id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-309378-sfr1x0ob	Röst, Gergely	Early Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Hungary and Post-Lockdown Scenarios	2020-06-30		.txt	text/plain	10526	585	57	COVID-19 epidemic has been suppressed in Hungary due to timely non-pharmaceutical interventions, prompting a considerable reduction in the number of contacts and transmission of the virus. We incorporate various factors, such as age-specific measures, seasonal effects, and spatial heterogeneity to project the possible peak size and disease burden of a COVID-19 epidemic wave after the current measures are relaxed. Moreover, closing schools postpones the peak of the epidemic (by about one month in case of the above setting), suggesting that children may play a significant role in transmission due to their large number of contacts, even though they give negligible contribution to the overall mortality, cf. As control measures are being successively relaxed since May 4, we established an age-structured compartmental model to investigate several post-lockdown scenarios, and projected the epidemic curves and the demand for critical care beds assuming various levels of sustained reduction in transmission.	./cache/cord-309378-sfr1x0ob.txt	./txt/cord-309378-sfr1x0ob.txt