id sid tid token lemma pos cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 1 key key JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 2 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 3 cord-340244-qjf23a7e cord-340244-qjf23a7e NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 4 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 5 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 6 Bernstein Bernstein NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 8 Daniel Daniel NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 9 J. J. NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 10 title title NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 1 11 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 1 Further further JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 2 analysis analysis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 5 impact impact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 7 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 8 upon upon IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 12 date date NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 13 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 14 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 15 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 16 04 04 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 17 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 18 16 16 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 19 journal journal NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 20 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 21 nan nan NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 22 DOI DOI NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 2 23 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 3 1 10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 4 1 sha sha NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 4 2 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 5 1 c2e1f0a3bff507eacd4822799ee1732a402fd18e c2e1f0a3bff507eacd4822799ee1732a402fd18e NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 5 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 5 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 6 1 340244 340244 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 6 2 cord_uid cord_uid NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 6 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 7 1 qjf23a7e qjf23a7e NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 3 questions question NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 4 various various JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 5 claims claim NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 6 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 8 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 9 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 10 Social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 11 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 12 strategies strategy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 13 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 14 curbing curb VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 16 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 18 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 19 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 20 Kissler Kissler NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 21 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 22 Tedijanto Tedijanto NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 23 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 24 Lipsitch Lipsitch NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 25 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 26 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 27 Grad grad NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 8 28 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 1 most most RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 2 importantly importantly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 5 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 6 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 7 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 8 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 9 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 10 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 11 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 12 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 13 measures measure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 14 achieved achieve VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 15 only only RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 16 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 17 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 18 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 19 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 20 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 21 R0 R0 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 9 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 2 22 22 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 3 March March NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 4 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 5 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 6 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 7 Social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 8 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 9 strategies strategy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 10 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 11 curbing curb VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 15 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 17 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 19 reports report VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 20 calculations calculation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 21 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 22 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 23 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 24 where where WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 25 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 26 reduces reduce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 27 R R NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 28 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 29 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 30 at at RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 31 most most RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 32 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 33 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 34 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 35 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 36 claims claim VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 37 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 38 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 39 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 40 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 41 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 42 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 43 par par NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 44 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 45 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 46 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 47 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 48 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 49 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 50 achieved achieve VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 51 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 52 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 53 through through IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 54 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 55 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 56 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 57 measures measure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 58 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 59 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 61 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 10 62 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 1 Reference reference NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 2 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 4 3 3 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 6 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 7 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 8 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 9 9 9 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 10 March March NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 11 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 12 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 14 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 16 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 17 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 18 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 19 say say VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 20 what what WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 22 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 24 claims claim VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 26 says say VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 11 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 1 What what WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 2 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 3 1 1 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 5 actually actually RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 6 says say VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 7 about about IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 9 effect effect NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 10 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 11 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 12 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 13 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 14 upon upon IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 15 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 16 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 17 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 18 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 19 following follow VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 20 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 21 With with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 22 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 23 early early JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 25 value value NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 26 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 27 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 28 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 29 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 30 2.5 2.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 31 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 32 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 33 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 34 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 35 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 36 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 37 reduce reduce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 38 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 39 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 40 about about RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 41 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 42 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 43 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 44 less less JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 45 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 46 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 47 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 48 intrinsic intrinsic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 49 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 50 potential potential JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 51 declines decline NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 52 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 53 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 54 warm warm JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 55 summer summer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 56 months month NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 57 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 58 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 59 northern northern JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 60 hemisphere hemisphere NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 12 61 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 2 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 4 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 5 big big JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 6 ask ask NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 8 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 10 did do VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 11 happen happen VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 12 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 13 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 13 14 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 1 In in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 2 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 3 words word NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 5 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 6 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 7 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 8 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 9 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 11 originally originally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 12 2.5 2.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 13 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 14 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 16 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 17 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 18 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 19 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 20 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 21 had have VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 22 less less JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 23 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 24 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 25 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 26 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 27 effect effect NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 28 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 29 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 30 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 31 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 32 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 33 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 34 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 35 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 36 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 37 larger large JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 38 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 39 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 40 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 41 so so CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 42 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 43 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 44 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 45 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 46 continued continue VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 47 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 48 spread spread VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 49 exponentially exponentially RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 50 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 51 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 52 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 53 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 54 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 55 news news NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 56 reports report NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 57 say say VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 58 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 59 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 60 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 61 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 62 stopped stop VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 63 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 64 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 65 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 66 so so RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 67 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 68 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 69 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 70 must must MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 71 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 72 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 73 reduced reduce VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 74 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 75 at at RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 76 least least RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 77 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 78 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 14 79 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 1 How how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 2 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 4 5 5 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 6 conclude conclude VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 7 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 8 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 9 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 10 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 11 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 12 reduces reduce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 13 R R NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 14 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 15 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 16 at at RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 17 most most RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 18 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 19 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 15 20 ? ? . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 1 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 2 do do VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 4 seem seem VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 6 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 7 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 8 further further JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 9 comments comment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 10 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 11 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 12 topic topic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 13 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 15 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 17 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 18 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 21 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 23 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 24 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 25 seem seem VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 26 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 27 present present VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 28 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 29 justification justification NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 30 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 31 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 32 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 33 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 34 reducing reduce VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 35 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 36 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 37 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 38 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 39 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 40 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 41 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 42 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 43 big big JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 44 ask ask NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 45 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 16 46 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 1 Is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 3 plausible plausible JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 4 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 5 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 6 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 7 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 8 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 9 lockdown lockdown NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 10 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 11 presumably presumably RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 12 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 13 drastic drastic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 14 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 15 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 17 amount amount NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 18 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 19 contact contact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 20 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 21 typical typical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 22 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 23 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 24 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 25 reduce reduce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 26 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 27 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 28 only only RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 29 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 30 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 17 31 ? ? . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 2 actual actual JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 3 level level NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 5 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 6 directly directly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 7 affects affect VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 9 main main JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 10 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 11 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 14 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 18 16 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 2 main main JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 3 objective objective NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 5 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 6 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 7 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 8 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 9 see see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 10 what what WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 12 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 13 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 16 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 18 says say VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 19 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 20 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 21 initial initial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 22 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 23 outbreak outbreak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 24 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 25 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 26 lockdown lockdown NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 27 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 28 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 19 29 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 2 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 3 used use VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 4 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 6 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 8 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 9 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 10 seem seem VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 11 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 12 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 13 available available JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 14 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 15 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 16 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 17 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 18 accompanied accompany VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 19 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 20 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 21 public public JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 22 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 23 domain domain NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 24 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 25 intended intend VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 26 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 27 implement implement VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 28 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 29 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 30 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 20 31 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 2 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 3 computations computation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 4 conclude conclude VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 5 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 7 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 9 minimum minimum NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 10 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 11 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 12 allowed allow VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 13 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 15 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 16 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 18 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 20 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 21 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 22 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 23 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 24 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 25 43-day 43-day CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 26 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 27 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 28 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 29 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 30 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 31 50 50 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 32 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 33 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 34 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 35 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 36 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 37 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 38 53-day 53-day CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 39 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 40 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 41 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 42 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 43 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 44 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 45 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 46 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 47 50 50 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 48 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 49 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 50 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 21 51 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 1 For for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 2 comparison comparison NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 4 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 5 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 6 reports report NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 7 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 8 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 9 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 10 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 11 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 12 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 13 24 24 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 14 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 15 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 16 28 28 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 17 March March NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 18 show show VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 19 only only RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 20 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 21 26-day 26-day CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 22 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 23 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 24 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 25 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 26 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 27 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 28 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 29 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 30 50 50 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 31 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 32 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 33 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 22 34 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 2 comparison comparison NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 4 consistent consistent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 5 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 7 theory theory NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 8 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 9 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 10 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 11 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 12 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 13 cut cut VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 14 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 15 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 16 rate rate NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 17 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 18 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 19 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 20 much much RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 21 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 22 sharply sharply RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 23 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 24 assumed assume VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 25 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 27 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 23 29 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 1 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 2 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 3 no no DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 4 way way NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 5 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 7 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 9 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 10 rule rule VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 11 out out RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 13 theory theory NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 15 so so RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 17 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 19 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 20 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 21 considered consider VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 22 much much RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 23 smaller small JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 24 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 25 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 26 values value NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 24 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 3 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 4 covers cover VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 5 various various JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 6 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 7 problems problem NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 8 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 10 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 25 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 2 theory theory NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 3 stated state VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 4 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 6 previous previous JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 7 paragraph paragraph NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 8 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 9 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 10 treated treat VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 11 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 12 caution caution NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 14 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 15 several several JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 16 reasons reason NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 26 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 2 hope hope NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 4 strong strong JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 5 effects effect NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 6 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 8 creates create VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 9 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 10 bias bias NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 11 towards towards IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 12 believing believe VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 13 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 14 such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 15 effects effect NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 16 exist exist VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 27 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 1 Overly overly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 2 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 3 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 4 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 5 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 6 slowed slow VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 7 down down RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 8 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 10 see see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 12 e.g. e.g. RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 15 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 19 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 20 newer new JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 21 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 22 suggest suggest VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 23 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 24 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 25 slowness slowness NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 26 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 27 turn turn VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 28 out out RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 29 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 30 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 31 caused cause VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 32 many many JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 33 unnecessary unnecessary JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 34 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 35 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 36 further further JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 37 policy policy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 38 decisions decision NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 39 based base VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 40 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 41 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 42 unproven unproven JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 43 theories theory NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 44 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 45 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 46 similarly similarly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 47 disastrous disastrous JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 28 48 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 1 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 2 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 3 many many JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 4 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 5 possible possible JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 6 explanations explanation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 7 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 9 relatively relatively RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 10 short short JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 11 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 13 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 14 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 15 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 16 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 17 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 18 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 19 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 20 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 21 example example NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 22 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 23 perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 24 increased increase VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 25 contact contact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 26 tracing tracing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 27 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 28 wearing wearing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 29 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 30 masks mask NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 31 helped help VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 32 reduce reduce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 33 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 34 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 35 perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 36 changes change NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 37 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 38 treatment treatment NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 39 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 40 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 41 reporting report VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 42 policies policy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 43 reduced reduce VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 44 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 45 number number NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 46 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 47 reported report VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 48 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 49 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 50 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 51 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 29 52 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 4 fragments fragment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 5 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 6 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 7 considered consider VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 8 here here RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 9 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 10 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 11 reliably reliably RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 12 distinguish distinguish VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 13 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 15 e.g. e.g. RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 17 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 18 theory theory NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 19 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 20 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 21 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 22 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 23 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 24 reduces reduce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 25 R R NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 26 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 27 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 28 90 90 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 29 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 30 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 31 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 32 theory theory NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 33 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 34 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 35 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 36 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 37 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 38 reduces reduce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 39 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 40 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 41 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 42 99 99 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 43 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 30 44 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 1 Policymakers policymaker NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 2 trying try VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 3 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 4 find find VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 6 best good JJS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 7 combinations combination NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 8 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 9 non non JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 10 - - JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 11 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 12 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 13 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 14 keep keep VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 15 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 16 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 17 low low NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 18 until until IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 19 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 20 vaccine vaccine NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 21 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 22 available available JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 23 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 24 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 25 example example NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 26 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 27 keeping keep VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 28 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 29 safely safely RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 30 below below IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 31 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 32 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 33 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 34 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 35 dance dance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 36 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 37 explained explain VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 38 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 39 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 40 7 7 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 41 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 42 -want -want NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 43 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 44 know know VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 45 much much RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 46 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 47 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 48 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 49 impact impact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 50 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 51 various various JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 52 types type NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 53 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 54 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 55 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 56 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 57 impact impact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 58 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 59 encouraging encourage VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 60 widespread widespread JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 61 wearing wearing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 62 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 63 masks mask NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 64 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 65 etc etc FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 31 66 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 3 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 4 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 5 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 6 viewed view VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 7 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 8 answering answer VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 9 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 10 questions question NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 11 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 13 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 14 merely merely RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 15 disputes dispute VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 17 overconfident overconfident JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 18 answer answer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 19 given give VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 20 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 22 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 32 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 2 only only JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 3 policy policy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 4 recommendation recommendation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 5 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 7 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 8 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 9 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 10 follows follow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 33 11 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 1 Governments government NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 2 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 3 systematically systematically RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 4 allocate allocate VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 5 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 6 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 7 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 8 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 9 daily daily JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 11 testing testing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 12 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 13 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 14 testing test VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 15 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 16 chosen choose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 17 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 18 random random JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 19 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 20 census census NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 21 rolls roll NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 22 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 23 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 24 whatever whatever WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 25 incentives incentive NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 26 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 27 necessary necessary JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 28 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 29 create create VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 30 compliance compliance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 32 e.g. e.g. RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 33 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 34 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 35 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 36 United United NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 37 States States NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 38 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 39 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 40 $ $ $ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 41 100 100 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 42 reward reward NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 43 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 44 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 45 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 46 tested test VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 47 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 48 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 49 way way NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 34 51 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 