id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	1	1	key	key	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	1	2	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	1	cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	2	authors	author	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	4	Ben	Ben	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	5	Miled	Miled	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	7	S.	S.	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	8	;	;	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	9	Kebir	Kebir	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	10	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	11	A.	a.	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	12	title	title	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	13	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	14	Simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	15	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	16	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	17	spread	spread	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	18	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	19	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	20	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	21	control	control	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	22	policies	policy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	23	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	24	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	25	date	date	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	26	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	27	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	28	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	29	05	05	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	30	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	31	06	06	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	32	journal	journal	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	33	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	34	nan	nan	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	35	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	2	36	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	3	1	10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	3	2	sha	sha	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	3	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	3	4	eb379c023fe78249f95b8219f998bffeb7e9fbe3	eb379c023fe78249f95b8219f998bffeb7e9fbe3	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	4	1	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	4	2	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	4	3	329357	329357	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	4	4	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	4	5	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	4	6	ujh2nmh5	ujh2nmh5	ADD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	2	develop	develop	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	3	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	4	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	5	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	6	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	7	work	work	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	8	an	an	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	9	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	10	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	11	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	12	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	13	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	14	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	5	16	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	2	aims	aim	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	3	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	4	first	first	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	5	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	6	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	7	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	8	control	control	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	9	policies	policy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	10	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	11	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	12	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	13	secondly	secondly	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	14	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	15	understand	understand	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	16	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	17	effect	effect	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	18	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	19	different	different	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	20	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	21	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	22	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	23	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	24	containment	containment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	25	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	26	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	27	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	28	rule	rule	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	29	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	30	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	31	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	32	patients	patient	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	33	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	34	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	35	spread	spread	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	36	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	37	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	38	virus	virus	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	39	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	40	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	41	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	42	population	population	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	6	43	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	1	With	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	2	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	3	work	work	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	6	show	show	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	7	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	8	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	9	control	control	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	10	policies	policy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	11	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	12	efficient	efficient	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	13	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	14	screening	screen	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	15	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	16	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	17	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	18	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	19	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	20	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	21	if	if	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	22	containment	containment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	23	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	24	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	25	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	26	maintained	maintain	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	27	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	28	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	29	will	will	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	30	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	31	quickly	quickly	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	32	contained	contain	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	7	33	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	1	On	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	2	March	March	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	3	11	11	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	7	WHO	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	8	announced	announce	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	9	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	10	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	11	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	12	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	13	had	have	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	14	passed	pass	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	16	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	17	stage	stage	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	18	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	19	indicating	indicate	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	20	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	21	autonomous	autonomous	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	22	spread	spread	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	23	over	over	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	24	several	several	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	25	continents	continent	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	8	26	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	1	Since	since	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	2	March	March	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	3	22	22	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	5	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	7	experienced	experience	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	8	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	9	turning	turning	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	10	point	point	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	11	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	12	general	general	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	13	health	health	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	14	containment	containment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	15	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	16	begun	begin	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	9	17	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	1	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	2	's	's	POS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	3	strategy	strategy	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	4	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	5	containment	containment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	6	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	7	targeted	target	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	8	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	9	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	10	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	12	first	first	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	13	WHO	WHO	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	14	guidelines	guideline	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	15	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	16	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	17	aim	aim	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	18	being	be	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	19	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	20	detect	detect	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	21	clusters	cluster	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	22	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	23	diagnosing	diagnose	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	24	only	only	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	25	suspicious	suspicious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	26	persons	person	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	27	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	28	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	29	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	30	trace	trace	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	31	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	32	people	people	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	33	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	34	came	come	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	35	into	into	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	36	contact	contact	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	37	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	38	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	39	positive	positive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	10	41	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	11	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	11	2	method	method	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	11	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	11	4	now	now	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	11	5	showing	show	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	11	6	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	11	7	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	11	8	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	2	mass	mass	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	3	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	4	carried	carry	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	5	out	out	RP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	6	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	7	some	some	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	8	countries	country	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	9	shows	show	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	10	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	11	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	12	patients	patient	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	13	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	14	those	those	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	15	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	16	develop	develop	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	17	only	only	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	18	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	19	mild	mild	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	20	form	form	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	21	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	22	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	23	disease	disease	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	24	may	may	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	25	exist	exist	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	26	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	27	significant	significant	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	28	numbers	number	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	12	29	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	1	So	so	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	2	what	what	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	5	rule	rule	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	6	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	8	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	9	patients	patient	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	10	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	12	spread	spread	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	13	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	14	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	15	virus	virus	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	16	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	17	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	18	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	19	population	population	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	20	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	21	does	do	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	22	containment	containment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	23	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	24	mass	mass	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	25	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	26	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	27	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	28	sufficient	sufficient	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	29	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	30	control	control	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	31	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	32	spread	spread	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	33	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	34	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	35	virus	virus	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	36	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	37	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	38	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	39	population	population	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	13	40	?	?	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	2	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	3	work	work	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	5	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	6	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	7	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	8	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	9	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	12	developed	develop	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	14	study	study	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	15	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	16	predict	predict	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	17	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	18	effect	effect	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	19	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	20	different	different	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	21	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	22	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	23	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	24	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	25	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	26	containment	containment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	27	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	28	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	29	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	30	spread	spread	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	31	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	32	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	33	virus	virus	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	34	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	35	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	36	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	37	population	population	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	14	38	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	2	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	4	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	5	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	6	than	than	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	8	classical	classical	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	9	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	11	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	13	but	but	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	14	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	15	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	16	very	very	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	17	simple	simple	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	18	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	19	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	20	structure	structure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	15	21	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	3	all	all	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	4	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	5	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	6	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	7	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	8	react	react	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	9	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	10	average	average	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	11	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	12	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	13	same	same	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	14	way	way	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	15	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	16	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	17	infection	infection	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	18	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	19	there	there	EX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	20	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	21	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	22	what	what	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	23	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	24	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	25	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	26	present	present	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	27	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	28	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	29	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	30	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	31	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	16	32	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	1	Then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	3	calibrate	calibrate	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	4	different	different	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	6	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	8	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	9	based	base	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	10	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	12	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	14	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	15	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	16	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	17	expression	expression	