id sid tid token lemma pos cord-151198-4fjya9wn 1 1 key key NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 1 2 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 1 cord-151198 cord-151198 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 2 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 3 4fjya9wn 4fjya9wn CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 4 authors author NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 5 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 6 Rogers Rogers NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 8 L l NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 9 C c NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 10 G g NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 11 title title NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 12 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 13 Ending end VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 17 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 18 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 19 United United NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 20 Kingdom Kingdom NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 21 date date NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 22 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 23 2020 2020 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 24 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 25 04 04 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 26 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 27 26 26 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 28 journal journal NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 29 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 30 nan nan NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 31 DOI DOI NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 32 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 33 nan nan NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 34 sha sha NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 35 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 36 4717c3506f166d2f39a1a9829e408e7d9a2539ae 4717c3506f166d2f39a1a9829e408e7d9a2539ae CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 37 doc_id doc_id CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 38 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 39 151198 151198 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 40 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 2 41 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 1 4fjya9wn 4fjya9wn CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 2 Social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 3 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 4 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 6 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 8 two two CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 9 main main JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 10 non non JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 11 - - JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 12 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 13 interventions intervention NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 14 being be VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 15 used use VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 16 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 17 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 18 UK UK NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 19 government government NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 20 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 21 contain contain VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 22 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 23 control control VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 24 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 25 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 27 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 28 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 29 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 30 being be VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 31 applied apply VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 32 uniformly uniformly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 33 across across IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 34 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 35 entire entire JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 36 country country NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 37 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 38 even even RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 39 though though IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 40 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 41 results result NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 42 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 43 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 44 Imperial Imperial NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 45 College College NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 46 report report NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 47 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 48 Ferguson Ferguson NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 49 et et NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 50 al al NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 51 show show VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 52 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 53 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 54 impact impact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 55 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 56 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 57 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 58 increases increase VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 59 sharply sharply RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 60 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 61 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 3 62 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 2 paper paper NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 3 develops develop VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 4 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 5 variant variant NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 6 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 8 workhorse workhorse JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 10 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 11 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 12 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 13 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 14 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 16 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 17 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 18 classified classify VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 19 into into IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 20 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 21 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 22 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 23 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 24 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 4 25 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 2 allows allow VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 4 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 5 understand understand VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 7 effects effect NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 8 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 9 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 10 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 11 dependent dependent JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 12 controls control NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 13 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 16 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 17 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 18 explore explore VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 19 possible possible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 20 exit exit NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 21 strategies strategy NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 5 22 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 2 global global JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 4 pandemic pandemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 5 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 6 swept sweep VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 7 through through IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 9 nations nation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 12 world world NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 13 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 14 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 15 frightening frightening JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 16 speed speed NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 17 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 18 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 19 left leave VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 20 governments government NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 21 struggling struggle VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 22 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 23 cope cope VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 24 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 25 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 26 situation situation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 6 27 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 2 initial initial JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 3 responses response NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 4 have have VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 5 been be VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 6 directed direct VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 7 towards towards IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 8 limiting limit VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 10 death death NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 11 toll toll NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 12 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 13 ensuring ensure VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 14 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 15 health health NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 16 services service NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 17 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 18 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 19 completely completely RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 20 overwhelmed overwhelmed JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 21 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 22 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 23 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 24 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 25 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 26 too too RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 27 possible possible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 28 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 29 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 30 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 31 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 32 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 33 grow grow VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 34 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 35 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 36 factor factor NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 37 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 38 one one CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 39 thousand thousand CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 40 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 41 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 42 month month NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 7 43 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 1 As as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 2 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 3 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 4 as as RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 5 yet yet RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 6 no no DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 7 vaccine vaccine NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 8 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 9 no no DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 10 effective effective JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 11 medication medication NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 13 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 14 very very RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 15 imperfect imperfect JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 16 understanding understanding NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 17 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 18 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 19 parameters parameter NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 20 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 23 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 24 efforts effort NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 25 have have VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 26 been be VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 27 directed direct VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 28 towards towards IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 29 containment containment NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 30 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 31 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 32 decisions decision NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 33 about about IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 34 return return NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 35 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 36 normality normality NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 37 being be VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 38 left leave VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 39 until until IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 40 later later RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 8 41 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 1 Without without IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 2 vaccine vaccine NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 3 or or CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 4 effective effective JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 5 medical medical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 6 treatment treatment NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 9 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 10 remaining remain VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 11 strategies strategy NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 12 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 13 appear appear VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 14 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 15 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 16 either either CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 17 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 18 policy policy NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 19 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 20 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 21 tracing tracing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 22 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 23 quarantining quarantine VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 24 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 25 or or CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 26 developing develop VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 27 herd herd NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 28 immunity immunity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 9 29 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 2 first first JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 4 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 5 policies policy NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 6 appears appear VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 7 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 8 have have VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 9 been be VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 10 applied apply VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 11 successfully successfully RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 12 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 13 South South NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 14 Korea Korea NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 15 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 16 Singapore Singapore NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 17 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 18 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 19 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 20 generally generally RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 21 regarded regard VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 22 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 23 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 24 first first JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 25 line line NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 26 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 27 public public JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 28 health health NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 29 defence defence NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 10 30 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 3 current current JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 4 pandemic pandemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 6 most most JJS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 7 countries country NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 8 have have VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 9 quickly quickly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 10 found find VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 11 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 12 overwhelmed overwhelmed JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 13 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 15 scale scale NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 16 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 17 speed speed NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 19 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 21 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 22 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 23 have have VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 24 been be VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 25 unable unable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 26 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 27 apply apply VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 28 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 29 tracing trace VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 30 as as RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 31 rigorously rigorously RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 32 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 33 universally universally RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 34 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 35 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 36 needed need VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 37 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 38 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 39 method method NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 40 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 41 work work VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 11 42 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 1 When when WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 3 does do VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 4 work work NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 6 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 7 tracing tracing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 8 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 9 quarantine quarantine NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 10 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 11 allow allow VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 12 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 13 outbreak outbreak NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 14 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 15 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 16 snuffed snuff VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 17 out out RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 18 before before IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 20 spreads spread VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 21 widely widely RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 22 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 23 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 24 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 25 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 26 of of RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 27 course course RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 28 leave leave VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 29 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 30 large large JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 31 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 32 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 33 susceptibles susceptible NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 34 open open JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 35 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 36 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 37 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 38 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 39 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 40 so so IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 41 continuing continue VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 42 vigilance vigilance NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 43 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 44 essential essential JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 12 45 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 1 As as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 3 have have VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 4 seen see VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 5 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 6 tracing trace VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 7 overwhelmed overwhelmed JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 8 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 10 goal goal NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 11 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 12 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 13 paper paper NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 14 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 15 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 16 explore explore VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 17 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 18 route route NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 19 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 20 herd herd VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 21 immunity immunity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 22 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 23 using use VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 24 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 25 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 26 dependent dependent JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 27 release release NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 28 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 29 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 30 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 31 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 32 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 33 gradual gradual JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 34 relaxation relaxation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 35 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 36 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 37 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 38 rules rule NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 13 39 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 2 Section section NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 3 2 2 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 5 present present VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 7 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 8 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 9 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 10 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 11 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 12 almost almost RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 13 all all DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 14 respects respect VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 15 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 16 straightforward straightforward JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 17 variant variant NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 19 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 20 standard standard JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 21 SIR SIR NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 23 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 14 24 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 2 equations equation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 3 contain contain VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 4 terms term NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 5 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 7 controls control NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 8 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 9 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 10 available available JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 11 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 12 modify modify VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 13 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 14 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 15 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 15 18 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 2 problem problem NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 3 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 4 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 5 control control NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 6 problem problem NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 8 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 9 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 10 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 12 have have VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 13 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 14 define define VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 16 objective objective NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 17 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 18 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 20 do do VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 21 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 22 Section section NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 23 3 3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 16 24 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 2 issue issue NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 3 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 4 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 5 course course NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 6 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 8 have have VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 9 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 10 conflict conflict NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 11 between between IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 12 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 13 obvious obvious JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 14 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 15 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 17 numbers number NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 19 citizens citizen NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 20 whose whose WP$ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 21 lives life NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 22 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 23 ended end VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 24 prematurely prematurely RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 25 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 26 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 27 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 28 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 29 concern concern NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 30 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 31 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 32 next next JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 33 few few JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 34 months month NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 35 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 36 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 37 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 38 damage damage NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 39 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 40 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 41 extended extended JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 42 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 43 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 44 do do VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 45 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 46 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 47 economy economy NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 48 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 49 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 50 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 51 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 52 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 53 concern concern NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 54 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 55 many many JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 56 years year NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 57 if if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 58 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 59 aftermath aftermath NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 60 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 61 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 62 2008 2008 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 63 financial financial JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 64 crash crash NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 65 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 66 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 67 guide guide NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 17 68 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 2 setting set VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 3 up up RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 5 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 6 structure structure NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 8 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 9 relatively relatively RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 10 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 12 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 13 hopefully hopefully RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 14 reasonably reasonably RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 15 realistic realistic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 17 assumptions assumption NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 18 have have VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 19 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 20 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 21 made make VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 22 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 23 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 24 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 25 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 26 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 27 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 28 way way NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 29 essential essential JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 30 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 31 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 32 approach approach NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 33 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 34 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 35 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 36 easily easily RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 37 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 38 changed change VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 39 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 40 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 41 reader reader NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 42 prepared prepare VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 43 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 44 play play VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 45 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 46 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 47 Jupyter Jupyter NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 48 notebook notebook NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 49 posted post VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 50 online online RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 51 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 18 52 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 1 Parameter parameter NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 2 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 3 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 4 or or CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 5 even even RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 7 entire entire JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 8 form form NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 9 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 10 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 11 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 13 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 14 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 15 changed change VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 16 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 17 anyone anyone NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 18 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 19 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 20 little little JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 21 knowledge knowledge NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 22 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 23 Python Python NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 19 24 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 1 Experts expert NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 2 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 3 health health NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 4 economics economic NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 5 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 6 doubtless doubtless RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 7 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 8 able able JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 9 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 10 suggest suggest VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 11 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 12 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 13 better well RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 14 embody embody VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 15 current current JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 16 thinking thinking NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 17 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 18 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 19 before before IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 20 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 21 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 22 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 23 results result NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 25 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 26 paper paper NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 27 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 28 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 29 relied rely VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 30 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 31 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 32 such such JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 33 inputs input NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 34 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 35 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 36 necessary necessary JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 20 37 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 2 Section section NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 3 4 4 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 5 briefly briefly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 6 discuss discuss VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 8 datasources datasource NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 9 used use VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 11 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 12 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 13 Section section NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 21 14 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 1 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 2 present present VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 4 results result NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 6 computation computation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 7 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 8 various various JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 9 scenarios scenario NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 22 10 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 1 A a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 2 simple simple JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 5 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 6 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 7 too too RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 8 crude crude JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 9 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 10 allow allow VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 11 us -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 12 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 13 model model VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 14 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 15 control control VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 17 key key JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 18 features feature NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 19 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 21 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 23 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 24 many many JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 25 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 26 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 27 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 28 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 29 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 30 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 31 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 32 impact impact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 33 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 34 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 35 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 36 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 37 different different JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 38 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 39 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 40 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 41 very very RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 42 different different JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 23 43 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 1 So so RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 3 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 4 break break VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 5 down down RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 7 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 8 into into IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 9 J J NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 10 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 11 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 13 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 14 let let VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 15 A a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 16 j j NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 18 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 20 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 21 I I NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 22 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 24 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 26 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 27 S S NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 28 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 30 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 32 denote denote VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 33 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 34 numbers number NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 35 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 36 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 37 - - : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 38 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 39 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 40 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 41 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 42 who who WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 43 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 45 respectively respectively RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 47 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 48 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 49 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 50 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 51 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 52 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 53 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 54 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 24 55 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 2 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 3 denote denote VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 4 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 5 N N NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 6 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 8 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 25 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 1 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 2 total total JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 3 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 4 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 5 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 6 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 7 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 8 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 10 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 11 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 12 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 13 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 15 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 16 allow allow VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 17 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 18 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 19 change change VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 20 gradually gradually RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 21 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 22 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 23 influx influx NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 25 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 26 births birth NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 27 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 28 visitors visitor NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 29 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 30 other other JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 31 countries country NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 32 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 33 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 34 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 35 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 36 model model VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 37 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 38 possibility possibility NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 39 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 40 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 41 infecteds infected NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 42 come come VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 43 in in RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 44 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 45 outside outside RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 46 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 47 reignite reignite VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 48 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 49 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 26 50 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 2 most most RBS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 3 basic basic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 4 form form NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 7 evolution evolution NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 8 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 9 governed govern VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 10 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 12 differential differential JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 13 equationṡ equationṡ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 14 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 15 ι ι NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 16 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 17 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 18 σ σ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 19 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 20 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 21 known know VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 22 functions function NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 23 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 24 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 25 representing represent VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 26 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 27 arrival arrival NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 28 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 29 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 27 30 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 1 infec-1 infec-1 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 2 https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1tbB47uSGIA0WehY-hvIYgdO0mpnZU5A8 https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1tbB47uSGIA0WehY-hvIYgdO0mpnZU5A8 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 3 tives tive NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 4 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 5 susceptibles susceptible NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 6 respectively respectively RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 7 2 2 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 8 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 9 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 10 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 11 final final JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 12 term term NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 13 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 15 right right JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 16 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 17 hand hand NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 18 side side NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 19 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 21 3 3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 23 allows allow VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 24 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 25 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 26 possibility possibility NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 27 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 28 removed remove VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 29 infectives infective NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 30 may may MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 31 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 32 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 33 fact fact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 34 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 35 immune immune JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 36 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 37 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 38 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 39 may may MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 40 return return VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 41 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 42 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 43 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 44 ready ready JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 45 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 46 reinfection reinfection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 28 47 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 2 parameter parameter NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 3 p p NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 4 ∈ ∈ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 6 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 8 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 10 appearing appear VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 11 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 13 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 15 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 17 2 2 LS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 19 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 21 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 22 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 23 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 24 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 25 becoming become VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 26 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 27 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 28 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 29 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 30 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 31 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 32 parameter parameter NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 33 ρ ρ XX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 34 > > XX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 35 0 0 NFP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 36 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 37 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 38 recovery recovery NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 39 rate rate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 29 40 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 2 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 3 rates rate VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 4 λ λ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 5 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 7 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 9 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 10 explicit explicit JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 11 non non JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 12 - - JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 13 linear linear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 14 functions function NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 15 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 17 state state NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 19 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 20 system system NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 21 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 22 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 23 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 24 discussed discuss VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 25 shortly shortly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 26 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 27 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 28 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 29 aside aside RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 30 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 31 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 32 terms term NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 33 involving involve VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 34 λ λ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 35 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 37 evolution evolution NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 38 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 39 linear linear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 30 40 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 1 So so CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 2 if if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 4 stack stack VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 6 variables variable NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 7 into into IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 8 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 9 single single JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 10 vector vector NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 12 evolution evolution NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 14 1)-(4 1)-(4 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 16 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 17 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 18 written write VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 31 19 aṡ aṡ IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 1 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 2 M M NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 3 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 4 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 5 4J 4j CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 6 × × NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 7 4J 4j CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 8 constant constant JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 9 matrix matrix NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 11 Λ Λ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 12 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 13 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 14 simple simple JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 15 matrix matrix NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 16 whose whose WP$ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 17 entries entry NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 18 involve involve VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 19 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 20 λ λ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 21 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 22 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 23 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 24 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 25 entries entry NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 26 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 27 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 28 η η NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 29 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 30 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 31 vector vector NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 32 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 33 driving drive VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 34 terms term NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 32 35 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 33 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 33 2 Remark remark NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 33 3 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 2 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 4 1)-(4 1)-(4 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 6 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 8 fluid fluid JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 9 limit limit NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 11 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 12 Markov Markov NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 13 chain chain NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 14 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 15 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 16 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 17 ρ ρ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 18 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 19 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 20 rate rate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 21 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 22 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 23 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 24 jumps jump VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 25 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 26 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 27 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 28 state state NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 29 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 30 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 31 removed remove VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 32 state state NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 33 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 34 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 35 therefore therefore RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 37 implicit implicit JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 39 Markovian Markovian NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 41 assumption assumption NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 42 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 43 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 44 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 45 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 46 spent spend VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 47 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 48 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 49 infective infective JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 50 state state NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 51 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 52 exponentially exponentially RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 53 distributed distribute VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 34 54 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 2 assumption assumption NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 3 does do VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 4 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 5 fit fit VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 6 well well RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 7 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 8 observation observation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 9 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 10 so so IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 12 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 13 allow allow VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 14 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 15 different different JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 16 distributions distribution NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 17 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 18 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 19 familiar familiar JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 20 trick trick NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 21 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 22 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 23 method method NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 25 stages stage NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 27 see see VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 28 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 29 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 30 example example NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 31 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 33 2 2 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 36 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 37 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 38 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 39 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 40 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 41 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 42 passes pass VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 43 through through IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 44 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 45 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 46 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 47 exponentially exponentially RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 48 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 49 distributed distribute VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 50 stages stage NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 35 51 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 2 more more JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 3 detail detail NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 4 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 6 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 7 suppose suppose VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 8 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 9 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 10 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 11 K k NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 12 x x NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 13 stages stage NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 14 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 16 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 17 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 19 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 20 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 21 I -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 22 k k NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 23 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 25 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 27 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 28 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 29 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 30 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 31 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 32 j j NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 33 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 34 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 35 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 36 stage stage NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 37 k k NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 38 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 39 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 40 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 41 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 42 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 43 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 44 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 45 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 46 = = SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 47 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 48 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 49 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 50 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 51 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 52 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 53 J J NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 54 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 55 k k NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 56 = = SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 57 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 58 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 59 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 60 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 36 61 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 37 1 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 37 2 K K NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 38 1 x x LS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 38 2 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 1 Making make VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 2 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 3 change change NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 4 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 6 equation equation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 8 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 10 becomes become VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 12 systemİ systemİ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 13 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 14 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 15 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 16 making make VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 17 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 18 duration duration NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 19 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 20 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 21 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 22 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 23 sum sum NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 25 K K NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 26 x x NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 27 independent independent JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 28 exponentials exponential NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 29 each each DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 30 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 31 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 39 32 1/ 1/ CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 40 1 ρK ρk RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 1 x x LS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 2 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 3 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 4 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 6 same same JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 7 mean mean NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 8 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 9 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 10 exponential exponential NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 11 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 12 rate rate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 13 ρ ρ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 14 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 15 smaller small JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 16 variance variance NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 41 17 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 2 could could MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 3 similarly similarly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 4 decompose decompose VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 6 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 7 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 8 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 9 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 10 indeed indeed RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 11 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 12 further further JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 13 ramifications ramification NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 14 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 16 method method NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 17 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 18 stages stage NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 20 could could MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 21 make make VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 22 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 23 distribution distribution NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 25 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 26 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 27 approximate approximate VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 28 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 