id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-329357-ujh2nmh5 Ben Miled, S. Simulations of the spread of COVID-19 and control policies in Tunisia 2020-05-06 .txt text/plain 3113 222 66 Our aims are first to evaluate Tunisian control policies for COVID-19 and secondly to understand the effect of different screening, quarantine and containment strategies and the rule of the asymptomatic patients on the spread of the virus in the Tunisian population. With this work, we show that Tunisian control policies are efficient in screening infected and asymptomatic individuals and that if containment and curfew are maintained the epidemic will be quickly contained. In this work, a mathematical epidemiological model for COVID-19 is developed to study and predict the effect of different screening, quarantine, and containment strategies on the spread of the virus in the Tunisian population. Let's assume that CR(t) = χ1 exp(χ2t) − χ3 with χ, χ2 and χ3 three positive parameters that we estimate using log-linear regression on cases data (see figure 2 and table 2). ./cache/cord-329357-ujh2nmh5.txt ./txt/cord-329357-ujh2nmh5.txt