id sid tid token lemma pos cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 1 key key JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 2 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 3 cord-303657-o66rchhw cord-303657-o66rchhw VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 4 authors author NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 5 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 6 El El NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 7 Qadmiry Qadmiry NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 8 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 9 M. M. NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 10 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 11 Tahri Tahri NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 13 E. E. NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 14 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 15 Hassouni Hassouni NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 16 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 17 Y. Y. NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 18 title title NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 1 19 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 1 On on IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 3 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 4 numbers number NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 5 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 7 infections infection NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 8 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 9 behind behind IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 10 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 11 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 12 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 13 date date NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 14 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 15 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 16 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 17 05 05 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 18 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 19 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 20 journal journal NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 21 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 22 nan nan NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 23 DOI DOI NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 2 24 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 1 10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 LS cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 2 sha sha NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 4 29c39c0f0975a47ea2fd88d914964bd9c120fc27 29c39c0f0975a47ea2fd88d914964bd9c120fc27 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 5 doc_id doc_id CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 6 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 7 303657 303657 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 8 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 3 9 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 4 1 o66rchhw o66rchhw VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 2 December-2019 December-2019 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 3 China China NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 4 reported report VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 5 several several JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 6 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 7 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 8 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 9 novel novel JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 10 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 11 later later RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 12 called call VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 5 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 2 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 3 work work NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 6 will will MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 7 use use VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 8 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 9 probabilistic probabilistic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 10 method method NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 11 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 12 approximating approximate VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 14 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 15 daily daily JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 16 numbers number NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 17 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 18 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 6 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 1 Based base VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 2 on on IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 3 two two CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 4 distribution distribution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 5 functions function NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 6 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 7 describe describe VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 9 spontaneous spontaneous JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 10 recovered recover VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 11 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 12 on on IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 14 one one CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 15 hand hand NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 16 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 17 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 18 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 19 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 20 on on IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 21 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 22 other other JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 23 hand hand NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 7 24 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 2 impact impact NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 3 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 4 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 5 underlying underlying JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 6 variables variable NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 7 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 8 these these DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 9 functions function NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 10 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 11 discussed discuss VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 8 12 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 2 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 3 rate rate NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 4 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 5 predicted predict VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 6 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 7 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 8 between between IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 9 5.3 5.3 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 10 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 11 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 12 10,8 10,8 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 13 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 14 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 15 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 16 means mean VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 17 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 18 there there EX cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 19 would would MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 20 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 21 about about RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 22 38 38 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 23 million million CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 24 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 25 until until IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 26 now now RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 28 10-May 10-may CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 29 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 31 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 32 rather rather RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 33 than than IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 34 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 35 officially officially RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 36 declared declare VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 37 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 38 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 39 3.99 3.99 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 40 million million CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 41 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 42 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 9 43 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 1 Since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 3 outbreak outbreak NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 4 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 6 novel novel JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 8 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 9 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 10 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 11 spread spread NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 12 around around IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 14 world world NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 15 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 16 several several JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 17 published publish VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 18 works work NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 19 were be VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 20 concerned concern VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 21 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 22 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 23 analysis analysis NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 24 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 25 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 26 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 27 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 28 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 29 extract extract VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 30 information information NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 31 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 32 characterizes characterize VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 33 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 34 daily daily JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 35 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 36 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 37 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 38 new new JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 39 pandemic pandemic NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 10 40 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 1 Among among IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 3 concerned concerned JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 4 information information NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 5 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 6 there there EX cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 7 are be VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 9 incubation incubation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 10 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 12 1 1 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 13 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 14 2 2 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 16 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 17 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 18 reproduction reproduction NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 19 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 21 3 3 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 23 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 24 mortality mortality NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 25 rate rate NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 27 4 4 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 29 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 30 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 31 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 32 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 33 proportion proportion NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 34 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 35 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 36 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 37 5 5 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 39 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 40 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 41 was be VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 42 used use VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 43 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 44 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 45 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 46 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 47 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 48 Princess Princess NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 49 cruise cruise NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 50 ship ship NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 51 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 52 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 53 means mean VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 54 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 55 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 56 study study NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 57 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 58 done do VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 59 on on IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 60 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 61 closed closed JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 62 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 63 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 64 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 65 fact fact NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 66 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 67 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 68 worthy worthy JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 69 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 70 mention mention VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 11 71 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 2 aim aim NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 3 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 4 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 5 work work NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 6 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 7 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 8 approach approach VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 10 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 11 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 12 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 13 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 14 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 15 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 16 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 17 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 18 develop develop VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 19 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 20 analytical analytical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 21 method method NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 22 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 23 order order NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 24 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 25 allow allow VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 26 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 27 simulation simulation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 28 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 29 different different JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 30 scenarios scenario NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 31 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 32 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 33 occur occur VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 34 if if IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 35 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 36 modify modify VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 37 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 38 underlying underlie VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 39 variables variable NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 40 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 41 two two CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 42 special special JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 43 1 1 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 44 medkadmiri@hotmail.fr medkadmiri@hotmail.fr CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 45 2 2 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 12 46 hassanfa@yahoo.com hassanfa@yahoo.com ADD cord-303657-o66rchhw 13 1 3 3 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 13 2 y-hassou@fsr.ac.ma y-hassou@fsr.ac.ma NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 13 3 probabilistic probabilistic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 13 4 functions function NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 13 5 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 1 These these DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 2 probabilistic probabilistic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 3 functions function NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 4 control control VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 6 numbers number NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 7 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 9 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 10 as as RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 11 well well RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 12 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 14 numbers number NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 15 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 17 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 18 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 14 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 1 To to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 2 predict predict VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 3 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 4 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 5 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 7 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 8 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 9 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 10 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 11 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 12 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 13 escapes escape VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 14 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 16 official official JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 17 counting counting NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 18 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 20 take take VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 21 into into IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 22 account account NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 23 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 24 reproduction reproduction NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 25 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 15 26 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 2 importance importance NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 3 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 4 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 5 investigation investigation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 