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	18	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	19	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	20	basic	basic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	21	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	22	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	23	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	24	as	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	25	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	26	function	function	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	27	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	28	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	29	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	30	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	17	31	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	4	carry	carry	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	5	out	out	RP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	6	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	7	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	8	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	9	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	10	compare	compare	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	11	different	different	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	12	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	13	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	14	suppressing	suppress	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	15	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	16	controlling	control	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	17	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	18	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	1	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	3	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	4	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	5	disease	disease	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	6	that	that	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	7	spreads	spread	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	8	mainly	mainly	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	9	through	through	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	10	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	11	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	12	droplets	droplet	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	13	expelled	expel	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	14	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	15	people	people	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	16	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	17	cough	cough	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	19	18	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	1	So	so	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	3	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	5	usually	usually	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	6	direct	direct	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	7	from	from	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	8	person	person	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	9	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	10	person	person	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	20	11	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	1	Infection	infection	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	3	considered	consider	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	4	possible	possible	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	5	even	even	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	6	when	when	WRB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	7	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	8	contact	contact	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	9	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	10	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	11	person	person	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	12	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	13	mild	mild	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	14	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	21	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	3	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	4	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	6	early	early	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	7	stages	stage	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	8	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	11	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	12	many	many	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	13	people	people	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	14	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	16	disease	disease	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	17	have	have	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	18	only	only	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	19	mild	mild	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	20	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	22	21	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	3	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	4	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	5	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	6	possible	possible	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	7	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	8	contract	contract	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	9	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	10	through	through	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	11	contact	contact	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	12	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	13	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	14	person	person	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	15	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	16	does	do	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	17	not	not	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	18	feel	feel	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	19	sick	sick	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	23	20	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	1	Subsequently	subsequently	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	3	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	4	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	5	work	work	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	8	consider	consider	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	9	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	10	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	11	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	12	noted	note	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	13	S	S	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	14	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	15	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	16	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	17	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	18	first	first	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	19	go	go	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	20	through	through	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	21	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	22	stage	stage	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	23	where	where	WRB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	24	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	25	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	26	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	27	but	but	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	28	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	29	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	24	30	noted	note	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	25	1	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	25	2	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	25	3	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	25	4	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	25	5	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	25	6	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	2	stage	stage	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	3	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	4	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	5	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	6	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	7	important	important	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	8	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	10	spread	spread	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	11	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	12	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	26	13	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	2	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	3	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	4	develop	develop	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	5	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	6	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	7	become	become	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	8	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	9	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	10	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	11	so	so	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	12	either	either	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	13	enter	enter	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	14	directly	directly	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	15	into	into	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	16	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	17	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	18	stage	stage	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	19	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	20	noted	note	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	21	Q	Q	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	22	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	23	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	24	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	25	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	26	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	27	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	28	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	29	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	30	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	31	go	go	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	32	through	through	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	33	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	34	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	35	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	36	severe	severe	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	37	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	38	stage	stage	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	39	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	40	noted	note	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	41	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	42	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	43	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	44	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	45	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	46	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	47	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	48	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	49	go	go	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	50	through	through	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	51	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	52	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	53	stage	stage	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	54	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	55	not	not	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	27	56	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	4	infection	infection	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	5	ends	end	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	6	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	8	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	9	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	10	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	11	immunized	immunize	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	13	denoted	denoted	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	14	R	r	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	15	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	16	dead	dead	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	17	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	18	denoted	denoted	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	28	19	D.	D.	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	2	life	life	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	3	cycle	cycle	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	4	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	5	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	6	represented	represent	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	7	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	9	following	following	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	10	flow	flow	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	11	chart	chart	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	13	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	15	followed	follow	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	16	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	17	table	table	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	18	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	19	that	that	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	20	lists	list	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	21	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	22	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	23	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	29	24	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	2	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	4	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	5	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	6	act	act	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	7	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	30	9	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	31	1	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	31	2	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	31	3	stages	stage	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	31	4	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	4	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	5	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	6	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	7	state	state	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	8	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	9	detect	detect	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	10	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	11	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	12	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	13	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	14	example	example	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	15	random	random	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	16	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	17	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	18	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	19	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	20	positive	positive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	21	testing	testing	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	22	ones	one	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	23	go	go	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	24	into	into	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	25	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	32	26	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	1	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	2	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	3	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	4	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	5	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	7	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	9	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	10	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	11	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	12	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	13	class	class	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	14	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	15	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	33	16	I.	i.	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	2	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	3	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	5	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	6	individual	individual	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	7	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	8	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	9	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	10	turn	turn	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	11	out	out	RP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	12	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	13	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	14	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	15	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	16	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	18	β	β	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	34	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	2	further	further	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	3	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	4	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	5	quarantined	quarantine	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	6	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	7	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	8	Q	q	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	9	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	10	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	11	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	13	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	14	either	either	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	15	die	die	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	16	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	17	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	19	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	20	µ	µ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	21	per	per	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	22	unit	unit	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	23	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	24	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	25	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	26	become	become	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	27	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	28	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	29	immune	immune	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	30	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	31	R	r	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	32	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	33	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	34	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	35	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	36	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	37	γ	γ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	38	per	per	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	39	unit	unit	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	40	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	41	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	35	42	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	4	assume	assume	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	5	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	6	each	each	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	7	healthy	healthy	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	8	individual	individual	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	10	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	11	proportionally	proportionally	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	12	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	13	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	14	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	15	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	16	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	17	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	18	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	20	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	21	α1	α1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	22	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	23	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	24	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	25	infected	infect	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	26	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	27	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	28	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	29	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	30	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	31	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	32	α2	α2	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	36	33	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	1	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	2	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	3	state	state	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	5	constituted	constitute	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	6	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	8	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	9	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	10	severe	severe	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	11	state	state	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	13	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	14	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	15	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	16	contagious	contagious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	17	than	than	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	