id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-335689-8a704p38	Martin, Gerardo	Climate Change Could Increase the Geographic Extent of Hendra Virus Spillover Risk	2018-03-19		.txt	text/plain	8557	462	53	We produced two models to estimate areas at potential risk of HeV spillover explained by the climatic suitability for its flying fox reservoir hosts, Pteropus alecto and P. One approach to identify areas at risk from emerging infectious diseases is to model the ecological niche of the causal agent and its reservoir host with spatiality explicit climatic data, and to use the model to predict their geographic distribution (Escobar and Craft 2016) . We took the following steps to build these models: (1) assigned presence points to the most likely reservoir host species present at spillover locations, (2) computed the optimal size of spatial units and determined appropriate explanatory climatic variables, (3) selected the model structure (linear and quadratic terms and interactions with AIC and cross-validation), (4) selected priors for the Bayesian model, (5) fitted the Bayesian model, (6) cross-validated, and (7) transferred models to climate change scenarios (Fig. 1 ).	./cache/cord-335689-8a704p38.txt	./txt/cord-335689-8a704p38.txt