id sid tid token lemma pos cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 1 key key JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 2 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 3 cord-229393-t3cpzmwj cord-229393-t3cpzmwj NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 4 authors author NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 5 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 6 Srivastava Srivastava NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 7 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 8 Ajitesh Ajitesh NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 9 ; ; : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 10 Prasanna Prasanna NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 11 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 12 Viktor Viktor NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 13 K. K. NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 14 title title NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 15 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 16 Learning learn VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 17 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 18 Forecast Forecast NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 19 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 20 Forecasting forecasting NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 21 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 22 Learn learn VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 23 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 24 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 26 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 27 date date NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 28 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 29 2020 2020 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 30 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 31 04 04 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 32 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 33 23 23 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 34 journal journal NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 35 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 36 nan nan NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 37 DOI DOI NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 38 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 39 nan nan NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 40 sha sha NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 41 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 42 079306f60bddd50ab614f308e00e3148e6df5354 079306f60bddd50ab614f308e00e3148e6df5354 NFP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 43 doc_id doc_id CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 44 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 45 229393 229393 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 46 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 1 47 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 2 1 t3cpzmwj t3cpzmwj NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 1 Accurate accurate JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 2 forecasts forecast NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 3 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 4 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 5 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 6 central central JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 7 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 8 resource resource NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 9 management management NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 10 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 11 building building NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 12 strategies strategy NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 13 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 14 deal deal VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 15 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 16 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 3 18 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 2 propose propose VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 3 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 4 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 5 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 6 rate rate NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 7 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 8 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 9 human human JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 10 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 11 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 13 modeling modeling NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 14 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 15 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 16 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 17 version version NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 18 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 19 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 21 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 22 successfully successfully RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 23 used use VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 24 during during IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 25 DARPA DARPA NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 26 Grand Grand NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 27 Challenge Challenge NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 28 2014 2014 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 4 29 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 1 By by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 2 linearizing linearize VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 4 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 5 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 6 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 7 weighted weighted JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 8 least least JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 9 squares square NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 10 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 11 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 12 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 13 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 14 able able JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 15 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 16 quickly quickly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 17 adapt adapt VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 18 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 19 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 20 trends trend NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 21 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 22 provide provide VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 23 extremely extremely RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 24 accurate accurate JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 25 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 26 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 27 confirmed confirm VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 28 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 29 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 30 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 31 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 32 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 33 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 34 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 35 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 36 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 37 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 38 United United NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 39 States States NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 5 40 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 2 show show VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 3 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 4 during during IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 6 earlier early JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 7 part part NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 9 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 11 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 12 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 13 travel travel NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 14 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 15 increases increase VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 16 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 17 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 6 18 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 1 Training train VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 3 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 4 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 5 forecast forecast VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 6 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 7 enables enable VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 8 learning learn VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 9 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 7 13 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 1 In in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 2 particular particular JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 3 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 5 show show VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 6 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 7 changes change NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 8 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 9 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 11 over over IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 12 time time NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 13 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 14 help help VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 15 us -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 16 quantify quantify VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 17 how how WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 18 well well RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 19 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 20 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 21 or or CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 22 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 23 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 24 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 25 responded respond VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 26 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 27 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 28 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 8 29 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 2 variations variation NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 3 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 5 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 6 allow allow VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 7 us -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 8 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 9 forecast forecast VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 10 different different JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 11 scenarios scenario NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 12 such such JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 13 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 14 what what WP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 15 would would MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 16 happen happen VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 17 if if IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 19 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 20 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 21 disregard disregard VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 22 social social JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 23 distancing distancing NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 24 suggestions suggestion NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 9 25 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 2 recent recent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 3 outbreak outbreak NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 4 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 6 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 7 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 8 world world NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 9 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 10 wide wide JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 11 panic panic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 12 surrounding surround VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 14 calls call VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 15 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 16 urgent urgent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 17 measures measure NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 18 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 19 contain contain VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 20 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 10 22 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 1 Predicting predict VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 3 speed speed NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 4 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 5 severity severity NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 6 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 8 diseases disease NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 9 like like IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 11 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 12 allocating allocate VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 13 medical medical JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 14 resources resource NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 15 appropriately appropriately RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 16 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 17 central central JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 18 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 19 dealing deal VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 20 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 21 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 11 22 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 2 role role NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 3 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 4 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 5 science science NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 6 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 7 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 8 issue issue NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 9 was be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 10 brought bring VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 11 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 12 light light NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 13 when when WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 14 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 15 December December NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 16 2013 2013 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 17 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 18 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 19 first first JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 20 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 21 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 22 Chikungunya Chikungunya NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 23 virus virus NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 24 appeared appear VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 25 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 26 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 27 Americas Americas NNPS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 12 28 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 1 In in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 2 2014 2014 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 3 DARPA DARPA NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 4 announced announce VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 5 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 6 Grand Grand NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 7 Challenge Challenge NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 9 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 11 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 12 predict predict VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 13 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 14 spread spread NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 15 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 16 Chikungunya Chikungunya NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 17 virus virus NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 18 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 19 55 55 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 20 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 21 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 22 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 23 western western JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 24 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 13 25 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 1 Through through IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 2 monthly monthly JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 3 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 4 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 5 reevaluation reevaluation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 6 over over IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 7 seven seven CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 8 months month NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 9 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 10 DARPA DARPA NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 11 announced announce VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 13 top top JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 14 winners winner NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 15 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 16 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 17 challenge challenge NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 18 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 19 included include VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 20 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 21 team team NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 23 2 2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 14 25 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 1 While while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 2 many many JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 3 winning winning NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 4 methods method NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 5 relied rely VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 6 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 7 manual manual JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 8 adjustments adjustment NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 9 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 10 generating generate VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 11 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 12 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 13 ours -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 14 was be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 15 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 16 completely completely RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 17 automated automate VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 18 approach approach NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 19 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 20 thus thus RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 21 more more RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 22 generalizable generalizable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 15 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 1 However however RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 3 training train VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 4 such such PDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 5 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 6 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 7 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 8 rapidly rapidly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 9 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 11 trends trend NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 12 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 13 difficult difficult JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 16 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 1 Often often RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 2 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 3 models model NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 4 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 5 trained train VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 6 through through IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 7 numerical numerical JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 8 solutions solution NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 9 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 10 differential differential JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 11 equations equation NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 13 3 3 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 15 or or CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 16 through through IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 17 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 18 inference inference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 20 4 4 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 21 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 22 5 5 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 17 24 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 1 Instead instead RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 4 transform transform VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 6 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 7 into into IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 8 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 9 linear linear JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 10 system system NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 11 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 12 train train VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 14 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 15 weighted weighted JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 16 least least JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 17 squares square NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 18 18 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 2 more more RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 3 recent recent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 4 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 5 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 6 more more RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 7 heavily heavily RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 8 weighted weight VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 9 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 10 adapt adapt VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 11 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 12 rapidly rapidly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 13 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 14 trends trend NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 19 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 1 Further further RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 4 explore explore VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 5 various various JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 6 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 7 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 8 parameter parameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 9 selection selection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 10 strategies strategy NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 11 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 12 identify identify VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 13 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 14 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 15 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 20 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 1 Learning learn VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 3 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 4 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 5 enables enable VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 6 understanding understanding NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 7 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 13 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 14 how how WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 16 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 17 changed change VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 18 over over IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 19 time time NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 21 20 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 2 utilize utilize VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 4 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 6 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 7 study study VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 8 how how WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 9 various various JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 10 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 11 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 12 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 13 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 14 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 15 responded respond VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 16 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 22 19 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 23 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 23 2 do do VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 23 3 so so RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 23 4 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 23 5 proposing propose VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 23 6 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 23 7 measures measure NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 23 8 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 2 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 4 Contact Contact NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 5 Reduction Reduction NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 6 Score Score NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 7 that that WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 8 measure measure VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 9 how how WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 10 much much JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 11 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 12 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 13 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 14 reduced reduce VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 15 transmission transmission NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 16 ; ; , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 18 ii ii NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 20 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 21 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 22 Reduction Reduction NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 23 Score Score NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 24 that that WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 25 measures measure VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 26 how how WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 27 much much JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 28 reduction reduction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 29 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 30 confirmed confirm VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 31 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 32 