id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-151183-o06mwd4d	Tam, Ka-Ming	Projected Development of COVID-19 in Louisiana	2020-04-06		.txt	text/plain	2217	127	64	While the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model may well describe the dynamics of the spreading 1,2 , accurate predictions rely on knowing the number of confirmed cases, which is severely hampered by the limitations of testing. Combining this information with the mortality rate can be a better strategy to predict the number of cases than relying on the con-firmed infection count alone. The exponential growth of the number of fatalities at the beginning of the epidemic should represent the spreading of COVID-19 reasonably well since the mechanisms for slowing the dynamics, such as improved detection and social distancing, are delayed in time By fitting the available fatalities data (see Appendix) between March 14 and 31 to Eq. 7, the parameters of the model can be determined. 4: The number of people who are infected and carrying the virus without being identified, I(t), as a function of time, with March 14 as day 0.	./cache/cord-151183-o06mwd4d.txt	./txt/cord-151183-o06mwd4d.txt