6 lies lie VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 7 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 9 fact fact NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 10 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 11 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 12 important important JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 13 part part NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 14 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 16 infection infection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 17 comes come VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 18 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 19 people people NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 20 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 21 are be VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 22 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 23 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 24 hospitals hospital NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 25 or or CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 26 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 27 isolated isolate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 28 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 29 i.e. i.e. FW cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 30 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 31 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 32 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 33 virus virus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 34 transmission transmission NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 35 occurs occur VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 36 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 37 general general JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 38 before before IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 39 symptoms symptom NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 40 appear appear VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 41 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 42 6 6 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 43 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 16 44 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 1 Then then RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 4 think think VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 5 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 7 numerical numerical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 8 simulation simulation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 9 achieved achieve VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 10 here here RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 11 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 12 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 13 helpful helpful JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 14 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 15 estimate estimate VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 17 consequences consequence NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 18 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 19 different different JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 20 strategies strategy NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 21 adopted adopt VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 22 at at IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 23 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 24 governmental governmental JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 25 level level NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 26 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 27 such such JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 28 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 29 social social JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 30 distancing distancing NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 31 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 32 strict strict JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 33 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 34 confinement confinement NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 35 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 36 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 37 short short JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 38 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 39 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 40 mass mass NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 41 testing testing NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 42 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 43 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 44 other other JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 45 measures measure NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 46 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 47 aim aim VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 48 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 49 stop stop VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 50 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 51 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 52 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 53 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 54 pandemic pandemic NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 17 55 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 2 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 3 section section NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 6 will will MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 7 introduce introduce VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 9 distribution distribution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 10 functions function NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 11 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 12 describe describe VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 14 spontaneous spontaneous JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 15 outcome outcome NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 16 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 17 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 18 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 19 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 18 20 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 2 addition addition NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 3 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 4 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 5 reproduction reproduction NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 6 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 7 responsible responsible JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 8 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 9 exponential exponential JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 10 growth growth NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 19 11 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 1 When when WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 2 there there EX cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 3 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 4 no no DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 5 medical medical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 6 intervention intervention NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 7 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 8 favor favor NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 9 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 10 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 11 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 14 biological biological JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 15 defending defend VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 16 system system NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 17 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 18 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 19 withstand withstand VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 20 alone alone JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 21 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 22 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 23 natural natural JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 24 solution solution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 20 25 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 3 eventually eventually RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 4 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 5 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 6 end end VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 7 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 8 either either CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 9 recovering recover VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 10 disability disability NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 11 or or CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 12 death death NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 21 13 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 1 Thus thus RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 3 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 4 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 5 closed closed JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 6 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 7 initially initially RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 8 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 9 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 10 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 11 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 12 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 13 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 14 keeps keep NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 15 steadily steadily RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 16 decreasing decrease VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 17 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 18 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 19 illness illness NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 20 onset onset NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 21 until until IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 22 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 23 end end NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 24 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 25 infection infection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 26 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 27 concerning concern VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 28 many many JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 29 factors factor NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 30 including include VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 31 age age NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 32 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 33 health health NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 34 status status NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 35 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 36 viral viral JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 37 load load NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 38 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 39 immunity immunity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 40 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 41 etc etc FW cord-303657-o66rchhw 22 42 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 1 Considering consider VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 2 these these DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 3 facts fact NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 6 will will MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 7 suggest suggest VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 8 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 9 suitable suitable JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 10 distribution distribution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 11 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 12 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 13 lower lower VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 14 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 15 amount amount NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 16 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 17 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 18 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 19 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 20 through through IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 21 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 23 22 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 24 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 24 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 24 3 denoted denote VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 24 4 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 24 5 Ps(t Ps(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 24 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 25 1 -(s)-subscript -(s)-subscript DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 1 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 2 survival survival NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 3 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 4 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 5 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 6 analytical analytical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 7 expression expression NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 8 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 9 chosen choose VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 10 so so IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 11 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 12 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 13 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 14 compatible compatible JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 15 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 17 empirical empirical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 18 observation observation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 19 taken take VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 20 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 21 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 22 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 23 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 24 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 26 7 7 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 27 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 28 based base VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 29 on on IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 30 1987 1987 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 31 control control NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 32 patients patient NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 33 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 34 so so CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 35 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 36 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 37 given give VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 38 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 39 follows follow VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 40 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 26 41 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 27 1 CC CC NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 27 2 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 27 3 BY by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 27 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 27 5 International international JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 27 6 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 28 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 28 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 28 3 made make VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 28 4 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 28 5 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 28 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 1 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 3 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 4 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 5 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 6 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 7 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 8 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 9 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 11 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 12 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 14 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 16 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 17 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 29 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 2 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 3 was be VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 4 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 5 certified certify VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 6 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 7 peer peer NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 8 review review NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 30 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 31 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 32 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 32 2 doi doi NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 32 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 2 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 3 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 6 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 7 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 8 Heaviside Heaviside NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 9 step step NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 10 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 11 equals equal VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 12 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 13 1 1 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 14 if if IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 15 ≤ ≤ NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 16 30 30 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 17 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 18 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 19 0 0 NFP cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 20 otherwise otherwise RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 21 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 23 ensures ensure VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 24 here here RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 25 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 26 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 27 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 28 vanishes vanish VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 29 if if IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 30 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 31 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 32 exceeds exceed VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 33 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 34 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 35 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 36 30-days 30-days CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 37 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 38 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 39 illness illness NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 40 onset onset NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 33 41 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 1 This this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 3 because because IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 4 there there EX cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 5 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 6 no no DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 7 remaining remain VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 8 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 9 after after IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 10 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 11 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 13 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 14 after after RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 15 all all RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 16 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 18 will will MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 19 see see VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 20 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 21 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 22 does do VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 23 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 24 have have VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 25 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 26 significant significant JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 27 impact impact NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 28 on on IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 29 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 30 results result NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 34 31 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 1 Let let VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 2 us -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 3 note note VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 4 also also RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 5 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 7 do do VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 8 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 9 use use VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 10 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 11 polynomial polynomial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 12 regression regression NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 14 describe describe VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 15 Ps(t Ps(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 17 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 18 because because IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 20 demands demand VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 21 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 22 greet greet JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 23 polynomial polynomial NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 24 degree degree NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 35 25 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 5 1 1 LS cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 7 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 9 show show VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 10 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 11 behavior behavior NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 12 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 14 Ps(t Ps(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 16 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 36 17 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 2 real real JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 3 curve curve NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 4 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 5 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 6 extracted extract VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 7 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 9 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 10 concerning concern VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 11 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 12 control control NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 13 patients patient NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 14 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 16 drug drug NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 17 treatments treatment NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 18 experiment experiment NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 19 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 20 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 21 example example NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 22 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 24 7 7 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 25 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 26 8 8 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 27 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 28 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 29 here here RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 30 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 31 use use VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 32 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 33 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 34 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 35 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 36 first first JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 37 one one CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 38 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 39 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 40 mention mention VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 41 above above RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 37 42 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 2 comparison comparison NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 3 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 4 shown show VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 5 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 6 Fig Fig NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 7 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 9 2 2 LS cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 11 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 12 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 14 take take VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 16 initial initial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 17 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 18 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 19 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 20 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 21 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 22 1987 1987 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 38 23 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 1 Thus thus RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 4 plot plot VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 6 expected expect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 7 survival survival NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 8 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 39 9 -at -at . cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 1 every every DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 2 day day NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 3 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 4 given give VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 5 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 7 product product NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 8 1987 1987 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 9 × × NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 10 Ps(t Ps(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 13 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 14 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 15 real real JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 16 survival survival NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 17 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 18 following follow VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 19 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 20 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 40 21 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 2 standard standard JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 3 error error NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 4 equals equal VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 5 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 6 19 19 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 7 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 8 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 9 means mean VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 10 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 12 have have VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 13 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 14 good good JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 15 approximation approximation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 41 16 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 42 1 Days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 42 2 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 42 3 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 42 4 ilness ilness NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 42 5 onset onset NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 42 6 Survival Survival NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 42 7 probability probability NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 42 8 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 43 1 CC CC NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 43 2 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 43 3 BY by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 43 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 43 5 International international JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 43 6 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 44 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 44 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 44 3 made make VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 44 4 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 44 5 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 44 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 1 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 3 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 4 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 5 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 6 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 7 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 8 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 9 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 11 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 12 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 14 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 16 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 17 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 45 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 46 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 47 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 47 2 doi doi NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 47 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 48 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 48 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 48 3 _SP cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 1 There there EX cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 3 no no DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 4 doubt doubt NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 5 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 7 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 8 counting count VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 9 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 10 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 11 perfect perfect JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 13 because because IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 14 there there EX cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 15 are be VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 16 many many JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 17 factors factor NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 18 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 19 may may MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 20 affect affect VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 21 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 22 results result NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 23 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 24 such such JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 25 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 26 test test NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 27 accuracy accuracy NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 28 ; ; , cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 29 viral viral JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 30 load load NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 31 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 32 medical medical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 33 protocol protocol NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 34 ; ; , cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 35 testing test VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 36 strategy strategy NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 49 37 ... ... . cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 4 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 5 estimate estimate VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 6 another another DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 7 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 8 distribution distribution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 9 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 11 CDF CDF NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 13 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 14 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 15 describes describe VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 17 probability probability NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 18 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 19 detect detect VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 20 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 21 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 22 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 23 among among IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 24 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 25 entire entire JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 26 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 50 27 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 1 This this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 2 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 3 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 4 wellknown wellknown JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 5 used use VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 6 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 7 several several JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 8 precedent precedent NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 9 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 11 see see VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 13 9 9 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 16 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 17 e.g. e.g. RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 18 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 19 SARS SARS NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 20 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 21 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 22 Rhinovirus Rhinovirus NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 23 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 24 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 25 B B NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 51 26 ... ... NFP cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 2 logistic logistic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 3 distribution distribution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 4 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 5 useful useful JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 6 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 7 recognize recognize VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 8 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 9 CDF cdf NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 10 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 12 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 13 characterized characterize VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 14 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 15 two two CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 16 parameters parameter NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 17 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 18 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 19 first first JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 20 one one CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 21 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 22 denoted denote VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 23 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 24 M M NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 25 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 26 represents represent VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 27 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 28 maximum maximum JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 29 absolute absolute JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 30 accuracy accuracy NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 31 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 32 testing testing NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 33 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 34 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 35 second second JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 36 one one NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 37 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 38 denoted denote VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 39 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 40 δ0 δ0 NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 41 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 42 represents represent VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 43 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 44 incubation incubation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 45 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 46 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 47 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 48 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 49 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 50 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 51 estimated estimate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 52 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 53 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 54 between between IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 55 5.5 5.5 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 56 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 57 9.5 9.5 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 58 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 59 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 60 see see VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 61 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 62 5 5 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 63 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 52 64 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 1 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 2 e.g. e.g. IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 4 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 5 fixed fix VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 6 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 7 5.8 5.8 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 8 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 9 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 11 10 10 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 13 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 14 5.1 5.1 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 15 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 16 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 18 2 2 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 53 20 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 1 Let let VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 2 us -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 3 denote denote VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 4 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 5 distribution distribution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 6 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 7 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 8 Pd(t Pd(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 54 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 1 -(d)-subscript -(d)-subscript : cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 2 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 3 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 5 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 6 " " `` cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 7 t t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 8 " " '' cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 9 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 10 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 11 representing represent VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 12 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 13 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 14 infection infection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 15 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 16 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 17 write write VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 18 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 19 explicit explicit JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 20 expression expression NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 21 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 22 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 23 following following JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 24 manner manner NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 55 25 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 2 what what WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 3 follows follow VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 6 will will MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 7 choose choose VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 9 value value NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 10 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 11 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 12 incubation incubation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 13 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 14 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 15 δ0 δ0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 56 16 = = NFP cord-303657-o66rchhw 57 1 6.4-days 6.4-days CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 1 following follow VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 3 result result NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 4 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 6 reference reference NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 8 11 11 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 11 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 13 was be VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 14 chosen choose VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 15 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 17 accuracy accuracy NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 18 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 19 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 20 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 21 used use VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 22 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 23 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 24 analysis analysis NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 58 26 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 1 Concerning concern VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 3 testing testing NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 4 Days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 5 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 7 admition admition NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 8 Survival Survival NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 9 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 59 10 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 60 1 CC CC NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 60 2 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 60 3 BY by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 60 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 60 5 International international JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 60 6 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 61 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 61 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 61 3 made make VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 61 4 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 61 5 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 61 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 1 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 3 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 4 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 5 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 6 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 7 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 8 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 9 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 11 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 12 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 14 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 16 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 17 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 62 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 63 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 64 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 64 2 doi doi NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 64 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 2 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 3 accuracy accuracy NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 6 take take VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 7 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 8 maximum maximum JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 9 equal equal JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 10 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 11 M M NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 12 = = SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 13 90 90 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 14 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 15 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 16 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 17 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 18 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 19 widely widely RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 20 varied varied JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 21 quantity quantity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 22 regarding regard VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 23 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 24 testing testing NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 25 strategy strategy NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 26 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 27 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 28 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 29 proportion proportion NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 30 estimated estimate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 31 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 33 5 5 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 35 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 36 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 37 17.9 17.9 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 38 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 65 39 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 2 Fig:(3 Fig:(3 NNPS cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 5 show show VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 7 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 8 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 9 Pd(t Pd(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 11 CDF CDF NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 12 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 13 respect respect NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 14 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 16 above above JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 17 conditions condition NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 18 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 19 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 20 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 21 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 22 get get VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 23 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 24 probability probability NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 25 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 26 detect detect VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 27 2.9 2.9 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 28 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 29 after after IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 30 2 2 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 31 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 32 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 33 58 58 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 34 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 35 after after IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 36 7 7 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 37 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 38 ; ; : cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 39 90 90 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 40 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 41 after after IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 42 12 12 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 43 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 66 44 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 2 reproduction reproduction NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 3 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 4 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 5 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 6 important important JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 7 index index NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 8 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 9 evaluate evaluate VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 10 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 11 spread spread NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 12 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 13 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 67 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 3 defined define VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 4 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 6 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 7 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 8 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 9 caused cause VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 10 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 11 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 12 infectious infectious JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 13 person person NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 14 during during IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 17 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 18 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 19 denoted denote VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 20 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 21 R0 R0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 68 22 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 1 What what WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 2 interests interest VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 4 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 6 work work NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 7 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 9 infection infection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 10 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 11 producing produce VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 12 contacts contact NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 13 per per IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 14 one one CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 15 day day NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 16 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 17 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 18 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 19 described describe VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 20 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 21 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 22 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 23 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 24 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 25 denoted denote VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 26 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 27 r(t r(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 29 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 30 obtained obtain VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 31 simply simply RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 32 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 33 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 34 ratio ratio NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 35 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 36 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 37 reproduction reproduction NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 38 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 39 R0 R0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 40 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 41 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 42 infectious infectious JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 43 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 44 τ τ NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 45 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 46 neglecting neglect VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 47 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 48 latent latent JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 49 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 69 51 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 1 This this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 2 quantity quantity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 3 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 4 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 5 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 7 confinement confinement NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 8 measures measure NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 9 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 10 always always RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 11 lower lower RBR cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 12 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 13 respect respect NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 14 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 15 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 70 16 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 2 suppose suppose VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 3 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 4 r(t r(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 6 follows follow VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 7 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 9 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 10 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 11 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 13 could could MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 14 justify justify VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 15 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 17 fact fact NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 18 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 19 at at IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 20 early early JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 21 times time NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 23 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 24 much much RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 25 easier easy JJR cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 26 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 27 reduce reduce VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 28 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 29 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 30 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 31 healthy healthy JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 32 contacts contact NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 33 than than IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 34 at at IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 35 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 36 late late JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 37 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 71 38 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 4 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 5 write write VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 6 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 7 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 8 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 9 Days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 10 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 11 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 12 illness illness NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 13 onset onset NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 14 Detection detection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 15 probability probability NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 72 16 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 73 1 CC CC NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 73 2 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 73 3 BY by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 73 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 73 5 International international JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 73 6 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 74 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 74 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 74 3 made make VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 74 4 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 74 5 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 74 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 1 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 3 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 4 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 5 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 6 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 7 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 8 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 9 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 11 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 12 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 14 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 16 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 17 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 75 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 76 15 _SP cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 1 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 2 r0 r0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 3 = = SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 4 R0 R0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 5 / / , cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 6 τ τ NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 7 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 9 initial initial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 10 value value NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 11 calculated calculate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 12 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 14 value value NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 15 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 17 reproduction reproduction NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 18 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 19 R0 R0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 20 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 21 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 22 itself -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 23 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 24 estimated estimate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 25 