id sid tid token lemma pos cord-330956-692irru4 1 1 key key NN cord-330956-692irru4 1 2 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 2 1 cord-330956 cord-330956 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 2 2 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 2 3 692irru4 692irru4 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 2 4 authors author NNS cord-330956-692irru4 2 5 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 2 6 Pazos Pazos NNP cord-330956-692irru4 2 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 2 8 F. F. NNP cord-330956-692irru4 2 9 A. a. NN cord-330956-692irru4 2 10 ; ; : cord-330956-692irru4 2 11 Felicioni Felicioni NNP cord-330956-692irru4 2 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 2 13 F. F. NNP cord-330956-692irru4 2 14 title title NN cord-330956-692irru4 2 15 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 2 16 A a DT cord-330956-692irru4 2 17 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 2 18 approach approach NN cord-330956-692irru4 2 19 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 2 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 2 21 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 2 22 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 2 23 using use VBG cord-330956-692irru4 2 24 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 2 25 SEIHRD SEIHRD NNP cord-330956-692irru4 2 26 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 2 27 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 2 28 date date NN cord-330956-692irru4 3 1 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 3 2 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 3 3 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 3 4 05 05 CD cord-330956-692irru4 3 5 - - SYM cord-330956-692irru4 3 6 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 3 7 journal journal NN cord-330956-692irru4 3 8 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 4 1 nan nan NNP cord-330956-692irru4 4 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-330956-692irru4 4 3 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 4 4 10.1101/2020.05.27.20115295 10.1101/2020.05.27.20115295 CD cord-330956-692irru4 4 5 sha sha NN cord-330956-692irru4 4 6 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 4 7 5ab7ff79e385e5152d4d35e57561221c310a4832 5ab7ff79e385e5152d4d35e57561221c310a4832 CD cord-330956-692irru4 4 8 doc_id doc_id CD cord-330956-692irru4 4 9 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 4 10 330956 330956 CD cord-330956-692irru4 4 11 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-330956-692irru4 4 12 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 5 1 692irru4 692irru4 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 6 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 6 2 recent recent JJ cord-330956-692irru4 6 3 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-330956-692irru4 6 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 6 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 6 6 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 6 7 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 6 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 6 9 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 6 10 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 6 11 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 6 12 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 6 13 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 6 14 vaccine vaccine NN cord-330956-692irru4 6 15 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 6 16 medications medication NNS cord-330956-692irru4 6 17 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 6 18 prevent prevent VB cord-330956-692irru4 6 19 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 6 20 cure cure VB cord-330956-692irru4 6 21 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 6 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 6 23 led lead VBD cord-330956-692irru4 6 24 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 6 25 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 6 26 adoption adoption NN cord-330956-692irru4 6 27 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 6 28 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 6 29 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 6 30 measures measure NNS cord-330956-692irru4 6 31 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 6 32 governments government NNS cord-330956-692irru4 6 33 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 6 34 populations population NNS cord-330956-692irru4 6 35 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 6 36 most most JJS cord-330956-692irru4 6 37 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 6 38 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 6 39 affected affected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 6 40 countries country NNS cord-330956-692irru4 6 41 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 6 42 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 6 43 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 6 44 contagion contagion NN cord-330956-692irru4 6 45 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 6 46 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 6 47 spread spread NN cord-330956-692irru4 6 48 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 7 1 These these DT cord-330956-692irru4 7 2 measures measure NNS cord-330956-692irru4 7 3 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 7 4 known know VBN cord-330956-692irru4 7 5 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 7 6 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 7 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-330956-692irru4 7 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 7 9 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 7 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 7 11 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 7 12 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 7 13 implementation implementation NN cord-330956-692irru4 7 14 clearly clearly RB cord-330956-692irru4 7 15 produces produce VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 7 16 social social JJ cord-330956-692irru4 7 17 unrest unrest NN cord-330956-692irru4 7 18 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 7 19 well well RB cord-330956-692irru4 7 20 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 7 21 greatly greatly RB cord-330956-692irru4 7 22 affects affect VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 7 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 7 24 economy economy NN cord-330956-692irru4 7 25 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 8 1 Frequently frequently RB cord-330956-692irru4 8 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 8 3 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 8 4 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 8 5 implemented implement VBN cord-330956-692irru4 8 6 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 8 7 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 8 8 intensity intensity NN cord-330956-692irru4 8 9 quantified quantify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 8 10 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 8 11 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 8 12 ad ad FW cord-330956-692irru4 8 13 hoc hoc FW cord-330956-692irru4 8 14 manner manner NN cord-330956-692irru4 8 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 9 1 Control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 2 theory theory NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 3 offers offer VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 9 4 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 9 5 worthwhile worthwhile JJ cord-330956-692irru4 9 6 tool tool NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 7 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 9 8 determining determine VBG cord-330956-692irru4 9 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 