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 33 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 34 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 35 achieved achieve VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 36 compared compare VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 37 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 38 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 39 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 40 scenario scenario NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 41 where where WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 42 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 43 trends trend NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 44 had have VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 45 remained remain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 46 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 47 same same JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 48 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 49 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 50 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 51 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 52 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 53 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 54 past past NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 24 55 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 1 Further further RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 3 enables enable VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 4 analysis analysis NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 5 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 6 scenarios scenario NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 7 into into IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 9 future future NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 10 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 11 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 12 instance instance NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 13 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 14 what what WP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 15 would would MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 16 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 18 trend trend NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 19 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 20 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 22 if if IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 23 social social JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 24 distancing distancing NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 25 orders order NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 26 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 27 released release VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 25 28 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 1 While while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 3 perform perform VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 5 analysis analysis NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 6 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 7 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 8 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 9 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 10 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 26 11 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 1 In in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 3 future future NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 6 plan plan VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 7 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 8 generate generate VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 9 similar similar JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 10 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 11 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 12 county county NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 13 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 14 city city NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 15 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 27 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 1 Applying apply VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 2 such such JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 3 machine machine NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 4 learning learning NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 5 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 6 based base VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 7 models model NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 8 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 9 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 10 finer fine JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 11 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 13 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 14 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 15 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 16 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 17 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 18 cities city NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 20 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 21 larger large JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 22 scale scale NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 24 more more RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 25 ' ' `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 26 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 27 ' ' '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 28 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 29 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 30 world world NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 32 brings bring VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 33 unique unique JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 34 challenges challenge NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 35 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 36 terms term NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 37 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 38 unreported unreported JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 39 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 40 noisy noisy JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 41 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 42 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 43 large large JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 44 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 45 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 46 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 47 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 48 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 49 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 50 will will MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 51 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 52 explored explore VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 53 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 54 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 55 future future JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 56 work work NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 28 57 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 1 In in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 2 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 3 paper paper NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 6 present present VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 7 some some DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 10 initial initial JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 11 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 12 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 13 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 14 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 15 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 16 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 17 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 18 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 29 19 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 2 forecast forecast VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 3 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 4 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 5 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 6 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 7 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 8 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 9 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 10 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 11 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 12 all all PDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 13 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 14 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 30 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 2 understand understand VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 3 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 4 majority majority NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 5 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 6 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 7 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 8 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 9 conjectured conjecture VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 10 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 11 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 12 unreported unreported JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 14 6 6 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 31 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 2 still still RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 3 believe believe VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 4 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 5 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 6 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 7 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 8 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 9 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 10 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 11 good good JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 12 indicator indicator NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 14 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 15 stress stress NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 16 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 18 healthcare healthcare NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 19 system system NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 32 20 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 1 Henceforth henceforth RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 3 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 4 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 5 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 6 infected infected JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 7 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 8 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 9 refers refer VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 10 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 12 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 14 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 15 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 33 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 1 In in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 2 future future JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 3 work work NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 6 plan plan VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 7 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 8 incorporate incorporate VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 9 modeling modeling NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 11 unreported unreported JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 12 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 13 informed inform VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 14 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 15 various various JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 16 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 17 antibodies antibody NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 18 studies study NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 34 19 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 2 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 3 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 4 developing develop VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 5 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 6 interactive interactive JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 7 customizable customizable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 8 tool tool NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 9 that that WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 10 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 11 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 12 used use VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 13 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 14 perform perform VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 15 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 16 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 17 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 18 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 35 19 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 1 A a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 2 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 3 version version NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 4 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 6 tool tool NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 7 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 8 been be VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 9 made make VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 10 publicly publicly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 11 available available JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 12 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 36 13 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 2 propose propose VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 3 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 5 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 7 Fig fig NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 8 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 9 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 11 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 12 spread spread NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 14 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 15 virus virus NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 16 like like IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 17 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 18 across across IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 19 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 20 world world NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 21 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 22 captures capture VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 24 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 26 temporally temporally RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 27 varying vary VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 28 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 29 rates rate NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 31 ii ii NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 33 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 34 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 35 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 36 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 38 iii iii NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 40 human human JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 41 mobilty mobilty NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 42 patterns pattern NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 37 43 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 1 Within within IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 2 every every DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 3 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 5 hospital hospital NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 6 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 7 city city NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 8 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 9 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 10 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 11 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 13 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 14 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 15 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 16 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 17 exist exist VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 18 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 19 either either DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 20 one one CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 21 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 22 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 23 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 24 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 25 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 26 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 27 infected infected JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 38 28 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 1 A a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 2 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 3 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 4 gets get VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 5 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 6 when when WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 7 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 8 contact contact NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 9 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 10 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 11 infected infected JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 12 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 13 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 14 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 15 rate rate NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 16 depending depend VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 17 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 18 when when WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 19 that that DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 20 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 21 got get VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 22 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 23 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 24 i.e. i.e. FW cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 25 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 26 rate rate NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 27 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 28 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 29 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 30 β β NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 31 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 32 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 33 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 34 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 35 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 36 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 37 t t NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 38 − − NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 39 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 39 40 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 1 β β NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 2 2 2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 3 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 4 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 5 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 6 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 7 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 8 t t NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 9 − − NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 10 2 2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 11 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 12 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 13 so so RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 14 on on RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 15 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 16 thus thus RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 17 resulting result VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 18 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 19 k k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 20 sub sub NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 21 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 22 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 23 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 24 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 40 25 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 2 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 3 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 4 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 5 how how WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 6 actively actively RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 7 one one PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 8 passes pass VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 9 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 10 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 11 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 12 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 13 affected affect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 14 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 15 when when WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 16 they -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 17 get get VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 18 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 41 19 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 2 assume assume VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 3 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 4 after after IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 5 being be VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 6 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 7 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 8 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 9 certain certain JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 10 time time NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 11 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 12 individuals individual NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 13 no no RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 14 longer longer RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 15 spread spread VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 16 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 17 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 18 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 19 i.e. i.e. FW cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 20 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 21 ∃k ∃k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 22 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 23 such such JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 42 24 that that DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 43 1 β β NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 43 2 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 43 3 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 43 4 0∀i 0∀i NFP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 44 1 > > XX cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 1 k. k. NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 2 Also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 3 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 4 people people NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 5 traveling travel VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 6 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 7 other other JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 8 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 9 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 10 increase increase VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 12 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 14 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 15 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 16 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 17 given give VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 18 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 19 https://jaminche.github.io/COVID-19/ https://jaminche.github.io/COVID-19/ NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 20 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 45 21 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 2 assume assume VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 3 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 4 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 5 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 6 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 7 happen happen VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 8 because because IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 9 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 10 human human JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 11 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 46 12 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 1 Suppose suppose VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 2 F F NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 4 q q NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 6 p p NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 8 represents represent VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 9 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 10 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 11 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 12 q q NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 13 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 47 14 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 48 1 p. p. NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 2 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 3 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 4 represented represent VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 5 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 6 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 7 following follow VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 8 system system NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 9 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 10 equations equation NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 49 11 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 1 Here here RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 3 S s NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 4 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 5 t t NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 6 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 7 I i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 8 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 9 t t NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 10 represent represent VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 12 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 14 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 15 individuals individual NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 16 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 17 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 18 individuals individual NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 19 respectively respectively RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 20 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 21 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 22 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 23 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 24 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 50 25 time time NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 1 t. t. NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 2 Parameter Parameter NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 3 δ δ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 4 captures capture VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 