id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-355201-pjoqahhk Li, X. Discrete simulation analysis of COVID-19 and prediction of isolation bed numbers 2020-07-14 .txt text/plain 5067 341 50 By adjusting or fitting necessary epidemic parameters, the effects of the following indicators on the development of the epidemic and the occupation of medical resources were explained: (1) incubation period, (2) response speed and detection capacity of the hospital, (3) disease cure time, and (4) population mobility. Through simulation, we show that the incubation period, response speed and detection capacity of the hospital, disease cure time, degree of population mobility, and infectivity of cured patients have different effects on the infectivity, scale, and duration of the epidemic. Among them, (1) incubation period, (2) response speed and detection capacity of the hospital, (3) disease cure time, and (4) population mobility have a significant impact on the demand and number of isolation beds (P <0.05), which agrees with the following regression equation: N = P * (-0.273 + 0.009I +0.234M + 0.012T1 + 0.015T2) * (1+V). ./cache/cord-355201-pjoqahhk.txt ./txt/cord-355201-pjoqahhk.txt