9 10 optimal optimal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 9 11 intensity intensity NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 9 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 9 14 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 9 15 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 9 16 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 17 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 9 18 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 9 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 9 20 collapse collapse NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 21 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 9 22 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 9 23 healthcare healthcare NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 24 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 25 while while IN cord-330956-692irru4 9 26 keeping keep VBG cord-330956-692irru4 9 27 them -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 9 28 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 9 29 low low JJ cord-330956-692irru4 9 30 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 9 31 possible possible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 9 32 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 9 33 yielding yield VBG cord-330956-692irru4 9 34 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 9 35 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 9 36 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-330956-692irru4 9 37 concrete concrete JJ cord-330956-692irru4 9 38 guidance guidance NN cord-330956-692irru4 9 39 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 10 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 10 2 propose propose VBP cord-330956-692irru4 10 3 here here RB cord-330956-692irru4 10 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 10 5 use use NN cord-330956-692irru4 10 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 10 7 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 10 8 simple simple JJ cord-330956-692irru4 10 9 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 10 10 controller controller NN cord-330956-692irru4 10 11 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 10 12 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 10 13 robust robust JJ cord-330956-692irru4 10 14 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 10 15 large large JJ cord-330956-692irru4 10 16 parametric parametric JJ cord-330956-692irru4 10 17 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-330956-692irru4 10 18 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 10 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 10 20 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 10 21 used use VBN cord-330956-692irru4 10 22 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 11 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 11 2 novel novel JJ cord-330956-692irru4 11 3 SARS SARS NNP cord-330956-692irru4 11 4 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 11 5 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 11 6 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-330956-692irru4 11 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 11 8 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 11 9 produces produce VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 11 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 11 11 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 11 12 known know VBN cord-330956-692irru4 11 13 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 11 14 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 11 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 11 16 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 11 17 first first RB cord-330956-692irru4 11 18 reported report VBN cord-330956-692irru4 11 19 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 11 20 December December NNP cord-330956-692irru4 11 21 2019 2019 CD cord-330956-692irru4 11 22 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 11 23 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-330956-692irru4 11 24 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 11 25 province province NN cord-330956-692irru4 11 26 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 11 27 Hubei Hubei NNP cord-330956-692irru4 11 28 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 11 29 China China NNP cord-330956-692irru4 11 30 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 12 1 With with IN cord-330956-692irru4 12 2 amazing amazing JJ cord-330956-692irru4 12 3 speed speed NN cord-330956-692irru4 12 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 12 5 spread spread VBD cord-330956-692irru4 12 6 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 12 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 12 8 majority majority NN cord-330956-692irru4 12 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 12 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 12 11 countries country NNS cord-330956-692irru4 12 12 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 12 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 12 14 world world NN cord-330956-692irru4 12 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 13 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 13 2 outbreak outbreak NN cord-330956-692irru4 13 3 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 13 4 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 13 5 declared declare VBN cord-330956-692irru4 13 6 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 13 7 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 13 8 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 13 9 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 13 10 emergency emergency NN cord-330956-692irru4 13 11 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 13 12 international international JJ cord-330956-692irru4 13 13 concern concern NN cord-330956-692irru4 13 14 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 13 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 13 16 World World NNP cord-330956-692irru4 13 17 Health Health NNP cord-330956-692irru4 13 18 Organization Organization NNP cord-330956-692irru4 13 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 13 20 WHO who WP cord-330956-692irru4 13 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 13 22 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 13 23 Jan. January NNP cord-330956-692irru4 13 24 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 13 25 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 13 26 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 13 27 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 13 28 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 13 29 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 13 30 pandemic pandemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 13 31 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 13 32 March March NNP cord-330956-692irru4 13 33 11 11 CD cord-330956-692irru4 13 34 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 14 1 At at IN cord-330956-692irru4 14 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 14 3 moment moment NN cord-330956-692irru4 14 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 14 5 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 14 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 14 7 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 14 8 vaccine vaccine NN cord-330956-692irru4 14 9 against against IN cord-330956-692irru4 14 10 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 14 11 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 14 12 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 14 13 effective effective JJ cord-330956-692irru4 14 14 medicines medicine NNS cord-330956-692irru4 14 15 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 14 16 cure cure VB cord-330956-692irru4 14 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 14 18 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 