id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	1	2	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	1	3	cord-223212-	cord-223212-	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	1	5j5r6dd5	5j5r6dd5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	2	authors	author	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	3	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	4	Hult	Hult	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	6	Henrik	Henrik	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	7	;	;	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	8	Favero	Favero	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	9	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	10	Martina	Martina	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	11	title	title	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	12	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	13	Estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	14	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	15	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	16	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	17	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	18	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	20	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	21	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	22	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	23	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	24	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	25	date	date	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	26	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	27	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	28	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	29	05	05	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	30	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	31	25	25	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	32	journal	journal	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	2	33	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	3	1	nan	nan	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	3	2	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	3	3	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	3	4	nan	nan	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	3	5	sha	sha	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	3	6	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	4	1	293b43baab3290c7e39d7f3cd0693281a6898cc2	293b43baab3290c7e39d7f3cd0693281a6898cc2	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	4	2	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	4	3	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	4	4	223212	223212	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	4	5	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	4	6	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	1	5j5r6dd5	5j5r6dd5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	2	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	3	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	4	paper	paper	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	5	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	6	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	7	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	8	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	10	studied	study	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	11	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	12	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	13	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	14	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	15	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	16	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	17	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	18	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	19	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	20	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	22	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	23	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	24	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	25	virus	virus	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	26	responsible	responsible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	27	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	28	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	5	29	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	1	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	2	capture	capture	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	3	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	4	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	6	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	7	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	9	effect	effect	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	11	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	12	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	13	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	16	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	18	spread	spread	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	19	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	20	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	21	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	22	uses	use	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	23	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	24	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	26	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	27	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	28	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	29	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	30	whose	whose	WP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	31	logarithm	logarithm	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	32	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	33	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	34	Gaussian	gaussian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	35	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	36	prior	prior	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	6	37	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	1	A	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	2	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	3	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	4	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	6	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	7	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	8	model	model	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	10	occurrence	occurrence	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	13	due	due	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	14	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	15	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	16	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	17	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	18	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	20	calibrated	calibrate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	21	using	use	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	23	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	24	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	25	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	26	counts	count	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	27	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	28	combination	combination	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	29	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	30	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	31	snapshot	snapshot	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	32	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	33	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	34	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	35	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	36	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	37	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	38	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	39	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	40	active	active	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	41	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	42	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	43	performed	perform	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	44	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	45	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	46	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	47	late	late	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	48	March	March	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	7	49	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	2	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	4	applied	apply	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	5	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	6	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	7	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	8	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	8	9	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	2	results	result	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	3	show	show	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	4	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	7	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	10	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	11	who	who	WP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	13	been	be	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	14	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	16	around	around	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	17	13.5	13.5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	18	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	19	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	20	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	21	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	22	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	23	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	25	05	05	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	26	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	27	15	15	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	28	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	29	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	30	ranges	range	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	31	between	between	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	32	2.5	2.5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	33	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	35	15.6	15.6	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	36	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	37	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	38	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	39	other	other	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	40	investigated	investigate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	41	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	9	42	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	2	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	3	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	5	peak	peak	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	6	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	7	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	8	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	9	counts	count	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	11	likely	likely	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	12	behind	behind	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	13	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	15	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	16	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	17	does	do	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	18	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	19	heavily	heavily	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	20	influence	influence	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	22	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	23	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	24	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	25	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	26	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	27	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	28	nor	nor	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	29	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	30	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	31	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	32	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	33	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	34	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	10	35	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	2	does	do	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	3	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	4	however	however	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	6	impact	impact	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	8	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	10	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	12	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	13	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	11	14	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	3	other	other	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	4	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	6	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	7	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	8	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	9	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	11	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	13	active	active	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	14	infections	infection	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	16	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	17	available	available	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	18	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	19	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	20	sharing	sharing	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	22	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	23	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	24	improve	improve	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	25	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	26	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	27	but	but	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	28	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	29	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	30	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	31	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	32	substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	12	33	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	1	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	2	understand	understand	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	4	spread	spread	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	7	novel	novel	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	8	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	9	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	10	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	12	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	14	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	15	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	16	aggregate	aggregate	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	17	level	level	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	18	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	20	possible	possible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	21	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	22	model	model	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	23	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	24	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	25	evolution	evolution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	26	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	28	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	29	using	use	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	30	standard	standard	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	31	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	32	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	13	33	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	1	Such	such	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	2	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	3	include	include	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	6	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	8	Reed	Reed	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	10	Frost	Frost	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	11	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	12	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	13	more	more	JJR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	14	general	general	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	15	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	16	chain	chain	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	17	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	18	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	19	or	or	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	20	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	21	corresponding	corresponding	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	23	deterministic	deterministic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	25	law	law	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	26	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	27	large	large	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	28	numbers	number	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	29	limits	limit	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	30	such	such	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	31	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	32	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	33	general	general	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	34	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	35	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	36	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	37	see	see	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	38	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	39	3	3	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	40	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	14	41	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	1	There	there	EX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	3	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	4	extensive	extensive	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	5	literature	literature	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	6	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	7	extensions	extension	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	10	standard	standard	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	12	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	13	incorporating	incorporate	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	14	various	various	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	15	degrees	degree	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	16	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	17	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	18	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	20	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	21	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	22	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	23	age	age	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	24	groups	group	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	25	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	26	demographic	demographic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	27	information	information	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	28	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	29	spatial	spatial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	30	dependence	dependence	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	31	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	32	etc	etc	FW
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	15	33	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	1	These	these	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	2	additional	additional	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	3	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	4	make	make	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	6	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	7	more	more	RBR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	8	realistic	realistic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	16	9	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	1	For	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	2	instance	instance	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	3	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	4	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	6	possible	possible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	7	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	8	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	10	effect	effect	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	12	various	various	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	13	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	14	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	17	15	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	1	More	More	JJR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	2	complex	complex	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	3	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	4	also	also	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	5	involve	involve	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	6	additional	additional	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	7	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	8	that	that	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	9	need	need	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	10	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	11	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	12	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	14	contributing	contribute	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	15	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	16	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	17	higher	high	JJR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	18	degree	degree	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	19	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	20	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	21	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	18	22	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	1	A	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	2	problem	problem	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	3	when	when	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	4	calibrating	calibrate	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	6	even	even	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	8	standard	standard	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	10	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	19	12	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	1	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	2	data	data	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	4	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	5	there	there	EX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	6	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	7	few	few	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	8	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	9	sources	source	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	10	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	12	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	13	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	14	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	15	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	20	16	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	1	Publicly	publicly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	2	available	available	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	3	sources	source	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	4	provide	provide	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	6	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	8	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	9	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	10	positive	positive	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	11	tests	test	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	12	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	13	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	14	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	15	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	16	hospitalizations	hospitalization	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	17	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	19	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	20	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	21	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	22	admission	admission	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	23	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	24	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	25	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	26	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	27	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	28	due	due	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	29	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	30	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	21	31	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	2	some	some	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	3	cases	case	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	4	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	5	small	small	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	6	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	7	samples	sample	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	9	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	10	active	active	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	11	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	12	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	13	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	14	available	available	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	22	15	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	1	For	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	2	example	example	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	3	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	5	Swedish	Swedish	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	6	Folkhälsomyndigheten	Folkhälsomyndigheten	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	7	performed	perform	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	8	such	such	PDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	9	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	10	test	test	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	11	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	12	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	13	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	14	about	about	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	15	700	700	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	16	subjects	subject	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	17	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	18	early	early	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	19	April	April	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	20	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	23	21	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	3	there	there	EX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	5	still	still	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	6	no	no	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	7	consensus	consensus	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	8	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	10	literature	literature	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	11	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	13	value	value	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	14	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	15	important	important	