id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	1	key	key	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	2	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	3	cord-311432-js84ruve	cord-311432-js84ruve	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	4	authors	author	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	5	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	6	Hossein	Hossein	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	7	Rashidi	Rashidi	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	8	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	9	T.	t.	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	10	;	;	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	11	Shahriari	Shahriari	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	13	S.	S.	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	14	;	;	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	15	Azad	Azad	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	16	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	17	A.	a.	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	18	;	;	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	19	Vafaee	Vafaee	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	20	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	21	F.	F.	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	22	title	title	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	23	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	24	Real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	26	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	27	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	28	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	29	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	30	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	31	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	32	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	33	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	34	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	35	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	36	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	37	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	38	assessment	assessment	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	39	date	date	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	40	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	41	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	42	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	43	04	04	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	44	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	45	29	29	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	46	journal	journal	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	47	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	48	nan	nan	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	49	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	1	50	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	2	1	10.1101/2020.04.24.20078923	10.1101/2020.04.24.20078923	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	1	sha	sha	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	2	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	3	a327bc47b5dba214326895f988370c71301efbfa	a327bc47b5dba214326895f988370c71301efbfa	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	4	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	5	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	6	311432	311432	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	7	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	8	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	9	js84ruve	js84ruve	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	10	Substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	11	amount	amount	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	12	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	14	about	about	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	16	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	17	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	19	generated	generate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	20	every	every	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	21	day	day	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	3	22	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	1	Yet	yet	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	4	streaming	streaming	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	5	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	6	while	while	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	7	considerably	considerably	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	8	visualized	visualize	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	11	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	12	accompanied	accompany	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	13	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	14	advanced	advanced	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	15	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	16	techniques	technique	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	17	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	18	provide	provide	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	19	real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	21	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	22	insights	insight	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	4	23	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	1	This	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	2	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	3	introduces	introduce	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	4	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	5	unified	unified	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	6	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	7	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	8	integrates	integrate	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	9	visualization	visualization	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	10	capabilities	capability	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	11	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	12	advanced	advanced	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	13	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	14	methods	method	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	15	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	16	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	17	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	18	virus	virus	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	19	spread	spread	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	20	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	22	short	short	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	23	run	run	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	24	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	25	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	26	real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	28	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	29	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	5	30	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	2	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	4	backed	back	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	5	up	up	RP
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	6	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	7	advanced	advanced	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	8	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	9	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	10	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	11	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	12	capture	capture	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	13	any	any	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	14	possible	possible	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	15	non	non	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	16	-	-	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	17	linearity	linearity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	18	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	21	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	23	enhanced	enhance	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	24	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	26	capability	capability	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	27	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	28	measuring	measure	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	29	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	30	expected	expect	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	31	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	32	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	33	preventive	preventive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	34	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	35	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	36	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	37	social	social	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	38	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	39	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	40	lockdowns	lockdown	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	6	41	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	2	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	3	enables	enable	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	4	lay	lay	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	5	users	user	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	7	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	8	experts	expert	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	10	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	11	examine	examine	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	14	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	15	develop	develop	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	16	several	several	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	17	customized	customize	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	18	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	19	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	20	different	different	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	21	restriction	restriction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	22	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	23	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	24	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	25	developed	develop	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	26	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	27	specific	specific	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	28	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	29	window	window	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	30	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	31	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	32	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	7	33	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	2	policy	policy	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	3	assessment	assessment	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	6	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	7	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	8	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	10	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	11	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	12	social	social	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	13	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	14	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	15	travel	travel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	16	ban	ban	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	17	restriction	restriction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	18	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	19	affect	affect	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	21	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	22	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	23	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	24	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	26	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	27	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	28	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	29	effective	effective	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	30	policy	policy	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	8	31	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	2	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	3	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	4	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	5	disease	disease	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	6	2019	2019	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	7	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	8	caused	cause	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	9	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	10	acute	acute	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	11	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	12	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	13	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	9	14	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	2	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	4	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	7	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	8	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	9	recognized	recognize	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	10	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	11	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	12	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	13	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	14	World	World	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	15	Health	Health	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	16	Organization	Organization	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	17	representing	represent	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	19	most	most	RBS
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	20	serious	serious	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	21	public	public	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	22	health	health	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	23	threat	threat	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	24	during	during	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	26	last	last	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	27	century	century	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	28	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	29	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	30	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	10	31	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	2	global	global	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	3	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	5	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	7	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	8	profound	profound	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	11	9	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	1	As	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	2	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	3	12	12	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	4	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	7	more	more	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	8	than	than	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	9	1.87	1.87	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	10	million	million	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	12	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	13	COVID-	covid-	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	14	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	15	19	19	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	16	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	17	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	18	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	19	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	20	over	over	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	21	200	200	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	22	countries	country	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	23	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	24	resulting	result	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	25	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	26	118,851	118,851	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	27	deaths	death	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	28	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	29	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	30	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	31	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	32	European	European	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	33	Centre	Centre	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	34	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	35	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	36	Prevention	Prevention	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	37	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	38	Control	Control	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	40	ECDC	ECDC	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	12	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	13	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	13	2	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	13	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	13	4	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	1	Forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	2	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	3	imminent	imminent	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	4	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	5	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	6	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	7	informs	inform	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	8	policymaking	policymaking	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	9	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	10	enables	enable	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	11	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	12	evidencebased	evidencebased	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	13	allocation	allocation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	14	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	15	medical	medical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	16	resources	resource	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	17	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	18	arrangement	arrangement	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	19	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	20	production	production	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	21	activities	activity	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	22	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	23	economic	economic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	24	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	25	development	development	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	26	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	27	3	3	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	28	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	14	29	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	5	urgent	urgent	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	6	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	7	establish	establish	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	8	efficient	efficient	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	9	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	10	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	11	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	13	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	15	latest	late	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	16	available	available	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	18	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	19	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	20	provide	provide	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	21	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	22	point	point	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	23	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	24	reference	reference	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	25	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	26	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	27	governments	government	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	28	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	29	formulate	formulate	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	30	adaptive	adaptive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	31	responses	response	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	32	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	33	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	34	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	35	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	36	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	37	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	38	impending	impending	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	39	progress	progress	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	40	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	41	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	42	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	15	43	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	2	classical	classical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	3	Susceptible-[Exposed]-Infected	Susceptible-[Exposed]-Infected	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	5	Recovered	recovered	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	7	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	8	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	9	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	12	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	14	4	4	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	16	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	17	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	18	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	19	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	20	widely	widely	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	21	developed	develop	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	23	simulate	simulate	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	25	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	26	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	27	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	28	COVID	COVID	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	29	19	19	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	30	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	31	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	32	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	33	6	6	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	34	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	35	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	36	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	37	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	38	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	39	non	non	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	40	-	-	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	41	therapeutic	therapeutic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	42	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	43	-e.g	-e.g	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	16	44	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	1	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	2	travel	travel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	3	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	4	border	border	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	5	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	7	7	7	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	8	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	9	8	8	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	11	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	12	quarantines	quarantine	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	13	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	14	isolations	isolation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	16	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	17	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	19	9	9	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	22	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	25	11	11	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	27	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	28	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	29	social	social	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	30	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	31	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	32	closure	closure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	33	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	34	facilities	facility	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	35	-	-	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	36	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	37	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	38	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	39	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	40	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	41	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	42	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	43	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	44	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	45	some	some	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	46	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	47	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	48	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	49	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	50	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	51	demand	demand	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	52	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	53	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	54	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	55	9	9	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	56	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	57	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	58	11	11	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	59	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	60	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	61	12	12	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	62	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	63	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	64	13	13	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	17	65	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	1	.These	.These	NFP
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	2	studies	study	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	3	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	4	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	5	mostly	mostly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	6	focused	focus	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	7	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	8	calibrating	calibrate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	9	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	10	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	11	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	12	specific	specific	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	13	country	country	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	14	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	15	region	region	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	16	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	17	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	20	at	at	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	22	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	23	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	24	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	26	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	28	development	development	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	29	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	30	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	31	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	32	multitude	multitude	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	33	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	34	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	35	initialized	initialize	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	36	upon	upon	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	37	prior	prior	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	38	knowledge	knowledge	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	39	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	40	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	41	social	social	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	42	contact	contact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	43	structure	structure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	44	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	45	rate	rate	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	46	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	47	compliance	compliance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	48	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	49	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	50	policy	policy	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	51	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	52	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	53	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	54	infection	infection	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	55	period	period	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	56	among	among	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	57	others	other	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	18	58	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	1	Complementing	complement	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	2	upon	upon	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	3	SEIR	seir	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	4	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	5	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	7	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	8	owing	owe	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	9	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	10	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	11	increased	increase	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	12	amount	amount	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	13	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	15	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	16	consistency	consistency	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	17	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	18	reports	report	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	19	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	20	some	some	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	21	recent	recent	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	22	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	23	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	24	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	25	focused	focus	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	26	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	27	developing	develop	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	28	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	30	3	3	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	31	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	32	14	14	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	34	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	35	machine	machine	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	36	learning	learning	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	37	methods	method	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	38	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	39	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	40	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	41	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	42	predict	predict	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	43	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	44	near	near	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	45	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	46	future	future	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	47	25	25	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	48	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	49	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	50	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	51	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	52	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	53	terms	term	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	54	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	55	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	56	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	57	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	58	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	59	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	60	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	61	deaths	death	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	62	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	63	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	64	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	65	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	66	historical	historical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	67	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	19	68	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	1	While	while	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	2	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	3	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	6	pandemic	pandemic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	7	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	8	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	9	essential	essential	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	10	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	11	policymaking	policymaking	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	12	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	13	resourceallocation	resourceallocation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	14	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	15	there	there	EX
