id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	2	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	3	cord-048446-gaemgm0	cord-048446-gaemgm0	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	4	t	t	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	5	authors	author	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	6	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	7	White	White	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	8	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	9	Laura	Laura	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	10	Forsberg	Forsberg	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	11	;	;	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	12	Pagano	Pagano	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	13	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	14	Marcello	Marcello	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	15	title	title	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	16	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	17	Transmissibility	transmissibility	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	18	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	20	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	21	Virus	Virus	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	22	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	23	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	24	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	25	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	26	date	date	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	27	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	28	2008	2008	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	29	-	-	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	30	01	01	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	31	-	-	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	32	30	30	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	33	journal	journal	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	1	34	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	1	PLoS	PLoS	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	2	One	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	3	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	4	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	5	10.1371	10.1371	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	6	/	/	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	7	journal.pone.0001498	journal.pone.0001498	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	8	sha	sha	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	9	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	10	16ffa1f7efaf96880e6f3c22d2de9c5672169303	16ffa1f7efaf96880e6f3c22d2de9c5672169303	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	11	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	12	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	13	48446	48446	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	14	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	2	15	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	3	1	gaemgm0	gaemgm0	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	4	1	t	t	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	4	2	BACKGROUND	BACKGROUND	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	4	3	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	1	With	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	2	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	3	heightened	heightened	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	4	increase	increase	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	5	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	6	concern	concern	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	7	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	8	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	9	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	10	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	12	sought	seek	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	13	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	14	better	better	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	15	understand	understand	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	17	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	18	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	19	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	20	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	21	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	22	most	most	RBS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	23	devastating	devastating	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	24	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	25	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	26	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	27	previous	previous	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	28	century	century	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	5	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	6	1	METHODOLOGY/	METHODOLOGY/	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	7	1	PRINCIPAL	principal	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	7	2	FINDINGS	finding	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	7	3	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	2	use	use	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	4	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	5	several	several	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	6	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	7	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	8	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	9	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	10	USA	USA	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	11	as	as	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	12	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	13	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	14	two	two	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	15	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	16	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	17	experienced	experience	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	18	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	20	documented	document	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	21	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	22	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	23	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	24	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	25	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	8	26	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	2	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	3	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	5	based	base	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	6	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	7	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	8	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	9	nonparametric	nonparametric	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	10	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	11	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	13	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	15	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	16	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	17	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	18	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	19	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	20	throughout	throughout	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	21	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	22	course	course	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	23	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	24	each	each	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	25	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	9	26	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	5	basic	basic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	6	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	7	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	8	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	9	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	10	slightly	slightly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	11	lower	low	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	12	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	14	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	15	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	17	between	between	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	18	1.34	1.34	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	19	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	20	3.21	3.21	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	22	than	than	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	23	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	24	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	25	enclosed	enclose	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	26	populations	population	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	27	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	28	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	29	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	31	R(0	R(0	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	10	33	=	=	NFP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	11	1	4.97	4.97	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	11	2	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	11	3	SE	SE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	11	4	=	=	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	11	5	3.31	3.31	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	11	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	11	7	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	1	Additionally	additionally	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	3	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	4	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	5	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	6	declined	decline	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	7	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	8	sub	sub	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	9	epidemic	epidemic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	10	levels	level	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	11	more	more	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	12	quickly	quickly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	13	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	15	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	17	within	within	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	18	around	around	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	19	10	10	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	20	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	22	than	than	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	23	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	24	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	25	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	27	within	within	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	28	30–40	30–40	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	29	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	12	31	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	2	mean	mean	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	3	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	4	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	5	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	7	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	8	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	9	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	11	3.33	3.33	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	12	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	13	SE	SE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	14	=	=	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	15	5.96	5.96	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	16	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	17	3.81	3.81	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	18	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	19	SE	SE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	20	=	=	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	21	3.69	3.69	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	23	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	24	while	while	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	25	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	26	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	27	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	28	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	29	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	30	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	31	varied	vary	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	32	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	34	between	between	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	35	2.83	2.83	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	36	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	37	SE	se	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	38	=	=	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	39	0.53	0.53	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	40	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	41	8.28	8.28	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	42	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	43	SE	SE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	44	=	=	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	45	951.95	951.95	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	46	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	13	47	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	14	1	CONCLUSIONS	conclusion	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	14	2	/	/	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	14	3	SIGNIFICANCE	significance	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	14	4	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	1	These	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	3	illustrate	illustrate	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	5	importance	importance	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	6	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	7	considering	consider	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	9	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	10	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	11	when	when	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	12	making	make	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	13	statements	statement	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	14	about	about	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	15	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	16	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	17	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	18	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	19	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	15	20	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	2	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	3	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	5	employ	employ	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	6	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	7	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	8	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	10	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	11	numbers	number	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	12	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	14	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	15	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	16	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	17	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	18	easily	easily	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	19	replicated	replicate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	20	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	21	other	other	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	22	populations	population	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	23	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	24	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	25	other	other	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	26	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	16	27	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	2	emergence	emergence	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	5	highly	highly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	6	pathogenic	pathogenic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	7	avian	avian	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	8	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	9	strain	strain	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	10	H5N1	H5N1	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	11	has	have	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	12	raised	raise	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	13	concerns	concern	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	14	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	15	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	16	imminent	imminent	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	17	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	17	19	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	1	Public	public	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	2	health	health	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	3	workers	worker	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	4	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	5	government	government	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	6	officials	official	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	7	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	8	disaster	disaster	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	9	planners	planner	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	10	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	11	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	12	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	13	interest	interest	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	14	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	15	better	well	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	16	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	17	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	18	potential	potential	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	19	impact	impact	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	20	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	21	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	22	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	23	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	24	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	25	possible	possible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	26	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	27	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	28	containment	containment	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	18	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	1	Crucial	crucial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	2	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	3	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	4	planning	planning	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	6	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	7	understanding	understanding	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	8	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	10	basic	basic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	11	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	12	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	14	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	15	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	16	various	various	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	17	settings	setting	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	19	18	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	3	led	lead	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	4	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	5	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	6	growing	grow	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	7	interest	interest	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	8	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	10	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	11	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	12	understanding	understanding	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	13	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	14	past	past	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	15	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	17	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	18	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	19	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	20	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	21	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	23	most	most	RBS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	24	virulent	virulent	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	25	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	26	deadly	deadly	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	27	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	28	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	29	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	30	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	31	20th	20th	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	32	century	century	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	20	33	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	1	Mortality	mortality	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	3	been	be	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	5	at	at	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	6	50	50	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	7	-	-	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	8	100	100	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	9	million	million	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	10	people	people	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	11	worldwide	worldwide	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	12	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	13	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	14	result	result	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	15	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	16	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	17	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	19	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	20	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	22	1	1	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	21	24	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	3	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	4	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	5	suppose	suppose	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	6	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	7	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	8	better	well	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	9	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	11	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	12	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	13	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	15	highly	highly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	16	pathogenic	pathogenic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	17	virus	virus	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	18	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	19	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	20	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	22	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	23	gain	gain	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	24	greater	great	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	25	insight	insight	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	26	into	into	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	27	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	28	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	29	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	30	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	31	thus	thus	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	32	potential	potential	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	33	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	34	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	35	control	control	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	36	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	37	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	38	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	39	future	future	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	40	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	41	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	42	2	2	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	43	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	22	44	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	1	Important	important	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	2	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	3	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	4	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	5	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	6	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	7	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	9	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	10	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	11	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	13	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	14	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	16	3	3	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	23	18	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	2	basic	basic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	3	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	4	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	6	defined	define	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	7	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	9	average	average	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	10	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	11	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	12	secondary	secondary	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	13	infections	infection	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	14	created	create	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	15	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	16	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	17	primary	primary	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	18	infection	infection	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	19	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	20	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	21	entirely	entirely	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	22	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	23	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	25	4	4	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	26	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	27	see	see	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	28	also	also	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	29	5	5	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	30	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	24	31	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	1	A	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	2	