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	16	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	17	such	such	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	18	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	20	basic	basic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	21	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	22	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	23	R	r	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	24	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	25	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	26	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	27	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	28	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	29	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	24	30	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	1	A	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	2	useful	useful	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	3	approach	approach	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	4	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	5	incorporate	incorporate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	7	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	8	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	9	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	11	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	13	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	14	consider	consider	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	15	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	16	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	17	framework	framework	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	25	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	3	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	4	approach	approach	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	5	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	6	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	8	quantified	quantify	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	9	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	10	prior	prior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	11	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	12	over	over	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	13	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	14	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	15	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	26	16	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	2	impact	impact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	4	observed	observed	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	6	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	7	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	9	form	form	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	11	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	12	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	14	yields	yield	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	15	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	16	via	via	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	17	Bayes	Bayes	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	18	'	'	POS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	19	theorem	theorem	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	20	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	22	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	23	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	24	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	25	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	26	quantifies	quantify	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	28	effects	effect	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	29	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	30	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	31	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	27	32	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	2	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	3	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	4	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	5	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	6	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	7	construct	construct	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	8	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	9	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	11	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	13	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	14	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	15	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	16	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	17	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	19	future	future	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	20	occurrence	occurrence	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	22	infections	infection	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	23	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	24	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	25	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	26	as	as	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	27	well	well	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	28	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	29	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	30	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	31	such	such	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	32	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	28	33	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	4	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	5	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	6	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	7	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	8	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	9	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	11	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	12	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	14	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	15	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	16	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	17	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	18	model	model	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	20	evolution	evolution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	23	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	24	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	25	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	27	S	S	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	29	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	30	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	32	E	E	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	34	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	35	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	37	I	i	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	39	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	40	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	41	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	43	R	r	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	45	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	29	46	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	1	A	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	2	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	3	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	4	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	7	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	8	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	9	capture	capture	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	10	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	11	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	13	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	15	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	16	causes	cause	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	17	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	19	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	20	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	21	spread	spread	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	22	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	23	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	24	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	25	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	26	vary	vary	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	27	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	28	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	29	virus	virus	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	30	spreads	spread	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	31	through	through	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	32	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	33	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	30	34	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	4	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	5	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	6	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	8	allows	allow	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	9	modeling	model	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	11	effect	effect	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	13	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	14	aimed	aim	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	15	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	16	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	17	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	19	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	20	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	21	spread	spread	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	31	22	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	1	A	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	2	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	3	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	4	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	6	introduced	introduce	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	7	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	8	model	model	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	10	occurrence	occurrence	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	11	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	12	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	13	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	14	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	32	15	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	1	Random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	2	samples	sample	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	4	tests	test	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	5	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	6	active	active	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	7	infections	infection	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	8	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	9	treated	treat	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	10	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	11	binomial	binomial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	12	trials	trial	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	13	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	15	success	success	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	16	probability	probability	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	19	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	20	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	22	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	23	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	24	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	25	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	26	state	state	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	33	27	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	2	methods	method	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	3	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	4	illustrated	illustrate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	5	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	6	regional	regional	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	10	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	11	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	12	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	13	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	34	14	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	3	demonstrated	demonstrate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	4	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	6	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	7	combining	combine	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	9	information	information	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	10	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	12	observed	observed	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	13	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	14	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	15	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	16	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	17	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	18	samples	sample	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	19	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	20	active	active	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	21	infections	infection	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	22	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	23	fairly	fairly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	24	precise	precise	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	25	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	26	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	28	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	29	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	30	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	31	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	32	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	33	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	34	given	give	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	35	35	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	1	By	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	2	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	3	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	4	some	some	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	6	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	7	identical	identical	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	8	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	9	several	several	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	10	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	12	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	13	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	14	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	15	outside	outside	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	16	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	17	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	18	also	also	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	19	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	20	provided	provide	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	21	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	22	albeit	albeit	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	23	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	24	greater	great	JJR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	25	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	36	26	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	2	approach	approach	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	4	inspired	inspire	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	5	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	7	4	4	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	8	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	9	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	11	authors	author	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	12	considers	consider	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	13	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	14	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	15	approach	approach	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	16	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	17	model	model	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	18	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	19	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	20	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	37	21	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	2	main	main	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	3	extensions	extension	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	4	include	include	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	6	introduction	introduction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	7	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	9	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	10	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	11	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	12	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	13	model	model	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	15	occurrence	occurrence	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	16	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	17	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	18	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	20	addition	addition	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	22	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	23	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	24	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	25	test	test	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	26	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	27	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	28	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	29	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	30	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	31	extension	extension	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	32	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	33	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	34	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	38	35	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	1	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	2	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	4	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	5	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	7	employ	employ	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	8	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	9	chain	chain	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	10	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	11	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	13	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	15	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	39	16	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	1	Samples	sample	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	2	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	4	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	5	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	6	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	7	using	use	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	9	Hamiltonian	Hamiltonian	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	10	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	11	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	12	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	14	NUTS	NUTS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	15	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	16	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	18	9	9	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	20	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	21	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	22	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	23	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	24	software	software	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	25	Stan	Stan	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	26	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	27	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	29	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	30	open	open	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	31	source	source	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	32	software	software	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	33	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	34	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	40	35	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	1	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	2	model	model	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	4	spread	spread	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	9	consider	consider	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	11	deterministic	deterministic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	12	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	13	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	15	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	16	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	17	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	18	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	19	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	20	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	22	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	23	simple	simple	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	24	deterministic	deterministic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	25	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	26	describing	describe	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	28	evolution	evolution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	29	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	30	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	31	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	32	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	33	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	34	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	35	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	36	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	37	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	38	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	39	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	40	recovered	recover	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	41	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	42	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	43	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	44	large	large	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	45	homogeneous	homogeneous	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	46	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	47	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	48	N	n	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	49	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	41	50	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	4	modeled	model	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	5	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	6	{	{	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	8	S	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	9	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	10	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	11	E	E	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	12	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	14	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	15	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	17	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	18	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	19	≥	≥	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	20	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	21	}	}	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	22	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	23	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	24	S	S	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	25	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	26	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	27	E	E	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	28	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	29	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	30	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	31	t	t	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	32	represent	represent	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	33	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	34	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	35	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	36	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	37	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	38	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	39	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	40	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	41	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	42	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	43	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	44	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	45	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	46	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	42	47	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	2	total	total	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	3	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	5	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	6	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	7	deceased	deceased	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	8	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	9	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	10	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	11	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	12	≥	≥	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	13	0	0	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	15	always	always	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	16	given	give	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	17	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	18	N	N	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	19	−	−	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	43	20	S	S	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	44	1	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	44	2	−	−	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	44	3	E	E	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	44	4	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	44	5	−	−	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	45	1	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	45	2	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	45	3	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	3	starts	start	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	4	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	5	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	6	state	state	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	7	S	S	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	8	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	9	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	10	E	e	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	11	0	0	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	12	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	13	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	14	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	15	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	16	S	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	46	17	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	47	1	+	+	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	47	2	E	e	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	47	3	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	48	1	+	+	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	1	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	2	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	3	=	=	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	4	N	n	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	6	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	7	proceeds	proceed	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	8	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	49	9	updating	update	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	1	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	2	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	3	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	4	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	6	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	8	β	β	XX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	9	>	>	XX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	10	0	0	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	14	ν	ν	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	15	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	16	transition	transition	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	17	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	19	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	20	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	22	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	23	state	state	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	24	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	25	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	26	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	27	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	28	γ	γ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	29	>	>	XX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	30	0	0	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	50	31	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	1	Note	note	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	2	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	3	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	4	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	5	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	7	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	9	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	10	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	11	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	12	active	active	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	13	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	14	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	15	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	16	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	17	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	18	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	19	N	N	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	20	−	−	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	21	S	S	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	22	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	24	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	25	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	26	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	27	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	28	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	29	who	who	WP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	30	have	have	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	31	been	be	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	32	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	33	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	34	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	35	possibly	possibly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	36	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	37	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	38	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	39	or	or	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	40	deceased	decease	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	41	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	42	up	up	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	43	until	until	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	51	44	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	52	1	t.	t.	