and fitted to several simple rate models including the logistic, Gompertz, quadratic, simple square, and simple exponential growth models. The early part of the curve was fit and statistical parameters were generated using Prism 8 (GraphPad) using the non-linear regression module using the program standard centered second order polynomial (quadratic), exponential growth, and the Gompertz growth model as defined by Prism 8, and a simple user-defined simple square model (N = At 2 + C) where N is the total number of cases, A and C are the fitting constants, and t is the number of days from the beginning of the epidemic curve. The total number of cases for each of 28 countries was plotted with time and several model equations were fit to the early part of the data before mitigating effects from public health policies began to change the rate of disease spread.	./cache/cord-132307-bkkzg6h1.txt	./txt/cord-132307-bkkzg6h1.txt