6 influence influence NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 7 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 8 passengers passenger NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 9 coming come VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 10 into into IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 12 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 51 13 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 1 To to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 2 deal deal VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 3 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 4 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 5 fact fact NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 6 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 7 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 8 large large JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 9 values value NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 11 k k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 12 may may MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 13 overfit overfit VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 14 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 15 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 16 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 17 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 18 data data NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 19 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 20 likely likely JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 21 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 22 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 23 noisy noisy JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 24 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 25 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 26 incorporate incorporate VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 27 another another DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 28 hyperparameter hyperparameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 29 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 30 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 31 Eq Eq NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 32 2 2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 33 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 34 follows follow VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 52 35 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 2 creates create VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 3 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 4 dependency dependency NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 5 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 6 last last JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 7 kJ kJ NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 8 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 9 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 10 k k NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 12 while while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 13 having have VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 14 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 15 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 16 smoothing smooth VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 17 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 18 effect effect NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 19 due due IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 20 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 21 combining combine VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 22 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 23 over over IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 24 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 25 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 53 26 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 1 Note note VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 2 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 3 if if IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 5 set set VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 6 k k NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 7 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 8 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 9 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 10 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 11 = = NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 12 ∞ ∞ NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 13 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 14 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 15 ignore ignore VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 16 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 18 δ δ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 19 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 20 0 0 NFP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 22 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 23 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 24 reduces reduce VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 25 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 26 Suceptible Suceptible NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 27 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 28 Infected infected JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 30 SI SI NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 32 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 34 7 7 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 54 36 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 1 On on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 3 other other JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 4 hand hand NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 6 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 7 bounded bound VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 8 k k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 9 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 10 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 11 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 12 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 55 13 < < XX cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 1 ∞ ∞ NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 4 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 5 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 6 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 7 variation variation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 9 Suceptible Suceptible NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 10 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 11 Infected Infected NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 12 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 13 Released release VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 14 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 15 Recovered recover VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 17 SIR SIR NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 19 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 21 8 8 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 23 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 24 where where WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 25 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 26 infected infected JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 27 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 28 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 29 active active JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 30 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 31 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 32 units unit NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 33 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 34 time time NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 56 35 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 1 While while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 3 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 4 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 5 applicable applicable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 6 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 7 any any DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 8 definition definition NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 9 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 10 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 11 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 12 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 13 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 14 work work NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 15 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 17 focus focus VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 18 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 19 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 20 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 21 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 22 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 23 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 24 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 25 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 26 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 27 forecasts forecast NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 28 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 29 only only RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 57 30 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 1 Further further RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 3 there there EX cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 4 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 5 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 6 lag lag NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 7 between between IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 8 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 9 individual individual JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 10 contracting contract VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 12 virus virus NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 13 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 14 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 15 case case NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 16 being be VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 17 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 58 18 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 2 do do VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 3 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 4 account account VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 5 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 6 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 7 lag lag NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 8 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 9 assuming assume VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 10 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 12 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 13 constant constant JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 59 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 1 County county NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 2 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 3 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 4 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 5 city city NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 6 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 7 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 8 forecasting forecasting NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 9 accounting accounting NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 10 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 12 lag lag NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 13 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 14 unreported unreported JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 15 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 16 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 17 planned plan VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 18 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 19 future future JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 20 work work NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 60 21 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 1 To to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 2 train train VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 4 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 7 linearize linearize VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 9 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 10 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 11 setting set VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 61 12 δ δ . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 1 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 2 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 3 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 4 δβ δβ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 5 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 6 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 7 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 8 learning learn VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 10 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 11 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 12 independent independent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 13 parameter parameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 62 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 2 makes make VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 4 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 5 more more RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 6 general general JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 7 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 8 allowing allow VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 9 different different JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 10 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 11 rates rate NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 12 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 13 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 14 travelers traveler NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 63 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 2 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 3 different different JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 4 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 5 traditional traditional JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 6 approach approach NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 7 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 8 fitting fit VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 9 one one CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 10 curve curve NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 11 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 13 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 14 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 15 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 16 initial initial JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 17 values value NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 18 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 19 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 20 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 21 computationally computationally RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 22 expensive expensive JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 23 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 24 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 25 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 26 capture capture VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 27 rapidly rapidly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 28 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 29 trends trend NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 64 30 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 1 Let let VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 2 Then then RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 3 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 5 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 6 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 7 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 8 represented represent VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 9 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 10 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 11 linear linear JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 12 equation equation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 13 ∆I ∆i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 14 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 15 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 16 allows allow VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 17 us -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 18 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 19 learn learn VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 20 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 22 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 23 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 24 constrained constrained JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 25 linear linear JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 26 solver solver NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 65 27 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 2 formulation formulation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 3 works work VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 4 only only RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 5 if if IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 6 k k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 7 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 8 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 9 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 10 same same JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 11 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 12 all all DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 13 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 66 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 1 To to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 2 allow allow VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 3 different different JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 4 hyper hyper NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 5 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 7 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 8 different different JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 9 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 10 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 12 used use VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 13 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 14 further further JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 15 simplification simplification NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 16 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 17 And and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 18 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 19 To to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 20 incorporate incorporate VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 21 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 22 fast fast JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 23 evolving evolve VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 24 trend trend NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 25 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 26 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 27 due due IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 28 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 29 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 30 policies policy NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 31 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 32 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 33 use use VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 34 weighted weighted JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 35 least least RBS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 36 squared squared JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 37 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 38 learn learn VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 67 39 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 1 β β NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 2 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 3 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 4 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 5 δ δ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 6 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 7 i i PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 8 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 9 available available JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 10 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 11 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 68 12 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 2 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 3 fit fit NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 4 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 6 least least JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 7 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 8 squares square NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 9 sense sense NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 10 minimizes minimize VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 12 sum sum NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 14 squared squared JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 15 weighted weighted JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 16 residuals residual NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 17 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 18 i.e. i.e. FW cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 19 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 20 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 21 difference difference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 22 between between IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 23 observed observed JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 24 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 25 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 26 predicted predict VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 27 values value NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 28 provided provide VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 29 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 30 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 31 learned learn VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 32 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 69 33 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 2 incorporate incorporate VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 3 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 4 forgetting forget VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 5 factor factor NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 6 α α NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 7 ≤ ≤ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 8 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 9 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 10 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 11 minimization minimization NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 12 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 13 put put VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 14 more more JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 15 weight weight NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 16 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 18 recent recent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 19 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 20 trend trend NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 21 when when WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 22 learning learn VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 23 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 24 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 70 25 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 1 Lower low JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 2 α α NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 3 implies imply VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 4 more more JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 5 emphasis emphasis NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 6 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 7 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 8 more more RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 9 recent recent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 10 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 71 11 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 2 compute compute VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 4 minimum minimum NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 5 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 6 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 7 sum sum NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 9 squares square NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 11 weighted weighted JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 12 errors error NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 13 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 14 where where WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 15 ∆Î ∆Î NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 16 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 17 t t NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 18 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 19 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 20 actual actual JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 21 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 22 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 23 newly newly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 24 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 25 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 72 26 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 2 present present VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 4 analysis analysis NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 5 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 6 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 7 datasets dataset NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 8 -(i -(i . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 73 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 1 Global global JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 2 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 3 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 4 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 5 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 6 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 7 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 8 each each DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 9 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 10 defined define VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 11 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 12 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 13 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 14 ; ; , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 15 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 17 ii ii NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 19 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 20 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 21 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 22 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 23 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 24 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 25 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 26 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 27 Unites unite VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 28 States States NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 29 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 30 each each DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 31 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 32 defined define VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 33 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 34 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 35 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 74 36 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 1 Country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 2 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 3 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 4 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 5 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 6 derived derive VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 7 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 9 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 10 obtained obtain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 11 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 12 JHU JHU NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 13 CSSE CSSE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 14 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 15 dataset dataset NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 17 9 9 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 75 19 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 1 Population population NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 2 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 4 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 5 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 6 obtained obtain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 7 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 9 World World NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 10 Bank Bank NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 11 dataset dataset NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 13 10 10 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 76 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 1 Inter inter JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 2 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 3 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 4 travel travel NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 5 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 6 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 7 obtained obtain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 8 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 9 KCMD KCMD NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 10 Global Global NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 11 Transnational Transnational NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 12 Mobility Mobility NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 13 dataset dataset NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 15 10 10 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 17 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 18 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 19 makes make VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 20 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 21 estimation estimation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 22 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 23 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 24 basis basis NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 25 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 26 global global JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 27 statistics statistic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 28 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 29 tourism tourism NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 30 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 31 air air NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 32 passenger passenger NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 33 traffic traffic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 77 34 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 1 Number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 2 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 3 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 4 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 5 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 6 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 7 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 8 obtained obtain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 9 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 10 confirmed confirm VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 11 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 12 compiled compile VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 13 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 14 New New NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 15 York York NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 16 Times Times NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 18 11 11 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 78 20 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 1 Population population NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 2 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 3 each each DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 4 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 5 was be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 6 obtained obtain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 7 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 8 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 9 Census Census NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 10 Bureau Bureau NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 12 12 12 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 79 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 1 Inter inter JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 2 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 3 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 4 travel travel NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 5 was be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 6 estimated estimate VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 7 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 8 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 9 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 10 flights flight NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 11 flying fly VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 12 between between IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 13 airports airport NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 14 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 15 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 16 United United NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 17 States States NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 19 13 13 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 80 21 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 2 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 3 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 5 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 6 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 7 picked pick VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 8 include include VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 9 k k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 10 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 11 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 12 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 13 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 14 α α NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 81 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 2 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 3 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 4 - - NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 5 parameter parameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 6 set set NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 7 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 8 identified identify VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 9 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 10 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 11 grid grid NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 12 search search NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 13 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 14 k k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 15 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 16 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 17 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 18 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 19 α α NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 20 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 21 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 22 minimizes minimize VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 23 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 24 Root Root NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 25 Mean Mean NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 26 Squared Squared NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 27 Error Error NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 28 over over IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 29 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 30 validation validation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 31 set set VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 32 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 33 H h NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 34 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 35 3 3 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 36 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 37 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 38 pick pick VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 39 α α NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 40 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 41 { { -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 42 0.1 0.1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 43 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 44 0.2 0.2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 45 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 46 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 47 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 82 48 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 1 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 2 1.0 1.0 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 3 } } -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 5 while while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 6 k k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 7 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 8 J J NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 9 ∈ ∈ NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 10 { { -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 11 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 12 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 13 2 2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 14 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 83 17 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 84 1 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 84 2 14 14 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 84 3 } } -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 84 4 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 2 enforce enforce VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 3 Jk Jk NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 4 ≤ ≤ NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 5 14 14 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 6 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 7 so so IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 8 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 9 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 10 dependence dependence NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 11 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 12 new new JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 13 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 14 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 15 bounded bound VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 16 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 18 previous previous JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 19 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 20 weeks week NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 85 21 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 2 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 3 along along IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 4 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 5 lines line NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 6 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 7 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 8 motivation motivation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 9 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 10 14 14 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 11 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 12 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 13 quarantine quarantine NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 14 2 2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 86 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 2 experiment experiment VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 3 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 4 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 5 methods method NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 6 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 7 setting set VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 9 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 10 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 12 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 14 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 16 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 17 -same -same HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 18 set set NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 19 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 20 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 21 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 22 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 23 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 24 all all DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 25 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 26 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 27 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 29 ii ii NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 31 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 32 -specialized -specialized JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 33 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 34 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 35 each each DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 36 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 37 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 38 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 87 39 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 88 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 88 2 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 88 3 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 88 4 presented present VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 88 5 next next RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 88 6 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 2 evaluated evaluate VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 4 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 5 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 6 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 7 horizon horizon NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 8 H h NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 9 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 10 3 3 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 11 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 12 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 13 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 14 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 15 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 16 selection selection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 17 schemes scheme NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 18 termed term VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 19 SI si NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 20 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 21 kJα kJα NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 23 variable variable NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 25 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 26 SI si NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 27 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 28 kJα kJα NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 30 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 89 32 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 2 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 3 heper heper NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 4 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 6 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 7 selected select VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 8 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 9 further further RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 10 splitting split VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 12 training training NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 13 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 14 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 15 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 16 set set VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 18 last last JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 19 three three CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 20 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 21 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 22 validation validation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 90 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 2 compare compare VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 3 these these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 4 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 5 against against IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 6 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 7 recent recent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 8 generalized generalized JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 9 version version NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 11 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 12 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 14 14 14 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 91 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 1 Besides besides IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 2 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 3 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 5 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 6 measure measure VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 7 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 8 mean mean JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 9 absolute absolute JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 10 percentage percentage NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 11 error error NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 12 given give VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 13 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 14 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 15 comparison comparison NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 16 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 17 shown show VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 18 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 19 Tab Tab NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 92 20 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 93 1 1 1 LS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 93 2 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 2 used use VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 3 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 4 publicly publicly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 5 available available JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 6 implementation implementation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 7 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 9 baseline baseline JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 10 3 3 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 94 11 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 2 observe observe VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 3 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 4 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 5 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 6 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 7 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 8 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 9 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 10 parameter parameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 11 selections selection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 12 widely widely RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 13 outperformed outperform VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 14 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 15 baseline baseline NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 95 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 1 Performances performance NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 2 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 3 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 4 fixed fixed JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 5 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 6 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 7 scheme scheme NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 8 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 9 comparable comparable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 96 10 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 2 use use VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 4 average average NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 5 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 6 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 7 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 8 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 9 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 10 ' ' `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 11 ensemble ensemble NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 12 ' ' '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 13 prediction prediction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 14 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 15 performed perform VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 16 better well RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 17 than than IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 18 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 19 schemes scheme NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 20 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 21 individually individually RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 97 22 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 2 should should MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 3 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 4 noted note VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 5 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 6 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 7 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 9 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 10 across across IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 11 different different JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 12 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 13 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 14 orders order NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 15 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 16 magnitude magnitude NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 17 difference difference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 98 18 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 1 Filtering filter VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 2 out out RP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 3 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 4 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 5 small small JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 6 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 7 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 8 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 9 will will MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 10 significantly significantly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 11 reduce reduce VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 12 MAPE MAPE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 13 but but CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 14 increases increase VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 15 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 99 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 1 As as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 2 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 3 example example NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 5 considering consider VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 6 only only RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 7 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 8 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 9 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 10 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 11 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 12 prediction prediction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 13 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 14 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 15 RMSE rmse NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 16 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 17 all all DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 18 three three CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 20 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 21 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 22 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 23 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 24 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 25 ensemble ensemble NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 27 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 28 6886.9 6886.9 NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 29 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 30 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 31 translates translate VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 32 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 33 1.12 1.12 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 34 % % NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 35 MAPE MAPE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 100 36 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 1 All all PDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 3 code code NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 4 used use VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 5 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 7 experiments experiment NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 8 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 9 available available JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 10 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 11 Github Github NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 12 4 4 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 101 13 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 1 11.37 11.37 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 2 % % NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 3 Gen Gen NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 4 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 5 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 7 14 14 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 9 2106 2106 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 102 10 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 103 1 4 4 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 103 2 14.31 14.31 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 103 3 % % NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 103 4 7471.2 7471.2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 103 5 * * NFP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 103 6 41.06 41.06 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 103 7 % % NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 1 * * NFP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 2 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 3 approach approach NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 4 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 5 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 6 