id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-337992-g4bsul8u Voinson, Marina Stochastic dynamics of an epidemic with recurrent spillovers from an endemic reservoir 2018-11-14 .txt text/plain 9641 519 55 We propose a simple continuous time stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model with a recurrent infection of an incidental host from a reservoir (e.g. humans by a zoonotic species), considering two modes of transmission, (1) animal-to-human and (2) human-to-human. The epidemiological processes are stochastic, which is particularly relevant in the case of transmission from the reservoir and more realistic because only a small number of individuals are expected to be infected at the beginning of an outbreak. In the case of emerging infectious diseases, no incidence is normally expected in the population so from a small number of infected individuals, the outbreak can be considered to spread. When the direct transmission increases the infection spreads more efficiently consuming a large number of susceptible individuals allowing few or no other excursion to reach the epidemiological threshold and producing only one outbreak when R 0 > 2.5. ./cache/cord-337992-g4bsul8u.txt ./txt/cord-337992-g4bsul8u.txt