id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-340244-qjf23a7e	Bernstein, Daniel J.	Further analysis of the impact of distancing upon the COVID-19 pandemic	2020-04-16		.txt	text/plain	7064	439	63	The 22 March 2020 paper "Social distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemic" [5] reports calculations in a model where distancing reduces R 0 by at most 60%, and claims that 60% is "on par with the reduction in R 0 achieved in China through intense social distancing measures (3)". The paper [5] claims, within its model, that the (37.5, 10.0) distancing strategy explained above achieves the "goal of keeping the number of critical care patients below 0.89 per 10,000 adults" under the following assumptions: wintertime R 0 = 2, and distancing achieves a 60% reduction in R 0 . The paper [5] claims that increasing critical-care capacity "allows population immunity to be accumulated more rapidly, reducing the overall duration of the epidemic and the total length of social distancing measures". The third (more optimistic) plot takes the wintertime R 0 to be 2.0 and uses an extended model where "intense" distancing has more of an effect, reducing R 0 by 99%.	./cache/cord-340244-qjf23a7e.txt	./txt/cord-340244-qjf23a7e.txt