18	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	19	As	As	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	20	state	state	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	21	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	22	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	23	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	24	α1	α1	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	25	<	<	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	26	α2	α2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	37	27	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	4	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	5	consists	consist	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	6	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	8	following	follow	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	9	system	system	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	10	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	12	ordinary	ordinary	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	13	differential	differential	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	14	equations	equation	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	15	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	16	With	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	17	an	an	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	18	initial	initial	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	19	condition	condition	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	20	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	21	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	22	t	t	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	23	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	24	t0	t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	25	defined	define	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	26	as	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	27	following	follow	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	28	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	29	One	one	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	30	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	31	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	32	advantages	advantage	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	33	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	34	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	35	basic	basic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	36	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	37	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	38	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	39	concept	concept	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	40	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	41	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	42	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	43	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	44	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	45	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	46	from	from	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	47	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	48	moment	moment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	49	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	50	life	life	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	51	cycle	cycle	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	52	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	53	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	54	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	55	agent	agent	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	56	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	57	known	know	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	38	58	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	2	calculate	calculate	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	4	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	5	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	6	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	7	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	8	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	10	Next	Next	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	11	Generation	Generation	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	12	Theorem	Theorem	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	14	3	3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	17	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	18	section	section	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	19	A.1	A.1	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	21	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	22	3	3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	39	23	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	9	International	international	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	40	10	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	41	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	41	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	41	3	made	make	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	41	4	available	available	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	41	5	under	under	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	41	6	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	3	author	author	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	4	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	7	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	11	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	12	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	14	display	display	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	42	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	4	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	5	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	7	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	8	version	version	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	10	May	May	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	43	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	44	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	44	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	44	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	45	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	45	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	2	first	first	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	3	term	term	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	4	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	6	expression	expression	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	7	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	9	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	11	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	12	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	13	infections	infection	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	14	generated	generate	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	15	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	16	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	17	types	type	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	19	healthy	healthy	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	20	carrier	carrier	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	21	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	22	mild	mild	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	23	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	46	25	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	2	second	second	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	3	term	term	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	4	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	5	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	6	secondary	secondary	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	7	infections	infection	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	8	caused	cause	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	9	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	10	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	11	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	12	severe	severe	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	13	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	14	infection	infection	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	47	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	1	With	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	2	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	3	expression	expression	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	6	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	7	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	8	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	9	there	there	EX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	10	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	11	several	several	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	12	ways	way	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	14	lower	lower	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	16	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	17	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	18	thus	thus	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	19	control	control	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	20	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	21	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	48	22	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	1	For	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	2	example	example	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	3	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	5	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	6	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	8	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	9	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	10	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	11	people	people	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	13	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	14	α1	α1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	15	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	16	α2	α2	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	18	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	19	confining	confine	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	20	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	21	population	population	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	22	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	23	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	24	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	25	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	26	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	27	wearing	wear	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	28	masks	mask	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	49	29	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	2	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	3	also	also	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	4	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	7	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	8	contact	contact	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	9	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	10	an	an	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	11	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	12	person	person	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	13	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	14	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	15	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	16	rates	rate	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	18	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	19	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	20	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	22	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	23	isolating	isolate	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	24	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	25	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	26	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	27	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	28	persons	person	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	29	through	through	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	30	mass	mass	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	31	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	50	32	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	2	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	3	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	5	different	different	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	6	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	7	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	9	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	11	done	do	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	12	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	13	three	three	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	14	steps	step	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	16	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	17	section	section	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	18	A.2	a.2	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	51	20	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	3	first	first	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	4	step	step	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	5	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	7	will	will	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	8	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	10	start	start	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	11	date	date	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	12	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	13	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	14	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	15	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	16	t0	t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	17	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	18	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	19	initial	initial	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	20	states	state	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	21	As(t0	As(t0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	23	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	24	I(t0	I(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	26	as	as	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	27	well	well	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	28	as	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	29	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	30	infection	infection	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	31	rates	rate	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	32	α1	α1	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	33	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	34	α2	α2	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	52	35	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	3	second	second	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	4	step	step	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	5	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	7	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	9	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	10	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	11	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	12	µ	µ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	13	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	14	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	16	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	18	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	19	γ	γ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	53	20	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	3	third	third	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	4	step	step	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	5	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	7	evaluate	evaluate	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	9	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	10	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	11	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	12	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	13	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	14	an	an	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	15	optimization	optimization	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	16	method	method	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	54	17	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	55	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	55	2	program	program	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	55	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	55	4	available	available	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	55	5	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	55	6	download	download	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	55	7	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	55	8	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	2	used	use	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	4	Tunisian	Tunisian	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	5	Health	Health	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	6	Commission	Commission	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	7	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	8	data	data	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	10	set	set	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	11	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	12	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	14	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	15	model	model	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	16	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	18	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	19	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	56	20	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	2	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	4	daily	daily	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	5	new	new	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	8	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	9	death	death	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	10	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	11	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	12	recoveries	recovery	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	13	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	14	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	57	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	2	first	first	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	3	case	case	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	4	was	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	5	detected	detect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	6	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	7	March	March	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	8	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	9	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	10	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	58	11	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	59	1	To	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	59	2	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	59	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	59	4	initial	initial	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	59	5	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	59	6	As(t0	As(t0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	59	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	1	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	2	I(t0	I(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	4	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	6	α1	α1	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	7	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	8	α2	α2	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	9	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	11	fix	fix	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	12	S0	s0	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	13	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	14	11694720	11694720	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	15	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	16	which	which	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	17	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	18	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	19	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	20	total	total	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	21	population	population	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	22	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	23	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	24	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	25	assume	assume	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	26	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	27	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	28	variation	variation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	29	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	30	S(t	S(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	33	small	small	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	34	during	during	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	35	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	36	period	period	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	37	consider	consider	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	60	38	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	2	also	also	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	3	fix	fix	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	6	β	β	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	7	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	8	γ	γ	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	9	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	10	τ1	τ1	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	11	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	12	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	61	13	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	1	For	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	2	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	3	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	6	adapt	adapt	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	