2 resulting result VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 3 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 4 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 5 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 6 rates rate NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 7 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 8 help help VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 9 rule rule VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 10 out out RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 11 incorrect incorrect JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 12 theories theory NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 13 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 15 prevalence prevalence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 16 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 19 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 20 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 21 provide provide VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 22 essential essential JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 23 feedback feedback NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 24 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 25 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 26 impact impact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 27 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 28 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 35 29 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 1 No no DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 2 claims claim NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 4 novelty novelty NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 5 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 6 made make VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 7 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 8 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 9 recommendation recommendation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 36 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 2 section section NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 3 reviews review VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 5 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 7 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 8 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 11 spread spread NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 37 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 38 1 2.1 2.1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 38 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 39 1 Introduction introduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 39 2 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 39 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 39 4 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 39 5 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 1 An an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 2 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 4 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 5 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 6 works work VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 7 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 8 follows follow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 40 9 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 41 1 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 41 2 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 41 3 N n CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 41 4 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 41 5 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 41 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 41 7 population population NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 41 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 2 population population NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 4 partitioned partition VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 5 into into IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 6 three three CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 7 subpopulations subpopulation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 9 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 10 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 11 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 13 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 14 • • NFP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 15 Some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 16 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 17 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 18 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 20 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 21 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 22 who who WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 23 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 24 never never RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 25 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 26 exposed expose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 27 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 28 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 29 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 42 30 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 2 fraction fraction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 4 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 5 who who WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 6 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 7 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 8 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 9 called call VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 10 S S NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 12 so so RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 13 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 14 total total NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 15 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 16 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 17 SN SN NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 18 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 19 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 43 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 44 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 1 Some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 2 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 3 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 4 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 5 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 6 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 7 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 8 who who WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 9 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 10 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 11 exposed expose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 12 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 14 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 15 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 16 could could MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 17 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 18 spreading spread VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 45 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 2 fraction fraction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 4 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 5 who who WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 6 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 8 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 9 called call VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 10 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 12 so so RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 13 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 14 total total NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 15 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 16 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 17 IN in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 18 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 19 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 46 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 47 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 1 Some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 2 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 3 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 4 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 5 recovered recover VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 6 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 7 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 8 who who WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 9 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 10 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 11 exposed expose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 12 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 14 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 15 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 16 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 17 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 18 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 19 spreading spread VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 48 21 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 2 fraction fraction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 4 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 5 who who WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 6 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 7 recovered recover VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 8 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 9 called call VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 10 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 12 so so RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 13 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 14 total total NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 15 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 49 16 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 50 1 RN RN NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 50 2 recovered recover VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 50 3 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 50 4 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 2 fractions fraction NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 3 S s NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 7 R R NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 8 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 51 9 S s NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 52 1 + + CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 53 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 53 2 + + CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 53 3 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 53 4 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 53 5 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 53 6 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 54 1 These these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 54 2 fractions fraction NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 54 3 change change VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 54 4 over over IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 54 5 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 54 6 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 1 Note note VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 2 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 4 literature literature NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 5 often often RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 6 relabels relabel VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 7 SN SN NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 9 IN in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 11 RN RN NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 12 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 13 S S NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 15 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 17 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 19 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 20 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 21 changes change VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 23 equations equation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 24 shown show VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 25 below below RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 55 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 1 Each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 2 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 3 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 5 assumed assume VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 6 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 7 take take VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 9 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 10 average average JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 12 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 13 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 14 γ γ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 15 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 16 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 17 recover recover VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 19 where where WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 20 γ γ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 21 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 22 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 23 parameter parameter NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 24 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 25 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 26 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 56 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 1 One one PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 3 imagine imagine VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 4 several several JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 5 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 6 ways way NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 8 define define VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 10 exact exact JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 11 timing timing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 13 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 14 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 15 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 16 Each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 18 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 19 recovers recover VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 20 after after IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 21 exactly exactly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 22 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 23 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 24 γ γ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 25 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 57 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 2 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 4 no no DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 5 variance variance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 8 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 9 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 58 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 59 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 1 Each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 2 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 3 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 5 probability probability NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 6 γ γ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 7 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 8 recovering recover VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 9 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 10 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 60 11 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 2 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 4 much much RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 5 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 6 variance variance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 7 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 9 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 10 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 11 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 61 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 62 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 1 Each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 2 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 3 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 5 probability probability NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 6 γ/24 γ/24 IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 7 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 8 recovering recover VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 9 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 10 hour hour NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 63 11 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 64 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 65 1 Et Et NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 65 2 cetera cetera NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 65 3 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 1 An an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 2 SIR SIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 3 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 4 uses use VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 6 limit limit NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 7 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 8 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 9 possibilities possibility NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 11 continuously continuously RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 12 compounding compound VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 14 probability probability NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 15 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 16 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 66 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 1 Mathematically mathematically RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 3 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 4 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 5 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 6 no no DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 7 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 8 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 10 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 11 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 12 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 13 says say VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 14 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 16 derivative derivative NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 17 I i NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 19 t t NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 21 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 22 −γI(t −γI(t . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 67 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 1 where where WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 2 t t NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 4 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 5 measured measure VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 7 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 9 so so IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 10 I(t I(t NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 68 12 = = NFP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 69 1 I(0 I(0 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 69 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 69 3 exp(−γt exp(−γt NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 69 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 69 5 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 1 Meanwhile meanwhile RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 2 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 4 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 5 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 6 assumed assume VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 8 transmit transmit VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 10 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 11 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 12 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 13 average average NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 14 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 15 β β NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 16 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 17 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 18 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 20 spread spread VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 21 uniformly uniformly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 22 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 23 random random JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 24 through through IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 25 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 26 entire entire JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 27 population population NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 70 28 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 2 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 3 affects affect VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 4 only only RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 5 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 6 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 7 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 8 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 9 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 10 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 11 infects infect VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 13 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 14 average average JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 16 βS βs NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 17 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 18 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 19 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 71 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 2 IN in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 4 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 5 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 6 assumed assume VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 8 infect infect VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 9 separate separate JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 10 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 12 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 13 total total NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 14 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 15 βISN βisn JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 16 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 17 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 18 average average JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 19 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 20 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 21 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 22 increasing increase VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 23 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 24 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 25 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 72 26 rate rate NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 73 1 βIS βIS NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 73 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 2 again again RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 4 modeled model VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 5 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 6 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 7 continuous continuous JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 8 process process NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 9 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 10 diagrams diagram NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 11 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 12 discrete discrete JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 13 automata automaton NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 14 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 15 observe observe VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 16 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 17 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 18 notation notation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 19 here here RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 20 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 21 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 22 include include VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 23 self self NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 24 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 25 loops loop NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 26 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 27 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 28 default default NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 29 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 30 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 31 staying stay VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 32 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 33 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 34 current current JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 35 compartment compartment NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 74 36 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 1 Without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 2 doing do VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 4 work work NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 5 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 6 analyzing analyze VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 7 solutions solution NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 8 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 9 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 10 equations equation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 12 one one PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 13 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 14 guess guess VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 15 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 16 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 18 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 19 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 20 transmit transmit VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 21 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 22 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 23 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 24 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 25 average average NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 26 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 27 β β NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 28 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 29 γ γ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 30 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 31 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 32 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 33 thus thus RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 34 infect infect VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 35 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 36 average average NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 37 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 39 β β NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 40 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 41 γ)S γ)S NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 42 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 43 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 44 during during IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 45 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 46 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 47 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 48 γ γ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 49 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 50 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 51 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 52 average average JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 53 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 75 54 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 2 ratio ratio NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 3 β β NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 4 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 5 γ γ NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 7 called call VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 8 R R NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 9 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 76 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 2 back back JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 5 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 7 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 8 envelope envelope NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 9 calculation calculation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 10 suggests suggest VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 11 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 12 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 14 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 15 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 16 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 17 < < XX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 18 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 19 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 20 remain remain VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 21 under under IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 22 control control NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 23 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 24 while while IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 25 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 27 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 28 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 29 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 30 > > SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 31 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 32 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 33 explode explode VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 34 exponentially exponentially RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 35 until until IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 36 S S NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 37 drops drop VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 38 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 39 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 40 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 41 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 42 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 44 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 45 herd herd NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 46 immunity immunity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 47 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 77 49 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 1 One one PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 3 see see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 5 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 6 effects effect NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 7 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 9 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 10 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 11 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 12 nonzero nonzero JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 13 rate rate NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 14 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 16 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 17 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 78 18 increase increase VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 2 i.e. i.e. FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 6 t t NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 8 > > XX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 9 0 0 NFP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 11 as as RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 12 long long RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 13 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 14 βS(t βs(t NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 79 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 80 1 > > XX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 1 γ γ NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 3 i.e. i.e. FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 5 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 6 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 7 S(t s(t NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 81 9 > > XX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 82 1 1 1 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 82 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 1 Once once RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 2 S(t S(t NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 4 drops drop VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 5 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 6 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 7 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 8 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 9 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 83 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 84 1 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 84 2 quantity quantity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 84 3 I(t I(t NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 84 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 84 5 stops stop VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 84 6 increasing increase VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 84 7 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 2 remaining remain VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 4 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 5 continue continue VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 6 infecting infect VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 7 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 9 pushing push VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 10 S(t S(t NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 12 somewhat somewhat RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 13 below below IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 14 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 15 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 16 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 17 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 19 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 20 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 21 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 22 rate rate NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 23 begins begin VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 24 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 25 reduce reduce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 26 I(t I(t NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 85 28 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 1 Real real JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 2 diseases disease NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 3 seem seem VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 4 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 5 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 6 less less RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 8 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 9 first first RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 10 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 11 become become VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 12 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 13 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 14 after after IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 15 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 16 incubation incubation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 17 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 18 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 19 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 20 SIR SIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 21 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 22 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 23 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 24 account account VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 25 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 26 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 86 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 1 An an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 2 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 3 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 4 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 5 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 6 tries try VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 8 address address VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 9 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 10 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 11 adding add VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 12 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 13 extra extra JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 14 compartment compartment NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 15 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 16 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 17 exposed expose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 18 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 19 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 20 who who WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 21 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 22 infected infect VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 23 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 24 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 25 yet yet RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 26 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 27 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 28 These these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 29 equations equation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 30 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 31 abbreviated abbreviate VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 32 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 87 33 S s NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 88 1 βI βi XX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 89 1 −→ −→ NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 90 1 E E NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 90 2 ν ν NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 90 3 − − NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 91 1 → → MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 91 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 91 3 γ γ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 91 4 − − NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 92 1 → → IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 92 2 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 92 3 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 92 4 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 2 equations equation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 3 say say VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 4 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 5 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 6 exposed expose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 7 person person NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 8 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 10 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 11 average average JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 13 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 14 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 15 ν ν CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 16 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 17 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 18 become become VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 19 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 93 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 1 Note note VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 2 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 3 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 4 delay delay NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 5 slows slow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 6 down down IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 8 progress progress NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 13 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 14 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 15 slows slow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 16 down down RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 17 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 18 effect effect NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 19 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 20 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 21 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 22 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 23 based base VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 24 only only RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 25 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 26 observations observation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 27 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 28 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 29 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 30 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 31 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 32 observations observation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 33 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 34 E. E. NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 35 Real real JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 36 diseases disease NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 37 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 38 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 39 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 40 effects effect NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 41 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 42 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 43 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 44 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 45 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 46 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 47 presumably presumably RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 48 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 49 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 50 levels level NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 51 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 52 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 53 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 54 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 55 SIR SIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 56 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 57 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 58 SEIR seir NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 59 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 60 do do VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 61 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 62 account account VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 63 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 64 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 94 65 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 4 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 6 tries try VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 8 address address VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 9 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 10 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 12 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 13 modeling model VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 14 three three CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 15 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 16 levels level NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 17 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 18 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 19 severity severity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 20 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 95 21 • • XX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 1 Mild mild JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 2 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 4 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 5 I i NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 6 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 7 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 8 progress progress NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 9 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 10 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 12 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 13 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 96 14 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 97 1 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 97 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 98 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 1 Moderate moderate JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 2 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 4 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 5 I I NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 6 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 7 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 8 progress progress NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 9 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 10 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 12 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 13 H H NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 14 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 15 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 17 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 18 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 19 progress progress VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 20 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 21 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 23 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 24 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 99 25 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 100 1 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 100 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 101 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 1 Critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 2 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 4 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 5 I I NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 6 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 7 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 8 progress progress NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 9 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 10 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 102 12 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 103 1 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 103 2 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 103 3 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 103 4 , , . