id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	2	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	3	cord-304820-q3de7r1p	cord-304820-q3de7r1p	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	4	authors	author	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	5	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	6	Griette	Griette	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	7	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	8	P.	P.	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	9	;	;	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	10	Magal	Magal	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	11	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	12	P.	P.	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	13	title	title	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	1	14	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	1	Clarifying	clarify	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	2	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	3	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	4	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	5	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	6	testing	test	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	8	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	10	example	example	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	12	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	14	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	15	State	State	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	16	date	date	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	17	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	18	2020	2020	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	19	-	-	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	20	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	21	-	-	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	22	12	12	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	23	journal	journal	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	24	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	25	nan	nan	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	26	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	2	27	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	3	1	10.1101/2020.10.10.20203034	10.1101/2020.10.10.20203034	LS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	4	1	sha	sha	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	4	2	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	5	1	559813db2187f1738f35ca070cf9ef27c408dd75	559813db2187f1738f35ca070cf9ef27c408dd75	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	5	2	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	5	3	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	5	4	304820	304820	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	5	5	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	5	6	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	1	q3de7r1p	q3de7r1p	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	2	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	3	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	4	article	article	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	5	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	7	use	use	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	8	testing	test	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	10	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	11	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	12	input	input	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	14	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	15	new	new	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	17	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	6	18	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	2	get	get	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	3	nice	nice	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	4	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	5	concordance	concordance	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	6	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	8	best	good	JJS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	9	fit	fit	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	11	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	12	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	17	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	18	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	20	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	21	state	state	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	7	22	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	2	also	also	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	3	get	get	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	4	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	5	good	good	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	6	concordance	concordance	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	7	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	9	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	10	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	11	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	14	's	's	POS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	15	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	16	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	17	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	18	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	8	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	4	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	5	investigate	investigate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	7	effect	effect	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	8	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	9	multiplying	multiply	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	11	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	13	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	14	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	15	2	2	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	16	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	17	5	5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	18	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	19	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	20	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	21	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	22	100	100	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	23	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	24	investigate	investigate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	26	consequences	consequence	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	27	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	28	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	29	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	30	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	31	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	32	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	33	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	34	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	9	36	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	3	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	4	novel	novel	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	5	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	6	infections	infection	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	7	began	begin	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	8	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	9	China	China	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	11	December	December	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	12	2019	2019	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	13	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	14	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	15	spread	spread	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	16	worldwide	worldwide	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	17	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	18	2020	2020	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	10	19	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	1	Since	since	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	2	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	3	early	early	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	4	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	5	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	8	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	9	mathematicians	mathematician	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	10	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	11	epidemiologists	epidemiologist	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	12	have	have	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	13	developed	develop	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	14	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	15	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	16	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	17	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	18	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	19	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	20	characterize	characterize	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	21	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	22	spread	spread	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	23	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	24	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	25	virus	virus	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	26	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	27	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	28	attempt	attempt	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	29	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	30	project	project	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	31	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	32	future	future	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	33	evolution	evolution	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	34	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	35	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	36	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	11	37	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	1	Many	many	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	2	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	3	those	those	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	4	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	5	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	6	based	base	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	7	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	9	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	10	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	11	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	12	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	13	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	15	classical	classical	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	16	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	17	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	18	context	context	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	19	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	20	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	12	21	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	2	refer	refer	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	3	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	5	26	26	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	6	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	7	28	28	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	8	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	9	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	11	earliest	early	JJS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	12	article	article	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	13	devoted	devote	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	14	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	15	such	such	PDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	16	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	17	question	question	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	18	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	19	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	20	refer	refer	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	21	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	22	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	23	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	24	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	25	3	3	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	26	-	-	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	27	7	7	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	28	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	29	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	30	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	31	12	12	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	32	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	33	13	13	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	34	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	35	20	20	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	36	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	37	25	25	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	38	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	39	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	40	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	41	rather	rather	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	42	complete	complete	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	43	overview	overview	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	44	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	45	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	46	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	47	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	48	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	49	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	50	general	general	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	13	51	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	2	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	3	course	course	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	6	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	7	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	8	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	9	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	10	became	become	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	11	clear	clear	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	12	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	14	scientific	scientific	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	15	community	community	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	16	that	that	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	17	covert	covert	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	20	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	21	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	22	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	23	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	24	case	case	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	26	play	play	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	27	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	28	important	important	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	29	role	role	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	14	30	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	1	An	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	2	early	early	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	3	description	description	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	5	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	6	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	7	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	8	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	9	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	10	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	11	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	12	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	13	Rothe	Rothe	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	14	et	et	FW
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	15	al	al	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	15	16	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	16	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	16	2	24	24	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	16	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	16	4	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	2	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	3	also	also	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	4	observed	observe	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	5	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	7	Diamond	Diamond	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	8	Princess	Princess	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	9	cruise	cruise	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	10	ship	ship	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	11	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	12	Yokohama	Yokohama	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	13	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	14	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	15	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	16	Mizumoto	Mizumoto	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	17	et	et	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	18	al	al	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	17	19	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	2	19	19	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	4	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	5	many	many	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	8	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	9	were	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	10	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	11	positive	positive	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	12	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	14	virus	virus	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	15	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	16	but	but	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	17	never	never	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	18	presented	present	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	19	any	any	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	20	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	18	21	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	2	also	also	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	3	refer	refer	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	4	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	5	Qiu	Qiu	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	7	21	21	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	8	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	9	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	10	more	more	JJR
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	11	information	information	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	12	about	about	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	13	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	14	problem	problem	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	19	15	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	1	At	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	2	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	3	early	early	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	4	stage	stage	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	5	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	7	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	8	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	9	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	10	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	11	new	new	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	12	class	class	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	14	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	15	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	16	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	17	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	18	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	19	Liu	Liu	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	20	et	et	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	21	al	al	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	20	22	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	2	14	14	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	4	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	5	take	take	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	6	into	into	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	7	account	account	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	9	contamination	contamination	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	10	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	11	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	12	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	13	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	14	contact	contact	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	15	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	16	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	17	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	21	18	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	1	Actually	actually	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	3	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	4	class	class	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	5	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	6	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	7	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	8	presented	present	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	9	earlier	early	RBR
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	11	Arino	Arino	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	12	et	et	FW
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	13	al	al	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	22	14	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	23	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	23	2	2	2	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	23	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	23	4	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	3	14	14	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	4	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	5	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	6	new	new	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	7	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	8	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	9	use	use	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	11	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	13	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	14	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	15	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	16	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	17	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	18	also	also	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	19	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	24	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	1	This	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	2	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	3	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	4	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	5	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	6	extended	extend	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	7	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	8	several	several	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	9	directions	direction	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	10	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	12	same	same	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	13	group	group	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	14	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	16	15	15	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	19	16	16	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	22	17	17	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	25	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	1	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	2	include	include	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	3	non	non	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	4	-	-	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	5	constant	constant	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	6	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	7	rates	rate	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	8	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	9	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	10	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	12	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	26	13	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	1	More	More	JJR