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	3	context	context	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	6	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	9	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	10	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	11	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	12	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	13	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	14	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	15	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	16	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	17	constant	constant	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	18	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	19	primarily	primarily	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	20	due	due	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	21	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	22	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	23	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	24	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	25	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	26	early	early	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	27	stage	stage	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	28	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	29	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	30	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	53	31	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	3	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	5	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	6	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	7	describes	describe	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	9	evolution	evolution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	10	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	11	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	12	aggregate	aggregate	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	13	level	level	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	15	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	16	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	17	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	18	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	20	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	21	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	22	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	23	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	24	capture	capture	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	25	inhomogeneities	inhomogeneity	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	26	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	28	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	54	29	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	1	If	if	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	3	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	4	example	example	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	9	initiated	initiate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	10	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	11	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	12	rural	rural	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	13	area	area	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	15	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	16	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	17	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	18	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	19	rather	rather	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	20	low	low	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	21	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	22	but	but	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	23	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	24	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	25	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	26	reaches	reach	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	27	major	major	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	28	cities	city	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	29	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	30	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	31	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	32	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	33	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	34	higher	high	JJR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	55	35	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	2	resulting	result	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	3	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	4	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	5	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	6	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	7	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	8	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	11	given	give	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	12	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	13	Clearly	clearly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	15	one	one	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	16	needs	need	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	17	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	18	put	put	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	19	some	some	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	20	restriction	restriction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	21	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	23	amount	amount	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	24	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	25	variation	variation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	26	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	28	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	29	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	56	30	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	4	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	5	Gaussian	gaussian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	6	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	7	prior	prior	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	8	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	9	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	10	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	11	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	13	log	log	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	14	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	16	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	17	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	18	restricts	restrict	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	20	amount	amount	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	22	variation	variation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	23	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	24	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	25	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	26	but	but	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	27	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	28	sufficiently	sufficiently	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	29	flexible	flexible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	30	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	31	capture	capture	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	32	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	33	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	34	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	35	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	36	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	37	after	after	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	38	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	39	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	57	40	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	1	When	when	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	2	observations	observation	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	3	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	5	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	6	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	7	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	8	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	9	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	10	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	11	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	12	available	available	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	15	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	17	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	19	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	20	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	21	fitted	fit	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	22	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	23	these	these	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	24	observations	observation	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	58	25	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	3	context	context	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	5	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	6	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	7	observations	observation	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	8	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	10	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	12	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	13	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	14	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	15	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	16	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	17	unavailable	unavailable	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	59	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	1	There	there	EX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	2	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	3	many	many	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	4	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	5	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	6	who	who	WP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	7	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	8	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	9	tested	test	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	10	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	11	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	12	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	13	large	large	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	14	pool	pool	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	15	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	16	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	17	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	60	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	5	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	6	rely	rely	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	7	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	9	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	11	registered	register	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	13	due	due	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	14	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	15	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	16	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	17	calibrate	calibrate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	19	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	61	20	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	2	addition	addition	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	4	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	5	incorporate	incorporate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	7	test	test	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	8	results	result	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	9	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	10	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	11	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	12	sample	sample	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	13	that	that	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	14	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	15	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	16	snapshot	snapshot	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	17	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	19	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	20	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	21	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	22	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	23	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	24	active	active	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	25	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	62	26	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	1	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	2	model	model	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	4	occurrence	occurrence	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	6	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	7	due	due	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	8	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	9	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	11	consider	consider	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	13	following	follow	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	14	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	15	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	16	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	17	representation	representation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	63	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	2	refer	refer	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	3	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	5	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	7	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	8	details	detail	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	9	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	10	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	11	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	12	processes	process	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	64	13	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	65	1	Let	let	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	65	2	f	f	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	65	3	denote	denote	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	65	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	65	5	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	65	6	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	65	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	65	8	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	1	that	that	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	2	is	is	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	3	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	5	probability	probability	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	6	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	7	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	8	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	9	individual	individual	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	10	eventually	eventually	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	11	dies	die	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	12	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	13	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	14	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	66	15	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	1	Consider	consider	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	3	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	5	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	6	that	that	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	7	enters	enter	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	9	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	10	state	state	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	11	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	12	day	day	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	13	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	15	that	that	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	16	is	is	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	17	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	18	νE	νe	ADD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	19	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	67	20	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	1	Each	each	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	2	such	such	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	3	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	4	individual	individual	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	5	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	6	probability	probability	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	7	f	f	XX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	8	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	9	eventually	eventually	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	10	die	die	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	11	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	13	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	68	14	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	1	Conditional	conditional	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	2	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	3	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	4	due	due	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	5	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	7	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	8	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	10	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	11	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	12	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	13	until	until	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	14	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	16	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	17	independent	independent	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	18	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	19	everything	everything	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	20	else	else	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	21	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	22	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	23	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	24	probability	probability	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	25	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	26	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	27	probability	probability	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	28	mass	mass	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	29	function	function	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	30	p	p	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	31	s	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	32	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	69	33	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	1	Each	each	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	2	individual	individual	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	3	that	that	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	4	dies	die	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	5	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	6	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	7	represented	represent	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	8	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	9	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	10	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	12	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	14	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	16	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	17	E	e	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	18	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	19	=	=	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	20	{	{	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	22	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	23	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	24	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	26	∈	∈	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	27	N	n	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	28	2	2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	70	29	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	1	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	2	≥	≥	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	3	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	4	}	}	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	6	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	7	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	8	denotes	denote	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	10	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	12	entry	entry	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	13	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	15	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	16	state	state	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	17	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	18	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	20	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	22	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	23	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	24	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	25	individual	individual	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	71	26	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	2	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	4	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	5	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	6	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	7	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	8	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	9	then	then	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	10	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	11	computed	compute	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	12	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	13	counting	count	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	15	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	16	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	17	points	point	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	18	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	20	line	line	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	21	∪	∪	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	22	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	23	t=0	t=0	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	25	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	26	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	27	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	72	29	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	2	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	4	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	6	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	8	corresponding	corresponding	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	9	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	11	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	12	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	13	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	14	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	15	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	17	conveniently	conveniently	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	18	modelled	model	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	19	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	20	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	21	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	22	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	23	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	24	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	25	E.	E.	