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 1 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 2 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 3 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 4 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 5 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 7 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 8 C C NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 9 C C NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 10 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 12 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 13 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 14 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 104 15 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 105 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 105 2 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 105 3 R R NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 105 4 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 105 5 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 105 6 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 2 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 3 thus thus RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 5 11 11 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 6 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 8 including include VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 9 S s NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 10 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 11 E E NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 106 13 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 2 makes make VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 4 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 5 sound sound VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 6 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 7 complicated complicated JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 8 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 10 actually actually RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 11 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 12 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 13 one one PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 14 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 15 compute compute VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 17 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 18 results result NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 19 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 20 just just RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 21 7 7 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 22 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 23 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 24 namely namely RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 25 S S NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 26 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 27 E E NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 28 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 29 I i NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 107 30 = = NFP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 108 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 108 2 R r VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 108 3 + + CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 109 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 110 1 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 110 2 + + CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 2 C C NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 4 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 5 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 7 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 8 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 10 More more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 11 broadly broadly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 111 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 1 when when WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 2 someone someone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 3 objects object VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 4 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 5 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 6 SIR SIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 7 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 8 SEIR seir NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 9 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 10 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 11 oversimplified oversimplify VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 14 standard standard JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 15 response response NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 16 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 17 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 18 add add VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 19 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 20 transitions transition NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 21 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 23 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 112 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 1 For for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 2 example example NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 4 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 5 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 6 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 7 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 9 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 10 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 113 11 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 114 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 115 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 115 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 115 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 115 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 115 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 115 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 115 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 115 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 116 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 117 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 118 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 118 2 doi doi NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 118 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 119 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 119 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 120 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 121 1 Perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 121 2 observations observation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 121 3 show show VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 121 4 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 121 5 immunity immunity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 121 6 lapses lapse NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 121 7 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 2 standard standard JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 3 response response NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 6 add add VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 7 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 8 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 9 → → NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 10 S s NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 11 transition transition NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 122 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 123 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 1 Perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 3 observed observed JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 4 variance variance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 5 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 6 progression progression NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 7 times time NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 8 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 9 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 10 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 11 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 12 smaller small JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 13 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 14 predicted predict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 15 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 16 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 17 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 18 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 124 19 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 2 standard standard JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 3 response response NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 6 add add VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 7 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 8 stages stage NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 10 progression progression NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 12 such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 13 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 125 14 S S NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 126 1 → → NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 126 2 E e NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 126 3 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 127 1 → → NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 127 2 E e NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 127 3 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 1 → → CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 2 I i NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 3 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 4 → → SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 5 I i NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 6 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 7 → → SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 8 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 10 narrowing narrow VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 12 variance variance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 13 while while IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 14 preserving preserve VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 16 average average NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 128 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 129 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 1 Perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 3 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 5 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 6 begins begin VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 7 before before IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 9 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 10 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 11 symptoms symptom NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 13 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 14 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 15 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 16 symptoms symptom NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 17 take take VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 18 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 19 precautions precaution NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 20 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 21 reduce reduce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 22 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 130 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 2 standard standard JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 3 response response NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 4 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 5 assuming assuming NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 7 e.g. e.g. RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 9 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 10 S s NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 11 → → SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 12 E e NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 131 13 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 132 1 → → NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 132 2 E e NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 132 3 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 133 1 → → CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 133 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 133 3 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 1 → → MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 2 I i NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 3 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 4 → → SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 5 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 6 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 7 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 8 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 9 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 10 model model VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 11 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 12 larger large JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 13 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 14 speed speed NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 15 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 17 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 18 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 19 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 20 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 21 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 134 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 2 terminology terminology NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 3 used use VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 4 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 5 such such PDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 6 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 7 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 8 distinguishes distinguish VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 10 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 11 latent latent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 12 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 13 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 15 meaning mean VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 17 non non JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 18 - - JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 19 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 20 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 21 spent spend VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 22 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 23 E E NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 24 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 25 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 26 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 27 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 28 incubation incubation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 29 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 30 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 31 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 32 meaning mean VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 33 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 34 pre pre JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 35 - - JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 36 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 37 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 38 spent spend VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 39 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 40 E E NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 41 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 42 I i NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 43 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 135 44 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 136 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 1 Part part NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 2 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 4 rationale rationale NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 5 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 6 health health NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 7 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 8 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 9 workers worker NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 10 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 11 wear wear VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 12 protective protective JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 13 equipment equipment NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 14 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 15 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 16 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 17 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 18 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 19 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 20 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 21 patients patient NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 22 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 23 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 25 health health NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 26 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 27 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 28 workers worker NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 29 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 30 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 31 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 32 believed believe VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 33 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 34 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 35 sources source NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 36 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 37 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 137 38 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 4 accounted account VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 5 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 8 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 11 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 138 13 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 2 standard standard JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 3 response response NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 4 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 5 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 6 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 7 add add VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 8 further further JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 9 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 10 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 11 track track VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 12 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 13 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 14 health health NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 15 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 16 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 17 workers worker NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 139 18 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 140 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 141 1 People People NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 141 2 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 141 3 spread spread VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 141 4 around around IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 141 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 141 6 globe globe NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 141 7 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 1 Infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 2 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 3 sometimes sometimes RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 4 carried carry VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 5 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 6 travelers traveler NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 7 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 8 possibly possibly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 9 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 10 packages package NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 12 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 13 presumably presumably RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 14 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 15 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 16 much much RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 17 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 18 likely likely JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 19 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 20 spread spread VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 21 locally locally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 142 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 2 standard standard JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 3 response response NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 6 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 7 local local JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 8 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 10 perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 11 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 12 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 13 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 14 rates rate NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 15 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 16 try try VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 17 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 18 account account VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 19 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 20 local local JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 21 factors factor NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 22 such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 23 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 24 population population NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 25 density density NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 26 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 27 frequency frequency NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 28 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 29 mask mask NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 30 use use NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 143 31 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 1 All all DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 2 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 3 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 4 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 5 depend depend VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 6 heavily heavily RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 7 upon upon IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 9 such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 10 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 11 β β NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 12 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 13 γ γ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 144 14 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 1 Small small JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 2 mistakes mistake NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 3 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 4 estimating estimate VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 5 those those DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 7 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 8 easily easily RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 9 produce produce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 10 vastly vastly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 11 larger large JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 12 errors error NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 13 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 14 predictions prediction NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 145 15 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 2 difficulty difficulty NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 4 exacerbated exacerbate VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 5 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 7 practice practice NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 8 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 9 adding add VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 10 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 11 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 12 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 13 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 14 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 15 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 17 along along IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 18 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 19 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 20 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 21 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 22 dimensions dimension NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 23 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 25 parameter parameter NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 26 space space NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 27 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 28 since since IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 29 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 30 problem problem NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 31 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 32 computing compute VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 33 parameters parameter NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 34 accurately accurately RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 35 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 36 output output NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 37 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 38 typically typically RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 39 becomes become VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 40 exponentially exponentially RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 41 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 42 difficult difficult JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 43 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 44 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 45 dimension dimension NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 46 grows grow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 146 47 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 3 modeling model VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 4 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 5 discrete discrete JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 6 probabilistic probabilistic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 7 process process NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 8 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 9 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 10 continuous continuous JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 11 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 12 process process NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 13 becomes become VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 14 increasingly increasingly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 15 difficult difficult JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 16 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 17 justify justify VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 18 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 19 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 20 number number NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 21 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 22 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 23 increases increase NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 147 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 148 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 148 2 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 148 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 148 4 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 1 In in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 3 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 6 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 10 speed speed NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 12 per per IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 13 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 15 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 16 progression progression NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 17 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 18 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 149 19 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 150 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 150 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 150 3 → → SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 150 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 150 5 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 150 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 1 → → WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 2 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 3 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 4 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 5 I i NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 6 → → SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 7 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 8 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 10 depending depend VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 11 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 13 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 14 severity severity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 16 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 17 1/5 1/5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 19 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 20 γ γ NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 21 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 23 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 25 speed speed NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 26 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 27 progression progression NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 28 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 29 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 30 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 31 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 33 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 34 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 35 → → NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 36 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 38 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 39 moderate moderate JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 40 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 41 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 42 1/8 1/8 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 44 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 45 δ δ NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 46 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 47 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 151 48 ; ; . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 1 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 2 speed speed NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 4 progression progression NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 5 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 6 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 7 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 8 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 9 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 11 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 12 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 13 → → IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 14 C C NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 16 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 17 1/6 1/6 DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 19 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 20 δ δ NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 21 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 22 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 23 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 24 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 25 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 26 speed speed NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 27 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 28 progression progression NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 29 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 30 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 31 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 32 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 33 recovery recovery NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 35 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 36 → → NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 37 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 39 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 40 1/10 1/10 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 42 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 43 ξ ξ NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 44 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 45 ") ") '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 152 46 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 2 speed speed NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 4 progression progression NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 5 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 6 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 7 exposed expose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 8 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 9 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 10 infectious infectious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 11 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 12 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 13 stated state VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 16 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 18 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 19 appears appear VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 20 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 21 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 22 modeled model VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 23 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 24 1/5 1/5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 153 25 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 1 In in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 2 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 3 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 5 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 6 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 7 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 8 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 9 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 10 average average NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 11 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 12 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 13 + + SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 14 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 15 + + SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 16 6 6 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 17 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 18 16 16 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 19 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 20 before before IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 21 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 22 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 23 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 24 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 25 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 26 average average NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 27 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 28 16 16 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 29 + + SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 30 10 10 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 31 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 32 26 26 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 33 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 34 before before IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 35 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 36 end end NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 37 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 38 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 39 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 154 40 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 1 After after IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 2 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 3 rapid rapid JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 4 burst burst NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 5 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 6 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 7 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 9 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 10 intervention intervention NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 11 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 12 drastically drastically RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 13 reduces reduce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 14 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 15 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 16 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 17 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 18 produce produce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 19 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 20 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 21 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 22 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 23 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 24 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 25 patients patient NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 26 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 27 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 28 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 29 until until IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 30 about about RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 31 three three CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 32 weeks week NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 33 later later RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 155 34 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 156 1 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 156 2 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 156 3 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 156 4 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 156 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 156 6 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 156 7 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 156 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 157 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 158 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 158 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 158 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 158 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 158 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 158 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 158 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 158 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 159 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 160 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 161 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 161 2 doi doi NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 161 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 162 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 162 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 2 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 5 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 7 assumes assume VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 8 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 9 95.6 95.6 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 10 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 11 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 12 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 13 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 14 mild mild JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 15 while while IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 17 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 18 4.4 4.4 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 19 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 20 require require VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 21 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 163 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 2 procedures procedure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 3 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 4 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 5 produced produce VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 6 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 7 numbers number NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 8 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 9 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 10 robust robust JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 12 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 13 emphasized emphasize VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 16 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 19 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 20 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 21 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 22 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 23 policy policy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 24 recommendation recommendation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 26 see see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 27 Section section NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 28 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 30 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 31 rapidly rapidly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 32 produce produce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 33 robust robust JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 34 numbers number NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 164 35 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 4 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 5 endorsement endorsement NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 8 controversial controversial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 9 idea idea NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 10 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 12 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 14 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 15 delaying delay VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 16 serious serious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 17 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 18 until until IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 19 robust robust JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 20 numbers number NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 21 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 22 available available JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 165 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 1 Within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 2 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 5 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 8 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 10 assumes assume VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 11 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 12 30 30 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 13 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 15 i.e. i.e. FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 17 1.32 1.32 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 18 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 19 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 20 total total JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 21 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 23 require require VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 24 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 25 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 166 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 1 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 3 one one CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 4 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 5 parameter parameter NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 8 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 11 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 15 most most RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 16 important important JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 17 parameter parameter NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 18 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 19 namely namely RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 20 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 21 R R NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 22 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 23 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 24 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 25 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 26 turn turn NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 27 determines determine VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 28 β β NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 29 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 30 γR γR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 31 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 167 32 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 168 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 168 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 168 3 modeled model VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 168 4 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 168 5 five five CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 168 6 stages stage NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 168 7 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 2 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 3 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 7 modeled model VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 8 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 9 either either DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 10 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 11 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 12 2.5 2.