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	2	recently	recently	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	3	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	4	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	5	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	6	extended	extend	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	7	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	8	successfully	successfully	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	9	applied	apply	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	10	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	11	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	12	Japanese	japanese	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	13	age	age	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	15	structured	structure	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	16	dataset	dataset	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	17	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	19	11	11	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	27	21	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	2	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	3	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	4	also	also	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	5	extended	extend	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	6	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	7	investigate	investigate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	9	predictability	predictability	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	10	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	12	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	13	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	14	several	several	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	15	countries	country	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	16	China	China	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	17	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	18	South	South	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	19	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	20	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	21	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	22	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	23	France	France	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	24	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	25	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	26	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	27	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	28	United	United	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	29	Kingdom	Kingdom	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	30	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	32	18	18	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	28	34	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	2	application	application	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	3	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	5	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	6	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	7	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	8	also	also	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	9	considered	consider	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	12	9	9	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	29	14	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	2	parallel	parallel	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	3	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	4	these	these	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	5	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	6	ideas	idea	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	7	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	8	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	9	methods	method	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	10	have	have	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	11	been	be	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	12	widely	widely	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	13	used	use	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	14	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	15	identify	identify	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	17	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	18	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	20	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	21	used	use	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	22	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	23	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	24	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	25	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	27	see	see	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	28	e.g.	e.g.	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	29	Roques	Roques	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	30	et	et	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	31	al	al	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	30	32	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	2	22	22	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	3	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	4	23	23	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	5	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	6	where	where	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	7	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	8	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	11	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	12	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	13	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	14	been	be	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	15	developed	develop	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	31	17	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	1	A	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	2	remarkable	remarkable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	3	feature	feature	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	5	those	those	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	6	methods	method	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	8	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	9	provide	provide	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	10	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	11	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	12	correct	correct	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	13	some	some	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	14	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	16	known	know	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	17	biases	bias	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	18	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	20	observation	observation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	21	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	23	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	24	such	such	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	25	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	26	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	27	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	28	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	29	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	30	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	32	31	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	1	Here	here	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	3	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	4	embed	embed	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	7	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	12	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	13	into	into	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	14	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	16	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	17	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	18	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	19	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	20	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	21	compare	compare	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	22	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	23	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	24	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	25	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	27	produced	produce	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	28	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	29	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	30	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	31	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	32	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	33	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	33	34	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	2	goal	goal	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	4	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	5	understand	understand	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	7	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	8	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	11	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	13	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	14	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	15	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	16	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	18	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	19	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	20	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	21	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	22	input	input	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	23	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	24	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	26	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	27	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	29	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	30	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	31	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	32	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	33	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	34	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	37	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	38	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	39	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	40	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	41	output	output	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	42	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	43	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	44	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	34	46	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	2	plan	plan	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	3	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	5	paper	paper	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	8	following	follow	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	35	9	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	2	Section	section	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	3	2	2	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	6	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	7	present	present	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	8	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	9	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	10	involving	involve	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	12	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	13	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	14	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	15	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	36	16	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	2	Section	section	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	3	3	3	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	6	apply	apply	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	8	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	9	presented	present	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	12	14	14	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	14	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	15	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	16	new	new	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	17	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	37	18	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	2	Section	section	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	3	4	4	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	6	present	present	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	7	some	some	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	8	numerical	numerical	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	9	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	10	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	11	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	13	compare	compare	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	14	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	15	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	16	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	17	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	18	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	38	19	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	2	last	last	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	3	section	section	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	5	devoted	devote	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	6	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	8	discussion	discussion	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	39	9	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	1	Let	let	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	2	n(t	n(t	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	4	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	6	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	7	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	8	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	9	per	per	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	10	unit	unit	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	12	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	40	13	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	1	Throughout	throughout	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	2	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	6	use	use	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	7	one	one	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	8	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	9	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	11	unit	unit	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	13	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	41	14	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	2	n(t	n(t	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	4	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	5	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	6	regarded	regard	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	7	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	12	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	13	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	42	14	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	43	1	t.	t.	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	2	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	3	n(t	n(t	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	6	actually	actually	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	7	coming	come	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	8	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	9	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	10	database	database	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	11	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	13	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	15	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	16	State	State	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	18	29	29	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	44	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	1	Let	let	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	2	N	n	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	4	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	6	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	8	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	9	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	10	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	11	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	12	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	14	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	15	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	18	then	then	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	19	N	N	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	21	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	23	=	=	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	24	n(t	n(t	JJS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	26	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	27	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	28	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	29	≥	≥	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	30	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	31	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	32	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	33	N	N	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	35	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	36	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	37	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	45	38	=	=	NFP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	46	1	N	n	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	46	2	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	46	3	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	2	2.1	2.1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	4	Remark	remark	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	5	2.1	2.1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	6	Section	section	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	7	4	4	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	9	devoted	devote	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	10	numerical	numerical	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	11	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	47	12	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	2	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	3	use	use	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	4	n(t	n(t	JJS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	6	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	7	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	8	piecewise	piecewise	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	9	constant	constant	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	10	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	11	that	that	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	12	varies	vary	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	13	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	14	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	15	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	48	16	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	1	Each	each	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	2	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	3	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	4	n(t	n(t	JJS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	6	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	7	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	8	equal	equal	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	9	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	11	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	13	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	14	that	that	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	15	were	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	16	performed	perform	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	17	that	that	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	18	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	49	19	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	1	So	so	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	2	n(t	n(t	NNPS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	4	should	should	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	5	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	6	understood	understand	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	7	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	9	black	black	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	10	curve	curve	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	11	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	12	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	13	4	4	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	50	14	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	2	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	3	consists	consist	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	6	following	follow	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	7	system	system	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	8	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	9	ordinary	ordinary	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	10	differential	differential	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	11	equations	equation	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	12	This	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	13	system	system	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	15	supplemented	supplement	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	16	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	17	initial	initial	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	18	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	20	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	21	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	22	all	all	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	23	non	non	AFX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	24	negative	negative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	26	thereby	thereby	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	27	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	28	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	29	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	30	disease	disease	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	31	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	32	introduced	introduce	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	33	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	34	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	35	individual	individual	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	36	incubating	incubate	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	37	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	38	disease	disease	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	39	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	40	some	some	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	41	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	42	before	before	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	43	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	44	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	51	45	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	2	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	3	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	4	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	5	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	6	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	8	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	9	where	where	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	11	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	12	started	start	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	13	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	14	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	15	used	use	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	16	constantly	constantly	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	52	17	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	53	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	53	2	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	53	3	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	53	4	started	start	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	53	5	before	before	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	53	6	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	53	7	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	53	8	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	1	Here	here	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	2	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	3	≥	≥	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	4	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	5	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	8	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	9	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	10	days	day	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	54	11	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	1	S(t	S(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	5	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	7	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	8	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	9	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	10	infection	infection	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	55	11	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	1	E(t	E(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	5	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	7	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	8	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	10	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	11	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	12	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	13	incubating	incubate	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	14	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	16	but	but	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	17	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	18	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	56	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	1	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	5	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	7	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	8	incubating	incubate	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	11	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	12	but	but	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	13	already	already	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	14	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	57	15	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	1	U	U	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	3	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	7	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	8	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	9	undetected	undetected	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	10	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	11	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	13	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	14	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	15	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	16	expressing	express	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	17	mild	mild	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	18	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	19	no	no	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	20	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	22	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	23	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	24	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	25	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	26	that	that	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	27	have	have	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	28	been	be	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	29	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	30	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	31	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	32	false	false	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	33	negative	negative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	34	result	result	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	35	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	36	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	37	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	38	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	39	candidates	candidate	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	40	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	41	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	58	42	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	1	D(t	D(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	5	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	7	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	8	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	9	express	express	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	10	severe	severe	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	11	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	12	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	13	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	14	candidates	candidate	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	15	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	16	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	59	17	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	1	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	5	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	7	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	8	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	9	have	have	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	10	been	be	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	11	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	12	positive	positive	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	13	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	14	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	60	16	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	2	flux	flux	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	3	diagram	diagram	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	6	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	8	presented	present	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	