8	method	method	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	9	developed	develop	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	10	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	12	4	4	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	14	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	15	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	16	case	case	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	62	17	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	63	1	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	63	2	CRt	CRt	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	63	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	1	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	2	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	3	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	4	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	5	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	6	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	8	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	9	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	10	t	t	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	11	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	12	defined	define	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	13	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	14	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	15	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	16	's	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	17	assume	assume	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	18	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	19	CR(t	CR(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	64	21	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	1	χ1	χ1	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	2	exp(χ2	exp(χ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	3	t	t	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	5	−	−	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	6	χ3	χ3	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	7	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	8	χ	χ	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	9	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	10	χ2	χ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	11	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	12	χ3	χ3	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	13	three	three	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	14	positive	positive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	15	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	16	that	that	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	17	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	18	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	19	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	20	log	log	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	22	linear	linear	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	23	regression	regression	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	24	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	28	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	29	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	30	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	31	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	32	table	table	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	33	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	35	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	65	36	 	 	_SP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	2	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	4	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	5	starting	start	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	6	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	7	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	10	t0	t0	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	11	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	12	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	13	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	14	CR(t0	CR(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	16	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	66	17	0	0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	1	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	2	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	3	equation	equation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	5	3	3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	7	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	8	that	that	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	67	9	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	68	1	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	68	2	https://github.com/MayaraLatrech/covid19_sasymodel.git	https://github.com/mayaralatrech/covid19_sasymodel.git	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	68	3	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	69	1	https://covid-19.tn/	https://covid-19.tn/	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	69	2	4	4	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	69	3	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	9	International	international	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	70	10	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	71	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	71	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	71	3	made	make	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	71	4	available	available	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	71	5	under	under	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	71	6	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	3	author	author	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	4	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	7	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	11	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	12	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	14	display	display	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	72	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	4	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	5	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	7	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	8	version	version	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	10	May	May	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	73	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	1	For	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	2	now	now	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	3	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	5	assume	assume	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	6	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	7	α2	α2	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	8	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	9	f	f	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	10	α1	α1	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	11	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	12	f	f	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	13	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	14	fixed	fix	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	15	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	16	bigger	big	JJR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	17	than	than	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	18	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	19	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	20	let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	21	's	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	22	τ	τ	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	23	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	24	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	25	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	26	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	74	27	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	1	Then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	3	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	4	following	follow	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	5	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	6	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	7	approach	approach	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	8	described	describe	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	9	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	10	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	11	step	step	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	12	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	13	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	14	section	section	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	15	A.2	a.2	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	16	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	17	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	18	have	have	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	75	19	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	3	3	3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	6	plotted	plot	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	8	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	9	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	10	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	11	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	12	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	13	without	without	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	14	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	15	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	16	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	17	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	18	ODE	ODE	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	19	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	20	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	21	Q(t	Q(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	76	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	1	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	3	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	4	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	5	diagnosed	diagnosed	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	7	per	per	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	8	day	day	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	9	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	10	compared	compare	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	11	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	12	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	13	Tunisians	Tunisians	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	77	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	2	observe	observe	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	3	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	4	from	from	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	6	20th	20th	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	7	day	day	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	8	onwards	onwards	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	9	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	10	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	11	simulated	simulated	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	12	curve	curve	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	13	deviates	deviate	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	14	from	from	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	16	observed	observed	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	78	18	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	2	deviation	deviation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	4	due	due	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	5	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	6	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	8	control	control	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	9	policies	policy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	10	put	put	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	11	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	12	place	place	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	13	between	between	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	14	20	20	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	15	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	16	25	25	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	17	March	March	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	19	closure	closure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	20	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	21	cafes	cafe	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	22	shops	shop	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	23	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	24	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	25	introduction	introduction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	26	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	27	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	28	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	30	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	79	31	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	9	International	international	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	80	10	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	81	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	81	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	81	3	made	make	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	81	4	available	available	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	81	5	under	under	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	81	6	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	3	author	author	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	4	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	7	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	11	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	12	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	14	display	display	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	82	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	4	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	5	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	7	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	8	version	version	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	10	May	May	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	83	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	84	1	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	84	2	4	4	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	1	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	2	study	study	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	4	effect	effect	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	5	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	6	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	7	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	8	installed	instal	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	9	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	10	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	11	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	12	state	state	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	13	since	since	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	14	March	March	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	15	20	20	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	16	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	17	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	18	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	19	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	20	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	21	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	22	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	23	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	24	people	people	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	25	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	26	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	27	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	28	state	state	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	85	29	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	2	4	4	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	5	effect	effect	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	6	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	7	two	two	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	8	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	9	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	10	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	12	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	13	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	14	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	16	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	17	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	18	12-hour	12-hour	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	19	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	21	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	22	chosen	choose	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	23	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	24	policy	policy	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	26	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	27	an	an	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	28	18-hour	18-hour	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	29	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	31	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	32	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	33	restrictive	restrictive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	34	policy	policy	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	86	36	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	1	During	during	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	3	period	period	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	4	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	5	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	9	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	10	infection	infection	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	11	α1	α1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	13	divided	divide	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	14	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	15	100	100	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	87	16	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	2	Figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	3	4	4	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	5	a	a	LS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	7	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	8	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	9	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	10	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	11	seen	see	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	12	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	13	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	14	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	16	chosen	choose	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	17	policy	policy	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	18	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	19	maintains	maintain	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	20	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	21	12-hour	12-hour	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	22	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	23	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	24	100	100	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	25	days	day	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	26	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	27	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	28	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	29	peak	peak	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	30	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	31	terms	term	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	32	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	33	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	34	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	35	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	36	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	37	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	38	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	39	reached	reach	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	40	after	after	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	41	about	about	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	42	50	50	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	43	days	day	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	44	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	45	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	46	value	value	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	47	equal	equal	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	48	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	49	953	953	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	88	50	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	1	After	after	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	3	peak	peak	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	6	observe	observe	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	7	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	8	slow	slow	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	9	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	10	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	12	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	13	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	15	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	16	persons	person	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	89	17	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	1	On	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	3	other	other	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	4	hand	hand	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	5	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	6	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	8	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	9	restrictive	restrictive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	10	case	case	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	11	of18	of18	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	12	hours	hour	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	13	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	