id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	2	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	3	cord-160382	cord-160382	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	5	8n3s5j8w	8n3s5j8w	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	6	authors	author	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	7	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	8	Yamagata	Yamagata	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	10	Yoriyuki	Yoriyuki	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	11	title	title	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	1	12	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	1	Simultaneous	simultaneous	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	2	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	3	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	5	effective	effective	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	6	reproducing	reproduce	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	7	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	8	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	10	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	11	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	12	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	13	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	14	date	date	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	15	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	16	2020	2020	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	18	05	05	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	20	02	02	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	21	journal	journal	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	2	22	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	3	1	nan	nan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	3	2	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	3	3	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	3	4	nan	nan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	3	5	sha	sha	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	3	6	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	4	1	f5f0160ba3fcee125c6b6d3b5720cd07f8b2f7b0	f5f0160ba3fcee125c6b6d3b5720cd07f8b2f7b0	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	4	2	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	4	3	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	5	1	160382	160382	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	5	2	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	5	3	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	5	4	8n3s5j8w	8n3s5j8w	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	1	A	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	2	major	major	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	3	difficulty	difficulty	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	4	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	5	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	6	$	$	$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	7	R$	r$	XX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	10	effective	effective	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	11	reproducing	reproduce	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	12	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	14	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	15	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	17	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	18	most	most	JJS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	20	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	21	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	22	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	23	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	24	mild	mild	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	25	or	or	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	26	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	27	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	28	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	29	true	true	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	30	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	31	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	32	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	34	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	35	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	36	determine	determine	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	6	37	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	1	This	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	2	paper	paper	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	3	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	5	daily	daily	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	6	change	change	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	8	$	$	$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	9	R$	r$	XX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	10	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	11	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	12	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	14	simultaneously	simultaneously	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	15	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	16	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	17	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	18	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	7	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	3	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	4	synthesized	synthesize	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	6	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	7	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	8	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	9	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	10	correctly	correctly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	11	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	12	$	$	$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	13	R$	r$	XX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	14	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	15	detects	detect	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	16	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	17	short	short	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	19	term	term	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	20	shock	shock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	21	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	22	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	23	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	24	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	8	25	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	1	Then	then	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	4	apply	apply	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	6	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	7	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	9	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	10	several	several	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	12	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	13	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	14	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	15	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	16	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	17	public	public	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	18	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	19	measures	measure	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	9	20	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	3	focuses	focus	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	4	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	6	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	7	employs	employ	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	8	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	9	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	10	measure	measure	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	11	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	12	keep"social	keep"social	``
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	13	distance	distance	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	14	"	"	''
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	10	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	2	result	result	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	3	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	4	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	5	downward	downward	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	6	trend	trend	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	7	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	8	now	now	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	9	$	$	$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	10	R$	r$	XX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	11	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	12	below	below	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	13	$	$	$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	14	1$.	1$.	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	15	Although	although	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	16	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	17	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	19	preliminary	preliminary	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	20	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	21	this	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	22	may	may	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	23	suggest	suggest	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	24	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	25	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	26	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	27	policy	policy	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	28	still	still	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	29	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	30	prevent	prevent	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	31	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	32	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	33	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	11	34	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	1	In	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	3	wake	wake	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	4	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	6	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	8	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	10	Japanese	japanese	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	11	government	government	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	12	gradually	gradually	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	13	employed	employ	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	14	public	public	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	15	health	health	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	16	measures	measure	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	17	against	against	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	18	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	12	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	1	In	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	3	first	first	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	4	stage	stage	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	6	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	7	stronger	strong	JJR
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	8	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	9	measures	measure	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	10	at	at	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	11	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	12	border	border	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	13	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	14	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	13	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	1	Once	once	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	2	patients	patient	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	3	who	who	WP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	4	had	have	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	5	no	no	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	6	connection	connection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	7	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	8	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	9	appeared	appear	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	10	inside	inside	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	11	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	12	border	border	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	13	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	14	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	15	government	government	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	16	started	start	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	17	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	18	track	track	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	19	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	20	patients	patient	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	21	as	as	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	22	far	far	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	23	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	24	possible	possible	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	25	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	26	tried	try	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	27	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	28	find	find	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	29	people	people	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	30	contacted	contact	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	31	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	32	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	33	patients	patient	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	14	34	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	1	Once	once	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	2	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	3	"	"	``
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	4	track	track	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	5	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	6	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	7	clusters	cluster	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	8	"	"	''
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	9	tactics	tactic	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	10	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	11	overwhelmed	overwhelm	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	12	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	13	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	14	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	15	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	16	patients	patient	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	17	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	18	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	19	government	government	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	20	started	start	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	21	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	22	ask	ask	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	23	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	24	changes	change	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	25	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	26	people	people	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	27	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	28	culminating	culminate	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	29	"	"	''
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	30	declaration	declaration	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	31	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	32	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	33	emergency	emergency	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	34	"	"	''
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	35	on	on	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	36	April	April	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	37	6	6	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	15	38	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	16	1	Public	public	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	16	2	facilities	facility	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	16	3	like	like	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	16	4	libraries	library	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	16	5	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	16	6	closed	close	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	16	7	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	1	Large	large	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	2	shopping	shopping	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	3	malls	mall	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	4	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	5	entertainment	entertainment	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	6	businesses	business	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	7	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	8	such	such	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	9	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	10	movie	movie	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	11	theatres	theatre	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	12	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	13	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	14	asked	ask	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	15	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	16	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	17	closed	close	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	17	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	1	Restaurants	restaurant	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	2	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	3	asked	ask	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	4	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	5	shorten	shorten	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	6	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	7	operating	operating	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	8	hours	hour	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	9	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	10	stop	stop	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	11	providing	provide	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	12	alcoholic	alcoholic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	13	beverages	beverage	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	14	at	at	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	15	night	night	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	18	16	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	1	Working	work	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	2	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	3	home	home	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	4	was	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	5	encouraged	encourage	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	6	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	7	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	8	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	9	citizens	citizen	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	10	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	11	advised	advise	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	12	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	13	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	14	crowded	crowded	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	15	