9	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	10	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	11	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	61	12	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	1	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	2	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	3	S(t	S(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	5	become	become	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	6	infected	infect	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	7	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	8	contact	contact	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	9	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	10	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	11	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	12	individual	individual	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	13	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	15	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	16	U	U	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	18	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	20	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	21	D(t	D(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	62	23	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	1	When	when	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	2	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	3	get	get	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	4	infected	infect	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	5	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	6	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	7	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	8	first	first	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	9	classified	classify	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	10	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	11	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	12	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	13	E(t	E(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	63	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	1	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	2	that	that	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	4	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	5	say	say	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	6	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	7	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	8	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	9	incubating	incubate	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	11	disease	disease	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	12	but	but	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	13	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	14	yet	yet	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	15	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	64	16	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	2	average	average	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	3	length	length	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	5	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	6	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	7	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	9	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	10	noninfectious	noninfectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	11	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	12	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	15	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	16	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	17	α	α	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	18	days	day	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	65	19	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	1	After	after	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	2	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	3	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	4	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	5	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	6	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	7	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	8	becoming	become	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	9	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	10	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	11	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	66	13	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	2	average	average	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	3	length	length	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	6	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	7	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	8	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	10	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	11	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	12	ν	ν	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	13	days	day	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	67	14	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	1	After	after	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	2	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	3	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	5	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	6	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	7	becoming	become	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	8	either	either	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	9	mildly	mildly	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	10	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	11	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	12	U	u	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	14	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	16	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	17	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	18	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	19	severe	severe	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	20	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	21	D(t	D(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	68	23	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	2	average	average	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	3	length	length	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	5	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	6	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	7	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	9	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	10	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	11	η	η	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	12	days	day	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	69	13	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	1	Some	some	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	2	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	3	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	4	U	U	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	5	-individuals	-individuals	NNPS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	6	may	may	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	7	show	show	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	8	no	no	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	9	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	10	at	at	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	11	all	all	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	70	12	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	2	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	3	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	6	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	7	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	8	occur	occur	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	9	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	10	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	11	S	s	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	13	individual	individual	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	14	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	15	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	16	I-	i-	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	17	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	18	U	u	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	19	-or	-or	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	20	R	r	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	22	individual	individual	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	71	23	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	1	Transmissions	transmission	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	2	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	3	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	5	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	6	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	7	described	describe	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	8	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	10	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	11	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	13	term	term	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	14	τ	τ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	15	S(t)[I(t	S(t)[I(t	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	17	+	+	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	18	U	u	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	20	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	22	+	+	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	23	D(t	D(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	25	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	26	where	where	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	27	τ	τ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	29	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	30	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	31	rate	rate	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	72	32	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	1	Here	here	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	3	even	even	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	4	though	though	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	5	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	6	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	7	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	8	R	r	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	10	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	11	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	12	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	13	S	s	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	15	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	17	possible	possible	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	18	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	19	theory	theory	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	21	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	22	if	if	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	23	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	24	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	25	patient	patient	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	26	infects	infect	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	27	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	28	medical	medical	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	29	doctor	doctor	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	31	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	32	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	33	consider	consider	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	34	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	35	such	such	PDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	36	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	37	case	case	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	38	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	39	rare	rare	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	40	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	41	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	42	neglect	neglect	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	43	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	73	44	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	74	1	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	1	Key	key	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	2	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	3	periods	period	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	5	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	6	infection	infection	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	7	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	9	latent	latent	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	10	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	11	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	12	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	13	before	before	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	14	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	15	onset	onset	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	16	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	17	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	18	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	19	transmissibility	transmissibility	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	75	20	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	1	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	2	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	3	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	4	before	before	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	5	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	6	appear	appear	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	7	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	9	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	10	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	11	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	12	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	14	transmissibility	transmissibility	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	15	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	16	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	17	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	18	may	may	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	19	overlap	overlap	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	21	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	22	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	76	23	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	2	last	last	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	3	part	part	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	6	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	8	devoted	devote	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	9	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	11	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	77	12	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	3	σ	σ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	6	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	7	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	8	true	true	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	9	positive	positive	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	10	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	78	11	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	2	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	3	−	−	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	4	σ	σ	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	8	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	10	false	false	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	11	negative	negative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	12	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	79	13	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	2	quantity	quantity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	3	σ	σ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	5	been	be	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	7	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	8	σ	σ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	9	=	=	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	10	0.7	0.7	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	11	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	13	case	case	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	14	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	15	nasal	nasal	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	16	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	17	pharyngeal	pharyngeal	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	18	swabs	swab	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	19	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	20	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	22	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	23	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	24	27	27	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	25	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	80	26	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	1	Among	among	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	2	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	3	detectable	detectable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	4	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	5	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	7	assume	assume	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	8	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	9	only	only	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	10	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	11	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	12	g	g	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	13	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	14	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	15	per	per	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	16	unit	unit	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	17	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	18	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	81	19	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	1	This	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	2	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	3	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	4	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	5	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	6	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	7	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	8	suggesting	suggest	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	9	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	10	potential	potential	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	11	infection	infection	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	12	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	13	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	15	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	82	16	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	2	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	3	g	g	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	6	frequency	frequency	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	7	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	8	testable	testable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	9	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	12	population	population	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	14	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	16	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	17	state	state	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	83	18	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	2	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	3	rewrite	rewrite	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	4	g	g	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	5	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	6	where	where	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	7	P	p	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	10	total	total	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	11	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	13	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	14	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	16	population	population	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	17	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	18	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	19	state	state	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	20	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	21	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	23	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	24	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	25	0	0	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	26	≤	≤	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	27	κ	κ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	28	≤	≤	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	29	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	31	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	32	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	33	total	total	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	34	population	population	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	35	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	36	mild	mild	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	37	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	38	sever	sever	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	39	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	40	that	that	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	41	may	may	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	42	induce	induce	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	43	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	44	test	test	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	84	45	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	1	Individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	2	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	3	were	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	4	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	5	positive	positive	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	6	R(t	R(t	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	8	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	9	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	10	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	11	average	average	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	12	during	during	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	13	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	14	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	15	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	16	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	17	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	18	η	η	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	19	days	day	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	85	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	1	But	but	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	3	assume	assume	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	4	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	5	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	6	become	become	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	7	immediately	immediately	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	8	isolated	isolated	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	9	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	10	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	11	do	do	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	12	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	13	contribute	contribute	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	14	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	17	anymore	anymore	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	86	18	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	2	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	3	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	5	focus	focus	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	6	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	8	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	11	D	d	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	13	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	87	14	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	88	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	88	2	quantity	quantity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	88	3	n(t	n(t	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	88	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	1	σ	σ	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	2	g	g	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	3	D	D	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	5	flux	flux	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	7	successfully	successfully	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	8	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	9	Dindividuals	Dindividuals	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	10	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	11	become	become	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	12	R	r	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	14	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	89	15	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	2	flux	flux	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	3	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	4	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	5	D	d	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	7	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	8	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	9	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	10	false	false	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	11	negatives	negative	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	13	n(t	n(t	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	90	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	2	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	3	−	−	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	4	σ	σ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	6	g	g	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	7	D	d	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	8	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	9	go	go	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	10	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	12	class	class	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	14	D	d	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	16	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	17	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	18	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	19	U	U	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	20	-individuals	-individual	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	91	21	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	2	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	3	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	5	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	6	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	8	initial	initial	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	9	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	10	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	12	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	13	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	14	listed	list	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	15	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	16	Table	Table	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	17	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	92	18	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	1	Before	before	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	2	describing	