14	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	16	peak	peak	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	17	would	would	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	18	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	19	reached	reach	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	20	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	21	quickly	quickly	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	22	after	after	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	23	27	27	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	24	days	day	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	25	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	26	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	27	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	28	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	29	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	90	30	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	1	These	these	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	2	values	value	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	3	should	should	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	4	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	5	compared	compare	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	6	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	8	774	774	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	10	given	give	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	11	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	13	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	15	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	16	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	17	fact	fact	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	18	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	19	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	20	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	21	peak	peak	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	22	was	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	23	reached	reach	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	24	around	around	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	25	April	April	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	26	29	29	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	27	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	28	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	29	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	30	after	after	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	31	about	about	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	32	58	58	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	33	days	day	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	34	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	35	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	36	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	37	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	38	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	39	equal	equal	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	40	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	41	975	975	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	91	42	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	2	represent	represent	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	3	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	4	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	5	4(b	4(b	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	7	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	9	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	10	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	11	deaths	death	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	12	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	13	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	14	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	16	appeared	appear	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	17	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	18	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	19	peak	peak	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	20	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	21	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	22	deaths	death	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	24	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	25	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	26	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	27	peak	peak	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	28	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	29	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	30	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	31	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	32	about	about	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	33	50	50	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	34	days	day	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	35	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	36	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	37	shift	shift	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	38	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	39	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	40	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	41	hypothesis	hypothesis	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	42	that	that	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	43	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	44	made	make	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	45	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	46	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	47	duration	duration	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	48	between	between	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	49	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	50	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	51	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	52	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	53	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	54	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	55	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	56	deaths	death	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	57	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	58	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	59	30	30	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	60	days	day	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	61	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	92	62	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	2	note	note	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	3	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	5	simulated	simulated	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	6	death	death	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	7	curve	curve	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	8	overestimates	overestimate	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	10	observed	observed	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	11	curve	curve	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	93	12	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	2	may	may	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	3	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	4	due	due	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	5	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	6	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	7	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	8	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	9	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	10	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	11	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	12	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	13	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	14	surplus	surplus	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	15	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	16	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	17	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	18	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	19	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	20	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	21	which	which	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	22	makes	make	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	23	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	24	optimization	optimization	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	25	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	26	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	27	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	28	's	's	POS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	29	variables	variable	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	30	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	31	deaths	death	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	32	imprecise	imprecise	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	94	33	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	4	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	5	predicts	predict	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	6	228	228	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	7	deaths	death	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	8	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	10	end	end	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	11	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	12	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	14	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	16	current	current	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	17	case	case	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	19	12	12	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	20	hours	hour	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	21	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	95	23	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	3	case	case	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	4	where	where	WRB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	6	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	7	was	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	8	18	18	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	9	hours	hour	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	10	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	12	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	13	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	14	deaths	death	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	15	would	would	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	16	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	17	84	84	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	96	18	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	2	information	information	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	3	should	should	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	4	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	5	taken	take	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	6	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	7	caution	caution	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	8	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	9	because	because	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	10	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	12	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	13	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	14	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	15	were	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	16	made	make	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	17	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	18	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	19	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	20	deaths	death	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	21	was	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	22	low	low	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	97	23	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	4	notice	notice	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	5	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	6	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	7	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	8	between	between	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	10	undeclared	undeclared	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	13	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	14	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	15	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	17	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	18	between	between	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	19	45	45	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	20	%	%	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	21	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	22	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	23	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	24	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	25	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	26	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	27	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	28	less	less	JJR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	29	than	than	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	30	10	10	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	31	%	%	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	32	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	33	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	34	end	end	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	35	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	36	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	37	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	39	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	40	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	41	5	5	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	98	43	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	2	study	study	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	3	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	4	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	5	section	section	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	6	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	7	effect	effect	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	8	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	9	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	10	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	11	mass	mass	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	12	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	13	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	14	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	15	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	16	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	17	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	18	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	19	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	20	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	21	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	22	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	23	basic	basic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	24	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	25	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	26	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	27	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	28	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	29	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	30	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	31	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	32	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	33	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	34	declared	declare	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	35	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	36	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	37	Q	Q	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	39	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	40	figures	figure	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	41	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	42	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	43	7	7	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	99	45	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	2	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	3	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	6	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	7	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	8	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	9	no	no	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	10	matter	matter	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	11	how	how	WRB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	12	intensively	intensively	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	14	screen	screen	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	15	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	16	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	17	have	have	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	18	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	19	>	>	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	20	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	100	21	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	4	note	note	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	5	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	6	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	7	minimize	minimize	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	9	basic	basic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	10	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	11	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	13	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	15	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	16	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	17	increase	increase	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	18	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	19	massive	massive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	20	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	21	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	22	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	23	class	class	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	24	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	25	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	101	26	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	9	International	international	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	102	10	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	103	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	103	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	103	3	made	make	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	103	4	available	available	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	103	5	under	under	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	103	6	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	3	author	author	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	4	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	7	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	11	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	12	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	14	display	display	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	104	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	4	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	5	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	7	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	8	version	version	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	10	May	May	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	105	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	3	author	author	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	4	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	7	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	11	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	12	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	14	display	display	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	106	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	4	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	5	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	7	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	8	version	version	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	10	May	May	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	107	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	108	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	108	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	108	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	109	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	109	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	109	3	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	109	4	infections	infection	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	109	5	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	1	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	2	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	3	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	4	7	7	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	5	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	7	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	8	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	9	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	10	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	11	increase	increase	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	12	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	13	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	14	mass	mass	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	15	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	16	effort	effort	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	17	allows	allow	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	18	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	19	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	20	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	21	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	22	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	23	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	24	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	25	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	28	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	