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	26	Let	let	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	27	ξ	ξ	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	28	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	29	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	30	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	31	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	32	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	33	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	34	E	e	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	35	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	36	intensity	intensity	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	37	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	38	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	39	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	40	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	41	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	42	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	43	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	44	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	45	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	46	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	48	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	49	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	50	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	51	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	52	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	53	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	54	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	55	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	56	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	57	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	58	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	59	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	60	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	61	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	62	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	63	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	64	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	65	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	66	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	67	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	68	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	69	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	70	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	71	individual	individual	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	72	who	who	WP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	73	dies	die	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	74	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	75	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	76	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	73	77	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	2	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	4	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	5	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	6	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	7	that	that	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	8	occurs	occur	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	9	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	10	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	11	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	13	then	then	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	14	given	give	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	15	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	16	summing	sum	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	17	up	up	RP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	18	all	all	PDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	20	points	point	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	23	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	24	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	25	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	26	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	27	row	row	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	28	corresponding	correspond	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	29	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	30	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	31	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	32	ξ(∪	ξ(∪	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	33	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	34	t=0	t=0	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	36	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	37	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	38	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	74	41	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	1	Since	since	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	3	rows	row	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	4	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	5	disjoint	disjoint	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	6	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	7	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	8	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	9	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	10	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	12	D	D	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	13	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	15	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	16	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	75	17	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	1	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	2	independent	independent	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	3	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	4	each	each	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	5	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	6	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	7	having	have	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	8	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	9	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	11	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	12	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	13	Throughout	throughout	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	14	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	76	15	paper	paper	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	1	p	p	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	2	s	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	3	D	D	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	6	probability	probability	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	7	mass	mass	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	8	function	function	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	9	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	10	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	11	negative	negative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	12	binomial	binomial	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	13	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	14	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	15	mean	mean	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	16	s	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	17	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	77	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	1	More	more	RBR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	2	precisely	precisely	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	3	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	4	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	5	parametrization	parametrization	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	6	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	8	negative	negative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	9	binomial	binomial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	11	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	12	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	13	r	r	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	15	s	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	16	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	17	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	18	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	19	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	20	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	21	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	22	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	23	value	value	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	24	r	r	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	25	=	=	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	26	3	3	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	27	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	28	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	29	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	30	throughout	throughout	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	31	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	32	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	33	fits	fit	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	34	well	well	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	35	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	36	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	37	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	38	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	39	observed	observed	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	40	duration	duration	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	41	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	42	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	43	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	44	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	45	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	46	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	47	study	study	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	48	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	49	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	50	15	15	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	51	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	78	52	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	3	section	section	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	5	provide	provide	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	7	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	8	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	10	prior	prior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	11	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	12	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	13	derive	derive	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	15	expression	expression	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	16	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	17	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	18	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	19	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	20	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	21	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	79	22	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	1	Note	note	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	2	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	3	λ	λ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	4	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	6	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	7	function	function	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	9	all	all	PDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	11	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	13	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	14	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	15	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	16	θ	θ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	17	=	=	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	19	{	{	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	20	β	β	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	21	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	22	}	}	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	23	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	24	ν	ν	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	25	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	26	γ	γ	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	27	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	28	s	s	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	29	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	30	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	31	f	f	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	32	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	33	s	s	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	34	D	D	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	80	36	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	2	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	3	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	4	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	5	interpretation	interpretation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	6	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	7	prior	prior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	8	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	9	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	10	summarized	summarize	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	11	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	12	Table	Table	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	13	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	81	14	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	1	Actually	actually	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	3	since	since	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	5	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	8	positive	positive	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	9	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	10	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	11	Gaussian	gaussian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	12	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	14	GP	GP	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	16	prior	prior	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	17	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	18	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	19	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	20	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	22	natural	natural	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	23	logarithm	logarithm	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	24	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	25	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	26	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	27	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	28	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	29	denoted	denote	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	30	log	log	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	31	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	32	GP	gp	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	33	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	34	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	35	sequel	sequel	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	82	36	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	2	Gaussian	gaussian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	3	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	5	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	6	constant	constant	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	7	mean	mean	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	8	µ	µ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	9	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	10	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	11	squared	squared	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	13	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	14	covariance	covariance	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	15	kernel	kernel	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	16	k	k	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	17	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	18	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	19	α	α	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	20	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	21	ρ	ρ	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	22	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	23	δ	δ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	24	such	such	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	25	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	26	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	27	compute	compute	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	28	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	29	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	30	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	31	observed	observed	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	32	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	33	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	34	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	35	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	36	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	37	d	d	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	38	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	39	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	40	d	d	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	41	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	42	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	43	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	44	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	83	45	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	84	1	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	84	2	d	d	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	84	3	T	T	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	84	4	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	84	5	Table	table	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	84	6	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	84	7	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	85	1	Specification	specification	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	85	2	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	85	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	85	4	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	85	5	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	85	6	prior	prior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	85	7	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	85	8	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	1	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	2	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	3	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	4	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	5	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	6	combination	combination	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	7	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	8	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	9	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	10	sample	sample	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	12	n	n	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	13	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	14	tests	test	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	15	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	16	active	active	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	17	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	18	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	19	performed	perform	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	20	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	21	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	22	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	23	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	24	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	25	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	26	when	when	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	27	such	such	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	28	test	test	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	29	result	result	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	31	available	available	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	86	32	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	2	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	4	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	5	Z	Z	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	6	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	7	positive	positive	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	8	test	test	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	9	result	result	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	10	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	11	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	12	Bin(n	bin(n	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	13	0	0	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	15	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	16	t0	t0	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	17	/N	/N	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	19	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	87	20	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	2	full	full	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	3	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	5	given	give	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	6	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	7	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	8	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	9	joint	joint	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	10	prior	prior	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	13	product	product	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	14	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	15	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	16	marginal	marginal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	17	priors	prior	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	18	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	19	leads	lead	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	20	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	21	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	22	Bayes	Bayes	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	23	's	's	POS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	24	theorem	theorem	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	25	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	26	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	28	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	29	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	30	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	31	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	32	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	33	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	34	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	35	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	36	λ	λ	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	37	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	38	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	39	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	40	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	41	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	42	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	43	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	44	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	45	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	46	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	47	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	48	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	49	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	50	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	51	N	N	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	52	−S	−S	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	53	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	54	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	55	all	all	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	56	functions	function	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	57	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	58	θ	θ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	59	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	60	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	61	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	62	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	63	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	64	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	65	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	66	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	67	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	68	posterior	posterior	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	69	p	p	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	70	Θ|D	Θ|D	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	71	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	72	Z	Z	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	88	73	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	1	By	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	2	sampling	sample	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	3	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	4	p	p	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	5	Θ|D	Θ|D	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	6	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	7	iterating	iterate	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	9	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	11	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	13	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	14	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	15	these	these	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	16	quantities	quantity	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	17	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	18	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	19	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	20	along	along	RP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	21	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	23	effects	effect	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	24	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	25	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	26	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	89	27	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	3	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	4	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	6	future	future	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	7	development	development	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	10	above	above	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	11	mentioned	mention	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	12	quantities	quantity	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	13	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	14	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	15	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	16	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	17	extrapolating	extrapolate	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	19	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	20	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	21	into	into	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	23	future	future	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	90	24	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	1	As	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	3	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	4	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	6	unavailable	unavailable	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	7	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	8	explicit	explicit	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	9	form	form	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	10	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	12	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	13	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	14	employ	employ	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	15	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	