describe	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	4	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	6	need	need	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	7	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	8	introduce	introduce	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	9	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	10	few	few	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	11	useful	useful	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	12	identities	identity	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	93	13	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	2	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	3	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	5	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	8	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	9	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	10	using	use	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	12	following	follow	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	13	equation	equation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	15	2.5	2.5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	94	17	3	3	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	95	1	All	all	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	95	2	rights	right	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	95	3	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	95	4	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	96	1	No	no	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	96	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	96	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	96	4	without	without	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	96	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	96	6	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	97	1	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	97	2	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	3	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	4	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	5	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	6	certified	certify	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	7	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	8	peer	peer	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	9	review	review	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	13	author	author	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	14	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	15	funder	funder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	16	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	17	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	19	granted	grant	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	20	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	21	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	22	license	license	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	23	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	24	display	display	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	26	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	27	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	28	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	29	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	30	holder	holder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	31	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	32	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	33	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	34	version	version	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	35	posted	post	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	36	October	October	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	37	12	12	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	38	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	40	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	98	41	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	99	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	99	2	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	100	1	10.10.20203034	10.10.20203034	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	101	1	doi	doi	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	101	2	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	102	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	102	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	2	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	3	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	5	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	7	DR	DR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	9	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	12	given	give	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	13	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	15	2.6	2.6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	103	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	2	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	3	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	5	detectable	detectable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	8	given	give	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	9	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	10	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	12	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	13	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	14	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	15	undetectable	undetectable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	18	given	give	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	19	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	20	Time	Time	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	22	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	23	days	day	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	104	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	1	Number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	2	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	3	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	5	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	6	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	9	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	105	10	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	1	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	2	Cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	3	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	5	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	7	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	8	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	11	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	12	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	13	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	14	Daily	Daily	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	15	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	16	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	17	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	19	tested	test	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	20	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	23	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	24	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	25	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	26	Cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	27	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	28	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	29	undetectable	undetectable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	30	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	31	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	32	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	33	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	35	2.8	2.8	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	37	 	 	_SP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	38	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	39	order	order	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	40	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	41	deal	deal	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	42	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	43	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	44	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	45	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	46	need	need	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	47	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	48	understand	understand	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	49	how	how	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	50	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	51	set	set	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	52	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	53	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	54	as	as	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	55	well	well	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	56	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	57	some	some	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	58	components	component	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	59	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	60	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	61	initial	initial	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	62	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	106	63	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	2	order	order	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	3	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	4	do	do	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	5	so	so	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	6	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	8	extend	extend	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	10	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	11	presented	present	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	12	first	first	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	13	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	15	14	14	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	107	17	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	2	main	main	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	3	novelty	novelty	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	4	here	here	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	5	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	6	concern	concern	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	8	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	9	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	10	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	11	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	12	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	14	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	15	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	16	grow	grow	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	17	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	18	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	20	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	108	21	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	1	This	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	2	property	property	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	4	satisfied	satisfied	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	5	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	7	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	9	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	10	State	State	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	12	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	14	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	15	see	see	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	16	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	109	18	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	3	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	4	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	5	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	6	certified	certify	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	7	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	8	peer	peer	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	9	review	review	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	13	author	author	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	14	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	15	funder	funder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	16	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	17	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	19	granted	grant	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	20	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	21	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	22	license	license	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	23	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	24	display	display	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	26	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	27	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	28	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	29	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	30	holder	holder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	31	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	32	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	33	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	34	version	version	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	35	posted	post	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	36	October	October	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	37	12	12	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	38	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	40	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	110	41	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	1	This	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	2	means	mean	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	3	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	5	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	6	find	find	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	7	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	8	pair	pair	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	10	numbers	number	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	11	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	12	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	13	b	b	LS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	14	such	such	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	15	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	16	where	where	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	17	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	18	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	19	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	20	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	21	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	22	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	23	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	24	N	N	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	25	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	27	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	28	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	29	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	30	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	31	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	32	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	33	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	34	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	35	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	111	36	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	1	By	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	2	using	use	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	3	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	4	fact	fact	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	5	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	6	N	N	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	8	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	10	=	=	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	11	n(t	n(t	JJS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	112	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	113	1	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	113	2	deduce	deduce	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	113	3	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	113	4	April	April	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	113	5	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	2	3	3	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	4	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	6	linear	linear	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	7	growth	growth	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	8	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	10	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	11	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	13	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	15	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	16	State	State	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	17	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	18	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	114	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	1	Phenomenological	phenomenological	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	2	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	3	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	5	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	7	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	8	At	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	10	early	early	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	11	stage	stage	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	14	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	15	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	16	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	17	assume	assume	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	18	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	19	all	all	PDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	21	infected	infected	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	22	components	component	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	23	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	24	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	25	system	system	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	26	grow	grow	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	27	exponentially	exponentially	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	28	while	while	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	29	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	30	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	31	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	32	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	33	remains	remain	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	34	unchanged	unchanged	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	35	during	during	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	36	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	37	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	38	short	short	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	39	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	40	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	41	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	42	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	43	∈	∈	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	44	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	45	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	46	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	47	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	48	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	49	2	2	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	50	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	115	51	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	4	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	5	assume	assume	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	6	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	7	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	8	deduce	deduce	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	9	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	11	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	12	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	15	satisfies	satisfie	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	16	hence	hence	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	17	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	18	replacing	replace	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	19	D(t	D(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	21	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	22	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	23	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	24	formula	formula	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	26	3.3	3.3	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	28	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	29	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	31	makes	make	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	32	sense	sense	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	33	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	34	assume	assume	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	35	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	36	CR(t	CR(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	37	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	38	−	−	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	39	CR(t	CR(t	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	40	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	42	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	43	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	44	following	follow	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	45	form	form	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	46	By	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	47	identifying	identify	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	49	3.5	3.5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	51	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	52	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	53	3.6	3.6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	54	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	55	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	56	deduce	deduce	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	57	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	58	 	 	_SP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	59	5	5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	60	All	all	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	61	rights	right	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	62	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	116	63	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	117	1	No	no	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	117	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	117	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	117	4	without	without	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	117	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	117	6	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	118	1	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	118	2	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	3	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	4	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	5	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	6	certified	certify	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	7	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	8	peer	peer	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	9	review	review	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	13	author	author	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	14	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	15	funder	funder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	16	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	17	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	19	granted	grant	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	20	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	21	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	22	license	license	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	23	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	24	display	display	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	26	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	27	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	28	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	29	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	30	holder	holder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	31	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	32	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	33	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	34	version	version	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	35	posted	post	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	36	October	October	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	37	12	12	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	38	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	40	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	119	41	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	120	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.10.20203034	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.10.20203034	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	121	1	doi	doi	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	121	2	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	122	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	122	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	1	By	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	2	using	use	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	4	3.3	3.3	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	7	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	9	3.8	3.8	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	11	Finally	finally	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	12	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	13	using	use	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	15	3.7	3.7	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	17	D	d	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	18	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	123	19	=	=	NFP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	124	1	χ	χ	LS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	124	2	2	2	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	124	3	χ	χ	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	124	4	3	3	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	124	5	σ	σ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	124	6	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	124	7	g	g	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	124	8	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	2	3.9	3.9	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	4	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	5	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	6	using	use	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	8	3.8	3.8	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	11	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	13	3.10	3.10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	125	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	3	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	5	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	6	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	7	takes	take	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	9	form	form	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	10	where	where	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	11	τ	τ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	