29	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	30	7(a	7(a	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	110	33	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	3	probably	probably	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	4	since	since	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	6	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	7	detected	detect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	8	earlier	early	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	9	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	10	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	11	do	do	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	12	not	not	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	13	contribute	contribute	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	14	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	16	contamination	contamination	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	17	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	18	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	19	healthy	healthy	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	20	ones	one	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	111	21	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	3	mass	mass	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	4	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	5	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	6	an	an	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	7	indirect	indirect	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	8	effect	effect	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	9	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	10	recruitment	recruitment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	11	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	12	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	13	infect	infect	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	14	compartment	compartment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	112	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	1	More	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	2	specifically	specifically	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	3	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	5	assume	assume	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	6	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	7	β	β	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	8	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	9	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	10	does	do	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	11	not	not	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	12	vary	vary	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	13	when	when	WRB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	14	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	15	changes	change	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	113	16	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	1	Consequently	consequently	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	4	effort	effort	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	5	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	6	mass	mass	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	7	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	8	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	9	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	10	patients	patient	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	11	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	12	not	not	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	13	exceed	exceed	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	14	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	15	value	value	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	16	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	17	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	18	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	19	any	any	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	20	additional	additional	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	21	effort	effort	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	22	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	23	β	β	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	24	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	25	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	26	will	will	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	27	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	28	passed	pass	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	29	on	on	RP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	30	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	31	healthy	healthy	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	32	patients	patient	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	33	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	34	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	35	will	will	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	36	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	37	useless	useless	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	114	38	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	3	observed	observe	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	4	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	6	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	7	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	9	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	10	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	12	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	14	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	15	Metropolis	Metropolis	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	17	Hastings	Hastings	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	19	MH	MH	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	21	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	22	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	23	gives	give	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	24	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	25	value	value	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	26	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	27	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	28	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	29	0.78	0.78	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	30	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	31	which	which	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	32	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	33	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	34	very	very	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	35	important	important	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	36	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	37	effort	effort	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	115	38	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	2	would	would	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	3	prove	prove	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	4	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	6	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	7	strategy	strategy	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	9	very	very	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	10	efficient	efficient	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	116	11	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	1	However	however	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	4	did	do	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	5	n't	not	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	6	had	have	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	7	access	access	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	8	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	10	testing	testing	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	11	campaign	campaign	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	12	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	13	that	that	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	14	would	would	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	15	have	have	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	16	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	17	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	18	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	19	adjust	adjust	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	20	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	21	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	117	22	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	5	observed	observe	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	6	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	8	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	9	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	10	deaths	death	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	11	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	12	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	13	end	end	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	14	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	17	varies	vary	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	18	from	from	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	19	228	228	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	20	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	21	167	167	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	22	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	23	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	24	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	25	20	20	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	26	%	%	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	27	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	28	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	29	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	30	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	31	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	34	see	see	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	35	figure	figure	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	36	7	7	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	38	b	b	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	41	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	118	42	 	 	_SP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	2	can	can	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	3	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	4	noted	note	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	5	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	6	since	since	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	7	April	April	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	8	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	9	15	15	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	10	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	11	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	13	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	14	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	15	succeeded	succeed	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	16	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	17	slowing	slow	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	18	down	down	RP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	19	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	20	speed	speed	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	21	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	22	propagation	propagation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	23	thanks	thank	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	24	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	25	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	26	containment	containment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	27	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	28	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	29	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	119	30	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	1	With	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	2	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	3	work	work	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	6	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	7	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	8	if	if	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	9	containment	containment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	10	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	11	curfew	curfew	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	12	are	be	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	13	maintained	maintain	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	14	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	15	short	short	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	17	term	term	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	18	projections	projection	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	19	could	could	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	20	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	21	more	more	RBR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	22	optimistic	optimistic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	120	23	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	3	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	5	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	7	quickly	quickly	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	8	contained	contain	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	9	tends	tend	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	10	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	11	show	show	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	12	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	13	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	14	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	15	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	16	undeclared	undeclared	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	17	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	19	low	low	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	20	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	21	which	which	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	22	may	may	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	23	suggest	suggest	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	24	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	25	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	26	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	27	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	28	efficient	efficient	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	29	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	30	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	31	evaluation	evaluation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	32	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	33	undeclared	undeclared	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	34	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	121	35	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	3	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	5	show	show	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	6	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	7	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	9	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	10	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	12	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	13	peak	peak	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	14	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	16	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	17	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	18	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	19	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	20	persons	person	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	21	constitutes	constitute	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	22	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	23	most	most	RBS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	24	1/3	1/3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	25	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	26	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	27	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	28	population	population	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	122	29	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	1	However	however	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	3	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	4	will	will	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	5	need	need	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	6	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	7	be	be	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	8	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	9	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	10	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	11	field	field	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	12	evaluation	evaluation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	123	13	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	3	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	4	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	8	optimization	optimization	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	9	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	10	fixes	fix	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	12	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	13	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	14	which	which	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	15	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	16	enter	enter	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	18	8	8	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	124	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	9	International	international	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	125	10	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	126	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	126	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	126	3	made	make	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	126	4	available	available	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	126	5	under	under	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	126	6	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	3	author	author	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	4	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	7	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	11	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	12	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	14	display	display	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	127	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	4	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	5	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	7	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	8	version	version	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	10	May	May	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	128	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	129	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	129	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	129	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	3	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	5	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	7	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	8	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	9	high	high	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	10	value	value	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	130	11	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	2	expresses	express	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	4	good	good	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	5	performance	performance	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	6	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	8	control	control	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	9	policy	policy	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	10	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	12	Tunisian	tunisian	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	13	government	government	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	131	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	3	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	4	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	5	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	6	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	7	control	control	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	8	policy	policy	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	9	consists	consist	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	10	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	11	an	an	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	12	intense	intense	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	13	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	14	campaign	campaign	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	15	targeting	target	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	16	sick	sick	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	17	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	18	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	19	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	20	relatives	relative	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	132	21	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	1	An	an	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	2	effort	effort	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	3	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	4	testing	testing	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	5	was	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	6	carried	carry	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	7	out	out	RP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	8	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	9	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	10	targeted	target	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	11	manner	manner	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	13	similar	similar	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	14	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	15	snowball	snowball	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	16	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	