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 169 13 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 1 Beware beware VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 2 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 4 literature literature NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 5 includes include VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 6 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 7 wider wide JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 8 range range NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 10 estimates estimate NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 11 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 12 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 13 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 15 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 16 underestimating underestimate VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 17 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 18 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 19 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 20 dangerous dangerous JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 170 21 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 171 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 2 summertime summertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 3 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 4 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 5 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 6 modeled model VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 7 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 8 either either CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 9 70 70 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 10 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 12 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 13 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 15 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 16 100 100 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 17 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 19 less less RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 20 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 22 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 23 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 24 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 25 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 26 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 172 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 173 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 2 current current JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 4 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 5 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 6 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 7 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 8 modeled model VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 9 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 10 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 11 cosine cosine NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 12 curve curve NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 13 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 15 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 16 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 17 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 18 down down RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 19 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 20 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 21 summertime summertime JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 22 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 23 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 24 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 25 back back VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 26 up up RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 174 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 2 maximum maximum NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 4 assumed assume VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 6 occur occur VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 7 3.8 3.8 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 8 weeks week NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 10 26.6 26.6 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 11 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 13 before before IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 15 end end NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 16 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 17 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 18 year year NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 175 19 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 176 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 2 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 3 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 4 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 5 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 6 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 7 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 9 20 20 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 10 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 12 40 40 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 13 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 15 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 16 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 17 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 18 away away RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 19 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 20 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 21 currenttime currenttime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 22 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 23 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 24 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 25 reflecting reflect VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 26 four four CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 27 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 28 hypotheses hypothesis NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 29 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 30 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 31 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 32 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 33 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 177 34 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 178 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 2 final final JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 3 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 4 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 5 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 6 modeled model VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 7 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 8 either either CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 10 current current JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 11 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 12 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 13 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 14 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 15 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 17 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 18 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 19 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 20 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 21 depending depend VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 22 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 23 whether whether IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 24 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 25 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 26 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 27 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 28 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 29 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 30 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 31 off off RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 32 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 179 33 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 3 analyzes analyze VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 5 consequences consequence NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 7 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 8 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 10 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 11 few few JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 12 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 13 strategies strategy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 14 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 15 deciding decide VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 16 when when WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 17 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 18 turn turn VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 19 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 20 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 21 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 22 off off RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 180 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 1 To to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 2 summarize summarize VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 5 differential differential JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 6 equations equation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 7 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 9 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 10 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 12 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 14 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 15 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 16 follows follow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 17 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 18 where where WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 19 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 20 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 21 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 23 final final JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 24 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 25 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 26 defined define VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 27 above above RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 181 28 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 2 mentioned mention VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 3 earlier early RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 5 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 7 presented present VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 8 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 9 11 11 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 10 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 11 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 13 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 16 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 17 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 18 7 7 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 19 compartments compartment NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 20 produce produce VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 21 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 22 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 23 results result NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 24 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 25 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 26 simpler simple JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 27 way way NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 182 28 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 183 1 Further further JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 183 2 issues issue NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 183 3 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 183 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 183 5 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 183 6 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 1 According accord VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 2 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 3 Wikipedia Wikipedia NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 5 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 6 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 7 10000 10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 8 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 10 Italy Italy NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 11 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 12 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 13 reported report VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 14 dead dead JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 15 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 17 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 18 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 19 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 20 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 21 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 22 writing writing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 23 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 24 including include VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 25 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 26 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 27 600 600 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 28 per per IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 29 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 30 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 31 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 32 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 33 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 34 past past JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 35 9 9 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 36 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 184 37 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 3 plausible plausible JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 5 although although IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 6 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 7 proven prove VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 9 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 10 almost almost RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 11 all all DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 13 those those DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 14 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 15 were be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 16 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 17 merely merely RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 18 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 19 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 20 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 21 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 23 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 24 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 185 25 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 186 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 187 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 187 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 187 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 187 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 187 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 187 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 187 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 187 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 188 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 189 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 190 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 190 2 doi doi NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 190 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 2 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 3 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 4 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 5 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 6 caused cause VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 7 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 9 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 10 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 11 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 12 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 14 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 15 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 16 brought bring VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 17 under under IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 18 control control NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 19 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 21 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 22 cause cause VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 23 millions million NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 24 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 25 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 26 worldwide worldwide RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 27 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 28 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 29 year year NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 191 30 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 1 Perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 2 many many JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 4 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 5 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 6 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 7 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 8 avoided avoid VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 9 through through IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 11 e.g. e.g. RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 13 widespread widespread JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 14 mask mask NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 15 usage usage NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 17 combined combine VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 18 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 19 several several JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 20 periods period NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 21 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 22 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 23 over over IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 25 next next JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 26 year year NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 27 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 28 followed follow VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 29 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 30 widespread widespread JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 31 vaccination vaccination NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 192 32 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 1 However however RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 3 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 4 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 5 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 6 even even RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 7 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 8 expressed express VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 10 let let VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 11 alone alone RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 12 analyzed analyze VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 16 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 17 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 19 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 193 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 194 1 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 2 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 3 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 4 includes include VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 5 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 6 / / SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 7 off off IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 8 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 10 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 11 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 12 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 13 include include VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 14 masks mask NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 15 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 16 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 17 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 18 non non JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 19 - - JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 20 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 21 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 195 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 196 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 2 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 3 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 4 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 5 include include VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 7 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 8 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 9 future future JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 10 vaccination vaccination NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 12 S s NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 13 → → NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 14 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 197 16 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 198 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 199 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 199 2 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 199 3 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 199 4 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 199 5 include include VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 199 6 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 199 7 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 1 Dead dead JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 2 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 3 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 4 treated treat VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 5 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 6 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 7 recovered"they recovered"they PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 8 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 9 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 10 exposed expose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 11 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 13 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 14 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 15 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 16 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 17 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 18 spreading spread VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 200 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 2 simplification simplification NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 3 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 4 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 5 change change VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 7 analysis analysis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 8 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 10 spread spread NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 11 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 15 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 17 terminology terminology NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 18 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 19 ethically ethically RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 20 questionable questionable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 21 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 22 presumably presumably RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 23 reduces reduce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 25 amount amount NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 26 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 27 attention attention NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 28 given give VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 29 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 30 one one CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 31 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 32 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 33 most most RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 34 important important JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 35 variables variable NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 201 36 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 1 All all DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 2 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 5 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 6 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 7 strategies strategy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 8 considered consider VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 11 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 13 result result VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 15 mass mass JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 17 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 18 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 19 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 20 few few JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 21 years year NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 22 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 23 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 24 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 25 closer close JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 26 look look NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 27 shows show VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 28 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 29 some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 30 scenarios scenario NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 31 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 32 far far RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 33 fewer few JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 34 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 35 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 36 others other NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 37 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 38 mid-2021 mid-2021 NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 202 39 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 1 In in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 2 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 3 extended extended JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 4 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 5 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 6 accounts account VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 7 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 8 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 9 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 11 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 13 widespread widespread JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 14 vaccination vaccination NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 16 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 17 scenarios scenario NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 18 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 19 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 20 far far RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 21 fewer few JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 22 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 23 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 24 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 25 scenarios scenario NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 203 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 1 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 2 could could MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 3 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 4 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 5 even even RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 6 larger large JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 7 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 8 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 10 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 11 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 12 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 13 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 14 non non JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 15 - - JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 16 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 17 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 18 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 19 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 20 effective effective JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 21 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 22 assumed assume VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 23 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 25 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 204 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 2 again again RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 3 highlights highlight VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 5 importance importance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 7 understanding understand VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 9 actual actual JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 10 impact impact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 11 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 12 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 14 masks mask NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 16 etc etc FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 205 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 2 section section NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 3 reviews review NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 5 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 6 disputes dispute NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 7 some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 8 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 11 1 1 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 14 calculations calculation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 15 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 17 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 19 carries carry VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 20 out out RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 21 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 23 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 24 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 25 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 27 2 2 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 29 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 30 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 31 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 33 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 35 claims claim NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 36 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 37 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 38 basis basis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 39 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 40 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 41 calculations calculation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 206 42 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 207 1 3.1 3.1 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 207 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 208 1 Software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 208 2 engineering engineering NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 208 3 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 1 https://cr.yp.to/2020/gigo-20200329.py https://cr.yp.to/2020/gigo-20200329.py NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 3 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 4 attachment attachment NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 5 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 7 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 9 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 10 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 11 Python Python NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 12 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 13 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 14 produces produce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 16 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 17 PDF PDF NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 18 files file NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 20 all all DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 21 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 23 graphs graph NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 24 shown show VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 25 here here RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 209 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 2 noted note VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 3 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 4 Section section NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 5 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 8 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 9 used use VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 10 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 12 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 14 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 15 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 16 seem seem VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 17 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 18 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 19 available available JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 210 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 3 easy easy JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 4 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 5 find find VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 6 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 7 online online RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 8 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 9 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 211 10 SIR SIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 212 1 /SEIR/. /SEIR/. NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 212 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 212 3 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 1 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 3 including include VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 4 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 5 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 6 appears appear VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 7 reasonably reasonably RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 8 easy easy JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 9 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 10 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 11 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 13 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 14 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 16 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 213 18 , , . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 1 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 2 all all DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 4 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 5 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 6 seems seem VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 8 depend depend VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 9 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 10 ODE ode NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 11 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 12 solving solve VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 13 packages package NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 15 e.g. e.g. RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 17 scipy.integrate.odeint scipy.integrate.odeint NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 20 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 21 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 22 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 23 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 24 clear clear JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 25 how how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 26 much much JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 27 review review NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 28 those those DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 29 packages package NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 30 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 31 had have VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 32 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 33 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 34 safetyengineering safetyengineering NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 35 perspective perspective NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 214 36 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 3 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 4 Python Python NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 5 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 6 begins begin VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 7 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 8 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 9 table table NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 10 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 11 transitions transition NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 13 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 14 example example NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 15 expressing express VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 16 E E NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 17 1/5 1/5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 18 − − NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 215 19 − − NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 216 1 → → MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 216 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 216 3 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 216 4 follows follow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 216 5 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 2 ' ' `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 3 E','I',1/5.0 e','i',1/5.0 $ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 5 Transition transition NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 6 speeds speed NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 7 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 8 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 9 functions function NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 10 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 11 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 12 example example NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 15 transition transition NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 16 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 17 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 18 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 19 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 20 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 21 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 22 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 217 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 218 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 219 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 219 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 219 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 219 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 219 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 219 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 219 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 219 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 220 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 221 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 222 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 222 2 doi doi NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 222 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 2 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 4 ' ' `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 5 S','E',paperinitialpulse S','E',paperinitialpulse NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 7 uses use VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 9 following follow VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 10 function function NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 11 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 12 def def NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 13 paperinitialpulse(day paperinitialpulse(day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 15 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 17 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 18 return return VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 19 0.01/7 0.01/7 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 20 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 21 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 22 < < XX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 23 startday+3.5 startday+3.5 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 24 else else RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 223 25 0 0 NFP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 2 appears appear VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 3 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 4 match match VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 6 description description NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 7 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 9 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 11 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 12 how how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 14 initial initial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 15 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 16 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 17 modeled model VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 18 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 19 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 20 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 21 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 22 introduced introduce VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 23 through through IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 24 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 25 half half JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 26 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 27 week week NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 28 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 29 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 30 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 31 force force NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 32 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 33 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 34 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 224 35 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 2 height height NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 4 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 5 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 7 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 8 stated state VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 11 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 14 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 15 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 16 earlier early JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 17 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 18 suggests suggest VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 19 0.01 0.01 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 20 per per IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 21 week week NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 225 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 2 most most RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 3 complicated complicated JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 4 transition transition NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 5 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 6 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 7 matches match VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 9 main main JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 10 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 11 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 12 highlighted highlight VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 13 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 15 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 17 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 18 where where WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 19 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 20 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 21 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 22 turned turn VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 23 ' ' '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 24 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 25 ' ' '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 26 when when WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 27 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 28 prevalence prevalence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 29 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 30 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 31 rose rise VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 32 above above RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 33 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 34 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 226 35 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 1 37.5 37.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 2 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 3 per per IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 4 10,000 10,000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 5 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 6 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 8 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 9 off off RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 10 when when WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 12 prevalence prevalence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 13 drops drop VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 14 below below IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 15 10.0 10.0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 16 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 17 per per IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 18 10,000 10,000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 19 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 20 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 21 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 22 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 23 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 24 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 25 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 227 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 228 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 229 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 229 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 229 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 229 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 229 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 229 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 229 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 229 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 230 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 231 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 232 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 232 2 doi doi NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 232 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 233 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 233 2 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 233 3 people people NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 233 4 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 2 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 3 Infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 4 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 5 here here RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 6 appears appear VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 8 refer refer VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 9 specifically specifically RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 10 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 12 I I NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 13 compartment compartment NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 15 so so IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 17 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 18 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 19 said say VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 20 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 21 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 22 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 234 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 1 If if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 2 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 3 calculations calculation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 4 were be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 5 performed perform VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 7 exact exact JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 8 arithmetic arithmetic NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 11 interval interval NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 12 arithmetic arithmetic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 13 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 14 higher high JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 15 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 16 higher high JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 17 precision precision NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 20 rather rather RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 21 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 22 floating float VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 23 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 24 point point NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 25 arithmetic arithmetic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 26 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 27 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 28 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 29 outputs output NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 30 over over IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 31 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 32 compact compact JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 33 interval interval NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 34 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 35 converge converge VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 36 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 37 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 38 exact exact JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 39 solution solution NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 40 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 41 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 42 equations equation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 43 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 44 daydelta daydelta NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 45 converges converge VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 46 down down RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 47 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 48 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 235 49 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 2 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 4 imply imply VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 5 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 7 outputs output NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 8 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 10 Python Python NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 11 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 12 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 13 exact exact JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 14 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 16 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 17 uses use VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 18 floating float VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 19 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 20 point point NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 21 arithmetic arithmetic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 22 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 23 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 24 specific specific JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 25 nonzero nonzero NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 26 daydelta daydelta NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 236 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 1 More more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 2 precisely precisely RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 5 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 6 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 7 daydelta daydelta NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 8 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 9 1/72 1/72 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 10 days day NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 12 20 20 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 13 minutes minute NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 16 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 17 decreases decrease VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 18 daydelta daydelta NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 19 towards towards IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 20 0 0 NFP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 21 when when WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 22 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 23 approaches approach VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 25 37.5/10000 37.5/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 26 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 27 10.0/10000 10.0/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 28 cutoffs cutoff NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 237 29 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 1 Some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 2 spot spot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 4 checks check NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 5 suggest suggest VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 6 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 7 smaller small JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 8 choices choice NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 10 daydelta daydelta NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 11 produce produce VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 12 visually visually RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 13 identical identical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 14 graphs graph NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 16 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 17 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 18 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 19 very very RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 20 far far RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 21 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 22 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 23 thorough thorough JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 24 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 25 analysis analysis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 238 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 1 Differential differential JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 2 equations equation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 3 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 4 normally normally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 5 solved solve VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 7 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 8 complicated complicated JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 9 algorithms algorithm NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 10 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 11 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 12 designed design VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 13 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 14 obtain obtain VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 15 better well JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 16 tradeoffs tradeoff NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 17 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 18 equation equation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 19 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 20 solving solve VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 21 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 22 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 23 accuracy accuracy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 239 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 1 However however RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 3 simpler simple JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 4 algorithms algorithm NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 5 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 6 easier easy JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 8 review review VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 240 9 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 2 first first JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 3 98 98 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 4 lines line NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 5 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 7 Python Python NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 8 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 9 include include VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 11 transition transition NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 12 tables table NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 14 underlying underlying JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 15 functions function NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 17 differentialequation differentialequation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 18 solver solver NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 20 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 21 recording record VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 23 history history NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 24 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 25 output output NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 26 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 27 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 28 using use VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 29 no no DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 30 libraries library NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 31 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 32 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 33 π π NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 241 34 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 242 1 cos cos NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 242 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 2 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 3 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 5 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 6 lines line NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 7 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 8 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 9 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 10 need need VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 11 review!