16	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	17	methods	method	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	91	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	3	next	next	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	4	section	section	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	5	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	6	chain	chain	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	7	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	8	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	9	methods	method	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	10	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	11	briefly	briefly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	12	described	describe	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	13	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	14	sample	sample	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	15	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	16	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	17	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	92	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	93	1	4.1	4.1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	93	2	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	94	1	Multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	94	2	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	94	3	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	2	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	3	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	5	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	7	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	9	derivation	derivation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	12	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	14	3	3	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	16	considers	consider	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	17	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	18	single	single	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	19	region	region	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	95	20	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	3	context	context	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	5	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	6	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	7	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	8	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	9	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	10	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	11	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	12	assume	assume	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	13	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	14	some	some	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	15	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	16	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	17	identical	identical	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	96	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	1	For	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	2	example	example	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	3	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	4	when	when	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	5	considering	consider	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	6	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	7	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	9	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	10	below	below	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	11	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	12	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	13	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	14	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	15	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	16	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	18	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	19	ν	ν	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	20	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	21	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	22	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	23	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	24	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	25	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	26	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	27	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	28	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	29	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	30	γ	γ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	31	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	32	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	33	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	34	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	35	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	36	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	37	f	f	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	38	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	39	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	40	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	41	duration	duration	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	42	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	43	s	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	44	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	45	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	46	identical	identical	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	47	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	48	all	all	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	49	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	97	50	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	3	tempting	tempt	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	4	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	5	include	include	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	6	interaction	interaction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	7	terms	term	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	8	between	between	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	10	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	11	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	12	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	13	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	14	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	15	one	one	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	16	region	region	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	17	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	18	travel	travel	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	19	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	20	another	another	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	21	region	region	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	22	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	23	cause	cause	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	24	new	new	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	25	infections	infection	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	98	26	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	4	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	5	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	6	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	7	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	8	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	9	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	10	each	each	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	11	region	region	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	13	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	14	own	own	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	15	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	16	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	17	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	19	that	that	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	20	incorporates	incorporate	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	21	fluctuations	fluctuation	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	22	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	23	new	new	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	24	infections	infection	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	25	due	due	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	26	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	27	import	import	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	29	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	30	other	other	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	31	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	99	32	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	2	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	3	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	4	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	5	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	7	simply	simply	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	9	product	product	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	12	marginal	marginal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	13	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	14	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	15	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	16	individual	individual	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	17	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	18	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	20	prior	prior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	23	product	product	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	24	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	25	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	26	marginal	marginal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	27	priors	prior	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	28	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	29	each	each	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	30	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	100	31	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	3	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	4	two	two	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	5	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	7	prior	prior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	8	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	9	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	11	product	product	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	13	two	two	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	14	Gaussian	gaussian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	15	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	16	priors	prior	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	17	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	19	respective	respective	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	20	log	log	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	21	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	22	rates	rate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	23	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	24	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	25	two	two	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	26	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	27	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	28	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	29	product	product	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	30	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	31	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	32	marginal	marginal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	33	priors	prior	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	34	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	35	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	36	remaining	remain	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	37	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	101	38	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	1	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	2	chain	chain	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	3	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	4	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	6	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	8	methods	method	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	9	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	10	Bayesian	Bayesian	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	11	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	12	aims	aim	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	13	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	14	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	15	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	16	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	17	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	18	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	102	19	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	1	This	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	3	non	non	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	4	-	-	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	5	trivial	trivial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	6	because	because	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	8	marginal	marginal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	9	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	14	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	15	acts	act	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	16	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	17	normalizing	normalize	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	18	constant	constant	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	19	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	20	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	21	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	23	practically	practically	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	24	impossible	impossible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	25	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	26	compute	compute	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	103	27	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	2	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	3	algorithms	algorithm	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	5	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	7	represented	represent	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	8	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	9	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	10	target	target	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	11	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	104	12	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	2	algorithms	algorithm	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	3	rely	rely	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	4	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	6	construction	construction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	7	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	8	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	9	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	10	chain	chain	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	11	whose	whose	WP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	12	invariant	invariant	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	13	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	15	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	16	target	target	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	17	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	105	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	1	Standard	standard	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	2	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	3	methods	method	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	4	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	5	based	base	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	6	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	7	acceptance	acceptance	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	9	rejection	rejection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	10	steps	step	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	12	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	13	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	14	proposals	proposal	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	15	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	16	accepted	accept	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	17	or	or	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	18	rejected	reject	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	19	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	20	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	21	probability	probability	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	22	that	that	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	23	does	do	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	24	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	25	require	require	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	26	knowledge	knowledge	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	27	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	28	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	29	normalizing	normalizing	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	30	constant	constant	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	31	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	32	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	33	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	34	Metropolis	Metropolis	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	35	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	36	Hasting	Hasting	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	37	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	38	Gibbs	Gibbs	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	39	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	40	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	41	13	13	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	42	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	43	8	8	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	44	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	45	6	6	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	46	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	106	47	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	1	When	when	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	3	target	target	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	4	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	6	complex	complex	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	7	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	8	multi	multi	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	9	-	-	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	10	modal	modal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	12	standard	standard	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	13	methods	method	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	14	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	15	lead	lead	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	16	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	17	poor	poor	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	18	mixing	mixing	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	19	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	20	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	21	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	22	chain	chain	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	23	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	24	slow	slow	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	25	convergence	convergence	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	26	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	28	target	target	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	29	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	107	30	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	1	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	2	overcome	overcome	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	3	slow	slow	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	4	mixing	mixing	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	7	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	8	chain	chain	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	9	gradient	gradient	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	11	based	base	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	12	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	13	can	can	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	14	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	15	applied	apply	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	16	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	17	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	18	adapt	adapt	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	20	proposal	proposal	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	21	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	22	based	base	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	23	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	24	gradients	gradient	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	25	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	26	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	27	target	target	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	28	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	29	see	see	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	30	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	32	2	2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	108	34	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	5	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	6	employ	employ	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	7	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	8	Hamiltonian	Hamiltonian	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	9	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	10	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	11	sampler	sampler	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	12	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	13	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	14	No	No	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	16	U	u	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	18	turn	turn	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	19	sampler	sampler	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	21	NUTS	NUTS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	23	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	25	9	9	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	27	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	28	combination	combination	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	29	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	30	automatic	automatic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	31	differentiation	differentiation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	32	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	33	numerically	numerically	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	34	approximate	approximate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	35	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	36	gradients	gradient	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	37	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	38	7	7	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	39	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	40	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	41	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	42	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	43	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	44	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	45	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	46	open	open	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	47	source	source	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	48	software	software	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	49	Stan	Stan	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	109	50	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	3	section	section	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	5	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	6	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	8	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	9	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	10	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	11	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	12	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	13	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	14	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	15	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	16	evolution	evolution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	17	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	19	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	20	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	21	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	22	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	23	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	24	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	25	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	26	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	27	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	28	provided	provide	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	29	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	30	ten	ten	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	31	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	32	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	33	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	110	34	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	4	considered	consider	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	5	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	6	start	start	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	7	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	8	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	10	03	03	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	12	01	01	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	13	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	14	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	15	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	16	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	17	began	begin	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	18	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	19	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	21	03	03	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	22	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	23	16	16	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	111	24	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	2	joint	joint	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	3	prior	prior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	4	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	7	product	product	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	10	marginal	marginal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	11	priors	prior	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	12	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	13	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	15	hyper	hyper	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	16	-	-	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	17	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	18	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	19	specified	specify	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	20	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	21	Table	Table	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	22	 	 	_SP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	23	2	2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	112	24	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	2	choices	choice	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	4	hyper	hyper	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	5	-	-	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	6	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	