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 7 - - NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 8 parameter parameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 9 set set NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 10 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 12 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 13 performance performance NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 14 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 15 terms term NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 16 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 17 both both CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 18 MAPE MAPE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 19 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 20 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 104 21 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 1 * * NFP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 2 For for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 3 some some DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 4 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 6 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 7 baseline baseline JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 8 method method NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 9 could could MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 10 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 11 converge converge VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 12 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 13 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 14 some some DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 15 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 16 produced produce VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 17 MAPE MAPE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 18 was be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 19 greater great JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 20 than than IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 21 100 100 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 22 % % NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 105 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 2 ignore ignore VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 3 those those DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 4 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 5 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 6 favor favor VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 7 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 8 baseline baseline NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 9 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 10 results result VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 11 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 12 averaging average VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 13 over over IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 14 147 147 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 15 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 106 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 2 . . NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 3 2 2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 4 shows show VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 6 test test NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 7 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 8 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 9 SI si NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 10 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 11 kJα kJα NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 13 ensemble ensemble NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 15 prediction prediction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 16 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 17 H H NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 18 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 19 5 5 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 20 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 21 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 22 four four CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 23 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 24 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 107 25 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 1 These these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 2 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 3 arbitrarily arbitrarily RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 4 selected select VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 5 ; ; : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 6 other other JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 7 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 8 show show VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 9 similar similar JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 10 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 11 as as RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 12 well well RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 108 13 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 109 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 109 2 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 1 3 3 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 2 shows show VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 4 test test NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 5 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 6 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 7 H h NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 8 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 9 5 5 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 10 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 11 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 12 four four CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 13 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 110 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 111 1 Again again RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 111 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 111 3 these these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 111 4 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 111 5 arbitrarily arbitrarily RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 111 6 selected select VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 111 7 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 112 1 Note note VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 112 2 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 112 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 112 4 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 112 5 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 112 6 extremely extremely RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 112 7 accurate accurate JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 112 8 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 1 For for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 2 these these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 3 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 6 set set VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 7 all all DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 8 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 9 terms term NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 11 F F NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 13 p p NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 14 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 15 q q NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 18 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 19 zero zero CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 20 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 21 reflect reflect VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 22 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 23 due due IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 24 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 25 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 26 stay stay VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 27 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 28 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 29 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 30 home home NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 31 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 32 policy policy NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 33 around around IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 34 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 35 world world NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 36 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 37 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 38 recent recent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 39 spread spread NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 40 due due IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 41 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 42 travel travel NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 43 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 44 negligible negligible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 113 45 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 2 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 3 reduces reduce VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 4 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 5 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 6 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 8 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 9 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 10 learned learn VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 114 11 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 1 For for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 2 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 3 earlier early JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 4 date date NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 7 include include VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 8 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 9 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 10 discuss discuss VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 12 details detail NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 13 next next RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 115 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 1 To to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 2 measure measure VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 4 effect effect NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 5 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 6 travel travel NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 7 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 9 train train VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 10 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 11 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 12 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 13 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 14 until until IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 15 March March NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 16 18th 18th NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 17 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 18 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 19 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 20 without without IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 21 travel travel NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 22 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 116 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 2 next next JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 3 three three CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 4 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 5 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 6 used use VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 7 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 8 validation validation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 9 set set VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 10 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 11 identify identify VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 12 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 13 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 14 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 15 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 16 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 18 following follow VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 19 three three CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 20 days day NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 21 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 22 used use VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 23 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 24 test test NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 25 set set VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 26 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 27 evaluation evaluation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 117 28 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 1 Table table NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 2 2 2 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 3 shows show VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 4 validation validation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 5 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 6 test test NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 7 errors error NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 8 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 9 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 10 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 11 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 12 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 13 hyperparameter hyperparameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 14 selection selection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 15 scheme scheme NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 16 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 17 each each DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 18 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 19 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 20 without without IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 21 travel travel NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 118 22 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 1 Observe observe VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 2 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 3 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 4 all all DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 5 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 6 including include VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 7 travel travel NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 8 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 9 reduces reduce VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 10 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 11 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 13 test test NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 14 set set VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 119 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 1 For for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 2 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 3 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 5 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 6 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 7 - - NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 8 parameter parameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 9 scheme scheme NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 10 performs perform VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 11 better well RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 12 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 13 while while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 14 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 15 Global Global NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 16 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 17 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 18 scheme scheme NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 19 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 20 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 21 lower low JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 22 RMSE rmse NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 120 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 2 may may MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 3 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 4 due due JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 5 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 6 lack lack NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 7 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 8 enough enough JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 9 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 10 resulting result VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 11 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 12 overfitting overfitting NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 14 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 15 hyperparameter hyperparameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 16 scheme scheme NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 121 17 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 2 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 3 evident evident JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 4 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 6 fact fact NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 7 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 9 validation validation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 10 errors error NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 11 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 12 much much RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 13 lower low JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 14 than than IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 15 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 16 test test NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 17 errors error NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 122 18 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 2 observation observation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 3 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 4 supports support VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 6 decision decision NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 7 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 8 going go VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 9 forward forward RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 10 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 12 ensemble ensemble NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 13 approach approach NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 14 instead instead RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 15 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 16 choosing choose VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 17 one one CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 18 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 19 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 20 or or CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 21 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 22 schemes scheme NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 123 24 _SP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 1 Since since IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 3 speed speed NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 4 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 5 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 6 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 7 driven drive VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 8 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 9 β β NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 10 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 11 i i NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 12 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 14 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 15 assess assess VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 16 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 17 effect effect NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 18 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 19 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 20 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 21 's 's POS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 22 effort effort NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 23 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 24 battle battle NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 25 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 26 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 27 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 28 change change NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 29 observed observe VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 30 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 31 these these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 32 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 124 33 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 2 measure measure VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 4 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 5 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 6 transmissions transmission NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 7 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 9 person person NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 10 receives receive VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 11 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 12 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 13 infected infected JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 14 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 15 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 16 assuming assume VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 18 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 19 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 20 uniformly uniformly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 21 distributed distribute VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 22 across across IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 23 all all DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 24 sub sub NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 25 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 26 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 125 27 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 1 Another another DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 2 approach approach NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 3 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 4 define define VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 5 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 6 quantity quantity NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 7 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 8 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 9 measure measure VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 10 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 11 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 12 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 13 new new JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 14 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 15 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 16 given give VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 17 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 18 past past JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 19 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 20 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 21 uniformly uniformly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 22 increasing increase VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 126 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 2 allows allow VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 4 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 5 quantify quantify VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 6 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 7 measure measure NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 9 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 10 contact contact NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 11 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 12 without without IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 13 relying rely VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 14 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 15 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 16 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 17 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 18 individuals individual NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 20 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 21 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 22 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 24 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 25 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 26 population population NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 27 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 28 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 29 define define VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 30 Contact Contact NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 31 Reduction reduction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 32 Score score NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 34 CRS CRS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 36 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 37 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 38 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 40 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 41 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 42 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 44 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 45 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 46 fractional fractional JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 47 change change NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 48 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 49 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 50 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 51 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 52 transmissions transmission NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 53 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 54 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 55 picked pick VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 56 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 57 date date NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 58 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 59 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 60 middle middle NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 61 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 62 March March NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 63 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 64 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 65 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 66 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 67 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 68 learn learn VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 69 τ τ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 70 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 71 N n NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 72 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 73 old old JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 74 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 75 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 76 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 77 compared compare VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 78 against against IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 79 τ τ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 80 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 81 N n CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 82 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 83 new new NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 84 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 85 obtained obtain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 