according accord VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 26 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 27 several several JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 28 considerations consideration NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 29 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 30 3.28-days 3.28-days CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 31 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 33 12 12 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 35 or or CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 36 6.47-days 6.47-days CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 37 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 38 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 39 13 13 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 40 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 77 41 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 1 Here here RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 4 will will MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 5 use use VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 7 last last JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 8 one one NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 9 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 10 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 11 precaution precaution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 12 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 13 prevent prevent VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 14 bad bad JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 15 decisions decision NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 16 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 17 thus thus RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 18 r0 r0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 19 = = SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 20 0.32 0.32 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 78 21 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 2 parameter parameter NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 3 d d NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 4 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 6 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 7 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 8 characterizes characterize VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 10 isolation isolation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 11 strategy strategy NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 13 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 14 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 15 -by -by : cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 16 definition definition NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 17 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 18 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 19 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 20 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 21 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 22 required require VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 23 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 24 reduce reduce VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 25 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 26 initial initial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 27 value value NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 28 r0 r0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 29 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 30 1 1 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 31 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 32 e e NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 33 ≃0.37 ≃0.37 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 79 34 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 3 case case NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 6 must must MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 7 choose choose VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 9 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 10 d d NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 11 = = SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 12 341-days 341-days CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 14 get get VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 16 simulation simulation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 17 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 18 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 19 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 20 compatible compatible JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 21 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 22 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 23 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 24 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 25 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 26 confirmed confirm VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 27 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 80 28 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 1 Let let VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 2 us -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 3 first first JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 4 start start VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 5 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 7 simulation simulation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 8 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 9 see see VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 10 what what WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 11 happens happen VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 12 if if IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 14 have have VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 15 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 16 semiclosed semiclose VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 17 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 18 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 19 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 20 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 21 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 22 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 23 only only RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 24 possible possible JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 25 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 26 lose lose VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 27 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 28 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 29 without without IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 30 any any DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 31 gain gain NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 81 32 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 3 let let VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 4 us -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 5 fix fix VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 7 initial initial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 8 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 9 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 10 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 11 N0 N0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 82 12 = = NFP cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 1 100 100 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 2 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 3 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 4 extract extract VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 5 every every DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 6 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 7 case case NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 8 following follow VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 10 Pd(t Pd(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 12 CDF CDF NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 83 13 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 1 To to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 2 do do VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 3 so so RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 5 every every DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 6 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 7 tn= tn= : cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 8 n n NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 9 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 10 days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 11 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 13 recalculate recalculate VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 14 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 15 numbers number NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 16 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 17 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 18 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 19 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 20 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 21 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 22 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 23 t0 t0 NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 24 = = SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 25 0 0 NFP cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 26 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 27 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 28 moment moment NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 29 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 30 illness illness NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 31 onset onset NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 32 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 33 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 34 entire entire JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 35 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 84 36 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 2 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 3 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 4 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 5 N(t N(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 7 at at IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 8 tn tn NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 9 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 10 then then RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 11 given give VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 12 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 13 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 14 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 16 introduced introduce VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 17 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 18 new new JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 19 distribution distribution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 20 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 21 P(t p(t CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 23 written write VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 24 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 25 follows follow VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 85 26 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 2 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 3 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 4 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 5 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 6 Ñ(t ñ(t VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 8 among among IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 10 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 11 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 12 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 13 given give VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 14 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 15 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 16 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 17 ̃ ̃ NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 20 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 21 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 22 CDF CDF NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 23 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 24 defined define VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 25 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 86 26 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 2 behavior behavior NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 3 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 4 these these DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 5 two two CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 6 numbers number NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 7 N N NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 8 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 9 Ñ ñ NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 10 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 11 respect respect NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 12 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 87 13 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 88 1 -since -since NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 1 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 2 illness illness NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 3 onset onset NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 4 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 5 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 6 given give VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 7 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 8 Fig Fig NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 9 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 11 4 4 LS cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 89 13 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 90 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 90 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 90 3 noteworthy noteworthy JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 90 4 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 90 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 90 6 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 90 7 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 90 8 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 91 1 CC CC NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 91 2 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 91 3 BY by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 91 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 91 5 International international JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 91 6 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 92 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 92 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 92 3 made make VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 92 4 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 92 5 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 92 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 1 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 3 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 4 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 5 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 6 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 7 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 8 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 9 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 11 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 12 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 14 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 16 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 17 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 93 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 94 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 95 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 95 2 doi doi NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 95 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 2 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 3 reach reach VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 4 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 5 maximum maximum JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 6 value value NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 7 near near IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 9 incubation incubation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 10 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 11 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 12 decrease decrease VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 13 afterward afterward RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 96 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 2 accumulation accumulation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 3 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 4 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 5 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 6 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 7 less less JJR cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 8 than than IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 10 initial initial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 11 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 12 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 13 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 14 N0 n0 NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 15 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 16 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 17 rate rate NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 18 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 19 63 63 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 20 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 22 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 23 majority majority NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 24 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 25 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 26 are be VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 27 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 28 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 97 30 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 3 following following JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 4 section section NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 5 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 7 shall shall MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 8 consider consider VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 9 each each DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 10 " " `` cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 11 new new JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 12 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 13 " " '' cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 14 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 15 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 16 semiclosed semiclosed JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 17 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 98 18 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 1 Remark remark VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 2 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 3 after after IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 4 only only RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 5 10-days 10-days CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 6 there there EX cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 7 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 8 no no DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 9 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 10 stay stay NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 11 free free JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 13 they -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 14 are be VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 15 either either RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 16 isolated isolate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 17 or or CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 18 recovered recover VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 99 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 1 For for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 3 last last JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 4 reason reason NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 5 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 7 know know VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 8 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 10 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 11 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 12 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 13 illness illness NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 14 onset onset NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 15 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 16 death death NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 17 does do VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 18 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 19 play play VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 20 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 21 significant significant JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 22 role role NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 23 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 24 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 25 detection detection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 26 mechanism mechanism NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 100 27 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 1 Now now RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 3 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 4 apply apply VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 6 method method NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 7 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 9 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 10 status status NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 11 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 12 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 13 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 14 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 15 must must MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 16 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 17 considered consider VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 18 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 19 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 20 open open JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 21 population population NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 22 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 23 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 24 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 25 possible possible JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 26 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 27 gain gain VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 28 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 29 lose lose VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 30 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 31 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 101 32 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 2 essence essence NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 3 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 4 every every DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 5 day day NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 7 must must MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 8 recalculate recalculate VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 10 remain remain JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 11 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 12 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 14 following following NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 15 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 16 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 18 suppose suppose VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 19 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 20 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 21 new new JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 22 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 23 are be VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 24 given give VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 25 through through IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 26 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 27 exponential exponential JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 28 growth growth NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 29 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 30 14 14 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 102 32 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 1 Explicitly explicitly RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 3 if if IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 5 suppose suppose VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 6 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 7 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 8 latent latent JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 9 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 11 15 15 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 13 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 14 zero zero CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 15 so so IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 16 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 17 Days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 18 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 19 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 20 illness illness NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 21 onset onset NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 22 Daily daily JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 23 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 24 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 25 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 103 26 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 104 1 CC CC NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 104 2 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 104 3 BY by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 104 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 104 5 International international JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 104 6 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 105 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 105 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 105 3 made make VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 105 4 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 105 5 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 105 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 1 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 3 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 4 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 5 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 6 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 7 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 8 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 9 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 11 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 12 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 14 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 16 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 17 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 106 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 107 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 108 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 108 2 doi doi NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 108 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 2 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 3 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 4 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 5 able able JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 6 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 7 multiply multiply VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 8 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 9 r(t r(t NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 11 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 12 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 13 first first JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 14 day day NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 15 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 16 infection infection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 17 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 19 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 20 then then RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 21 write write VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 23 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 24 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 25 New New NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 26 cases(tn cases(tn -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 109 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 110 1 = = NFP cord-303657-o66rchhw 110 2 r(tn−1 r(tn−1 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 110 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 110 4 * * NFP cord-303657-o66rchhw 111 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 111 2 Remains remain VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 111 3 cases(tn−1 cases(tn−1 NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 111 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 111 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 111 6 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 2 general general JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 3 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 5 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 6 write write VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 7 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 8 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 9 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 10 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 11 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 12 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 13 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 14 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 15 recurrence recurrence NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 16 relation relation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 17 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 18 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 19 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 20 N(tn−i N(tn−i NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 22 = = SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 112 23 0 0 NFP cord-303657-o66rchhw 113 1 if if IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 113 2 n n NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 113 3 < < XX cord-303657-o66rchhw 113 4 i. i. NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 2 first first JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 3 term term NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 4 represents represent VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 6 new new JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 7 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 8 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 10 second second JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 11 term term NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 13 formed form VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 14 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 16 sum sum NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 17 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 18 30-terms 30-terms CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 20 represents represent VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 21 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 22 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 23 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 24 have have VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 25 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 26 recovered recover VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 27 spontaneously spontaneously RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 28 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 29 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 30 previously previously RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 31 generated generate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 32 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 33 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 34 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 35 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 36 last last JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 37 term term NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 38 represents represent VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 39 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 40 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 41 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 42 have have VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 43 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 44 recovered recover VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 45 spontaneously spontaneously RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 46 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 47 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 48 initial initial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 49 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 50 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 51 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 53 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 54 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 55 course course NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 56 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 57 equal equal JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 58 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 59 zero zero CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 60 if if IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 61 tn>30-days tn>30-days NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 62 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 114 63 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 1 Likewise likewise RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 3 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 4 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 5 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 6 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 7 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 9 confirmed confirm VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 11 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 12 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 13 expressed express VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 14 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 15 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 16 recurrence recurrence NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 17 relation relation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 18 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 19 follows follow VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 20 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 21 where where WRB cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 22 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 23 first first JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 24 terms term NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 25 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 26 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 27 summation summation JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 28 symbol symbol NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 29 represent represent VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 30 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 31 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 32 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 33 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 34 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 35 previously previously RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 36 generated generate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 37 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 38 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 39 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 40 second second JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 41 term term NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 42 represents represent VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 43 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 44 detected detected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 45 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 46 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 47 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 48 initial initial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 49 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 50 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 51 infected infect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 53 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 54 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 55 equal equal JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 56 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 57 zero zero CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 58 if if IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 59 tn>30-days tn>30-days NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 115 61 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 1 Thus thus RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 3 using use VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 4 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 5 above above JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 6 equations equation NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 8 8) 8) NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 9 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 11 9 9 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 13 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 14 taking take VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 15 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 16 initial initial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 17 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 18 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 19 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 20 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 21 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 22 N0 N0 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 23 = = SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 24 270 270 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 116 25 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 1 Note note VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 2 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 3 there there EX cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 4 were be VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 5 27 27 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 6 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 7 at at IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 8 15-Dec 15-dec CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 9 2019 2019 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 10 according accord VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 11 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 13 16 16 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 15 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 16 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 17 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 18 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 19 rate rate NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 20 claimed claim VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 21 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 22 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 23 10 10 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 24 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 117 25 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 1 Thus thus RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 4 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 5 realize realize VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 7 simulation simulation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 8 showing show VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 10 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 11 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 12 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 13 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 14 