7	values	value	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	8	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	9	made	make	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	10	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	11	line	line	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	12	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	13	existing	exist	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	14	literature	literature	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	15	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	16	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	17	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	113	19	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	1	As	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	2	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	3	general	general	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	4	principle	principle	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	6	have	have	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	7	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	8	informative	informative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	9	priors	prior	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	10	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	12	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	13	ν	ν	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	14	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	15	γ	γ	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	16	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	17	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	18	s	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	19	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	20	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	21	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	23	priors	prior	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	24	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	25	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	26	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	28	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	29	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	30	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	31	{	{	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	32	β	β	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	33	t	t	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	34	}	}	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	35	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	36	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	37	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	38	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	39	f	f	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	40	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	41	uninformative	uninformative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	114	42	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	1	Folkhälsomyndigheten	Folkhälsomyndigheten	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	2	reports	report	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	3	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	5	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	6	period	period	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	8	usually	usually	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	9	around	around	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	10	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	11	days	day	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	12	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	13	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	14	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	15	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	16	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	17	/	/	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	18	ν	ν	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	19	≈	≈	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	20	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	115	21	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	1	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	3	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	4	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	5	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	6	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	8	around	around	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	9	14	14	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	10	days	day	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	12	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	13	/	/	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	14	γ	γ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	15	≈	≈	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	16	14	14	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	116	17	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	2	overall	overall	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	3	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	4	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	6	f	f	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	8	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	9	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	10	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	11	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	13	range	range	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	14	0.003	0.003	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	15	−	−	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	16	0.013	0.013	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	17	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	18	see	see	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	19	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	20	14	14	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	21	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	22	15	15	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	117	24	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	1	However	however	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	3	since	since	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	5	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	6	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	9	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	10	very	very	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	11	important	important	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	12	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	14	have	have	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	15	used	use	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	16	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	17	uninformative	uninformative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	18	prior	prior	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	19	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	20	simply	simply	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	21	use	use	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	22	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	23	uniform	uniform	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	24	prior	prior	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	25	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	26	Beta(1	Beta(1	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	27	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	28	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	118	30	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	2	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	3	duration	duration	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	4	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	5	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	6	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	7	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	9	around	around	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	10	16	16	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	11	days	day	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	12	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	13	see	see	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	15	15	15	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	119	17	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	1	Samples	sample	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	2	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	4	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	5	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	6	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	7	using	use	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	9	NUTS	NUTS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	11	sampler	sampler	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	12	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	13	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	14	burn	burn	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	16	in	in	RP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	17	period	period	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	18	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	19	500	500	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	20	samples	sample	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	21	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	22	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	23	000	000	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	24	samples	sample	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	25	after	after	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	26	burn	burn	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	28	in	in	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	120	29	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	1	Mean	mean	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	2	Prior	prior	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	3	95%-C.I.	95%-c.i.	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	4	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	5	performed	perform	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	6	between	between	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	9	03	03	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	10	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	11	27	27	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	12	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	15	04	04	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	17	03	03	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	18	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	121	19	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	2	showed	show	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	3	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	4	18	18	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	5	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	6	carried	carry	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	8	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	10	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	11	virus	virus	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	122	12	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	1	These	these	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	2	results	result	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	3	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	4	included	include	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	5	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	7	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	8	as	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	9	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	10	binomial	binomial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	11	sample	sample	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	13	size	size	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	14	n	n	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	123	15	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	1	=	=	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	2	707	707	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	3	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	4	success	success	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	5	probability	probability	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	6	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	7	t0	t0	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	8	/N	/N	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	9	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	11	test	test	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	12	date	date	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	14	t	t	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	15	0	0	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	16	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	18	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	19	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	20	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	23	03	03	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	24	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	25	30	30	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	124	26	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	1	A	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	2	summary	summary	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	5	marginal	marginal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	6	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	7	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	9	provided	provide	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	10	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	11	Table	Table	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	12	3	3	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	125	13	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	2	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	3	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	6	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	7	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	8	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	11	illustrated	illustrate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	12	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	13	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	14	1	1	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	126	15	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	1	Note	note	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	2	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	3	although	although	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	4	there	there	EX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	6	great	great	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	7	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	8	about	about	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	10	initial	initial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	11	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	12	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	13	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	15	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	16	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	17	picks	pick	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	18	up	up	RP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	20	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	21	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	22	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	24	after	after	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	25	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	26	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	27	began	begin	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	28	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	29	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	30	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	31	03	03	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	32	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	33	16	16	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	127	34	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	2	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	3	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	5	gradually	gradually	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	6	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	7	around	around	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	9	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	11	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	12	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	13	then	then	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	14	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	15	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	16	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	17	low	low	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	18	level	level	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	128	19	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	1	This	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	2	slow	slow	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	3	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	6	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	8	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	9	however	however	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	10	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	11	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	12	due	due	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	13	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	14	stiffness	stiffness	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	15	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	16	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	17	Gaussian	gaussian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	18	process	process	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	19	kernel	kernel	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	129	20	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	2	have	have	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	3	experimented	experiment	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	4	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	5	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	6	sharp	sharp	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	7	break	break	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	9	point	point	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	10	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	12	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	14	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	15	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	16	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	17	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	18	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	19	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	20	but	but	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	21	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	22	did	do	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	23	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	24	provide	provide	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	25	more	more	RBR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	26	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	27	results	result	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	130	28	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	1	On	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	3	contrary	contrary	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	4	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	6	data	data	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	7	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	8	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	10	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	13	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	16	slow	slow	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	131	17	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	2	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	3	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	5	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	6	until	until	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	8	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	9	05	05	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	11	01	01	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	132	12	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	133	1	After	after	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	133	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	133	3	date	date	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	133	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	133	5	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	133	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	133	7	unreliable	unreliable	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	133	8	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	1	This	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	3	because	because	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	4	many	many	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	7	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	9	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	10	who	who	WP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	11	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	12	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	13	after	after	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	14	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	15	-	-	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	16	05-	05-	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	17	01	01	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	18	have	have	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	19	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	20	yet	yet	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	21	been	be	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	22	observed	observe	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	134	23	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	1	For	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	3	reason	reason	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	4	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	6	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	9	only	only	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	10	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	11	until	until	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	13	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	14	05	05	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	16	01	01	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	135	17	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	1	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	2	perform	perform	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	3	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	4	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	5	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	6	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	8	future	future	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	9	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	11	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	12	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	13	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	14	infections	infection	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	15	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	16	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	17	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	19	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	20	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	21	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	22	been	be	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	23	extrapolated	extrapolate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	24	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	25	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	26	value	value	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	27	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	28	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	30	05	05	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	31	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	32	01	01	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	136	33	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	2	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	3	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	4	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	5	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	7	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	10	constant	constant	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	12	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	13	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	14	low	low	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	16	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	17	since	since	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	18	roughly	roughly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	19	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	21	04	04	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	23	07	07	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	24	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	25	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	26	motivates	motivate	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	27	extrapolation	extrapolation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	28	into	into	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	29	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	30	future	future	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	31	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	32	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	33	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	34	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	35	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	36	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	37	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	38	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	39	present	present	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	40	level	level	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	137	41	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	1	After	after	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	4	05	05	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	6	01	01	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	8	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	11	extrapolated	extrapolate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	12	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	13	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	14	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	16	will	will	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	17	remain	remain	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	18	constant	constant	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	138	19	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	2	2	2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	4	top	top	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	5	left	left	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	7	shows	show	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	9	observed	observed	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	10	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	11	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	15	black	black	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	16	dots	dot	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	18	along	along	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	19	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	20	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	21	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	22	median	median	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	24	dark	dark	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	25	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	27	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	28	95	95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	29	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	30	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	31	interval	interval	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	