id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-342855-dvgqouk2 Anzum, R. Mathematical Modeling of Coronavirus Reproduction Rate with Policy and Behavioral Effects 2020-06-18 .txt text/plain 3086 188 56 In this paper a modified mathematical model based on the SIR model used which can predict the spreading of the corona virus disease (COVID-19) and its effects on people in the days ahead. Since reducing the face to face contact among people and staying home in lockdown can improve in reducing the further infection rate, ܴ is taken as a time varying constant rather than a fixed one to observe the overall scenario of coronavirus spreading. According to the conventional SIR model, for the N number of constant population, each of whom may be in one of five states with respect to time implies that: While a susceptible person can be affected by the disease when comes in contact with an infectious person. The SIR model is used to predict the vulnerability of any type pandemic which may not be applicable to coronavirus cases since this model assumes the reproduction rate as a constant. ./cache/cord-342855-dvgqouk2.txt ./txt/cord-342855-dvgqouk2.txt