id sid tid token lemma pos cord-216208-kn0njkqg 1 1 key key JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 1 2 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 1 3 cord-216208-kn0njkqg cord-216208-kn0njkqg ADD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 1 authors author NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 2 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 3 Botha Botha NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 4 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 5 Andr'e Andr'e NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 6 E. E. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 7 ; ; : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 8 Dednam Dednam NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 9 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 10 Wynand Wynand NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 11 title title NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 12 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 13 A a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 14 simple simple JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 15 iterative iterative JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 16 map map NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 17 forecast forecast NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 18 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 19 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 21 pandemic pandemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 22 date date NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 23 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 24 2020 2020 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 25 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 26 03 03 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 27 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 28 23 23 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 29 journal journal NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 2 30 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 1 nan nan NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 3 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 4 nan nan NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 5 sha sha NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 6 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 7 9cf12ba53d54e87f9356435425ea1cde99e46328 9cf12ba53d54e87f9356435425ea1cde99e46328 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 8 doc_id doc_id CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 9 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 10 216208 216208 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 11 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 3 12 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 4 1 kn0njkqg kn0njkqg . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 2 develop develop VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 3 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 4 simple simple JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 5 3-dimensional 3-dimensional CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 6 iterative iterative JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 7 map map NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 8 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 9 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 10 forecast forecast VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 11 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 12 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 13 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 14 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 15 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 16 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 17 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 5 18 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 2 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 3 contains contain VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 4 at at IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 5 most most RBS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 6 two two CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 7 fitting fitting JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 9 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 10 which which WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 12 determine determine VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 13 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 14 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 15 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 16 supplied supply VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 17 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 18 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 19 world world NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 20 health health NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 21 organisation organisation NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 22 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 23 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 24 total total JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 25 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 26 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 27 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 28 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 29 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 30 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 31 each each DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 32 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 6 33 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 2 find find VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 3 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 5 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 6 provides provide VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 7 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 8 surprisingly surprisingly RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 9 good good JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 10 fit fit NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 11 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 13 currently currently RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 14 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 15 available available JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 16 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 18 which which WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 19 exhibits exhibit VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 20 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 21 cross cross NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 22 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 23 over over RP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 24 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 25 exponential exponential JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 26 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 27 power power NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 28 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 29 law law NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 30 growth growth NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 31 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 32 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 33 lock lock JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 34 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 35 down down RP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 36 measures measure NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 37 begin begin VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 38 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 39 take take VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 40 effect effect NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 7 41 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 1 Before before IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 2 these these DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 3 measures measure NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 4 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 6 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 7 predicts predict VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 9 growth growth NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 10 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 11 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 12 30 30 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 13 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 14 69 69 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 15 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 16 starting start VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 17 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 18 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 19 date date NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 20 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 21 which which WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 22 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 23 world world NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 24 health health NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 25 organisation organisation NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 26 provided provide VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 27 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 28 first first JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 29 ` ` '' cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 30 Situation Situation NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 31 report report NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 32 ' ' '' cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 34 21 21 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 35 January January NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 8 36 2020 2020 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 9 1 $ $ $ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 9 2 -$ -$ NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 9 3 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 9 4 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 9 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 9 6 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 1 Based base VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 2 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 3 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 4 initial initial JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 5 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 6 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 7 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 8 may may MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 9 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 10 expected expect VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 11 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 12 infect infect VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 13 approximately approximately RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 14 23 23 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 15 % % NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 16 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 17 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 18 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 19 population population NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 20 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 21 i.e. i.e. FW cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 22 about about RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 23 1.76 1.76 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 24 billion billion CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 25 people people NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 26 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 27 taking take VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 28 approximately approximately RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 29 83 83 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 30 million million CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 31 lives life NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 10 32 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 1 Under under IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 2 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 3 scenario scenario NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 4 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 5 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 6 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 7 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 8 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 9 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 10 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 11 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 12 predicted predict VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 13 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 14 peak peak VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 15 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 16 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 17 133 133 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 19 about about IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 20 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 21 middle middle NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 22 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 23 May May NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 24 2020 2020 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 26 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 27 with with IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 28 an an DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 29 estimated estimate VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 30 60 60 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 31 million million CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 32 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 33 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 34 per per IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 35 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 11 36 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 1 If if IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 2 current current JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 3 lock lock VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 4 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 5 down down RP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 6 measures measure NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 7 can can MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 8 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 9 maintained maintain VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 10 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 11 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 12 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 13 predicts predict VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 14 power power NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 15 law law NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 16 growth growth NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 17 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 18 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 19 69 69 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 20 onward onward RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 12 21 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 1 Such such JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 2 growth growth NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 3 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 4 comparatively comparatively RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 5 slow slow JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 6 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 7 would would MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 8 have have VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 9 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 10 continue continue VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 11 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 12 several several JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 13 decades decade NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 14 before before IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 15 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 16 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 17 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 18 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 19 people people NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 21 at at RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 22 least least RBS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 23 23 23 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 24 % % NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 25 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 26 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 27 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 28 population population NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 30 have have VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 31 developed develop VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 32 immunity immunity NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 33 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 34 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 35 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 36 through through IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 37 being be VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 38 infected infect VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 13 39 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 1 Lock lock VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 2 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 3 down down RP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 4 measures measure NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 5 appear appear VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 6 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 7 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 8 very very RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 9 effective effective JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 10 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 11 postponing postpone VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 13 unimaginably unimaginably RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 14 large large JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 15 peak peak NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 16 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 17 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 18 daily daily JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 19 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 20 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 21 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 22 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 23 that that WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 24 would would MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 25 occur occur VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 26 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 27 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 28 absence absence NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 29 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 30 any any DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 31 interventions intervention NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 14 32 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 1 However however RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 2 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 3 should should MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 4 these these DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 5 measure measure NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 6 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 7 relaxed relax VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 8 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 9 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 