areas	area	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	16	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	17	generally	generally	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	18	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	19	going	go	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	20	outside	outside	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	21	unnecessarily	unnecessarily	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	19	22	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	1	However	however	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	4	Japanese	japanese	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	5	legal	legal	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	6	system	system	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	7	does	do	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	8	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	9	have	have	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	10	enough	enough	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	11	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	12	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	13	enforce	enforce	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	14	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	15	policies	policy	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	20	16	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	3	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	4	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	5	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	6	policies	policy	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	7	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	8	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	9	questioned	question	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	21	10	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	1	Many	many	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	2	people	people	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	3	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	4	still	still	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	5	commuting	commute	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	6	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	7	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	8	office	office	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	9	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	10	many	many	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	11	companies	company	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	12	lack	lack	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	13	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	14	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	15	ability	ability	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	16	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	17	allow	allow	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	18	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	19	employees	employee	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	20	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	21	work	work	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	22	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	23	home	home	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	22	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	1	Many	many	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	2	small	small	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	3	restaurants	restaurant	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	4	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	5	cafes	cafe	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	6	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	7	still	still	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	8	running	run	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	9	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	10	business	business	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	11	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	12	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	13	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	14	lack	lack	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	15	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	16	financial	financial	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	17	compensation	compensation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	23	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	1	To	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	2	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	4	policy	policy	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	5	effect	effect	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	6	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	7	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	8	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	10	need	need	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	11	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	12	daily	daily	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	13	changes	change	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	14	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	15	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	16	effective	effective	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	17	reproducing	reproduce	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	24	18	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	1	R.	R.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	2	A	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	3	major	major	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	4	difficulty	difficulty	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	5	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	6	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	7	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	8	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	11	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	12	most	most	JJS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	14	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	15	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	16	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	17	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	18	mild	mild	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	19	or	or	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	20	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	21	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	22	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	23	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	24	true	true	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	25	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	26	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	27	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	29	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	30	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	31	determine	determine	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	25	32	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	1	This	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	2	paper	paper	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	3	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	5	daily	daily	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	6	change	change	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	8	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	9	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	10	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	11	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	12	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	13	simultaneously	simultaneously	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	14	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	15	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	16	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	17	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	26	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	3	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	4	synthesized	synthesize	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	6	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	7	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	8	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	9	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	10	correctly	correctly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	11	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	12	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	13	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	14	detects	detect	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	15	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	16	short	short	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	18	term	term	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	19	shock	shock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	20	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	21	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	22	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	27	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	3	focuses	focus	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	4	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	6	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	7	employs	employ	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	8	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	9	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	10	measure	measure	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	11	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	12	keep	keep	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	13	"	"	``
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	14	social	social	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	15	distance	distance	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	16	"	"	''
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	28	17	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	2	result	result	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	3	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	4	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	5	downward	downward	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	6	trend	trend	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	7	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	8	now	now	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	9	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	10	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	11	below	below	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	12	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	29	13	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	1	Although	although	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	2	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	5	preliminary	preliminary	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	6	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	7	this	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	8	may	may	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	9	suggest	suggest	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	10	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	11	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	12	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	13	policy	policy	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	14	still	still	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	15	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	16	prevent	prevent	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	18	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	19	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	30	20	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	1	Then	then	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	4	apply	apply	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	6	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	7	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	9	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	10	several	several	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	12	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	13	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	14	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	15	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	16	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	17	public	public	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	18	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	19	measures	measure	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	31	20	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	2	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	3	between	between	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	4	Denmark	Denmark	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	5	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	6	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	7	reveals	reveal	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	8	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	9	lock	lock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	11	down	down	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	13	very	very	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	14	effective	effective	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	15	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	16	short	short	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	17	term	term	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	32	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	1	However	however	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	3	In	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	4	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	6	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	7	did	do	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	8	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	9	employ	employ	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	10	lock	lock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	12	down	down	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	13	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	14	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	15	also	also	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	16	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	17	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	18	now	now	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	19	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	20	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	21	both	both	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	22	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	23	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	24	roughly	roughly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	25	same	same	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	33	26	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	1	This	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	2	might	may	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	3	suggest	suggest	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	4	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	5	lock	lock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	7	down	down	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	9	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	10	effective	effective	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	11	long	long	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	12	run	run	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	13	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	14	or	or	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	15	Denmark	Denmark	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	17	disadvantageous	disadvantageous	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	18	against	against	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	19	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	20	comparing	compare	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	21	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	22	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	34	23	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	1	Further	further	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	4	applied	apply	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	6	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	7	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	8	China	China	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	10	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	11	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	12	US	US	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	13	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	14	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	15	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	16	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	17	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	18	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	19	also	also	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	20	about	about	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	21	exiting	exit	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	22	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	23	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	35	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	1	Several	several	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	2	works	work	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	3	employ	employ	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	4	data	data	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	6	driven	drive	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	7	methods	method	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	8	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	9	predict	predict	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	10	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	11	measure	measure	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	13	public	public	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	14	health	health	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	15	measure	measure	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	16	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	17	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	36	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	37	1	Anastassopoulou	Anastassopoulou	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	37	2	et	et	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	37	3	al	al	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	37	4	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	2	1	1	LS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	4	apply	apply	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	6	SIRD	SIRD	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	7	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	8	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	9	Chinese	chinese	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	10	official	official	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	11	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	12	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	13	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	14	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	15	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	16	linear	linear	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	17	regression	regression	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	38	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	2	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	3	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	5	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	7	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	9	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	10	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	39	11	