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	17	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	18	lack	lack	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	19	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	20	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	21	adaptive	adaptive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	22	real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	23	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	24	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	25	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	26	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	27	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	28	evolves	evolve	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	29	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	30	new	new	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	31	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	32	30	30	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	33	arrives	arrive	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	20	34	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	1	In	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	2	response	response	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	3	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	4	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	5	urgent	urgent	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	6	need	need	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	7	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	9	present	present	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	10	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	11	advanced	advanced	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	12	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	14	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	15	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	16	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	17	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	18	progression	progression	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	19	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	20	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	21	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	22	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	23	Autoregressive	Autoregressive	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	24	Integrated	Integrated	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	25	Moving	Moving	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	26	Average	Average	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	28	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	30	formulation	formulation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	32	16	16	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	34	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	35	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	36	combined	combine	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	37	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	38	several	several	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	39	non	non	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	40	-	-	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	41	linear	linear	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	42	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	43	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	44	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	45	17	17	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	46	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	47	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	48	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	49	complemented	complement	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	50	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	51	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	52	interactive	interactive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	53	online	online	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	54	dashboard	dashboard	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	55	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	56	efficiently	efficiently	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	57	generates	generate	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	58	country	country	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	59	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	60	wise	wise	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	61	predictive	predictive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	62	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	63	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	64	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	65	real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	66	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	67	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	68	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	69	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	70	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	71	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	72	latest	late	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	73	ECDC	ECDC	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	74	report	report	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	75	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	76	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	77	35	35	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	78	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	79	worldwide	worldwide	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	21	80	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	2	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	3	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	4	approach	approach	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	5	neither	neither	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	6	relies	rely	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	7	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	8	strict	strict	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	9	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	10	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	12	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	13	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	14	linearity	linearity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	16	stationarity	stationarity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	17	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	18	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	19	existence	existence	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	20	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	21	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	22	epidemic	epidemic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	23	steady	steady	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	24	state	state	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	26	nor	nor	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	27	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	28	any	any	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	29	initial	initial	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	30	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	31	requiring	require	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	32	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	33	priori	priori	FW
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	34	knowledge	knowledge	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	22	35	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	2	offers	offer	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	3	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	4	transparent	transparent	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	5	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	6	function	function	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	7	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	8	better	better	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	9	understand	understand	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	10	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	11	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	12	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	13	40	40	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	14	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	15	predict	predict	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	16	future	future	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	17	points	point	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	18	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	20	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	23	21	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	1	Different	different	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	2	types	type	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	3	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	4	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	5	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	6	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	7	examined	examine	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	8	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	9	capture	capture	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	10	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	11	nonlinearity	nonlinearity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	12	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	13	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	14	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	16	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	18	followed	follow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	19	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	20	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	21	differencing	differencing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	22	steps	step	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	23	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	24	eliminate	eliminate	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	26	non	non	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	27	-	-	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	28	stationarity	stationarity	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	29	status	status	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	24	30	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	1	Notably	notably	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	4	enhanced	enhance	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	6	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	8	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	9	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	10	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	11	capture	capture	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	13	effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	14	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	15	previous	previous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	16	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	17	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	18	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	19	exogenous	exogenous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	20	variable	variable	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	21	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	22	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	23	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	24	used	use	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	25	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	26	predict	predict	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	28	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	29	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	30	future	future	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	31	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	25	32	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	1	Further	further	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	3	when	when	WRB
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	4	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	5	record	record	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	6	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	7	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	9	provided	provide	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	10	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	12	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	13	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	14	infer	infer	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	15	previous	previous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	16	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	17	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	18	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	19	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	20	incorporate	incorporate	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	21	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	22	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	23	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	24	into	into	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	25	future	future	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	26	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	26	27	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	2	main	main	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	3	objective	objective	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	5	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	6	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	8	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	9	introduce	introduce	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	10	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	11	easy	easy	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	13	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	15	use	use	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	16	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	17	readily	readily	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	18	available	available	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	19	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	20	tool	tool	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	21	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	22	develop	develop	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	23	rigor	rigor	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	24	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	25	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	26	time	time	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	27	series	series	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	29	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	30	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	31	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	32	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	33	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	34	available	available	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	35	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	36	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	37	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	38	real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	39	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	40	basis	basis	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	27	41	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	1	In	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	2	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	3	article	article	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	4	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	6	demonstrated	demonstrate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	7	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	8	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	9	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	10	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	11	tool	tool	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	13	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	14	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	15	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	16	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	17	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	18	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	19	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	21	capable	capable	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	22	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	23	being	be	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	24	used	use	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	25	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	26	policy	policy	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	27	assessment	assessment	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	28	28	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	2	tool	tool	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	4	perfectly	perfectly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	5	tailored	tailor	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	6	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	7	modelling	model	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	8	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	10	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	11	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	12	option	option	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	13	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	14	assessing	assess	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	16	performance	performance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	17	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	18	any	any	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	19	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	20	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	21	control	control	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	22	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	23	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	24	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	25	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	26	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	27	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	28	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	29	social	social	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	30	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	31	rules	rule	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	32	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	33	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	34	airport	airport	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	35	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	29	36	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	1	Multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	2	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	3	operations	operation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	4	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	5	investigated	investigate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	6	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	7	stabilise	stabilise	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	8	variance	variance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	10	coupled	couple	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	11	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	12	recursive	recursive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	13	differencing	differencing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	14	until	until	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	15	eliminating	eliminate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	16	non	non	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	17	-	-	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	18	stationarity	stationarity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	19	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	21	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	23	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	24	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	25	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	26	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	27	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	28	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	30	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	31	<	<	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	32	0.05	0.05	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	33	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	34	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	35	augmented	augment	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	36	Dickey	Dickey	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	37	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	38	Fuller	Fuller	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	39	test	test	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	40	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	41	16	16	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	42	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	30	43	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	1	Upon	upon	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	2	each	each	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	3	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	6	best	good	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	7	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	8	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	10	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	11	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	12	each	each	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	13	country	country	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	14	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	15	according	accord	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	16	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	17	Akaike	Akaike	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	18	information	information	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	19	criterion	criterion	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	21	AIC	AIC	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	23	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	24	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	25	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	26	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	27	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	28	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	31	29	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	2	optimal	optimal	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	3	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	5	each	each	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	6	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	8	then	then	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	9	recorded	record	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	10	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	11	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	13	overall	overall	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	14	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	15	Root	Root	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	16	Mean	Mean	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	17	Square	Square	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	18	Error	error	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	20	RMSE	RMSE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	22	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	23	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	24	last	last	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	25	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	26	%	%	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	27	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	28	observations	observation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	29	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	30	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	31	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	32	surrogate	surrogate	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	33	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	34	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	35	out	out	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	36	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	37	sample	sample	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	38	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	39	performance	performance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	32	40	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	2	predictive	predictive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	3	power	power	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	6	best	good	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	7	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	8	per	per	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	9	country	country	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	11	compared	compare	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	12	against	against	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	13	estimations	estimation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	14	provided	provide	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	15	through	through	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	16	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	18	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	19	growth	growth	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	20	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	21	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	22	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	24	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	25	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	27	doubling	double	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	28	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	29	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	30	two	two	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	31	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	32	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	33	3	3	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	35	doubling	double	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	36	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	37	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	38	3	3	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	39	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	40	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	41	4	4	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	43	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	44	doubling	double	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	45	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	46	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	47	one	one	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	48	week	week	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	49	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	50	as	as	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	51	well	well	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	52	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	53	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	54	conventional	conventional	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	55	linear	linear	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	56	univariate	univariate	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	57	regression	regression	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	58	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	59	logtransformed	logtransformed	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	60	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	33	61	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	1	Table	table	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	2	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	4	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	6	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	8	optimal	optimal	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	9	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	10	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	11	per	per	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	12	country	country	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	13	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	15	corresponding	corresponding	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	16	RMSE	rmse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	17	measures	measure	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	19	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	21	last	last	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	22	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	23	%	%	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	24	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	25	observations	observation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	27	compared	compare	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	28	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	29	conventional	conventional	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	30	trends	trend	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	32	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	33	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	34	ECDC	ECDC	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	35	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	36	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	37	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	38	13	13	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	39	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	40	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	34	42	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	1	While	while	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	4	purpose	purpose	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	5	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	6	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	7	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	9	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	10	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	11	develop	develop	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	13	most	most	RBS