10 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 11 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 13 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 14 will will MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 15 most most RBS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 16 likely likely RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 17 revert revert VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 18 back back RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 19 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 20 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 21 original original JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 22 exponential exponential JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 23 growth growth NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 24 pattern pattern NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 15 25 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 1 As as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 2 such such JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 3 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 5 duration duration NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 6 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 7 severity severity NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 8 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 9 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 10 lock lock VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 11 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 12 down down RP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 13 measures measure NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 14 should should MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 15 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 16 carefully carefully RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 17 timed time VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 18 against against IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 19 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 20 potentially potentially RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 21 devastating devastating JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 22 impact impact NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 23 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 24 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 25 world world NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 26 economy economy NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 16 27 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 1 March March NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 2 2020 2020 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 3 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 5 world world NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 6 health health NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 7 organisation organisation NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 9 WHO who WP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 11 characterised characterise VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 13 2019 2019 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 15 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 16 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 17 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 19 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 21 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 22 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 23 pandemic pandemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 24 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 25 referring refer VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 26 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 27 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 28 prevalence prevalence NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 29 throughout throughout IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 30 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 31 whole whole JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 32 world world NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 33 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 17 34 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 2 outbreak outbreak NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 3 started start VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 4 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 5 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 6 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 7 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 8 an an DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 9 unknown unknown JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 10 cause cause NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 11 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 12 which which WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 13 was be VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 14 first first RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 15 detected detect VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 16 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 17 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 18 city city NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 19 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 20 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 21 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 22 China China NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 18 23 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 2 was be VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 3 reported report VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 4 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 5 such such JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 6 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 8 WHO WHO NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 9 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 10 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 11 31st 31st JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 12 December December NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 13 2019 2019 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 14 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 15 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 16 has have VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 17 since since IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 18 reached reach VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 20 proportions proportion NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 21 within within IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 22 China China NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 23 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 24 where where WRB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 26 has have VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 27 infected infect VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 28 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 29 than than IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 30 80 80 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 31 000 000 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 32 citizens citizen NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 33 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 34 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 35 date date NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 19 36 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 1 During during IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 3 first first JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 4 six six CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 5 weeks week NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 6 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 7 2020 2020 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 9 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 10 spread spread VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 11 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 12 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 13 than than IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 14 140 140 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 15 other other JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 16 countries country NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 18 creating create VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 19 wide wide JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 20 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 21 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 22 political political JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 23 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 24 economic economic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 25 turmoil turmoil NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 26 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 27 due due IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 28 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 29 unprecedented unprecedented JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 30 levels level NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 31 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 32 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 33 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 34 severity severity NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 20 35 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 2 rapid rapid JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 3 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 4 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 5 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 6 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 7 fuelled fuel VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 8 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 9 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 10 fact fact NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 11 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 13 majority majority NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 14 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 15 infected infected JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 16 people people NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 17 do do VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 18 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 19 experience experience VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 20 severe severe JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 21 symptoms symptom NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 22 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 23 thus thus RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 24 making make VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 26 more more RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 27 likely likely JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 28 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 29 them -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 30 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 31 remain remain VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 32 mobile mobile JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 33 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 34 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 35 hence hence RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 36 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 37 infect infect VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 38 others other NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 39 2 2 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 21 40 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 1 At at IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 3 same same JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 4 time time NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 5 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 6 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 7 can can MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 8 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 9 lethal lethal JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 10 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 11 some some DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 12 members member NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 13 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 14 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 15 population population NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 16 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 17 having have VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 18 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 19 globally globally RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 20 averaged average VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 21 fatality fatality NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 22 ratio ratio NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 23 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 24 4.7 4.7 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 25 % % NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 26 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 27 so so RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 28 far far RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 22 29 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 2 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 3 most most RBS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 4 likely likely JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 5 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 6 particular particular JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 7 combination combination NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 8 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 9 traits trait NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 10 that that WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 11 has have VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 12 made make VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 13 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 16 one one CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 17 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 18 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 19 largest large JJS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 20 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 21 recorded record VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 22 history history NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 23 23 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 2 late late JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 3 2002 2002 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 4 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 5 early early JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 6 2003 2003 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 7 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 8 similar similar JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 10 took take VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 11 place place NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 12 with with IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 13 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 14 occurrence occurrence NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 15 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 16 severe severe JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 17 acute acute JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 18 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 19 syndrome syndrome NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 21 SARS SARS NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 24 23 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 1 Although although IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 3 etiological etiological JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 4 agent agent NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 5 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 6 SARS SARS NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 7 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 8 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 9 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 10 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 11 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 13 virus virus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 14 was be VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 15 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 16 able able JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 17 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 18 spread spread VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 19 as as RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 20 widely widely RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 21 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 22 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 23 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 24 current current JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 25 case case NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 25 26 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 1 One one CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 2 possibility possibility NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 3 why why WRB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 5 SARS SARS NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 7 was be VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 8 less less RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 9 devastating devastating JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 10 than than IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 11 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 12 current current JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 13 outbreak outbreak NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 14 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 15 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 16 paradoxically paradoxically RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 18 due due IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 19 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 20 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 21 much much RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 22 higher high JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 23 fatality fatality NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 24 ratio ratio NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 26 almost almost RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 27 10 10 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 28 % % NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 29 globally globally RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 31 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 32 making make VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 33 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 34 too too RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 35 severe severe JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 36 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 37 spread spread VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 38 easily easily RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 26 39 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 1 While while IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 2 there there EX cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 3 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 4 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 5 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 6 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 7 models model NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 8 available available JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 9 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 10 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 11 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 12 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 13 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 14 infectious infectious JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 15 diseases disease NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 16 3 3 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 18 some some DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 19 even even RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 20 containing contain VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 21 very very RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 22 sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 23 traffic traffic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 24 layers layer NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 25 4 4 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 26 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 27 relatively relatively RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 28 few few JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 29 researchers researcher NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 30 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 31 making make VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 32 use use NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 33 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 34 simpler simple JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 35 models model NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 36 that that WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 37 can can MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 38 provide provide VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 39 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 40 big big JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 41 picture picture NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 42 without without IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 43 difficult difficult JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 44 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 45 interpret interpret VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 46 unambiguously unambiguously RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 27 47 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 3 latter latter JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 4 category category NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 5 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 6 relatively relatively RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 7 simple simple JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 8 models model NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 10 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 11 find find VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 12 only only RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 13 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 14 discrete discrete JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 16 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 17 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 18 SARS SARS NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 19 5 5 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 20 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 21 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 22 more more RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 23 recently recently RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 24 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 25 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 26 comparison comparison NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 27 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 28 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 29 logistic logistic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 30 growth growth NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 31 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 32 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 33 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 34 infected infected JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 35 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 36 recovered recovered JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 38 SIR SIR NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 40 models model NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 41 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 42 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 43 6 6 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 28 44 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 3 present present JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 4 work work NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 6 develop develop VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 7 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 8 simple simple JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 9 discrete discrete JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 10 3-dimensional 3-dimensional CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 11 iterative iterative JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 12 map map NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 13 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 14 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 15 which which WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 16 shares share VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 17 some some DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 18 similarities similarity NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 19 with with IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 20 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 21 classic classic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 22 SIR SIR NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 23 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 29 24 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 2 show show VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 3 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 5 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 6 fits fit VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 8 currently currently RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 9 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 10 available available JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 11 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 12 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 13 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 30 15 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 2 fact fact NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 3 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 5 available available JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 6 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 7 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 9 pandemic pandemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 10 can can MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 11 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 12 fitted fit VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 13 well well RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 14 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 15 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 16 simple simple JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 17 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 18 such such JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 19 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 20 ours ours JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 21 suggests suggest VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 22 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 23 past past JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 24 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 25 current current JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 26 interventions intervention NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 27 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 28 curb curb VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 29 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 30 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 31 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 32 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 33 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 34 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 35 globally globally RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 36 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 37 may may MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 38 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 39 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 40 very very RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 41 effective effective JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 31 42 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 1 As as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 2 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 3 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 4 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 5 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 6 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 7 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 9 use use VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 10 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 11 3-dimensional 3-dimensional JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 12 iterative iterative JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 13 map map NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 14 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 15 given give VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 16 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 17 where where WRB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 18 x x NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 19 i i PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 20 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 21 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 22 total total JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 23 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 24 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 25 confirmed confirm VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 26 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 32 27 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 1 y y NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 2 i i PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 3 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 5 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 6 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 7 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 8 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 9 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 33 10 z z NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 1 i i PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 2 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 3 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 4 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 5 population population NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 6 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 7 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 8 any any DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 9 given give VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 10 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 34 11 i. i. NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 2 denote denote VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 3 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 4 only only JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 5 fitting fitting JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 6 parameter parameter NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 7 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 8 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 9 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 10 while while IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 11 c c NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 12 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 13 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 14 fixed fix VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 15 parameter parameter NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 16 equal equal JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 17 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 18 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 19 fraction fraction NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 20 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 21 people people NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 22 who who WP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 23 have have VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 24 died die VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 25 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 26 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 27 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 35 28 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 1 According accord VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 2 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 3 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 4 latest late JJS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 5 available available JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 6 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 7 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 9 WHO WHO NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 11 see see VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 12 Table table NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 13 2 2 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 14 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 15 Methods method NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 18 c c NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 19 = = SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 20 0.04719 0.04719 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 36 21 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 1 By by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 2 using use VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 3 Levenberg Levenberg NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 4 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 5 Marquardt Marquardt NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 7 least least JJS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 8 squares square NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 10 optimisation optimisation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 11 7 7 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 13 find find VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 14 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 15 = = SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 16 1.14594 1.14594 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 18 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 19 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 20 initial initial JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 21 condition condition NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 22 x x SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 37 23 30 30 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 38 1 = = LS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 38 2 75152 75152 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 39 1 y y NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 39 2 30 30 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 39 3 = = SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 39 4 359.63 359.63 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 39 5 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 39 6 z z NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 39 7 30 30 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 40 1 = = SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 40 2 z z NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 40 3 0 0 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 40 4 = = NFP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 41 1 7.7000 7.7000 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 41 2 × × NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 41 3 10 10 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 41 4 9 9 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 41 5 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 2 briefly briefly RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 3 describe describe VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 5 physical physical JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 6 content content NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 7 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 8 Eqs Eqs NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 42 9 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 43 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 43 2 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 43 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 43 4 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 2 first first JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 3 equation equation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 4 simply simply RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 5 updates update VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 6 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 7 total total JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 8 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 9 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 10 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 11 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 12 setting set VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 14 equal equal JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 15 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 16 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 17 previous previous JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 18 total total JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 19 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 20 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 21 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 22 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 23 plus plus CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 24 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 25 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 26 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 27 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 28 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 44 29 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 1 Here here RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 3 factor factor NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 4 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 5 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 6 / / SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 7 z z NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 8 0 0 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 9 has have VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 10 been be VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 11 introduced introduce VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 12 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 13 convenience convenience NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 14 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 15 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 16 ensure ensure VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 17 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 18 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 19 proportionality proportionality NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 20 constant constant JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 21 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 22 remains remain VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 23 close close JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 24 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 25 unity unity NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 45 26 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 3 second second JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 4 equation equation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 5 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 6 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 7 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 8 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 9 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 10 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 11 assumed assume VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 12 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 13 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 14 proportional proportional JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 15 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 16 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 17 previous previous JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 18 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 19 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 20 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 21 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 22 multiplied multiply VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 23 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 24 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 25 previous previous JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 26 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 27 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 28 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 29 people people NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 46 30 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 2 third third JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 3 equation equation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 4 keeps keep VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 5 track track NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 6 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 8 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 9 population population NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 10 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 11 subtracting subtract VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 13 estimated estimate VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 14 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 15 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 16 people people NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 17 who who WP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 18 have have VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 19 died die VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 20 each each DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 21 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 22 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 23 based base VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 24 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 25 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 26 fraction fraction NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 27 c. c. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 28 Figure Figure NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 29 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 30 shows show VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 31 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 32 comparison comparison NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 33 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 34 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 35 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 36 with with IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 37 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 38 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 39 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 40 as as RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 41 well well RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 42 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 43 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 44 forecast forecast NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 45 made make VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 46 up up RP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 47 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 48 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 49 200th 200th JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 50 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 47 51 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 48 1 As as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 48 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 48 3 see see VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 48 4 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 48 5 Table Table NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 48 6 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 48 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 48 8 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 2 forecast forecast NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 3 made make VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 4 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 5 Figure figure NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 6 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 8 b b NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 11 corresponding correspond VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 12 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 13 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 14 last last JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 15 row row NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 16 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 17 Table table NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 18 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 20 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 21 predicts predict VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 22 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 23 approximately approximately RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 24 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 25 quarter quarter NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 26 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 27 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 28 worlds world NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 29 population population NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 30 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 31 i.e. i.e. FW cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 32 ≈ ≈ NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 33 1.83/7.7 1.83/7.7 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 34 = = SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 35 0.24 0.24 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 36 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 37 would would MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 38 have have VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 39 had have VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 40 COVID-19 COVID-19 VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 41 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 42 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 43 200th 200th JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 44 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 49 45 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 2 peak peak NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 3 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 5 pandemic pandemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 6 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 7 expected expect VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 8 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 9 occur occur VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 10 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 11 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 12 129 129 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 13 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 14 when when WRB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 15 about about IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 16 65 65 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 17 million million CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 18 daily daily JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 19 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 20 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 21 can can MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 22 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 23 expected expect VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 50 24 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 2 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 3 predict predict VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 4 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 5 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 6 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 7 beginning beginning NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 8 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 9 August August NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 10 2020 2020 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 11 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 12 hardly hardly RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 13 any any DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 14 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 15 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 16 should should MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 17 occur occur VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 18 ; ; : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 19 however however RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 20 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 21 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 22 total total JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 23 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 24 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 25 lives life NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 26 lost lose VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 27 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 28 then then RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 29 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 30 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 31 as as RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 32 high high JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 33 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 34 86 86 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 35 million million CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 51 36 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 2 Table table NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 3 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 5 see see VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 6 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 8 fitting fitting JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 9 parameter parameter NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 10 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 11 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 12 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 13 hence hence RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 14 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 15 predictions prediction NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 16 made make VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 17 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 18 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 19 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 20 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 21 do do VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 22 change change VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 23 somewhat somewhat RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 24 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 25 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 26 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 27 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 28 available available JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 29 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 30 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 31 used use VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 32 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 33 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 34 fitting fitting JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 35 procedure procedure NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 52 36 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 1 To to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 2 see see VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 3 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 4 variation variation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 5 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 6 α α NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 7 more more RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 8 clearly clearly RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 10 have have VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 11 plotted plot VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 13 first first JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 14 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 15 second second JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 16 columns column NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 17 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 18 Table Table NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 19 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 20 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 21 Figure figure NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 22 2 2 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 53 23 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 2 shows show VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 3 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 4 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 5 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 6 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 7 data data NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 8 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 9 used use VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 10 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 11 there there EX cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 12 seems seem VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 13 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 14 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 15 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 16 general general JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 17 upward upward JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 18 trend trend NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 19 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 20 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 21 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 22 until until IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 23 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 24 64 64 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 54 25 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 1 At at IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 3 same same JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 4 time time NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 5 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 6 increase increase NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 7 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 8 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 9 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 10 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 11 monotonic monotonic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 12 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 13 since since IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 14 α α NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 15 appears appear VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 16 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 17 oscillate oscillate VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 55 18 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 1 While while IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 3 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 4 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 5 sure sure JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 6 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 7 at at IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 8 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 9 stage stage NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 10 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 11 whether whether IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 12 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 13 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 14 converging converge VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 15 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 16 or or CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 17 whether whether IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 19 will will MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 20 continue continue VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 21 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 22 increase increase VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 24 or or CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 25 decrease decrease VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 27 generally generally RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 28 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 29 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 30 future future NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 31 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 32 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 33 note note VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 34 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 35 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 36 variations variation NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 37 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 38 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 39 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 40 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 41 predictions prediction NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 42 made make VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 43 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 44 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 45 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 46 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 47 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 48 relatively relatively RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 49 small small JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 50 over over IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 51 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 52 last last JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 53 two two CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 54 weeks week NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 56 55 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 1 Thus thus RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 3 seems seem VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 4 like like IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 5 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 6 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 7 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 8 data data NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 9 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 10 used use VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 11 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 12 calculate calculate VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 13 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 14 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 