14 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 15 1 Health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 15 2 systems system NNS cord-330956-692irru4 15 3 only only RB cord-330956-692irru4 15 4 try try VBP cord-330956-692irru4 15 5 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 15 6 mitigate mitigate VB cord-330956-692irru4 15 7 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 15 8 consequences consequence NNS cord-330956-692irru4 15 9 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 15 10 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 15 11 complications complication NNS cord-330956-692irru4 15 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 15 13 fatal fatal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 15 14 outcomes outcome NNS cord-330956-692irru4 15 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 16 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 16 2 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 16 3 showed show VBD cord-330956-692irru4 16 4 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 16 5 great great JJ cord-330956-692irru4 16 6 capacity capacity NN cord-330956-692irru4 16 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 16 8 contagion contagion NN cord-330956-692irru4 16 9 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 16 10 high high JJ cord-330956-692irru4 16 11 fatality fatality NN cord-330956-692irru4 16 12 rates rate NNS cord-330956-692irru4 16 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 16 14 see see VB cord-330956-692irru4 16 15 updated update VBN cord-330956-692irru4 16 16 reports report NNS cord-330956-692irru4 16 17 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 16 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 16 19 WM2 WM2 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 16 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 16 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 16 22 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 17 1 Patients patient NNS cord-330956-692irru4 17 2 affected affect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 17 3 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 17 4 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 17 5 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 6 experience experience VB cord-330956-692irru4 17 7 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 17 8 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 17 10 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 17 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 17 12 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 17 13 all all DT cord-330956-692irru4 17 14 clearly clearly RB cord-330956-692irru4 17 15 identified identify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 17 16 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 17 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 17 18 moment moment NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 19 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 17 20 but but CC cord-330956-692irru4 17 21 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 17 22 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 17 23 mainly mainly RB cord-330956-692irru4 17 24 cough cough NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 25 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 17 26 breathing breathing NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 27 difficulties difficulty NNS cord-330956-692irru4 17 28 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 17 29 fever fever NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 30 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 17 31 loss loss NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 32 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 17 33 taste taste NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 34 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 17 35 smell smell NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 36 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 17 37 extreme extreme JJ cord-330956-692irru4 17 38 tiredness tiredness NN cord-330956-692irru4 17 39 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 18 1 Frequently frequently RB cord-330956-692irru4 18 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 18 3 patients patient NNS cord-330956-692irru4 18 4 develop develop VBP cord-330956-692irru4 18 5 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 18 6 form form NN cord-330956-692irru4 18 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 18 8 viral viral JJ cord-330956-692irru4 18 9 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-330956-692irru4 18 10 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 18 11 requires require VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 18 12 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 18 13 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 18 14 artificial artificial JJ cord-330956-692irru4 18 15 mechanical mechanical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 18 16 ventilation ventilation NN cord-330956-692irru4 18 17 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 18 18 intensive intensive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 18 19 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 18 20 units unit NNS cord-330956-692irru4 18 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 19 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 19 2 large large JJ cord-330956-692irru4 19 3 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 19 4 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 19 5 patients patient NNS cord-330956-692irru4 19 6 affected affect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 19 7 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 19 8 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 19 9 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 19 10 threatens threaten VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 19 11 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 19 12 collapse collapse VB cord-330956-692irru4 19 13 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 19 14 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 19 15 systems system NNS cord-330956-692irru4 19 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 19 17 increasing increase VBG cord-330956-692irru4 19 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 19 19 fatality fatality NN cord-330956-692irru4 19 20 rates rate NNS cord-330956-692irru4 19 21 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 19 22 lack lack NN cord-330956-692irru4 19 23 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 19 24 available available JJ cord-330956-692irru4 19 25 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 19 26 assistance assistance NN cord-330956-692irru4 19 27 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 20 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 20 2 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 20 3 context context NN cord-330956-692irru4 20 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 20 5 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 20 6 very very RB cord-330956-692irru4 20 7 important important JJ cord-330956-692irru4 20 8 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 20 9 predict predict VB cord-330956-692irru4 20 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 20 11 trend trend NN cord-330956-692irru4 20 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 20 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 20 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 20 15 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 20 16 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 20 17 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 20 18 plan plan VB cord-330956-692irru4 20 19 effective effective JJ cord-330956-692irru4 20 20 strategies strategy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 20 21 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 20 22 