12	0	0	NFP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	13	>	>	XX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	14	0	0	NFP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	17	initial	initial	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	18	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	19	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	20	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	21	T	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	22	m	m	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	23	>	>	XX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	24	0	0	NFP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	26	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	27	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	28	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	29	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	30	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	31	social	social	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	32	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	33	starts	start	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	34	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	35	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	36	population	population	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	126	37	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	1	µ	µ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	2	>	>	XX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	3	0	0	NFP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	5	serving	serve	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	6	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	7	modulate	modulate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	9	speed	speed	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	10	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	11	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	12	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	13	social	social	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	14	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	16	taking	take	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	17	place	place	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	127	18	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	1	To	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	2	take	take	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	3	into	into	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	4	account	account	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	6	effect	effect	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	7	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	8	social	social	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	9	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	10	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	11	public	public	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	12	measures	measure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	13	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	15	assume	assume	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	16	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	17	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	18	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	19	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	20	τ	τ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	22	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	24	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	25	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	26	modulated	modulate	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	27	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	28	γ	γ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	128	29	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	2	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	3	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	4	closing	closing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	5	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	6	schools	school	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	7	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	8	non	non	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	9	-	-	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	10	essential	essential	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	11	shops	shop	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	12	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	13	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	14	imposing	impose	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	15	social	social	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	16	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	17	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	18	population	population	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	19	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	21	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	23	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	24	State	State	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	25	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	26	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	27	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	28	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	29	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	30	per	per	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	31	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	33	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	129	34	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	1	This	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	2	effect	effect	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	3	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	4	visible	visible	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	5	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	7	news	news	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	8	during	during	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	10	first	first	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	11	wave	wave	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	14	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	16	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	17	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	19	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	20	city	city	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	21	since	since	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	22	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	23	streets	street	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	24	were	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	25	almost	almost	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	26	empty	empty	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	27	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	28	some	some	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	29	point	point	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	130	30	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	3	γ	γ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	4	>	>	XX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	5	0	0	NFP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	8	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	11	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	13	transmissions	transmission	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	14	that	that	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	15	remain	remain	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	16	after	after	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	17	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	18	transition	transition	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	19	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	21	depending	depend	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	22	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	23	µ	µ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	25	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	26	compared	compare	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	27	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	28	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	29	normal	normal	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	30	situation	situation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	131	31	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	1	A	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	2	similar	similar	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	3	non	non	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	4	-	-	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	5	constant	constant	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	6	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	8	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	9	considered	consider	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	10	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	11	Chowell	Chowell	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	12	et	et	FW
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	13	al	al	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	132	14	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	133	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	133	2	8	8	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	133	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	133	4	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	2	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	3	5	5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	5	consider	consider	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	6	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	7	constant	constant	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	8	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	134	10	τ	τ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	2	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	4	≡	≡	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	5	τ	τ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	6	0	0	NFP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	7	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	8	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	9	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	10	γ	γ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	11	=	=	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	12	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	13	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	15	4.1	4.1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	135	17	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	2	order	order	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	3	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	4	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	6	distance	distance	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	7	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	9	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	10	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	13	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	15	compare	compare	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	17	distance	distance	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	18	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	20	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	21	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	22	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	24	CR	CR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	25	produced	produce	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	26	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	27	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	28	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	29	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	30	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	31	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	33	see	see	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	34	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	35	orange	orange	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	36	dots	dot	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	37	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	38	orange	orange	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	39	curve	curve	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	40	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	41	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	42	 	 	_SP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	43	5-(a	5-(a	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	136	46	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	2	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	3	5	5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	4	-(c	-(c	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	7	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	8	observe	observe	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	9	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	11	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	12	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	15	increases	increase	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	16	up	up	RP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	17	more	more	JJR
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	18	than	than	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	19	14	14	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	20	millions	million	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	21	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	22	people	people	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	23	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	24	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	25	indeed	indeed	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	27	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	28	realistic	realistic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	137	29	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	2	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	3	choosing	choose	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	5	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	6	g	g	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	7	=	=	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	8	3.08	3.08	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	9	×	×	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	10	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	11	−7	−7	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	12	=	=	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	13	1/	1/	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	14	S0	S0	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	15	6	6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	16	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	17	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	18	5	5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	19	-(d	-(d	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	22	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	23	see	see	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	24	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	26	orange	orange	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	27	dots	dot	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	28	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	29	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	30	blue	blue	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	31	curve	curve	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	32	match	match	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	33	very	very	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	34	well	well	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	138	35	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	139	1	6	6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	140	1	All	all	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	140	2	rights	right	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	140	3	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	140	4	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	141	1	No	no	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	141	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	141	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	141	4	without	without	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	141	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	141	6	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	142	1	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	142	2	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	3	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	4	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	5	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	6	certified	certify	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	7	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	8	peer	peer	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	9	review	review	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	13	author	author	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	14	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	15	funder	funder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	16	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	17	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	19	granted	grant	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	20	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	21	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	22	license	license	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	23	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	24	display	display	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	26	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	27	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	28	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	29	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	30	holder	holder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	31	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	32	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	33	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	34	version	version	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	35	posted	post	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	36	October	October	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	37	12	12	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	38	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	40	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	143	41	 	 	_SP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	1	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	2	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	3	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	4	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	5	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	7	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	8	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	10	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	144	11	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	2	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	3	observe	observe	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	4	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	5	most	most	JJS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	9	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	10	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	145	11	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	4	d	d	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	7	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	12	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	14	black	black	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	15	dots	dot	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	17	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	18	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	19	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	20	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	21	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	22	positive	positive	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	25	red	red	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	26	dots	dot	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	28	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	29	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	30	state	state	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	31	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	32	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	33	-	-	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	34	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	35	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	36	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	37	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	38	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	39	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	41	DD(t	DD(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	43	obtained	obtain	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	44	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	45	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	46	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	146	47	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	2	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	3	rest	rest	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	5	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	6	section	section	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	7	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	9	focus	focus	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	10	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	12	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	13	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	14	confinement	confinement	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	16	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	17	social	social	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	18	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	20	measures	measure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	147	21	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	3	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	4	such	such	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	5	social	social	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	6	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	7	measures	measure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	8	have	have	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	9	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	10	strong	strong	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	11	impact	impact	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	12	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	14	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	16	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	17	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	18	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	19	γ	γ	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	20	=	=	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	21	0.2	0.2	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	22	<	<	XX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	23	1	1	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	148	24	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	2	means	mean	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	3	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	4	only	only	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	5	20	20	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	6	%	%	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	7	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	9	transmissions	transmission	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	10	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	11	remain	remain	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	12	after	after	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	13	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	14	transition	transition	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	15	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	149	16	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	2	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	3	6	6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	4	-(c	-(c	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	7	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	8	observe	observe	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	9	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	11	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	12	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	15	increases	increase	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	16	up	up	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	17	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	18	800	800	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	19	000	000	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	21	blue	blue	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	22	curve	curve	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	24	while	while	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	26	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	27	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	28	reported	report	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	29	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	30	goes	go	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	31	up	up	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	32	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	33	350	350	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	34	000	000	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	150	35	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	2	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	3	6	6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	4	-(d	-(d	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	7	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	8	see	see	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	9	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	11	orange	orange	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	12	dots	dot	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	13	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	14	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	15	blue	blue	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	16	curve	curve	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	17	match	match	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	18	very	very	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	19	well	well	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	20	again	again	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	151	21	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	2	order	order	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	3	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	4	get	get	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	5	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	6	fit	fit	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	8	fix	fix	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	10	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	11	g	g	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	12	=	=	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	13	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	14	−5	−5	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	152	15	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	2	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	3	7	7	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	5	a	a	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	7	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	9	b	b	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	11	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	13	aim	aim	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	14	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	