15 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 16 variations variation NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 17 will will MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 18 become become VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 19 smaller small JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 57 20 -assuming -assuming NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 1 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 2 there there EX cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 3 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 4 no no DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 5 systematic systematic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 6 errors error NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 7 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 9 current current JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 10 or or CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 11 future future JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 12 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 14 see see VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 15 Discussion Discussion NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 58 17 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 1 Last last JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 2 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 3 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 4 x x NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 5 200 200 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 6 × × NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 7 10 10 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 8 9 9 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 9 max{y max{y NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 10 } } -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 59 11 × × NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 60 1 10 10 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 60 2 6 6 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 60 3 Day Day NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 60 4 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 60 5 max{y max{y NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 60 6 } } -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 2 Figure figure NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 3 2 2 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 5 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 6 plot plot VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 8 blue blue JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 9 solid solid JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 10 line line NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 61 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 1 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 2 mean mean NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 3 valueᾱ valueᾱ NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 4 = = SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 5 1.156 1.156 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 6 over over IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 8 last last JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 9 ten ten CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 10 days day NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 62 11 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 2 oscillations oscillation NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 3 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 5 calculated calculate VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 6 data data NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 7 points point NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 8 about about IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 9 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 10 line line NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 11 give give VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 12 an an DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 13 indication indication NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 14 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 15 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 16 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 17 inᾱ inᾱ VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 18 over over IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 19 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 20 last last JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 21 ten ten CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 22 days day NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 63 23 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 1 As as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 2 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 3 rough rough JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 4 estimate estimate NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 5 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 6 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 7 Figure figure NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 8 2 2 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 64 9 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 1 Variation variation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 2 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 3 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 4 fitting fitting JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 5 parameter parameter NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 6 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 7 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 8 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 9 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 10 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 11 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 13 available available JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 14 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 15 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 16 used use VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 17 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 18 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 19 fitting fitting JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 20 procedure procedure NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 65 21 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 2 see see VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 3 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 5 value value NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 6 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 7 α α NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 8 seems seem VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 9 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 10 have have VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 11 stabilised stabilise VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 12 over over IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 13 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 14 last last JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 15 ten ten CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 16 days day NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 18 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 19 discussed discuss VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 20 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 21 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 22 main main JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 23 text text NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 66 24 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 1 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 2 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 3 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 4 predictions prediction NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 5 made make VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 6 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 8 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 9 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 11 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 12 calculate calculate VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 13 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 14 means mean NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 15 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 16 standard standard JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 17 deviations deviation NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 18 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 19 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 20 other other JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 21 quantities quantity NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 22 that that WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 23 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 24 given give VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 25 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 26 last last JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 27 ten ten NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 28 rows row NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 29 given give VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 30 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 31 Table Table NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 32 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 67 33 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 1 This this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 2 results result VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 3 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 4 x x SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 5 200 200 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 6 = = NFP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 8 1.94 1.94 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 9 ± ± CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 10 0.06 0.06 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 12 billion billion CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 13 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 14 max{y max{y NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 15 } } -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 68 16 = = NFP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 2 74 74 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 3 ± ± CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 4 5 5 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 6 million million CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 7 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 8 peak peak NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 9 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 10 = = SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 11 126 126 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 12 ± ± NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 13 2 2 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 14 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 15 ' ' `` cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 16 Deaths death NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 17 ' ' '' cord-216208-kn0njkqg 69 18 = = NFP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 70 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 70 2 86 86 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 70 3 ± ± NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 70 4 3 3 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 70 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 70 6 million million CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 70 7 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 1 While while IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 3 realise realise VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 4 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 5 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 6 method method NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 7 may may MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 8 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 9 result result VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 10 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 11 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 12 estimates estimate NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 13 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 14 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 15 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 16 involved involve VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 19 provide provide VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 21 here here RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 22 merely merely RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 23 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 24 rough rough JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 25 estimate estimate NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 26 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 27 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 28 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 29 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 30 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 31 simple simple JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 32 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 33 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 34 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 35 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 36 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 37 3/7 3/7 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 38 coming come VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 39 in in RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 40 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 41 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 42 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 43 pandemic pandemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 44 continues continue VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 71 45 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 1 From from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 3 trend trend NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 4 that that WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 5 can can MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 6 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 7 seen see VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 8 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 9 Table Table NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 10 1 1 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 11 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 13 seems seem VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 14 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 15 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 16 current current JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 17 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 18 actually actually RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 19 provides provide VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 20 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 21 best good JJS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 22 case case NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 23 scenario scenario NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 24 prediction prediction NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 25 since since IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 26 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 27 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 28 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 29 data data NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 30 becomes become VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 31 available available JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 32 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 33 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 34 resulting result VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 35 predictions prediction NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 36 become become VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 37 less less RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 38 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 39 less less RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 40 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 41 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 42 i.e. i.e. FW cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 43 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 44 terms term NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 45 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 46 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 47 total total JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 48 number number NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 49 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 50 lives life NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 51 lost lose VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 52 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 53 etc etc FW cord-216208-kn0njkqg 72 54 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 2 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 3 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 5 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 6 spreads spread VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 7 there there EX cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 8 will will MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 9 probably probably RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 10 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 11 many many JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 12 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 13 unreported unreported JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 14 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 15 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 16 either either CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 17 due due IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 18 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 19 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 20 responses response NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 21 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 22 or or CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 23 simple simple JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 24 because because IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 25 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 26 numbers number NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 27 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 28 now now RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 29 becoming become VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 30 too too RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 31 large large JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 32 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 33 manage manage VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 35 see see VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 36 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 37 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 73 38 example example NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 74 1 Ref ref NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 74 2 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 74 3 8 8 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 74 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 74 5 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 2 developing develop VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 3 countries country NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 4 such such JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 5 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 6 South South NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 7 Africa Africa NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 8 there there EX cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 9 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 