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	14	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	15	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	17	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	18	predictive	predictive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	19	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	20	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	21	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	22	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	23	Table	table	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	24	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	25	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	26	show	show	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	27	25	25	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	28	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	29	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	30	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	31	more	more	RBR
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	32	sophisticated	sophisticated	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	33	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	34	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	35	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	36	improves	improve	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	37	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	38	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	39	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	40	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	41	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	42	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	43	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	44	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	45	near	near	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	35	46	future	future	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	2	t	t	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	4	test	test	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	5	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	7	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	8	<	<	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	9	<	<	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	36	10	0.001	0.001	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	1	comparing	compare	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	2	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	3	'	'	POS
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	4	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	7	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	8	signifies	signify	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	10	urgency	urgency	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	11	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	12	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	13	studies	study	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	14	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	15	policy	policy	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	16	appraisal	appraisal	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	37	17	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	1	In	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	2	other	other	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	3	words	word	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	5	having	have	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	6	access	access	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	7	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	8	tools	tool	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	10	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	11	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	13	one	one	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	14	introduced	introduce	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	15	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	16	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	17	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	18	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	19	enables	enable	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	20	experts	expert	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	21	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	22	limited	limited	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	23	knowledge	knowledge	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	24	about	about	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	25	details	detail	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	26	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	27	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	28	specifications	specification	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	29	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	30	readily	readily	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	31	use	use	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	32	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	33	specifications	specification	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	34	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	35	nowcast	nowcast	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	36	30	30	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	37	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	38	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	39	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	40	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	41	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	42	policies	policy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	43	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	44	envision	envision	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	45	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	46	propose	propose	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	47	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	48	controlling	control	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	49	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	50	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	51	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	52	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	53	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	54	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	55	similar	similar	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	56	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	38	57	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	1	Different	different	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	2	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	4	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	5	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	6	operations	operation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	7	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	8	namely	namely	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	9	power	power	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	10	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	11	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	12	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	13	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	14	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	15	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	16	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	17	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	18	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	19	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	20	applied	apply	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	21	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	22	pre	pre	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	23	-	-	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	24	process	process	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	27	prior	prior	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	28	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	29	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	30	differencing	differencing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	31	step	step	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	39	32	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	2	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	3	observed	observe	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	4	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	6	type	type	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	7	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	8	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	9	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	10	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	11	improve	improve	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	13	performance	performance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	14	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	15	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	16	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	18	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	19	terms	term	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	20	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	22	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	23	out	out	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	25	sample	sample	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	26	RSME	RSME	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	28	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	29	there	there	EX
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	31	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	32	a	a	FW
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	33	priori	priori	FW
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	34	knowledge	knowledge	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	35	about	about	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	36	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	37	best	well	RBS
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	38	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	39	performing	perform	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	40	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	41	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	42	except	except	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	43	that	that	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	44	power	power	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	45	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	46	always	always	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	47	40	40	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	48	performs	perform	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	49	poorly	poorly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	40	51	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	2	1A	1a	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	4	some	some	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	5	countries	country	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	7	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	8	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	9	studies	study	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	10	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	11	whose	whose	WP$
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	12	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	13	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	15	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	16	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	17	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	18	13	13	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	19	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	20	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	22	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	23	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	24	affected	affect	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	25	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	26	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	27	type	type	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	28	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	29	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	41	30	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	1	As	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	2	Figure	figure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	3	1A	1a	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	5	some	some	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	6	countries	country	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	7	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	8	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	9	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	10	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	11	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	12	better	well	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	42	13	performance	performance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	2	t	t	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	4	test	test	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	5	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	7	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	8	<	<	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	9	0.05	0.05	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	43	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	44	1	All	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	44	2	rights	right	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	44	3	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	44	4	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	45	1	No	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	45	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	45	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	45	4	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	45	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	45	6	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	2	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	3	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	4	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	6	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	8	review	review	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	12	author	author	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	13	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	14	funder	funder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	16	who	who	WP
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	17	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	18	granted	grant	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	19	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	20	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	21	license	license	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	23	display	display	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	25	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	26	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	27	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	46	28	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	5	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	7	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	8	version	version	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	10	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	11	29	29	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	14	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	47	15	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	48	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.24.20078923	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.24.20078923	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	48	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	48	3	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	49	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	49	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	49	3	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	49	4	any	any	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	49	5	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	49	6	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	1	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	2	's	's	POS
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	3	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	4	performs	perform	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	5	better	well	RBR
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	7	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	9	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	10	<	<	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	11	0.06	0.06	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	13	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	14	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	15	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	16	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	17	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	18	transformations	transformation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	19	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	20	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	21	USA	USA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	22	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	23	transformations	transformation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	24	do	do	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	25	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	26	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	27	affect	affect	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	28	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	29	performance	performance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	31	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	32	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	33	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	34	>	>	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	35	0.6	0.6	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	36	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	37	all	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	38	comparisons	comparison	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	50	40	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	2	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	3	Greece	Greece	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	5	quite	quite	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	6	interestingly	interestingly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	7	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	8	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	9	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	10	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	11	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	12	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	13	stands	stand	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	14	above	above	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	16	other	other	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	17	two	two	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	18	while	while	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	19	there	there	EX
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	21	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	22	statistically	statistically	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	23	significant	significant	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	24	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	25	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	26	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	27	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	28	transportation	transportation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	29	performs	perform	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	30	any	any	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	31	better	well	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	32	than	than	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	33	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	34	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	35	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	36	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	51	37	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	52	1	5	5	LS
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	1	Overall	overall	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	4	results	result	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	5	signify	signify	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	7	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	8	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	9	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	10	performance	performance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	12	driven	drive	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	13	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	14	selection	selection	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	15	approach	approach	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	16	upon	upon	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	17	trying	try	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	18	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	19	operations	operation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	20	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	21	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	22	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	23	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	24	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	25	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	53	26	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	2	nonlinear	nonlinear	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	3	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	4	system	system	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	5	underlying	underlie	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	6	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	7	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	9	producing	produce	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	10	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	11	regularly	regularly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	12	disrupted	disrupt	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	13	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	14	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	15	making	make	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	16	static	static	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	17	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	18	increasingly	increasingly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	19	unreliable	unreliable	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	54	20	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	1	Accordingly	accordingly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	3	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	4	powerful	powerful	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	5	feature	feature	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	6	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	8	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	10	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	11	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	12	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	13	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	14	that	that	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	15	is	is	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	16	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	17	all	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	18	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	19	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	20	re	re	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	21	-	-	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	22	optimised	optimise	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	23	temporally	temporally	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	24	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	25	availability	availability	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	26	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	27	new	new	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	28	daily	daily	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	29	observations	observation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	55	30	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	1	Accordingly	accordingly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	4	latest	late	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	5	reports	report	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	6	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	7	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	8	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	9	numbers	number	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	10	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	11	reflected	reflect	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	12	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	13	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	14	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	15	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	16	accounts	account	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	17	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	19	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	20	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	21	new	new	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	22	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	23	improving	improve	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	25	reliability	reliability	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	26	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	28	future	future	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	29	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	56	30	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	1	As	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	2	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	3	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	4	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	5	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	7	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	8	chosen	choose	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	9	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	10	show	show	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	12	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	13	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	14	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	15	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	16	feature	feature	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	17	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	18	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	19	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	20	future	future	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	21	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	22	numbers	number	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	23	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	24	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	57	25	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	1	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	2	's	's	POS
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	3	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	5	significant	significant	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	6	fluctuations	fluctuation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	7	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	8	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	9	last	last	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	10	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	11	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	13	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	14	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	15	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	16	13	13	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	17	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	18	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	20	offering	offer	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	21	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	22	interesting	interesting	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	23	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	24	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	58	25	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	2	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	3	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	4	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	5	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	7	access	access	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	8	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	10	up	up	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	11	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	12	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	13	03	03	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	14	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	15	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	16	then	then	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	17	reported	report	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	19	next	next	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	20	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	21	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	22	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	23	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	25	RMSE	rmse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	26	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	27	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	28	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	29	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	30	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	31	13th	13th	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	59	32	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	1	This	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	2	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	3	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	4	repeated	repeat	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	5	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	6	times	time	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	7	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	8	where	where	WRB
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	9	new	new	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	10	observations	observation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	11	became	become	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	12	available	available	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	13	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	15	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	16	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	17	one	one	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	18	at	at	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	20	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	60	21	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	2	3	3	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	4	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	5	how	how	WRB