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	1	By	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	2	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	3	models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	4	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	6	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	7	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	8	predict	predict	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	10	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	12	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	13	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	14	province	province	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	40	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	1	Diego	Diego	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	2	Caccavo	Caccavo	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	3	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	4	2	2	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	5	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	6	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	7	independently	independently	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	8	Peter	Peter	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	9	Turchin	Turchin	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	10	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	11	6	6	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	12	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	13	apply	apply	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	14	modified	modify	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	15	SIRD	SIRD	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	16	models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	17	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	18	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	19	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	20	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	21	change	change	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	22	overtime	overtime	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	23	following	follow	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	24	specific	specific	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	25	function	function	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	26	forms	form	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	41	27	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	1	Parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	2	govern	govern	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	3	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	4	functions	function	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	5	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	7	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	8	minimizing	minimize	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	10	sum	sum	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	12	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	14	squareerror	squareerror	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	42	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	1	However	however	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	3	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	5	sum	sum	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	9	square	square	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	10	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	11	causes	cause	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	12	over	over	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	14	fitting	fitting	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	15	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	16	always	always	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	17	favors	favor	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	18	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	19	complex	complex	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	20	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	21	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	22	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	23	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	25	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	26	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	27	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	28	access	access	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	29	policy	policy	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	30	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	43	31	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	1	Further	further	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	3	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	5	SIRD	SIRD	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	6	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	7	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	8	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	9	early	early	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	10	stage	stage	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	11	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	12	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	14	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	15	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	16	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	17	pointed	point	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	18	out	out	RP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	19	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	20	stat	stat	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	22	exchange	exchange	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	23	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	44	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	2	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	3	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	4	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	7	avoid	avoid	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	8	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	9	problems	problem	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	10	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	11	some	some	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	12	degree	degree	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	13	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	14	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	15	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	16	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	17	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	18	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	19	parameter	parameter	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	20	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	21	instead	instead	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	22	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	23	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	24	point	point	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	25	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	45	26	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	4	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	5	assess	assess	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	6	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	7	degree	degree	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	8	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	9	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	10	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	11	each	each	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	12	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	46	13	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	1	Further	further	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	3	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	4	well	well	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	6	established	establish	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	7	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	8	methods	method	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	11	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	12	compare	compare	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	13	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	14	explanatory	explanatory	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	15	power	power	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	16	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	17	different	different	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	18	models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	47	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	48	1	Flaxman	Flaxman	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	48	2	et	et	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	48	3	al	al	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	48	4	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	2	4	4	LS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	4	use	use	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	5	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	6	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	7	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	8	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	9	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	10	policy	policy	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	11	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	49	12	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	2	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	4	different	different	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	5	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	6	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	7	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	8	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	9	assume	assume	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	10	immediate	immediate	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	11	effects	effect	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	12	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	13	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	14	policies	policy	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	15	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	50	16	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	1	Further	further	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	3	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	4	use	use	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	5	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	6	discrete	discrete	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	7	renewal	renewal	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	8	process	process	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	10	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	11	more	more	RBR
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	12	advanced	advanced	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	13	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	14	than	than	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	15	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	16	SIRD	SIRD	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	17	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	51	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	1	They	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	2	use	use	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	3	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	5	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	6	studies	study	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	8	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	10	while	while	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	12	use	use	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	13	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	14	purely	purely	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	15	data	data	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	17	driven	drive	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	18	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	52	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	53	1	3.1	3.1	LS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	53	2	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	54	1	Model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	54	2	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	2	use	use	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	4	discrete	discrete	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	6	time	time	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	7	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	8	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	9	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	10	assume	assume	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	11	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	13	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	14	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	15	move	move	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	16	between	between	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	17	each	each	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	18	category	category	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	20	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	21	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	22	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	23	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	24	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	55	25	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	2	effective	effective	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	3	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	4	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	5	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	6	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	7	written	write	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	8	When	when	WRB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	9	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	10	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	11	<	<	XX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	12	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	13	then	then	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	14	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	15	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	16	starts	start	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	17	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	18	decline	decline	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	56	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	2	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	3	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	4	expect	expect	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	5	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	6	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	7	values	value	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	8	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	9	directly	directly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	10	observable	observable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	11	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	12	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	13	many	many	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	15	or	or	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	16	most	most	JJS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	19	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	20	mild	mild	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	21	or	or	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	22	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	57	23	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	4	introduce	introduce	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	6	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	8	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	9	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	10	let	let	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	11	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	12	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	13	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	14	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	15	observed	observed	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	17	C	C	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	18	obs	obs	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	19	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	20	recovered	recover	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	21	R	R	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	22	obs	obs	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	23	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	24	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	25	assume	assume	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	26	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	27	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	28	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	29	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	30	change	change	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	31	day	day	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	32	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	33	day	day	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	34	bases	basis	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	35	while	while	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	36	other	other	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	37	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	38	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	39	fixed	fix	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	58	40	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	1	To	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	2	get	get	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	3	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	4	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	5	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	6	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	8	assume	assume	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	9	prior	prior	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	10	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	11	somewhat	somewhat	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	12	arbitrary	arbitrary	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	13	chosen	choose	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	59	14	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	1	while	while	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	3	prior	prior	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	4	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	5	q(t	q(t	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	8	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	9	uniform	uniform	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	11	over	over	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	13	0	0	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	14	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	15	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	60	17	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	1	To	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	2	make	make	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	4	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	5	robust	robust	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	6	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	8	choose	choose	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	9	Student	Student	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	11	t	t	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	12	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	13	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	14	prior	prior	