more	more	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	3	complex	complex	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	4	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	5	but	but	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	6	perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	7	meaningful	meaningful	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	8	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	11	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	12	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	13	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	14	which	which	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	15	defines	define	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	17	average	average	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	18	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	19	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	20	secondary	secondary	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	21	infections	infection	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	22	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	23	infected	infected	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	24	will	will	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	25	create	create	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	26	at	at	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	27	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	28	given	give	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	29	point	point	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	30	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	31	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	32	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	25	33	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	3	takes	take	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	4	into	into	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	5	account	account	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	6	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	7	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	8	all	all	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	9	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	10	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	11	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	12	infected	infected	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	13	individual	individual	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	14	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	15	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	16	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	17	persons	person	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	18	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	19	as	as	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	20	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	21	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	23	impact	impact	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	24	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	25	public	public	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	26	health	health	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	27	control	control	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	28	measures	measure	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	26	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	1	Control	control	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	2	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	3	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	4	typically	typically	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	5	targeted	target	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	6	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	7	drive	drive	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	8	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	9	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	10	below	below	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	11	one	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	12	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	13	maintain	maintain	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	14	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	15	there	there	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	17	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	18	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	19	will	will	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	20	lead	lead	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	21	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	22	eventual	eventual	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	23	extinction	extinction	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	24	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	25	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	26	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	27	27	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	1	An	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	2	example	example	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	4	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	6	herd	herd	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	7	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	8	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	9	or	or	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	10	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	11	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	12	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	13	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	14	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	16	incurred	incur	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	17	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	18	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	19	sufficiently	sufficiently	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	20	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	21	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	22	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	23	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	24	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	25	being	be	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	26	immune	immune	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	27	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	28	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	29	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	28	30	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	1	Modeling	modeling	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	2	techniques	technique	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	3	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	4	often	often	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	5	used	use	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	6	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	7	determine	determine	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	9	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	10	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	12	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	13	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	14	should	should	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	15	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	16	vaccinated	vaccinate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	17	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	18	order	order	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	19	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	20	have	have	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	21	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	22	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	23	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	24	low	low	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	25	enough	enough	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	26	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	27	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	28	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	29	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	30	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	32	6	6	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	29	34	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	2	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	3	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	4	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	5	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	6	defined	define	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	7	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	9	time	time	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	10	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	11	between	between	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	12	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	13	primary	primary	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	14	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	15	presenting	present	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	16	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	17	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	18	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	19	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	20	infectee	infectee	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	21	developing	develop	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	22	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	23	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	24	7	7	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	25	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	26	8	8	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	30	28	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	31	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	31	2	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	31	3	quantity	quantity	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	31	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	31	5	completely	completely	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	31	6	observable	observable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	31	7	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	3	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	4	mixture	mixture	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	5	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	7	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	8	period	period	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	9	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	11	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	12	period	period	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	13	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	14	both	both	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	15	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	16	which	which	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	17	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	18	useful	useful	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	19	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	20	understand	understand	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	21	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	22	but	but	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	23	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	24	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	25	measure	measure	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	32	26	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	2	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	3	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	4	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	5	2003	2003	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	6	had	have	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	7	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	8	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	9	long	long	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	10	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	11	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	12	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	13	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	14	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	15	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	16	between	between	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	17	8	8	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	18	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	19	10	10	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	20	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	21	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	22	average	average	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	23	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	24	following	follow	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	25	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	26	Weibull	Weibull	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	27	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	28	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	29	9	9	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	30	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	31	making	make	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	32	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	33	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	34	extremely	extremely	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	35	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	36	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	37	containing	contain	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	38	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	39	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	33	40	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	1	Methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	2	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	3	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	4	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	5	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	6	basic	basic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	7	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	8	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	9	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	10	still	still	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	11	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	12	development	development	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	13	phase	phase	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	34	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	2	10	10	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	4	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	5	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	6	thoughtful	thoughtful	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	7	summary	summary	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	8	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	9	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	10	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	11	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	13	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	14	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	35	15	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	1	One	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	2	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	3	interesting	interesting	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	4	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	5	useful	useful	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	6	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	7	has	have	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	8	been	be	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	9	previously	previously	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	10	described	describe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	11	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	13	7	7	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	15	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	16	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	17	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	18	daily	daily	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	19	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	20	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	21	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	22	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	23	t	t	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	24	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	25	or	or	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	26	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	27	average	average	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	28	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	29	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	31	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	32	infected	infected	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	33	individual	individual	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	34	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	35	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	36	t	t	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	37	would	would	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	38	cause	cause	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	36	39	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	1	One	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	2	interesting	interesting	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	3	feature	feature	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	4	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	5	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	6	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	8	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	9	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	10	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	11	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	12	no	no	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	14	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	15	observed	observe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	17	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	18	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	19	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	20	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	21	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	23	zero	zero	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	37	24	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	1	Another	another	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	2	observation	observation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	4	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	5	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	6	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	7	essentially	essentially	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	8	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	9	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	10	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	11	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	13	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	14	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	15	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	16	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	17	traces	trace	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	19	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	20	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	21	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	22	lagged	lag	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	23	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	24	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	25	average	average	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	26	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	27	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	28	length	length	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	38	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	2	nonparametric	nonparametric	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	3	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	4	presupposes	presuppose	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	5	information	information	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	6	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	8	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	9	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	39	11	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	3	typical	typical	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	4	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	5	most	most	JJS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	6	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	7	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	8	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	10	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	11	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	12	rely	rely	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	13	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	14	knowledge	knowledge	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	15	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	17	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	18	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	40	19	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	1	Few	few	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	2	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	3	described	describe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	4	analytical	analytical	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	5	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	6	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	7	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	9	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	10	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	11	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	12	making	make	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	13	most	most	JJS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	14	methodologies	methodology	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	15	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	16	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	17	contact	contact	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	18	tracing	trace	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	20	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	21	which	which	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	23	often	often	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	24	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	25	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	26	expensive	expensive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	27	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	28	attain	attain	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	41	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	2	11	11	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	4	describe	describe	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	5	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	6	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	7	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	8	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	10	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	11	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	12	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	13	relies	rely	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	14	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	15	limited	limited	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	16	contact	contact	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	17	tracing	trace	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	18	information	information	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	19	but	but	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	20	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	21	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	22	full	full	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	23	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	24	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	25	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	26	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	27	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	42	28	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	2	12	12	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	4	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	5	recently	recently	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	6	described	describe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	7	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	8	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	9	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	10	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	12	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	13	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	14	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	15	then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	16	used	use	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	17	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	18	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	19	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	20	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	21	estimator	estimator	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	22	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	23	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	25	7	7	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	27	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	28	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	29	daily	daily	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	30	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	31	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	32	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	33	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	34	applied	apply	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	35	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	36	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	37	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	38	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	39	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	40	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	41	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	42	avian	avian	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	43	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	44	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	45	poultry	poultry	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	46	farms	farm	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	47	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	48	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	43	49	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	1	Several	several	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	2	researchers	researcher	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	3	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	4	studied	study	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	6	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	7	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	8	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	9	