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	6	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	7	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	8	re	re	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	9	-	-	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	10	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	11	adjusts	adjust	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	13	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	14	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	15	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	16	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	17	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	18	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	20	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	21	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	22	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	23	improves	improve	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	24	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	25	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	61	26	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	2	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	3	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	4	developed	develop	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	5	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	6	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	7	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	8	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	9	identify	identify	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	10	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	11	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	12	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	13	adjust	adjust	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	14	25	25	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	16	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	17	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	18	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	19	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	20	any	any	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	21	exogenous	exogenous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	22	fluctuations	fluctuation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	23	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	25	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	62	26	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	1	In	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	2	other	other	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	3	words	word	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	5	assume	assume	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	6	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	7	some	some	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	8	fluctuations	fluctuation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	9	occurred	occur	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	10	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	12	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	14	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	16	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	17	instance	instance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	18	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	19	due	due	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	20	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	21	quarantines	quarantine	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	22	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	23	changes	change	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	24	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	26	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	27	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	28	testing	testing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	29	methods	method	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	30	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	31	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	32	facility	facility	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	33	closures	closure	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	35	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	36	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	37	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	38	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	39	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	40	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	41	information	information	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	42	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	43	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	44	available	available	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	63	45	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	1	These	these	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	2	fluctuations	fluctuation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	3	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	4	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	5	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	6	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	7	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	8	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	9	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	10	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	11	add	add	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	13	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	14	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	15	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	16	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	17	external	external	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	18	regressor	regressor	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	19	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	21	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	23	correct	correct	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	25	bias	bias	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	26	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	28	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	29	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	30	30	30	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	31	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	32	will	will	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	33	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	34	used	use	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	35	later	later	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	36	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	37	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	38	purposes	purpose	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	64	39	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	2	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	3	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	4	detecting	detect	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	5	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	7	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	8	iteratively	iteratively	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	9	add	add	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	10	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	11	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	12	potential	potential	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	13	dates	date	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	14	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	15	reestimating	reestimate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	16	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	17	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	18	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	19	monitoring	monitoring	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	20	changes	change	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	21	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	22	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	23	specification	specification	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	24	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	26	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	27	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	65	28	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	1	As	as	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	2	soon	soon	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	3	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	4	major	major	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	5	changes	change	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	6	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	7	observed	observe	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	8	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	10	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	11	structure	structure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	13	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	14	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	15	values	value	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	16	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	18	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	19	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	20	i	i	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	21	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	22	q	q	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	24	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	25	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	26	alterations	alteration	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	27	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	28	35	35	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	29	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	30	interpreted	interpret	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	31	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	32	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	33	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	34	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	35	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	36	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	37	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	38	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	39	identified	identify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	40	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	41	would	would	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	42	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	43	associated	associate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	44	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	45	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	46	dates	date	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	47	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	48	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	49	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	66	50	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	2	external	external	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	3	regressor	regressor	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	5	corresponding	correspond	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	6	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	8	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	11	basically	basically	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	12	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	13	binary	binary	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	14	variable	variable	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	15	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	16	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	17	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	18	each	each	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	19	day	day	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	20	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	67	22	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	2	default	default	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	4	indicating	indicate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	5	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	6	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	7	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	8	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	10	otherwise	otherwise	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	68	11	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	2	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	3	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	4	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	5	significance	significance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	6	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	8	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	9	variable	variable	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	10	reflect	reflect	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	12	average	average	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	13	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	14	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	16	recorded	record	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	17	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	69	18	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	2	online	online	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	3	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	5	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	6	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	8	further	further	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	9	discussed	discuss	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	10	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	12	next	next	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	13	40	40	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	14	subsection	subsection	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	16	enables	enable	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	17	users	user	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	18	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	19	incorporate	incorporate	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	21	effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	22	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	23	known	know	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	24	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	25	into	into	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	26	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	27	specifications	specification	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	28	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	29	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	30	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	31	detect	detect	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	32	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	33	potential	potential	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	34	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	35	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	36	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	37	capture	capture	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	38	observed	observed	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	39	fluctuations	fluctuation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	40	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	41	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	42	disease	disease	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	43	spread	spread	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	44	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	45	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	46	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	70	47	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	2	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	3	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	4	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	5	approach	approach	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	7	examined	examine	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	8	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	11	provided	provide	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	12	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	13	China	China	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	14	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	15	45	45	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	16	reported	report	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	17	dates	date	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	18	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	19	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	20	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	21	officially	officially	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	22	available	available	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	71	23	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	1	To	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	2	examine	examine	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	4	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	5	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	7	All	All	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	8	rights	right	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	9	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	72	10	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	73	1	No	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	73	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	73	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	73	4	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	73	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	73	6	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	2	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	3	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	4	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	6	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	8	review	review	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	12	author	author	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	13	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	14	funder	funder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	16	who	who	WP
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	17	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	18	granted	grant	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	19	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	20	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	21	license	license	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	23	display	display	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	25	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	26	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	27	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	74	28	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	5	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	7	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	8	version	version	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	10	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	11	29	29	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	14	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	75	15	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	76	1	https://doi.org/10	https://doi.org/10	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	76	2	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	1	1101	1101	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	2	proposed	propose	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	3	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	4	detection	detection	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	5	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	7	three	three	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	8	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	9	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	10	developed	develop	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	11	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	12	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	13	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	14	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	15	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	17	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	18	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	20	end	end	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	21	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	22	December	December	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	23	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	25	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	26	th	th	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	27	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	28	February	February	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	29	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	30	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	31	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	77	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	1	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	2	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	3	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	4	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	6	reported	report	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	7	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	8	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	9	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	10	3	3	LS
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	12	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	13	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	78	14	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	2	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	3	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	4	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	5	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	6	returns	return	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	8	RMSE	rmse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	9	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	10	6.52	6.52	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	11	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	13	one	one	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	14	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	15	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	16	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	17	returns	return	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	19	RMSE	rmse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	20	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	21	6.53	6.53	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	22	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	23	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	24	one	one	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	25	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	26	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	27	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	28	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	29	returns	return	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	30	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	31	RMSE	RMSE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	32	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	33	6.40	6.40	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	79	34	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	1	In	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	2	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	3	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	4	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	5	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	7	three	three	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	8	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	9	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	10	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	11	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	12	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	13	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	14	available	available	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	15	information	information	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	16	online	online	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	17	about	about	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	18	major	major	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	19	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	20	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	21	China	China	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	22	happening	happen	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	23	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	24	23th	23th	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	25	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	26	24th	24th	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	27	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	28	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	29	27th	27th	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	30	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	31	January	January	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	32	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	33	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	34	while	while	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	35	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	36	inference	inference	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	37	approach	approach	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	38	identified	identify	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	39	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	40	following	follow	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	41	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	42	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	43	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	44	20th	20th	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	45	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	46	24th	24th	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	47	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	48	26th	26th	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	49	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	50	29th	29th	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	51	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	52	30th	30th	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	53	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	54	January	January	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	55	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	56	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	57	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	58	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	59	generally	generally	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	60	lagged	lag	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	61	compared	compare	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	62	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	63	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	64	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	65	ones	one	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	66	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	67	possibly	possibly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	68	because	because	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	69	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	70	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	71	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	72	these	these	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	73	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	74	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	75	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	76	reflected	reflect	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	77	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	78	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	79	system	system	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	80	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	81	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	82	delay	delay	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	80	83	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	2	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	3	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	4	inference	inference	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	5	approach	approach	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	7	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	8	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	9	automates	automate	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	10	identification	identification	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	11	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	13	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	14	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	15	finds	find	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	16	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	17	statistically	statistically	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	18	significance	significance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	19	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	20	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	22	average	average	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	23	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	24	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	26	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	27	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	28	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	29	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	30	successfully	successfully	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	31	improve	improve	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	32	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	33	goodness	goodness	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	35	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	36	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	37	fit	fit	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	38	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	39	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	40	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	81	41	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	2	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	3	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	5	-0.04	-0.04	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	7	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	9	statistically	statistically	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	10	significant	significant	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	11	at	at	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	13	80	80	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	14	%	%	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	15	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	16	level	level	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	17	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	18	unlike	unlike	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	20	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	21	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	22	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	23	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	24	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	25	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	26	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	27	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	28	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	29	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	30	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	31	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	32	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	33	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	34	major	major	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	35	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	36	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	37	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	38	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	39	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	40	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	41	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	43	almost	almost	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	44	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	45	increase	increase	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	46	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	47	if	if	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	48	used	use	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	49	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	50	predict	predict	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	51	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	52	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	53	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	54	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	55	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	56	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	57	stable	stable	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	58	situation	situation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	59	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	60	China	China	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	82	61	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	4	performed	perform	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	5	some	some	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	6	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	7	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	8	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	10	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	11	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	12	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	13	variable	variable	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	14	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	16	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	17	results	result	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	18	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	19	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	20	presented	present	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	21	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	22	Figure	figure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	23	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	83	24	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	2	left	left	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	3	graph	graph	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	6	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	7	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	8	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	9	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	10	applied	apply	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	11	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	12	different	different	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	13	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	14	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	16	next	next	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	17	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	18	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	19	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	20	where	where	WRB