86 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 87 training training NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 88 up up RP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 89 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 90 April April NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 91 10 10 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 127 92 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 1 Since since IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 4 ensemble ensemble JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 5 approach approach NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 6 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 7 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 8 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 10 selection selection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 11 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 13 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 14 performance performance NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 15 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 17 compute compute VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 18 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 19 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 20 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 21 transmissions transmission NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 22 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 23 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 24 average average NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 25 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 26 transmissions transmission NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 27 obtained obtain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 28 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 29 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 30 scenarios scenario NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 128 31 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 1 Further further RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 4 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 5 define define VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 6 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 7 Reduction reduction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 8 Score Score NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 9 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 10 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 11 measures measure VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 13 fractional fractional JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 14 reduction reduction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 15 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 16 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 17 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 18 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 19 compared compare VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 20 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 21 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 22 scenario scenario NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 23 where where WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 24 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 25 trend trend NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 26 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 27 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 28 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 29 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 30 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 31 had have VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 32 continued continue VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 129 33 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 2 Reduction reduction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 3 Scores Scores NNPS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 4 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 5 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 6 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 7 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 8 global global JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 9 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 10 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 11 shown show VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 12 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 13 Fig Fig NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 130 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 131 1 4 4 LS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 131 2 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 2 ignored ignore VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 3 all all PDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 4 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 5 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 6 that that WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 7 had have VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 8 less less JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 9 than than IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 10 100 100 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 11 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 12 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 13 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 14 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 15 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 16 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 17 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 18 1000 1000 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 19 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 20 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 21 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 22 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 23 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 24 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 25 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 26 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 27 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 28 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 29 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 30 order order NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 31 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 32 make make VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 33 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 34 comparison comparison NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 35 reliable reliable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 132 36 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 1 Among among IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 3 30 30 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 4 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 5 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 6 that that WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 7 qualify qualify VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 8 based base VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 9 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 10 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 11 threshold threshold NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 12 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 13 100 100 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 14 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 15 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 16 baseline baseline NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 17 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 18 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 19 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 20 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 21 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 22 CRS CRS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 23 was be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 24 New New NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 25 Jersey Jersey NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 26 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 27 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 28 Minnesota Minnesota NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 29 scored score VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 30 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 31 worst bad JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 133 32 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 1 Mississippi Mississippi NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 2 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 4 top top JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 5 ERS ERS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 6 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 7 Massachusetts Massachusetts NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 8 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 9 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 10 bottom bottom NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 11 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 13 list list NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 134 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 1 Mississippi Mississippi NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 2 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 3 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 4 close close JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 5 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 6 New New NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 7 Jersey Jersey NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 8 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 9 CRS CRS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 135 10 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 2 note note VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 3 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 4 Mississippi Mississippi NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 5 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 6 been be VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 7 awarded award VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 8 between between IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 9 C C NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 10 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 11 F F NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 12 since since IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 13 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 14 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 15 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 16 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 17 early early JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 18 April April NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 19 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 20 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 21 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 22 Social Social NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 23 Distancing distancing NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 24 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 25 score score NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 26 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 27 Unacast Unacast NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 28 5 5 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 136 29 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 2 suggests suggest VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 3 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 4 while while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 5 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 6 Social Social NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 7 Distancing distancing NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 8 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 9 score score NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 10 captures capture VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 11 percentage percentage NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 12 reduction reduction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 13 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 14 average average JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 15 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 16 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 18 does do VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 19 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 20 provide provide VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 21 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 22 complete complete JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 23 picture picture NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 24 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 25 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 26 changes change NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 27 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 28 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 29 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 137 30 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 1 A a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 2 visual visual JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 3 inspection inspection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 4 reveals reveal VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 5 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 6 Mississippi Mississippi NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 7 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 8 indeed indeed RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 9 shown show VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 10 significant significant JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 11 change change NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 13 Fig fig NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 15 5 5 LS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 17 compared compare VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 18 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 19 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 20 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 21 when when WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 22 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 23 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 24 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 25 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 26 increasing increase VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 27 much much RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 28 more more RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 29 rapidly rapidly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 138 30 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 1 At at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 2 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 3 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 4 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 6 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 7 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 9 best good JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 10 CRS CRS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 11 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 12 Japan Japan NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 13 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 14 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 15 bottom bottom NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 16 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 17 among among IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 18 22 22 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 19 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 20 selected select VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 21 based base VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 22 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 23 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 24 threshold threshold NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 25 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 26 1000 1000 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 27 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 28 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 29 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 30 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 139 31 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 1 Based base VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 2 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 3 ERS ERS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 5 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 6 tops top VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 7 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 8 list list NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 9 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 10 Japan Japan NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 11 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 13 bottom bottom NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 14 again again RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 140 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 2 emphasize emphasize VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 3 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 4 these these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 5 rankings ranking NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 6 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 7 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 8 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 9 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 10 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 11 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 141 12 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 1 While while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 2 both both CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 3 CRS CRS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 4 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 5 ERS ERS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 6 measure measure VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 7 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 8 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 9 's 's POS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 10 response response NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 11 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 14 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 16 believe believe VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 17 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 18 CRS CRS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 19 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 20 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 21 better well JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 22 metric metric NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 23 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 24 evaluate evaluate VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 25 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 26 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 27 's 's POS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 28 efforts effort NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 142 29 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 2 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 3 due due JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 4 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 6 fact fact NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 7 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 8 CRS CRS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 9 only only RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 10 depends depend VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 11 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 12 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 13 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 14 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 15 that that WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 16 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 17 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 18 controlled control VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 19 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 20 limiting limit VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 21 contact contact NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 22 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 23 others other NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 24 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 25 other other JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 26 policies policy NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 27 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 28 reduce reduce VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 29 transmission transmission NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 143 30 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 1 On on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 3 other other JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 4 hand hand NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 6 ERS ERS NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 7 depends depend VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 8 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 9 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 11 current current JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 12 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 13 past past JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 14 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 15 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 16 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 17 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 18 completely completely RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 19 controlled control VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 20 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 21 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 22 policies policy NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 144 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 1 For for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 2 instance instance NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 3 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 4 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 5 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 6 which which WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 7 already already RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 8 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 9 large large JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 10 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 11 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 12 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 14 yet yet CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 15 significantly significantly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 16 less less JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 17 than than IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 18 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 20 population population NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 22 will will MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 23 experience experience VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 24 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 25 higher high JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 26 increase increase NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 27 compared compare VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 28 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 29 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 30 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 31 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 32 fewer few JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 33 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 34 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 35 even even RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 36 when when WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 37 they -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 38 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 39 identical identical JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 40 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 41 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 145 42 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 2 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 3 use use VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 5 models model NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 6 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 7 only only RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 8 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 9 generate generate VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 10 forecasts forecast NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 11 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 12 but but CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 13 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 14 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 15 emulating emulate VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 16 scenarios scenario NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 146 17 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 1 As as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 2 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 3 example example NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 6 compute compute VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 7 forecasts forecast NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 8 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 9 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 10 models model NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 11 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 13 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 15 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 16 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 17 trained train VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 18 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 19 most most JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 20 recent recent JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 21 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 22 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 23 no no DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 24 inter inter JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 25 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 26 region region JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 27 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 28 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 29 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 31 ii ii NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 33 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 34 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 35 trained train VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 36 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 37 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 38 until until IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 39 mid mid NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 40 - - NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 41 March March NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 43 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 44 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 46 including include VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 47 inter inter JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 48 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 49 region region JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 50 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 147 51 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 2 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 3 day day NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 4 was be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 5 set set VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 6 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 7 middle middle NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 9 March March NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 10 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 12 majority majority NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 