15	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	17	connection	connection	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	18	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	20	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	21	fluctuations	fluctuation	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	22	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	23	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	24	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	25	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	26	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	29	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	30	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	32	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	33	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	34	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	35	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	36	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	37	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	39	testing	test	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	40	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	153	42	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	2	combination	combination	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	3	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	4	both	both	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	6	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	7	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	8	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	10	infection	infection	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	11	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	12	gives	give	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	13	indeed	indeed	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	14	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	15	very	very	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	16	complex	complex	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	17	curve	curve	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	18	parametrized	parametrize	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	19	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	21	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	154	22	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	2	seems	seem	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	3	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	5	only	only	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	6	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	7	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	8	that	that	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	10	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	11	make	make	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	13	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	14	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	15	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	16	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	17	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	18	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	20	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	21	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	22	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	23	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	24	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	25	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	155	26	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	2	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	3	7	7	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	4	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	5	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	6	7	7	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	7	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	8	all	all	PDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	10	curves	curve	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	11	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	12	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	13	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	14	parametrized	parametrize	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	15	curves	curve	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	156	16	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	2	abscissa	abscissa	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	4	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	5	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	7	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	9	horizontal	horizontal	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	10	axis	axis	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	12	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	14	ordinate	ordinate	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	17	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	18	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	19	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	22	vertical	vertical	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	23	axis	axis	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	157	25	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	2	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	4	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	6	notations	notation	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	8	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	10	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	11	functions	function	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	12	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	13	→	→	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	15	n	n	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	16	data	data	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	18	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	20	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	21	DR(t	DR(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	24	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	25	figures	figure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	27	a	a	LS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	29	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	31	b	b	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	33	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	34	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	35	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	36	equivalent	equivalent	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	37	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	38	→	→	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	40	N	n	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	41	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	43	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	45	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	46	CR(t	CR(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	48	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	49	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	50	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	51	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	52	c	c	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	53	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	54	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	55	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	56	d	d	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	57	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	158	58	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	2	figures	figure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	4	a	a	LS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	6	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	8	c	c	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	11	use	use	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	12	only	only	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	15	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	16	that	that	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	18	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	19	say	say	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	20	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	22	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	23	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	24	→	→	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	26	n	n	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	27	data	data	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	29	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	31	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	32	DR	DR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	33	data	data	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	35	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	37	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	38	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	39	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	40	→	→	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	41	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	42	N	n	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	43	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	44	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	45	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	46	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	47	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	48	CR	CR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	49	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	50	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	51	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	52	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	53	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	159	54	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	2	figures	figure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	4	b	b	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	6	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	8	d	d	LS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	11	use	use	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	12	only	only	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	14	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	15	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	17	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	18	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	19	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	21	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	22	that	that	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	24	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	25	say	say	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	26	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	27	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	28	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	29	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	30	→	→	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	32	n	n	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	33	data	data	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	35	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	37	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	38	DR	DR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	39	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	40	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	41	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	44	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	45	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	46	→	→	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	47	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	48	N	n	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	49	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	50	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	51	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	52	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	53	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	54	CR	CR	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	55	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	56	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	57	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	58	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	59	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	160	60	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	161	1	8	8	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	162	1	All	all	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	162	2	rights	right	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	162	3	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	162	4	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	163	1	No	no	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	163	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	163	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	163	4	without	without	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	163	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	163	6	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	164	1	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	164	2	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	3	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	4	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	5	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	6	certified	certify	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	7	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	8	peer	peer	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	9	review	review	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	13	author	author	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	14	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	15	funder	funder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	16	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	17	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	19	granted	grant	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	20	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	21	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	22	license	license	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	23	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	24	display	display	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	26	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	27	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	28	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	29	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	30	holder	holder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	31	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	32	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	33	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	34	version	version	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	35	posted	post	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	36	October	October	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	37	12	12	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	38	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	165	40	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	166	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	166	2	 	 	_SP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	166	3	6	6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	166	4	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	4	a	a	LS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	7	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	13	coming	come	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	14	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	17	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	18	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	19	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	20	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	21	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	22	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	23	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	24	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	25	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	167	26	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	4	b	b	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	7	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	13	given	give	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	14	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	16	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	17	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	18	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	19	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	20	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	21	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	22	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	23	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	24	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	26	coming	come	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	27	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	28	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	29	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	168	30	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	4	c	c	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	7	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	13	coming	come	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	14	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	17	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	18	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	19	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	20	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	21	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	22	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	23	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	24	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	25	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	169	26	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	4	d	d	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	7	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	13	coming	come	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	14	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	16	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	17	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	18	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	19	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	20	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	21	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	22	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	23	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	24	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	25	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	26	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	27	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	170	29	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	2	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	3	8	8	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	6	goal	goal	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	8	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	9	investigate	investigate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	11	effect	effect	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	13	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	14	change	change	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	15	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	17	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	18	policy	policy	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	19	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	21	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	23	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	24	State	State	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	171	25	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	2	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	3	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	4	interested	interested	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	5	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	6	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	8	effect	effect	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	10	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	11	increase	increase	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	13	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	14	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	15	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	16	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	17	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	18	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	19	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	172	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	2	people	people	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	3	commonly	commonly	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	4	say	say	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	5	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	6	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	8	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	10	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	11	will	will	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	12	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	13	beneficial	beneficial	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	14	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	15	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	17	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	18	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	173	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	1	So	so	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	2	here	here	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	3	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	5	try	try	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	6	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	7	quantify	quantify	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	8	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	9	idea	idea	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	10	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	11	using	use	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	12	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	13	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	174	14	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	2	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	3	8	8	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	6	replace	replace	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	8	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	9	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	10	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	11	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	12	n	n	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	13	data	data	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	15	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	18	coming	come	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	19	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	21	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	22	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	23	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	24	-	-	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	25	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	26	's	's	POS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	27	state	state	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	29	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	30	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	31	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	32	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	33	either	either	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	34	2	2	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	35	×	×	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	36	n	n	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	37	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	39	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	41	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	42	5	5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	43	×	×	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	44	n	n	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	45	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	46	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	47	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	48	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	49	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	50	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	51	×	×	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	52	n	n	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	53	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	54	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	55	t	t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	56	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	57	or	or	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	58	100	100	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	59	×	×	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	60	n	n	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	61	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	62	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	63	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	64	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	175	65	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	1	As	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	2	expected	expect	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	3	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	4	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	5	increase	increase	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	8	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	10	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	12	helping	help	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	13	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	14	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	16	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	17	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	176	19	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	1	However	however	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	3	after	after	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	4	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	5	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	6	times	time	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	8	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	9	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	10	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	11	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	12	there	there	EX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	14	no	no	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	15	significant	significant	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	16	difference	difference	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	18	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	20	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	21	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	22	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	24	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	25	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	26	times	time	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	27	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	28	100	100	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	29	times	time	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	30	more	more	JJR