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	10	some	some	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	11	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	12	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	13	key	key	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	14	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	15	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	44	16	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	1	Estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	2	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	3	ranged	range	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	4	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	5	2	2	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	6	-	-	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	7	3	3	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	8	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	10	basic	basic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	11	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	12	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	13	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	14	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	15	0	0	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	17	when	when	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	18	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	19	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	20	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	21	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	22	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	23	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	24	mean	mean	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	25	latent	latent	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	26	period	period	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	27	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	28	1.9	1.9	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	29	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	30	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	31	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	32	period	period	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	33	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	34	4.1	4.1	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	35	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	36	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	37	13	13	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	38	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	39	14	14	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	40	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	45	41	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	2	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	3	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	4	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	5	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	6	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	8	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	9	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	10	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	11	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	12	four	four	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	13	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	15	somewhat	somewhat	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	16	based	base	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	17	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	19	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	20	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	22	13	13	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	25	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	26	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	27	15	15	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	28	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	29	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	30	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	31	0	0	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	32	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	33	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	34	2.6	2.6	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	35	-	-	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	36	10.6	10.6	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	37	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	38	confined	confine	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	39	settings	setting	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	40	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	41	such	such	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	42	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	43	prison	prison	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	44	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	45	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	46	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	47	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	48	2.4	2.4	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	49	-	-	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	50	4.3	4.3	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	51	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	52	community	community	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	53	settings	setting	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	46	54	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	2	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	3	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	5	mean	mean	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	6	latent	latent	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	7	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	8	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	9	periods	period	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	10	come	come	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	11	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	13	16	16	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	15	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	16	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	17	used	use	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	18	again	again	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	19	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	20	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	21	17	17	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	22	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	23	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	25	18	18	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	47	27	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	2	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	3	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	5	original	original	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	6	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	7	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	8	derived	derive	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	9	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	10	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	12	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	13	although	although	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	14	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	15	source	source	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	17	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	18	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	19	documented	document	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	48	20	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	2	what	what	WP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	3	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	4	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	6	introduce	introduce	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	7	new	new	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	8	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	9	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	11	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	12	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	13	both	both	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	15	daily	daily	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	16	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	17	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	18	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	20	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	21	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	49	22	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	2	apply	apply	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	3	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	4	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	5	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	7	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	8	two	two	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	9	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	10	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	11	military	military	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	12	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	13	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	15	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	16	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	17	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	18	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	19	as	as	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	20	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	21	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	22	welldocumented	welldocumented	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	23	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	24	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	25	five	five	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	26	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	27	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	50	28	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	3	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	4	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	5	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	6	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	7	compared	compare	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	8	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	9	that	that	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	10	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	12	12	12	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	51	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	3	illustrate	illustrate	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	5	differences	difference	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	7	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	8	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	9	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	10	between	between	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	11	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	12	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	13	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	14	closed	closed	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	15	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	16	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	17	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	18	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	19	community	community	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	52	20	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	2	analyze	analyze	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	4	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	5	several	several	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	6	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	8	documented	document	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	9	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	10	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	11	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	12	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	53	13	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	1	First	first	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	3	consider	consider	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	5	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	6	two	two	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	7	troop	troop	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	8	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	9	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	10	embarked	embark	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	11	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	13	late	late	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	14	fall	fall	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	15	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	16	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	18	19	19	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	54	20	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	2	Medic	Medic	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	3	reported	report	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	4	two	two	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	5	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	7	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	8	November	November	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	9	11	11	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	55	10	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	1	Out	out	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	2	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	3	989	989	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	4	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	6	156	156	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	7	crew	crew	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	8	members	member	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	9	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	10	829	829	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	11	soldiers	soldier	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	12	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	13	4	4	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	14	civilians	civilian	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	16	313	313	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	17	became	become	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	18	sick	sick	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	19	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	20	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	21	over	over	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	22	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	23	40	40	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	24	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	25	period	period	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	27	Attack	Attack	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	28	Rate	Rate	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	29	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	30	AR	AR	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	31	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	32	=	=	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	33	0.32	0.32	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	35	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	36	though	though	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	37	most	most	JJS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	38	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	39	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	41	occurred	occur	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	42	within	within	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	43	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	44	first	first	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	45	fourteen	fourteen	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	46	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	56	47	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	2	Boonah	Boonah	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	3	left	leave	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	4	Durban	Durban	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	5	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	7	five	five	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	8	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	9	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	10	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	11	November	November	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	12	29	29	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	13	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	14	reported	report	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	15	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	16	first	first	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	17	three	three	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	18	definitive	definitive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	20	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	21	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	57	22	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	1	Those	those	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	2	who	who	WP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	3	collected	collect	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	5	data	data	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	6	note	note	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	7	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	8	there	there	EX
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	9	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	10	likely	likely	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	11	some	some	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	12	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	14	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	15	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	16	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	17	identified	identify	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	58	18	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	1	Out	out	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	2	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	3	1095	1095	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	4	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	5	board	board	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	7	164	164	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	8	crew	crew	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	9	members	member	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	10	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	11	931	931	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	12	troops	troop	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	14	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	15	470	470	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	17	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	18	reported	report	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	20	AR	AR	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	21	=	=	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	22	0.43	0.43	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	24	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	25	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	26	40	40	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	27	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	28	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	29	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	30	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	59	31	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	2	United	United	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	3	States	States	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	4	Public	Public	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	5	Health	Health	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	6	Service	Service	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	7	created	create	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	8	special	special	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	9	surveys	survey	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	10	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	11	18	18	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	12	localities	locality	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	13	during	during	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	15	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	16	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	17	20	20	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	18	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	60	19	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	1	Reported	report	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	3	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	4	six	six	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	5	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	7	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	8	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	9	derived	derive	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	10	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	11	house	house	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	13	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	15	house	house	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	16	surveys	survey	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	17	requesting	request	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	19	date	date	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	20	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	21	onset	onset	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	22	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	23	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	24	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	25	all	all	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	26	infected	infect	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	27	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	28	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	29	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	30	sex	sex	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	31	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	32	age	age	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	33	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	34	each	each	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	35	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	36	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	37	pneumonia	pneumonia	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	38	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	39	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	61	40	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	1	A	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	2	summary	summary	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	4	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	5	populations	population	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	7	provided	provide	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	8	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	9	Table	Table	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	10	1	1	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	62	11	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	2	describe	describe	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	3	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	4	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	5	based	base	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	6	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	7	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	8	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	10	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	11	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	12	at	at	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	13	each	each	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	14	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	15	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	18	as	as	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	19	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	20	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	21	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	22	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	23	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	63	24	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	2	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	3	builds	build	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	4	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	5	that	that	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	6	described	describe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	7	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	8	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	9	21	21	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	64	11	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	3	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	5	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	7	closed	close	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	8	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	9	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	10	all	all	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	12	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	13	observed	observe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	14	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	15	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	16	use	use	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	17	daily	daily	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	18	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	19	counts	count	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	20	only	only	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	22	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	23	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	24	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	25	new	new	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	27	each	each	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	28	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	65	30	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	1	Let	let	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	2	N	n	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	3	=	=	NFP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	4	{	{	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	5	N	n	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	6	0	0	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	7	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	8	N	n	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	9	1	1	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	10	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	11	N	n	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	12	2	2	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	13	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	14	…	…	NFP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	15	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	16	N	N	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	17	T	t	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	18	}	}	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	19	represent	represent	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	20	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	21	daily	daily	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	23	counts	count	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	24	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	25	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	26	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	27	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	28	T	T	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	29	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	30	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	31	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	32	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	33	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	34	X	x	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	35	ij	ij	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	36	represent	represent	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	37	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	38	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	39	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	41	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	42	appear	appear	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	43	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	44	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	45	j	j	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	46	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	47	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	48	infected	infect	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	49	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	50	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	51	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	52	appeared	appear	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	53	sick	sick	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	54	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	66	55	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	1	i.	i.	