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	22	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	23	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	25	set	set	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	26	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	84	27	-0.005	-0.005	ADD
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	1	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	2	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	3	right	right	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	4	graphs	graphs	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	5	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	7	situation	situation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	8	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	9	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	10	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	11	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	12	-0.01	-0.01	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	14	considered	consider	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	85	15	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	2	main	main	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	3	take	take	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	4	away	away	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	5	message	message	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	6	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	8	diagrams	diagram	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	9	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	10	Figure	figure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	11	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	13	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	14	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	16	better	well	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	17	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	18	apply	apply	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	20	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	21	as	as	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	22	early	early	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	23	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	24	possible	possible	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	25	even	even	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	26	if	if	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	28	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	29	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	30	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	31	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	33	as	as	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	34	small	small	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	35	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	36	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	37	one	one	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	38	considered	consider	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	39	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	40	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	41	right	right	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	42	graph	graph	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	86	43	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	1	Further	further	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	3	stronger	strong	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	4	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	5	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	6	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	7	only	only	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	8	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	9	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	10	larger	large	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	11	immediate	immediate	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	12	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	13	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	14	but	but	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	15	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	16	result	result	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	17	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	18	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	19	more	more	RBR
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	20	stable	stable	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	21	long	long	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	23	term	term	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	24	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	25	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	26	25	25	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	27	shown	show	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	28	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	29	Figure	figure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	30	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	87	31	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	1	To	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	2	further	further	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	3	assess	assess	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	4	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	5	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	6	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	7	policies	policy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	8	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	10	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	11	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	14	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	15	looked	look	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	16	at	at	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	17	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	18	response	response	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	19	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	21	Australian	australian	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	22	government	government	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	23	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	24	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	25	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	26	given	give	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	28	access	access	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	29	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	30	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	31	authors	author	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	32	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	33	detail	detail	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	34	30	30	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	35	information	information	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	36	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	37	timeline	timeline	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	38	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	39	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	40	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	41	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	42	Australian	australian	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	43	government	government	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	88	44	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	2	first	first	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	3	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	4	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	5	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	6	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	7	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	8	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	9	January	January	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	10	25	25	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	11	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	12	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	13	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	14	passenger	passenger	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	15	travelling	travel	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	16	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	17	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	18	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	19	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	20	followed	follow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	21	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	22	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	23	travel	travel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	24	ban	ban	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	25	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	26	mainland	mainland	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	27	China	China	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	28	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	29	February	February	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	30	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	31	st	st	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	89	32	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	1	Other	other	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	2	travel	travel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	3	bans	ban	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	4	were	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	5	followed	follow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	6	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	7	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	8	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	9	arrival	arrival	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	10	blocking	block	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	11	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	12	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	13	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	14	st	st	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	16	south	south	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	17	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	18	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	19	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	20	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	21	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	22	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	23	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	24	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	25	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	26	11	11	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	27	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	28	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	29	selfisolation	selfisolation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	30	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	31	overseas	overseas	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	32	travelers	traveler	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	33	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	34	cruise	cruise	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	35	ships	ship	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	36	blocked	block	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	37	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	38	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	39	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	40	th	th	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	41	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	42	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	43	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	44	border	border	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	45	closure	closure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	46	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	47	35	35	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	48	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	49	19	19	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	50	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	51	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	52	ban	ban	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	53	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	54	travelling	travel	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	55	overseas	overseas	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	56	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	57	24	24	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	58	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	59	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	60	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	61	mandatory	mandatory	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	62	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	63	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	64	hotels	hotel	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	65	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	66	travelers	traveler	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	67	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	68	28	28	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	69	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	70	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	71	18	18	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	72	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	90	73	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	1	Upon	upon	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	2	including	include	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	3	travel	travel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	4	bans	ban	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	5	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	7	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	10	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	11	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	12	th	th	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	13	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	14	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	15	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	16	th	th	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	17	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	18	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	20	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	22	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	23	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	24	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	26	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	27	variable	variable	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	28	would	would	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	29	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	30	-53.89	-53.89	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	32	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	33	standard	standard	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	34	error	error	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	35	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	36	SE	SE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	37	=	=	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	38	26.94	26.94	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	40	implying	imply	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	41	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	42	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	43	average	average	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	44	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	45	travel	travel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	46	bans	ban	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	47	could	could	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	48	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	49	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	50	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	51	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	52	infected	infected	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	53	people	people	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	54	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	55	53	53	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	56	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	91	57	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	2	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	3	predictive	predictive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	4	power	power	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	5	would	would	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	6	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	7	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	8	improved	improve	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	9	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	10	terms	term	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	11	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	13	goodness	goodness	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	14	40	40	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	15	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	16	fit	fit	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	17	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	19	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	21	RMSE	RMSE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	22	=	=	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	23	8.88	8.88	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	24	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	25	significant	significant	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	26	compared	compare	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	27	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	28	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	29	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	30	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	31	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	32	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	92	34	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	1	Other	other	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	2	than	than	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	4	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	5	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	7	travel	travel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	8	ban	ban	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	9	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	10	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	11	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	12	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	14	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	16	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	17	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	18	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	21	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	22	reflecting	reflect	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	23	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	24	importance	importance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	25	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	26	incorporating	incorporate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	28	observation	observation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	29	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	30	three	three	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	31	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	32	before	before	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	33	into	into	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	34	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	35	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	36	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	37	also	also	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	38	requires	require	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	39	one	one	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	40	differencing	differencing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	41	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	42	make	make	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	43	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	44	data	data	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	45	stationary	stationary	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	46	reflecting	reflect	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	47	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	48	non	non	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	49	-	-	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	50	linearity	linearity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	51	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	52	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	53	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	54	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	55	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	93	56	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	2	first	first	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	3	order	order	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	5	integration	integration	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	7	i=3	i=3	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	8	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	10	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	11	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	13	also	also	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	14	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	15	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	16	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	17	slope	slope	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	18	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	20	45	45	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	21	All	All	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	22	rights	right	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	23	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	94	24	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	95	1	No	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	95	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	95	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	95	4	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	95	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	95	6	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	2	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	3	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	4	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	6	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	8	review	review	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	12	author	author	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	13	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	14	funder	funder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	16	who	who	WP
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	17	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	18	granted	grant	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	19	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	20	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	21	license	license	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	23	display	display	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	25	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	26	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	27	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	96	28	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	5	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	7	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	8	version	version	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	10	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	11	29	29	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	14	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	97	15	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	2	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	3	daily	daily	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	6	critical	critical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	7	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	8	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	9	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	10	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	11	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	12	just	just	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	13	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	14	accumulated	accumulate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	15	total	total	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	16	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	17	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	18	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	98	20	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	1	Another	another	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	2	type	type	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	3	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	4	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	5	practiced	practice	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	6	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	7	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	9	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	10	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	11	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	12	gathering	gather	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	13	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	14	public	public	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	15	places	place	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	99	16	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	1	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	2	imposed	impose	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	3	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	4	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	5	outdoor	outdoor	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	6	gathering	gathering	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	7	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	8	people	people	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	9	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	10	less	less	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	11	than	than	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	12	500	500	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	13	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	15	16	16	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	16	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	17	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	18	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	19	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	20	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	21	indoor	indoor	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	22	gathering	gathering	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	23	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	24	less	less	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	25	than	than	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	26	100	100	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	27	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	28	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	29	18	18	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	30	th	th	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	31	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	32	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	33	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	34	Pubs	Pubs	NNPS