29 desired desire VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 30 distribution distribution NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 42 31 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 1 There there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 3 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 4 good good JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 5 reason reason NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 6 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 7 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 8 take take VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 9 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 10 too too RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 11 far far RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 13 however however RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 14 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 15 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 17 numerics numeric NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 19 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 20 differential differential JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 21 equation equation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 22 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 23 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 24 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 25 solved solve VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 26 many many JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 27 times time NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 43 28 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 3 remarkable remarkable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 4 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 5 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 6 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 7 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 8 done do VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 9 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 10 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 11 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 12 amount amount NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 13 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 14 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 15 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 16 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 17 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 18 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 19 complicated complicated JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 21 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 22 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 23 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 24 slower slow JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 25 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 26 step step NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 27 becomes become VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 28 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 29 ultimately ultimately RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 30 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 31 computation computation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 32 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 33 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 34 too too RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 35 slow slow JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 44 36 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 1 But but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 2 however however RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 4 do do VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 5 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 6 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 7 when when WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 9 stack stack VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 10 all all PDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 12 variables variable NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 13 into into IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 14 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 15 big big JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 16 state state NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 17 vector vector NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 18 Z Z NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 21 evolution evolution NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 22 still still RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 23 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 24 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 25 form form NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 27 6 6 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 29 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 30 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 31 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 32 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 33 form form NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 34 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 35 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 36 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 37 coded code VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 38 into into IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 39 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 40 Jupyter Jupyter NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 41 notebooks notebook NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 42 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 45 43 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 1 Each each DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 2 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 3 spends spend VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 4 part part NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 7 waking wake VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 8 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 9 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 10 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 11 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 12 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 13 part part NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 14 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 16 waking wake VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 17 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 18 outside outside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 19 3 3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 46 20 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 2 shall shall MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 3 denote denote VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 4 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 5 m m NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 6 O o NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 7 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 9 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 10 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 11 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 12 contacts contact NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 13 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 14 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 15 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 16 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 17 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 18 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 19 per per IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 20 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 21 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 22 j j NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 23 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 24 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 25 when when WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 26 outside outside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 27 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 28 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 29 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 30 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 31 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 32 m m NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 33 H h NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 47 34 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 1 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 2 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 3 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 4 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 5 contacts contact NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 6 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 7 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 8 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 9 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 10 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 11 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 12 per per IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 13 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 14 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 15 j j NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 16 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 17 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 18 when when WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 19 inside inside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 21 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 48 22 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 3 important important JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 4 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 5 understand understand VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 6 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 7 m m NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 8 O o NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 9 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 10 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 12 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 13 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 14 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 15 contacts contact NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 16 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 17 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 18 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 19 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 20 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 21 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 22 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 23 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 24 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 25 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 26 if if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 27 everyone everyone NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 28 spends spend VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 29 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 30 entire entire JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 31 waking wake VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 32 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 33 outside outside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 34 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 35 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 49 36 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 1 If if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 3 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 4 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 5 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 6 spends spend VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 7 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 8 fraction fraction NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 9 ϕ ϕ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 10 i i PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 11 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 12 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 13 waking wake VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 14 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 15 outside outside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 17 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 19 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 20 j j NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 21 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 22 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 23 spend spend VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 24 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 25 fraction fraction NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 26 ϕ ϕ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 27 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 28 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 29 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 30 waking wake VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 31 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 32 outside outside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 33 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 34 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 35 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 36 then then RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 37 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 38 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 39 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 40 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 41 contacts contact NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 42 per per IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 43 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 44 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 45 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 46 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 47 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 48 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 49 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 50 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 51 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 52 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 53 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 54 outside outside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 55 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 56 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 57 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 58 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 59 ϕ ϕ RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 50 60 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 51 1 m m NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 51 2 O o NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 51 3 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 51 4 ϕ ϕ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 51 5 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 51 6 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 1 Each each DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 2 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 3 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 4 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 5 person person NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 6 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 7 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 8 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 9 someone someone NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 11 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 12 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 13 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 14 transmitted transmit VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 15 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 16 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 17 β β NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 19 though though IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 20 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 21 course course NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 22 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 23 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 24 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 25 result result VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 26 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 27 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 28 change change NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 29 if if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 30 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 31 person person NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 32 contacted contact VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 33 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 34 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 52 35 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 1 Thus thus RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 3 overall overall JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 4 rate rate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 5 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 6 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 7 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 8 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 9 passed pass VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 10 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 12 outside outside JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 13 world world NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 14 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 15 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 16 - - : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 17 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 18 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 19 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 20 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 21 ϕ ϕ RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 22 i i PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 24 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 26 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 27 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 28 fraction fraction NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 29 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 30 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 31 spent spend VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 32 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 33 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 34 outside outside JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 35 world world NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 36 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 37 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 38 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 39 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 40 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 41 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 42 δ δ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 43 ∈ ∈ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 44 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 45 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 46 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 47 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 48 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 49 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 50 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 51 proportion proportion NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 52 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 53 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 54 infecteds infected NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 55 who who WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 56 go go VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 57 into into IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 58 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 59 outside outside JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 60 world world NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 53 61 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 2 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 3 ideal ideal JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 4 situation situation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 6 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 7 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 8 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 9 close close JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 10 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 11 zero zero CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 13 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 14 many many JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 15 people people NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 16 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 17 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 18 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 19 get get VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 20 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 21 mild mild JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 22 symptoms symptom NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 23 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 24 may may MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 25 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 26 self self NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 27 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 28 isolate isolate VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 54 29 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 2 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 4 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 5 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 6 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 7 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 8 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 9 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 10 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 11 N N NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 12 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 14 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 16 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 17 so so CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 18 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 19 factor factor NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 20 S S NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 21 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 23 t)/N t)/N NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 24 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 26 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 28 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 29 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 30 right right JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 31 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 32 hand hand NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 33 side side NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 34 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 36 9 9 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 38 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 39 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 40 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 41 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 42 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 43 contacted contact VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 44 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 45 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 46 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 47 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 48 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 55 49 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 2 may may MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 3 have have VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 5 appearance appearance NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 6 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 7 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 8 conventional conventional JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 9 extension extension NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 11 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 12 SIR SIR NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 13 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 15 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 16 one one CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 17 point point NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 18 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 19 flag flag NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 20 straight straight RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 21 away away RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 22 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 23 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 24 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 25 controls control NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 26 ϕ ϕ PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 27 enter enter VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 28 quadratically quadratically RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 29 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 30 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 31 expression expression NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 32 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 33 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 34 infectivity infectivity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 35 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 36 whereas whereas IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 37 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 38 authors author NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 39 use use VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 40 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 41 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 42 linear linear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 43 dependence dependence NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 56 44 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 57 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 57 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 57 3 erroneous erroneous JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 57 4 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 1 What what WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 2 happens happen VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 3 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 5 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 6 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 7 rather rather RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 8 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 9 difficult difficult JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 10 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 11 deal deal VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 12 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 58 13 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 2 could could MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 3 simply simply RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 4 take take VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 6 9 9 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 8 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 9 change change VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 10 superscript superscript NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 11 O o NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 12 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 13 H H NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 15 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 16 ϕ ϕ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 17 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 18 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 19 − − NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 20 ϕ ϕ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 21 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 22 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 23 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 24 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 25 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 26 incorrect incorrect JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 27 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 28 because because IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 29 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 30 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 31 individual individual JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 32 outside outside RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 33 may may MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 34 go go VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 35 through through IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 37 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 38 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 39 infect infect VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 40 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 41 large large JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 42 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 43 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 44 people people NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 45 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 46 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 47 within within IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 48 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 49 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 50 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 51 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 52 relatively relatively RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 53 few few JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 54 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 55 could could MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 56 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 57 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 59 58 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 1 so so IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 3 scope scope NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 4 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 5 spread spread VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 6 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 7 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 8 much much JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 60 9 reducedthis reducedthis . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 1 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 2 after after IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 3 all all PDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 5 rationale rationale NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 6 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 7 locking lock VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 8 down down RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 9 populations population NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 61 10 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 1 Without without IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 3 constraint constraint NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 4 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 6 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 7 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 8 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 9 imposed impose VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 10 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 12 household household NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 13 size size NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 15 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 16 single single JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 17 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 18 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 19 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 20 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 21 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 22 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 23 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 24 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 25 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 26 firing fire VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 27 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 28 transmissions transmission NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 29 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 30 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 31 - - : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 32 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 33 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 34 rate rate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 35 Thus thus RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 36 if if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 37 τ τ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 38 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 39 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 40 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 41 infective infective JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 42 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 43 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 44 during during IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 45 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 46 period period NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 47 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 62 48 infectivity infectivity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 1 each each DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 2 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 3 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 4 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 5 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 6 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 8 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 9 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 10 fire fire VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 11 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 12 Poisson(γ Poisson(γ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 13 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 15 t)τ t)τ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 17 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 19 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 20 towards towards IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 21 j j NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 22 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 23 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 24 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 25 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 26 therefore therefore RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 27 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 28 fire fire VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 29 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 30 possible possible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 31 Z z NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 32 ∼ ∼ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 63 33 Poisson(γ poisson(γ CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 1 i i PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 3 t)τ t)τ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 5 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 6 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 7 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 8 towards towards IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 9 all all DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 10 others other NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 11 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 12 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 13 γ γ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 14 i i PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 16 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 64 18 = = NFP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 65 1 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 65 2 γ γ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 65 3 ij ij NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 65 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 65 5 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 65 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 65 7 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 1 However however RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 2 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 4 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 6 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 7 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 8 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 9 strike strike VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 10 another another DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 11 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 12 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 13 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 14 exceed exceed VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 15 N N NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 16 − − NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 17 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 19 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 20 N n CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 21 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 22 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 23 size size NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 25 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 26 household household NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 27 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 28 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 29 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 30 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 31 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 32 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 33 individual individual JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 34 lives life NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 66 35 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 1 Data datum NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 2 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 4 Office Office NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 6 National National NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 7 Statistics Statistics NNPS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 8 allow allow VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 9 us -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 10 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 11 deduce deduce VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 12 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 13 distribution distribution NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 14 4 4 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 15 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 16 N n CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 67 17 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 2 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 3 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 4 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 5 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 6 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 7 whom whom WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 9 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 10 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 11 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 12 individual individual JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 13 fires fire NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 14 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 68 15 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 4 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 5 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 6 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 7 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 9 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 10 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 11 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 12 individual individual JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 13 could could MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 14 fire fire VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 15 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 16 others other NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 17 during during IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 18 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 19 period period NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 20 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 21 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 22 length length NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 23 τ τ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 24 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 25 so so RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 26 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 27 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 28 simply simply RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 29 suppose suppose VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 30 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 31 while while IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 32 infected infect VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 33 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 34 i i NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 35 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 36 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 37 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 38 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 39 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 40 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 41 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 42 firing fire VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 43 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 44 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 45 rate rate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 46 µ µ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 47 i i PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 48 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 49 t)/τ t)/τ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 69 50 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 1 An an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 2 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 3 fired fire VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 4 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 5 another another DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 6 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 7 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 8 supposed suppose VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 9 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 10 strike strike VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 11 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 12 j j NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 13 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 14 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 15 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 16 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 17 p p NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 18 H h NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 19 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 21 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 23 proportional proportional NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 24 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 25 m m NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 26 H h NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 27 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 29 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 30 − − NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 31 ϕ ϕ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 32 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 34 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 37 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 38 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 39 given give VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 40 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 41 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 42 strikes strike VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 43 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 44 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 45 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 46 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 47 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 48 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 49 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 50 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 51 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 52 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 53 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 54 results result NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 55 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 56 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 57 S S NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 58 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 59 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 60 t)/N t)/N NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 61 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 62 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 63 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 64 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 70 65 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 1 Thus thus RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 3 analogue analogue NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 4 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 6 9 9 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 8 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 9 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 10 infections infection NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 11 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 12 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 13 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 14 individuals individual NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 15 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 17 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 18 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 71 19 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 2 combine combine VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 3 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 4 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 5 give give VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 6 finally finally RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 8 Remark remark NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 72 9 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 1 These these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 2 assumptions assumption NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 3 represent represent VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 4 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 5 compromise compromise NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 6 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 7 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 8 honest honest JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 9 treatment treatment NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 11 what what WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 12 goes go VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 13 on on RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 14 within within IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 15 households household NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 16 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 17 appear appear VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 18 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 19 require require VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 20 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 21 decomposition decomposition NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 22 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 23 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 24 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 25 into into IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 26 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 27 according accord VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 28 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 29 different different JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 30 household household NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 31 compositions composition NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 32 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 33 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 34 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 35 meaning mean VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 37 size size NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 38 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 39 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 40 statespace statespace NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 41 gets get VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 42 out out IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 43 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 44 controlwhich controlwhich NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 45 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 46 render render VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 47 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 48 calculation calculation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 49 impractical impractical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 50 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 73 51 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 3 worth worth JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 4 emphasizing emphasize VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 5 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 6 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 7 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 8 just just RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 9 four four CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 10 controlling control VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 12 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 13 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 14 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 74 15 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 1 β β NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 2 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 4 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 5 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 6 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 7 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 8 results result VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 9 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 10 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 11 transmission transmission NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 12 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 13 p p NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 16 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 17 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 18 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 19 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 20 person person NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 21 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 22 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 23 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 24 ρ ρ ADD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 25 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 26 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 27 reciprocal reciprocal NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 28 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 29 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 30 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 31 infective infective JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 32 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 33 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 34 ε ε NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 35 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 37 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 38 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 39 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 40 removed remove VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 41 infective infective NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 42 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 43 still still RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 44 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 75 45 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 1 Other other JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 2 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 3 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 4 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 5 needed need VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 6 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 8 calculations calculation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 9 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 10 such such JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 11 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 12 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 13 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 14 numbers number NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 15 m m NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 16 O o NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 17 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 19 m m NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 20 H H NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 21 ij ij NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 22 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 23 contacts contact NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 24 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 25 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 26 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 27 found find VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 28 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 29 published publish VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 30 estimates estimate NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 76 31 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 1 There there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 2 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 3 three three CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 4 components component NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 5 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 7 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 8 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 10 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 11 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 13 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 15 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 16 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 17 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 18 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 20 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 22 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 23 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 24 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 77 25 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 78 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 78 2 take take VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 78 3 them -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 78 4 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 78 5 turn turn NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 78 6 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 1 There there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 2 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 3 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 4 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 5 normal normal JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 6 levelφ levelφ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 7 j j NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 8 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 10 proportion proportion NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 11 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 12 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 13 spent spend VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 14 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 15 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 16 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 17 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 18 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 19 outside outside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 21 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 22 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 23 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 24 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 25 purposes purpose NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 26 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 27 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 28 computations computation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 29 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 30 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 31 assumption assumption NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 32 here here RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 33 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 34 that that DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 35 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 37 112 112 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 38 waking wake VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 39 hours hour NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 40 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 41 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 42 week week NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 43 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 44 40 40 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 45 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 46 spent spend VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 47 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 48 school school NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 49 or or CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 50 work work NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 51 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 52 20 20 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 53 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 54 spent spend VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 55 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 56 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 57 activities activity NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 58 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 59 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 60 52 52 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 61 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 62 spent spend VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 63 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 64 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 65 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 66 makingφ makingφ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 67 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 68 equal equal JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 69 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 70 60/112 60/112 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 71 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 72 all all DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 73 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 74 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 79 75 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 1 If if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 2 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 3 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 4 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 5 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 6 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 7 locked lock VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 8 down down RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 9 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 10 level level NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 11 ϕ ϕ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 12 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 14 s s NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 16 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 17 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 18 s s NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 21 propose propose VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 22 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 23 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 24 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 25 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 26 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 27 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 28 should should MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 29 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 30 proportional proportional JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 80 31 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 1 For for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 2 constant constant JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 3 ϕ ϕ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 4 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 6 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 7 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 8 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 9 convex convex JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 10 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 11 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 13 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 14 seems seem VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 15 realistic realistic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 16 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 17 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 18 short short JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 19 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 21 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 22 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 23 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 24 public public JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 25 holiday holiday NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 27 causes cause VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 28 little little JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 29 damage damage NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 30 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 31 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 32 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 33 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 34 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 35 away away RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 36 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 37 regular regular JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 38 work work NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 39 stretches stretch VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 40 on on RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 41 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 42 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 43 damage damage NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 44 suffered suffer VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 45 increases increase NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 46 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 47 rapidly rapidly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 48 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 49 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 50 businesses business NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 51 collapse collapse VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 52 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 53 workers worker NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 54 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 55 made make VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 56 redundant redundant JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 81 57 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 2 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 3 consider consider VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 4 strategies strategy NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 5 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 6 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 7 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 8 0 0 NFP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 9 < < XX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 10 u u XX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 11 < < XX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 12 v v NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 14 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 15 may may MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 16 depend depend VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 17 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 18 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 20 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 21 ϕ ϕ NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 22 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 24 0 0 NFP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 26 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 27 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 28 initial initial JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 29 level level NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 30 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 31 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 32 applied apply VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 82 33 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 1 At at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 2 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 3 u u NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 4 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 5 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 6 starts start VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 7 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 8 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 9 relaxed relax VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 10 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 11 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 12 linear linear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 13 fashion fashion NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 15 being be VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 16 fully fully RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 17 relaxed relax VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 18 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 19 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 20 v. v. CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 21 Integrating Integrating NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 23 14 14 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 83 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 1 up up IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 2 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 3 v v LS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 4 gives give VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 6 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 7 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 8 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 9 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 10 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 11 individual individual JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 12 being be VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 13 locked lock VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 14 down down RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 15 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 16 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 17 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 18 constant constant JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 84 19 C. c. NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 1 If if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 3 think think VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 4 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 6 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 7 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 8 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 9 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 10 individual individual JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 11 being be VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 12 locked lock VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 13 down down RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 14 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 15 one one CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 16 year year NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 17 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 18 SC1 SC1 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 20 then then RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 22 constant constant NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 23 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 24 proportionality proportionality NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 25 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 27 16 16 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 29 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 30 fixed fix VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 31 so so IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 32 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 33 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 34 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 35 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 85 36 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 2 then then RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 3 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 4 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 5 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 6 summed sum VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 7 over over IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 8 all all PDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 10 members member NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 11 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 12 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 13 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 15 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 16 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 17 small small JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 18 reduction reduction NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 19 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 20 retired retire VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 21 people people NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 22 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 23 who who WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 24 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 25 presumably presumably RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 26 impact impact VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 27 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 28 economy economy NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 29 less less JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 30 if if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 31 they -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 32 were be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 33 prevented prevent VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 34 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 35 going go VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 36 out out RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 86 37 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 87 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 87 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 87 3 numerical numerical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 87 4 implementation implementation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 87 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 87 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 87 7 fix fix VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 87 8 v v . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 88 1 = = NFP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 89 1 u u NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 89 2 + + CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 89 3 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 1 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 2 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 3 reduces reduce VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 5 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 6 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 7 free free JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 9 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 10 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 11 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 12 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 13 case case NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 14 reflects reflect VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 16 realistic realistic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 17 situation situation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 18 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 19 once once IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 20 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 21 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 22 group group NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 23 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 24 freed free VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 25 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 26 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 27 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 28 restrictions restriction NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 29 they -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 30 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 31 quite quite RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 32 quickly quickly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 33 get get VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 34 back back RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 35 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 36 normal normal JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 37 activity activity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 90 38 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 1 Social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 2 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 3 imposes impose VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 4 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 5 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 6 public public JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 7 transport transport NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 8 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 9 have have VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 10 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 11 run run VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 12 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 13 reduced reduce VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 14 capacity capacity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 15 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 16 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 17 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 18 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 19 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 20 theatres theatre NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 91 21 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 1 But but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 2 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 3 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 4 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 5 steady steady JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 6 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 7 frictions friction NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 8 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 9 do do VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 10 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 11 keep keep VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 12 people people NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 13 away away RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 14 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 15 work work NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 16 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 17 months month NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 18 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 19 end end NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 92 20 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 1 If if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 3 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 4 distancing distance VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 5 policy policy NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 6 means mean VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 7 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 8 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 9 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 10 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 12 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 13 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 14 contacts contact NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 15 outside outside IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 17 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 18 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 19 reduced reduce VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 20 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 21 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 22 fraction fraction NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 23 SD(t SD(t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 25 ∈ ∈ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 27 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 28 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 29 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 31 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 32 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 33 normal normal JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 34 situation situation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 35 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 36 then then RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 37 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 38 propose propose VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 39 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 40 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 41 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 42 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 43 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 44 policy policy NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 45 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 46 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 47 t t NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 48 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 49 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 50 proportional proportional JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 51 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 93 52 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 2 form form NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 4 SD sd NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 5 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 6 available available JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 7 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 8 choose choose VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 9 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 10 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 11 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 12 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 13 computations computation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 15 suppose suppose VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 16 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 17 SD SD NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 18 rises rise VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 19 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 21 initial initial JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 22 value value NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 23 SD sd NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 24 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 25 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 26 final final JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 27 value value NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 28 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 29 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 30 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 31 piecewise piecewise JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 32 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 33 linear linear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 34 fashion fashion NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 35 through through IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 36 N n CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 37 SD SD NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 38 stages stage NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 94 39 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 2 allows allow VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 3 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 5 possibility possibility NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 6 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 7 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 8 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 9 could could MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 10 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 11 gradually gradually RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 12 relaxed relax VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 13 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 14 opening open VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 15 more more JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 16 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 17 more more JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 18 classes class NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 19 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 20 business business NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 21 or or CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 22 public public JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 23 assembly assembly NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 95 24 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 1 Thus thus RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 2 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 3 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 4 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 5 u u NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 6 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 8 SD SD NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 9 starts start VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 10 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 11 rise rise VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 12 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 13 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 14 first first JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 15 staged stage VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 16 value value NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 17 SD SD NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 18 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 19 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 20 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 21 v v NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 22 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 23 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 24 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 26 remains remain VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 27 until until IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 28 u u NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 29 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 30 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 31 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 32 there there RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 33 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 34 rises rise VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 35 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 37 next next JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 38 staged stage VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 39 value value NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 40 SD SD NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 41 2 2 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 42 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 43 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 44 v v NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 45 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 46 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 47 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 48 so so RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 49 on on RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 96 50 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 2 suppose suppose VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 3 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 5 levels level NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 6 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 8 stages stage NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 9 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 10 equally equally RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 11 spaced spaced JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 13 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 14 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 15 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 16 easily easily RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 17 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 18 altered alter VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 97 19 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 1 If if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 2 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 3 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 4 just just RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 5 one one CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 6 stage stage NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 9 policy policy NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 10 starts start VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 11 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 12 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 13 value value NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 14 SD sd NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 15 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 16 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 17 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 18 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 19 u u NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 20 starts start VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 21 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 22 rise rise VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 23 linearly linearly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 24 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 25 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 26 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 27 later later JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 28 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 29 v v NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 30 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 31 so so CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 32 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 33 overall overall JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 34 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 35 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 36 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 37 By by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 38 considering consider VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 39 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 40 effect effect NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 41 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 42 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 43 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 44 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 45 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 46 year year NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 47 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 48 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 49 fix fix VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 50 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 51 constant constant NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 52 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 53 give give VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 54 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 55 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 56 θ θ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 57 SD sd NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 58 ∈ ∈ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 59 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 60 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 61 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 62 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 63 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 64 expresses express VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 65 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 66 pain pain NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 67 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 68 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 69 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 70 relative relative JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 71 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 72 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 98 73 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 3 calculations calculation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 4 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 6 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 7 allow allow VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 9 profile profile NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 11 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 12 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 13 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 14 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 15 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 16 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 17 general general JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 18 piecewise piecewise JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 19 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 20 linear linear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 21 continuous continuous JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 22 functions function NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 23 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 24 permitting permit VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 25 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 26 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 27 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 28 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 29 relaxed relax VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 30 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 31 stages stage NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 32 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 33 held hold VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 34 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 35 intermediate intermediate JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 36 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 99 37 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 1 Making make VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 2 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 3 estimate estimate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 4 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 6 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 7 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 9 death death NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 11 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 12 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 13 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 14 ethically ethically RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 15 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 16 procedurally procedurally RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 17 quite quite PDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 18 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 19 vexed vexed JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 20 issue issue NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 100 21 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 1 For for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 3 purposes purpose NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 4 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 6 calculations calculation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 7 reported report VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 8 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 9 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 10 paper paper NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 11 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 12 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 13 default default NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 14 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 15 used use VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 16 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 17 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 18 Jupyter Jupyter NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 19 notebook notebook NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 20 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 22 assumption assumption NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 23 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 24 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 25 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 26 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 27 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 28 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 29 death death NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 30 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 31 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 32 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 33 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 34 proportional proportional JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 35 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 37 expected expect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 38 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 39 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 40 further further JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 41 years year NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 42 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 43 they -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 44 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 45 have have VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 46 lived live VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 47 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 48 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 49 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 50 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 51 constant constant NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 52 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 53 proportionality proportionality NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 54 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 55 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 56 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 57 same same JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 58 order order NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 59 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 60 SC1 SC1 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 61 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 62 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 63 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 64 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 65 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 66 individual individual JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 67 being be VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 68 locked lock VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 69 down down RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 70 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 71 one one CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 72 year year NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 101 73 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 1 So so RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 3 code code NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 4 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 5 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 6 parameter parameter NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 7 deathfactor deathfactor NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 8 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 9 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 10 used use VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 11 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 12 scale scale VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 13 SC1 SC1 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 14 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 16 calculations calculation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 102 17 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 3 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 4 part part NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 7 story story NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 8 however however RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 103 9 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 2 need need VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 3 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 4 calculate calculate VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 6 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 7 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 8 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 9 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 10 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 11 result result VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 12 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 13 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 14 particular particular JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 15 policy policy NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 16 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 17 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 18 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 19 comes come VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 20 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 22 calculated calculate VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 23 stream stream NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 25 removed remove VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 26 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 27 infectives infective NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 28 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 29 coming come VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 30 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 31 rate rate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 104 32 ρI ρI . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 1 j j NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 3 t t NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 5 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 6 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 7 group group NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 8 j. j. NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 9 Most Most JJS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 11 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 12 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 13 have have VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 14 recovered recover VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 15 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 16 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 17 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 18 percentage percentage NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 19 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 20 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 21 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 22 need need VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 23 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 24 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 25 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 26 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 27 those those DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 28 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 29 percentage percentage NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 30 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 31 need need VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 32 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 33 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 105 34 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 2 probabilities probability NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 3 depend depend VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 4 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 6 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 7 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 9 patient patient NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 11 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 12 older old JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 13 patients patient NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 14 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 15 much much RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 16 higher high JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 17 risk risk NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 18 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 19 estimates estimate NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 20 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 21 given give VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 22 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 24 8 8 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 26 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 27 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 28 quoted quote VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 29 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 31 3 3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 106 33 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 1 So so RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 3 calculate calculate VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 5 rate rate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 6 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 7 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 8 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 9 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 10 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 11 beds bed NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 12 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 13 required require VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 107 14 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 1 Based base VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 2 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 3 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 4 estimate estimate NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 5 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 7 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 8 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 9 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 10 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 11 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 12 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 13 patient patient NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 14 needs need VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 15 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 16 bed bed NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 18 taken take VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 19 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 20 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 21 20 20 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 22 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 24 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 25 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 26 knowing know VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 27 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 28 total total JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 29 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 30 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 31 available available JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 32 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 33 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 34 beds bed NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 35 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 36 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 37 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 38 keep keep VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 39 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 40 running running JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 41 count count NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 42 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 43 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 44 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 45 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 46 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 47 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 48 beds bed NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 49 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 50 use use NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 51 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 52 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 53 then then RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 54 see see VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 55 how how WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 56 many many JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 57 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 58 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 59 incoming incoming JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 60 patients patient NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 61 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 62 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 63 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 64 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 65 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 66 accommodated accommodate VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 108 67 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 1 Those those DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 2 who who WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 3 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 4 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 5 accommodated accommodate VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 6 survive survive VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 7 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 8 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 9 p p NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 10 cc cc NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 12 taken take VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 13 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 14 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 15 0.5 0.5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 17 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 18 those those DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 19 who who WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 20 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 21 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 22 are are VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 23 assumed assume VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 24 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 25 die die VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 109 26 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 3 assumed assume VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 4 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 5 younger young JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 6 patients patient NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 7 always always RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 8 take take VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 9 priority priority NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 10 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 11 allocating allocate VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 12 limited limited JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 13 resources resource NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 110 14 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 2 code code NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 3 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 4 built build VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 5 around around IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 7 data data NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 8 assumptions assumption NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 9 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 11 3 3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 13 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 14 who who WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 15 use use VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 16 nine nine CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 17 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 18 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 20 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 21 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 22 9 9 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 23 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 24 10 10 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 25 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 26 19 19 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 27 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 28 20 20 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 29 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 30 29 29 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 31 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 32 30 30 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 33 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 34 39 39 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 35 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 36 40 40 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 37 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 38 49 49 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 39 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 40 50 50 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 41 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 42 59 59 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 43 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 44 60 60 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 45 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 46 69 69 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 47 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 48 70 70 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 49 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 50 79 79 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 51 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 52 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 53 80 80 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 54 + + NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 111 55 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 2 probabilities probability NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 4 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 5 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 6 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 7 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 8 need need NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 9 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 10 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 11 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 12 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 13 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 14 estimated estimate VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 15 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 16 Verity Verity NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 17 et et NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 18 al al NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 112 19 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 113 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 113 2 8 8 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 113 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 113 4 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 2 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 3 numbers number NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 4 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 5 these these DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 6 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 7 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 8 come come VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 9 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 10 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 11 Statista Statista NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 12 web web NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 13 site site NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 15 https://www.statista.com/topics/755/uk/ https://www.statista.com/topics/755/uk/ CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 114 17 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 2 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 4 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 5 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 6 beds bed NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 7 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 8 England England NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 9 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 10 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 11 end end NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 12 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 13 2019 2019 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 14 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 15 around around RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 16 4100 4100 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 17 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 18 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 19 around around RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 20 11000 11000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 21 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 22 planned plan VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 23 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 24 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 25 emergency emergency NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 26 Nightingale Nightingale NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 27 hospitals hospital NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 28 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 29 so so IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 30 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 31 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 32 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 33 figure figure NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 34 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 35 took take VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 36 12500 12500 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 37 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 38 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 39 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 40 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 115 41 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 2 mean mean JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 4 period period NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 5 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 6 taken take VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 7 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 8 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 9 7 7 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 10 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 11 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 12 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 13 line line NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 14 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 15 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 16 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 18 3 3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 20 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 21 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 23 seems seem VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 24 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 25 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 26 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 27 highly highly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 28 variable variable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 116 29 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 1 Various various JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 2 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 3 were be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 4 tried try VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 5 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 6 p p NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 9 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 11 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 12 infected infected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 13 person person NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 14 being be VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 16 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 17 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 18 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 19 baseline baseline NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 20 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 21 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 22 parameter parameter NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 23 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 24 0.3 0.3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 117 25 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 1 Infectivity infectivity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 2 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 3 taken take VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 4 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 5 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 6 2.4 2.4 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 8 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 9 line line NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 10 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 11 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 12 proposed propose VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 13 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 15 3 3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 17 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 18 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 19 again again RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 20 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 21 appears appear VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 22 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 23 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 24 quite quite PDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 25 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 26 wide wide JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 27 range range NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 28 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 29 possible possible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 30 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 31 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 32 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 33 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 34 see see VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 35 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 36 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 37 4 4 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 118 39 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 119 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 119 2 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 119 3 matrix matrix NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 119 4 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 1 m m NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 2 O o NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 3 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 4 m m NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 5 H H NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 6 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 7 derived derive VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 8 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 10 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 12 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 13 they -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 14 work work VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 15 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 16 different different JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 17 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 18 ranges range NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 20 so so IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 21 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 22 pre pre JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 23 - - JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 24 processing processing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 25 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 26 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 27 data datum NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 28 had have VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 29 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 30 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 31 done do VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 32 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 33 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 34 code code NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 35 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 36 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 37 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 38 available available JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 39 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 40 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 41 author author NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 42 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 43 request request NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 120 44 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 2 code code NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 3 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 5 calculations calculation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 6 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 7 written write VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 8 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 9 Python Python NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 11 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 12 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 13 available available JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 14 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 16 Jupyter Jupyter NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 17 notebooks notebook VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 18 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 19 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 20 reader reader NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 21 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 22 scrutinize scrutinize VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 23 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 24 experiment experiment VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 25 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 121 26 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 2 first first JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 3 approach approach NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 4 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 5 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 6 take take VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 8 objective objective NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 9 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 10 minimize minimize VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 11 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 12 using use VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 13 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 14 Scipy Scipy NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 15 routine routine JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 16 minimize minimize NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 17 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 18 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 19 acts act VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 20 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 21 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 22 wrapper wrapper NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 23 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 24 fourteen fourteen CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 25 different different JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 26 methods method NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 27 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 28 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 29 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 30 few few JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 31 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 32 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 33 were be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 34 possibilities possibility NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 35 due due JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 36 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 37 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 38 constrained constrained JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 39 nature nature NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 40 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 41 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 42 problem problem NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 122 43 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 2 only only JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 3 routine routine NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 4 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 5 managed manage VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 6 acceptable acceptable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 7 runtimes runtime NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 8 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 9 SLSQP SLSQP NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 11 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 13 turned turn VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 14 out out RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 15 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 16 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 17 virtually virtually RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 18 all all DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 19 randomly randomly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 20 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 21 chosen choose VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 22 starting starting NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 23 points point NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 24 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 25 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 26 end end NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 27 point point NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 28 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 29 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 30 same same JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 31 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 32 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 33 start start NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 123 34 point point NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 1 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 2 so so RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 3 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 4 suggested suggest VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 6 method method NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 7 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 8 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 9 used use VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 10 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 12 Jupyter Jupyter NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 13 notebook notebook NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 15 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 16 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 17 simply simply RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 18 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 19 randomly randomly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 20 generate generate VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 21 control control NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 22 rules rule NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 23 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 24 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 25 form form NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 26 discussed discuss VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 27 above above RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 28 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 29 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 30 focus focus VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 31 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 32 those those DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 33 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 34 do do VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 35 best good JJS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 124 36 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 3 of of RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 4 course course NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 5 impossible impossible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 6 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 7 present present VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 8 more more JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 9 than than IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 10 just just RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 11 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 12 few few JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 13 cases case NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 15 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 17 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 18 explain explain VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 19 what what WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 21 default default NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 22 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 23 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 24 all all PDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 25 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 26 relevant relevant JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 27 parameters parameter NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 28 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 29 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 30 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 31 then then RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 32 show show VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 33 how how WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 34 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 35 outputs output NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 36 vary vary VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 37 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 38 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 39 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 40 As as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 41 initial initial JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 42 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 43 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 44 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 45 assume assume VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 46 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 47 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 48 50 50 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 49 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 50 infecteds infected NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 51 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 52 each each DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 53 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 54 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 55 9 9 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 56 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 57 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 58 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 125 59 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 1 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 2 initial initial JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 3 vector vector NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 4 ϕ ϕ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 5 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 6 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 7 ϕ ϕ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 8 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 126 9 = = NFP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 2 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 3 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 4 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 6 10 10 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 8 10 10 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 9 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 10 10 10 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 11 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 12 10 10 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 13 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 14 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 15 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 16 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 17 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 18 5 5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 127 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 1 * * NFP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 2 φ/100 φ/100 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 3 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 4 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 7 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 8 supposed suppose VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 9 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 10 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 11 less less RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 12 severe severe JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 13 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 15 older old JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 16 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 17 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 19 so so IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 21 use use VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 22 qcost qcost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 23 = = : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 25 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 26 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 27 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 28 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 29 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 30 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 31 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 32 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 33 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 34 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 35 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 36 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 37 0.5 0.5 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 38 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 39 0.25 0.25 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 40 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 41 0.1 0.1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 128 42 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 1 * * NFP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 2 SC1 SC1 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 3 As as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 4 mentioned mention VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 5 before before RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 6 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 