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	31	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	177	32	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	2	there	there	EX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	3	must	must	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	4	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	5	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	6	optimum	optimum	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	7	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	8	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	9	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	12	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	14	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	15	costs	cost	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	16	money	money	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	17	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	18	other	other	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	19	limited	limited	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	20	resources	resource	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	22	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	23	being	be	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	24	efficient	efficient	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	25	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	26	slow	slow	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	27	down	down	RP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	28	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	29	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	178	30	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	179	1	9	9	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	180	1	All	all	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	180	2	rights	right	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	180	3	reserved	reserve	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	180	4	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	181	1	No	no	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	181	2	reuse	reuse	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	181	3	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	181	4	without	without	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	181	5	permission	permission	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	181	6	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	182	1	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	182	2	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	3	which	which	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	4	was	be	VBD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	5	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	6	certified	certify	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	7	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	8	peer	peer	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	9	review	review	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	13	author	author	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	14	/	/	SYM
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	15	funder	funder	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	16	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	17	who	who	WP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	19	granted	grant	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	20	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	21	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	22	license	license	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	23	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	24	display	display	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	26	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	27	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	28	Parameter	parameter	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	29	values	value	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	30	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	31	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	32	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	33	same	same	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	34	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	35	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	36	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	37	6	6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	183	38	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	4	a	a	LS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	7	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	9	cumulated	cumulated	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	13	CR(t	CR(t	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	15	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	16	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	17	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	18	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	19	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	184	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	4	b	b	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	7	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	12	undetectable	undetectable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	14	CU	CU	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	16	t	t	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	18	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	19	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	20	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	21	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	22	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	185	23	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	4	c	c	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	7	plot	plot	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	10	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	11	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	14	including	include	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	15	covert	covert	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	186	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	187	1	CD(t	CD(t	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	187	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	187	3	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	187	4	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	187	5	function	function	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	187	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	187	7	time	time	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	187	8	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	1	Note	note	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	2	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	3	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	4	total	total	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	5	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	6	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	9	including	include	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	10	covert	covert	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	14	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	15	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	16	35	35	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	17	%	%	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	18	when	when	WRB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	20	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	21	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	22	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	24	multiplied	multiply	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	25	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	26	100	100	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	188	27	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	2	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	3	article	article	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	6	propose	propose	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	7	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	8	new	new	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	10	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	11	involving	involve	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	13	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	14	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	15	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	16	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	17	as	as	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	18	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	19	input	input	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	20	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	21	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	22	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	189	23	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	2	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	3	itself	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	5	extending	extend	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	6	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	7	previous	previous	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	8	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	9	presented	present	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	12	11	11	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	13	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	15	14	14	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	18	15	15	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	20	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	21	16	16	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	190	22	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	191	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	191	2	17	17	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	191	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	191	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	191	5	18	18	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	191	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	191	7	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	2	propose	propose	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	3	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	4	new	new	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	5	method	method	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	6	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	7	use	use	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	11	such	such	PDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	12	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	13	context	context	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	14	based	base	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	15	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	17	fact	fact	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	18	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	20	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	21	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	22	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	23	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	24	grows	grow	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	25	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	26	at	at	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	27	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	28	early	early	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	29	stage	stage	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	30	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	31	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	32	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	192	33	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	2	3	3	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	4	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	5	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	7	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	8	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	9	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	10	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	12	New	New	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	14	York	York	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	15	State	State	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	17	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	18	mid	mid	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	19	-	-	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	20	March	March	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	21	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	22	mid	mid	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	23	-	-	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	24	April	April	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	193	25	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	2	numerical	numerical	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	3	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	4	show	show	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	5	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	6	very	very	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	7	good	good	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	8	concordance	concordance	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	9	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	10	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	11	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	12	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	13	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	15	produced	produce	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	16	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	17	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	18	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	19	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	21	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	22	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	23	two	two	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	24	very	very	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	25	different	different	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	26	situations	situation	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	194	27	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	3	Figures	figure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	4	5	5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	5	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	6	6	6	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	7	correspond	correspond	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	8	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	9	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	10	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	12	without	without	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	13	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	14	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	15	public	public	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	16	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	17	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	18	limit	limit	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	20	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	21	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	22	transmissions	transmission	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	195	23	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	1	This	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	3	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	4	important	important	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	5	observation	observation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	6	since	since	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	7	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	8	shows	show	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	9	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	10	testing	test	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	12	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	13	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	15	are	be	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	16	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	17	sufficient	sufficient	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	18	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	19	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	21	real	real	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	22	amplitude	amplitude	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	23	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	24	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	25	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	196	26	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	1	To	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	2	solve	solve	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	3	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	4	problem	problem	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	5	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	6	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	7	only	only	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	8	solution	solution	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	9	seems	seem	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	10	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	11	include	include	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	12	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	13	different	different	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	14	kind	kind	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	15	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	17	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	18	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	19	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	197	20	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	1	This	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	2	could	could	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	3	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	4	done	do	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	5	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	6	studying	study	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	7	statistically	statistically	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	8	representative	representative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	9	samples	sample	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	12	population	population	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	198	13	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	199	1	Otherwise	otherwise	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	199	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	199	3	biases	bias	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	199	4	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	199	5	always	always	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	199	6	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	199	7	suspected	suspect	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	199	8	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	1	Such	such	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	2	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	3	question	question	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	5	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	6	particular	particular	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	7	interest	interest	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	8	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	9	order	order	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	10	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	11	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	12	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	13	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	14	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	16	population	population	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	17	that	that	WDT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	19	been	be	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	20	infected	infect	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	21	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	22	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	23	virus	virus	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	24	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	25	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	26	possible	possible	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	27	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	200	28	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	2	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	3	7	7	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	6	compare	compare	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	7	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	8	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	9	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	11	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	12	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	13	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	14	variation	variation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	15	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	16	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	17	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	18	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	19	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	21	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	22	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	23	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	25	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	27	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	28	by	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	29	day	day	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	30	variation	variation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	31	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	32	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	33	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	34	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	35	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	201	37	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	3	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	4	daily	daily	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	5	case	case	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	7	extremely	extremely	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	8	complex	complex	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	9	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	10	but	but	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	12	also	also	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	13	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	14	some	some	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	15	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	16	robust	robust	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	17	curve	curve	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	18	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	19	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	20	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	21	numbers	number	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	202	22	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	2	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	3	give	give	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	4	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	5	good	good	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	6	fit	fit	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	7	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	8	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	203	11	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	1	In	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	2	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	3	8	8	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	6	compare	compare	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	7	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	8	testing	testing	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	9	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	204	10	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	1	By	by	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	2	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	3	2	2	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	4	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	5	5	5	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	6	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	7	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	8	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	9	100	100	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	10	times	time	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	11	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	12	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	14	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	15	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	16	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	17	can	can	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	18	observe	observe	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	19	that	that	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	20	this	this	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	21	efficient	efficient	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	22	up	up	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	23	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	24	some	some	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	25	point	point	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	26	10	10	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	27	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	28	but	but	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	29	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	30	100	100	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	31	times	time	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	33	not	not	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	34	making	make	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	35	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	36	big	big	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	37	difference	difference	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	205	38	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	2	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	5	useless	useless	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	6	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	7	test	test	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	8	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	9	many	many	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	10	peoples	people	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	11	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	12	there	there	EX
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	13	must	must	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	14	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	15	optimum	optimum	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	17	between	between	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	18	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	19	cost	cost	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	20	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	21	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	22	tests	test	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	24	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	25	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	26	efficiency	efficiency	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	27	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	28	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	29	evaluation	evaluation	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	30	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	31	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	32	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	33	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	34	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	206	35	.	.	.
