id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-273199-xmq502gm Cherednik, I. A surprising formula for the spread of Covid-19 under aggressive management 2020-05-02 .txt text/plain 5042 304 64 We propose an algebraic-type formula that describes with high accuracy the spread of Covid-19 pandemic under aggressive management for the periods of the intensive growth of the total number of infections. Anyway a sociological approach to the spread, which "explains" under some assumptions the power growth of the number of total cases, is quite natural in our work, because the active managements of epidemics is clearly of sociological nature, applicable only to humans. . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.29.20084483 doi: medRxiv preprint An important outcome of our modeling is that the measures of "hard type", like detecting and isolating infected people and closing the places where the spread is almost inevitable, are the key for ending an epidemic. The predictions are of course based on the assumption that the intensity of hard measures continues to be proportional to the total number of detected infections to date, as it was clearly the case for the red dots. ./cache/cord-273199-xmq502gm.txt ./txt/cord-273199-xmq502gm.txt