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	15	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	16	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	61	17	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	2	perform	perform	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	3	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	4	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	6	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	7	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	8	prior	prior	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	9	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	10	σ	σ	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	11	b	b	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	12	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	13	ensure	ensure	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	14	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	15	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	16	choice	choice	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	17	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	18	priors	prior	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	19	does	do	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	20	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	21	strongly	strongly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	22	affect	affect	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	23	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	24	result	result	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	62	25	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	63	1	Data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	63	2	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	2	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	3	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	4	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	6	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	7	each	each	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	8	country	country	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	9	up	up	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	10	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	11	May	May	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	12	11	11	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	13	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	14	drawn	draw	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	15	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	16	data	data	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	17	repository	repository	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	18	2	2	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	19	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	20	Johns	Johns	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	21	Hopkins	Hopkins	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	22	University	University	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	23	Center	Center	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	24	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	25	Systems	Systems	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	26	Science	Science	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	27	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	28	Engineering	Engineering	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	64	29	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	2	dataset	dataset	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	3	also	also	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	4	contains	contain	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	6	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	8	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	10	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	11	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	12	pointed	point	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	13	out	out	RP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	14	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	15	README	README	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	16	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	17	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	19	underestimated	underestimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	65	20	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	1	For	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	2	example	example	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	3	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	5	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	6	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	7	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	8	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	9	Norway	Norway	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	11	only	only	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	12	32	32	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	13	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	14	May	May	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	15	11	11	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	16	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	17	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	19	impossible	impossible	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	20	with	with	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	21	8132	8132	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	22	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	66	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	4	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	5	γ	γ	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	6	=	=	SYM
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	7	0.04	0.04	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	8	per	per	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	9	day	day	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	10	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	11	Chinese	chinese	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	13	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	14	assume	assume	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	15	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	16	γ	γ	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	18	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	19	across	across	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	20	all	all	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	21	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	67	22	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	68	1	3.3	3.3	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	68	2	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	69	1	Experiment	experiment	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	69	2	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	1	First	first	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	4	performed	perform	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	5	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	6	validation	validation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	7	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	8	synthesized	synthesize	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	10	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	11	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	12	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	13	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	14	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	15	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	16	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	17	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	18	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	19	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	20	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	21	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	23	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	24	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	25	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	27	piecewise	piecewise	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	28	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	29	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	30	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	31	reduces	reduce	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	32	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	33	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	34	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	35	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	36	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	37	with	with	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	38	white	white	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	39	noise	noise	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	40	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	41	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	42	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	43	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	44	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	45	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	46	where	where	WRB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	47	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	48	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	49	high	high	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	50	enough	enough	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	51	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	52	make	make	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	53	almost	almost	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	54	all	all	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	55	people	people	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	56	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	57	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	70	58	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	71	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	71	2	result	result	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	71	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	71	4	presented	present	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	71	5	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	71	6	Section	section	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	71	7	4.1	4.1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	71	8	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	1	Then	then	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	3	real	real	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	5	world	world	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	7	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	8	fed	feed	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	9	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	10	Stan	Stan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	12	3	3	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	14	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	15	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	16	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	17	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	18	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	19	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	20	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	72	21	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	2	simplified	simplify	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	4	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	5	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	6	ease	ease	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	7	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	8	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	9	Stan	Stan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	73	10	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	1	Because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	2	latent	latent	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	3	discrete	discrete	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	4	variables	variable	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	5	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	6	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	7	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	8	used	use	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	9	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	10	Stan	Stan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	11	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	13	used	use	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	14	real	real	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	15	numbers	number	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	16	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	17	N	n	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	18	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	20	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	21	N	n	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	22	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	74	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	2	used	use	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	3	normal	normal	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	4	approximation	approximation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	5	N	n	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	7	λ	λ	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	8	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	9	√	√	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	10	λ	λ	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	12	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	13	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	14	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	15	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	16	used	use	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	17	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	18	N	n	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	19	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	75	21	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	1	For	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	2	N	n	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	3	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	7	replaced	replace	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	8	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	9	laws	law	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	10	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	11	deterministic	deterministic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	76	12	laws	law	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	77	1	N	N	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	77	2	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	77	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	78	1	=	=	NFP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	78	2	γI	γi	XX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	78	3	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	78	4	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	78	5	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	78	6	numerical	numerical	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	78	7	issue	issue	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	78	8	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	1	Parameter	parameter	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	2	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	3	used	use	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	4	10,000	10,000	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	5	iterations	iteration	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	6	with	with	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	7	5,000	5,000	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	8	iterations	iteration	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	9	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	10	warm	warm	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	12	up	up	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	13	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	14	5,000	5,000	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	15	iterations	iteration	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	16	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	17	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	79	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	80	1	Four	four	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	80	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	80	3	default	default	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	80	4	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	80	5	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	80	6	Stan	Stan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	80	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	1	independent	independent	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	2	computations	computation	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	3	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	4	performed	perform	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	5	simultaneously	simultaneously	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	6	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	7	used	use	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	8	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	9	estimateR.	estimateR.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	10	IfR	IfR	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	11	<	<	XX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	12	1.1	1.1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	13	then	then	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	15	regard	regard	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	16	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	17	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	18	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	20	converged	converge	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	81	21	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	1	To	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	2	make	make	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	3	sure	sure	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	4	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	6	results	result	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	7	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	8	meaningful	meaningful	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	11	compared	compare	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	13	performance	performance	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	14	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	15	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	16	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	17	with	with	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	18	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	19	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	22	refer	refer	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	23	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	24	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	25	"	"	``
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	26	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	27	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	28	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	29	"	"	``
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	30	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	32	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	33	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	34	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	35	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	36	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	37	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	38	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	39	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	40	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	41	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	43	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	44	refer	refer	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	45	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	46	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	47	"	"	``