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	1	Infective	Infective	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	2	Diseases	Diseases	NNPS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	3	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	4	Humans	Humans	NNPS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	5	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	6	Dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	7	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	8	Control	Control	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	9	Simple	simple	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	10	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	11	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	12	containment	containment	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	13	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	14	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	207	15	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	2	Mathematical	Mathematical	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	3	Theory	Theory	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	4	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	5	Epidemics	Epidemics	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	6	Mathematical	Mathematical	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	7	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	8	Mathematical	Mathematical	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	9	models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	10	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	11	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	12	Vertically	vertically	RB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	13	Transmitted	transmit	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	14	Diseases	disease	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	15	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	16	Models	model	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	17	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	208	18	Dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	2	basic	basic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	3	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	4	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	5	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	6	Ebola	Ebola	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	7	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	8	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	9	effects	effect	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	10	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	11	public	public	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	12	health	health	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	13	measures	measure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	14	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	17	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	18	Congo	Congo	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	19	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	20	Uganda	Uganda	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	21	Modelling	Modelling	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	22	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	23	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	24	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	25	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	26	Brasil	Brasil	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	27	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	28	Parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	29	identification	identification	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	30	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	31	public	public	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	32	health	health	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	33	measures	measure	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	34	influence	influence	VBP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	35	Mathematical	Mathematical	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	36	Tools	Tools	NNPS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	37	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	38	Understanding	understand	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	39	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	40	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	41	Dynamics	Dynamics	NNPS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	42	Unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	43	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	44	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	45	Age	Age	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	46	Dependent	Dependent	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	47	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	48	Outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	49	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	209	50	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	1	The	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	2	mathematics	mathematic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	3	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	4	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	5	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	6	Modeling	model	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	7	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	8	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	9	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	10	humans	human	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	11	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	210	12	animals	animal	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	1	Understanding	understand	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	2	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	3	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	4	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	5	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	6	2019-nCov	2019-ncov	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	8	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	9	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	10	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	11	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	12	China	China	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	13	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	14	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	15	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	16	importance	importance	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	17	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	18	major	major	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	19	public	public	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	20	health	health	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	21	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	22	Predicting	predict	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	23	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	24	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	25	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	26	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	28	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	29	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	30	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	31	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	32	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	33	China	China	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	34	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	35	early	early	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	211	36	data	datum	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	1	A	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	2	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	3	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	4	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	5	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	6	latency	latency	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	7	period	period	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	8	A	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	9	model	model	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	10	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	11	predict	predict	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	12	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	13	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	14	with	with	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	15	applications	application	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	16	to	to	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	17	South	South	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	18	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	19	Predicting	predict	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	20	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	21	number	number	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	22	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	23	reported	report	VBN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	24	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	25	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	27	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	28	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	29	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	30	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	31	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	32	China	China	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	33	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	34	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	35	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	36	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	37	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	38	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	39	disease	disease	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	40	2019	2019	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	41	(	(	-LRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	42	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	44	cases	case	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	45	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	46	board	board	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	47	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	48	Diamond	Diamond	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	49	Princess	Princess	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	50	cruise	cruise	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	212	51	ship	ship	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	1	Covert	covert	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	2	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	3	infections	infection	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	4	could	could	MD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	5	be	be	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	6	seeding	seed	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	7	new	new	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	8	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	9	Using	use	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	10	Early	early	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	11	Data	Data	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	12	to	to	TO
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	13	Estimate	estimate	VB
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	14	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	15	Actual	actual	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	16	Infection	infection	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	17	Fatality	Fatality	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	18	Ratio	Ratio	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	19	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	20	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	21	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	22	France	France	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	23	Effect	Effect	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	24	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	25	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	26	one	one	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	28	month	month	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	29	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	30	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	31	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	32	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	33	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	34	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	35	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	36	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	37	France	France	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	38	Transmission	Transmission	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	39	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	40	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	41	infection	infection	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	42	from	from	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	43	an	an	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	44	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	45	contact	contact	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	46	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	47	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	48	Mathematics	Mathematics	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	49	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	50	Population	Population	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	51	Biology	Biology	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	52	Estimation	Estimation	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	53	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	54	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	55	transmissionrisk	transmissionrisk	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	56	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	57	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	58	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	59	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	60	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	61	implication	implication	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	62	for	for	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	63	public	public	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	64	health	health	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	65	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	66	Evolving	evolve	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	67	Epidemiology	Epidemiology	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	68	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	69	Impact	Impact	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	70	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	71	Non	non	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	72	-	-	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	73	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	74	Interventions	Interventions	NNPS
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	75	on	on	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	76	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	77	Outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	78	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	79	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	80	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	81	Nowcasting	Nowcasting	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	82	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	83	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	84	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	85	potential	potential	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	86	domestic	domestic	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	87	and	and	CC
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	88	inter	inter	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	89	-	-	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	90	national	national	JJ
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	91	spread	spread	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	92	of	of	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	93	the	the	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	94	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	95	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	96	originating	originate	VBG
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	97	in	in	IN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	98	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	99	,	,	,
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	100	China	China	NNP
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	101	:	:	:
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	102	a	a	DT
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	103	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-304820-q3de7r1p	213	104	study	study	NN