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 15 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 16 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 17 that that DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 18 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 19 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 20 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 21 one one CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 118 22 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 2 result result NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 3 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 4 given give VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 5 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 7 two two CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 8 curves curve NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 9 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 10 Fig Fig NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 11 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 13 5 5 LS cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 119 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 120 1 CC CC NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 120 2 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 120 3 BY by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 120 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 120 5 International international JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 120 6 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 121 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 121 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 121 3 made make VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 121 4 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 121 5 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 121 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 1 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 3 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 4 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 5 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 6 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 7 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 8 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 9 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 11 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 12 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 14 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 16 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 17 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 122 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 123 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 124 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 124 2 doi doi NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 124 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 125 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 125 2 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 125 3 Figure figure NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 125 4 5 5 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 125 5 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 2 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 3 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 4 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 5 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 6 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 7 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 8 N(t n(t VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 126 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 127 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 127 2 blue blue NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 127 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 127 4 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 127 5 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 127 6 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 127 7 Ñ(t ñ(t VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 127 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 128 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 128 2 orange orange NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 128 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 128 4 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 128 5 function function NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 128 6 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 128 7 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 1 By by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 2 looking look VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 3 at at IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 4 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 5 two two CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 6 curves curve NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 7 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 9 observe observe VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 10 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 11 great great JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 12 difference difference NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 13 between between IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 14 them -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 15 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 17 confirmed confirm VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 18 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 19 appear appear VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 20 very very RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 21 smaller small JJR cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 22 than than IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 23 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 24 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 25 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 26 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 129 27 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 1 With with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 2 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 3 detection detection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 4 rate rate NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 5 increasing increase VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 6 across across IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 7 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 9 Fig fig NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 10 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 12 6 6 LS cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 130 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 1 Beginning begin VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 2 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 3 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 4 average average NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 5 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 6 5.3 5.3 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 7 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 8 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 10 first first JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 11 50-days 50-days CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 12 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 13 ending end VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 14 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 15 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 16 average average NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 17 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 18 12 12 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 19 % % NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 20 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 21 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 22 final final JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 23 50-days 50-days CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 24 before before IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 25 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 26 disappearance disappearance NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 27 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 28 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 29 pandemic pandemic NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 131 30 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 1 These these DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 2 results result NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 3 are be VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 4 well well RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 5 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 6 matched match VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 7 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 8 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 9 results result NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 10 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 11 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 12 studies study NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 13 achieved achieve VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 14 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 16 17 17 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 18 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 20 18 18 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 132 22 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 5 6 6 LS cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 8 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 9 see see VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 10 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 11 daily daily JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 12 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 13 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 14 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 15 detection detection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 16 rate rate NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 17 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 18 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 19 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 20 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 21 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 22 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 23 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 24 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 25 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 26 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 27 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 28 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 29 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 30 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 31 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 32 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 33 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 34 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 133 35 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 134 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 135 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 135 2 doi doi NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 135 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 136 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 136 2 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 136 3 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 136 4 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 136 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 136 6 19 19 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 136 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 136 8 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 1 This this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 3 what what WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 5 do do VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 6 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 7 Fig fig NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 8 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 10 7 7 LS cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 13 indeed indeed RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 14 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 16 compare compare VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 17 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 18 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 19 curve curve NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 21 dashed dash VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 23 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 24 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 25 real real JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 26 curve curve NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 28 continued continue VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 30 up up IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 31 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 32 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 33 present present JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 34 time time NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 137 35 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 138 1 Figure figure NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 138 2 7 7 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 138 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 2 graphs graph NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 3 represent represent VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 4 real real JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 6 continued continued JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 8 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 9 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 11 dashed dash VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 13 curves curve NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 14 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 15 daily daily RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 16 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 17 confirmed confirm VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 18 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 139 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 4 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 5 deduce deduce VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 7 numerical numerical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 8 comparison comparison NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 9 between between IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 10 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 11 simulated simulated JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 12 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 14 real real JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 15 accumulated accumulate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 16 -confirmed -confirme VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 17 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 140 18 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 1 ∑ ∑ NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 2 Ñ Ñ NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 5 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 6 are be VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 7 5.32 5.32 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 8 M M NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 9 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 10 5.37 5.37 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 11 M M NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 12 respectively respectively RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 14 up up IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 15 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 16 15-May 15-may CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 17 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 19 19 19 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 141 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 1 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 3 other other JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 4 side side NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 5 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 7 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 8 accumulated accumulate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 142 9 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 1 ∑ ∑ NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 4 give give VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 5 about about RP cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 6 68.6 68.6 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 7 M m CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 8 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 9 rather rather RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 10 than than IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 143 11 5.37M. 5.37m. CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 1 Across across IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 2 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 3 work work NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 4 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 6 developed develop VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 7 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 8 new new JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 9 method method NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 10 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 11 simulate simulate VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 12 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 13 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 14 evolution evolution NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 15 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 16 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 18 pandemic pandemic NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 144 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 1 This this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 2 method method NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 3 consists consist VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 4 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 5 three three CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 6 concepts concept NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 7 modeled model VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 8 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 9 three three CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 10 analytic analytic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 11 functions function NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 12 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 13 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 14 spontaneous spontaneous JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 15 outcome outcome NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 16 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 17 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 18 detected detect VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 19 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 20 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 21 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 22 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 23 well well RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 24 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 25 known know VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 26 exponential exponential JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 27 growth growth NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 145 28 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 2 results result NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 3 show show VBP cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 4 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 5 particular particular JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 6 that that IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 7 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 8 simulated simulated JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 9 curve curve NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 10 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 11 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 12 true true JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 13 infected infected JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 14 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 