-for review!-for NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 12 turning turn VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 14 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 15 into into IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 16 graphs graph NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 17 using use VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 18 matplotlib matplotlib NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 20 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 21 relatively relatively RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 22 complicated complicated JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 23 library library NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 243 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 244 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 244 2 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 244 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 244 4 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 4 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 6 claims claim NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 8 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 10 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 12 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 15 37.5 37.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 17 10.0 10.0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 19 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 20 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 21 explained explain VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 22 above above RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 23 achieves achieve VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 25 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 26 goal goal NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 27 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 28 keeping keep VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 29 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 30 number number NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 31 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 32 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 33 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 34 patients patient NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 35 below below IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 36 0.89 0.89 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 37 per per IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 38 10,000 10,000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 39 adults adult NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 40 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 41 under under IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 42 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 43 following follow VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 44 assumptions assumption NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 45 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 46 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 47 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 48 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 49 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 50 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 51 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 52 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 53 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 54 achieves achieve VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 55 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 56 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 57 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 58 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 59 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 60 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 61 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 245 62 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 2 conclusion conclusion NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 4 stated state VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 5 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 6 both both CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 8 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 9 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 10 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 11 non non JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 12 - - JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 13 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 14 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 15 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 17 i.e. i.e. FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 19 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 20 summertime summertime JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 21 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 22 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 23 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 24 either either CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 25 70 70 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 26 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 27 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 28 100 100 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 29 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 30 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 31 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 32 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 33 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 34 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 246 35 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 2 conclusion conclusion NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 4 backed back VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 5 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 6 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 7 non non JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 8 - - JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 9 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 10 graph graph NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 12 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 14 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 15 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 17 A a NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 20 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 21 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 22 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 23 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 24 graph graph NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 26 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 27 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 28 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 29 3(B 3(b CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 247 32 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 2 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 3 graph graph NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 4 comes come VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 5 close close RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 6 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 7 exceeding exceed VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 8 0.89 0.89 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 10 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 11 July July NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 12 2021 2021 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 15 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 16 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 17 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 18 exceed exceed VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 248 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 3 37.5 37.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 5 10.0 10.0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 7 choice choice NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 8 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 9 close close JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 10 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 12 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 13 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 14 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 17 edge edge NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 18 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 19 safe safe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 20 possibilities possibility NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 21 shown show VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 22 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 24 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 25 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 26 Figure Figure NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 27 S3 S3 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 249 29 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 2 assumption assumption NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 3 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 7 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 8 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 9 important important JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 10 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 11 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 12 graphs graph NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 14 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 16 Figures Figures NNPS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 17 S6(A s6(a CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 20 S6(B S6(B NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 23 say say VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 24 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 25 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 26 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 27 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 28 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 29 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 30 achieve achieve VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 31 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 32 goal goal NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 33 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 34 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 35 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 36 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 37 2.5 2.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 250 38 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 2 orange orange JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 3 curve curve NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 4 shows show VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 5 10000H 10000H NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 7 10000H 10000H NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 8 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 9 + + SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 10 10000H 10000h JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 11 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 13 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 14 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 15 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 16 plotted plot VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 17 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 19 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 251 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 2 expected expect VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 4 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 5 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 7 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 9 black black NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 11 triggers trigger VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 12 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 13 later later JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 14 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 15 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 16 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 18 orange orange NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 20 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 21 followed follow VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 22 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 23 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 24 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 25 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 26 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 27 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 28 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 29 patients patient NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 31 red red JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 252 33 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 1 These these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 2 graphs graph NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 3 go go VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 4 several several JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 5 months month NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 6 beyond beyond IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 8 graphs graph NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 11 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 14 so so CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 16 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 17 unsurprising unsurprising JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 18 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 19 they -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 20 show show VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 21 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 22 extra extra JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 23 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 24 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 25 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 253 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 2 second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 3 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 4 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 5 plots plot NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 6 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 7 two two CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 8 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 9 recalculations recalculation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 10 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 12 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 14 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 16 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 17 3(B 3(b CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 254 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 2 second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 3 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 4 seems seem VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 6 match match VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 8 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 10 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 11 3(B 3(b CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 255 14 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 2 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 3 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 4 looks look VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 6 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 7 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 9 beginning beginning NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 11 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 12 looks look VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 13 different different JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 15 2022 2022 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 17 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 18 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 19 particular particular JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 20 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 21 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 22 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 23 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 25 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 26 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 256 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 257 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 258 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 258 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 258 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 258 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 258 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 258 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 258 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 258 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 259 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 260 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 261 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 261 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 262 1 crosses cross VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 262 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 262 3 0.89 0.89 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 262 4 line line NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 262 5 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 2 only only JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 3 difference difference NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 4 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 6 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 7 used use VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 8 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 10 second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 11 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 12 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 13 plots plot NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 14 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 15 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 16 follows follow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 263 17 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 264 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 1 One one CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 2 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 4 plots plot NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 5 uses use VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 6 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 7 52-week 52-week CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 8 seasonality seasonality NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 9 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 10 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 11 specified specify VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 12 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 14 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 265 16 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 266 1 • • NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 2 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 3 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 5 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 6 calculation calculation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 7 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 8 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 9 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 10 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 11 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 12 modified modify VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 13 through through IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 15 introduction introduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 16 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 17 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 18 typographical typographical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 19 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 20 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 21 replacing replace VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 22 52 52 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 23 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 24 55 55 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 267 25 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 2 illustrates illustrate VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 3 how how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 4 safety safety NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 5 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 6 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 7 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 8 undermined undermine VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 9 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 10 errors error NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 11 hidden hide VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 12 inside inside IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 14 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 15 modeling model VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 16 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 268 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 2 illustration illustration NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 4 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 5 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 6 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 8 second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 9 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 12 one one NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 13 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 14 seems seem VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 15 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 16 match match VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 18 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 20 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 21 3(B 3(b CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 24 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 25 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 26 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 27 one one NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 28 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 29 includes include VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 30 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 31 typographical typographical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 32 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 269 33 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 1 If if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 3 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 4 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 5 here here RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 7 correct correct JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 8 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 11 37.5 37.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 13 10.0 10.0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 15 safety safety NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 16 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 17 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 19 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 21 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 22 wrong wrong JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 270 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 1 Occam Occam NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 2 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 3 razor razor NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 4 suggests suggest VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 5 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 7 safety safety NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 8 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 11 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 14 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 16 underlying underlie VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 17 calculations calculation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 18 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 20 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 22 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 23 arise arise VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 24 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 25 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 26 typographical typographical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 27 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 28 mentioned mention VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 29 above above RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 271 30 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 272 1 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 272 2 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 272 3 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 272 4 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 272 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 272 6 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 272 7 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 272 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 273 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 274 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 274 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 274 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 274 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 274 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 274 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 274 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 274 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 275 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 276 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 277 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 277 2 doi doi NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 277 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 278 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 278 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 1 In in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 2 all all DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 4 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 5 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 8 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 9 trigger trigger NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 10 creates create VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 11 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 12 immediate immediate JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 13 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 15 E e NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 17 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 18 less less RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 19 sharp sharp JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 20 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 21 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 22 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 23 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 24 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 25 week week NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 26 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 27 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 28 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 29 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 30 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 31 C C NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 32 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 33 under under IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 34 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 35 month month NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 279 36 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 1 For for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 2 comparison comparison NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 4 peaks peak NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 5 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 7 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 8 occur occur VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 9 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 10 intervention intervention NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 12 because because IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 13 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 14 − − NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 15 S S NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 16 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 17 increased increase VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 18 enough enough RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 19 compared compare VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 20 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 21 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 22 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 24 continue continue VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 25 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 26 trigger trigger VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 27 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 28 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 29 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 30 some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 31 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 32 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 33 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 34 relatively relatively RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 35 large large JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 36 peaks peak NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 37 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 280 38 C. C. NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 3 why why WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 5 mid-2022 mid-2022 NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 6 redversus redversus NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 7 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 8 black black JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 9 gap gap NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 10 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 12 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 13 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 14 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 15 relatively relatively RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 16 large large JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 17 compared compare VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 18 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 19 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 20 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 21 redversus redversus NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 22 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 23 black black JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 24 gaps gap NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 25 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 26 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 27 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 28 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 29 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 30 occurs occur VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 31 just just RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 32 below below IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 33 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 34 trigger trigger NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 35 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 36 intervention intervention NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 281 37 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 2 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 3 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 4 clear clear JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 5 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 7 variation variation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 8 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 9 occur occur VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 10 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 11 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 12 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 14 even even RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 15 under under IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 17 assumptions assumption NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 18 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 20 1 1 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 22 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 23 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 24 mistakes mistake NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 25 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 26 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 27 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 28 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 29 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 31 2 2 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 33 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 34 corrected correct VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 35 version version NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 36 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 37 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 38 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 39 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 40 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 41 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 42 show show VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 43 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 44 variation variation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 282 45 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 1 One one PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 3 see see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 4 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 5 variation variation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 7 gaps gap NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 8 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 10 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 12 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 13 S6(D s6(d NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 17 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 18 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 19 phenomenaand phenomenaand VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 20 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 21 safety safety NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 22 consequences consequence NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 23 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 24 do do VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 25 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 26 seem seem VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 27 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 28 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 29 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 30 noted note VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 31 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 33 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 283 35 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 2 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 3 analyses analyse VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 4 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 6 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 8 were be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 9 too too RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 10 limited limited JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 11 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 12 catch catch VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 13 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 14 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 16 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 17 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 18 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 19 no no DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 20 evidence evidence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 21 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 23 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 24 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 25 subjected subject VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 26 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 27 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 28 double double JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 29 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 30 checks check NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 31 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 32 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 33 review review NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 284 34 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 1 One one PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 3 respond respond VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 4 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 5 0.89 0.89 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 7 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 8 exceeded exceed VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 9 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 10 much much JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 11 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 13 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 14 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 16 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 17 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 19 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 20 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 21 enough enough JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 22 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 23 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 24 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 25 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 26 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 27 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 28 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 29 handle handle VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 30 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 285 31 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 1 Such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 2 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 3 response response NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 5 missing miss VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 7 broader broad JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 8 point point NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 286 9 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 1 If if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 2 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 3 change change NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 4 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 5 52 52 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 6 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 7 55 55 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 8 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 9 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 10 caught catch VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 12 why why WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 13 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 14 one one PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 15 expect expect VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 16 larger large JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 17 errors error NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 18 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 19 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 20 caught catch VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 287 21 ? ? . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 1 Current current JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 2 practices practice NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 3 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 4 modeling model VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 5 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 6 obviously obviously RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 7 do do VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 8 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 9 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 10 adequate adequate JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 11 guarantees guarantee NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 14 correctness correctness NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 15 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 16 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 17 claimed claim VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 18 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 19 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 20 implementing implement VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 21 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 288 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 2 dangers danger NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 4 inaccuracies inaccuracy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 5 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 6 computations computation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 7 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 8 added add VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 9 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 11 dangers danger NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 13 inaccuracies inaccuracy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 16 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 17 per per FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 18 se se FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 289 19 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 1 Email email NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 2 dated date VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 3 25 25 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 4 Mar Mar NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 5 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 6 05:19:27 05:19:27 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 7 -0000 -0000 : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 8 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 10 contact contact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 11 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 12 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 14 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 290 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 1 included include VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 2 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 3 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 4 public public JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 5 version version NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 7 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 8 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 9 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 10 Python Python NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 11 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 13 noted note VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 15 discrepancy discrepancy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 16 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 18 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 20 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 21 3(B 3(b CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 24 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 25 noted note VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 26 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 27 contradiction contradiction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 28 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 29 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 31 37.5 37.