LS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	2	Following	following	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	4	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	5	representation	representation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	6	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	8	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	9	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	10	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	11	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	13	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	15	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	67	16	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	3	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	5	total	total	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	6	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	7	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	9	produced	produce	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	10	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	11	those	those	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	12	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	13	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	14	i	i	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	15	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	16	X	X	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	17	i	i	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	18	?	?	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	19	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	20	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	21	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	22	distributed	distribute	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	23	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	24	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	25	N	n	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	26	i	i	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	27	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	28	i	i	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	29	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	30	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	31	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	32	i	i	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	34	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	35	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	36	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	37	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	39	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	68	40	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	69	1	i.	i.	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	2	further	further	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	3	assume	assume	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	4	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	5	X	x	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	6	i	i	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	7	=	=	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	8	{	{	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	9	X	x	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	10	i	i	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	11	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	12	i+1	i+1	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	13	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	14	X	X	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	15	i	i	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	17	i+2	i+2	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	18	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	19	…	…	NFP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	20	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	21	X	X	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	22	i	i	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	23	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	24	i+k	i+k	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	25	}	}	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	26	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	27	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	28	multinomial	multinomial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	29	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	30	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	31	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	32	X	X	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	33	i	i	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	34	?	?	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	35	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	36	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	37	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	38	k	k	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	39	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	40	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	41	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	42	=	=	SYM
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	43	{	{	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	44	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	45	1	1	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	46	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	47	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	48	2	2	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	49	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	50	…	…	NFP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	51	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	52	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	53	k	k	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	54	}	}	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	55	represent	represent	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	56	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	57	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	58	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	59	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	60	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	61	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	70	62	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	2	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	3	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	5	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	6	construct	construct	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	7	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	8	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	9	function	function	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	11	see	see	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	12	details	detail	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	13	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	15	Supplemental	Supplemental	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	16	Information	Information	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	18	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	19	which	which	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	20	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	21	when	when	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	22	simplified	simplify	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	23	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	24	yields	yield	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	25	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	26	following	follow	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	27	convenient	convenient	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	28	form	form	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	29	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	30	m	m	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	31	i	i	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	32	~	~	NFP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	33	Ri	Ri	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	71	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	72	1	X	X	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	72	2	k	k	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	72	3	j~1	j~1	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	72	4	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	72	5	j	j	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	73	1	N	N	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	74	1	i{j	i{j	LS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	74	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	74	3	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	74	4	21	21	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	74	5	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	74	6	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	1	Maximization	maximization	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	2	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	3	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	4	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	5	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	6	respect	respect	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	7	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	8	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	9	i	i	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	10	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	11	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	12	yields	yield	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	13	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	14	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	15	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	16	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	75	17	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	1	To	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	2	further	further	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	3	simplify	simplify	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	4	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	5	process	process	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	6	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	7	create	create	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	8	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	9	more	more	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	10	parsimonious	parsimonious	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	11	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	12	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	14	parameterize	parameterize	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	15	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	16	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	17	allowing	allow	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	18	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	19	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	20	follow	follow	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	21	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	22	traditional	traditional	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	23	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	24	form	form	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	25	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	26	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	27	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	28	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	30	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	31	instance	instance	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	32	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	33	Weibull	Weibull	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	34	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	35	Gamma	Gamma	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	36	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	37	Log	Log	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	38	Normal	Normal	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	39	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	40	or	or	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	41	Exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	42	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	76	44	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	1	Then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	3	p	p	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	4	j	j	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	5	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	6	functions	function	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	7	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	9	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	10	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	12	density	density	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	14	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	15	instance	instance	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	16	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	17	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	18	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	19	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	20	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	21	Gamma	Gamma	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	22	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	23	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	24	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	25	p	p	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	26	j	j	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	27	only	only	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	28	depend	depend	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	29	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	30	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	31	shape	shape	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	32	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	33	rate	rate	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	34	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	35	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	36	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	37	Gamma	Gamma	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	77	39	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	78	1	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	78	2	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	1	i	i	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	2	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	3	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	4	modeled	model	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	5	parametrically	parametrically	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	6	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	7	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	8	function	function	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	9	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	10	time	time	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	79	11	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	1	One	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	2	example	example	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	4	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	5	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	6	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	7	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	8	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	11	four	four	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	12	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	13	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	14	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	16	22	22	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	19	23	23	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	22	24	24	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	24	given	give	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	25	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	26	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	27	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	28	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	29	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	30	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	31	describe	describe	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	32	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	33	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	34	height	height	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	35	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	36	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	37	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	39	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	40	a+b	a+b	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	42	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	43	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	44	point	point	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	45	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	46	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	47	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	48	d	d	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	49	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	50	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	51	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	52	curvature	curvature	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	53	over	over	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	54	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	55	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	56	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	57	c	c	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	58	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	59	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	60	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	61	final	final	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	62	height	height	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	63	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	64	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	65	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	66	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	67	a	a	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	68	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	80	69	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	1	These	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	2	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	3	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	4	biological	biological	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	5	meaning	meaning	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	7	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	8	setting	setting	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	9	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	11	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	12	height	height	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	13	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	14	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	15	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	16	values	value	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	17	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	81	18	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	1	i	i	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	2	prior	prior	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	3	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	4	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	5	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	6	significant	significant	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	7	depletion	depletion	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	8	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	10	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	11	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	82	12	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	2	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	3	point	point	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	4	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	5	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	6	steepness	steepness	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	7	would	would	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	8	describe	describe	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	10	timing	timing	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	11	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	12	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	13	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	15	rapidity	rapidity	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	16	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	17	which	which	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	18	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	19	impacts	impact	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	20	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	83	21	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	2	final	final	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	3	height	height	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	4	would	would	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	5	describe	describe	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	7	ultimate	ultimate	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	8	value	value	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	9	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	10	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	11	i	i	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	12	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	13	which	which	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	14	typically	typically	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	16	less	less	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	17	than	than	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	18	one	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	19	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	20	indicating	indicate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	21	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	22	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	23	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	25	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	26	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	27	sub	sub	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	28	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	29	state	state	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	84	30	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	2	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	4	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	6	also	also	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	7	implement	implement	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	9	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	10	described	describe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	11	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	13	12	12	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	16	hereafter	hereafter	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	17	referred	refer	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	18	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	19	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	20	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	21	Garske	Garske	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	22	et	et	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	23	al	al	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	24	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	25	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	27	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	28	compare	compare	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	29	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	30	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	31	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	32	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	33	two	two	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	34	methodologies	methodology	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	85	35	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	2	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	3	first	first	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	4	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	6	generation	generation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	7	time	time	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	8	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	9	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	10	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	11	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	12	based	base	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	13	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	86	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	1	Then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	3	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	4	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	5	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	7	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	8	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	10	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	11	described	describe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	12	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	14	7	7	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	17	hereafter	hereafter	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	18	referred	refer	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	19	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	