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 20 23 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 20 24 spread spread NN cord-330956-692irru4 20 25 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 20 26 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 20 27 determine determine VB cord-330956-692irru4 20 28 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 20 29 impact impact NN cord-330956-692irru4 20 30 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 21 1 As as IN cord-330956-692irru4 21 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 21 3 contagion contagion NN cord-330956-692irru4 21 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 21 5 produced produce VBN cord-330956-692irru4 21 6 very very RB cord-330956-692irru4 21 7 easily easily RB cord-330956-692irru4 21 8 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 21 9 simple simple JJ cord-330956-692irru4 21 10 contact contact NN cord-330956-692irru4 21 11 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 21 12 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 21 13 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 21 14 several several JJ cord-330956-692irru4 21 15 measures measure NNS cord-330956-692irru4 21 16 were be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 21 17 adopted adopt VBN cord-330956-692irru4 21 18 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 21 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 21 20 governments government NNS cord-330956-692irru4 21 21 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 21 22 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 21 23 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 21 24 systems system NNS cord-330956-692irru4 21 25 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 21 26 populations population NNS cord-330956-692irru4 21 27 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 21 28 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 21 29 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 21 30 reduce reduce VB cord-330956-692irru4 21 31 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 21 32 transmission transmission NN cord-330956-692irru4 21 33 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 21 34 reducing reduce VBG cord-330956-692irru4 21 35 contact contact NN cord-330956-692irru4 21 36 rates rate NNS cord-330956-692irru4 21 37 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 22 1 Examples example NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 2 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 22 3 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 22 4 measures measure NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 22 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 22 7 so so RB cord-330956-692irru4 22 8 called call VBN cord-330956-692irru4 22 9 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 22 10 interventions intervention NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 22 12 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 22 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 22 14 adopted adopt VBD cord-330956-692irru4 22 15 during during IN cord-330956-692irru4 22 16 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 22 17 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 22 18 include include VBP cord-330956-692irru4 22 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 22 20 closing closing NN cord-330956-692irru4 22 21 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 22 22 schools school NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 23 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 22 24 churches church NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 25 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 22 26 bars bar NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 27 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 22 28 factories factory NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 29 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 22 30 quarantine quarantine NN cord-330956-692irru4 22 31 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 22 32 physical physical NN cord-330956-692irru4 22 33 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 22 34 distancing distance VBG cord-330956-692irru4 22 35 policies policy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 36 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 22 37 confinement confinement NN cord-330956-692irru4 22 38 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 22 39 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 40 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 22 41 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 22 42 homes home NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 43 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 22 44 lockdown lockdown NN cord-330956-692irru4 22 45 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 22 46 among among IN cord-330956-692irru4 22 47 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 22 48 social social JJ cord-330956-692irru4 22 49 impositions imposition NNS cord-330956-692irru4 22 50 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 22 51 produce produce VBP cord-330956-692irru4 22 52 discomfort discomfort NN cord-330956-692irru4 22 53 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 22 54 clearly clearly RB cord-330956-692irru4 22 55 harm harm VB cord-330956-692irru4 22 56 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 22 57 economy economy NN cord-330956-692irru4 22 58 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 23 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 23 2 goal goal NN cord-330956-692irru4 23 3 sparked spark VBD cord-330956-692irru4 23 4 many many JJ cord-330956-692irru4 23 5 articles article NNS cord-330956-692irru4 23 6 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 23 7 studies study NNS cord-330956-692irru4 23 8 recently recently RB cord-330956-692irru4 23 9 published publish VBN cord-330956-692irru4 23 10 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 23 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 23 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 23 13 behavior behavior NN cord-330956-692irru4 23 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 24 1 A a DT cord-330956-692irru4 24 2 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 24 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 24 4 them -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 24 5 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 24 6 addressed address VBN cord-330956-692irru4 24 7 towards towards IN cord-330956-692irru4 24 8 determining determine VBG cord-330956-692irru4 24 9 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 24 10 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 24 11 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 24 12 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 24 13 represents represent VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 24 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 24 15 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-330956-692irru4 24 16 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 24 17 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 24 18 agents agent NNS cord-330956-692irru4 24 19 involved involve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 24 20 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 24 21 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 24 22 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 24 23 affected affect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 24 24 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 24 25 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 24 26 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 24 27 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 25 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 25 2 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 25 3 described describe VBN cord-330956-692irru4 25 4 