id sid tid token lemma pos cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 1 key key JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 2 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 3 cord-181220-gr29zq1o cord-181220-gr29zq1o JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 4 authors author NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 5 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 6 Ghosh Ghosh NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 8 Subhas Subhas NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 9 Kumar Kumar NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 10 ; ; : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 11 Ghosh Ghosh NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 12 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 13 Sachchit Sachchit NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 14 ; ; : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 15 Narumanchi Narumanchi NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 17 Sai Sai NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 18 Shanmukha Shanmukha NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 19 title title NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 20 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 21 A a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 22 Study Study NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 23 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 24 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 25 Effectiveness Effectiveness NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 26 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 27 Lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 28 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 29 down down RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 30 Measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 31 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 1 32 Control control VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 2 Spread Spread NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 3 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 4 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 5 date date NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 6 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 7 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 8 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 9 08 08 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 10 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 11 09 09 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 12 journal journal NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 2 13 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 3 1 nan nan NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 3 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 3 3 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 3 4 nan nan NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 3 5 sha sha NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 3 6 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 4 1 4363c30edd76cae8502e27febfdb7eded7441d41 4363c30edd76cae8502e27febfdb7eded7441d41 LS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 4 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 4 3 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 4 4 181220 181220 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 5 1 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 5 2 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 5 3 gr29zq1o gr29zq1o NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 2 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 3 pandemic pandemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 5 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 6 disease disease NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 7 2019 2019 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 8 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 9 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 13 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 14 caused cause VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 15 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 16 Severe severe JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 17 Acute acute JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 18 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 19 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 20 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 6 21 2 2 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 7 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 7 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 7 3 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 7 4 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 7 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 7 6 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 1 This this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 2 pathogenic pathogenic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 3 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 4 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 5 able able JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 6 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 7 spread spread VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 8 asymptotically asymptotically RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 9 during during IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 10 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 11 incubation incubation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 12 stage stage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 13 through through IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 14 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 15 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 16 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 8 17 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 1 Given give VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 3 state state NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 5 healthcare healthcare NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 6 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 7 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 8 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 9 urged urge VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 10 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 11 contain contain VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 13 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 14 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 15 infection infection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 17 minimize minimize VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 18 stress stress NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 19 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 20 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 21 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 22 systems system NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 23 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 24 ensure ensure VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 25 public public JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 26 safety safety NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 9 27 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 1 Most Most JJS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 2 effective effective JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 3 tool tool NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 4 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 5 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 6 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 7 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 8 disposal disposal NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 9 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 10 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 11 close close VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 12 non non JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 13 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 14 essential essential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 15 business business NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 16 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 17 issue issue VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 18 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 19 stay stay NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 20 home home NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 21 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 10 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 2 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 3 paper paper NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 5 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 6 techniques technique NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 7 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 8 measure measure VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 10 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 11 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 12 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 13 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 14 adopted adopt VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 15 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 16 governments government NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 17 across across IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 18 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 19 world world NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 11 20 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 1 Analyzing analyze VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 2 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 3 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 4 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 5 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 6 like like IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 7 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 8 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 9 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 10 allows allow VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 11 us -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 12 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 13 understand understand VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 14 whether whether IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 15 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 16 decisions decision NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 17 made make VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 18 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 19 optimal optimal JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 20 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 21 resulted result VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 22 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 23 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 24 reduction reduction NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 25 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 26 burden burden NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 27 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 28 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 29 healthcare healthcare NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 30 system system NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 12 31 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 2 specific specific JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 4 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 5 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 6 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 7 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 8 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 9 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 10 construct construct VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 11 alternative alternative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 12 scenarios scenario NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 13 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 14 understand understand VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 15 what what WP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 16 would would MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 17 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 18 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 19 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 20 effect effect NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 21 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 22 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 23 if if IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 24 less less RBR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 25 stringent stringent JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 26 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 27 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 28 adopted adopt VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 13 29 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 2 present present VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 3 analysis analysis NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 4 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 5 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 6 State State NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 8 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 9 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 10 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 11 United United NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 12 States States NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 13 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 14 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 16 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 17 Indian indian JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 18 capital capital NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 19 city city NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 20 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 21 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 22 show show VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 23 how how WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 24 lock lock VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 25 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 26 down down RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 27 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 28 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 29 helped help VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 30 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 31 what what WP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 32 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 33 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 34 scenarios scenario NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 35 would would MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 36 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 37 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 38 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 39 comparison comparison NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 40 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 41 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 42 current current JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 43 state state NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 44 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 45 affairs affair NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 14 46 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 2 show show VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 3 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 4 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 5 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 6 State State NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 8 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 9 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 11 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 13 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 14 could could MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 15 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 16 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 17 6 6 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 18 times time NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 19 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 20 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 21 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 22 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 23 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 24 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 25 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 26 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 27 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 28 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 29 could could MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 30 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 31 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 32 3 3 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 33 times time NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 34 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 35 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 36 26th 26th NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 37 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 38 June June NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 39 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 40 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 15 41 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 2 December December NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 3 2019 2019 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 5 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 7 occurred occur VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 8 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 9 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 10 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 11 China China NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 12 involving involve VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 13 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 14 zoonotic zoonotic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 15 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 17 similar similar JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 18 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 19 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 20 SARS SARS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 21 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 22 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 23 MERS MERS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 24 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 25 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 16 26 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 2 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 3 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 4 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 5 named name VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 6 Severe Severe NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 7 Acute acute JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 8 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 9 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 10 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 17 11 2 2 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 3 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 4 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 6 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 7 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 9 disease disease NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 10 caused cause VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 11 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 13 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 14 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 15 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 16 named name VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 18 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 19 disease disease NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 20 2019 2019 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 18 21 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 1 Since since IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 2 then then RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 3 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 4 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 5 pandemic pandemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 6 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 7 infected infect VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 8 more more JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 9 than than IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 10 9 9 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 11 million million CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 12 people people NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 13 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 14 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 15 caused cause VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 16 more more JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 17 than than IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 18 467 467 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 19 thousand thousand CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 20 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 21 worldwide worldwide RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 19 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 1 Since since IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 3 initial initial JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 5 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 6 several several JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 7 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 8 studies study NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 9 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 10 tried try VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 11 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 12 estimate estimate VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 13 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 14 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 15 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 16 infections infection NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 17 2 2 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 18 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 19 stem stem VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 20 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 21 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 22 single single JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 23 infected infected JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 24 patient patient NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 25 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 26 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 27 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 28 predict predict VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 29 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 30 potential potential NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 31 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 32 transmission transmission NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 33 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 34 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 35 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 36 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 20 37 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 2 most most JJS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 3 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 6 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 7 seen see VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 8 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 9 R r NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 10 0 0 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 11 > > SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 12 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 13 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 14 implying imply VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 15 exponential exponential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 16 growth growth NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 17 through through IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 18 infection infection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 19 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 20 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 21 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 22 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 21 23 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 1 Original original JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 3 placed place VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 4 mortality mortality NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 5 rates rate NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 6 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 7 individuals individual NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 8 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 9 high high JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 10 risk risk NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 11 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 12 4.46 4.46 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 13 % % NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 14 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 15 those those DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 16 suffering suffer VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 17 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 18 cardiovascular cardiovascular JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 19 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 20 kidney kidney NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 21 disease disease NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 22 having have VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 23 even even RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 24 greater great JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 25 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 26 3 3 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 22 27 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 3 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 4 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 5 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 6 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 7 no no DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 8 available available JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 9 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 10 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 11 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 12 pathways pathway NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 13 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 14 proliferation proliferation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 16 pathogenesis pathogenesis NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 17 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 18 still still RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 19 unclear unclear JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 20 4 4 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 23 21 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 1 Current current JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 2 treatments treatment NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 3 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 4 based base VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 5 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 6 those those DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 7 effective effective JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 8 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 9 strains strain NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 11 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 12 previous previous JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 13 SARS SARS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 14 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 16 MERS MERS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 17 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 24 18 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 3 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 4 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 5 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 6 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 7 able able JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 8 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 9 replicate replicate VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 10 rapidly rapidly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 11 during during IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 13 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 14 phase phase NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 16 affect affect VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 18 lungs lung NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 19 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 20 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 21 tract tract NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 22 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 23 resulting result VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 24 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 25 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 26 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 27 hypoxia hypoxia NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 28 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 29 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 30 acute acute JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 31 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 32 distress distress NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 33 5 5 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 25 34 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 1 Infected infected JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 2 patients patient NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 3 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 4 directly directly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 5 dependent dependent JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 6 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 7 external external JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 8 ventilation ventilation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 9 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 10 most most JJS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 11 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 26 12 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 1 With with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 3 increasing increase VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 4 pressure pressure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 5 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 6 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 7 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 8 systems system NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 9 due due JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 10 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 11 reliance reliance NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 12 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 13 intensive intensive JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 14 care care NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 15 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 16 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 17 non non JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 18 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 