15 gives give VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 16 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 17 large large JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 18 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 19 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 20 comparison comparison NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 21 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 22 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 23 confirmed confirm VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 24 one one CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 146 25 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 2 method method NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 3 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 4 presented present VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 5 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 7 way way NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 8 that that WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 9 can can MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 10 be be VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 11 extended extend VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 12 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 13 use use NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 14 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 15 other other JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 16 pandemics pandemic NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 17 and/or and/or CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 18 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 19 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 20 given give VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 21 country country NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 147 22 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 2 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 3 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 4 simulation simulation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 5 may may MD cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 6 help help VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 7 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 8 predicting predict VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 10 impact impact NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 11 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 12 various various JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 13 measures measure NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 14 taken take VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 15 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 16 tackle tackle VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 17 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 148 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 149 1 Days day NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 149 2 since since IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 149 3 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 149 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 149 5 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 150 1 CC CC NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 150 2 - - : cord-303657-o66rchhw 150 3 BY by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 150 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 150 5 International international JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 150 6 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 151 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-303657-o66rchhw 151 2 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 151 3 made make VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 151 4 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 151 5 under under IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 151 6 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 1 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 2 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 3 author author NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 4 / / SYM cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 5 funder funder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 6 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 7 who who WP cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 8 has have VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 9 granted grant VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 11 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 12 license license NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 13 to to TO cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 14 display display VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 15 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 16 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 17 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 152 19 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 2 which which WDT cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 3 was be VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 4 not not RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 5 certified certify VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 6 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 7 peer peer NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 8 review review NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 153 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 2 copyright copyright NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 3 holder holder NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 4 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 5 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 6 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 7 this this DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 8 version version NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 9 posted post VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 10 May May NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 11 28 28 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 12 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 13 2020 2020 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 14 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 154 15 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 155 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.26.20114074 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 155 2 doi doi NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 155 3 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 2 preprint preprint NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 3 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 4 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 5 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 6 other other JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 7 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 8 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 9 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 10 2019 2019 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 11 novel novel JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 12 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 13 infections infection NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 14 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 15 right right JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 16 truncation truncation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 17 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 18 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 19 statistical statistical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 20 analysis analysis NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 21 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 22 publicly publicly RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 23 available available JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 24 case case NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 156 25 data datum NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 2 incubation incubation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 3 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 4 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 5 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 6 disease disease NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 7 2019 2019 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 11 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 12 publicly publicly RB cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 13 reported report VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 15 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 16 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 17 estimation estimation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 18 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 19 application application VB cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 20 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 21 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 22 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 23 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 24 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 25 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 26 higher high JJR cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 27 compared compare VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 28 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 29 SARS SARS NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 30 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 31 Real real JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 32 estimates estimate NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 33 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 34 mortality mortality NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 35 following follow VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 36 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 37 infection infection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 157 38 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 4 diseases disease NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 5 Estimating estimate VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 6 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 8 proportion proportion NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 9 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 10 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 11 disease disease NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 12 2019 2019 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 16 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 17 on on IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 18 board board NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 19 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 20 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 21 Princess Princess NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 22 cruise cruise NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 23 ship ship NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 24 Feasibility feasibility NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 25 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 26 controlling control VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 27 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 28 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 29 by by IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 30 isolation isolation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 31 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 32 cases case NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 33 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 34 contacts contact NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 158 35 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 3 Global Global NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 4 Health Health NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 5 Association Association NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 6 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 7 Treatment Treatment NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 8 Dose Dose NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 9 Anticoagulation Anticoagulation NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 10 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 11 In in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 12 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 13 Hospital Hospital NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 14 Survival survival NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 15 Among among IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 16 Hospitalized Hospitalized NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 17 Patients Patients NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 18 with with IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 20 Hydroxychloroquine Hydroxychloroquine NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 21 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 22 azithromycin azithromycin NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 23 as as IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 24 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 25 treatment treatment NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 26 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 27 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 28 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 29 results result NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 30 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 31 an an DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 32 open open JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 33 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 34 label label NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 35 non non JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 36 - - JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 37 randomized randomized JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 38 clinical clinical JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 39 trial trial NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 40 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 41 periods period NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 42 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 43 acute acute JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 44 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 45 viral viral JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 46 infections infection NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 47 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 48 a a DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 49 systematic systematic JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 50 review review NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 159 51 . . . cord-303657-o66rchhw 160 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 160 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 160 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 160 4 diseases disease NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 2 incubation incubation NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 3 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 4 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 5 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 6 infections infection NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 7 among among IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 8 travellers traveller NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 9 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 10 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 11 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 12 period period NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 13 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 14 2019 2019 CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 15 novel novel JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 16 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 18 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 20 infections infection NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 21 among among IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 22 travellers traveller NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 23 from from IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 24 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 25 , , , cord-303657-o66rchhw 161 26 China China NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 1 The the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 2 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 3 number number NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 4 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 6 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 7 higher high JJR cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 8 compared compare VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 162 9 to to IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 1 SARS SARS NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 2 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 3 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 4 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 6 transmission transmission NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 7 risk risk NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 8 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 9 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 10 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 11 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 12 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 13 implication implication NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 14 for for IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 15 public public JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 16 health health NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 17 interventions intervention NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 18 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 19 potential potential NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 20 and and CC cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 21 severity severity NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 22 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 23 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 24 in in IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 25 South South NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 26 Korea Korea NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 27 AverageThe AverageThe NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 28 following follow VBG cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 29 experimental experimental JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 30 design design NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 31 was be VBD cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 32 used use VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 33 : : : cord-303657-o66rchhw 163 34 ... ... . cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 1 detection detection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 2 rate rate NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 3 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 4 SARS SARS NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 5 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 6 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 7 infections infection NNS cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 8 is be VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 9 estimated estimate VBN cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 10 around around IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 11 six six CD cord-303657-o66rchhw 164 12 percent percent NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 1 Substantial substantial JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 2 undocumented undocumented JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 3 infection infection NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 4 facilitates facilitate VBZ cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 5 the the DT cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 6 rapid rapid JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 7 dissemination dissemination NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 8 of of IN cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 9 novel novel JJ cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 10 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 12 SARS SARS NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 13 - - HYPH cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 14 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-303657-o66rchhw 165 15 ) ) -RRB-