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 25 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 25 6 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 25 7 aims aim VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 25 8 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 25 9 make make VB cord-330956-692irru4 25 10 possible possible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 25 11 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 25 12 answer answer VB cord-330956-692irru4 25 13 crucial crucial JJ cord-330956-692irru4 25 14 issues issue NNS cord-330956-692irru4 25 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 25 16 such such JJ cord-330956-692irru4 25 17 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 25 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 25 19 maximum maximum JJ cord-330956-692irru4 25 20 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 25 21 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 25 22 individuals individual NNS cord-330956-692irru4 25 23 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 25 24 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 25 25 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 25 26 affected affect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 25 27 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 25 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 25 29 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 25 30 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 25 31 when when WRB cord-330956-692irru4 25 32 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 25 33 maximum maximum NN cord-330956-692irru4 25 34 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 25 35 occur occur VB cord-330956-692irru4 25 36 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 25 37 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 25 38 makes make VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 25 39 key key JJ cord-330956-692irru4 25 40 predictions prediction NNS cord-330956-692irru4 25 41 concerning concern VBG cord-330956-692irru4 25 42 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 25 43 outbreak outbreak NN cord-330956-692irru4 25 44 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 25 45 eventual eventual JJ cord-330956-692irru4 25 46 recovery recovery NN cord-330956-692irru4 25 47 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 25 48 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 25 49 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 25 50 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 26 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 26 2 information information NN cord-330956-692irru4 26 3 allows allow VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 26 4 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 26 5 devise devise VB cord-330956-692irru4 26 6 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 26 7 policies policy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 26 8 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 26 9 strategies strategy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 26 10 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 26 11 mitigate mitigate VB cord-330956-692irru4 26 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 26 13 social social JJ cord-330956-692irru4 26 14 impact impact NN cord-330956-692irru4 26 15 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 26 16 reduce reduce VB cord-330956-692irru4 26 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 26 18 fatality fatality NN cord-330956-692irru4 26 19 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 26 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 27 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 27 2 seminal seminal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 27 3 work work NN cord-330956-692irru4 27 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 27 5 FLNG FLNG NNS cord-330956-692irru4 27 6 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 27 7 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 27 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 27 9 exemplifies exemplify VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 27 10 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 27 11 analyses analyse VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 27 12 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 27 13 strategies strategy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 27 14 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 27 15 control control VB cord-330956-692irru4 27 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 27 17 transmission transmission NN cord-330956-692irru4 27 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 27 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 27 20 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 27 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 28 1 Most Most JJS cord-330956-692irru4 28 2 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 28 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 28 4 models model NNS cord-330956-692irru4 28 5 adopted adopt VBN cord-330956-692irru4 28 6 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 28 7 represent represent VB cord-330956-692irru4 28 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 28 9 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 28 10 behavior behavior NN cord-330956-692irru4 28 11 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 28 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 28 13 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 28 14 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 28 15 based base VBN cord-330956-692irru4 28 16 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 28 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 28 18 SIR SIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 28 19 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 28 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 28 21 see see VB cord-330956-692irru4 28 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 28 23 Abd20 Abd20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 28 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 28 25 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 28 26 references reference NNS cord-330956-692irru4 28 27 therein therein RB cord-330956-692irru4 28 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 28 29 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 29 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 29 2 SIR SIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 29 3 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 29 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 29 5 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 29 6 basic basic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 29 7 representation representation NN cord-330956-692irru4 29 8 widely widely RB cord-330956-692irru4 29 9 used use VBN cord-330956-692irru4 29 10 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 29 11 describes describe VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 29 12 key key JJ cord-330956-692irru4 29 13 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-330956-692irru4 29 14 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-330956-692irru4 29 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 30 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 30 2 assumes assume VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 30 3 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 30 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 30 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 30 6 affects affect VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 30 7 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 30 8 constant constant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 30 9 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 30 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 30 11 N n CD cord-330956-692irru4 30 