20	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	21	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	22	WT	WT	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	23	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	87	25	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	2	fit	fit	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	3	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	4	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	5	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	6	both	both	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	7	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	8	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	9	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	10	Nelder	Nelder	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	12	Mead	Mead	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	13	maximization	maximization	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	14	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	15	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	16	use	use	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	17	576	576	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	18	starting	start	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	19	values	value	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	20	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	21	order	order	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	22	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	23	ensure	ensure	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	24	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	25	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	26	reach	reach	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	27	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	28	global	global	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	29	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	88	30	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	89	1	All	all	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	89	2	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	89	3	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	89	4	done	do	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	89	5	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	89	6	R	r	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	89	7	2.4.1	2.4.1	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	89	8	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	1	Both	both	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	2	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	3	assume	assume	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	4	homogenous	homogenous	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	5	mixing	mixing	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	8	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	9	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	10	no	no	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	11	missing	miss	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	14	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	15	violated	violate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	16	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	17	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	18	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	19	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	20	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	21	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	22	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	24	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	25	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	26	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	27	primary	primary	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	28	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	29	experiences	experience	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	30	symptom	symptom	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	31	onset	onset	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	32	prior	prior	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	33	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	34	any	any	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	36	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	37	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	38	infects	infect	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	39	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	40	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	41	completely	completely	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	42	closed	closed	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	43	system	system	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	44	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	45	all	all	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	46	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	47	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	48	infected	infect	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	49	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	50	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	51	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	52	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	53	has	have	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	54	been	be	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	55	observed	observe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	90	56	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	3	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	4	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	6	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	8	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	9	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	10	only	only	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	11	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	12	sample	sample	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	13	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	15	total	total	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	16	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	17	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	19	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	20	surveyed	survey	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	21	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	22	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	23	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	24	observe	observe	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	25	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	26	efficacy	efficacy	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	27	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	28	robustness	robustness	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	29	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	30	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	31	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	32	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	33	sample	sample	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	34	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	91	35	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	1	Certainly	certainly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	3	should	should	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	4	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	5	interpreted	interpret	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	6	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	7	caution	caution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	8	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	9	however	however	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	10	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	11	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	13	will	will	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	14	show	show	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	15	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	17	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	18	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	19	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	20	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	21	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	22	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	23	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	24	previous	previous	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	25	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	26	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	27	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	92	28	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	1	Standard	standard	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	2	errors	error	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	3	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	4	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	5	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	7	MLE	MLE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	8	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	9	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	10	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	11	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	12	bootstrap	bootstrap	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	93	13	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	1	One	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	2	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	3	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	4	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	5	simulated	simulate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	6	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	8	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	9	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	10	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	11	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	12	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	13	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	14	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	15	each	each	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	16	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	17	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	18	simulated	simulate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	19	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	94	20	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	2	standard	standard	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	3	deviation	deviation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	4	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	6	1000	1000	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	7	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	8	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	9	used	use	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	10	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	12	standard	standard	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	13	error	error	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	14	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	95	15	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	2	used	use	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	3	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	4	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	5	described	describe	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	7	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	8	12	12	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	9	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	10	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	11	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	13	standard	standard	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	14	error	error	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	15	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	16	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	17	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	18	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	19	however	however	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	20	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	21	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	22	based	base	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	23	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	24	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	25	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	26	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	27	asymptotic	asymptotic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	28	normality	normality	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	29	yielded	yield	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	30	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	31	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	32	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	33	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	34	negative	negative	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	35	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	36	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	37	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	38	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	96	39	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	3	possible	possible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	4	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	5	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	7	due	due	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	8	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	10	non	non	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	11	-	-	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	12	independence	independence	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	13	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	16	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	17	lack	lack	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	18	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	19	theoretical	theoretical	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	20	underpinnings	underpinning	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	21	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	23	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	24	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	25	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	26	propose	propose	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	97	27	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	1	These	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	3	make	make	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	4	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	5	standard	standard	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	6	error	error	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	7	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	8	infeasible	infeasible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	9	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	10	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	11	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	12	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	13	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	98	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	3	do	do	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	4	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	5	present	present	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	6	standard	standard	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	7	error	error	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	8	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	9	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	11	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	12	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	13	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	14	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	15	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	99	16	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	2	order	order	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	3	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	4	determine	determine	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	6	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	7	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	8	relative	relative	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	9	merit	merit	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	10	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	12	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	13	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	14	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	15	each	each	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	16	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	17	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	18	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	19	compute	compute	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	20	one	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	22	stepahead	stepahead	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	23	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	24	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	25	implement	implement	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	26	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	27	cross	cross	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	28	validation	validation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	29	approach	approach	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	30	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	31	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	32	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	33	generalizeability	generalizeability	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	34	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	35	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	36	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	37	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	100	38	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	2	onestep	onestep	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	4	ahead	ahead	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	5	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	6	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	7	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	8	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	9	first	first	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	10	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	12	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	13	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	14	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	15	particular	particular	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	16	location	location	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	17	along	along	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	18	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	21	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	22	predict	predict	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	23	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	24	next	next	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	25	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	26	'	'	POS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	27	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	28	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	29	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	30	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	31	Ñ	ñ	UH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	32	i	i	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	33	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	34	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	101	35	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	102	1	EachÑ	EachÑ	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	1	i	i	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	3	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	4	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	5	N	n	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	6	0	0	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	7	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	8	N	n	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	9	1	1	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	10	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	11	…	…	NFP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	12	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	13	N	n	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	14	i21	i21	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	103	15	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	1	Then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	3	one	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	5	stepahead	stepahead	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	6	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	7	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	8	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	9	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	10	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	11	present	present	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	12	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	13	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	14	averaged	average	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	15	over	over	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	17	T	T	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	18	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	19	observed	observe	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	104	20	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	1	Generalizeability	generalizeability	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	2	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	3	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	4	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	5	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	6	studied	study	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	7	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	8	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	9	ad	ad	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	10	hoc	hoc	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	11	cross	cross	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	12	validation	validation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	14	CV	cv	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	16	technique	technique	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	105	17	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	3	done	do	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	4	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	5	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	7	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	8	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	9	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	10	one	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	11	location	location	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	12	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	13	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	15	one	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	16	step	step	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	17	ahead	ahead	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	18	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	19	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	20	another	another	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	21	location	location	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	106	22	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	1	Specifically	specifically	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	3	use	use	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	5	Boonah	Boonah	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	6	ship	ship	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	7	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	8	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	9	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	10	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	11	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	13	Medic	Medic	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	15	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	16	then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	17	use	use	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	19	Medic	Medic	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	20	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	21	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	22	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	23	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	24	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	25	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	26	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	27	Boonah	Boonah	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	107	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	1	For	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	3	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	4	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	5	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	7	report	report	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	9	average	average	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	10	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	12	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	13	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	14	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	15	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	16	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	17	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	18	one	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	19	community	community	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	20	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	21	predict	predict	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	23	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	24	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	25	each	each	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	26	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	27	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	28	other	other	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	29	four	four	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	30	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	31	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	32	creating	create	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	33	five	five	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	34	CV	cv	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	35	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	37	one	one	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	38	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	39	each	each	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	40	community	community	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	108	42	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	1	Table	table	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	2	2	2	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	3	gives	give	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	5	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	6	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	8	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	9	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	11	