19 invasive invasive JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 20 ventilation ventilation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 21 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 22 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 23 strategies strategy NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 24 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 25 required require VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 26 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 27 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 28 implemented implement VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 27 29 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 2 concern concern NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 3 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 4 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 5 ensure ensure VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 6 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 7 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 9 infected infected JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 10 patients patient NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 11 does do VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 12 not not RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 13 exceed exceed VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 14 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 15 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 16 system system NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 17 's 's POS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 18 ability ability NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 19 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 20 cope cope VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 21 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 28 23 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 2 also also RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 3 focused focus VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 4 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 5 increasing increase VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 6 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 7 capacities capacity NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 9 available available JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 10 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 11 systems system NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 12 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 13 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 14 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 29 15 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 1 Under under IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 3 conditions condition NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 4 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 6 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 8 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 9 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 10 highly highly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 11 pathogenic pathogenic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 12 SARS SARS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 13 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 14 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 15 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 16 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 17 able able JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 18 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 19 spread spread VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 20 asymptotically asymptotically RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 21 during during IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 23 incubation incubation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 24 stage stage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 25 through through IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 26 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 27 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 28 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 29 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 30 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 31 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 32 urged urge VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 33 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 34 contain contain VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 35 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 36 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 37 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 38 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 39 infection infection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 40 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 41 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 42 minimize minimize VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 43 stress stress NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 44 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 45 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 46 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 47 systems system NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 48 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 49 ensure ensure VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 50 public public JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 51 safety safety NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 30 52 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 1 This this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 2 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 3 done do VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 4 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 5 issuing issue VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 6 orders order NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 7 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 8 widespread widespread JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 9 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 10 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 11 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 12 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 13 implementing implement VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 14 social social JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 15 distancing distance VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 16 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 31 17 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 1 All all DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 2 non non JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 3 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 4 essential essential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 5 businesses business NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 6 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 7 services service NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 8 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 9 shut shut VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 10 down down RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 11 until until IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 12 further further JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 13 notice notice NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 32 14 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 1 Taking take VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 2 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 3 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 4 reduce reduce VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 5 stress stress NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 6 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 8 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 9 sector sector NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 10 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 11 diminishing diminish VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 13 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 14 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 15 infected infected JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 16 patients patient NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 17 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 18 important important JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 19 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 20 end end VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 21 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 22 pandemic pandemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 23 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 24 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 25 understanding understand VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 26 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 27 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 28 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 29 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 30 lock lock VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 31 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 32 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 33 enables enable VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 34 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 35 distinction distinction NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 36 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 37 good good JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 38 safety safety NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 39 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 40 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 41 bad bad JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 42 ones one NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 33 43 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 1 Analyzing analyze VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 2 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 3 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 4 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 5 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 6 like like IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 7 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 8 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 9 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 10 allows allow VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 11 us -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 12 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 13 understand understand VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 14 whether whether IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 15 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 16 decisions decision NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 17 made make VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 18 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 19 optimal optimal JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 20 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 21 resulted result VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 22 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 23 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 24 reduction reduction NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 25 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 26 burden burden NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 27 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 28 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 29 healthcare healthcare NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 30 system system NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 31 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 32 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 33 broke break VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 34 chain chain NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 35 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 36 transmission transmission NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 37 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 38 preventing prevent VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 39 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 40 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 41 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 42 reducing reduce VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 43 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 44 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 45 rate rate NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 46 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 47 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 48 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 34 49 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 1 Any any DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 2 optimal optimal JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 3 policy policy NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 4 considers consider VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 5 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 6 trade trade NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 7 off off RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 8 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 10 benefit benefit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 11 associated associate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 12 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 13 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 14 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 15 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 16 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 17 cost cost NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 18 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 19 reduced reduce VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 20 aggregate aggregate NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 21 output output NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 35 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 1 Aggregate aggregate JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 2 output output NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 3 decreases decrease VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 4 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 5 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 6 function function NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 9 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 11 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 12 policy policy NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 13 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 14 commitment commitment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 15 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 16 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 17 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 18 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 19 maintain maintain VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 20 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 21 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 22 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 23 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 24 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 25 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 26 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 27 general general JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 28 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 36 29 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 1 Aggregate aggregate JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 2 output output NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 3 decreases decrease VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 4 through through IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 5 lower low JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 6 supply supply NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 8 labor labor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 9 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 10 lower low JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 11 consumption consumption NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 12 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 13 hence hence RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 14 through through IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 15 lower low JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 16 investment investment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 17 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 18 which which WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 19 results result VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 20 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 21 investors investor NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 22 ' ' POS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 23 expectation expectation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 24 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 25 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 26 lower low JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 27 marginal marginal JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 28 product product NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 29 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 30 capital capital NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 37 31 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 1 On on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 3 other other JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 4 hand hand NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 5 benefit benefit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 6 associated associate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 7 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 8 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 9 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 10 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 11 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 12 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 13 seen see VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 14 through through IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 15 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 16 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 17 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 18 lives life NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 19 potentially potentially RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 20 saved save VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 21 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 22 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 23 curbing curb VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 24 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 25 pandemic pandemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 26 early early RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 27 so so IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 28 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 29 economic economic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 30 activity activity NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 31 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 32 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 33 restarted restart VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 34 early early RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 38 35 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 2 objective objective NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 3 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 4 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 5 work work NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 6 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 7 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 8 understand understand VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 10 benefits benefit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 11 obtained obtain VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 12 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 13 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 14 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 15 adopted adopt VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 16 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 17 governments government NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 18 across across IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 19 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 20 world world NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 21 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 22 terms term NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 23 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 24 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 25 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 26 benefits benefit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 39 27 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 3 remaining remain VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 5 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 6 section section NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 8 describe describe VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 10 contribution contribution NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 11 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 12 related related JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 13 works work NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 40 14 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 1 Subsequently subsequently RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 2 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 3 Section section NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 5 provide provide VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 6 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 7 brief brief JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 8 overview overview NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 9 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 10 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 11 underpinning underpinning NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 13 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 14 tools tool NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 15 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 17 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 18 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 19 describe describe VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 20 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 21 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 22 driven drive VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 23 methodology methodology NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 24 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 25 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 26 Section section NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 27 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 28 present present VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 29 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 30 results result NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 31 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 32 three three CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 33 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 34 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 35 setup setup NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 41 36 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 1 Finally finally RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 3 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 4 Section section NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 6 present present VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 7 some some DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 8 concluding conclude VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 9 remarks remark NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 42 10 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 2 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 3 work work NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 5 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 6 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 7 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 8 adopted adopt VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 9 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 10 governments government NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 11 across across IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 13 world world NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 14 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 15 provide provide VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 16 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 17 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 18 assessment assessment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 19 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 20 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 21 benefit benefit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 22 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 23 those those DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 24 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 25 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 26 terms term NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 27 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 28 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 29 benefits benefit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 43 30 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 2 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 3 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 4 estimate estimate VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 6 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 7 metric metric NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 9 say say VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 10 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 11 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 12 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 14 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 16 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 17 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 18 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 19 location location NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 20 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 21 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 22 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 23 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 25 say say VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 26 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 28 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 29 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 30 set set NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 31 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 32 other other JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 33 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 34 locations location NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 35 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 36 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 37 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 39 say say VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 40 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 41 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 42 United United NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 43 States States NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 44 45 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 2 take take VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 3 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 4 data data NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 5 driven drive VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 6 approach approach NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 7 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 8 construct construct VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 9 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 10 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 11 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 12 6 6 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 13 - - SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 14 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 15 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 16 pre pre JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 17 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 18 intervention intervention JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 19 period period NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 20 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 22 say say VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 23 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 24 early early JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 25 February February NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 26 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 27 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 28 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 29 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 30 9 9 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 31 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 32 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 34 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 35 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 36 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 37 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 38 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 39 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 40 linear linear JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 41 combination combination NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 42 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 43 such such JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 44 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 45 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 46 squared squared JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 47 error error NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 48 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 49 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 50 estimated estimate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 51 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 52 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 53 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 54 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 55 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 56 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 57 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 58 minimized minimize VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 59 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 60 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 61 choice choice NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 62 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 63 weight weight NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 64 parameters parameter NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 65 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 66 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 67 pre pre JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 68 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 69 intervention intervention JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 70 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 71 period period NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 45 72 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 1 Now now RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 2 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 3 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 4 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 