8 took take VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 10 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 11 Nbeds Nbeds NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 12 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 13 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 14 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 15 beds bed NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 16 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 17 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 18 12500 12500 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 129 19 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 2 ran run VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 4 calculation calculation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 5 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 6 900 900 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 7 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 9 except except IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 10 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 12 do do VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 13 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 14 nothing nothing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 15 example example NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 16 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 17 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 18 ran run VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 19 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 20 200 200 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 21 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 130 23 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 2 insisted insist VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 3 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 5 ends end VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 6 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 7 all all DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 8 but but IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 10 oldest old JJS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 11 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 12 group group NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 14 80 80 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 15 + + SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 17 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 18 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 19 400 400 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 20 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 21 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 23 imposed impose VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 24 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 25 condition condition NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 26 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 27 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 28 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 29 reaches reach VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 30 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 31 end end NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 32 value value NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 33 S s NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 34 end end NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 35 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 36 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 37 840 840 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 131 38 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 2 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 3 base base NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 4 case case NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 7 shall shall MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 8 take take VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 9 SD sd NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 10 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 11 = = SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 12 0.995 0.995 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 13 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 14 ϕ ϕ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 15 0 0 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 16 = = SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 17 φ φ NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 19 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 20 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 22 situation situation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 23 where where WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 24 no no DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 25 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 26 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 27 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 28 no no DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 29 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 30 happens happen VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 132 31 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 1 There there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 2 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 3 86,000 86,000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 4 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 6 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 7 using use VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 9 proposed propose VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 10 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 13 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 14 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 15 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 16 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 17 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 18 16bn 16bn JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 21 cost cost NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 22 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 23 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 24 disruption disruption NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 25 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 26 0.26bn 0.26bn CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 133 27 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 2 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 3 scenario scenario NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 4 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 7 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 8 short short JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 9 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 10 massive massive JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 11 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 12 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 14 see see VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 15 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 16 Figure figure NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 17 1 1 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 19 everything everything NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 20 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 21 over over RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 22 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 23 about about RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 24 100 100 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 25 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 26 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 27 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 28 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 29 peak peak NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 30 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 31 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 32 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 33 daily daily JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 34 cases case NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 35 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 36 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 37 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 38 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 39 25,000 25,000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 40 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 41 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 42 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 43 hospital hospital NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 44 admissions admission NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 45 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 46 almost almost RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 47 120,000 120,000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 134 48 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 1 Figure figure NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 2 2 2 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 3 shows show VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 4 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 6 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 7 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 8 provision provision NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 9 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 10 completely completely RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 11 swamped swamped JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 13 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 14 nearly nearly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 15 70,000 70,000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 16 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 17 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 18 cases case NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 19 unable unable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 20 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 21 get get VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 22 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 23 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 24 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 25 bed bed NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 26 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 27 therefore therefore RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 28 dying die VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 29 without without IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 30 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 31 necessary necessary JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 32 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 135 33 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 3 hard hard JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 4 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 5 imagine imagine VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 6 how how WRB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 7 such such PDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 8 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 9 scenario scenario NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 10 could could MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 11 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 12 thought think VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 13 acceptable acceptable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 14 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 136 15 _SP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 2 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 3 scenario scenario NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 4 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 5 fairly fairly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 6 tight tight JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 8 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 9 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 10 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 11 measure measure NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 12 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 13 applied apply VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 14 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 15 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 16 beginning beginning NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 17 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 18 gradually gradually RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 19 relaxed relaxed JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 137 20 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 2 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 5 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 6 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 7 distancing distance VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 8 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 9 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 10 amount amount NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 11 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 12 146bn 146bn NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 13 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 15 death death NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 16 costs cost VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 17 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 18 4.4bn 4.4bn CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 20 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 22 total total JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 23 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 25 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 26 was be VBD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 27 16,100 16,100 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 138 28 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 2 load load NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 4 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 5 cases case NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 6 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 7 much much RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 8 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 9 manageable manageable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 11 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 12 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 13 peak peak NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 14 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 15 just just RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 16 over over IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 17 2,200 2,200 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 18 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 19 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 20 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 21 cases case NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 22 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 23 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 24 about about RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 25 16,000 16,000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 26 new new JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 27 cases case NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 28 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 29 all all DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 139 30 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 1 All all DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 2 but but IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 4 two two CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 5 oldest old JJS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 6 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 7 groups group NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 8 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 9 out out IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 12 within within IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 13 100 100 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 14 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 15 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 16 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 17 looking look VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 18 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 19 Figure figure NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 20 4 4 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 21 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 22 see see VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 23 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 24 even even RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 25 after after IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 26 800 800 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 27 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 28 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 30 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 31 far far RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 32 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 33 over over RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 34 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 35 once once RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 37 oldest old JJS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 38 group group NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 39 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 40 let let VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 41 out out IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 42 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 43 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 44 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 45 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 46 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 47 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 48 come come VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 49 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 50 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 51 end end NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 52 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 53 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 54 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 55 starts start VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 56 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 57 take take VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 58 off off RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 59 again again RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 140 60 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 1 Most most RBS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 2 worrying worrying JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 3 here here RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 4 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 5 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 6 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 7 500 500 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 8 days day NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 9 on on RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 11 every every DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 12 single single JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 13 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 14 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 15 bed bed NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 16 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 17 taken take VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 18 by by IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 19 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 20 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 21 patient patient NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 22 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 23 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 24 thousands thousand NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 25 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 26 elderly elderly JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 27 patients patient NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 28 needing need VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 29 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 30 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 31 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 32 bed bed NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 33 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 34 unable unable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 35 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 36 obtain obtain VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 37 one one CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 141 38 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 2 supports support VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 4 proposition proposition NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 5 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 6 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 7 form form NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 8 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 9 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 10 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 11 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 12 have have VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 13 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 14 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 15 maintained maintain VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 16 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 17 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 18 very very RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 19 long long JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 20 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 21 if if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 22 no no DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 23 treatment treatment NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 24 or or CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 25 vaccine vaccine NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 26 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 27 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 28 found find VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 142 29 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 1 Next next RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 3 see see VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 4 what what WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 5 happens happen VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 6 if if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 7 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 8 fact fact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 10 infectivity infectivity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 11 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 12 higher high JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 13 than than IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 15 middle middle JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 16 case case NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 17 value value NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 19 2.4 2.4 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 20 suggested suggest VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 21 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 23 3 3 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 143 25 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 2 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 3 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 5 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 6 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 7 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 8 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 9 remain remain VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 10 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 11 around around IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 12 146bn 146bn CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 13 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 14 death death NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 15 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 16 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 17 about about IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 18 8.5bn 8.5bn CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 20 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 22 total total JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 23 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 24 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 25 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 26 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 27 38,700 38,700 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 144 28 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 2 general general JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 3 picture picture NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 4 looks look VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 5 like like IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 7 previous previous JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 8 situation situation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 9 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 10 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 11 accentuated accentuate VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 12 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 13 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 14 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 15 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 16 clear clear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 17 second second JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 18 surge surge NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 19 after after IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 20 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 21 oldest old JJS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 22 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 23 group group NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 24 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 25 released release VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 26 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 27 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 28 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 29 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 30 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 31 25,000 25,000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 32 die die VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 33 without without IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 34 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 35 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 36 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 37 they -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 38 need need VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 39 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 40 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 41 hospitals hospital NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 42 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 43 submerged submerge VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 44 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 45 cases case NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 145 46 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 2 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 3 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 4 saturation saturation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 7 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 8 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 9 facilities facility NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 10 begins begin VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 11 around around IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 12 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 13 600 600 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 14 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 15 keeps keep VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 16 going go VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 146 17 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 1 Even even RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 2 maintaining maintain VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 3 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 4 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 5 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 6 90 90 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 7 % % NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 8 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 9 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 10 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 11 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 12 hold hold VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 13 back back RP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 16 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 17 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 18 longer long JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 19 run run NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 147 20 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 1 If if IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 2 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 3 probability probability NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 4 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 5 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 6 infective infective NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 7 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 8 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 9 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 10 reduced reduce VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 11 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 12 0.2 0.2 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 13 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 15 outcome outcome NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 16 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 17 improved improve VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 19 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 20 death death NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 21 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 22 around around IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 23 4.2bn 4.2bn CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 24 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 25 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 26 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 27 little little RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 28 changed changed JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 29 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 30 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 31 total total JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 32 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 33 reduced reduce VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 34 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 35 17,500 17,500 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 148 36 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 1 Figure figure NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 2 _SP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 3 7 7 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 4 shows show VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 5 two two CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 6 pronounced pronounce VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 7 peaks peak NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 8 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 9 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 10 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 11 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 12 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 13 second second JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 14 again again RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 15 coinciding coincide VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 16 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 17 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 18 final final JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 19 relaxation relaxation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 20 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 21 restrictions restriction NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 149 22 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 2 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 3 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 4 capacity capacity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 5 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 6 saturates saturate VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 7 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 8 around around RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 9 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 10 650 650 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 11 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 12 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 150 13 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 2 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 3 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 4 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 5 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 6 smaller small JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 7 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 8 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 9 manageable manageable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 10 scale scale NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 11 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 12 peak peak NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 13 admissions admission NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 14 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 15 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 16 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 17 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 18 just just RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 19 over over IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 20 600 600 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 21 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 22 peak peak JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 23 hospital hospital NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 24 admissions admission NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 25 just just RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 26 over over IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 27 4000 4000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 151 28 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 3 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 4 surprising surprising JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 5 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 6 since since IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 8 proportion proportion NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 9 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 10 those those DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 11 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 12 who who WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 13 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 14 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 16 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 17 therefore therefore RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 18 open open JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 19 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 20 possible possible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 21 complications complication NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 23 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 24 lower low JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 152 25 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 1 However however RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 2 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 3 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 4 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 5 more more RBR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 6 undetected undetected JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 8 infecteds infected NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 9 going go VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 10 about about IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 11 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 12 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 13 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 15 so so CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 17 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 19 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 20 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 21 higher high JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 22 than than IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 23 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 24 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 25 base base NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 26 case case NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 27 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 28 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 29 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 30 clear clear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 31 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 32 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 33 pictures picture NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 34 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 35 towards towards IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 37 end end NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 38 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 39 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 40 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 41 beginning begin VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 42 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 43 get get VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 44 out out IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 45 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 46 control control NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 153 47 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 1 In in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 2 this this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 3 scenario scenario NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 4 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 6 find find VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 8 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 9 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 10 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 11 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 12 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 13 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 14 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 15 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 16 reduced reduce VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 17 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 18 124bn 124bn NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 20 death death NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 21 costs cost NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 22 around around IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 23 5.7bn 5.7bn CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 154 24 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 155 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 155 2 number number NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 155 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 155 4 deaths death NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 155 5 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 155 6 22,700 22,700 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 155 7 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 1 What what WP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 3 most most RBS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 4 clear clear JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 5 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 6 Figure Figure NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 7 10 10 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 8 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 9 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 10 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 12 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 13 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 14 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 15 70 70 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 16 - - SYM cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 17 79 79 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 18 age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 19 group group NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 20 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 21 released release VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 22 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 23 lockdown lockdown NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 24 around around IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 25 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 26 200 200 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 27 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 28 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 30 gradually gradually RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 31 gets get VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 32 more more JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 33 out out IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 34 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 35 control control NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 36 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 37 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 38 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 39 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 40 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 41 full full JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 42 stretch stretch NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 43 from from IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 44 day day NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 45 450 450 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 46 onwards onwards RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 47 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 48 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 49 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 50 numbers number NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 51 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 52 older old JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 53 patients patient NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 54 needing need VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 55 critical critical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 56 care care NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 57 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 58 dying die VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 59 without without IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 60 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 61 growing grow VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 62 10,000 10,000 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 63 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 64 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 65 end end NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 66 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 67 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 68 run run NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 156 69 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 1 Of of RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 2 course course RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 3 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 5 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 6 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 7 possible possible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 8 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 9 display display VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 10 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 11 few few JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 12 examples example NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 13 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 14 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 15 barely barely RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 16 begins begin VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 17 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 18 explore explore VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 19 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 20 diversity diversity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 21 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 22 behaviour behaviour NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 23 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 24 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 25 arise arise VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 26 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 27 parameters parameter NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 28 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 29 varied varied JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 157 30 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 4 purpose purpose NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 7 Jupyter Jupyter NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 8 notebook notebook NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 9 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 10 can can MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 11 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 12 found find VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 13 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 14 https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1tbB47uSGIA0WehY-hvIYgdO0mpnZU5A8 https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1tbB47uSGIA0WehY-hvIYgdO0mpnZU5A8 NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 15 6 6 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 16 Conclusions Conclusions NNPS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 158 17 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 2 paper paper NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 3 offers offer VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 4 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 5 simple simple JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 6 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 7 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 8 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 9 current current JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 12 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 13 no no DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 14 account account NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 15 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 16 taken take VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 17 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 18 spatial spatial JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 19 effects effect NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 20 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 21 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 22 could could MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 23 make make VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 24 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 25 big big JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 26 difference difference NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 27 to to IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 28 any any DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 29 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 159 30 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 2 treatment treatment NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 5 spread spread NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 6 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 7 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 8 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 9 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 10 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 11 home home NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 12 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 13 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 14 approximation approximation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 15 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 16 plausibly plausibly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 17 based base VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 18 perhaps perhaps RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 20 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 21 still still RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 22 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 23 approximation approximation NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 160 24 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 2 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 3 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 4 modelling modelling NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 5 assumptions assumption NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 6 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 7 simple simple JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 8 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 9 compact compact JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 10 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 11 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 12 permit permit VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 13 rapid rapid JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 14 exploration exploration NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 15 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 16 possible possible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 17 responses response NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 19 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 20 non non JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 21 - - JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 22 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 23 nature nature NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 161 24 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 2 calculations calculation NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 3 require require VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 4 assumptions assumption NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 5 about about IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 6 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 7 initial initial JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 8 state state NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 9 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 10 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 12 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 13 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 14 essentially essentially RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 15 guessed guess VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 162 16 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 1 Even even RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 2 coming come VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 3 into into IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 4 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 6 once once IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 8 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 9 under under IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 10 way way NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 11 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 13 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 14 be be VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 15 hard hard JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 16 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 17 get get VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 18 reliable reliable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 19 values value NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 20 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 21 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 22 numbers number NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 23 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 24 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 25 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 26 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 27 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 28 immune immune JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 29 people people NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 30 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 31 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 32 population population NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 33 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 34 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 35 least least JJS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 36 because because IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 37 there there EX cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 38 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 39 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 40 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 41 time time NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 42 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 43 writing write VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 44 no no DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 45 test test NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 46 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 47 determine determine VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 48 whether whether IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 49 someone someone NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 50 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 51 had have VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 52 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 53 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 54 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 55 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 56 now now RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 57 immune immune JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 58 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 59 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 60 only only RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 61 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 62 rather rather RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 63 unreliable unreliable JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 64 test test NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 65 whether whether IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 66 an an DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 67 individual individual NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 68 currently currently RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 69 has have VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 70 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 71 infection infection NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 163 72 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 164 1 No no DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 164 2 account account NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 164 3 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 164 4 taken take VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 164 5 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 164 6 parameter parameter NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 164 7 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 164 8 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 1 This this DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 3 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 4 natural natural JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 5 area area NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 6 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 7 enquiry enquiry NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 8 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 9 but but CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 10 at at IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 11 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 12 moment moment NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 14 seems seem VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 15 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 16 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 17 data datum NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 18 that that WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 19 would would MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 20 support support VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 21 strong strong JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 22 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 23 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 24 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 25 yet yet RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 26 available available JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 165 27 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 1 As as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 3 seems seem VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 4 that that IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 5 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 6 key key JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 8 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 9 known know VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 10 with with IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 11 very very RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 12 little little JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 13 precision precision NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 14 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 15 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 16 highly highly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 17 detailed detailed JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 18 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 19 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 20 or or CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 21 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 22 sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 23 story story NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 24 about about IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 25 statistical statistical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 26 inference inference NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 27 may may MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 28 help help VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 29 less less JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 30 than than IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 31 some some DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 32 rough rough JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 33 exploration exploration NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 34 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 35 possible possible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 36 parameter parameter NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 37 combinations combination NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 38 ; ; : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 39 as as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 40 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 41 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 42 evolves evolve VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 43 around around IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 44 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 45 world world NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 46 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 47 we -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 48 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 49 undoubtedly undoubtedly RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 50 learn learn VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 51 more more JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 52 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 53 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 54 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 55 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 56 which which WDT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 57 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 58 allow allow VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 59 us -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 60 better well JJR cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 61 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 62 control control VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 63 it -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 166 64 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 1 Infectious infectious JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 2 diseases disease NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 3 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 4 humans human NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 5 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 7 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 8 control control NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 9 Networks network NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 10 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 11 queues queue NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 12 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 13 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 14 method method NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 15 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 16 stages stage NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 17 Impact Impact NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 19 non non JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 20 - - JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 21 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 22 interventions intervention NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 24 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 167 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-151198-4fjya9wn 168 1 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 168 2 reduce reduce VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 168 3 covid19 covid19 JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 168 4 mortality mortality NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 168 5 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 168 6 healthcare healthcare NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 168 7 demand demand NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 1 Early early JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 2 transmission transmission NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 3 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 4 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 5 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 6 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 7 China China NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 8 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 9 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 10 novel novel JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 11 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 12 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 13 infected infect VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 169 14 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 1 Projecting project VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 2 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 3 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 4 matrices matrix NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 5 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 6 152 152 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 7 countries country NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 8 using use VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 9 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 10 surveys survey NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 11 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 12 demographic demographic JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 13 data datum NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 14 Age age NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 15 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 16 structured structure VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 17 impact impact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 18 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 19 social social JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 20 distancing distancing NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 21 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 22 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 23 covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 25 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 26 India India NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 27 Social Social NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 28 contact contact NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 29 patterns pattern NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 30 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 31 control control NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 32 strategies strategy NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 33 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 34 influenza influenza NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 35 in in IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 36 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 37 elderly elderly JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 38 Estimates estimate NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 39 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 40 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 41 severity severity NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 42 of of IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 43 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 44 disease disease NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 45 2019 2019 CD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 46 : : : cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 47 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 48 model model NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 49 - - HYPH cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 50 based base VBN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 51 analysis analysis NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 170 52 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 171 1 The the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 171 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 171 3 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 171 4 Diseases disease NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 2 is be VBZ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 3 a a DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 4 pleasure pleasure NN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 5 to to TO cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 6 thank thank VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 7 Josef Josef NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 8 Teichmann Teichmann NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 9 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 10 Kalvis Kalvis NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 11 Jansons Jansons NNPS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 12 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 13 Ronojoy Ronojoy NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 14 Adhikari Adhikari NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 15 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 16 Rob Rob NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 17 Jack Jack NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 18 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 19 Philip Philip NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 20 Ernst Ernst NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 21 and and CC cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 22 Mike Mike NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 23 Cates Cates NNP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 24 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 25 illuminating illuminate VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 26 discussions discussion NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 172 27 . . . cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 1 As as IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 2 economists economist NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 3 will will MD cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 4 insist insist VB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 5 on on IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 6 noting note VBG cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 7 , , , cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 8 they -PRON- PRP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 9 are be VBP cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 10 not not RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 11 responsible responsible JJ cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 12 for for IN cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 13 the the DT cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 14 errors error NNS cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 15 herein herein RB cord-151198-4fjya9wn 173 16 . . .