10 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 11 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 12 relatively relatively RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 13 large large JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 14 percentage percentage NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 15 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 16 people people NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 17 with with IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 18 compromised compromise VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 19 immunity immunity NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 20 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 21 due due IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 22 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 23 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 24 high high JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 25 prevalence prevalence NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 26 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 27 human human JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 28 immunodeficiency immunodeficiency NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 29 virus virus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 31 HIV HIV NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 33 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 34 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 35 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 36 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 37 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 38 result result VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 39 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 40 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 41 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 42 having have VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 43 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 44 much much RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 45 larger large JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 46 impact impact NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 47 than than IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 48 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 49 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 50 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 51 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 52 current current JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 53 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 54 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 55 shows show NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 75 56 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 1 Another another DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 2 factor factor NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 3 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 4 consider consider VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 5 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 6 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 7 reliability reliability NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 8 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 9 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 10 WHO WHO NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 11 data data VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 12 itself -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 76 13 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 1 At at IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 2 present present NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 3 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 4 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 5 data data NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 6 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 7 probably probably RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 9 most most RBS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 10 accurate accurate JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 12 will will MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 13 ever ever RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 14 have have VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 77 15 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 1 However however RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 2 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 3 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 4 things thing NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 5 progress progress VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 6 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 7 there there EX cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 8 will will MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 9 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 10 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 11 much much RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 12 greater great JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 13 chance chance NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 14 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 15 unreported unreported JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 16 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 18 since since IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 19 people people NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 20 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 21 now now RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 22 being be VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 23 instructed instruct VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 24 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 25 contact contact VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 26 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 27 hospitals hospital NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 28 only only RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 29 if if IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 30 they -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 31 experience experience VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 32 severe severe JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 33 symptoms symptom NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 78 34 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 1 This this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 2 means mean VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 3 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 4 all all DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 5 other other JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 6 cases case NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 7 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 8 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 9 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 10 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 11 tested test VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 12 / / SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 13 confirmed confirm VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 79 14 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 2 present present JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 3 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 4 does do VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 5 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 6 take take VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 7 into into IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 8 account account NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 9 such such JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 10 details detail NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 80 11 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 1 One one PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 2 can can MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 3 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 4 course course NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 5 try try VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 6 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 7 answer answer VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 8 more more RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 9 specific specific JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 10 questions question NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 11 with with IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 12 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 13 more more RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 14 sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 15 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 16 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 17 like like IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 18 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 19 discrete discrete JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 20 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 21 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 22 mentioned mention VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 23 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 24 SARS SARS NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 25 5 5 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 26 ; ; : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 27 however however RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 28 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 29 here here RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 30 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 31 have have VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 32 been be VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 33 more more RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 34 interested interested JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 35 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 36 developing develop VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 37 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 38 very very RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 39 simple simple JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 40 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 41 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 42 brushes brush VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 43 over over IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 44 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 45 details detail NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 46 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 47 only only RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 48 captures capture VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 49 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 50 essential essential JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 51 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 52 large large JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 53 scale scale NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 54 behaviour behaviour NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 81 55 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 1 As as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 3 have have VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 4 already already RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 5 alluded allude VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 6 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 7 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 9 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 10 may may MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 11 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 12 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 13 suitable suitable JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 14 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 15 individual individual JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 16 countries country NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 18 because because IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 20 does do VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 21 not not RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 22 include include VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 23 many many JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 24 factors factor NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 25 that that WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 26 may may MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 27 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 28 necessary necessary JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 29 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 30 predict predict VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 31 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 32 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 33 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 34 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 35 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 36 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 37 specific specific JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 38 situations situation NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 82 39 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 1 Additionally additionally RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 2 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 3 one one PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 4 must must MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 5 realise realise VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 6 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 8 population population NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 9 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 10 one one CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 11 country country NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 12 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 13 much much RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 14 smaller small JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 15 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 16 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 17 world world NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 18 's 's POS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 19 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 20 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 21 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 22 initial initial JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 23 interventions intervention NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 24 taken take VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 25 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 26 range range VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 27 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 28 minimal minimal JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 29 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 30 very very RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 31 severe severe JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 32 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 33 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 34 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 35 Italy Italy NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 36 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 37 China China NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 38 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 39 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 40 example example NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 83 41 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 2 contrast contrast NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 3 with with IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 4 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 5 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 6 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 7 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 8 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 9 scale scale NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 10 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 11 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 12 population population NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 13 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 14 essentially essentially RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 15 limitless limitless JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 16 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 17 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 19 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 20 nearly nearly RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 21 impossible impossible JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 22 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 23 impose impose VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 24 restrictions restriction NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 25 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 26 everybody everybody NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 84 27 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 1 Hence hence RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 2 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 4 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 6 contention contention NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 7 that that IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 9 virus virus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 10 will will MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 11 spread spread VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 12 more more RBR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 13 naturally naturally RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 14 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 15 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 16 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 17 scale scale NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 18 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 19 almost almost RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 20 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 21 if if IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 23 were be VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 24 left leave VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 25 completely completely RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 26 unchecked unchecked JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 85 27 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 2 direct direct JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 3 human human JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 4 cost cost NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 5 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 6 such such PDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 7 an an DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 8 unchecked unchecked JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 9 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 10 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 11 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 12 truly truly RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 13 devastating devastating JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 14 9 9 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 86 15 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 1 On on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 3 one one CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 4 hand hand NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 6 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 7 result result VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 8 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 9 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 10 catastrophic catastrophic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 11 loss loss NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 12 