33	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	35	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	36	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	37	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	38	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	39	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	40	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	41	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	139	42	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	2	2	2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	4	top	top	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	5	right	right	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	7	shows	show	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	9	observed	observed	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	10	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	11	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	15	black	black	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	16	dots	dot	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	18	along	along	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	19	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	20	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	21	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	22	median	median	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	24	dark	dark	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	25	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	27	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	28	95	95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	29	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	30	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	31	interval	interval	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	33	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	35	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	36	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	37	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	38	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	39	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	40	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	41	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	140	42	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	2	observe	observe	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	3	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	5	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	6	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	7	does	do	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	8	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	9	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	10	impact	impact	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	12	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	13	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	14	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	15	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	16	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	17	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	19	peak	peak	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	20	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	22	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	23	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	24	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	25	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	26	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	27	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	28	have	have	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	29	occurred	occur	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	30	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	31	mid	mid	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	32	April	April	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	141	33	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	1	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	4	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	5	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	6	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	7	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	9	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	10	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	12	likely	likely	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	13	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	14	terminate	terminate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	15	slightly	slightly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	16	above	above	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	17	2000	2000	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	142	18	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	2	emphasize	emphasize	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	3	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	4	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	7	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	8	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	9	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	10	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	12	λ	λ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	13	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	143	14	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	1	Since	since	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	3	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	4	considering	consider	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	5	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	6	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	7	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	8	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	10	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	12	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	14	an	an	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	15	approximate	approximate	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	16	95%-prediction	95%-prediction	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	17	interval	interval	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	18	would	would	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	19	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	20	λ	λ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	21	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	22	±	±	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	23	2	2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	24	√	√	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	25	λ	λ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	26	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	27	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	28	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	29	λ	λ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	30	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	31	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	32	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	33	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	34	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	35	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	36	day	day	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	37	τ	τ	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	144	38	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	1	Note	note	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	2	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	4	observed	observed	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	5	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	6	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	7	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	9	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	11	empirical	empirical	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	12	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	13	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	14	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	15	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	16	appear	appear	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	17	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	18	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	19	overdispersed	overdisperse	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	20	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	22	variance	variance	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	24	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	25	larger	large	JJR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	26	than	than	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	27	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	28	mean	mean	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	145	29	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	1	This	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	3	likely	likely	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	4	due	due	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	5	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	6	reporting	report	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	7	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	146	10	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	3	presented	present	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	4	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	5	https://c19.se/	https://c19.se/	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	6	does	do	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	7	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	8	correct	correct	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	10	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	12	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	13	dates	date	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	14	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	15	hindsight	hindsight	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	147	16	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	1	A	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	2	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	3	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	5	national	national	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	6	level	level	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	7	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	9	provided	provide	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	10	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	11	Folkhälsomyndigheten	Folkhälsomyndigheten	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	12	shows	show	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	13	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	15	official	official	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	16	records	record	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	17	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	19	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	20	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	22	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	23	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	24	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	25	does	do	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	26	not	not	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	27	appear	appear	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	28	to	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	29	be	be	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	30	overdispersed	overdisperse	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	148	31	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	2	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	3	even	even	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	4	after	after	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	5	smoothing	smooth	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	8	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	9	https://c19.se/	https://c19.se/	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	10	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	11	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	12	moving	move	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	13	average	average	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	14	over	over	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	15	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	16	few	few	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	17	days	day	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	18	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	20	results	result	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	23	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	24	remain	remain	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	25	essentially	essentially	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	26	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	27	same	same	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	149	28	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	2	2	2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	4	bottom	bottom	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	5	left	left	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	6	/	/	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	7	right	right	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	9	shows	show	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	11	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	12	median	median	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	14	dark	dark	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	15	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	17	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	18	95	95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	19	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	20	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	21	interval	interval	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	23	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	25	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	26	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	27	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	28	/	/	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	29	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	30	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	31	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	32	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	33	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	150	34	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	1	Although	although	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	3	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	4	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	5	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	6	significant	significant	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	7	impact	impact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	8	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	10	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	11	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	12	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	13	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	14	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	15	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	16	some	some	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	17	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	18	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	19	still	still	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	20	possible	possible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	151	21	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	1	As	as	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	2	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	3	mid	mid	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	4	May	May	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	5	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	7	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	8	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	9	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	10	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	11	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	13	almost	almost	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	14	reached	reach	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	15	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	16	terminal	terminal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	17	value	value	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	18	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	20	spread	spread	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	21	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	22	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	23	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	24	has	have	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	25	slowed	slow	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	26	down	down	RP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	27	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	152	28	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	2	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	3	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	4	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	6	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	7	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	9	13.5	13.5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	10	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	13	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	14	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	15	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	153	16	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	2	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	3	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	5	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	6	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	7	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	8	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	10	04	04	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	12	11	11	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	14	10.7	10.7	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	15	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	16	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	17	showing	show	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	18	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	19	these	these	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	20	results	result	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	21	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	22	well	well	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	23	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	24	line	line	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	25	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	26	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	27	reports	report	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	28	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	29	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	30	anti	anti	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	31	-	-	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	32	body	body	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	33	test	test	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	34	performed	perform	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	35	at	at	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	36	KTH	KTH	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	37	2	2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	38	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	39	which	which	WDT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	40	indicated	indicate	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	41	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	42	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	43	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	44	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	45	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	46	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	47	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	48	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	49	had	have	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	50	developed	develop	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	51	anti	anti	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	52	-	-	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	53	bodies	body	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	54	against	against	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	55	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	56	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	57	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	58	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	59	virus	virus	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	60	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	61	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	62	first	first	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	63	weeks	week	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	64	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	65	April	April	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	154	66	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	2	emphasize	emphasize	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	3	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	5	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	6	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	8	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	9	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	11	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	12	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	13	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	14	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	15	relies	rely	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	16	heavily	heavily	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	17	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	18	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	19	inclusion	inclusion	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	20	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	21	results	result	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	22	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	23	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	24	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	25	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	26	performed	perform	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	27	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	28	Folkhälsomyndigheten	Folkhälsomyndigheten	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	29	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	30	late	late	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	31	March	March	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	32	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	33	early	early	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	34	April	April	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	155	35	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	1	Without	without	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	3	crucial	crucial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	4	piece	piece	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	6	information	information	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	7	similar	similar	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	8	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	9	to	to	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	10	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	11	one	one	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	12	analyzed	analyze	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	13	here	here	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	14	may	may	MD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	15	provide	provide	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	16	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	17	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	18	higher	high	JJR