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	109	12	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	1	Notable	notable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	2	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	3	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	4	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	7	striking	striking	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	8	consistency	consistency	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	9	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	11	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	12	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	14	first	first	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	15	moment	moment	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	17	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	19	exception	exception	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	20	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	21	Cumberland	Cumberland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	110	22	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	2	second	second	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	3	moments	moment	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	4	vary	vary	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	5	much	much	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	6	more	more	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	7	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	8	however	however	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	111	9	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	2	general	general	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	3	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	4	tend	tend	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	5	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	6	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	7	much	much	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	8	larger	large	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	9	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	11	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	12	when	when	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	13	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	15	Garske	Garske	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	16	et	et	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	17	al	al	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	112	18	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	113	1	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	113	2	compared	compare	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	113	3	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	113	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	113	5	MLE	MLE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	113	6	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	113	7	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	1	For	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	3	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	4	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	6	observe	observe	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	7	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	8	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	9	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	10	consistently	consistently	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	11	around	around	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	12	10	10	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	13	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	15	Garske	Garske	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	16	et	et	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	17	al	al	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	114	18	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	1	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	2	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	3	vary	vary	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	4	much	much	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	5	more	more	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	6	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	8	MLE	MLE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	9	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	115	10	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	1	Also	also	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	2	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	3	interest	interest	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	4	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	5	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	6	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	7	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	9	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	10	error	error	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	11	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	12	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	13	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	14	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	15	Cumberland	Cumberland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	17	but	but	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	18	also	also	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	19	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	20	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	21	smaller	small	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	22	extent	extent	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	23	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	24	Frederick	Frederick	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	116	25	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	3	perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	4	indicative	indicative	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	5	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	7	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	8	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	9	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	12	as	as	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	13	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	14	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	15	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	16	instance	instance	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	17	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	18	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	19	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	20	may	may	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	21	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	22	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	23	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	24	best	good	JJS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	25	fit	fit	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	26	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	27	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	28	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	29	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	30	or	or	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	31	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	32	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	33	lack	lack	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	34	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	35	census	census	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	36	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	37	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	39	might	may	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	40	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	41	more	more	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	42	problematic	problematic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	43	here	here	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	117	44	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	2	Table	Table	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	3	3	3	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	4	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	5	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	6	1	1	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	7	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	9	present	present	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	11	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	12	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	13	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	14	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	15	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	16	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	17	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	18	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	118	19	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	1	Evident	evident	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	2	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	3	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	4	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	5	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	8	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	9	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	10	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	11	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	12	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	14	Boonah	Boonah	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	15	ship	ship	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	119	16	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	3	likely	likely	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	4	due	due	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	5	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	6	some	some	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	7	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	9	missing	miss	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	11	at	at	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	13	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	14	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	15	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	17	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	18	thus	thus	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	20	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	21	attributing	attribute	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	23	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	24	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	25	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	27	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	28	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	29	develop	develop	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	30	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	31	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	32	few	few	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	33	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	34	who	who	WP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	35	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	36	initially	initially	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	37	reported	report	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	120	38	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	2	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	3	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	4	fits	fit	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	5	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	6	as	as	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	7	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	8	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	9	possible	possible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	10	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	11	but	but	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	12	perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	14	important	important	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	15	message	message	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	17	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	18	qualitative	qualitative	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	19	result	result	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	20	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	21	indicating	indicate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	22	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	23	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	24	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	25	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	26	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	27	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	28	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	29	non	non	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	30	-	-	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	31	quarantined	quarantine	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	32	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	33	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	34	very	very	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	35	high	high	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	36	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	37	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	38	decreased	decrease	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	39	as	as	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	40	many	many	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	41	became	become	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	42	infected	infected	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	121	43	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	2	result	result	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	4	similar	similar	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	5	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	6	Medic	Medic	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	7	though	though	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	9	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	10	value	value	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	12	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	13	high	high	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	122	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	2	also	also	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	3	note	note	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	4	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	6	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	7	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	8	dropped	drop	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	9	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	10	sub	sub	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	11	epidemic	epidemic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	12	levels	level	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	13	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	15	around	around	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	16	10	10	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	17	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	18	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	19	both	both	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	20	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	123	22	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	3	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	4	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	6	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	7	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	8	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	9	tended	tend	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	10	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	11	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	12	slightly	slightly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	13	lower	low	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	15	ranging	range	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	16	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	17	1.34	1.34	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	18	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	19	Salisbury	Salisbury	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	20	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	21	3.21	3.21	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	124	22	 	 	_SP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	2	Table	Table	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	3	4	4	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	4	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	6	present	present	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	8	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	9	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	11	residual	residual	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	12	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	125	13	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	2	notice	notice	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	3	here	here	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	4	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	6	Garske	Garske	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	7	et	et	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	8	al	al	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	126	9	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	1	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	2	often	often	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	3	does	do	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	4	better	well	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	5	than	than	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	7	MLE	MLE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	8	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	127	9	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	3	important	important	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	4	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	5	point	point	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	6	out	out	RP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	7	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	9	WT	WT	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	10	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	11	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	12	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	14	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	15	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	16	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	17	over	over	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	18	fits	fit	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	20	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	21	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	22	suffers	suffer	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	23	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	24	generalizeability	generalizeability	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	128	25	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	2	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	3	essentially	essentially	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	4	traces	trace	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	6	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	7	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	8	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	9	lagged	lag	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	10	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	12	mean	mean	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	13	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	15	generation	generation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	16	time	time	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	17	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	129	18	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	2	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	3	according	accord	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	4	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	6	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	7	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	8	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	9	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	10	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	12	WT	WT	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	13	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	14	outperforms	outperform	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	15	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	16	MLE	MLE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	130	17	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	1	However	however	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	2	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	3	considering	consider	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	5	importance	importance	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	6	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	7	external	external	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	8	validation	validation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	9	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	10	reproducibility	reproducibility	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	11	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	13	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	14	suffers	suffer	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	15	somewhat	somewhat	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	16	as	as	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	17	evidenced	evidence	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	18	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	20	CV	CV	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	21	measures	measure	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	131	22	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	2	exceptions	exception	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	3	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	4	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	5	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	8	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	9	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	11	Boonah	Boonah	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	12	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	14	CV	CV	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	15	measure	measure	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	17	impacted	impact	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	18	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	20	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	21	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	22	MLE	MLE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	23	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	24	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	25	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	26	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	27	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	28	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	29	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	30	Cumberland	Cumberland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	31	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	32	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	33	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	34	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	35	either	either	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	36	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	37	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	38	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	39	chosen	choose	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	40	may	may	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	41	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	42	represent	represent	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	43	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	44	best	good	JJS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	45	fit	fit	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	46	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	47	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	48	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	49	or	or	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	50	there	there	EX
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	51	were	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	52	sensitivities	sensitivity	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	53	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	54	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	55	survey	survey	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	56	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	57	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	132	58	 	 	_SP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	2	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	3	presented	present	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	4	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	5	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	6	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	7	informative	informative	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	8	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	9	regard	regard	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	10	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	12	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	13	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	15	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	16	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	17	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	18	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	19	different	different	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	20	populations	population	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	21	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	22	provide	provide	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	23	insight	insight	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	24	into	into	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	25	two	two	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	26	methodologies	methodology	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	27	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	28	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	29	basic	basic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	30	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	31	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	133	32	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	1	Both	both	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	2	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	3	assume	assume	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	4	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	6	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	8	closed	closed	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	9	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	10	there	there	EX