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	35	clubs	club	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	36	closed	close	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	37	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	38	restaurants	restaurant	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	39	take	take	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	40	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	41	away	away	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	42	only	only	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	43	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	44	23	23	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	45	rd	rd	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	46	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	47	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	48	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	49	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	50	all	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	51	gathering	gathering	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	52	limited	limit	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	53	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	54	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	55	persons	person	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	56	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	57	30	30	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	58	th	th	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	59	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	60	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	61	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	62	18	18	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	63	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	100	64	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	1	By	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	2	considering	consider	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	3	these	these	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	4	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	5	except	except	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	6	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	8	23	23	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	9	rd	rd	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	10	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	11	over	over	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	12	laps	lap	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	13	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	14	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	15	major	major	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	16	spike	spike	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	17	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	20	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	22	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	23	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	24	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	25	variable	variable	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	27	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	28	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	29	-	-	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	30	16.24	16.24	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	32	SE	SE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	33	=	=	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	34	38.46	38.46	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	36	imply	imply	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	37	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	38	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	39	gathering	gathering	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	40	bans	ban	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	41	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	42	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	43	reduced	reduce	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	44	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	45	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	46	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	47	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	48	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	49	-16	-16	``
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	50	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	51	per	per	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	52	day	day	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	53	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	54	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	55	while	while	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	56	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	57	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	58	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	59	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	60	significant	significant	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	101	61	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	2	corresponding	correspond	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	3	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	4	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	7	3,3,0	3,3,0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	10	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	11	RMSE	RMSE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	12	10.31	10.31	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	14	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	15	significant	significant	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	16	compared	compare	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	17	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	18	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	19	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	20	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	21	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	22	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	102	24	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	1	Once	once	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	2	all	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	3	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	4	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	5	included	include	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	6	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	7	one	one	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	8	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	9	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	10	examine	examine	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	12	effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	13	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	14	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	15	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	16	one	one	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	17	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	18	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	20	aim	aim	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	21	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	22	finding	find	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	23	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	24	best	good	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	25	fit	fit	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	26	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	30	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	31	6	6	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	32	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	33	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	34	12	12	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	35	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	36	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	37	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	38	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	39	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	40	16	16	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	41	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	42	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	43	19	19	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	44	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	45	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	46	24	24	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	47	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	48	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	49	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	50	28	28	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	51	th	th	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	52	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	53	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	54	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	55	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	56	3	3	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	57	st	st	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	58	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	59	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	103	60	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	1	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	2	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	4	1,1,2	1,1,2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	6	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	8	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	9	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	10	RMSE	RMSE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	11	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	12	8.68	8.68	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	13	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	14	where	where	WRB
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	16	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	17	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	18	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	19	variable	variable	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	104	21	-45.4	-45.4	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	2	SE=21.86	SE=21.86	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	3	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	4	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	6	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	7	=	=	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	8	0.03	0.03	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	10	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	12	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	14	only	only	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	15	marginally	marginally	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	16	improved	improved	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	17	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	19	first	first	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	20	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	105	21	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	1	In	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	2	other	other	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	3	words	word	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	6	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	7	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	8	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	10	government	government	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	11	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	12	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	13	could	could	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	14	result	result	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	15	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	16	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	17	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	18	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	19	45	45	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	21	per	per	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	22	day	day	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	23	during	during	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	24	March	March	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	25	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	26	earlyto	earlyto	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	28	mid	mid	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	29	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	30	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	106	31	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	1	As	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	2	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	3	result	result	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	5	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	6	considering	consider	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	8	first	first	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	9	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	10	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	12	last	last	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	13	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	14	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	16	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	17	developed	develop	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	18	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	19	find	find	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	21	best	good	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	22	fit	fit	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	23	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	25	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	26	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	27	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	28	say	say	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	29	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	30	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	31	preventive	preventive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	32	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	33	helped	help	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	34	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	35	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	36	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	37	pf	pf	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	38	infected	infected	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	39	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	40	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	41	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	42	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	43	45	45	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	44	-	-	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	45	53	53	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	46	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	107	47	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	2	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	3	developed	develop	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	4	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	5	interactive	interactive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	6	online	online	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	7	dashboard	dashboard	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	9	https://unsw-dataanalytics.shinyapps.io/covid19_analytics	https://unsw-dataanalytics.shinyapps.io/covid19_analytics	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	11	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	12	facilitate	facilitate	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	13	real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	15	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	16	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	17	development	development	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	18	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	19	lay	lay	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	20	users	user	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	21	as	as	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	22	well	well	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	23	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	24	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	25	scientists	scientist	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	108	26	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	1	Users	user	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	2	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	3	select	select	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	4	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	5	country	country	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	6	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	7	interest	interest	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	8	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	10	left	left	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	11	panel	panel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	12	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	13	observe	observe	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	14	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	15	interactive	interactive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	16	visualisation	visualisation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	17	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	18	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	19	counts	count	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	20	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	21	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	23	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	25	middle	middle	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	26	panel	panel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	109	27	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	1	Upon	upon	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	2	pressing	press	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	4	'	'	``
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	5	Predict	predict	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	6	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	7	button	button	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	8	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	10	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	11	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	12	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	13	users	user	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	14	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	15	optimal	optimal	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	16	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	17	fitted	fit	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	18	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	19	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	20	latest	late	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	21	30	30	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	22	reports	report	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	23	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	24	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	25	spared	spare	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	26	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	27	provided	provide	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	28	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	29	ECDC	ECDC	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	110	30	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	1	For	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	2	any	any	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	3	country	country	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	5	interest	interest	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	7	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	8	interactive	interactive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	9	user	user	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	11	interface	interface	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	12	enables	enable	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	13	users	user	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	14	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	15	re	re	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	16	-	-	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	17	estimate	estimate	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	18	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	19	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	20	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	22	adding	add	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	23	observed	observe	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	24	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	25	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	26	previous	previous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	27	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	28	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	29	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	31	customising	customise	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	32	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	33	range	range	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	34	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	35	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	36	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	37	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	38	included	include	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	39	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	40	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	41	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	42	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	43	3	3	LS
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	45	incorporating	incorporate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	46	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	47	effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	48	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	49	future	future	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	50	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	51	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	52	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	111	53	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	2	right	right	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	3	panel	panel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	4	visualises	visualise	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	6	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	7	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	8	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	9	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	11	since	since	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	13	1000	1000	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	14	th	th	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	15	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	16	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	17	top	top	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	18	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	19	countries	country	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	20	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	21	terms	term	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	22	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	23	total	total	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	24	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	25	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	27	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	28	35	35	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	29	plus	plus	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	30	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	31	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	32	growth	growth	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	33	trajectories	trajectory	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	34	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	35	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	36	next	next	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	37	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	38	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	112	39	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	1	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	4	middle	middle	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	6	button	button	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	7	panel	panel	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	8	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	10	world	world	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	11	map	map	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	12	color	color	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	14	coded	code	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	15	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	16	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	17	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	18	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	20	per	per	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	21	100	100	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	22	K	k	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	23	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	24	together	together	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	25	providing	provide	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	26	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	27	global	global	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	28	comparative	comparative	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	29	view	view	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	30	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	31	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	32	forthcoming	forthcoming	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	33	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	34	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	113	35	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	114	1	Real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	114	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	114	3	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	1	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	2	data	data	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	3	analytics	analytic	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	4	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	5	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	6	mainly	mainly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	7	focused	focus	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	8	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	9	visualizing	visualize	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	10	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	11	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	13	19	19	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	15	40	40	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	16	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	17	limited	limited	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	18	effort	effort	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	19	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	20	developing	develop	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	21	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	23	dynamically	dynamically	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	24	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	25	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	115	27	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	1	Epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	2	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	3	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	4	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	5	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	6	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	7	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	8	SIER	SIER	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	9	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	10	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	11	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	12	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	13	strong	strong	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	14	foundation	foundation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	15	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	16	analyzing	analyze	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	18	growth	growth	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	19	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	20	decline	decline	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	21	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	22	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	23	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	24	been	be	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	25	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	26	explored	explore	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	27	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	28	modelling	model	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	29	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	30	speed	speed	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	31	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	32	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	33	disease	disease	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	34	progression	progression	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	116	35	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	1	Yet	yet	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	3	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	4	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	5	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	6	often	often	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	7	offline	offline	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	8	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	9	static	static	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	10	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	11	require	require	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	12	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	13	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	15	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	16	formulation	formulation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	17	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	19	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	20	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	21	rely	rely	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	22	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	23	multitude	multitude	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	24	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	25	initial	initial	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	26	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	117	27	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	118	1	45	45	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	119	1	All	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	119	2	rights	right	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	119	3	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	119	4	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	120	1	No	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	120	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	120	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	120	4	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	120	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	120	6	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	2	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	3	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	4	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	6	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	8	review	review	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	12	author	author	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	13	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	14	funder	funder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	16	who	who	WP