14 US US NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 15 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 16 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 17 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 18 had have VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 19 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 20 actively actively RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 21 imposed impose VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 22 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 23 social social JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 24 distancing distance VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 25 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 26 suggestion suggestion NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 148 27 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 2 results result NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 3 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 4 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 5 models model NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 6 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 7 shown show VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 8 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 9 Figs Figs NNPS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 149 10 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 150 1 6 6 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 150 2 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 150 3 7 7 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 150 4 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 1 Instead instead RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 2 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 3 showing show VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 4 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 5 single single JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 6 curve curve NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 7 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 8 forecasts forecast NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 9 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 11 show show VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 12 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 13 range range NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 14 owing owe VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 15 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 16 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 17 difference difference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 18 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 19 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 20 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 21 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 22 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 23 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 24 parameter parameter NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 25 schemes scheme NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 151 26 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 1 All all DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 2 plots plot NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 4 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 6 even even RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 7 though though IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 9 current current JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 10 trend trend NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 11 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 12 leading lead VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 13 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 14 limited limited JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 15 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 16 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 17 infections infection NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 18 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 19 immediately immediately RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 20 releasing release VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 21 all all DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 22 precautions precaution NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 23 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 24 result result VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 25 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 26 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 27 rapid rapid JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 28 rise rise NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 29 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 30 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 31 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 32 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 152 33 _SP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 2 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 3 proposed propose VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 4 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 5 schemes scheme NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 6 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 7 selecting select VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 8 hyper hyper NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 9 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 11 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 12 fixed fix VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 13 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 14 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 153 15 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 1 While while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 2 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 3 schemes scheme NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 4 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 5 similar similar JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 6 performance performance NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 7 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 8 variable variable JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 9 scheme scheme NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 10 has have VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 11 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 12 significant significant JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 13 difference difference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 14 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 15 test test NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 16 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 17 validation validation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 18 error error NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 19 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 20 suggesting suggest VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 21 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 23 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 24 prone prone JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 25 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 26 over over RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 27 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 28 fitting fitting NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 154 29 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 1 On on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 3 other other JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 4 hand hand NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 6 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 7 more more JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 8 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 9 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 10 issue issue NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 11 may may MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 12 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 13 resolved resolve VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 155 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 1 While while IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 3 currently currently RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 5 ' ' `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 6 ensemble ensemble NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 7 ' ' '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 8 approach approach NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 9 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 10 simply simply RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 12 average average NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 14 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 15 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 16 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 17 both both DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 18 schemes scheme NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 19 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 20 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 21 ideal ideal JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 22 approach approach NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 23 may may MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 24 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 25 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 26 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 27 one one NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 28 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 29 where where WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 30 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 31 collection collection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 32 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 33 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 34 share share VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 35 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 36 same same JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 37 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 38 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 39 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 156 40 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 2 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 3 especially especially RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 4 useful useful JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 5 when when WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 6 there there EX cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 7 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 8 very very RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 9 few few JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 10 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 11 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 12 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 13 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 157 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 1 Then then RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 3 hyper hyper NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 4 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 6 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 7 even even RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 10 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 11 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 12 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 13 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 14 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 15 set set VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 16 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 17 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 18 equal equal JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 19 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 20 that that DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 21 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 22 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 23 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 24 similar similar JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 25 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 26 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 27 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 28 where where WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 29 more more JJR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 30 data data NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 31 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 32 available available JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 158 33 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 1 One one CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 2 way way NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 3 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 4 identify identify VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 5 such such JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 6 similar similar JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 7 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 8 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 9 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 10 clustering cluster VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 11 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 12 based base VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 13 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 14 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 15 trends trend NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 16 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 17 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 18 previous previous JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 159 20 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 1 In in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 2 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 3 way way NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 5 active active JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 6 reporting reporting NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 7 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 9 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 10 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 11 used use VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 12 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 13 improve improve VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 14 forecast forecast NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 15 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 16 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 17 next next JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 19 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 20 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 21 early early JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 22 stage stage NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 160 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 2 will will MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 3 explore explore VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 4 this this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 5 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 6 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 7 future future JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 8 work work NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 161 9 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 2 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 3 only only RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 4 modeled model VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 5 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 6 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 7 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 8 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 9 they -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 10 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 11 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 12 indicator indicator NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 13 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 14 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 15 stress stress NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 16 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 18 healthcare healthcare NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 19 system system NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 162 20 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 1 However however RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 3 unreported unreported JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 4 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 5 may may MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 6 affect affect VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 7 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 8 long long JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 9 term term NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 10 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 163 11 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 2 unreported unreported JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 3 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 4 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 5 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 6 classified classify VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 7 into into IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 8 two two CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 9 categories category NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 10 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 12 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 14 unreported unreported JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 15 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 16 -those -those : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 17 who who WP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 18 get get VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 19 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 20 over over IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 21 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 22 course course NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 23 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 24 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 26 but but CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 27 do do VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 28 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 29 report report VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 30 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 31 ; ; : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 32 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 34 ii ii NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 36 immune immune JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 37 casesthose casesthose NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 38 who who WP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 39 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 40 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 41 antibodies antibody NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 42 without without IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 43 being be VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 44 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 45 during during IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 46 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 47 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 164 48 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 1 For for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 2 unreported unreported JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 3 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 6 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 7 add add VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 8 another another DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 9 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 10 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 11 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 12 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 13 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 14 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 15 an an DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 16 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 17 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 18 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 19 i i PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 20 th th XX cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 21 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 22 infected infected JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 23 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 24 sub sub NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 25 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 26 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 27 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 28 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 29 report report NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 30 will will MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 31 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 32 made make VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 33 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 34 probability probability NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 35 γ γ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 36 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 37 i i PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 165 38 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 1 Thus thus RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 3 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 4 total total JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 5 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 6 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 7 new new JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 8 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 9 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 10 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 11 given give VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 12 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 13 ∆R ∆R NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 166 14 = = NFP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 167 1 k k NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 167 2 i=1 i=1 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 168 1 γ γ NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 168 2 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 169 1 i i PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 169 2 ∆I ∆i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 169 3 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 169 4 t−i t−i NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 169 5 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 1 Then then RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 4 will will MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 5 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 6 learned learn VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 7 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 8 fitting fit VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 9 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 10 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 11 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 12 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 13 R r NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 14 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 15 t t NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 170 16 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 2 immune immune JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 3 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 4 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 5 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 6 modeled model VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 7 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 8 considering consider VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 9 them -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 10 not not RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 11 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 171 13 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 1 Suppose suppose VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 2 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 3 ρ ρ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 4 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 5 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 6 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 7 probability probability NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 9 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 10 randomly randomly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 11 selected select VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 12 individual individual NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 13 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 14 region region NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 15 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 16 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 17 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 18 immune immune JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 172 19 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 1 Then then RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 2 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 3 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 4 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 5 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 6 individuals individual NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 7 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 8 time time NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 9 t t NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 10 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 11 given give VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 12 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 13 S s NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 14 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 15 t t NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 173 16 = = NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 174 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 174 2 1 1 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 174 3 − − NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 175 1 ρ ρ LS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 175 2 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 175 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 175 4 N n NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 176 1 p p LS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 176 2 − − NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 177 1 I i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 177 2 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 177 3 t t NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 177 4 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 2 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 3 integrate integrate VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 4 these these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 5 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 6 complemented complement VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 7 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 9 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 10 various various JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 11 anti anti JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 12 - - JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 13 body body JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 14 studies study NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 15 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 16 surveys survey NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 17 that that WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 18 will will MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 19 assist assist VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 20 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 21 more more RBR cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 22 accurate accurate JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 23 learning learning NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 24 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 