133	17	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	1	This	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	2	approach	approach	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	3	enabled	enable	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	4	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	5	have	have	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	6	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	7	major	major	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	8	screening	screening	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	9	effort	effort	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	10	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	11	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	12	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	13	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	14	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	134	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	4	model	model	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	5	was	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	6	successfully	successfully	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	7	able	able	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	8	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	9	predict	predict	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	10	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	11	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	12	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	13	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	14	peak	peak	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	15	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	16	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	17	end	end	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	18	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	19	April	April	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	135	20	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	1	A.1	A.1	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	2	Computation	Computation	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	3	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	5	basic	basic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	6	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	7	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	8	R	r	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	136	9	0	0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	2	use	use	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	4	next	next	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	5	generation	generation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	6	matrix	matrix	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	7	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	8	drive	drive	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	9	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	10	basic	basic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	11	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	12	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	13	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	15	3	3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	137	17	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	3	system	system	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	5	1	1	LS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	8	have	have	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	9	two	two	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	10	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	11	compartments	compartment	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	12	represented	represent	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	13	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	14	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	15	second	second	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	16	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	17	third	third	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	18	equations	equation	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	19	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	20	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	21	system	system	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	138	22	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	3	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	4	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	5	infection	infection	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	7	free	free	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	8	steady	steady	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	9	state	state	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	10	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	11	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	12	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	13	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	14	small	small	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	16	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	17	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	18	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	20	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	21	S	S	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	22	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	23	S0	S0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	24	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	25	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	26	linear	linear	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	27	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	28	subsystem	subsystem	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	29	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	30	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	31	If	if	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	32	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	33	set	set	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	34	X	x	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	35	=	=	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	37	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	38	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	39	I	i	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	41	T	T	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	42	as	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	43	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	44	vector	vector	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	45	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	46	infected	infect	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	47	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	48	F	F	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	49	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	50	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	51	matrix	matrix	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	52	that	that	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	53	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	54	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	55	production	production	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	56	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	57	new	new	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	58	infections	infection	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	59	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	60	T	T	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	61	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	62	matrix	matrix	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	63	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	64	transfer	transfer	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	65	into	into	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	66	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	67	out	out	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	68	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	69	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	70	compartment	compartment	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	71	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	72	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	73	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	74	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	75	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	76	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	77	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	78	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	79	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	80	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	81	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	82	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	83	matrix	matrix	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	84	form	form	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	85	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	86	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	87	linear	linear	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	88	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	89	subsystem	subsystem	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	90	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	139	91	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	4	next	next	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	5	generation	generation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	6	matrix	matrix	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	8	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	9	Knowing	know	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	10	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	12	basic	basic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	13	reproductive	reproductive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	14	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	15	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	17	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	18	largest	large	JJS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	19	eigenvalue	eigenvalue	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	20	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	21	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	22	next	next	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	23	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	24	generation	generation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	140	25	matrix	matrix	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	141	1	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	141	2	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	141	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	141	4	Step	step	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	141	5	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	141	6	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	2	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	3	part	part	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	5	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	6	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	7	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	8	initial	initial	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	9	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	10	As(t0	As(t0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	142	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	1	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	2	I(t0	I(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	4	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	6	α1	α1	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	7	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	8	α2	α2	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	10	adapt	adapt	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	12	method	method	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	13	developed	develop	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	14	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	16	4	4	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	143	18	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	144	1	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	144	2	9	9	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	144	3	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	9	International	international	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	145	10	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	146	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	146	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	146	3	made	make	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	146	4	available	available	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	146	5	under	under	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	146	6	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	3	author	author	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	4	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	7	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	11	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	12	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	14	display	display	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	147	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	4	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	5	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	7	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	8	version	version	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	10	May	May	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	148	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	149	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	149	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	149	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	150	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	150	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	150	3	γ1	γ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	150	4	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	151	1	γ	γ	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	151	2	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	151	3	µ	µ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	151	4	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	151	5	CR(t	CR(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	151	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	1	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	2	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	3	number	number	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	4	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	5	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	6	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	8	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	9	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	10	t	t	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	11	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	12	defined	define	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	13	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	152	14	,	,	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	153	1	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	153	2	's	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	153	3	assume	assume	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	153	4	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	153	5	CR(t	CR(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	153	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	153	7	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	1	χ1	χ1	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	2	exp(χ2	exp(χ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	3	t	t	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	5	−	−	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	6	χ3	χ3	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	7	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	8	χ	χ	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	9	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	10	χ2	χ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	11	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	12	χ3	χ3	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	13	three	three	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	14	positive	positive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	15	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	154	16	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	1	By	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	2	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	3	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	5	CR(t0	CR(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	7	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	8	0	0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	9	equation	equation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	11	3	3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	13	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	14	that	that	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	15	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	16	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	17	then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	18	t0	t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	19	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	20	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	21	χ2	χ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	23	ln(χ3	ln(χ3	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	25	−	−	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	26	ln(χ1	ln(χ1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	155	29	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	2	equation	equation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	4	3	3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	8	have	have	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	9	also	also	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	10	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	11	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	12	's	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	13	note	note	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	14	τ	τ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	15	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	16	τ	τ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	17	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	18	τ	τ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	19	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	20	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	21	H(t	h(t	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	156	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	157	1	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	158	1	As(t	As(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	158	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	158	3	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	158	4	τ	τ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	158	5	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	158	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	158	7	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	159	1	Then	then	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	159	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	159	3	have	have	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	159	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	1	In	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	2	order	order	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	3	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	4	simplify	simplify	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	6	calculus	calculus	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	7	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	9	will	will	MD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	10	use	use	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	11	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	12	normalized	normalized	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	13	functions	function	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	14	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	15	As	as	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	16	H	H	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	17	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	18	I	I	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	19	H	H	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	160	20	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	2	have	have	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	4	Rewriting	rewrite	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	6	third	third	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	7	equation	equation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	9	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	11	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	12	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	13	H	h	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	14	variable	variable	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	15	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	16	dI	di	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	17	dt	dt	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	18	=	=	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	19	βH	βh	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	161	20	−	−	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	162	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	162	2	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	162	3	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	163	1	βτ	βτ	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	163	2	+	+	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	164	1	γ1)I	γ1)i	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	165	1	By	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	165	2	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	165	3	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	165	4	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	165	5	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	165	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	166	1	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	1	I(t0	I(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	3	exp(χ2(t	exp(χ2(t	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	4	−	−	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	5	t0	t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	8	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	9	substituting	substitute	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	10	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	11	equation	equation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	13	15	15	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	167	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	168	1	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	168	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	168	3	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	168	4	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	169	1	χ2I(t0	χ2i(t0	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	169	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	169	3	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	169	4	βH(t0	βH(t0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	169	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	169	6	−	−	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	170	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	170	2	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	170	3	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	171	1	βτ	βτ	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	1	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	2	γ1)I(t0	γ1)i(t0	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	4	Equation	equation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	6	16	16	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	8	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	9	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	10	By	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	11	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	12	equation	equation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	14	14	14	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	16	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	18	17	17	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	20	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	22	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	23	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	24	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	25	's	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	26	assume	assume	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	27	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	28	α2	α2	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	29	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	30	f	f	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	31	α1	α1	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	32	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	33	f	f	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	34	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	35	fixed	fix	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	36	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	37	bigger	big	JJR