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	11	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	12	no	no	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	13	missing	miss	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	15	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	16	no	no	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	17	migration	migration	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	18	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	19	or	or	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	20	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	21	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	22	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	134	23	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	2	second	second	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	4	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	5	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	7	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	8	violated	violate	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	9	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	12	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	13	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	14	;	;	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	15	however	however	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	17	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	18	appear	appear	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	19	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	20	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	21	reasonably	reasonably	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	22	robust	robust	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	23	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	24	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	25	discrepancy	discrepancy	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	26	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	27	except	except	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	28	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	29	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	30	case	case	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	31	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	32	Cumberland	Cumberland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	135	33	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	2	purpose	purpose	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	4	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	5	exercise	exercise	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	6	determines	determine	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	7	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	8	some	some	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	9	extent	extent	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	10	which	which	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	11	methodological	methodological	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	12	approach	approach	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	14	might	may	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	15	favor	favor	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	136	16	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	1	If	if	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	3	intent	intent	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	5	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	6	simply	simply	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	7	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	9	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	10	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	11	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	12	specific	specific	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	14	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	15	better	well	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	16	understand	understand	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	17	what	what	WP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	18	exactly	exactly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	19	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	20	occurring	occur	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	21	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	22	that	that	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	23	setting	setting	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	24	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	25	then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	26	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	27	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	28	presented	present	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	29	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	30	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	31	12	12	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	32	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	34	Garske	Garske	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	35	et	et	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	36	al	al	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	37	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	39	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	40	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	41	provide	provide	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	42	good	good	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	43	fit	fit	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	137	44	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	2	caveat	caveat	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	3	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	5	see	see	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	7	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	8	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	10	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	11	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	12	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	14	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	15	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	16	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	17	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	19	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	20	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	22	7	7	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	25	WT	WT	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	138	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	1	there	there	EX
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	3	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	4	over	over	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	5	fit	fit	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	6	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	7	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	8	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	9	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	10	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	11	essentially	essentially	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	12	traces	trace	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	14	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	15	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	17	lagged	lag	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	18	by	by	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	20	mean	mean	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	21	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	23	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	24	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	139	25	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	3	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	4	clear	clear	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	5	if	if	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	6	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	8	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	9	desirable	desirable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	10	or	or	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	11	informative	informative	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	12	property	property	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	140	13	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	2	MLE	MLE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	3	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	5	greater	great	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	6	promise	promise	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	7	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	8	generalizeability	generalizeability	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	141	9	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	1	While	while	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	2	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	3	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	4	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	5	argued	argue	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	6	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	7	adhering	adhere	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	8	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	9	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	10	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	11	definition	definition	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	12	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	14	shape	shape	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	15	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	17	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	18	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	19	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	20	leads	lead	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	21	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	22	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	23	greater	great	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	24	chance	chance	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	25	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	26	lack	lack	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	27	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	28	fit	fit	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	29	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	30	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	31	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	32	also	also	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	33	lead	lead	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	34	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	35	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	36	result	result	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	37	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	38	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	39	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	40	interpretable	interpretable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	41	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	42	other	other	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	43	settings	setting	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	44	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	45	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	46	similar	similar	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	47	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	48	that	that	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	49	being	be	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	50	studied	study	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	142	51	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	1	One	one	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	2	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	3	choose	choose	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	4	any	any	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	5	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	6	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	7	form	form	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	8	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	9	modeling	model	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	11	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	12	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	13	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	143	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	1	Here	here	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	3	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	4	only	only	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	5	shown	show	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	6	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	7	four	four	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	8	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	9	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	10	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	11	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	12	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	13	feel	feel	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	14	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	17	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	18	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	19	most	most	JJS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	21	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	23	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	24	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	25	has	have	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	26	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	27	single	single	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	28	peak	peak	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	144	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	3	feasible	feasible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	4	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	5	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	6	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	7	may	may	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	8	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	9	apply	apply	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	10	well	well	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	11	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	12	all	all	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	13	situations	situation	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	145	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	1	Another	another	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	2	approach	approach	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	3	might	may	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	4	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	5	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	6	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	7	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	9	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	11	Garske	Garske	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	12	et	et	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	13	al	al	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	146	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	1	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	2	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	3	then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	4	smooth	smooth	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	6	plot	plot	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	7	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	9	effective	effective	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	10	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	11	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	12	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	13	from	from	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	14	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	15	determine	determine	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	16	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	17	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	18	form	form	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	19	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	20	closely	closely	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	21	approximates	approximate	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	23	smoothed	smooth	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	24	curve	curve	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	147	25	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	1	Multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	2	models	model	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	3	could	could	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	4	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	5	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	6	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	7	then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	9	residual	residual	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	10	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	11	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	13	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	14	shown	show	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	15	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	16	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	17	valuable	valuable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	18	tool	tool	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	19	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	20	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	21	assessment	assessment	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	22	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	23	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	148	24	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	4	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	5	models	model	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	6	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	7	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	8	sensitive	sensitive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	9	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	10	underreporting	underreporte	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	11	initially	initially	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	12	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	14	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	149	15	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	2	see	see	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	3	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	4	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	5	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	6	Boonah	Boonah	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	7	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	8	where	where	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	9	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	10	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	11	acknowledged	acknowledge	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	12	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	13	there	there	EX
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	14	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	15	underreporting	underreporte	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	16	early	early	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	17	on	on	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	18	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	19	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	20	led	lead	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	21	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	22	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	23	getting	get	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	24	very	very	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	25	high	high	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	26	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	27	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	28	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	29	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	30	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	31	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	150	32	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	1	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	2	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	3	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	4	Cumberland	Cumberland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	5	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	6	if	if	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	8	remove	remove	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	10	first	first	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	11	five	five	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	12	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	13	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	16	three	three	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	18	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	19	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	20	first	first	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	21	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	22	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	23	six	six	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	25	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	26	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	151	27	second	second	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	152	1	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	152	2	then	then	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	152	3	no	no	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	152	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	1	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	2	following	follow	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	3	three	three	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	4	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	7	get	get	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	8	much	much	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	9	more	more	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	10	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	11	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	13	m~6:00,ŝ	m~6:00,ŝ	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	14	2~1	2~1	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	15	0:32	0:32	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	17	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	18	smaller	small	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	19	residuals	residual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	21	6.00	6.00	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	153	23	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	2	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	5	important	important	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	6	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	7	note	note	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	8	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	9	unusual	unusual	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	10	observations	observation	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	11	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	12	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	13	first	first	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	14	few	few	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	15	days	day	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	16	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	17	impact	impact	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	19	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	20	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	21	one	one	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	22	should	should	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	23	pay	pay	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	24	careful	careful	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	25	attention	attention	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	26	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	27	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	28	possibility	possibility	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	154	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	1	Overall	overall	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	2	both	both	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	3	methodologies	methodology	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	4	presented	present	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	5	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	6	valuable	valuable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	7	tools	tool	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	8	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	9	can	can	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	10	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	11	used	use	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	12	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	13	tandem	tandem	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	14	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	15	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	17	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	18	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	19	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	20	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	21	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	155	22	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	1	These	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	2	methods	method	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	3	are	be	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	4	easy	easy	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	5	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	6	implement	implement	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	7	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	8	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	156	9	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	3	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	5	have	have	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	6	presented	present	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	7	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	8	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	10	average	average	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	11	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	12	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	13	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	14	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	15	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	16	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	17	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	18	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	19	consistently	consistently	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	20	between	between	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	21	three	three	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	22	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	23	four	four	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	24	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	25	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	26	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	27	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	28	setting	setting	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	157	29	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	2	standard	standard	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	3	deviation	deviation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	4	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	6	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	7	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	8	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	9	varied	vary	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	10	much	much	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	11	more	more	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	12	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	14	MLE	MLE	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	15	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	16	depending	depend	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	17	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	19	location	location	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	158	20	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	159	1	Garske	Garske	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	159	2	et	et	FW