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 32 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 33 10.0 10.0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 35 safety safety NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 36 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 37 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 38 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 39 suggested suggest VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 40 posting post VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 41 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 42 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 43 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 44 public public JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 45 review review NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 46 so so IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 47 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 48 errors error NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 49 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 50 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 51 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 52 easily easily RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 53 located locate VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 54 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 55 corrected correct VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 56 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 291 57 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 292 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 292 2 email email NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 292 3 did do VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 292 4 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 292 5 elicit elicit VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 292 6 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 292 7 response response NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 292 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 1 Considerable considerable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 2 effort effort NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 3 spent spend VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 4 reverse reverse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 5 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 6 engineering engineering NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 8 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 10 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 11 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 13 B b NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 16 eventually eventually RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 17 identified identify VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 18 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 19 theory theory NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 20 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 21 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 22 55 55 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 23 typographical typographical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 24 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 293 25 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 2 unavailability unavailability NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 5 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 6 continues continue VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 8 make make VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 10 theory theory NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 11 unnecessarily unnecessarily RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 12 difficult difficult JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 13 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 14 confirm confirm VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 294 15 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 2 further further JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 3 checks check NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 4 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 5 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 6 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 7 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 8 Python Python NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 9 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 11 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 12 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 13 .4 .4 NFP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 14 includes include VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 16 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 17 calculations calculation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 18 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 19 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 20 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 21 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 22 2.5 2.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 295 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 1 Compare compare VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 3 top top JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 4 two two CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 5 plots plot NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 6 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 8 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 10 Figures Figures NNPS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 11 S6(A s6(a CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 14 S6(B S6(B NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 296 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 297 1 3.5 3.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 297 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 298 1 Implementability implementability NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 298 2 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 298 3 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 298 4 strategies strategy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 298 5 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 299 1 Recall recall VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 299 2 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 299 3 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 299 4 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 299 5 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 299 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 299 7 triggered trigger VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 299 8 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 2 crossing cross VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 3 particular particular JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 4 cutoffs cutoff NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 6 namely namely RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 7 37.5/10000 37.5/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 8 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 9 10.0/10000 10.0/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 300 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 1 A a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 2 policymaker policymaker NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 3 considering consider VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 4 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 5 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 6 immediately immediately RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 7 runs run VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 8 into into IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 10 problem problem NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 11 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 13 real real JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 14 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 15 world world NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 17 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 18 unknown unknown JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 19 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 20 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 21 moment moment NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 301 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 2 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 4 separate separate JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 5 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 7 question question NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 8 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 9 whether whether IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 11 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 12 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 13 safe safe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 14 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 15 see see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 16 above above RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 302 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 4 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 6 claims claim VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 7 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 9 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 10 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 11 implement implement VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 12 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 13 effective effective JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 14 intermittent intermittent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 15 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 16 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 17 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 18 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 21 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 22 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 23 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 24 necessary necessary JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 25 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 26 carry carry VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 27 out out RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 28 widespread widespread JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 29 surveillance surveillance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 30 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 31 monitor monitor VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 32 when when WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 33 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 34 prevalence prevalence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 35 thresholds threshold NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 36 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 37 trigger trigger VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 38 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 39 beginning beginning NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 40 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 41 end end NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 42 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 43 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 44 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 45 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 46 crossed cross VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 47 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 303 48 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 1 Collecting collect VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 2 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 3 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 5 prevalence prevalence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 7 valuable valuable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 8 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 9 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 10 reasons reason NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 12 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 13 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 15 only only JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 16 policy policy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 17 recommendation recommendation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 18 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 19 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 20 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 304 21 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 2 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 4 imply imply VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 6 however however RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 8 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 9 such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 10 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 11 collection collection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 12 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 13 enable enable VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 14 implementation implementation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 15 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 17 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 18 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 20 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 22 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 23 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 24 useful useful JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 25 level level NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 26 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 27 accuracy accuracy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 305 28 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 1 An an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 2 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 3 analysis analysis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 5 required require VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 6 here here RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 7 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 8 accounting account VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 9 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 10 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 11 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 12 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 14 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 15 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 306 16 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 307 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 308 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 308 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 308 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 308 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 308 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 308 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 308 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 308 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 309 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 310 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 311 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 311 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 2 lags lag NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 3 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 4 testing testing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 6 errors error NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 7 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 8 testing testing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 10 possible possible JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 11 correlations correlation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 12 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 13 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 14 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 15 non non JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 16 - - NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 17 compliance compliance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 19 etc.-but etc.-but NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 20 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 21 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 22 appear appear VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 23 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 25 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 312 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 3 no no DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 4 justification justification NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 5 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 6 provided provide VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 7 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 9 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 11 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 13 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 14 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 15 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 16 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 17 collection collection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 18 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 19 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 20 necessary necessary JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 21 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 22 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 23 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 24 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 25 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 26 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 27 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 28 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 29 effective effective JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 30 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 313 31 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 1 Imagine imagine VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 2 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 3 today today NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 4 implementing implement VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 5 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 6 simple simple JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 7 one one CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 8 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 9 month month NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 10 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 11 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 12 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 13 one one CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 14 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 15 month month NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 16 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 17 off off RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 18 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 19 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 20 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 21 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 22 adjusted adjust VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 23 later later RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 24 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 25 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 26 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 27 effective effective JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 28 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 29 some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 30 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 31 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 32 scenarios scenario NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 33 covered cover VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 34 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 35 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 36 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 37 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 38 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 39 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 40 contradicting contradict VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 41 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 42 blanket blanket NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 43 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 44 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 45 ineffectivity ineffectivity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 314 46 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 1 Perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 2 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 3 simple simple JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 4 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 5 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 6 unimplementable unimplementable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 7 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 8 cost cost NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 9 reasons reason NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 11 political political JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 12 reasons reason NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 14 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 15 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 16 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 17 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 18 justify justify VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 19 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 20 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 21 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 23 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 24 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 25 ineffective ineffective JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 315 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 316 1 3.6 3.6 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 316 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 2 effect effect NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 4 increased increase VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 5 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 6 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 7 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 8 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 317 9 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 2 obvious obvious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 3 way way NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 4 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 5 handle handle VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 7 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 8 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 9 overruns overrun NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 10 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 11 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 12 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 13 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 14 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 15 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 16 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 17 increase increase VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 18 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 19 criticalcare criticalcare NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 20 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 318 21 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 319 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 319 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 319 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 319 4 controversial controversial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 319 5 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 320 1 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 320 2 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 320 3 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 320 4 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 320 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 320 6 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 320 7 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 320 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 321 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 322 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 322 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 322 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 322 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 322 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 322 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 322 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 322 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 323 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 324 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 1 What what WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 3 much much RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 4 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 5 controversial controversial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 8 idea idea NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 10 actively actively RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 11 trying try VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 12 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 13 exploit exploit VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 14 all all DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 15 available available JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 16 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 17 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 18 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 19 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 20 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 21 tuning tune VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 23 amount amount NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 24 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 25 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 26 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 27 almost almost RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 28 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 29 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 30 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 31 quite quite RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 32 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 33 overload overload NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 34 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 35 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 325 36 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 1 One one CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 2 reason reason NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 3 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 5 controversial controversial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 7 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 8 such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 9 tuning tuning NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 10 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 11 prone prone JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 12 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 13 error error VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 15 whether whether IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 17 errors error NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 18 come come VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 19 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 20 miscalculations miscalculation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 21 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 22 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 24 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 25 illustrated illustrate VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 26 above above IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 28 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 29 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 30 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 31 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 32 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 33 wrong wrong JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 34 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 35 see see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 36 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 37 e.g. e.g. RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 38 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 39 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 40 8 8 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 41 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 326 42 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 1 Another another DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 3 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 4 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 6 reason reason NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 7 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 8 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 9 controversial controversial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 10 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 11 that that DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 12 less less JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 13 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 14 means mean VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 15 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 16 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 327 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 2 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 3 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 4 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 5 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 6 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 7 inevitable inevitable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 8 might may MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 9 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 10 correct correct JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 11 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 13 1 1 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 15 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 16 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 17 justifiable justifiable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 18 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 19 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 20 available available JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 21 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 22 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 24 2 2 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 26 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 27 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 28 justify justify VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 29 policy policy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 30 decisions decision NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 31 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 32 make make VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 33 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 34 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 35 happen happen VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 36 now now RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 328 37 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 4 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 6 claims claim VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 7 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 8 increasing increase VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 9 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 10 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 11 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 12 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 13 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 14 allows allow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 15 population population NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 16 immunity immunity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 17 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 18 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 19 accumulated accumulate VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 20 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 21 rapidly rapidly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 22 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 23 reducing reduce VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 25 overall overall JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 26 duration duration NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 27 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 28 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 30 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 31 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 32 total total JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 33 length length NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 34 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 35 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 36 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 37 measures measure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 38 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 329 39 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 4 ethical ethical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 6 say say VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 7 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 8 exploiting exploit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 9 increased increase VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 10 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 11 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 12 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 13 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 15 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 16 way way NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 17 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 18 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 19 allowed allow VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 20 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 21 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 22 mentioning mention VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 23 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 24 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 25 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 26 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 27 side side JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 28 effect effect NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 29 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 30 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 31 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 32 now now RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 33 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 34 including include VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 35 painful painful JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 36 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 37 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 38 deaths death NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 39 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 40 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 41 have have VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 42 been be VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 43 avoided avoid VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 44 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 45 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 46 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 330 47 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 4 predictions prediction NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 5 made make VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 8 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 11 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 15 particular particular JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 16 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 17 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 19 duration duration NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 20 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 21 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 22 amount amount NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 23 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 24 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 25 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 26 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 27 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 28 robust robust JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 29 against against IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 30 modifications modification NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 31 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 32 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 33 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 34 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 35 account account VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 36 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 37 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 38 effective effective JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 39 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 40 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 41 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 42 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 43 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 44 widespread widespread JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 45 mid-2021 mid-2021 NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 46 vaccinations vaccination NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 331 47 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 4 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 6 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 7 claims claim VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 10 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 11 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 12 Summary Summary NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 13 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 14 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 16 top top NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 17 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 18 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 19 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 20 Intermittent intermittent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 21 efforts effort NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 22 require require VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 23 greater great JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 24 hospital hospital NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 25 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 26 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 332 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 3 contradicted contradict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 4 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 6 e.g. e.g. RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 9 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 11 Figure Figure NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 12 _SP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 13 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 15 B b NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 18 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 19 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 20 claims claim VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 21 - - , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 22 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 23 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 24 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 25 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 26 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 27 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 28 seasonality seasonality NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 29 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 30 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 31 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 32 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 33 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 34 0.89 0.89 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 35 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 36 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 37 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 38 beds bed NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 39 per per IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 40 10000 10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 41 adults adult NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 42 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 43 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 44 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 45 overrun overrun VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 46 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 48 roughly roughly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 50 halftime halftime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 51 intermittent intermittent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 52 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 53 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 54 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 55 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 56 less less JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 57 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 58 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 59 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 60 years year NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 333 61 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 2 second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 3 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 4 appears appear VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 6 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 7 based base VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 8 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 9 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 10 miscalculation miscalculation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 12 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 13 noted note VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 14 above above RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 16 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 17 correcting correct VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 18 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 19 miscalculation miscalculation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 20 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 21 adding add VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 22 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 23 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 24 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 25 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 26 years year NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 27 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 28 again again RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 29 contradict contradict VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 30 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 31 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 32 require require VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 33 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 34 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 334 35 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 2 criticism criticism NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 4 various various JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 5 unjustified unjustified JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 6 claims claim NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 7 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 9 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 11 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 12 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 13 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 14 interpreted interpret VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 15 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 16 opposition opposition NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 17 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 18 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 19 idea idea NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 20 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 21 increasing increase VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 22 hospital hospital NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 23 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 335 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 1 Current current JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 2 news news NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 3 reports report NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 4 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 5 simple simple JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 6 extrapolations extrapolation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 7 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 8 consistent consistent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 9 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 11 theory theory NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 12 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 14 United United NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 15 States States NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 16 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 17 already already RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 18 need need VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 19 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 20 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 21 0.89 0.89 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 22 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 23 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 24 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 25 beds bed NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 26 per per IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 27 10000 10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 28 adults adult NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 29 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 30 April April NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 31 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 32 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 33 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 34 direct direct JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 35 result result NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 36 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 37 inadequate inadequate JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 38 initial initial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 39 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 40 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 41 March March NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 336 42 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 337 1 3.7 3.7 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 337 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 2 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 4 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 5 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 6 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 7 effective effective JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 8 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 9 assumed assume VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 10 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 12 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 338 13 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 2 first first JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 3 sentence sentence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 6 summary summary NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 7 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 9 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 11 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 12 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 13 follows follow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 14 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 15 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 16 One one CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 17 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 18 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 19 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 20 results result NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 21 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 22 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 23 fall fall NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 24 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 25 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 339 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 340 1 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 2 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 3 intermittent intermittent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 4 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 7 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 8 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 9 lead lead JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 10 author author NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 12 4 4 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 14 summarizes summarize VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 16 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 17 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 18 main main JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 19 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 20 conclusion conclusion NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 21 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 22 follows follow VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 341 23 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 1 Intermittent intermittent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 2 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 3 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 4 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 5 prevent prevent VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 6 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 7 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 8 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 9 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 10 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 11 exceeded exceed VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 12 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 13 such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 14 measures measure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 15 may may MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 16 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 17 required require VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 18 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 19 12 12 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 20 - - SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 21 18 18 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 22 months month NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 342 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 1 Depending depend VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 2 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 3 R0 R0 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 4 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 6 amount amount NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 7 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 8 seasonality seasonality NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 10 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 11 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 12 must must MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 13 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 14 ' ' `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 15 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 16 ' ' '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 17 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 18 as as RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 19 little little JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 20 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 21 25 25 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 22 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 23 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 24 up up IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 25 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 26 70 70 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 27 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 28 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 29 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 30 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 343 31 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 3 itself -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 4 says say VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 5 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 6 staying stay VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 7 below below IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 8 0.89 0.89 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 9 requires require VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 10 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 11 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 12 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 13 measures measure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 14 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 15 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 16 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 17 place place NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 18 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 19 25 25 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 20 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 21 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 344 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 1 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 2 70 70 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 3 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 5 that that DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 6 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 7 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 9 into into IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 10 2022 2022 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 345 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 1 These these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 2 claims claim NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 3 could could MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 4 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 5 correct correct JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 7 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 8 they -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 9 go go VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 10 beyond beyond IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 11 what what WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 12 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 13 shown show VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 14 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 16 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 346 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 347 1 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 347 2 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 347 3 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 347 4 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 347 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 347 6 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 347 7 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 347 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 348 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 349 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 349 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 349 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 349 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 349 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 349 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 349 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 349 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 350 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 351 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 352 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 352 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 352 3 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 353 1 Extension extension NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 353 2 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 353 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 353 4 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 353 5 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 353 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 353 7 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 353 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 1 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 2 consider consider VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 4 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 5 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 6 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 7 further further RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 8 reducing reduce VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 9 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 10 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 354 11 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 1 First first JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 2 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 7 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 9 52-week 52-week CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 10 30 30 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 11 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 12 seasonality seasonality NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 14 80 80 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 15 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 16 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 17 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 18 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 20 stopped stop VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 21 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 22 10.0/10000 10.0/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 355 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 1 Second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 2 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 7 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 9 52-week 52-week CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 10 30 30 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 11 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 12 seasonality seasonality NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 14 99 99 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 15 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 16 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 17 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 18 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 20 stopped stop VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 21 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 22 2.0/10000 2.0/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 356 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 1 Third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 2 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 7 1.5 1.