25 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 26 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 178 27 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 1 Learning learn VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 2 these these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 4 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 6 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 7 without without IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 8 considering consider VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 9 these these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 10 studies study NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 11 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 12 difficult difficult JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 179 13 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 1 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 2 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 3 due due JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 4 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 6 fact fact NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 7 that that IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 9 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 11 total total JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 12 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 13 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 14 even even RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 15 if if IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 17 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 18 100 100 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 19 times time NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 20 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 21 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 22 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 23 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 24 is be VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 25 currently currently RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 26 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 27 very very RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 28 small small JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 29 fraction fraction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 30 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 31 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 32 population population NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 180 33 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 1 As as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 2 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 3 now now RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 4 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 6 allow allow VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 7 γ γ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 8 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 9 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 10 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 11 ρ ρ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 12 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 13 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 14 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 15 inputs input NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 16 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 17 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 18 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 181 19 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 1 These these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 2 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 3 be be VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 4 used use VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 5 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 6 study study VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 7 long long JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 8 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 9 term term NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 10 scenarios scenario NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 11 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 12 various various JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 13 inputs input NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 182 14 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 1 For for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 2 example example NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 3 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 4 Fig Fig NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 5 . . NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 6 8 8 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 7 shows show VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 8 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 9 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 10 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 11 new new JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 12 positive positive JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 13 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 15 reported report VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 17 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 18 various various JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 19 values value NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 20 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 21 γ γ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 22 p p NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 23 i i NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 24 = = SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 25 γ γ NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 26 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 183 27 _SP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 184 1 DARPA DARPA NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 184 2 forecasting forecasting NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 184 3 chikungunya chikungunya NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 184 4 challenge challenge NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 1 CHIKV CHIKV NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 2 Challenge Challenge NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 3 Announces Announces NNPS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 4 Winners Winners NNPS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 5 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 6 Progress Progress NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 7 toward toward IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 8 Forecasting forecast VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 9 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 10 Spread spread NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 11 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 12 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 185 13 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 2 estimation estimation NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 3 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 4 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 5 effective effective JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 6 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 7 number number NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 8 from from IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 9 disease disease NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 10 outbreak outbreak NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 11 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 12 Statistical statistical JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 13 inference inference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 14 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 15 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 16 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 18 SEIR seir NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 19 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 20 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 21 control control NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 22 intervention intervention NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 23 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 24 Ebola Ebola NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 25 as as IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 26 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 27 case case NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 28 study study NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 29 Tracking tracking NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 30 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 31 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 32 Google Google NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 33 flu flu NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 34 trends trend NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 35 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 36 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 37 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 38 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 39 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 40 space space NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 41 SEIR seir NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 42 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 43 Internationally internationally RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 44 lost lose VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 45 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 46 cases case NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 47 Behaviors behavior NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 48 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 49 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 50 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 51 infected infect VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 52 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 53 on on IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 54 scale scale NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 55 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 56 free free JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 57 networks network NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 58 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 59 identical identical JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 60 infectivity infectivity NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 61 Dynamics dynamic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 62 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 63 measles measle NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 64 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 65 : : : cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 66 estimating estimate VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 67 scaling scaling NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 68 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 69 transmission transmission NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 70 rates rate NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 71 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 72 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 73 time time NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 74 series series NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 75 SIR SIR NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 76 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 77 Novel Novel NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 78 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 79 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 80 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 81 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 186 82 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 1 Data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 2 Repository repository NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 3 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 4 Johns Johns NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 5 Hopkins Hopkins NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 6 CSSE CSSE NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 7 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 9 Data Data NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 10 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 12 United United NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 13 States States NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 14 State State NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 15 Population Population NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 16 Totals Totals NNPS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 17 Airport Airport NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 18 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 19 airline airline NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 20 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 21 route route NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 22 data datum NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 23 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 24 analysis analysis NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 25 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 26 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 27 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 28 China China NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 29 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 30 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 31 modeling modeling NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 32 This this DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 33 work work NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 34 was be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 35 supported support VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 36 by by IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 37 National National NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 38 Science Science NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 39 Foundation Foundation NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 40 Award Award NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 41 No no NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 42 . . NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 43 2027007 2027007 CD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 187 44 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 2 authors author NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 3 would would MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 4 like like VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 5 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 6 thank thank VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 7 Frost Frost NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 8 Tianjian Tianjian NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 9 Xu Xu NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 10 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 11 preparing prepare VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 12 datasets dataset NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 13 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 14 Jamin Jamin NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 15 Chen Chen NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 16 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 17 integrating integrate VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 18 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 19 methods method NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 20 into into IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 21 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 22 web web NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 23 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 24 based base VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 25 visualization visualization NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 188 26 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 2 authors author NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 3 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 4 thank thank VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 5 Prathik Prathik NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 6 Rao Rao NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 7 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 8 Kangmin Kangmin NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 9 Tan Tan NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 10 for for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 11 implementing implement VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 12 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 13 testing test VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 14 various various JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 15 ML ML NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 16 approaches approach NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 189 17 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 2 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 3 proposed propose VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 4 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 5 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 6 infection infection NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 7 rate rate NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 8 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 9 with with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 10 human human JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 11 mobility mobility NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 12 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 13 model model VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 14 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 15 spread spread NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 16 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 17 COVID-19 covid-19 DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 18 at at IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 19 country country NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 20 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 21 state state NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 22 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 23 level level NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 190 24 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 2 model model NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 3 incorporates incorporate VBZ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 4 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 5 forgetting forget VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 6 factor factor NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 7 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 8 quickly quickly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 9 adapt adapt VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 10 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 11 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 12 rapidly rapidly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 13 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 14 trends trend NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 15 due due JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 16 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 17 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 18 changing change VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 19 policies policy NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 20 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 21 how how WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 23 respond respond VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 24 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 25 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 191 27 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 1 With with IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 2 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 3 weighted weighted JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 4 least least JJS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 5 square square JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 6 training training NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 7 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 8 identifying identify VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 9 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 10 right right JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 11 hyper hyper JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 12 - - NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 13 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 14 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 16 are be VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 17 able able JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 18 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 19 achieve achieve VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 20 highly highly RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 21 accurate accurate JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 22 predictions prediction NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 192 23 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 1 The the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 2 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 3 obtained obtain VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 4 over over IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 5 different different JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 6 time time NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 7 - - HYPH cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 8 intervals interval NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 9 allow allow VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 10 us -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 11 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 12 measure measure VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 13 how how WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 14 various various JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 15 regions region NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 17 states state NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 18 / / SYM cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 19 countries country NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 21 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 22 responded respond VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 23 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 24 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 193 26 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 1 In in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 2 particular particular JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 3 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 5 have have VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 6 defined define VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 7 Contact Contact NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 8 Reduction Reduction NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 9 Score Score NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 10 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 11 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 12 Reduction Reduction NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 13 Score Score NNP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 14 that that WDT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 15 respectively respectively RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 16 measure measure VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 17 reduction reduction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 18 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 19 transmission transmission NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 20 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 21 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 22 reduction reduction NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 23 in in IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 25 spread spread NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 26 compared compare VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 27 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 28 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 29 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 30 scenario scenario NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 31 where where WRB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 32 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 33 trend trend NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 34 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 35 a a DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 36 prior prior JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 37 reference reference NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 38 point point NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 39 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 40 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 41 continue continue VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 194 42 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 1 These these DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 2 varying vary VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 4 also also RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 5 represent represent VBP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 6 different different JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 7 policies policy NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 8 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 9 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 10 past past NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 11 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 12 and and CC cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 13 hence hence RB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 14 allow allow VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 15 us -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 16 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 17 simulate simulate VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 18 scenarios scenario NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 19 into into IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 20 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 21 future future NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 195 22 . . . cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 1 For for IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 2 instance instance NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 3 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 4 using use VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 5 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 7 learned learn VBN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 8 up up RP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 9 to to IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 10 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 11 point point NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 12 before before IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 13 " " `` cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 14 social social JJ cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 15 distancing distance VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 16 " " '' cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 17 orders order NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 18 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 20 can can MD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 21 forecast forecast VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 22 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 23 trajectory trajectory NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 24 of of IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 25 the the DT cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 27 , , , cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 28 if if IN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 29 everyone everyone NN cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 30 were be VBD cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 31 to to TO cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 32 stop stop VB cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 33 taking take VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 34 distancing distance VBG cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 35 precautions precaution NNS cord-229393-t3cpzmwj 196 36 . . .