12 individuals individual NNS cord-330956-692irru4 30 13 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 31 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 31 2 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 31 3 neglects neglect VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 31 4 demography demography NN cord-330956-692irru4 31 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 31 6 i.e. i.e. FW cord-330956-692irru4 31 7 births birth NNS cord-330956-692irru4 31 8 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 31 9 deaths death NNS cord-330956-692irru4 31 10 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 31 11 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 31 12 causes cause NNS cord-330956-692irru4 31 13 unrelated unrelated JJ cord-330956-692irru4 31 14 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 31 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 31 16 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 31 17 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 31 18 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 32 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 32 2 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 32 3 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 32 4 broken break VBN cord-330956-692irru4 32 5 into into IN cord-330956-692irru4 32 6 three three CD cord-330956-692irru4 32 7 non non JJ cord-330956-692irru4 32 8 - - JJ cord-330956-692irru4 32 9 overlapping overlapping JJ cord-330956-692irru4 32 10 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 32 11 corresponding correspond VBG cord-330956-692irru4 32 12 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 32 13 stages stage NNS cord-330956-692irru4 32 14 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 32 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 32 16 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 32 17 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 32 18 • • XX cord-330956-692irru4 33 1 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 33 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 33 3 S s NN cord-330956-692irru4 33 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 33 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 34 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 34 2 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 34 3 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 34 4 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 34 5 acquire acquire VB cord-330956-692irru4 34 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 34 7 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 34 8 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 35 1 • • NNP cord-330956-692irru4 36 1 Infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 36 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 36 3 I i NN cord-330956-692irru4 36 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 36 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 37 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 37 2 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 37 3 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 37 4 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 37 5 acquired acquire VBN cord-330956-692irru4 37 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 37 7 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 37 8 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 37 9 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 37 10 infect infect VB cord-330956-692irru4 37 11 others other NNS cord-330956-692irru4 37 12 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 38 1 • • NNP cord-330956-692irru4 39 1 Recovered recover VBN cord-330956-692irru4 39 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 39 3 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 39 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 39 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 40 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 40 2 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 40 3 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 40 4 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 40 5 recovered recover VBN cord-330956-692irru4 40 6 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 40 7 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 40 8 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 40 9 presumed presume VBN cord-330956-692irru4 40 10 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 40 11 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 40 12 no no RB cord-330956-692irru4 40 13 longer long RBR cord-330956-692irru4 40 14 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 40 15 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 40 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 40 17 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 40 18 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 40 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 41 1 A a DT cord-330956-692irru4 41 2 brief brief JJ cord-330956-692irru4 41 3 description description NN cord-330956-692irru4 41 4 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 41 5 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 41 6 compartments compartment NNS cord-330956-692irru4 41 7 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 41 8 given give VBN cord-330956-692irru4 41 9 below below RB cord-330956-692irru4 41 10 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 42 1 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 42 2 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 42 3 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 42 4 those those DT cord-330956-692irru4 42 5 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 42 6 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 42 7 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 42 8 immunity immunity NN cord-330956-692irru4 42 9 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 42 10 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 42 11 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 42 12 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 42 13 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 42 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 43 1 An an DT cord-330956-692irru4 43 2 individual individual NN cord-330956-692irru4 43 3 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 43 4 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 43 5 S S NNP cord-330956-692irru4 43 6 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 43 7 move move VB cord-330956-692irru4 43 8 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 43 9 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 43 10 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 43 11 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 43 12 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 43 13 produced produce VBN cord-330956-692irru4 43 14 through through IN cord-330956-692irru4 43 15 contact contact NN cord-330956-692irru4 43 16 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 43 17 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 43 18 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 43 19 individual individual NN cord-330956-692irru4 43 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 44 1 Group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 44 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 44 3 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 44 4 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 44 5 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 44 6 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 44 7 spread spread VB cord-330956-692irru4 44 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 44 9 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 44 10 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 44 11 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 44 12 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 44 13 