5 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 6 extrapolated extrapolate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 7 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 8 estimate estimate VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 10 metric metric NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 46 11 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 2 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 3 Multi multi JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 4 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 5 dimensional dimensional JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 6 Robust Robust NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 7 Synthetic Synthetic NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 8 Control Control NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 10 m m NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 11 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 12 RSC RSC NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 14 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 15 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 16 tool tool NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 17 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 18 described describe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 19 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 20 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 47 21 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 1 However however RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 3 there there EX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 4 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 5 few few JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 6 difficulties difficulty NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 7 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 8 applying apply VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 10 tool tool NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 11 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 13 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 48 14 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 1 Firstly firstly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 3 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 4 governments government NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 5 adopted adopt VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 6 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 7 levels level NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 9 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 10 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 11 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 12 there there EX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 13 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 14 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 15 levels level NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 16 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 17 compliance compliance NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 18 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 19 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 20 commitment commitment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 49 21 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 1 Secondly secondly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 3 there there EX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 4 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 5 no no DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 6 ' ' `` cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 7 pure pure JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 8 ' ' '' cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 9 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 10 groups group NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 11 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 12 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 13 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 14 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 15 nearly nearly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 16 ubiquitous ubiquitous JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 50 17 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 1 So so RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 3 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 4 used use VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 5 various various JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 6 secondary secondary JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 7 sources source NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 9 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 10 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 11 score score VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 13 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 14 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 15 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 16 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 17 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 18 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 19 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 20 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 21 compliance compliance NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 51 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 1 This this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 2 allowed allow VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 4 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 5 determine determine VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 6 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 7 groups group NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 8 relative relative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 9 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 10 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 11 choice choice NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 13 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 14 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 52 15 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 1 Finally finally RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 4 present present VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 6 results result NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 7 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 8 three three CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 9 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 10 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 11 setup setup NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 12 -namely -namely RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 13 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 14 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 15 State State NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 16 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 17 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 18 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 19 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 20 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 21 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 22 Indian indian JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 23 city city NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 24 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 25 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 26 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 27 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 28 analyze analyze VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 29 them -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 53 30 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 2 9 9 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 3 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 4 authors author NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 5 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 6 shown show VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 7 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 9 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 10 rate rate NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 11 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 13 SARS SARS NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 14 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 15 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 16 had have VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 17 significantly significantly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 18 decreased decrease VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 19 after after IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 20 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 21 intervention intervention NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 54 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 2 show show VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 3 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 4 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 5 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 6 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 7 disease disease NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 8 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 9 confined confine VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 10 if if IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 11 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 12 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 13 brought bring VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 14 into into IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 15 effect effect NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 16 early early RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 55 17 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 2 10 10 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 3 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 4 authors author NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 5 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 6 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 7 differential differential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 8 timing timing NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 9 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 11 introduction introduction NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 13 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 14 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 16 changes change NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 17 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 18 Google Google NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 19 searches search NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 20 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 21 unemployment unemployment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 22 claims claim NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 23 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 24 establish establish VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 25 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 26 framework framework NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 27 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 28 estimate estimate VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 29 how how WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 30 each each DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 31 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 32 measure measure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 33 contributes contribute VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 34 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 35 unemployment unemployment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 56 36 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 1 Authors author NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 2 show show VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 3 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 4 early early JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 5 intervention intervention NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 6 efforts effort NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 7 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 9 form form NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 11 non non JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 12 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 13 essential essential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 14 business business NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 15 closure closure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 16 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 17 contributed contribute VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 18 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 19 less less JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 20 than than IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 21 8.5 8.5 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 22 percent percent NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 23 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 24 unemployment unemployment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 25 claims claim NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 57 26 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 1 Another another DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 2 facet facet NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 3 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 4 measure measure VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 6 success success NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 9 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 10 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 11 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 12 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 13 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 14 observe observe VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 15 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 16 effects effect NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 17 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 18 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 19 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 20 systems system NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 58 21 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 1 Late late JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 2 intervention intervention NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 3 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 4 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 5 case case NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 6 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 7 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 8 led lead VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 9 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 11 flooding flooding NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 13 hospitals hospital NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 14 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 15 ICUs icu NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 16 due due JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 17 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 18 exponential exponential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 19 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 59 20 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 1 However however RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 3 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 4 national national JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 5 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 6 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 7 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 8 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 9 effective effective JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 10 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 11 reducing reduce VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 13 proliferation proliferation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 14 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 15 decreased decrease VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 16 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 17 stress stress NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 18 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 19 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 20 national national JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 21 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 22 system system NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 23 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 24 observed observe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 25 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 26 authors author NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 27 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 28 11 11 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 60 29 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 2 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 3 paper paper NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 4 12 12 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 5 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 6 authors author NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 7 extend extend VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 10 model model NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 11 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 12 include include VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 13 auxiliary auxiliary JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 14 state state NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 15 variables variable NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 16 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 18 form form NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 19 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 20 hospital hospital NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 21 capacity capacity NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 22 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 23 contact contact NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 24 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 25 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 26 infected infected JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 27 person person NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 28 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 29 etc etc FW cord-181220-gr29zq1o 61 30 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 2 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 3 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 4 system system NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 5 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 6 model model NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 10 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 11 simulate simulate VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 12 various various JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 13 lock lock VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 14 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 15 down down RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 16 scenarios scenario NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 17 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 18 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 19 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 20 optimal optimal JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 21 strategy strategy NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 62 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 3 work work NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 5 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 6 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 7 possible possible JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 8 outcome outcome NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 9 if if IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 10 such such JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 11 strategies strategy NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 12 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 13 not not RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 14 adopted adopt VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 15 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 16 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 17 present present JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 18 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 19 scenarios scenario NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 63 20 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 1 International international JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 2 travel travel NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 3 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 4 also also RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 5 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 6 impacted impact VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 7 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 8 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 9 result result NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 11 efforts effort NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 12 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 13 reduce reduce VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 14 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 15 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 16 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 18 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 19 disease disease NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 64 20 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 1 On on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 3 basis basis NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 5 reported report VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 6 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 8 models model NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 9 built build VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 10 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 11 13 13 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 12 show show VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 13 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 14 significant significant JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 15 decrease decrease NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 16 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 18 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 19 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 20 infections infection NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 21 compared compare VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 22 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 23 predictions prediction NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 24 if if IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 25 no no DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 26 travel travel NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 27 bans ban NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 28 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 29 adopted adopt VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 30 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 31 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 32 option option NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 65 33 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 1 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 2 modeling modeling NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 3 results result NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 4 indicate indicate VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 5 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 6 travel travel NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 7 restriction restriction NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 8 must must MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 9 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 10 combined combine VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 11 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 12 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 13 transmission transmission NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 14 within within IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 15 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 16 community community NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 17 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 18 curb curb VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 19 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 20 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 66 21 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 2 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 3 section section NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 5 present present VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 6 three three CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 7 examples example NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 10 application application NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 11 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 12 m m NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 13 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 14 RSC RSC NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 15 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 16 derive derive VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 18 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 19 estimates estimate NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 20 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 21 possible possible JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 22 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 23 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 24 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 25 under under IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 26 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 27 changed change VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 28 conditions condition NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 29 like like IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 30 delaying delay VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 31 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 32 starting start VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 33 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 34 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 35 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 36 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 37 earlier early JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 38 date date NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 67 39 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 2 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 3 three three CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 4 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 5 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 6 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 7 treatments treatment NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 8 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 9 namely namely RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 10 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 11 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 12 State State NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 13 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 14 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 15 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 17 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 18 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 19 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 20 Indian indian JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 21 capital capital NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 22 city city NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 23 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 68 24 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 2 some some DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 3 sense sense NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 4 these these DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 5 places place NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 6 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 7 also also RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 8 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 9 termed term VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 10 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 11 regional regional JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 12 epicenters epicenter NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 13 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 14 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 69 16 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 1 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 2 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 3 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 4 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 5 highest high JJS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 6 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 9 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 10 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 11 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 12 United United NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 13 States States NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 70 14 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 1 First first JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 2 case case NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 3 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 4 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 5 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 6 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 7 reported report VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 8 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 9 1st 1st JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 10 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 11 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 12 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 13 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 14 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 15 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 16 went go VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 17 into into IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 18 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 19 stricter strict JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 20 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 21 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 22 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 23 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 24 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 25 22nd 22nd NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 26 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 27 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 71 28 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 2 estimate estimate VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 3 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 4 considering consider VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 5 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 6 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 7 date date NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 9 intervention intervention NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 72 10 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 2 select select VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 3 among among IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 4 other other JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 5 states state NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 6 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 7 US US NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 8 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 9 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 10 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 11 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 13 methods method NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 14 described describe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 15 above above RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 73 16 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 1 This this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 2 includes include VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 3 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 4 Jersey Jersey NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 5 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 6 California California NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 8 Illinois Illinois NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 9 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 10 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 11 Florida Florida NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 12 among among IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 13 other other JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 14 states state NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 74 15 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 1 By by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 2 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 3 estimate estimate NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 6 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 8 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 9 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 10 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 11 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 12 could could MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 13 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 14 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 15 6 6 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 16 times time NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 17 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 18 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 19 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 20 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 21 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 22 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 23 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 24 could could MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 25 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 26 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 27 5 5 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 28 times time NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 29 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 30 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 75 31 _SP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 1 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 2 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 3 put put VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 4 under under IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 5 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 6 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 7 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 8 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 9 8th 8th JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 10 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 11 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 12 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 13 -4th -4th CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 14 May May NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 15 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 16 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 76 17 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 2 considered consider VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 3 most most JJS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 4 European european JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 5 countries country NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 6 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 7 model model VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 9 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 10 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 11 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 12 selected select VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 13 based base VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 14 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 15 criteria criterion NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 16 defined define VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 17 above above RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 77 18 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 1 Based base VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 2 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 4 simulation simulation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 5 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 7 observe observe VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 8 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 9 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 10 lock lock VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 11 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 12 down down RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 13 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 14 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 15 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 16 largely largely RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 17 successful successful JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 18 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 19 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 78 20 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 1 Without without IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 2 such such JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 3 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 6 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 9 case case NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 10 could could MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 11 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 12 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 13 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 14 times time NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 15 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 16 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 17 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 18 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 19 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 20 could could MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 21 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 22 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 23 3 3 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 24 times time NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 25 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 26 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 27 26th 26th NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 28 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 29 June June NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 30 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 31 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 79 32 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 1 India India NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 2 had have VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 3 one one CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 6 most most RBS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 7 strict strict JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 8 stay stay NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 9 home home NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 10 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 11 across across IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 13 country country NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 14 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 15 first first JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 16 phase phase NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 17 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 18 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 19 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 20 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 21 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 22 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 23 25 25 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 24 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 25 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 26 -14 -14 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 27 April April NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 28 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 30 21 21 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 31 days day NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 33 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 34 where where WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 35 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 36 entire entire JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 37 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 38 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 39 1.3 1.3 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 40 billion billion CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 41 people people NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 42 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 43 put put VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 44 under under IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 45 restricted restricted JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 46 movement movement NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 80 47 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 1 Overall overall RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 3 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 4 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 5 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 6 had have VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 7 multiple multiple JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 8 phases phase NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 9 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 10 second second JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 11 phase phase NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 12 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 13 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 14 15th 15th JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 15 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 16 April April NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 17 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 18 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 19 3rd 3rd NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 20 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 21 May May NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 22 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 23 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 24 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 25 third third JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 26 phase phase NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 27 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 28 4th 4th JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 29 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 30 May May NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 31 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 32 17th 17th NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 33 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 34 May May NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 35 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 36 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 81 37 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 2 present present VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 3 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 4 counterfactual counterfactual NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 5 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 6 each each DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 8 these these DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 9 dates date NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 82 10 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 1 However however RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 3 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 4 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 5 case case NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 7 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 8 both both CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 10 daily daily JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 11 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 13 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 14 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 15 as as RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 16 well well RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 17 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 18 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 19 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 20 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 21 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 22 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 23 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 24 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 25 phase phase NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 26 three three CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 27 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 28 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 29 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 30 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 31 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 83 32 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 2 limit limit VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 3 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 4 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 5 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 6 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 7 all all DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 8 others other NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 9 states state NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 11 India India NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 84 12 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 1 Figure figure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 2 3 3 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 3 shows show VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 4 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 5 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 6 converges converge VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 7 closely closely RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 8 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 10 actual actual NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 11 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 12 third third JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 13 phase phase NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 14 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 15 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 16 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 17 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 18 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 85 19 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 2 should should MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 3 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 4 noted note VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 5 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 6 there there EX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 7 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 8 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 9 few few JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 10 discrepancies discrepancy NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 11 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 12 reporting reporting NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 86 13 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 1 First first RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 3 there there EX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 4 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 5 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 6 weekly weekly JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 7 seasonality seasonality NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 8 -possibly -possibly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 9 due due JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 10 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 11 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 12 lesser less JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 13 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 14 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 15 reports report NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 16 over over IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 18 weekends weekend NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 87 19 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 1 Second second JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 2 due due IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 3 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 4 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 5 revised revise VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 6 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 7 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 9 reports report NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 10 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 11 certain certain JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 12 dates date NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 14 high high JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 15 peak peak NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 88 17 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 89 1 Mar,2020 mar,2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 89 2 Apr,2020 apr,2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 1 Apr Apr NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 2 Linear Linear NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 3 trend trend NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 4 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 5 line line NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 6 fit fit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 7 shows show VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 8 two two CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 9 change change NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 10 points point NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 11 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 13 growth growth NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 14 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 15 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 16 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 17 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 90 18 -indicating -indicate VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 1 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 3 exponential exponential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 4 phase phase NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 5 came come VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 6 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 7 much much RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 8 later later JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 9 date date NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 10 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 11 growth growth NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 13 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 15 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 16 under under IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 17 effective effective JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 18 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 19 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 20 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 21 earlier early JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 22 stages stage NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 91 23 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 1 Since since IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 3 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 4 stay stay VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 5 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 6 home home NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 7 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 8 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 9 applicable applicable JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 10 across across IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 11 all all DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 12 states state NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 13 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 14 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 15 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 16 almost almost RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 17 uniform uniform JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 18 -trajectory -trajectory NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 92 19 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 93 1 actual actual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 93 2 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 93 3 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 93 4 remains remain VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 93 5 nearly nearly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 93 6 same same JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 93 7 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 2 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 3 work work NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 5 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 6 Multi multi JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 7 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 8 dimensional dimensional JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 9 Robust Robust NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 10 Synthetic Synthetic NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 11 Control Control NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 12 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 13 understand understand VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 14 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 15 effects effect NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 16 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 17 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 18 measure measure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 19 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 21 pandemic pandemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 94 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 2 construct construct VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 3 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 4 version version NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 5 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 6 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 7 location location NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 8 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 9 convex convex JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 10 combination combination NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 11 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 12 other other JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 13 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 14 locations location NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 15 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 16 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 17 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 18 pool pool NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 19 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 20 most most RBS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 21 closely closely RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 22 resembled resemble VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 23 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 24 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 25 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 26 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 27 terms term NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 28 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 29 pre pre JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 30 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 31 intervention intervention JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 32 period period NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 33 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 34 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 35 index index NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 36 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 37 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 38 score score NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 40 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 41 mobility mobility NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 42 information information NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 95 44 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 1 Results result NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 2 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 3 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 4 compared compare VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 5 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 6 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 7 State State NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 9 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 10 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 11 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 12 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 13 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 14 Delhi Delhi NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 15 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 16 India India NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 17 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 18 actual actual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 19 metric metric NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 20 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 21 that that DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 22 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 23 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 24 predicted predict VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 25 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 26 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 27 algorithm algorithm NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 96 28 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 2 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 3 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 4 assess assess VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 6 robustness robustness NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 9 predictor predictor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 11 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 12 computed compute VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 13 MAPE MAPE NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 14 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 15 MdAPE MdAPE NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 16 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 17 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 18 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 19 shown show VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 20 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 21 convergence convergence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 22 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 23 less less JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 24 than than IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 25 20 20 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 26 % % NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 27 absolute absolute JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 28 error error NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 29 rate rate NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 97 30 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 3 future future NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 5 would would MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 6 like like VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 7 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 8 include include VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 9 additional additional JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 10 predictors predictor NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 11 like like IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 12 testing test VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 13 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 14 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 16 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 17 strain strain VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 18 information information NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 19 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 20 they -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 21 become become VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 22 available available JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 98 23 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 1 Another another DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 2 direction direction NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 3 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 4 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 5 study study NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 6 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 7 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 8 include include VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 9 parametric parametric JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 11 models model NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 12 like like IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 13 SIR SIR NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 14 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 15 F F NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 16 19 19 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 17 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 18 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 19 compare compare VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 20 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 21 m m NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 22 - - NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 23 RSC RSC NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 99 24 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 1 As as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 2 stated state VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 3 above above RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 6 objective objective NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 7 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 8 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 9 study study VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 11 effects effect NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 13 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 14 response response NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 15 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 16 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 17 aggregate aggregate JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 18 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 19 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 20 terms term NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 21 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 22 lives life NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 23 saved save VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 24 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 25 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 26 limiting limit VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 27 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 28 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 29 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 30 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 31 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 32 require require VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 33 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 100 34 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 1 Such such JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 2 interventions intervention NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 3 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 4 effectively effectively RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 5 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 6 studied study VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 7 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 8 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 9 comparative comparative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 10 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 101 11 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 2 other other JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 3 words word NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 5 if if IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 7 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 8 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 9 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 11 evolution evolution NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 13 aggregate aggregate JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 14 outcomes outcome NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 15 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 16 e.g. e.g. IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 18 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 19 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 20 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 21 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 22 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 23 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 24 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 25 when when WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 26 policy policy NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 27 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 28 applied apply VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 29 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 30 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 31 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 32 under under IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 33 study study NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 34 versus versus IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 35 when when WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 36 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 37 same same JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 38 policy policy NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 39 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 40 not not RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 41 applied apply VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 42 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 43 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 44 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 45 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 102 46 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 1 However however RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 3 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 4 policies policy NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 5 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 6 applied apply VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 7 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 8 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 9 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 10 across across IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 11 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 12 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 13 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 103 14 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 2 do do VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 3 not not RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 4 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 5 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 6 mechanism mechanism NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 7 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 8 conduct conduct VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 9 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 10 randomized randomized JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 11 trial trial NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 104 12 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 1 Hence hence RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 4 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 5 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 6 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 7 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 8 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 9 method method NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 11 6 6 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 14 7 7 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 17 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 105 19 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 2 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 3 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 4 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 5 set set VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 6 up up RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 8 where where WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 9 observational observational JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 10 data data NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 11 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 12 available available JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 13 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 14 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 15 groups group NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 18 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 19 construct construct VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 20 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 21 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 22 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 23 virtual virtual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 24 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 25 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 26 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 27 combining combine VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 28 measurements measurement NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 29 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 30 alternatives alternative NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 32 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 33 donors donor NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 106 35 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 3 following following NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 6 provide provide VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 7 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 8 brief brief JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 9 overview overview NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 11 m m NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 12 - - NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 13 RSC RSC NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 14 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 107 15 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 1 Suppose suppose VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 2 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 3 observations observation NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 4 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 5 N n CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 6 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 7 geographically geographically RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 8 distinct distinct JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 9 groups group NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 10 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 11 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 12 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 13 indexed index VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 14 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 15 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 16 ∈ ∈ VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 18 N N NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 20 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 21 T T NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 22 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 23 periods period NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 25 days day NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 27 indexed index VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 28 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 29 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 30 ∈ ∈ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 32 T t NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 108 34 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 109 1 Let let VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 109 2 k k NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 109 3 ∈ ∈ VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 2 K K NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 4 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 6 metrics metric NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 8 interest interest NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 10 e.g. e.g. JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 11 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 13 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 14 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 15 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 16 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 17 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 18 deceased deceased JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 19 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 20 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 21 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 22 tests test NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 23 conducted conduct VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 24 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 25 etc etc FW cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 26 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 110 28 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 1 By by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 2 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 3 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 4 jk jk UH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 6 denote denote VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 8 ground ground NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 9 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 10 truth truth NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 11 measurement measurement NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 13 interest interest NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 14 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 16 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 17 X X NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 18 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 19 jk jk NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 20 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 21 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 22 observation observation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 23 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 24 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 25 measurement measurement NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 26 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 27 some some DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 28 noise noise NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 111 29 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 1 Let let VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 2 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 3 ≤ ≤ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 4 T t NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 5 0 0 NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 6 ≤ ≤ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 7 T t NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 8 be be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 10 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 11 instance instance NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 12 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 13 which which WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 14 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 15 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 16 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 17 interest interest NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 18 experiences experience VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 19 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 20 intervention intervention NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 21 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 22 namely namely RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 23 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 24 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 25 response response NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 26 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 27 control control VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 28 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 112 29 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 2 e.g. e.g. RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 3 stay stay VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 4 home home NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 5 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 6 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 7 school school NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 8 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 9 business business NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 10 closure closure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 11 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 12 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 13 mass mass JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 14 vaccination vaccination NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 113 16 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 1 Without without IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 2 loss loss NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 3 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 4 generality generality NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 6 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 7 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 8 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 9 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 10 1 1 LS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 12 say say UH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 13 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 14 New New NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 15 York York NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 114 17 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 115 1 metric metric NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 115 2 k k NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 116 1 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 116 2 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 2 say say UH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 3 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 4 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 5 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 6 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 8 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 10 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 11 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 12 metric metric NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 13 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 14 interest interest NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 15 respectively respectively RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 117 16 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 2 objective objective NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 3 now now RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 4 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 5 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 6 estimate estimate VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 8 trajectory trajectory NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 9 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 10 metric metric NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 11 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 118 12 interest interest NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 119 1 k k NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 119 2 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 119 3 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 119 4 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 119 5 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 120 1 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 120 2 = = VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 120 3 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 1 if if IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 2 no no DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 3 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 4 response response NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 5 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 6 control control VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 8 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 9 had have VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 10 occurred occur VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 121 11 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 2 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 3 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 4 do do VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 5 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 7 will will MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 8 use use VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 10 trajectory trajectory NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 11 associated associate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 12 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 13 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 14 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 15 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 17 2 2 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 18 ≤ ≤ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 19 i i NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 20 ≤ ≤ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 21 N N NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 23 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 24 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 25 metrics metric NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 26 k k NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 27 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 29 K K NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 122 31 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 2 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 3 following following NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 5 make make VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 6 two two CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 7 assumptions assumption NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 8 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 10 1 1 LS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 12 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 13 all all DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 14 2 2 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 15 ≤ ≤ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 16 i i NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 17 ≤ ≤ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 18 N N NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 19 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 20 k k NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 21 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 23 K K NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 25 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 26 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 27 ∈ ∈ VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 29 T T NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 123 31 , , . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 124 1 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 124 2 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 125 1 X X NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 125 2 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 126 1 jk jk NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 126 2 = = NFP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 127 1 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 128 1 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 129 1 jk jk UH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 129 2 + + CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 130 1 ε ε NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 131 1 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 131 2 jk jk NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 1 where where WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 3 ε ε NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 4 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 5 jk jk NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 6 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 8 observational observational JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 9 noise noise NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 10 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 11 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 13 2 2 LS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 132 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 1 Same same JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 2 model model NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 3 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 4 obeyed obey VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 5 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 6 i i NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 7 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 8 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 9 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 10 pre pre JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 11 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 12 intervention intervention JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 13 period period NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 14 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 15 i.e. i.e. FW cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 16 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 17 all all DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 18 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 133 19 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 134 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 134 2 T T NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 134 3 0 0 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 134 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 134 5 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 134 6 k k NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 134 7 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 135 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 135 2 K K NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 135 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 135 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 135 5 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 135 6 X x NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 135 7 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 136 1 jk jk UH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 137 1 = = NFP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 138 1 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 138 2 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 139 1 jk jk UH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 140 1 + + CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 140 2 ε ε NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 140 3 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 140 4 jk jk NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 140 5 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 1 As as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 2 described describe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 3 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 4 authors author NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 5 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 6 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 8 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 9 following follow VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 11 also also RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 12 assume assume VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 13 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 14 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 15 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 16 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 17 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 18 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 19 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 21 only only RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 22 observe observe VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 23 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 141 24 measurement measurement NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 1 X x NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 2 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 3 jk jk NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 4 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 5 pre pre JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 6 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 7 intervention intervention JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 8 period period NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 9 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 10 i.e. i.e. FW cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 11 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 12 all all DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 13 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 142 14 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 2 T T NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 3 0 0 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 5 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 6 k k NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 7 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 9 K K NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 143 11 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 2 objective objective NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 3 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 4 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 5 compute compute VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 6 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 7 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 8 sequence sequence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 9 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 144 10 observation observation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 1 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 2 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 3 jk jk NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 4 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 6 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 7 period period NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 8 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 9 ∈ ∈ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 11 T T NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 13 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 14 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 15 k k NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 16 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 18 K K NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 20 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 21 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 22 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 23 specific specific JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 24 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 25 T T NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 26 0 0 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 27 ≤ ≤ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 28 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 29 ≤ ≤ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 30 T T NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 31 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 32 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 33 k k NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 34 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 35 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 36 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 37 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 38 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 39 version version NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 40 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 41 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 42 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 43 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 44 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 145 45 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 146 1 Define define VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 146 2 M m NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 146 3 = = NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 147 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 147 2 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 148 1 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 149 1 jk jk UH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 149 2 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 149 3 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 149 4 R r NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 149 5 N×T N×T VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 149 6 ×K ×k CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 149 7 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 1 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 2 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 3 assumed assume VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 4 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 5 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 6 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 7 few few JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 8 well well RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 9 behaved behave VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 10 properties property NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 11 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 12 required require VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 13 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 14 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 15 algorithm algorithm NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 17 namely namely RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 18 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 20 1 1 LS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 22 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 23 must must MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 24 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 25 approximately approximately RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 26 low low JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 27 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 28 rank rank NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 29 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 31 2 2 LS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 150 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 151 1 every every DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 151 2 element element NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 1 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 2 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 3 jk jk VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 4 shall shall MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 5 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 6 boundedness boundedness JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 7 property property NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 9 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 10 details detail NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 11 see see VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 12 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 152 14 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 1 To to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 2 check check VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 3 whether whether IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 5 model model NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 6 assumption assumption NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 7 holds hold VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 8 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 9 practice practice NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 10 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 12 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 13 N n NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 14 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 15 185 185 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 17 T T NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 18 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 19 150 150 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 20 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 21 K K NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 22 = = SYM cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 23 2 2 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 24 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 25 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 26 185 185 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 27 countries country NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 28 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 29 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 153 30 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 2 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 3 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 5 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 6 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 7 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 8 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 9 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 10 deceased deceased JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 11 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 12 two two CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 13 metrics metric NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 14 over over IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 15 150 150 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 16 days day NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 17 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 18 January January NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 19 22 22 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 20 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 21 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 22 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 23 June June NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 24 20 20 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 25 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 26 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 154 27 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 1 For for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 2 assumption assumption NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 3 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 4 hold hold VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 5 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 6 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 7 matrix matrix NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 8 corresponding correspond VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 9 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 10 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 11 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 13 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 14 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 15 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 16 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 17 deceased deceased JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 18 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 19 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 20 combination combination NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 21 should should MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 22 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 23 approximated approximate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 24 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 25 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 26 low low JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 27 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 28 rank rank NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 29 matrix matrix NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 155 30 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 1 As as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 2 shown show VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 3 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 4 Figure Figure NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 5 4 4 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 6 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 8 spectrum spectrum NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 9 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 11 top top JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 12 20 20 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 13 singular singular JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 14 values value NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 16 sorted sort VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 17 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 18 descending descend VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 19 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 21 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 22 each each DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 23 matrix matrix NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 156 24 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 2 plots plot NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 3 clearly clearly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 4 support support VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 6 implications implication NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 7 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 8 most most JJS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 9 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 11 spectrum spectrum NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 12 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 13 concentrated concentrate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 14 within within IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 15 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 16 top top JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 17 5 5 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 18 principal principal JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 19 components component NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 157 20 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 2 same same JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 3 conclusion conclusion NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 4 holds hold VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 5 true true JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 6 when when WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 7 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 8 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 9 states state NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 11 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 12 United United NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 13 States States NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 14 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 16 when when WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 18 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 19 only only RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 20 countries country NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 21 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 22 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 23 European European NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 24 Union Union NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 158 25 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 1 Let let VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 2 Z z NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 3 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 4 R r NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 6 N−1)×T n−1)×t CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 7 ×K ×k CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 8 corresponding correspond VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 9 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 10 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 11 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 12 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 13 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 14 X x NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 15 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 16 ∈ ∈ NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 17 R r NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 18 1×T 1×t CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 19 0 0 NFP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 20 ×K ×k CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 21 correspond correspond VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 22 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 23 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 24 under under IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 25 intervention intervention NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 159 26 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 2 obtain obtain VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 3 M M NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 4 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 5 Z Z NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 6 after after IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 7 applying apply VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 8 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 9 hard hard JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 10 singular singular JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 11 value value NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 12 thresholding thresholding NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 160 13 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 1 Subsequently subsequently RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 3 weights weight NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 4 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 5 learned learn VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 6 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 7 linear linear JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 8 regression regression NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 9 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 10 computing compute VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 161 11 _SP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 1 As as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 2 described describe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 3 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 4 Section section NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 5 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 7 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 8 m m NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 9 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 10 RSC RSC NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 11 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 12 construct construct VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 13 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 14 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 15 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 16 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 18 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 19 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 20 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 21 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 22 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 23 multiple multiple JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 24 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 25 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 26 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 27 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 28 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 29 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 30 pre pre JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 31 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 32 intervention intervention JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 33 period period NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 34 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 162 35 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 2 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 3 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 4 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 5 then then RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 6 used use VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 7 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 8 estimating estimate VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 10 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 11 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 13 post post JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 14 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 15 intervention intervention JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 16 period period NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 163 17 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 3 setup setup NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 5 intervention intervention NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 6 date date NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 7 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 8 typically typically RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 10 date date NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 11 when when WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 12 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 13 stay stay VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 14 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 15 home home NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 16 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 17 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 18 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 19 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 20 down down NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 21 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 22 declared declare VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 23 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 24 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 25 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 26 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 164 27 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 1 However however RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 3 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 4 policy policy NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 5 may may MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 6 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 7 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 8 applied apply VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 9 over over IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 10 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 11 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 12 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 13 levels level NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 14 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 15 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 16 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 165 17 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 1 To to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 2 understand understand VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 3 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 5 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 6 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 7 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 8 policy policy NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 9 indices index NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 10 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 11 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 12 OxCGRT OxCGRT NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 13 14 14 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 14 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 15 which which WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 16 records record VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 18 strictness strictness NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 19 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 20 policies policy NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 21 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 22 restrict restrict VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 23 people people NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 24 's 's POS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 25 behavior behavior NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 26 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 27 includes include VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 28 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 29 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 30 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 31 -e.g -e.g VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 166 32 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 1 school school NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 2 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 3 workplace workplace NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 4 closure closure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 5 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 6 cancellation cancellation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 8 public public JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 9 events event NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 10 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 11 restrictions restriction NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 12 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 13 gathering gather VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 14 size size NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 15 etc etc FW cord-181220-gr29zq1o 167 16 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 1 Figure figure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 2 5 5 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 3 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 4 shows show VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 6 plot plot NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 8 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 9 index index NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 10 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 11 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 12 mobility mobility NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 13 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 168 14 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 2 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 3 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 4 observed observe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 5 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 6 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 7 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 9 lock lock NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 10 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 11 down down RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 12 varies varie NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 13 over over IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 14 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 16 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 17 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 169 18 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 2 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 3 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 4 information information NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 5 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 6 two two CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 7 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 8 ways way NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 170 9 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 1 First first RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 3 choose choose VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 4 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 5 maximum maximum JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 6 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 8 index index NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 9 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 10 first first JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 11 increased increase VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 12 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 13 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 14 restriction restriction NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 15 index index NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 17 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 18 14 14 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 19 days day NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 20 after after IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 21 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 22 maximum maximum JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 23 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 24 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 25 index index NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 26 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 27 various various JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 28 intervention intervention NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 29 dates date NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 30 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 31 compare compare VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 32 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 33 effects effect NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 171 34 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 1 Second second RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 4 combine combine VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 5 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 6 information information NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 7 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 8 mobility mobility NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 9 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 10 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 11 select select VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 13 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 14 groups group NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 15 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 16 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 17 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 18 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 19 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 20 discussed discuss VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 21 below below RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 172 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 2 order order NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 3 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 4 understand understand VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 6 effect effect NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 8 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 9 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 10 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 11 treatment treatment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 12 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 13 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 14 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 15 metric metric NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 18 need need VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 19 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 20 select select VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 21 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 22 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 23 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 24 where where WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 25 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 26 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 27 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 28 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 29 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 30 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 31 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 32 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 33 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 34 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 35 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 173 36 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 1 Since since IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 3 there there EX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 4 was be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 5 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 6 degree degree NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 8 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 9 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 10 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 11 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 12 such such JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 13 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 14 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 15 different different JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 16 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 174 17 -under -under NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 1 any any DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 2 possible possible JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 3 choice choice NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 5 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 6 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 9 acknowledge acknowledge VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 10 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 11 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 13 will will MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 14 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 15 underestimating underestimate VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 16 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 17 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 18 -i.e -i.e NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 175 19 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 1 what what WP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 2 would would MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 3 have have VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 4 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 5 without without IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 6 any any DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 7 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 8 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 176 9 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 1 To to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 2 estimate estimate VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 3 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 4 degree degree NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 5 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 6 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 7 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 8 lock lock VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 9 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 10 down down RP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 11 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 12 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 14 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 15 mobility mobility NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 16 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 17 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 18 Apple Apple NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 19 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 20 Google Google NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 21 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 22 Facebook Facebook NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 177 23 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 