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	48	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	49	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	50	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	51	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	52	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	53	"	"	``
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	54	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	55	-	-	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	56	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	57	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	82	58	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	1	const	const	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	2	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	3	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	4	β	β	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	5	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	6	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	7	simultaneously	simultaneously	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	8	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	9	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	10	-	-	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	11	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	12	takes	take	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	13	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	14	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	15	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	16	part	part	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	17	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	18	given	give	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	83	20	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	1	Parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	2	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	3	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	4	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	5	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	6	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	7	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	8	-	-	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	9	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	10	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	11	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	12	same	same	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	13	way	way	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	14	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	15	LOO	LOO	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	16	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	17	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	18	standard	standard	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	19	measure	measure	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	20	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	21	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	22	performance	performance	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	23	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	24	was	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	25	compared	compare	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	84	26	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	1	Because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	3	exact	exact	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	4	computation	computation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	5	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	6	LOO	LOO	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	8	CV	CV	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	10	computationally	computationally	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	11	expensive	expensive	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	12	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	13	approximation	approximation	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	14	PSIS	PSIS	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	16	LOO	LOO	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	18	CV	cv	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	19	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	20	7	7	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	21	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	22	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	23	WAIC	WAIC	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	25	8	8	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	27	were	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	28	compared	compare	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	85	29	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	1	Further	further	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	4	check	check	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	6	reliability	reliability	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	8	these	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	9	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	10	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	11	checking	check	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	13	Pareto	Pareto	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	15	k	k	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	16	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	17	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	18	importance	importance	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	19	weight	weight	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	20	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	86	21	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	2	computation	computation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	3	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	4	PSIS	PSIS	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	6	LOO	LOO	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	8	CV	CV	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	9	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	10	WAIC	WAIC	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	12	performed	perform	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	13	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	14	ArviZ	ArviZ	NNPS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	16	5	5	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	87	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	1	Models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	2	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	4	computation	computation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	5	history	history	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	6	used	use	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	7	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	8	this	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	9	experiment	experiment	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	10	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	11	public	public	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	12	at	at	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	13	GitHub	GitHub	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	14	3	3	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	88	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	89	1	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	89	2	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	1	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	2	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	3	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	4	.	.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	5	2	2	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	6	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	7	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	8	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	9	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	10	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	11	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	12	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	13	synthesized	synthesize	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	15	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	16	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	17	=	=	SYM
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	18	0.07	0.07	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	19	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	90	20	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	91	1	=	=	SYM
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	91	2	0.2	0.2	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	91	3	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	1	Fig	fig	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	2	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	3	also	also	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	7	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	8	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	9	const	const	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	11	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	12	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	92	13	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	1	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	2	true	true	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	3	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	4	=	=	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	5	0.2	0.2	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	7	given	give	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	8	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	9	const	const	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	11	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	12	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	13	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	93	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	2	results	result	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	3	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	4	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	5	both	both	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	6	models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	7	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	8	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	9	beta	beta	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	10	correctly	correctly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	11	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	12	while	while	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	13	completely	completely	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	14	fail	fail	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	15	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	16	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	17	q.	q.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	18	Estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	19	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	21	biased	biased	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	22	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	23	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	24	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	25	noisy	noisy	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	94	26	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	4	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	5	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	6	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	7	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	8	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	9	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	10	level	level	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	11	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	13	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	95	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	1	However	however	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	4	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	5	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	6	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	8	still	still	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	9	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	10	so	so	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	11	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	12	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	13	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	14	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	15	used	use	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	16	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	17	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	18	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	96	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	1	In	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	3	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	4	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	5	.	.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	6	3	3	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	7	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	8	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	9	.	.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	10	5	5	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	11	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	12	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	13	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	14	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	16	robust	robust	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	17	against	against	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	18	changing	change	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	19	q.	q.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	20	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	97	21	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	1	3	3	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	2	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	3	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	4	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	5	4	4	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	6	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	7	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	8	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	9	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	10	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	11	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	12	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	13	synthesized	synthesize	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	15	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	16	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	17	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	98	18	=	=	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	1	0.07	0.07	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	2	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	3	changing	change	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	4	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	5	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	6	goes	go	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	7	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	8	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	9	0.8	0.8	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	10	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	11	Apr.	April	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	12	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	99	13	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	1	Fig	fig	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	2	3	3	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	4	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	5	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	6	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	7	const	const	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	9	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	10	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	11	drops	drop	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	12	at	at	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	13	April	April	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	14	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	100	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	1	Although	although	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	3	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	4	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	6	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	7	also	also	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	8	drops	drop	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	9	around	around	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	10	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	11	same	same	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	12	date	date	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	13	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	14	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	15	drop	drop	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	17	less	less	RBR
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	18	significant	significant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	101	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	1	This	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	2	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	3	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	4	allowing	allow	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	5	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	6	vary	vary	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	7	makes	make	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	8	an	an	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	9	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	10	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	11	robust	robust	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	12	against	against	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	13	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	14	sudden	sudden	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	15	change	change	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	16	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	17	q.	q.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	18	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	102	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	103	1	5	5	LS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	1	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	2	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	3	6	6	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	4	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	7	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	8	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	9	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	10	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	11	synthesized	synthesize	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	13	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	14	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	15	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	16	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	17	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	18	noisy	noisy	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	19	q.	q.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	20	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	104	21	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	1	5	5	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	2	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	3	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	5	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	7	smooth	smooth	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	8	while	while	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	10	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	11	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	12	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	13	-	-	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	14	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	16	noisy	noisy	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	105	17	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	1	Again	again	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	3	this	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	5	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	6	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	7	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	9	more	more	RBR