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	17	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	18	granted	grant	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	19	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	20	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	21	license	license	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	23	display	display	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	25	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	26	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	27	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	121	28	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	5	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	7	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	8	version	version	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	10	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	11	29	29	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	14	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	122	15	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	123	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	2	developed	develop	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	3	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	4	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	6	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	7	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	8	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	9	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	10	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	11	dynamically	dynamically	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	12	predict	predict	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	13	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	14	future	future	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	15	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	16	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	17	COVD-19	COVD-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	18	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	124	19	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	3	built	build	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	4	upon	upon	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	6	strength	strength	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	7	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	8	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	9	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	10	SIER	SIER	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	11	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	12	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	13	considering	consider	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	15	speed	speed	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	16	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	17	progression	progression	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	18	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	19	coupled	couple	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	20	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	22	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	23	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	24	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	26	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	27	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	28	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	29	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	31	considering	consider	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	32	higher	high	JJR
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	33	orders	order	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	34	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	35	derivatives	derivative	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	36	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	37	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	38	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	39	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	41	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	42	previous	previous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	43	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	44	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	45	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	46	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	48	accounting	account	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	49	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	50	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	51	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	52	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	53	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	54	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	55	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	56	previous	previous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	57	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	58	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	59	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	60	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	61	3	3	LS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	62	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	63	incorporating	incorporate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	64	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	65	effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	66	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	67	external	external	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	68	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	69	variables	variable	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	125	70	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	2	presented	present	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	3	an	an	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	4	automated	automated	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	5	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	6	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	7	that	that	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	8	delves	delve	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	9	into	into	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	10	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	11	layers	layer	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	12	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	13	information	information	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	14	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	16	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	17	time	time	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	18	series	series	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	20	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	21	find	find	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	22	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	23	best	good	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	24	fit	fit	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	25	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	26	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	27	aim	aim	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	28	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	29	providing	provide	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	30	robust	robust	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	31	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	126	32	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	2	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	4	unlike	unlike	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	5	numerous	numerous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	6	counterparts	counterpart	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	7	that	that	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	8	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	9	primarily	primarily	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	10	limited	limited	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	11	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	12	disseminating	disseminate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	13	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	14	existing	exist	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	15	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	16	-	-	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	17	measures	measure	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	19	average	average	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	20	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	21	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	22	previous	previous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	23	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	24	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	25	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	26	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	27	growth	growth	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	28	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	29	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	30	infected	infected	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	127	32	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	1	This	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	2	measure	measure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	4	then	then	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	5	used	use	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	6	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	7	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	8	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	9	future	future	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	10	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	11	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	12	when	when	WRB
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	13	similar	similar	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	14	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	15	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	16	considered	consider	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	17	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	18	further	further	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	19	control	control	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	21	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	128	22	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	2	presented	present	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	3	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	4	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	5	shown	show	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	6	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	7	be	be	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	8	effective	effective	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	9	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	10	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	12	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	13	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	15	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	16	each	each	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	17	country	country	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	129	18	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	2	elaborated	elaborate	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	4	importance	importance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	5	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	7	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	8	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	9	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	10	preprocessing	preprocessing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	11	step	step	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	12	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	13	shown	show	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	14	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	15	there	there	EX
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	17	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	18	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	19	operation	operation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	20	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	21	consistently	consistently	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	22	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	23	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	24	best	good	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	25	fit	fit	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	26	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	130	29	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	1	15	15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	2	Hence	hence	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	3	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	4	exploring	explore	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	5	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	6	options	option	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	7	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	8	recommended	recommend	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	9	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	10	stabilize	stabilize	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	11	variations	variation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	12	prior	prior	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	13	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	14	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	15	using	use	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	16	conventional	conventional	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	17	econometrics	econometric	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	18	formulations	formulation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	131	19	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	1	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	2	unique	unique	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	3	aspect	aspect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	6	presented	present	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	7	platform	platform	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	9	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	10	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	11	facilitates	facilitate	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	12	real	real	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	14	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	15	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	16	development	development	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	17	incorporating	incorporate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	18	latest	late	JJS
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	19	reported	report	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	21	into	into	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	22	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	132	23	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	2	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	3	shown	show	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	4	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	5	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	6	adaptive	adaptive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	7	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	8	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	9	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	10	improves	improve	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	12	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	13	power	power	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	14	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	15	therefor	therefor	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	16	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	17	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	18	reliability	reliability	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	133	19	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	1	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	2	One	one	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	3	major	major	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	4	challenge	challenge	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	5	ahead	ahead	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	6	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	7	governments	government	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	8	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	9	policymakers	policymaker	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	10	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	13	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	14	around	around	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	16	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	17	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	18	containment	containment	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	19	policies	policy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	20	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	21	controlling	control	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	22	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	23	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	134	24	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	1	Yet	yet	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	3	authorities	authority	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	4	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	5	observe	observe	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	7	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	8	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	9	what	what	WP
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	10	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	11	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	12	done	do	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	13	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	15	past	past	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	16	few	few	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	17	days	day	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	18	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	19	weeks	week	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	20	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	21	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	22	months	month	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	23	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	24	learn	learn	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	25	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	26	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	27	impact	impact	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	28	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	29	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	30	previous	previous	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	31	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	32	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	33	enhance	enhance	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	34	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	35	intelligence	intelligence	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	36	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	37	proposing	propose	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	38	new	new	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	39	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	40	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	41	25	25	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	42	control	control	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	43	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	44	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	135	45	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	2	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	3	shown	show	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	4	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	5	examining	examine	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	7	effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	8	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	9	controlling	control	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	10	policies	policy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	11	can	can	MD
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	12	inform	inform	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	13	policymakers	policymaker	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	14	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	15	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	16	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	17	types	type	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	18	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	19	controlling	control	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	20	policies	policy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	21	required	require	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	23	achieve	achieve	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	24	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	25	objective	objective	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	26	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	27	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	28	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	29	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	30	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	31	infected	infected	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	136	33	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	2	have	have	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	3	shown	show	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	5	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	6	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	7	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	8	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	9	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	10	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	11	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	12	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	13	containment	containment	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	14	policies	policy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	15	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	16	only	only	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	17	decline	decline	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	19	number	number	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	20	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	21	infected	infected	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	23	right	right	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	24	after	after	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	25	implementation	implementation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	26	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	27	but	but	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	28	also	also	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	29	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	30	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	31	slope	slope	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	32	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	33	progression	progression	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	137	34	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	2	latter	latter	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	4	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	5	more	more	RBR
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	6	outstanding	outstanding	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	7	factor	factor	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	8	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	9	especially	especially	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	10	when	when	WRB
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	11	30	30	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	12	such	such	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	13	policies	policy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	14	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	15	coupled	couple	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	16	with	with	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	17	economic	economic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	18	related	related	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	19	policies	policy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	20	given	give	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	21	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	22	recession	recession	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	23	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	24	depression	depression	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	25	that	that	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	27	expected	expect	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	28	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	29	happen	happen	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	30	during	during	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	31	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	32	after	after	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	33	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	34	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	35	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	138	36	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	1	Overall	overall	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	2	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	3	given	give	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	4	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	5	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	6	nature	nature	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	7	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	8	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	10	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	11	spread	spread	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	14	need	need	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	15	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	16	relax	relax	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	17	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	18	boundaries	boundary	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	19	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	20	potential	potential	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	21	methods	method	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	22	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	23	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	24	classical	classical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	25	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	26	models	model	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	27	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	28	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	29	further	further	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	30	explore	explore	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	31	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	32	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	33	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	34	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	35	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	36	account	account	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	37	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	38	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	39	aspects	aspect	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	40	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	41	virus	virus	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	42	spread	spread	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	139	43	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	2	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	3	Effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	5	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	6	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	7	modelling	model	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	8	performance	performance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	140	9	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	1	Four	four	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	2	countries	country	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	3	were	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	4	selected	select	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	5	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	6	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	7	studies	study	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	8	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	9	demonstrate	demonstrate	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	10	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	11	effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	12	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	13	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	14	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	15	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	16	transformations	transformation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	17	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	18	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	19	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	20	performance	performance	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	21	as	as	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	22	measured	measure	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	23	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	24	RMSE	RMSE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	25	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	26	last	last	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	28	most	most	RBS
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	29	recent	recent	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	31	20	20	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	32	%	%	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	33	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	34	time	time	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	35	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	36	series	series	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	37	data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	141	38	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	2	solid	solid	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	3	line	line	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	6	observed	observed	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	7	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	8	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	10	dashed	dash	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	11	lines	line	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	12	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	13	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	14	fitted	fit	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	15	values	value	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	16	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	17	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	19	red	red	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	21	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	22	after	after	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	23	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	25	green	green	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	27	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	28	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	30	blue	blue	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	32	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	142	33	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	2	bar	bar	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	3	plot	plot	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	4	beside	beside	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	5	each	each	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	6	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	7	graph	graph	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	8	shows	show	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	10	corresponding	corresponding	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	11	RMSE	RMSE	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	12	estimations	estimation	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	13	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	143	14	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	1	*	*	NFP