1 Apple Apple NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 2 mobility mobility NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 3 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 4 provides provide VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 5 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 6 relative relative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 7 volume volume NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 8 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 9 directions direction NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 10 requests request NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 11 per per IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 12 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 13 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 14 sub sub NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 15 - - NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 16 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 17 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 18 city city NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 19 compared compare VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 20 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 21 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 22 baseline baseline JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 23 volume volume NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 24 -i.e -i.e NFP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 178 25 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 1 percentage percentage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 2 change change NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 3 over over IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 4 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 5 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 6 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 7 baseline baseline NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 8 including include VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 9 weekly weekly JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 10 seasonality seasonality NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 179 11 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 1 Facebook Facebook NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 2 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 3 provides provide VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 4 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 5 relative relative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 6 percentage percentage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 8 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 9 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 10 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 11 staying stay VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 12 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 13 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 14 same same JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 15 place place NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 16 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 17 also also RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 18 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 19 percentage percentage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 20 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 21 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 22 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 23 moved move VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 24 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 25 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 26 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 27 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 28 another another DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 180 29 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 1 In in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 2 Facebook Facebook NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 3 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 5 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 6 quantify quantify VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 7 how how WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 8 much much JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 9 people people NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 10 move move VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 11 around around IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 12 measure measure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 13 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 14 derived derive VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 15 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 16 counting count VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 18 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 19 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 20 level-16 level-16 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 21 Bing Bing NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 22 tiles tile NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 24 which which WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 25 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 26 approximately approximately RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 27 600 600 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 28 meters meter NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 29 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 30 600 600 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 31 meters meter NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 32 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 33 area area NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 34 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 35 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 36 equator equator NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 181 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 182 1 they -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 182 2 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 182 3 seen see VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 182 4 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 182 5 within within IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 182 6 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 182 7 day day NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 182 8 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 2 U U NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 3 d d NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 5 r r NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 6 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 8 set set NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 9 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 10 eligible eligible JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 11 users user NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 12 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 13 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 14 r r NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 15 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 16 day day NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 17 d d NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 18 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 183 19 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 1 tiles(u tiles(u NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 3 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 4 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 5 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 6 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 7 tiles tile NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 8 visited visit VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 9 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 10 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 11 given give VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 12 user user NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 13 u u NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 14 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 15 U U NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 16 d d NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 17 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 18 r r NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 19 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 20 total total JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 21 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 22 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 23 tiles tile NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 24 visited visit VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 25 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 26 that that DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 27 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 28 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 29 given give VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 30 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 31 totaltiles(U totaltiles(U NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 32 d d XX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 33 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 34 r r NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 184 36 = = NFP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 185 1 ∑ ∑ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 1 u∈U u∈U NNPS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 2 d d NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 3 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 4 r r NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 5 min(tiles(u min(tiles(u NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 8 200 200 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 186 10 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 1 Change change VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 2 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 3 Movement Movement NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 4 measure measure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 5 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 6 then then RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 8 difference difference NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 9 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 10 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 11 baseline baseline NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 12 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 13 value value NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 14 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 15 day day NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 16 d d NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 17 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 18 average average JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 19 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 20 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 21 totaltiles(U totaltiles(U NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 22 d d XX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 23 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 24 r r NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 187 26 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 3 Stay stay VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 4 Put put JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 5 metric metric NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 6 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 7 calculated calculate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 8 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 9 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 10 percentage percentage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 11 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 12 eligible eligible JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 13 people people NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 14 who who WP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 15 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 16 only only RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 17 observed observe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 18 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 19 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 20 single single JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 21 level-16 level-16 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 22 Bing Bing NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 23 tile tile NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 24 during during IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 25 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 26 course course NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 27 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 28 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 29 day day NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 30 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 31 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 32 average average NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 33 compared compare VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 34 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 35 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 36 baseline baseline NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 188 37 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 1 Finally finally RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 3 Google Google NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 4 Community Community NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 5 Mobility Mobility NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 6 Report Report NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 7 provides provide VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 8 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 9 percent percent NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 10 change change NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 11 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 12 visits visit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 13 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 14 places place NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 15 like like IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 16 grocery grocery NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 17 stores store NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 18 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 19 parks park NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 20 within within IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 21 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 22 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 23 area area NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 24 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 25 baseline baseline NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 189 26 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 2 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 3 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 4 seen see VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 5 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 6 Figure figure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 7 5 5 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 8 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 9 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 11 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 12 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 13 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 14 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 15 do do VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 16 not not RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 17 correspond correspond VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 190 18 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 1 For for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 2 example example NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 3 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 4 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 5 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 6 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 7 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 8 increasing increase VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 9 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 11 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 12 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 13 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 14 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 15 -April -April NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 16 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 17 there there EX cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 18 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 19 not not RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 20 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 21 any any DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 22 significant significant JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 23 change change NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 24 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 25 proportion proportion NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 26 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 27 people people NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 28 staying stay VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 29 put put VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 30 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 31 moving move VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 32 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 33 regions region NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 191 34 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 2 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 3 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 4 other other JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 5 places place NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 6 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 8 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 9 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 10 observed observe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 11 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 12 while while IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 13 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 14 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 15 remain remain VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 16 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 17 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 18 same same JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 19 level level NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 20 over over IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 21 April April NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 22 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 23 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 24 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 25 people people NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 26 staying stay VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 27 put put VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 28 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 29 one one CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 30 place place NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 31 starts start VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 32 declining decline VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 192 33 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 1 Selecting select VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 2 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 3 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 4 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 5 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 6 combine combine VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 7 metrics metric NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 8 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 9 allow allow VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 11 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 13 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 14 virus virus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 16 similarly similarly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 17 combine combine VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 18 those those DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 19 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 20 reduces reduce VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 21 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 22 possibility possibility NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 23 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 24 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 193 25 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 2 combine combine VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 3 them -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 4 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 5 taking take VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 6 average average JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 7 define define VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 8 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 9 single single JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 10 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 11 score score NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 194 12 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 195 1 For for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 195 2 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 195 3 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 195 4 ∈ ∈ VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 195 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 195 6 N N NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 195 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 195 8 , , . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 196 1 ∀ ∀ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 196 2 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 1 = = NFP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 2 i i PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 3 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 4 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 5 ∈ ∈ NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 7 N N NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 197 9 , , . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 1 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 2 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 3 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 4 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 5 unit unit NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 6 if if IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 7 adherence adherence NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 8 score score NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 9 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 10 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 11 stringency stringency NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 12 Index Index NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 13 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 14 j j NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 15 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 16 less less JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 17 than than IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 18 i. i. NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 19 Figure Figure NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 20 6 6 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 21 shows show NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 22 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 23 relation relation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 24 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 25 graphical graphical JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 26 form form NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 27 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 28 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 29 selected select VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 30 set set NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 31 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 32 countries country NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 198 33 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 1 As as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 2 per per IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 4 6 6 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 5 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 6 United United NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 7 States States NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 8 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 9 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 10 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 11 United United NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 12 Kingdom Kingdom NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 13 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 14 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 15 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 16 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 17 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 18 when when WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 20 compute compute VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 21 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 22 estimate estimate NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 23 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 24 Italy Italy NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 199 25 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 1 Statistical Statistical NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 2 Performance Performance NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 3 Evaluation Evaluation NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 4 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 5 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 6 Figure figure NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 7 7 7 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 9 present present VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 11 distribution distribution NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 12 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 13 Mean mean JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 14 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 15 Median median JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 16 absolute absolute JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 17 percentage percentage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 18 error error NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 19 statistic statistic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 20 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 21 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 22 runs run NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 23 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 24 forecasts forecast NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 25 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 26 m m NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 27 - - NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 28 RSC RSC NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 29 algorithm algorithm NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 30 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 31 changing change VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 32 forecast forecast NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 33 horizon horizon NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 200 34 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 2 consider consider VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 3 every every DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 4 Mondays Mondays NNPS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 5 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 6 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 7 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 8 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 9 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 10 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 11 June June NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 12 21 21 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 13 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 14 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 15 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 16 both both DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 17 included include VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 18 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 19 forecast forecast VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 20 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 21 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 22 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 23 deaths death NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 24 at at IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 25 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 26 end end NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 27 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 28 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 29 day day NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 30 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 31 June June NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 32 26 26 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 33 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 34 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 35 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 36 all all DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 37 states state NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 38 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 39 United United NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 40 States States NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 41 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 42 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 43 compare compare VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 44 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 45 actual actual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 46 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 201 47 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 1 For for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 2 every every DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 3 state state NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 4 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 5 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 6 group group NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 7 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 8 selected select VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 9 using use VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 11 method method NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 12 described describe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 13 above above RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 202 14 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 2 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 3 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 4 seen see VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 5 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 6 Figure Figure NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 7 7 7 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 8 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 9 that that IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 10 both both CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 