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 13 tens ten NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 14 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 15 millions million NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 16 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 17 lives life NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 18 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 19 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 20 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 21 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 22 predicts predict VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 23 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 24 but but CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 25 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 26 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 27 other other JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 28 hand hand NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 29 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 30 all all PDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 31 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 33 possibly possibly RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 34 ineffective ineffective JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 36 measures measure NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 37 being be VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 38 taken take VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 39 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 40 individual individual JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 41 countries country NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 42 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 43 contain contain VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 44 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 45 virus virus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 46 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 47 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 48 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 49 have have VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 50 fatal fatal JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 51 consequences consequence NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 87 52 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 1 So so RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 2 far far RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 3 these these DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 4 measures measure NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 5 have have VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 6 included include VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 7 enforced enforce VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 8 quarantine quarantine NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 9 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 10 which which WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 11 has have VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 12 led lead VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 13 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 14 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 15 severe severe JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 16 slowdown slowdown NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 17 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 18 economic economic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 19 activity activity NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 20 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 21 manufacturing manufacturing NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 22 production production NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 23 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 24 principally principally RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 25 due due IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 26 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 27 declining decline VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 28 consumption consumption NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 29 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 30 disrupted disrupt VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 31 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 32 supply supply NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 33 chains chain NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 34 10 10 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 88 35 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 2 As as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 3 an an DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 4 example example NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 5 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 6 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 7 severity severity NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 8 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 9 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 10 slowdown slowdown NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 11 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 12 production production NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 13 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 14 several several JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 15 major major JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 16 car car NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 17 manufacturers manufacturer NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 18 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 19 gradually gradually RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 20 halting halt VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 21 production production NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 22 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 23 major major JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 24 manufacturing manufacturing NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 25 hubs hub NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 26 throughout throughout IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 27 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 28 developed developed JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 29 world world NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 30 11 11 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 31 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 89 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 1 This this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 2 decline decline NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 3 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 4 coupled couple VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 5 with with IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 6 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 7 associated associate VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 8 economic economic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 9 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 10 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 11 has have VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 12 had have VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 13 knock knock VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 14 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 15 effects effect NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 16 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 17 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 18 form form NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 19 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 20 historically historically RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 21 unprecedented unprecedented JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 22 stock stock NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 23 market market NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 24 falls fall VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 25 12 12 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 90 26 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 1 Although although IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 3 stock stock NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 4 market market NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 5 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 6 more more JJR cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 7 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 8 an an DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 9 indicator indicator NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 10 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 11 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 12 future future JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 13 value value NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 14 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 15 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 16 profits profit NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 17 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 18 listed list VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 19 corporations corporation NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 20 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 21 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 22 collapsed collapse VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 23 share share NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 24 prices price NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 25 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 26 trigger trigger VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 27 severe severe JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 28 financial financial JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 29 crises crisis NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 30 because because IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 31 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 32 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 33 spike spike NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 34 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 35 bankruptcies bankruptcy NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 91 36 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 2 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 3 debt debt NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 4 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 5 US US NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 6 corporations corporation NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 7 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 9 highest high JJS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 11 has have VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 12 ever ever RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 13 been be VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 14 13 13 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 15 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 92 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 2 inevitable inevitable JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 3 loss loss NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 4 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 5 jobs job NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 6 will will MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 7 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 8 lead lead VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 9 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 10 an an DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 11 inability inability NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 12 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 13 pay pay VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 14 bills bill NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 15 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 16 mortgages mortgage NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 18 increased increase VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 19 levels level NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 20 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 21 crime crime NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 22 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 23 etc etc FW cord-216208-kn0njkqg 93 24 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 2 principle principle NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 3 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 4 such such PDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 5 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 6 major major JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 7 decline decline NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 8 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 9 economic economic JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 10 conditions condition NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 11 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 12 also also RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 13 result result VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 14 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 15 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 16 large large JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 17 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 18 scale scale NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 19 loss loss NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 20 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 21 life life NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 22 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 23 which which WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 24 should should MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 25 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 26 weighed weigh VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 27 carefully carefully RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 28 against against IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 29 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 30 direct direct JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 31 effects effect NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 32 that that WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 33 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 34 unimpeded unimpeded JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 35 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 36 spread spread NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 37 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 38 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 39 have have VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 94 40 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 2 have have VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 3 fitted fit VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 5 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 6 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 8 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 9 shown show VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 10 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 11 Table Table NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 12 2 2 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 95 13 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 1 For for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 3 reader reader NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 4 's 's POS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 5 convenience convenience NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 6 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 8 complete complete JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 9 python python NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 10 script script NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 11 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 13 optimisation optimisation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 14 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 15 provided provide VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 16 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 17 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 18 following following JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 19 page page NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 96 20 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 1 In in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 2 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 3 script script NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 4 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 5 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 6 function function NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 7 leastsq leastsq NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 10 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 11 imported import VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 12 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 13 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 14 module module NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 15 scipy.optimize scipy.optimize NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 16 15 15 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 18 uses use VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 19 Levenberg Levenberg NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 20 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 21 Marquardt Marquardt NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 22 optimization optimization NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 23 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 24 minimize minimize VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 25 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 26 residual residual JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 27 vector vector NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 28 returned return VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 29 by by IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 30 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 31 function function NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 32 ef ef NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 97 35 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 2 function function NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 3 leastsq leastsq NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 6 is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 7 called call VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 8 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 9 within within IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 10 main main JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 13 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 14 which which WDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 15 reads read VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 16 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 17 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 18 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 19 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 20 sets set VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 21 up up RP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 22 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 23 initial initial JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 24 parameter parameter NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 25 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 26 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 27 other other JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 28 two two CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 29 quantities quantity NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 31 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 32 initial initial JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 33 values value NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 34 x[0 x[0 VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 36 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 