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	38	than	than	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	39	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	172	40	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	173	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	173	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	173	3	α1	α1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	173	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	173	5	evaluated	evaluate	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	173	6	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	173	7	As(t	As(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	173	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	174	1	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	175	1	As(t0	As(t0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	175	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	175	3	exp(χ2(t	exp(χ2(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	175	4	−	−	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	175	5	t0	t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	175	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	175	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	1	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	3	second	second	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	4	equation	equation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	5	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	7	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	9	at	at	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	10	t0	t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	11	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	13	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	176	14	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	177	1	χ2	χ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	177	2	As(t0	As(t0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	177	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	177	4	H(t0	H(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	177	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	177	6	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	178	1	α1S0(f	α1s0(f	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	178	2	I(t0	i(t0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	178	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	178	4	H(t0	H(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	178	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	178	6	+	+	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	179	1	As(t0	As(t0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	179	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	179	3	H(t0	H(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	179	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	179	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	180	1	−	−	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	181	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	181	2	β	β	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	181	3	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	181	4	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	181	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	182	1	As(t0	As(t0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	182	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	182	3	H(t0	H(t0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	182	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	183	1	⇔	⇔	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	183	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	183	3	19	19	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	183	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	183	5	α1	α1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	183	6	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	184	1	χ2	χ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	184	2	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	184	3	β	β	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	185	1	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	185	2	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	185	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	185	4	f	f	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	185	5	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	185	6	0	0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	185	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	186	1	As(t	As(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	186	2	0	0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	186	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	187	1	+	+	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	187	2	1)S0	1)s0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	187	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	187	4	20	20	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	187	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	187	6	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	9	International	international	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	188	10	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	189	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	189	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	189	3	made	make	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	189	4	available	available	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	189	5	under	under	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	189	6	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	3	author	author	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	4	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	7	who	who	WP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	11	a	a	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	12	license	license	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	13	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	14	display	display	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	15	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	17	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	190	19	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	2	which	which	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	3	was	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	4	not	not	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	6	by	by	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	8	review	review	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	191	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	1	The	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	4	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	5	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	7	this	this	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	8	version	version	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	10	May	May	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	11	6	6	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	12	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	14	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	192	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	193	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088492	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	193	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	193	3	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	3	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	4	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	5	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	6	equations	equation	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	8	17	17	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	10	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	12	18	18	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	194	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	195	1	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	195	2	α1	α1	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	195	3	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	2	χ2	χ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	3	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	4	β	β	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	5	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	6	τ1	τ1	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	9	f	f	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	10	β	β	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	11	χ	χ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	12	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	13	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	14	τ	τ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	15	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	16	+	+	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	17	γ	γ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	196	18	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	197	1	+	+	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	198	1	1)S0	1)s0	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	199	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	199	2	21	21	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	199	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	199	4	Step	step	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	199	5	2	2	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	200	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	200	2	hereby	hereby	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	200	3	propose	propose	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	200	4	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	200	5	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	200	6	γ	γ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	200	7	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	200	8	µ.	µ.	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	201	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	201	2	notice	notice	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	201	3	that	that	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	201	4	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	201	5	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	201	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	201	7	=	=	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	1	γ	γ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	2	µ	µ	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	3	D(t	D(t	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	5	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	6	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	7	all	all	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	8	t	t	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	9	>	>	XX
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	10	0	0	NFP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	202	11	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	1	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	2	ρ	ρ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	3	=	=	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	4	µ	µ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	5	γ	γ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	6	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	7	ρ	ρ	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	9	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	10	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	11	dead	dead	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	12	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	13	recoveries	recovery	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	203	15	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	1	Let	let	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	2	p	p	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	3	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	4	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	5	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	6	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	8	quarantined	quarantine	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	9	or	or	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	10	not	not	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	12	that	that	WDT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	13	become	become	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	204	15	dead	dead	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	2	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	3	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	4	−	−	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	5	p	p	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	6	become	become	VBP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	7	reported	report	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	8	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	205	10	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	2	ρ	ρ	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	3	=	=	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	4	pμ	pμ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	6	1−p)γ	1−p)γ	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	7	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	8	with	with	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	9	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	10	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	11	μ	μ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	12	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	13	average	average	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	14	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	15	to	to	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	16	death	death	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	17	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	18	1	1	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	19	/	/	SYM
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	20	γ	γ	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	21	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	22	average	average	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	23	time	time	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	24	to	to	TO
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	25	recover	recover	VB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	206	26	.	.	.
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	2	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	3	Step	step	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	4	3	3	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	5	Parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	6	τ1	τ1	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	7	et	et	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	8	τ2	τ2	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	9	was	be	VBD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	10	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	11	using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	12	Metropolis	Metropolis	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	14	Hastings	Hastings	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	16	MH	MH	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	18	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	19	developed	develop	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	20	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	21	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	22	pymcmcst	pymcmcst	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	23	python	python	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	24	package	package	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	26	5	5	CD
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	28	 	 	_SP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	29	Estimation	Estimation	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	30	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	31	Tunisia	Tunisia	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	32	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	33	infected	infected	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	34	cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	35	based	base	VBN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	36	on	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	37	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	38	rate	rate	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	39	Infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	40	Diseases	disease	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	41	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	42	Humans	Humans	NNPS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	43	:	:	:
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	44	Dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	45	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	207	46	Control	Control	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	1	On	on	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	2	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	3	definition	definition	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	4	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	5	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	6	computation	computation	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	7	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	8	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	9	basic	basic	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	10	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	11	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	12	R0	R0	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	13	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	14	models	model	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	15	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	16	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	17	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	18	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	19	heterogeneous	heterogeneous	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	20	populations	population	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	21	Understanding	understand	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	22	Unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	23	Cases	case	NNS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	24	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	25	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	26	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	27	Epidemic	Epidemic	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	28	Outbreak	Outbreak	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	29	in	in	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	30	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	31	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	32	China	China	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	33	,	,	,
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	34	and	and	CC
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	35	the	the	DT
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	36	Importance	Importance	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	37	of	of	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	38	Major	Major	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	39	Public	Public	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	40	Health	Health	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	41	Interventions	Interventions	NNPS
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	42	A	A	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	43	Python	Python	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	44	Package	Package	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	45	for	for	IN
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	46	Bayesian	Bayesian	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	47	Inference	Inference	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	48	Using	use	VBG
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	49	Delayed	Delayed	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	50	Rejection	Rejection	NNP
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	51	Adaptive	adaptive	JJ
cord-329357-ujh2nmh5	208	52	Metropolis	metropolis	NN