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 9 99 99 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 10 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 11 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 12 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 13 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 15 52-week 52-week CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 16 30 30 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 17 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 18 seasonality seasonality NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 20 stopped stop VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 21 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 22 2.0/10000 2.0/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 357 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 358 1 See see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 358 2 text text NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 358 3 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 358 4 further further JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 358 5 details detail NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 358 6 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 1 Concretely concretely RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 4 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 5 shows show VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 6 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 7 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 8 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 9 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 10 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 11 single single JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 12 month month NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 13 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 14 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 15 now now RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 16 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 17 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 18 prevent prevent VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 19 mass mass NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 20 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 21 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 22 October October NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 23 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 24 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 25 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 26 extending extend VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 27 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 28 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 29 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 30 say say UH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 31 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 32 three three CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 33 months month NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 34 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 35 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 36 prevent prevent VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 37 mass mass NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 38 infection infection NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 39 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 40 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 41 end end NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 42 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 43 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 44 year year NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 359 45 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 2 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 3 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 4 shows show VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 5 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 6 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 7 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 8 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 9 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 10 particular particular JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 11 intermittent intermittent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 12 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 13 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 14 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 16 applied apply VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 17 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 18 25 25 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 19 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 20 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 21 70 70 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 22 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 23 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 25 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 26 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 27 comes come VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 28 close close RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 29 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 30 0.89/10000 0.89/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 31 criticalcare criticalcare NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 32 patients patient NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 33 again again RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 34 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 35 again again RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 360 36 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 3 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 4 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 5 conjecture conjecture VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 6 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 8 within within IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 9 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 10 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 12 every every DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 13 intermittent intermittent RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 14 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 15 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 16 strategy strategy NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 17 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 18 fewer few JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 19 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 20 6 6 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 21 months month NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 22 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 23 total total JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 24 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 25 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 26 break break VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 27 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 28 1/10000 1/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 29 barrier barrier NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 361 30 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 1 However however RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 3 all all DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 5 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 6 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 7 depend depend VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 8 upon upon IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 10 exact exact JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 11 values value NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 13 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 14 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 15 during during IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 16 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 17 after after IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 18 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 362 19 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 1 Perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 3 effect effect NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 5 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 7 stronger strong JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 8 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 9 assumed assume VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 10 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 11 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 12 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 13 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 15 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 16 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 363 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 364 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 365 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 365 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 365 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 365 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 365 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 365 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 365 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 365 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 366 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 367 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 368 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 368 2 doi doi NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 368 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 369 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 369 2 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 369 3 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 369 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 369 5 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 369 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 369 7 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 1 Perhaps perhaps RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 2 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 3 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 4 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 5 increased increase VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 6 hand hand NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 7 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 8 washing washing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 10 increased increase VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 11 wearing wear VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 13 masks mask NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 14 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 15 mask mask NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 16 substitutes substitute NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 17 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 18 etc etc FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 19 . . FW cord-340244-qjf23a7e 370 20 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 1 see see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 2 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 3 7 7 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 5 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 6 many many JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 7 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 8 possibilities possibility NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 9 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 10 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 11 keep keep VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 12 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 13 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 14 below below IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 15 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 16 after after IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 17 one one CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 18 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 19 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 20 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 371 21 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 2 examples example NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 4 how how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 5 heavily heavily RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 7 results result NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 8 depend depend VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 9 upon upon IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 10 hypotheses hypothesis NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 11 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 13 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 14 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 15 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 17 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 18 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 19 .8 .8 NFP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 20 shows show VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 21 what what WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 22 happens happen VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 23 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 25 following follow VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 26 strategies strategy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 27 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 28 extensions extension NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 29 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 30 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 31 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 32 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 34 1 1 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 36 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 37 reduces reduce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 38 R R NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 39 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 40 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 41 80 80 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 42 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 43 ; ; , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 45 2 2 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 47 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 48 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 49 turned turn VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 50 off off RP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 51 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 52 2.0/10000 2.0/10000 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 53 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 54 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 55 reduces reduce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 56 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 57 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 58 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 59 99 99 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 60 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 61 ; ; , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 62 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 63 3 3 LS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 64 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 65 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 66 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 67 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 68 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 69 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 70 starting start VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 71 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 72 1.5 1.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 73 instead instead RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 74 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 75 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 76 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 77 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 78 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 79 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 80 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 81 non non JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 82 - - JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 83 distancing distancing JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 84 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 85 reducing reduce VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 86 transmission transmission NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 87 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 88 25 25 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 89 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 372 90 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 2 clear clear JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 3 differences difference NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 4 between between IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 6 graphs graph NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 7 again again RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 8 highlight highlight VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 9 how how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 10 important important JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 12 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 13 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 14 understand understand VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 16 actual actual JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 17 impact impact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 18 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 19 interventions intervention NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 373 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 2 section section NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 3 returns return VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 4 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 6 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 7 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 9 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 11 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 12 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 13 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 14 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 15 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 16 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 17 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 18 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 19 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 20 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 21 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 22 par par NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 23 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 24 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 25 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 26 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 27 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 28 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 29 achieved achieve VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 30 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 31 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 32 through through IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 33 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 34 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 35 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 36 measures measure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 37 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 374 38 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 2 noted note VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 3 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 4 Section section NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 5 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 7 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 8 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 9 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 10 incorrectly incorrectly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 11 attributed attribute VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 12 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 14 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 17 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 18 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 19 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 20 otherwise otherwise RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 21 justified justified JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 22 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 24 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 375 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 1 Sections section NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 2 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 3 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 4 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 5 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 6 highlighted highlight VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 8 importance importance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 10 understanding understand VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 11 what what WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 12 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 13 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 14 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 15 actually actually RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 16 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 17 achieved achieve VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 376 18 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 1 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 2 4 4 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 3 .2 .2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 4 contains contain VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 5 four four CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 6 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 7 plots plot NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 8 produced produce VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 9 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 11 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 12 Python Python NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 13 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 14 used use VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 15 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 16 Section section NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 17 3 3 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 377 18 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 1 Each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 2 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 3 stretches stretch VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 4 over over IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 5 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 6 4-month 4-month JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 7 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 9 includes include VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 10 52-week 52-week CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 11 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 12 forcing forcing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 14 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 15 includes include VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 16 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 17 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 18 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 19 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 20 starting start VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 21 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 22 23 23 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 23 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 24 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 378 25 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 2 second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 3 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 4 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 6 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 7 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 8 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 9 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 10 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 11 2.0 2.0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 14 most most RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 15 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 16 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 17 allowed allow VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 18 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 20 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 379 22 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 1 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 2 Intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 3 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 4 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 5 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 6 assumed assume VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 8 reduce reduce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 9 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 10 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 11 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 12 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 13 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 15 again again RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 17 most most RBS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 18 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 19 possibility possibility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 20 allowed allow VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 21 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 23 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 380 25 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 2 first first JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 4 less less RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 5 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 7 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 8 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 10 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 11 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 12 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 13 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 14 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 15 2.5 2.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 381 16 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 2 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 4 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 5 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 7 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 8 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 10 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 11 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 12 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 13 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 14 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 15 2.0 2.0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 16 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 17 uses use VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 18 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 19 extended extended JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 20 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 21 where where WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 22 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 23 intense intense JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 24 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 25 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 26 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 27 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 28 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 29 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 30 effect effect NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 31 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 32 reducing reduce VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 33 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 34 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 35 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 36 99 99 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 37 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 382 38 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 2 fourth fourth JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 3 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 4 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 5 like like IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 7 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 8 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 9 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 11 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 12 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 13 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 14 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 15 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 16 3.5 3.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 383 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 1 In in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 2 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 3 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 4 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 5 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 7 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 8 initial initial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 9 2-day 2-day JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 10 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 11 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 12 exposure exposure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 384 13 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 3 chosen choose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 4 shorter short JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 5 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 7 half half JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 8 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 9 week week NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 10 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 11 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 13 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 385 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 1 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 2 limit limit VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 4 impact impact NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 5 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 7 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 8 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 9 upon upon IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 11 width width NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 14 resulting result VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 15 peaks peak NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 386 16 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 2 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 3 starts start VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 4 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 5 11 11 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 6 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 8 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 9 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 11 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 12 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 14 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 15 10 10 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 16 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 17 respectively respectively RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 18 ; ; : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 19 these these DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 20 dates date NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 21 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 22 chosen choose VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 23 so so IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 24 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 25 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 26 red red JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 27 curves curve NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 28 have have VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 29 approximately approximately RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 30 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 31 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 32 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 33 heights height NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 34 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 35 simplifying simplify VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 36 comparison comparison NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 37 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 38 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 39 features feature NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 40 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 41 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 42 curves curve NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 387 43 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 388 1 Reported report VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 388 2 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 388 3 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 388 4 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 388 5 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 388 6 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 388 7 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 388 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 1 https://cr.yp.to/2020/nhc-20200329.py https://cr.yp.to/2020/nhc-20200329.py NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 3 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 4 Python Python NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 5 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 6 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 7 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 8 intended intend VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 9 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 10 plot plot VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 12 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 13 each each DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 14 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 17 number number NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 18 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 19 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 20 reported report VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 21 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 22 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 23 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 24 NHC NHC NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 25 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 26 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 27 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 28 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 29 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 30 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 31 that that DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 32 day day NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 389 33 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 2 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 3 incorporated incorporate VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 4 into into IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 6 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 7 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 8 extracted extract VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 9 manually manually RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 10 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 11 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 12 considerable considerable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 13 help help NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 14 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 15 Google Google NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 16 Translate Translate NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 17 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 18 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 19 http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/pzhgli/new_list http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/pzhgli/new_list NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 390 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 1 shtml shtml NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 4 primary primary JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 5 source source NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 7 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 9 case case NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 10 counts count NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 11 cited cite VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 12 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 13 Wikipedia Wikipedia NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 391 14 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 1 Double double JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 2 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 3 checking check VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 5 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 7 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 8 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 9 aspects aspect NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 10 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 12 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 13 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 14 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 15 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 16 useful useful JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 392 17 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 2 output output NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 5 script script NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 7 shown show VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 8 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 9 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 10 4 4 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 11 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 12 reason reason NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 13 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 14 selecting select VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 15 reports report NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 16 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 17 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 18 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 19 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 20 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 21 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 22 rather rather RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 23 than than IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 25 e.g. e.g. NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 27 reports report NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 28 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 29 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 30 confirmed confirm VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 31 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 32 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 33 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 34 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 35 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 36 common common JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 37 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 38 sense sense NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 39 guess guess VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 40 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 41 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 42 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 43 cases case NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 44 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 45 more more RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 46 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 47 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 48 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 49 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 50 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 51 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 52 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 393 53 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 394 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 395 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 395 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 395 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 395 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 395 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 395 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 395 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 395 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 396 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 397 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 398 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 398 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 1 What what WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 3 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 4 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 6 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 8 predicts predict VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 9 regarding regard VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 10 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 12 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 13 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 14 starting start VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 15 23 23 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 16 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 17 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 399 18 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 1 First first JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 2 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 7 2.5 2.