id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-272085-4mqc8mqd	Roques, Lionel	Impact of Lockdown on the Epidemic Dynamics of COVID-19 in France	2020-06-05		.txt	text/plain	4239	247	59	Here, we develop a new mechanistic-statistical approach, based on a SIRD model (D being the dead cases compartment), in the aim of • estimating the effect of the lockdown in France on the contact rate and the effective reproduction number R e ; The computation of the solution of (1) with the posterior distribution of the parameters leads to a number of infectious I(t f ) = 7.0 · 10 5 and a total number of infected cases (including recovered) (I + R)(t f ) = 2.0 · 10 6 at the end of the observation period (April 14). We obtained an effective reproduction number that was divided by a factor 7, compared to the estimate of the R 0 carried out in France at the early stage of the epidemic, before the country went into lockdown [a value R 0 = 3.2 was obtained in (15) ].	./cache/cord-272085-4mqc8mqd.txt	./txt/cord-272085-4mqc8mqd.txt