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	10	robust	robust	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	11	against	against	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	12	changing	change	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	13	q.	q.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	14	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	15	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	16	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	17	short	short	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	19	term	term	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	20	change	change	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	21	coincides	coincide	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	22	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	23	ground	ground	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	24	truth	truth	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	106	25	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	5	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	7	still	still	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	8	useful	useful	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	9	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	10	find	find	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	11	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	12	short	short	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	14	term	term	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	15	shock	shock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	16	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	17	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	18	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	107	20	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	108	1	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	108	2	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	109	1	7	7	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	109	2	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	109	3	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	109	4	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	1	8	8	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	2	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	4	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	5	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	6	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	7	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	8	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	9	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	11	generated	generate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	12	with	with	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	13	constant	constant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	14	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	110	15	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	111	1	q.	q.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	111	2	Unlike	unlike	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	111	3	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	111	4	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	112	1	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	112	2	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	112	3	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	112	4	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	1	2	2	LS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	3	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	4	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	5	time	time	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	6	horizon	horizon	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	7	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	8	chosen	choose	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	9	so	so	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	10	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	11	most	most	JJS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	12	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	13	population	population	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	14	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	15	infected	infect	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	16	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	17	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	18	end	end	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	113	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	2	result	result	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	4	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	6	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	8	β	β	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	9	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	10	unreliable	unreliable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	11	when	when	WRB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	13	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	14	starts	start	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	15	saturated	saturate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	114	16	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	4	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	6	only	only	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	7	useful	useful	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	8	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	10	case	case	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	11	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	12	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	13	low	low	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	14	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	115	16	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	2	estimated	estimated	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	3	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	4	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	5	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	7	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	8	swings	swing	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	9	widely	widely	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	10	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	11	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	13	omitted	omit	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	116	14	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	1	In	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	2	summary	summary	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	3	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	5	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	6	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	7	β	β	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	8	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	9	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	11	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	12	key	key	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	13	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	14	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	15	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	16	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	17	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	18	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	19	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	20	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	22	robust	robust	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	23	against	against	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	24	sudden	sudden	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	25	changes	change	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	26	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	27	noise	noise	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	28	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	29	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	30	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	31	even	even	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	32	though	though	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	33	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	34	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	35	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	36	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	37	itself	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	38	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	39	unreliable	unreliable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	117	40	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	1	When	when	WRB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	3	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	4	begins	begin	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	5	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	6	saturate	saturate	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	7	among	among	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	8	population	population	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	10	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	11	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	12	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	13	β	β	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	14	as	as	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	15	well	well	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	16	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	17	q	q	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	18	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	19	unreliable	unreliable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	118	20	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	119	1	Analysis	Analysis	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	119	2	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	119	3	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	119	4	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	1	Next	next	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	4	present	present	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	8	Japanese	japanese	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	120	10	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	1	First	first	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	4	applied	apply	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	5	three	three	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	6	models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	7	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	8	const	const	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	10	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	12	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	13	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	14	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	15	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	17	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	19	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	21	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	22	Japanese	japanese	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	23	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	121	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	1	For	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	2	all	all	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	3	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	4	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	5	all	all	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	6	models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	7	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	8	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	9	<	<	XX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	10	1.1	1.1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	11	holds	hold	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	12	so	so	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	13	convergence	convergence	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	15	excellent	excellent	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	122	16	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	1	Then	then	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	2	two	two	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	3	information	information	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	4	criteria	criterion	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	6	PSIS	PSIS	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	8	LOO	LOO	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	10	CV	CV	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	11	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	12	WAIC	WAIC	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	13	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	14	applied	apply	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	15	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	16	const	const	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	17	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	18	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	20	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	21	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	22	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	23	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	24	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	123	25	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	124	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	124	2	results	result	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	124	3	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	124	4	shown	show	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	124	5	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	124	6	Table	Table	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	124	7	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	124	8	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	1	Table	table	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	2	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	4	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	6	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	7	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	8	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	10	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	11	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	13	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	14	best	good	JJS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	15	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	125	16	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	1	However	however	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	4	need	need	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	5	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	6	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	7	careful	careful	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	8	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	10	difference	difference	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	11	between	between	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	12	const	const	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	13	-	-	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	14	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	16	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	17	large	large	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	126	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	1	Further	further	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	3	there	there	EX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	5	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	6	data	data	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	7	point	point	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	8	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	9	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	10	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	11	Pareto	Pareto	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	13	k	k	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	14	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	15	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	16	importance	importance	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	17	weight	weight	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	18	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	20	larger	large	JJR