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	19	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	20	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	22	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	23	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	24	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	25	infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	156	26	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	157	1	Table	table	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	157	2	3	3	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	157	3	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	1	Marginal	marginal	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	2	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	3	median	median	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	4	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	5	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	6	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	7	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	8	Region	Region	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	9	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	158	10	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	159	1	6.2	6.2	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	159	2	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	1	Summary	summary	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	2	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	4	results	result	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	5	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	6	ten	ten	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	7	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	9	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	160	10	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	1	In	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	2	this	this	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	3	section	section	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	4	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	7	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	8	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	9	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	10	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	11	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	12	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	13	provided	provide	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	14	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	15	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	16	following	follow	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	17	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	18	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	19	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	161	20	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	2	1	1	LS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	4	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	6	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	7	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	8	2.34	2.34	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	9	·	·	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	10	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	11	6	6	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	14	2	2	LS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	16	Västra	Västra	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	17	Götaland	Götaland	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	19	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	20	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	21	1.71	1.71	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	22	·	·	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	23	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	24	6	6	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	27	3)Östergötland	3)östergötland	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	29	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	30	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	31	1.36	1.36	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	32	·	·	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	33	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	34	6	6	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	162	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	2	4)Örebro	4)örebro	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	4	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	5	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	6	3.02	3.02	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	7	·	·	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	8	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	9	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	12	5	5	LS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	163	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	1	Skåne	Skåne	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	3	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	4	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	5	1.36	1.36	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	6	·	·	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	7	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	8	6	6	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	11	6	6	LS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	13	Jönköping	jönköping	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	15	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	16	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	17	3.56	3.56	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	18	·	·	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	19	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	20	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	23	7	7	LS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	25	Sörmland	sörmland	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	27	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	28	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	29	2.95	2.95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	30	·	·	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	31	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	32	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	35	8)	8)	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	36	Västmanland	Västmanland	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	38	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	39	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	40	2.74	2.74	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	41	·	·	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	42	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	43	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	45	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	46	9	9	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	48	Uppsala	Uppsala	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	49	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	50	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	51	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	52	3.76	3.76	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	53	·	·	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	54	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	55	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	56	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	57	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	58	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	59	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	60	Dalarna	Dalarna	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	61	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	62	population	population	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	63	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	64	2.87	2.87	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	65	·	·	NFP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	66	10	10	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	67	5	5	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	164	68	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	2	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	3	death	death	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	4	counts	count	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	5	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	6	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	7	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	9	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	10	until	until	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	11	2020	2020	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	12	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	13	05	05	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	14	-	-	SYM
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	15	15	15	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	16	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	17	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	18	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	19	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	20	webpage	webpage	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	165	21	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	166	1	https://c19.se/.	https://c19.se/.	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	1	There	there	EX
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	3	no	no	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	4	random	random	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	5	testing	testing	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	6	providing	provide	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	7	information	information	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	8	on	on	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	9	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	10	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	11	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	12	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	13	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	14	outside	outside	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	15	Region	Region	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	16	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	167	17	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	1	To	to	TO
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	2	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	3	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	4	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	6	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	7	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	8	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	9	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	10	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	11	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	12	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	13	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	14	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	15	outside	outside	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	16	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	17	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	18	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	19	have	have	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	20	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	21	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	22	multi	multi	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	23	-	-	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	24	region	region	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	25	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	26	pairwise	pairwise	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	27	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	28	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	29	two	two	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	30	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	31	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	32	each	each	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	33	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	34	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	35	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	36	where	where	WRB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	37	one	one	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	38	region	region	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	39	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	40	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	41	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	42	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	43	other	other	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	44	region	region	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	45	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	46	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	47	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	48	list	list	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	49	above	above	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	168	50	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	3	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	4	that	that	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	6	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	7	ν	ν	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	8	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	9	γ	γ	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	10	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	11	f	f	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	12	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	13	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	14	s	s	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	15	D	d	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	16	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	17	identical	identical	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	18	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	19	both	both	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	20	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	21	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	22	but	but	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	23	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	24	time	time	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	25	varying	vary	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	26	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	27	rate	rate	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	28	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	29	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	30	initial	initial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	31	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	32	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	33	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	34	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	35	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	36	different	different	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	37	between	between	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	38	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	39	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	169	40	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	2	posterior	posterior	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	4	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	5	contact	contact	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	6	rates	rate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	7	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	8	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	9	different	different	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	10	regions	region	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	11	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	12	provided	provide	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	13	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	14	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	15	Table	Table	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	16	4	4	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	17	along	along	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	18	with	with	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	19	95	95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	20	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	21	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	22	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	170	23	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	1	Overall	overall	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	2	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	3	proportions	proportion	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	4	are	be	VBP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	5	low	low	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	6	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	7	far	far	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	8	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	9	herd	herd	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	10	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	171	11	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	1	Prop	Prop	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	2	Observed	observe	VBD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	3	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	4	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	5	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	6	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	8	black	black	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	9	dots	dot	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	11	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	12	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	13	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	14	median	median	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	16	dark	dark	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	17	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	19	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	20	95	95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	21	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	22	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	23	interval	interval	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	24	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	25	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	26	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	27	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	28	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	29	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	30	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	172	31	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	173	1	Top	top	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	173	2	right	right	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	173	3	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	1	Observed	observe	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	2	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	3	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	5	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	7	black	black	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	8	dots	dot	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	10	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	11	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	12	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	13	median	median	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	15	dark	dark	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	16	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	18	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	19	95	95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	20	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	21	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	22	interval	interval	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	23	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	24	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	25	expected	expect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	26	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	27	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	28	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	29	deaths	death	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	174	30	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	1	Bottom	bottom	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	2	left	leave	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	3	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	4	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	5	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	6	median	median	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	8	dark	dark	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	9	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	11	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	12	95	95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	13	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	14	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	15	interval	interval	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	16	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	17	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	18	daily	daily	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	19	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	20	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	21	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	22	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	175	23	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	176	1	Bottom	bottom	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	176	2	right	right	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	176	3	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	2	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	3	median	median	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	5	dark	dark	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	6	red	red	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	8	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	9	95	95	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	10	%	%	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	11	credibility	credibility	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	12	interval	interval	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	13	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	14	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	15	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	16	number	number	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	17	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	18	infected	infected	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	19	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	177	20	.	.	.
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	178	1	Infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	178	2	Diseases	disease	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	178	3	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	178	4	Humans	human	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	178	5	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	178	6	Dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	178	7	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	178	8	Control	Control	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	1	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	2	geometric	geometric	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	3	foundations	foundation	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	4	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	5	Hamiltonian	Hamiltonian	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	6	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	7	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	8	Basic	basic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	9	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	11	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	12	techniques	technique	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	13	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	14	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	15	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	16	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	17	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	18	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	19	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	20	Stockholm	Stockholm	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	21	Contemporary	Contemporary	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	22	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	23	inference	inference	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	24	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	25	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	26	disease	disease	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	27	models	model	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	28	using	use	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	29	Stan	Stan	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	30	Mathematical	Mathematical	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	31	tools	tool	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	32	for	for	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	33	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	34	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	35	disease	disease	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	36	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	37	Stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	38	relaxation	relaxation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	39	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	40	Gibbs	Gibbs	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	41	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	42	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	43	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	44	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	45	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	46	restoration	restoration	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	47	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	48	images	image	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	49	Evaluating	evaluate	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	50	Derivatives	derivative	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	51	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	52	Principles	principle	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	53	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	54	Techniques	Techniques	NNPS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	55	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	56	Algorithmic	Algorithmic	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	57	Differentiation	Differentiation	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	58	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	59	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	60	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	61	methods	method	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	62	using	use	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	63	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	64	Chains	Chains	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	65	and	and	CC
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	66	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	67	applications	application	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	68	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	69	No	No	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	70	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	71	U	u	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	72	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	73	turn	turn	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	74	sampler	sampler	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	75	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	76	adaptively	adaptively	RB
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	77	setting	set	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	78	path	path	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	79	lengths	length	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	80	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	81	Hamiltonian	Hamiltonian	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	82	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	83	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	84	Random	Random	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	85	Measures	Measures	NNPS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	86	Early	early	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	87	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	88	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	89	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	90	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	91	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	92	China	China	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	93	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	94	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	95	novel	novel	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	96	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	97	Infected	infect	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	179	98	Pneumonia	pneumonia	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	1	Substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	2	undocumented	undocumented	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	3	infection	infection	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	4	facilitates	facilitate	VBZ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	5	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	6	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	7	dissemination	dissemination	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	8	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	9	novel	novel	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	10	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	12	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	14	CoV2	CoV2	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	16	Equation	equation	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	17	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	18	state	state	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	19	calculations	calculation	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	20	by	by	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	21	fast	fast	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	22	computing	computing	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	23	machines	machine	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	24	Estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	25	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	26	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	27	severity	severity	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	28	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	29	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	30	disease	disease	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	31	2019	2019	CD
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	32	:	:	:
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	33	a	a	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	34	model	model	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	35	-	-	HYPH
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	36	based	base	VBN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	37	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	38	The	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	39	Lancet	Lancet	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	40	Infections	Infections	NNPS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	41	Diseases	disease	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	42	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	43	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	44	severity	severity	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	45	of	of	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	46	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	47	from	from	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	48	the	the	DT
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	49	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	50	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	51	in	in	IN
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	52	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	53	,	,	,
cord-223212-5j5r6dd5	180	54	China	China	NNP