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	159	3	al	al	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	159	4	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	1	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	2	indicate	indicate	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	3	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	5	value	value	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	6	was	be	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	7	consistently	consistently	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	8	smaller	small	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	9	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	11	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	12	than	than	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	13	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	14	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	15	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	160	16	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	3	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	4	clear	clear	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	5	exactly	exactly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	6	how	how	WRB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	7	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	8	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	9	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	10	result	result	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	161	11	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	1	Further	further	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	2	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	4	consistently	consistently	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	5	see	see	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	6	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	7	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	8	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	9	value	value	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	10	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	11	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	12	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	13	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	162	14	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	3	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	4	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	5	this	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	6	value	value	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	8	higher	high	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	9	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	10	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	11	drops	drop	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	12	off	off	RP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	13	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	14	perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	15	due	due	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	16	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	17	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	18	close	close	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	19	quarters	quarter	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	20	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	21	extremely	extremely	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	22	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	23	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	24	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	25	could	could	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	26	take	take	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	27	place	place	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	28	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	29	these	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	30	very	very	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	31	vulnerable	vulnerable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	32	populations	population	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	163	33	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	3	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	4	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	6	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	7	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	8	tended	tend	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	9	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	10	drop	drop	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	11	off	off	RP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	12	later	later	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	13	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	14	typically	typically	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	15	around	around	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	16	day	day	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	17	thirty	thirty	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	164	18	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	1	This	this	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	2	could	could	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	3	be	be	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	4	due	due	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	5	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	6	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	7	larger	large	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	8	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	9	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	10	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	11	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	12	more	more	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	13	complicated	complicated	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	14	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	15	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	16	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	17	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	18	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	19	spread	spread	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	20	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	21	leaving	leave	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	22	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	23	pockets	pocket	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	24	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	25	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	26	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	27	unexposed	unexposed	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	28	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	29	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	30	longer	long	JJR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	31	period	period	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	32	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	33	time	time	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	34	than	than	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	35	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	36	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	37	ships	ship	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	38	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	165	39	 	 	_SP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	2	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	3	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	4	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	5	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	6	Insights	insight	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	7	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	8	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	9	21	21	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	10	st	st	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	11	Century	Century	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	12	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	13	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	14	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	15	Past	past	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	16	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	17	Present	Present	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	18	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	166	19	Future	future	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	2	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	3	between	between	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	4	successive	successive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	6	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	7	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	8	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	9	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	10	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	11	Diseases	disease	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	12	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	13	Humans	Humans	NNPS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	14	Definition	Definition	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	15	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	16	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	17	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	18	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	19	actual	actual	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	20	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	21	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	22	describing	describe	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	23	past	past	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	24	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	25	disease	disease	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	26	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	27	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	28	application	application	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	29	to	to	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	30	HIV	HIV	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	31	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	32	among	among	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	33	homosexual	homosexual	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	34	men	man	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	35	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	36	Denmark	Denmark	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	37	Herd	Herd	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	38	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	39	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	40	herd	herd	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	41	effect	effect	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	42	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	43	new	new	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	44	insights	insight	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	45	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	167	46	definitions	definition	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	1	Different	different	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	2	Epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	3	Curves	curve	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	4	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	5	Severe	severe	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	6	Acute	acute	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	7	Respiratory	Respiratory	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	8	Syndrome	Syndrome	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	9	Reveal	reveal	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	10	Similar	similar	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	11	Impacts	impact	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	12	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	13	Control	Control	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	168	14	Measures	Measures	NNPS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	1	A	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	2	note	note	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	3	on	on	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	4	generation	generation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	5	times	time	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	6	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	8	models	model	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	9	Transmission	Transmission	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	10	Dynamics	Dynamics	NNPS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	11	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	12	Control	Control	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	13	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	14	Severe	Severe	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	15	Acute	acute	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	16	Respiratory	Respiratory	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	17	Syndrome	Syndrome	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	18	Estimating	Estimating	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	19	Individual	Individual	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	20	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	21	Household	Household	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	22	Reproduction	Reproduction	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	23	Numbers	Numbers	NNPS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	24	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	25	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	26	Emerging	Emerging	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	27	Epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	28	Estimation	estimation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	29	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	30	real	real	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	31	time	time	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	32	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	33	efficacy	efficacy	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	34	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	35	measures	measure	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	36	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	37	control	control	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	38	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	39	communicable	communicable	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	169	40	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	1	The	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	2	Transmissibility	Transmissibility	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	4	Highly	highly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	5	Pathogenic	pathogenic	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	6	Avian	Avian	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	7	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	8	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	9	Commercial	Commercial	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	10	Poultry	Poultry	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	11	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	12	Industrialized	Industrialized	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	13	Countries	Countries	NNPS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	14	Transmissibility	Transmissibility	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	15	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	16	1918	1918	CD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	17	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	18	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	19	Transmission	transmission	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	20	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	21	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	22	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	23	great	great	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	24	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	25	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	26	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	27	Estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	28	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	29	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	30	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	31	numbers	number	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	32	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	33	Spanish	spanish	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	34	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	35	using	use	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	36	morbidity	morbidity	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	170	37	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	1	An	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	2	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	3	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	4	model	model	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	5	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	6	immunization	immunization	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	7	studies	study	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	8	Community	Community	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	9	trials	trial	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	10	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	11	vaccination	vaccination	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	12	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	14	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	15	prevention	prevention	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	16	potential	potential	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	17	Containing	contain	VBG
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	19	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	20	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	21	antiviral	antiviral	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	22	agents	agent	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	23	Influenza	Influenza	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	24	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	25	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	171	26	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	172	1	Preliminary	preliminary	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	172	2	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	172	3	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	172	4	certain	certain	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	172	5	locations	location	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	1	A	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	2	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	3	based	base	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	4	method	method	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	5	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	6	real	real	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	7	time	time	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	8	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	9	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	10	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	11	serial	serial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	12	interval	interval	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	13	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	14	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	15	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	16	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	17	an	an	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	173	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	1	A	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	2	flexible	flexible	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	3	growth	growth	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	4	function	function	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	5	for	for	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	6	empirical	empirical	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	7	use	use	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	8	Radioligand	Radioligand	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	9	Assay	Assay	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	10	Statistical	Statistical	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	11	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	12	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	13	radioimmunoassay	radioimmunoassay	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	174	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	1	These	these	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	2	results	result	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	3	confirm	confirm	VBP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	5	high	high	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	6	pathogenicity	pathogenicity	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	7	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	8	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	9	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	10	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	11	ability	ability	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	12	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	13	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	14	spread	spread	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	15	through	through	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	16	populations	population	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	175	17	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	2	also	also	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	3	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	4	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	5	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	6	greatest	great	JJS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	7	difference	difference	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	8	between	between	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	9	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	10	spread	spread	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	11	of	of	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	12	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	13	in	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	14	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	15	closed	closed	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	16	population	population	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	17	without	without	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	18	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	19	ability	ability	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	20	to	to	TO
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	21	implement	implement	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	22	control	control	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	23	measures	measure	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	25	a	a	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	26	large	large	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	27	initial	initial	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	28	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	29	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	30	that	that	WDT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	31	declines	decline	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	32	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	176	33	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	1	In	in	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	2	more	more	RBR
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	3	diffuse	diffuse	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	4	communities	community	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	5	with	with	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	6	complicated	complicated	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	7	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	8	,	,	,
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	9	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	11	likely	likely	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	12	that	that	IN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	13	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	14	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	15	number	number	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	16	will	will	MD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	17	not	not	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	18	decline	decline	VB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	19	as	as	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	20	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	177	21	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	1	Conceived	conceive	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	2	and	and	CC
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	3	designed	design	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	4	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	5	experiments	experiment	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	6	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	7	LW	LW	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	8	MP	MP	NNP
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	178	9	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	179	1	Performed	perform	VBN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	179	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	179	3	experiments	experiment	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	179	4	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	179	5	LW	lw	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	179	6	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	180	1	Analyzed	analyze	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	180	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	180	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	180	4	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	180	5	LW	lw	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	180	6	.	.	.
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	181	1	Wrote	write	VBD
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	181	2	the	the	DT
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	181	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	181	4	:	:	:
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	181	5	LW	lw	NN
cord-048446-gaemgm0t	181	6	.	.	.