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	21	than	than	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	22	0.7	0.7	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	127	23	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	4	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	6	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	7	robust	robust	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	8	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	9	influenced	influence	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	10	too	too	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	11	much	much	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	12	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	13	small	small	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	14	numbers	number	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	15	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	17	points	point	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	128	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	1	Keeping	keep	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	2	this	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	3	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	4	mind	mind	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	7	tentatively	tentatively	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	8	choose	choose	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	9	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	11	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	12	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	14	analyze	analyze	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	15	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	16	result	result	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	17	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	18	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	20	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	129	21	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	1	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	2	.	.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	3	9	9	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	5	an	an	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	6	estimated	estimated	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	7	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	8	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	9	each	each	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	10	day	day	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	11	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	12	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	13	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	14	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	16	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	130	17	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	2	first	first	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	3	upward	upward	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	4	trend	trend	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	5	may	may	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	6	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	7	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	8	very	very	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	9	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	10	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	11	there	there	EX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	13	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	14	few	few	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	16	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	17	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	131	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	2	downward	downward	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	3	trend	trend	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	4	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	6	mid	mid	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	7	.	.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	8	February	February	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	9	until	until	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	10	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	11	mid	mid	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	12	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	13	March	March	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	14	could	could	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	15	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	16	March	March	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	17	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	18	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	19	tracking	tracking	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	20	effort	effort	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	21	might	may	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	22	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	23	overwhelmed	overwhelm	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	24	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	25	thus	thus	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	26	created	create	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	27	an	an	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	28	upward	upward	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	29	trend	trend	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	30	until	until	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	31	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	32	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	33	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	34	April	April	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	35	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	36	when	when	WRB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	37	"	"	``
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	38	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	39	state	state	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	40	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	41	emergency	emergency	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	42	"	"	''
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	43	was	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	44	declared	declare	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	45	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	46	major	major	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	47	urban	urban	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	48	areas	area	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	132	49	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	1	Since	since	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	2	then	then	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	3	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	4	there	there	EX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	5	was	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	6	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	7	downward	downward	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	8	trend	trend	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	10	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	11	now	now	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	12	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	14	below	below	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	15	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	133	16	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	134	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	134	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	134	3	currently	currently	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	134	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	134	5	infection	infection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	134	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	134	7	shrinking	shrink	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	134	8	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	1	Before	before	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	2	going	go	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	4	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	5	other	other	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	6	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	7	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	9	analyze	analyze	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	10	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	11	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	13	result	result	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	14	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	15	prior	prior	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	16	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	17	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	18	Japanese	japanese	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	20	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	21	an	an	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	22	example	example	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	135	23	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	1	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	2	.	.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	3	9	9	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	5	an	an	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	6	estimated	estimated	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	7	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	8	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	9	each	each	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	10	day	day	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	11	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	12	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	13	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	14	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	16	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	136	17	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	2	blue	blue	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	3	line	line	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	6	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	8	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	9	based	base	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	10	on	on	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	11	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	12	prior	prior	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	13	σ	σ	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	14	b	b	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	15	∼	∼	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	16	Exponential	Exponential	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	18	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	20	throughout	throughout	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	21	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	22	this	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	23	paper	paper	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	137	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	2	orange	orange	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	3	line	line	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	5	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	6	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	8	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	9	based	base	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	10	on	on	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	11	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	12	prior	prior	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	13	σ	σ	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	14	b	b	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	15	∼	∼	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	16	Exponential(0.1	Exponential(0.1	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	138	18	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	1	There	there	EX
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	3	no	no	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	4	significant	significant	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	5	difference	difference	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	6	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	7	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	8	between	between	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	9	two	two	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	10	priors	prior	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	11	;	;	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	12	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	14	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	15	safely	safely	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	16	conclude	conclude	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	17	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	18	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	19	effect	effect	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	20	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	21	prior	prior	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	23	small	small	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	139	24	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	140	1	Comparison	comparison	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	140	2	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	140	3	Denmark	Denmark	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	140	4	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	140	5	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	140	6	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	141	1	Next	next	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	141	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	141	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	141	4	compare	compare	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	141	5	Denmark	Denmark	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	141	6	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	141	7	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	141	8	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	1	These	these	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	2	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	3	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	4	economically	economically	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	5	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	6	socially	socially	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	7	similar	similar	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	8	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	10	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	11	employed	employ	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	12	very	very	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	13	different	different	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	14	policies	policy	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	15	against	against	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	16	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	142	17	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	2	applied	apply	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	4	same	same	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	5	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	6	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	7	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	8	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	10	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	11	two	two	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	12	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	143	13	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	1	All	all	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	2	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	3	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	4	converged	converge	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	5	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	6	information	information	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	7	criteria	criterion	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	8	favor	favor	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	9	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	11	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	12	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	144	13	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	1	For	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	2	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	3	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	5	only	only	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	6	applied	apply	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	8	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	9	Mar	Mar	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	10	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	145	11	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	1	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	2	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	3	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	5	only	only	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	6	appear	appear	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	7	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	8	February	February	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	9	27	27	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	146	10	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	2	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	3	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	4	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	5	shows	show	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	6	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	7	lock	lock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	9	down	down	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	10	introduced	introduce	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	11	March	March	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	12	13	13	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	147	13	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	148	1	was	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	148	2	effective	effective	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	148	3	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	148	4	put	put	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	148	5	down	down	RP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	148	6	R.	R.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	1	However	however	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	3	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	4	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	6	which	which	WDT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	7	did	do	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	8	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	9	employ	employ	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	10	lock	lock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	12	down	down	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	13	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	14	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	15	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	16	gradually	gradually	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	17	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	18	now	now	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	19	R	r	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	21	almost	almost	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	22	same	same	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	23	between	between	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	24	Denmark	Denmark	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	25	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	26	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	149	27	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	1	This	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	2	might	may	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	3	suggest	suggest	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	4	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	5	lock	lock	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	7	down	down	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	9	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	10	very	very	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	11	effective	effective	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	12	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	13	long	long	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	14	run	run	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	15	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	16	might	may	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	17	also	also	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	18	due	due	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	19	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	20	unfavorable	unfavorable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	21	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	22	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	23	Denmark	Denmark	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	24	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	25	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	26	example	example	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	27	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	28	higher	high	JJR