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	2	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	3	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	4	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	5	t	t	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	7	test	test	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	8	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	10	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	11	<	<	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	12	0.05	0.05	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	13	while	while	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	14	'	'	``
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	15	+	+	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	16	'	'	''
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	17	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	18	that	that	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	19	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	21	value	value	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	22	<	<	XX
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	23	0.06	0.06	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	144	24	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	145	1	*	*	NFP
cord-311432-js84ruve	145	2	*	*	NFP
cord-311432-js84ruve	145	3	+	+	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	146	1	*	*	NFP
cord-311432-js84ruve	146	2	*	*	NFP
cord-311432-js84ruve	146	3	+	+	NFP
cord-311432-js84ruve	146	4	All	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	146	5	rights	right	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	146	6	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	146	7	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	147	1	No	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	147	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	147	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	147	4	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	147	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	147	6	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	2	which	which	WDT
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	3	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	4	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	6	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	8	review	review	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	12	author	author	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	13	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	14	funder	funder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	15	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	16	who	who	WP
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	17	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	18	granted	grant	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	19	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	20	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	21	license	license	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	22	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	23	display	display	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	24	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	25	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	26	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	27	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	148	28	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	5	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	7	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	8	version	version	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	10	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	11	29	29	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	149	14	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	150	1	Intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	150	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	150	3	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	150	4	-0.005	-0.005	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	1	Intervention	intervention	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	3	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	4	-0.01	-0.01	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	5	Pandemics	pandemic	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	6	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	7	social	social	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	8	capital	capital	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	151	9	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	1	From	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	2	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	3	Spanish	spanish	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	4	flu	flu	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	5	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	6	1918	1918	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	7	-	-	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	8	19	19	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	9	to	to	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	10	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	11	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	152	13	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	153	1	45	45	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	153	2	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	153	3	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	154	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	154	2	ECDC	ECDC	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	154	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	154	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	154	5	E.C.f	E.C.f	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	154	6	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	1	D.P.a	D.P.a	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	2	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	3	C.	C.	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	4	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	5	Data	Data	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	6	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	7	geographic	geographic	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	8	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	9	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	10	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	155	12	worldwide	worldwide	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	1	10	10	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	2	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	3	modified	modify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	4	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	5	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	6	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	7	predict	predict	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	8	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	9	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	10	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	11	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	12	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	13	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	14	simulating	simulate	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	15	control	control	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	16	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	17	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	18	multi	multi	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	19	-	-	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	20	scale	scale	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	21	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	156	22	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	2	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	3	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	4	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	5	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	6	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	7	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	8	determine	determine	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	9	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	10	trend	trend	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	11	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	12	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	13	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	14	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	15	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	16	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	17	final	final	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	18	phase	phase	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	19	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	20	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	21	current	current	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	22	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	23	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	24	China	China	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	25	Projecting	project	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	26	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	27	utilization	utilization	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	28	during	during	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	29	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	30	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	31	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	32	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	33	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	34	United	United	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	157	35	States	States	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	2	effect	effect	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	3	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	4	control	control	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	5	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	6	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	7	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	8	social	social	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	9	mixing	mixing	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	10	on	on	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	11	outcomes	outcome	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	12	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	13	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	14	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	16	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	17	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	18	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	19	China	China	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	20	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	21	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	22	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	23	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	158	24	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	2	Lancet	Lancet	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	3	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	4	Diseases	Diseases	NNPS
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	5	Data	Data	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	7	based	base	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	8	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	9	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	10	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	11	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	12	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	13	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	15	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	16	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	17	Artificial	Artificial	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	18	intelligence	intelligence	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	19	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	20	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	21	covid-19	covid-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	22	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	23	china	china	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	24	Epidemiology	Epidemiology	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	25	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	26	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	27	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	28	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	29	positive	positive	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	30	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	31	rate	rate	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	32	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	33	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	34	viruses	virus	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	35	among	among	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	36	children	child	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	37	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	38	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	39	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	40	China	China	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	41	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	42	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	43	nine	nine	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	44	-	-	HYPH
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	45	year	year	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	46	retrospective	retrospective	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	47	study	study	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	48	Ensemble	Ensemble	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	49	of	of	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	50	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	51	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	52	Combining	combine	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	53	Parametric	Parametric	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	54	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	55	Bootstrapping	Bootstrapping	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	56	Techniques	technique	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	57	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	58	Traffic	Traffic	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	59	Flow	Flow	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	60	Prediction	Prediction	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	61	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	62	35	35	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	63	numbers	number	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	64	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	65	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	66	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	67	how	how	WRB
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	68	many	many	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	69	new	new	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	70	cases	case	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	71	are	be	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	72	there	there	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	159	73	?	?	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	1	Covid-19	Covid-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	2	map	map	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	3	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	4	stats	stat	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	5	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	6	graph	graph	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	7	Tracking	Tracking	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	8	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	9	responsibly	responsibly	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	160	10	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	161	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	161	2	Lancet	Lancet	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	161	3	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	161	4	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	161	5	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	162	1	AR1	AR1	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	162	2	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	162	3	-0.393	-0.393	ADD
cord-311432-js84ruve	162	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	162	5	0.15	0.15	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	162	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	163	1	Acknowledgments	acknowledgment	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	163	2	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	1	SS	SS	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	2	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	3	THR	THR	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	4	acknowledge	acknowledge	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	6	support	support	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	7	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	8	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	9	Australian	Australian	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	10	Research	Research	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	11	Council	Council	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	12	under	under	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	13	Linkage	Linkage	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	14	Scheme	Scheme	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	16	LP160100450	lp160100450	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	164	18	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	1	THR	THR	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	2	acknowledges	acknowledge	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	4	support	support	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	5	from	from	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	7	Australian	australian	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	8	research	research	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	9	Council	Council	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	10	under	under	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	12	DECRA	DECRA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	13	Scheme	Scheme	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	15	DE170101346	de170101346	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	165	17	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	1	Author	author	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	2	contributions	contribution	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	3	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	4	THR	THR	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	5	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	6	FV	FV	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	7	conceived	conceive	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	8	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	9	supervised	supervise	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	10	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	11	project	project	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	166	12	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	167	1	SS	SS	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	167	2	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	167	3	THR	THR	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	167	4	developed	develop	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	167	5	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	167	6	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	167	7	model	model	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	167	8	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	168	1	SS	SS	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	168	2	generated	generate	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	168	3	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	168	4	results	result	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	168	5	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	168	6	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	168	7	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	168	8	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	169	1	AA	AA	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	169	2	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	169	3	FV	FV	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	169	4	Competing	Competing	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	169	5	interests	interest	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	169	6	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	170	1	Authors	author	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	170	2	declare	declare	VBP
cord-311432-js84ruve	170	3	no	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	170	4	competing	compete	VBG
cord-311432-js84ruve	170	5	interests	interest	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	170	6	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	1	Data	datum	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	2	and	and	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	3	materials	material	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	4	availability	availability	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	5	:	:	:
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	6	All	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	7	data	data	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	9	available	available	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	10	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	11	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	12	main	main	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	13	text	text	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	14	or	or	CC
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	15	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	16	supplementary	supplementary	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	17	materials	material	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	171	18	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	172	1	All	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	172	2	rights	right	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	172	3	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	172	4	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	1	No	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	4	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	5	permission.(which	permission.(which	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	6	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	7	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	8	certified	certify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	9	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	10	peer	peer	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	11	review	review	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	15	author	author	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	16	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	17	funder	funder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	18	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	19	who	who	WP
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	20	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	21	granted	grant	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	22	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	23	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	24	license	license	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	25	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	26	display	display	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	28	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	29	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	30	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	173	31	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	5	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	7	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	8	version	version	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	10	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	11	29	29	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	174	14	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	1	Cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	2	case	case	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	3	counts	count	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	4	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	5	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	6	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	7	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	8	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	175	9	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	176	1	3	3	LS
cord-311432-js84ruve	176	2	A	a	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	176	3	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	176	4	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	176	5	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	176	6	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	176	7	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	177	1	4	4	LS
cord-311432-js84ruve	177	2	A	a	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	177	3	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	177	4	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	177	5	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	177	6	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	177	7	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	177	8	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	178	1	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	178	2	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	178	3	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	178	4	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	178	5	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	178	6	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	178	7	6	6	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	179	1	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	179	2	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	179	3	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	179	4	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	179	5	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	179	6	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	179	7	7	7	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	180	1	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	180	2	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	180	3	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	180	4	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	180	5	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	180	6	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	180	7	8	8	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	181	1	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	181	2	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	181	3	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	181	4	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	181	5	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	181	6	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	181	7	9	9	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	182	1	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	182	2	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	182	3	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	182	4	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	182	5	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	182	6	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	182	7	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	183	1	A	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	1	p	p	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	2	r	r	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	3	i	i	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	4	l	l	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	5	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	6	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	7	0	0	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	8	1	1	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	9	K	k	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	10	2	2	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	184	11	K	k	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	185	1	3	3	LS
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	1	K	K	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	2	4	4	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	3	K	k	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	4	5	5	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	5	K	K	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	6	All	all	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	7	rights	right	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	8	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	186	9	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	1	No	no	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	4	without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	5	permission.(which	permission.(which	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	6	was	be	VBD
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	7	not	not	RB
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	8	certified	certify	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	9	by	by	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	10	peer	peer	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	11	review	review	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	14	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	15	author	author	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	16	/	/	SYM
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	17	funder	funder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	18	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	19	who	who	WP
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	20	has	have	VBZ
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	21	granted	grant	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	22	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	23	a	a	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	24	license	license	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	25	to	to	TO
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	26	display	display	VB
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	27	the	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	28	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	29	in	in	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	30	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	187	31	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	1	The	the	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	4	for	for	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	5	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	7	this	this	DT
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	8	version	version	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	10	April	April	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	11	29	29	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	12	,	,	,
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	14	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	188	15	.	.	.
cord-311432-js84ruve	189	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-311432-js84ruve	189	2	 	 	_SP
cord-311432-js84ruve	189	3	Without	without	IN
cord-311432-js84ruve	189	4	ARIMA(4,5,0	arima(4,5,0	NN
cord-311432-js84ruve	189	5	)	)	-RRB-