11 Mean mean JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 12 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 13 Median median JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 14 absolute absolute JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 15 percentage percentage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 16 error error NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 17 statistic statistic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 18 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 19 larger large JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 20 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 21 when when WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 22 larger large JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 23 forecast forecast NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 24 horizon horizon NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 25 has have VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 26 been be VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 27 considered consider VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 28 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 29 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 30 that that DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 31 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 32 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 33 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 34 expected expect VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 203 35 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 1 Both both DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 2 MAPE MAPE NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 3 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 4 MdAPE MdAPE NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 5 converge converge VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 6 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 7 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 8 less less JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 9 than than IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 10 20 20 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 11 percent percent NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 12 when when WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 13 horizon horizon NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 14 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 15 about about RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 16 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 17 week week NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 204 18 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 1 MAPE MAPE NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 2 being be VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 3 very very RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 4 large large JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 5 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 6 MdAPE MdAPE NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 7 clearly clearly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 8 indicates indicate VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 9 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 10 right right JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 11 skew skew NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 12 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 13 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 14 predicted predict VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 15 values value NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 205 16 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 206 1 Daily daily JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 206 2 update update NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 206 3 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 206 4 JHU JHU NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 206 5 15 15 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 2 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 3 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 4 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 5 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 6 derive derive VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 7 metric metric NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 8 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 9 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 10 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 11 i.e. i.e. FW cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 12 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 13 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 15 cases case NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 16 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 17 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 18 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 19 deceased deceased JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 20 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 21 each each DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 22 day day NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 23 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 24 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 25 locations location NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 207 26 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 208 1 Facebook Facebook NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 208 2 Movement Movement NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 208 3 Range Range NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 208 4 Maps Maps NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 208 5 16 16 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 2 relative relative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 3 percentage percentage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 5 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 6 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 7 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 8 staying stay VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 9 put put VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 10 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 11 also also RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 12 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 13 percentage percentage NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 14 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 15 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 16 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 17 moved move VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 18 from from IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 19 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 20 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 21 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 22 another another DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 209 23 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 2 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 3 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 4 data data NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 5 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 6 selection selection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 8 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 9 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 210 10 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 1 Apple Apple NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 2 Mobility Mobility NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 3 Trends Trends NNPS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 4 17 17 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 5 Relative relative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 6 volume volume NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 8 directions direction NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 9 requests request NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 10 per per IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 11 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 12 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 13 sub sub NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 14 - - NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 15 region region NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 16 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 17 city city NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 18 compared compare VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 19 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 20 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 21 baseline baseline JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 22 volume volume NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 23 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 24 categorized categorize VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 25 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 26 Driving drive VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 27 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 28 Walking Walking NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 29 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 30 Public Public NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 31 Transport Transport NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 211 32 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 2 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 3 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 4 data data NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 5 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 6 selection selection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 8 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 9 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 212 10 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 1 OxCGRT OxCGRT NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 2 14 14 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 3 Strictness strictness NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 5 policies policy NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 6 that that WDT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 7 restrict restrict VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 8 people people NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 9 's 's POS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 10 behavior behavior NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 11 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 12 8 8 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 13 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 14 combined combine VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 15 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 16 provide provide VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 17 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 18 score score NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 19 between between IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 20 0 0 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 21 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 22 100 100 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 23 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 24 where where WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 25 100 100 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 26 being be VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 27 most most RBS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 28 stringent stringent JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 213 29 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 2 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 3 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 4 data data NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 5 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 6 selection selection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 8 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 9 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 214 10 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 1 Google Google NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 2 Community Community NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 3 Mobility Mobility NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 4 Report Report NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 5 18 18 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 6 Percent percent NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 7 change change NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 8 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 9 visits visit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 10 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 11 places place NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 12 like like IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 13 grocery grocery NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 14 stores store NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 15 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 16 parks park NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 17 within within IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 18 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 19 geographic geographic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 20 area area NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 215 21 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 2 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 3 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 4 data data NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 5 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 6 selection selection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 7 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 8 donor donor NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 9 units unit NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 216 10 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 1 This this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 2 exactly exactly RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 3 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 4 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 5 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 6 places place NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 7 where where WRB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 9 growth growth NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 11 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 13 can can MD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 14 be be VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 15 observed observe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 16 by by IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 17 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 18 22 22 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 19 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 20 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 217 21 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 2 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 3 prediction prediction NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 4 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 5 June June NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 6 26 26 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 7 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 8 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 9 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 10 March March NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 11 22 22 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 12 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 13 2020 2020 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 14 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 15 these these DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 16 few few JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 17 places place NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 18 are be VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 19 several several JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 20 times time NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 21 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 22 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 23 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 24 expected expect VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 25 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 26 while while IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 27 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 28 stricter strict JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 29 stringency stringency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 30 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 31 were be VBD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 32 being be VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 33 implemented implement VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 34 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 35 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 36 United United NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 37 States States NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 38 around around IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 39 those those DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 40 dates date NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 218 41 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 2 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 3 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 4 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 5 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 6 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 7 higher high JJR cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 8 compared compare VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 9 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 10 sars sars NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 11 coronavirus coronavirus NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 12 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 13 r0 r0 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 219 14 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 220 1 Magic magic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 220 2 number number NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 220 3 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 220 4 conundrum conundrum NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 220 5 ? ? . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 1 Estimating estimate VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 2 excess excess JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 3 1-year 1-year CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 4 mortality mortality NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 5 associated associate VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 6 with with IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 8 covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 9 pandemic pandemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 10 according accord VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 11 to to IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 12 underlying underlying JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 13 conditions condition NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 14 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 15 age age NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 16 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 17 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 18 population population NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 19 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 20 based base VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 21 cohort cohort NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 22 study study NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 23 Potential potential JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 24 treatments treatment NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 25 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 26 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 27 ; ; : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 28 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 29 narrative narrative NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 30 literature literature NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 31 review review NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 32 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 33 Archives Archives NNPS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 34 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 35 academic academic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 36 emergency emergency NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 37 medicine medicine NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 38 Respiratory respiratory JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 39 management management NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 40 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 41 severe severe JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 42 acute acute JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 43 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 44 syndrome syndrome NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 45 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 46 2 2 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 47 infection infection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 48 Synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 49 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 50 methods method NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 51 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 52 comparative comparative JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 53 case case NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 54 studies study NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 55 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 56 Estimating estimate VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 57 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 58 effect effect NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 59 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 60 california california NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 61 's 's POS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 62 tobacco tobacco NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 63 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 64 program program NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 65 Robust robust JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 66 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 221 67 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 222 1 Mrsc Mrsc NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 222 2 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 1 Multi multi JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 2 - - JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 3 dimensional dimensional JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 4 robust robust JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 5 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 6 control control NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 7 Estimating estimate VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 8 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 9 impact impact NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 11 physical physical JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 12 distancing distancing NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 13 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 14 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 15 containing contain VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 223 16 covid-19 covid-19 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 224 1 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 224 2 an an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 224 3 empirical empirical JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 224 4 analysis analysis NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 2 impact impact NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 3 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 4 shutdown shutdown JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 5 policies policy NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 6 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 7 unemployment unemployment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 8 during during IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 9 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 225 11 24 24 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 2 effects effect NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 3 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 4 containment containment NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 5 measures measure NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 6 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 8 italian italian JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 10 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 11 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 12 Lockdown Lockdown NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 13 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 14 one one CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 15 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 16 two two CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 17 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 18 none none NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 19 , , , cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 20 or or CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 21 smart smart JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 226 22 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 227 1 modeling model VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 227 2 containing contain VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 227 3 covid-19 covid-19 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 227 4 infection infection NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 227 5 . . . cord-181220-gr29zq1o 228 1 a a DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 228 2 conceptual conceptual JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 228 3 model model NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 2 effect effect NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 3 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 4 travel travel NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 5 restrictions restriction NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 6 on on IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 7 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 8 spread spread NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 9 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 10 the the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 11 2019 2019 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 12 novel novel NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 13 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 15 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 17 outbreak outbreak NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 18 Variation variation NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 19 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 20 government government NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 21 responses response NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 22 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 23 covid-19 covid-19 VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 24 An an DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 25 interactive interactive JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 26 web web NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 27 - - HYPH cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 28 based base VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 29 dashboard dashboard NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 30 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 31 track track VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 32 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 33 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 34 real real JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 229 35 time time NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 230 1 Data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 230 2 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 230 3 good good NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 230 4 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 1 New new JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 2 tools tool NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 3 to to TO cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 4 help help VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 5 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 6 researchers researcher NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 7 track track VB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 8 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 9 combat combat NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 11 Mobility Mobility NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 12 trends trend NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 13 reports report VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 14 Helping help VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 15 public public JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 16 health health NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 17 officials official NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 18 combat combat VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 19 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 20 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 21 modeling modeling NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 22 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 23 infectious infectious JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 24 disease disease NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 25 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 26 We -PRON- PRP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 27 use use VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 28 following follow VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 29 five five CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 30 sources source NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 31 of of IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 32 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 33 as as IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 34 described describe VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 35 in in IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 36 Table Table NNP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 37 1 1 CD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 231 38 _SP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 1 All all DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 2 data datum NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 3 and and CC cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 4 code code NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 5 used use VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 6 for for IN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 7 this this DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 8 work work NN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 9 is be VBZ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 10 made make VBN cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 11 available available JJ cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 12 here here RB cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 13 : : : cord-181220-gr29zq1o 232 14 https://github.com/subhaskghosh/lockdown-paper https://github.com/subhaskghosh/lockdown-paper ADD cord-181220-gr29zq1o 233 1 The the DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 233 2 authors author NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 233 3 have have VBP cord-181220-gr29zq1o 233 4 no no DT cord-181220-gr29zq1o 233 5 competing compete VBG cord-181220-gr29zq1o 233 6 interests interest NNS cord-181220-gr29zq1o 233 7 . . .