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	29	population	population	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	30	density	density	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	150	31	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	151	1	Multi	multi	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	151	2	-	-	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	151	3	national	national	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	151	4	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	151	5	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	1	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	2	.	.	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	3	13	13	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	4	shows	show	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	5	daily	daily	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	6	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	7	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	8	R	R	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	9	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	10	China	China	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	11	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	12	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	13	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	14	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	15	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	16	US	US	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	152	17	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	2	same	same	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	3	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	4	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	5	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	6	was	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	7	applied	apply	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	8	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	10	rest	rest	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	11	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	12	countries	country	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	13	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	14	adequacy	adequacy	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	15	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	16	varied	varied	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	18	q	q	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	19	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	20	was	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	21	verified	verify	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	153	22	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	1	For	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	2	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	3	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	5	only	only	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	6	apply	apply	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	8	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	9	March	March	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	10	1	1	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	11	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	154	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	1	because	because	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	2	otherwise	otherwise	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	4	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	5	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	6	did	do	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	7	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	8	converge	converge	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	155	9	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	2	same	same	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	3	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	4	was	be	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	5	applied	apply	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	6	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	7	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	8	but	but	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	9	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	10	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	11	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	12	does	do	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	13	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	14	converge	converge	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	156	15	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	2	results	result	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	3	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	4	that	that	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	5	China	China	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	6	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	7	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	8	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	9	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	10	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	11	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	13	US	US	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	14	are	be	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	15	about	about	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	16	to	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	17	exit	exit	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	157	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	2	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	3	used	use	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	4	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	5	this	this	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	6	paper	paper	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	7	has	have	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	8	several	several	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	9	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	158	10	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	1	First	first	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	3	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	4	experiment	experiment	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	5	used	use	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	6	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	8	revealed	reveal	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	9	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	10	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	11	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	12	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	13	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	14	determine	determine	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	15	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	16	true	true	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	17	level	level	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	18	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	19	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	20	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	21	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	22	nor	nor	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	23	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	24	long	long	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	26	term	term	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	27	trends	trend	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	159	28	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	1	To	to	TO
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	2	find	find	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	3	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	4	true	true	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	5	detection	detection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	7	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	9	need	need	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	10	different	different	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	11	kind	kind	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	12	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	14	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	15	such	such	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	16	as	as	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	17	excess	excess	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	18	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	160	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	1	Second	second	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	4	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	5	uses	use	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	6	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	7	naive	naive	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	8	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	9	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	10	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	11	does	do	VBZ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	12	not	not	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	13	consider	consider	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	14	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	15	period	period	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	16	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	17	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	18	delay	delay	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	161	19	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	2	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	3	reconstruct	reconstruct	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	4	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	5	date	date	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	6	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	7	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	8	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	9	back	back	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	10	projection	projection	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	11	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	12	so	so	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	13	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	14	would	would	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	15	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	16	interesting	interesting	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	17	apply	apply	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	18	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	19	method	method	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	20	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	21	such	such	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	162	23	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	2	solid	solid	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	3	lines	line	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	4	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	5	means	mean	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	6	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	7	shades	shade	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	8	with	with	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	9	same	same	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	10	colors	color	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	11	show	show	VBP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	12	standard	standard	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	13	deviation	deviation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	14	Athanasios	Athanasios	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	15	Tsakris	Tsakris	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	16	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	17	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	18	Constantinos	Constantinos	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	19	Siettos	Siettos	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	163	20	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	1	Data	data	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	3	based	base	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	4	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	5	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	6	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	7	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	8	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	9	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	10	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	11	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	12	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	13	Chinese	chinese	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	14	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	164	15	Italian	italian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	1	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	2	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	3	can	can	MD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	4	be	be	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	5	correctly	correctly	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	6	described	describe	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	7	by	by	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	8	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	9	modified	modify	VBN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	10	SIRD	SIRD	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	11	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	165	12	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	2	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	3	page	page	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	4	2020	2020	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	5	Stan	Stan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	6	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	7	A	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	8	probabilistic	probabilistic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	9	programming	programming	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	10	language	language	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	11	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	13	number	number	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	14	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	15	infections	infection	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	16	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	17	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	18	impact	impact	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	19	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	20	non	non	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	21	ArviZ	ArviZ	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	22	a	a	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	23	unified	unified	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	24	library	library	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	25	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	26	exploratory	exploratory	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	27	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	28	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	29	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	30	models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	31	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	32	Python	Python	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	33	Analyzing	Analyzing	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	34	covid-19	covid-19	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	35	data	datum	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	36	with	with	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	37	sird	sird	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	166	38	models	model	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	1	Practical	practical	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	2	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	3	model	model	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	4	evaluation	evaluation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	5	using	use	VBG
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	6	leave	leave	VB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	8	one	one	CD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	10	out	out	RP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	11	cross	cross	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	12	-	-	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	13	validation	validation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	14	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	15	WAIC	WAIC	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	16	Asymptotic	asymptotic	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	17	equivalence	equivalence	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	18	of	of	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	19	bayes	bayes	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	20	cross	cross	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	21	validation	validation	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	22	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	23	widely	widely	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	24	applicable	applicable	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	25	information	information	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	26	criterion	criterion	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	27	in	in	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	28	singular	singular	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	29	learning	learning	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	30	theory	theory	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	31	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	32	E	e	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	33	-	-	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	34	mail	mail	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	35	address	address	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	36	:	:	:
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	167	37	yoriyuki.yamagata@aist.go.jp	yoriyuki.yamagata@aist.go.jp	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	2	author	author	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	3	thanks	thank	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	4	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	5	Kentaro	Kentaro	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	6	Matsuura	Matsuura	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	7	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	8	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	9	Tokyo	Tokyo	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	168	10	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	1	R	R	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	2	Slack	Slack	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	3	group	group	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	4	for	for	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	5	many	many	JJ
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	6	suggestions	suggestion	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	7	and	and	CC
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	8	advice	advice	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	9	on	on	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	10	Bayesian	Bayesian	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	11	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	169	12	.	.	.
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	1	The	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	2	author	author	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	3	also	also	RB
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	4	thanks	thank	NNS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	5	to	to	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	6	Peter	Peter	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	7	Turchin	Turchin	NNP
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	8	,	,	,
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	9	from	from	IN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	10	whose	whose	WP$
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	11	work	work	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	12	the	the	DT
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	13	author	author	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	14	's	's	POS
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	15	work	work	NN
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	16	started	start	VBD
cord-160382-8n3s5j8w	170	17	.	.	.