37 y[0 y[0 NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 40 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 41 optimisation optimisation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 98 42 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 1 These these DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 2 three three CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 3 quantities quantity NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 4 are be VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 5 then then RB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 6 passed pass VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 7 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 8 leastsq leastsq NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 11 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 12 via via IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 13 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 14 vector vector NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 15 v0 v0 NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 99 16 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 1 For for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 2 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 3 data datum NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 4 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 5 Table Table NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 6 2 2 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 7 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 9 output output NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 10 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 11 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 12 script script NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 13 should should MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 14 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 15 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 16 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 17 who who WP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 18 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 19 director director NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 20 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 21 general general JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 22 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 23 s s NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 24 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 25 opening open VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 26 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 27 remarks remark NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 28 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 29 at at IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 30 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 31 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 32 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 33 media media NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 34 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 35 briefing briefing NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 36 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 37 on on IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 38 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 39 covid covid NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 40 Covert covert JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 41 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 42 infections infection NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 43 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 44 be be VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 45 seeding seed VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 46 new new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 47 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 48 Insights insight NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 49 from from IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 50 early early JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 51 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 52 models model NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 53 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 54 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 55 acute acute JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 56 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 57 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 58 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 59 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 61 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 62 GLEAMviz gleamviz NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 100 63 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 2 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 3 epidemic epidemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 4 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 5 mobility mobility NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 6 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 7 A a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 8 discrete discrete JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 10 model model NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 11 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 12 SARS SARS NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 13 transmission transmission NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 14 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 15 control control NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 16 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 17 China China NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 18 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 19 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 20 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 21 final final JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 22 size size NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 23 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 24 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 25 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 27 An an DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 28 algorithm algorithm NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 29 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 30 least least JJS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 31 - - HYPH cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 32 squares square NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 33 estimation estimation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 34 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 35 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 36 parameters parameter NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 37 Test test VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 38 backlog backlog NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 39 skews skew VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 40 SA SA NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 41 's 's POS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 42 corona corona NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 43 stats stat NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 101 44 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 2 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 3 Mail Mail NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 4 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 5 Gardian Gardian NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 6 Virus Virus NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 7 could could MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 8 have have VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 9 killed kill VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 10 40 40 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 11 million million CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 12 without without IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 13 global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 14 response response NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 102 15 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 103 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 103 2 Nature Nature NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 103 3 News News NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 103 4 A A NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 1 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 2 Supply Supply NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 3 Chain Chain NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 4 Shock shock NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 5 Born bear VBN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 6 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 7 China China NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 8 Is be VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 104 9 Going go VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 105 1 Global global JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 105 2 -20 -20 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 105 3 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 105 4 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 1 Car car NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 2 production production NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 3 halts halt VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 4 at at IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 5 Ford Ford NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 6 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 7 VW VW NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 8 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 9 Nissan Nissan NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 10 -18 -18 SYM cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 11 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 12 : : : cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 13 FTSE FTSE NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 14 100 100 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 15 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 16 Dow Dow NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 17 , , , cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 18 S&P S&P NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 19 500 500 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 20 in in IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 21 worst bad JJS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 22 day day NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 23 since since IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 24 A a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 25 Modern Modern NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 26 Jubilee Jubilee NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 27 as as IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 28 a a DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 29 cure cure NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 30 to to IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 31 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 32 financial financial JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 33 ills ill NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 34 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 35 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 36 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 37 -3 -3 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 38 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 39 disease disease NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 41 covid-2019 covid-2019 NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 43 situation situation NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 44 reports report VBZ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 45 Python Python NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 46 scripting scripting NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 47 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 48 computational computational JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 49 science science NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 50 A. a. NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 51 E. E. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 52 B. B. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 53 would would MD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 54 like like VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 55 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 56 acknowledge acknowledge VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 57 M. M. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 58 Kolahchi Kolahchi NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 59 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 60 V. V. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 61 Hajnová Hajnová NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 62 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 63 helpful helpful JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 64 discussions discussion NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 65 about about IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 66 this this DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 67 work work NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 106 68 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 1 Both both DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 2 authors author NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 3 wish wish VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 4 to to TO cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 5 thank thank VB cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 6 A. A. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 7 Thomas Thomas NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 8 for for IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 9 uncovering uncover VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 10 some some DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 11 of of IN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 12 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 13 related related JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 14 literature literature NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 15 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 107 16 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 108 1 New new JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 108 2 Deaths death NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 108 3 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 1 30 30 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 3 75204 75204 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 4 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 5 1872 1872 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 6 2009 2009 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 7 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 8 31 31 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 109 9 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 110 1 75748 75748 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 110 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 111 1 548 548 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 111 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 111 3 2129 2129 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 111 4 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 112 1 32 32 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 112 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 113 1 76769 76769 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 113 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 114 1 1021 1021 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 115 1 2247 2247 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 115 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 116 1 33 33 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 116 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 116 3 77794 77794 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 116 4 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 116 5 599 599 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 116 6 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 116 7 2359 2359 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 116 8 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 117 1 34 34 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 117 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 117 3 78811 78811 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 117 4 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 118 1 1017 1017 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 119 1 2462 2462 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 119 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 1 35 35 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 3 79331 79331 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 4 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 5 715 715 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 6 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 7 2618 2618 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 8 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 9 36 36 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 10 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 11 80239 80239 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 12 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 13 908 908 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 120 14 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 121 1 2700 2700 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 121 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 122 1 37 37 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 122 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 122 3 81109 81109 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 122 4 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 123 1 871 871 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 123 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 123 3 2762 2762 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 123 4 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 124 1 38 38 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 124 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 125 1 82294 82294 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 125 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 1 1185 1185 CD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 2 _SP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 3 A. A. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 4 E. E. NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 5 B B NNP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 6 devised devise VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 7 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 8 research research NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 9 project project NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 10 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 11 performed perform VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 12 all all PDT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 13 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 14 numerical numerical JJ cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 15 simulations simulation NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 126 16 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 1 Both both DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 2 authors author NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 3 analysed analyse VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 4 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 5 results result NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 6 and and CC cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 7 wrote write VBD cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 8 the the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 9 paper paper NN cord-216208-kn0njkqg 127 10 . . . cord-216208-kn0njkqg 128 1 The the DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 128 2 authors author NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 128 3 declare declare VBP cord-216208-kn0njkqg 128 4 no no DT cord-216208-kn0njkqg 128 5 competing compete VBG cord-216208-kn0njkqg 128 6 interests interest NNS cord-216208-kn0njkqg 128 7 . . .