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 9 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 10 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 11 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 12 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 13 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 14 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 16 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 17 initial initial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 18 2-day 2-day JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 19 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 20 starting start VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 21 11 11 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 22 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 23 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 400 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 1 Second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 2 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 7 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 9 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 10 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 11 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 12 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 13 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 14 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 15 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 16 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 17 initial initial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 18 2-day 2-day JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 19 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 20 starting start VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 21 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 22 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 23 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 401 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 1 Third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 2 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 7 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 10 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 11 extended extended JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 12 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 13 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 14 99 99 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 15 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 16 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 17 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 18 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 20 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 21 initial initial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 22 2-day 2-day JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 23 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 24 starting start VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 25 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 26 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 27 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 402 28 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 1 Fourth fourth JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 2 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 4 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 5 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 6 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 7 3.5 3.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 8 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 10 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 11 extended extended JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 12 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 13 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 14 99 99 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 15 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 16 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 17 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 18 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 20 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 21 initial initial JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 22 2-day 2-day JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 23 pulse pulse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 24 starting start VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 25 10 10 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 26 January January NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 27 2020 2020 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 403 28 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 404 1 See see VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 404 2 text text NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 404 3 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 404 4 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 404 5 details detail NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 404 6 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 405 1 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 405 2 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 405 3 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 405 4 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 405 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 405 6 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 405 7 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 405 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 406 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 407 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 407 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 407 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 407 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 407 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 407 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 407 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 407 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 408 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 409 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 410 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 410 2 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 1 likely likely JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 2 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 3 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 4 tested test VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 5 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 6 reported report VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 8 hopefully hopefully RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 9 producing produce VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 10 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 11 curve curve NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 12 close close RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 13 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 14 reality reality NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 411 15 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 1 However however RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 3 there there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 4 could could MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 5 still still RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 6 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 7 biases bias NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 8 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 10 testing testing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 11 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 12 reporting reporting NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 13 procedures procedure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 14 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 15 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 16 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 17 NHC NHC NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 18 reports report NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 19 do do VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 20 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 21 state state VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 22 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 23 exact exact JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 24 definition definition NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 25 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 26 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 27 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 28 severe severe JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 29 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 30 case case NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 412 31 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 2 raises raise VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 3 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 4 question question NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 5 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 6 how how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 7 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 8 build build VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 9 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 10 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 11 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 12 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 13 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 14 obviously obviously RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 15 inconsistent inconsistent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 16 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 17 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 18 NHC NHC NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 19 reports report VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 20 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 21 while while IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 22 at at IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 23 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 24 same same JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 25 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 26 avoiding avoid VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 27 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 28 clear clear JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 29 danger danger NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 30 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 31 overfitting overfitting NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 413 32 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 1 There there EX cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 2 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 3 several several JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 4 contributing contribute VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 5 factors factor NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 6 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 8 widths width NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 11 peaks peak NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 12 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 13 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 14 4 4 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 15 .2 .2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 414 16 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 1 In in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 3 first first JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 4 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 6 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 7 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 8 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 9 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 10 2.5 2.5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 11 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 12 reduced reduce VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 13 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 14 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 15 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 16 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 17 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 18 so so CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 19 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 21 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 22 controlled control VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 23 primarily primarily RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 24 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 25 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 26 forcing forcing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 28 plus plus CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 29 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 30 gradual gradual JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 31 increase increase NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 32 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 33 1 1 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 34 − − NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 35 S S NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 36 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 37 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 38 green green JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 39 curve curve NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 415 41 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 4 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 5 large large JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 6 effect effect NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 8 so so IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 9 new new JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 10 infections infection NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 11 continue continue VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 12 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 13 occur occur VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 14 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 15 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 16 long long JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 17 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 416 18 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 2 phenomenon phenomenon NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 3 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 4 smaller small JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 5 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 7 second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 8 plot plot NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 10 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 11 wintertime wintertime NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 12 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 13 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 14 = = SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 15 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 16 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 17 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 18 much much RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 19 smaller small JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 20 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 21 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 22 third third JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 23 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 24 fourth fourth JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 25 plots plot NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 417 26 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 2 width width NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 3 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 5 E e NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 6 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 8 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 9 plotted plot VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 11 then then RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 12 produces produce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 13 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 14 somewhat somewhat RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 15 wider wide JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 17 peak peak VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 19 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 20 black black JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 21 curve curve NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 23 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 24 since since IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 25 E e NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 418 26 → → NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 419 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 419 2 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 419 3 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 419 4 high high JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 419 5 variance variance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 419 6 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 2 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 3 turn turn NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 4 produces produce VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 5 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 6 somewhat somewhat RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 7 wider wide JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 8 H h NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 9 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 12 orange orange JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 13 curve curve NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 15 followed follow VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 16 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 17 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 18 somewhat somewhat RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 19 wider wide JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 20 C c NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 21 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 23 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 24 red red JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 25 curve curve NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 420 27 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 2 noted note VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 3 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 4 Section section NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 5 2 2 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 6 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 7 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 8 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 9 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 10 easily easily RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 11 adjusted adjust VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 12 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 13 match match VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 14 observations observation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 15 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 16 lower low JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 17 variance variance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 18 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 19 an an DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 20 individual individual NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 21 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 22 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 23 progression progression NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 421 24 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 1 For for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 2 example example NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 3 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 5 analysis analysis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 8 6 6 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 10 indicates indicate VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 11 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 14 incubation incubation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 15 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 16 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 17 standard standard JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 18 deviation deviation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 19 only only RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 20 about about IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 21 half half NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 22 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 23 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 24 mean mean NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 422 25 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 1 Modifying modify VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 3 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 4 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 6 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 8 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 9 include include VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 10 more more JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 11 E e NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 12 stages stage NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 13 any any DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 14 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 15 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 16 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 17 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 18 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 19 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 423 20 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 424 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 425 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 425 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 425 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 425 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 425 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 425 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 425 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 425 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 426 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 427 12 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 428 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20048025 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 428 2 doi doi NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 428 3 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 2 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 4 while while IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 5 preserving preserve VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 7 mean mean NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 9 would would MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 10 reduce reduce VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 11 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 12 width width NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 13 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 15 resulting result VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 17 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 18 H H NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 19 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 20 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 21 C C NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 22 peaks peak NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 23 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 24 producing produce VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 25 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 26 sharper sharp JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 27 increase increase NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 28 towards towards IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 29 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 30 maximum maximum NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 31 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 32 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 33 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 34 sharper sharp JJR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 35 decrease decrease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 36 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 37 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 38 maximum maximum NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 429 39 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 3 also also RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 4 easy easy JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 5 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 6 adjust adjust VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 8 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 11 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 13 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 14 delay delay VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 16 C C NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 17 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 430 18 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 1 However however RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 3 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 4 large large JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 5 part part NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 6 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 8 width width NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 9 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 11 peak peak NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 12 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 13 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 14 first first JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 15 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 16 second second JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 17 plots plot NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 18 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 19 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 20 4 4 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 21 .2 .2 NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 22 arises arise VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 23 directly directly RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 24 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 25 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 26 assumption assumption NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 27 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 28 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 29 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 30 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 31 large large JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 32 even even RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 33 after after IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 34 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 431 35 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 3 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 4 obvious obvious JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 5 how how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 6 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 7 reconcile reconcile VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 8 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 9 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 10 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 12 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 14 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 15 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 16 reports report NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 17 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 18 Figure figure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 19 4 4 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 20 .4 .4 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 21 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 22 dropping drop VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 23 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 24 assumption assumption NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 432 25 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 2 analysis analysis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 3 should should MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 4 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 5 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 6 interpreted interpret VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 7 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 8 confidently confidently RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 9 concluding conclude VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 10 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 12 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 14 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 15 wrong wrong JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 16 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 17 claiming claim VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 18 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 19 China China NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 20 achieved achieve VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 21 only only RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 22 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 23 60 60 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 24 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 25 reduction reduction NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 26 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 27 R r NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 28 0 0 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 433 29 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 1 One one PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 3 imagine imagine VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 4 various various JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 5 ways way NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 6 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 8 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 9 could could MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 10 still still RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 11 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 12 correct correct JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 434 13 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 1 However however RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 2 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 4 5 5 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 6 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 7 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 8 justified justify VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 9 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 10 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 11 level level NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 12 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 13 confidence confidence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 14 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 16 states state VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 17 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 18 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 19 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 20 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 21 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 22 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 23 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 24 justified justify VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 25 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 26 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 27 level level NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 28 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 29 confidence confidence NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 30 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 31 it -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 32 states state VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 33 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 34 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 35 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 36 that that WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 37 rely rely VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 38 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 39 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 40 claim claim NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 435 41 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 1 How how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 2 will will MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 3 country country NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 4 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 5 based base VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 6 mitigation mitigation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 7 measures measure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 8 influence influence VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 9 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 10 course course NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 11 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 12 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 436 15 ? ? . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 437 1 Mathematics mathematic NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 437 2 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 437 3 life life NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 437 4 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 437 5 death death NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 437 6 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 1 How how WRB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 2 disease disease NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 3 models model NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 4 shape shape VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 5 national national JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 6 shutdowns shutdown NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 7 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 8 other other JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 9 pandemic pandemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 438 10 policies policy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 439 1 A a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 439 2 fiasco fiasco NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 439 3 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 439 4 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 439 5 making making NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 439 6 ? ? . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 1 As as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 2 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 3 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 4 pandemic pandemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 5 takes take VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 6 hold hold NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 9 are be VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 10 making make VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 11 decisions decision NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 12 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 13 reliable reliable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 440 14 data datum NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 1 Intermittent intermittent JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 2 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 3 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 4 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 5 prevent prevent VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 6 critical critical JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 7 care care NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 8 capacity capacity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 9 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 10 being be VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 11 exceeded exceed VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 12 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 13 such such JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 14 measures measure NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 15 may may MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 16 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 17 required require VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 18 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 19 12 12 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 20 - - SYM cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 21 18 18 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 22 months month NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 441 23 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 1 Depending depend VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 2 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 3 R0 R0 NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 4 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 5 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 6 amount amount NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 7 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 8 seasonality seasonality NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 10 social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 11 distancing distancing NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 12 must must MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 13 be be VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 14 ' ' `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 15 on on IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 16 ' ' '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 17 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 18 as as RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 19 little little JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 20 as as IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 21 25 25 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 22 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 23 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 24 up up IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 25 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 26 70 70 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 27 % % NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 28 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 29 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 30 time time NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 31 Social social JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 32 distancing distance VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 33 strategies strategy NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 34 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 35 curbing curb VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 36 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 37 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 38 epidemic epidemic NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 39 Estimate estimate NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 40 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 41 incubation incubation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 42 period period NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 43 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 44 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 442 45 2019 2019 CD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 2 COVIDany covidany JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 3 purpose purpose NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 4 without without IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 5 crediting credit VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 6 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 7 original original JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 8 authors author NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 443 9 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 1 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 2 peer peer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 3 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 4 reviewed review VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 7 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 8 Public Public NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 9 Domain Domain NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 444 10 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 445 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 445 2 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 445 3 no no RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 445 4 longer long RBR cord-340244-qjf23a7e 445 5 restricted restrict VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 445 6 by by IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 445 7 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 445 8 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 1 Anyone anyone NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 2 can can MD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 3 legally legally RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 4 share share VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 5 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 6 reuse reuse NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 7 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 8 remix remix NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 9 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 10 or or CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 11 adapt adapt VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 12 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 446 13 material material NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 1 The the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 2 copyright copyright NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 3 holder holder NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 4 has have VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 5 placed place VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 6 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 7 preprint preprint NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 9 which which WDT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 10 was be VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 11 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 12 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 13 : : : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 14 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 15 hammer hammer NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 16 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 17 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 18 dance dance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 19 Lesson Lesson NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 20 from from IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 21 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 22 long long JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 23 experience experience NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 24 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 25 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 26 blowups:@neil blowups:@neil NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 27 ferguson ferguson NNP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 28 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 29 if if IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 30 you -PRON- PRP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 31 need need VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 32 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 33 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 34 w/"thousands w/"thousand NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 35 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 36 lines line NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 37 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 38 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 39 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 40 is be VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 41 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 42 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 43 model model NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 44 useable useable JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 45 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 46 real real JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 47 world world NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 48 risk risk NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 49 & & CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 50 decisions decision NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 51 - - : cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 52 rather rather RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 53 something something NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 54 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 55 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 56 FRAGILITY fragility NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 57 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 58 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 59 house house NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 60 built build VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 61 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 62 matches match NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 63 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 64 impress impress VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 65 some some DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 66 tenure tenure NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 447 67 committee committee NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 1 This this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 2 typo typo NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 3 did do VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 4 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 5 appear appear VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 6 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 7 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 8 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 9 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 10 differential differential JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 11 equations equation NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 12 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 13 and and CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 14 did do VBD cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 15 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 16 appear appear VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 17 in in IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 18 this this DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 19 paper paper NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 20 's 's POS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 21 software software NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 22 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 23 but but CC cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 24 illustrates illustrate VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 25 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 26 importance importance NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 27 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 28 double double RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 29 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 30 checking check VBG cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 31 everything everything NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 32 . . . cord-340244-qjf23a7e 448 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 1 Broadened broaden VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 2 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 3 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 4 analysis analysis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 5 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 6 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 7 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 8 error error NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 9 analysis analysis NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 10 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 11 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 12 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 13 readers reader NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 14 who who WP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 15 expect expect VBP cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 16 " " `` cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 17 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 18 " " '' cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 19 to to TO cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 20 refer refer VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 21 specifically specifically RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 22 to to IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 23 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 24 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 25 of of IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 26 a a DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 27 test test NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 28 Added add VBN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 29 comment comment NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 30 that that IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 31 the the DT cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 32 notation notation NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 33 here here RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 34 does do VBZ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 35 not not RB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 36 include include VB cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 37 self self NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 38 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 39 loops loop NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 40 , , , cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 41 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 42 readers reader NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 43 familiar familiar JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 44 with with IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 45 state state NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 46 - - HYPH cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 47 transition transition NN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 48 diagrams diagram NNS cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 49 for for IN cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 50 discrete discrete JJ cord-340244-qjf23a7e 449 51 automata automaton NNS