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 45 1 Finally finally RB cord-330956-692irru4 45 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 45 3 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 45 4 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 45 5 individual individual NN cord-330956-692irru4 45 6 recovered recover VBN cord-330956-692irru4 45 7 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 45 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 45 9 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 45 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 45 11 moved move VBN cord-330956-692irru4 45 12 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 45 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 45 14 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 45 15 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 45 16 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 45 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 45 18 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 46 1 R. R. NNP cord-330956-692irru4 46 2 Some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 46 3 references reference NNS cord-330956-692irru4 46 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 46 5 see see VB cord-330956-692irru4 46 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 46 7 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 46 8 example example NN cord-330956-692irru4 46 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 46 10 LZG LZG NNP cord-330956-692irru4 46 11 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 46 12 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 46 13 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 46 14 SSB20 SSB20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 46 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 46 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 46 17 considers consider VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 46 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 46 19 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 46 20 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 46 21 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 46 22 removed remove VBN cord-330956-692irru4 46 23 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 46 24 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 46 25 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 46 26 closed closed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 46 27 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 46 28 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 46 29 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 46 30 includes include VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 46 31 those those DT cord-330956-692irru4 46 32 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 46 33 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 46 34 no no RB cord-330956-692irru4 46 35 longer long RBR cord-330956-692irru4 46 36 infectious infectious JJ cord-330956-692irru4 46 37 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 46 38 recovery recovery NN cord-330956-692irru4 46 39 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 46 40 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 46 41 ones one NNS cord-330956-692irru4 46 42 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 46 43 died die VBD cord-330956-692irru4 46 44 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 46 45 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 46 46 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 46 47 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 47 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 47 2 summation summation NN cord-330956-692irru4 47 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 47 4 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 47 5 three three CD cord-330956-692irru4 47 6 compartments compartment NNS cord-330956-692irru4 47 7 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 47 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 47 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 47 10 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 47 11 remains remain VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 47 12 constant constant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 47 13 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 47 14 equals equal VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 47 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 47 16 initial initial JJ cord-330956-692irru4 47 17 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 47 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 47 19 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 47 20 N n NN cord-330956-692irru4 47 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 48 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 48 2 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 48 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 48 4 describe describe VB cord-330956-692irru4 48 5 better well JJR cord-330956-692irru4 48 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 48 7 spread spread NN cord-330956-692irru4 48 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 48 9 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-330956-692irru4 48 10 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 48 11 many many JJ cord-330956-692irru4 48 12 works work NNS cord-330956-692irru4 48 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 48 14 see see VB cord-330956-692irru4 48 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 48 16 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 48 17 example example NN cord-330956-692irru4 48 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 48 19 Kan20 Kan20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 48 20 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 48 21 GV20 GV20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 48 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 48 23 SHD20 SHD20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 48 24 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 48 25 Nes20 Nes20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 48 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 48 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 48 28 adopted adopt VBD cord-330956-692irru4 48 29 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 48 30 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 48 31 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 48 32 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 49 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 49 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 49 3 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 49 4 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 49 5 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 49 6 fourth fourth JJ cord-330956-692irru4 49 7 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 49 8 denoted denote VBN cord-330956-692irru4 49 9 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 49 10 Exposed Exposed NNP cord-330956-692irru4 49 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 49 12 E e NN cord-330956-692irru4 49 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 49 14 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 49 15 added add VBN cord-330956-692irru4 49 16 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 49 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 49 18 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 49 19 S S NNP cord-330956-692irru4 49 20 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 49 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 49 22 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 49 23 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 49 24 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 50 1 • • NNP cord-330956-692irru4 50 2 Exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 50 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 50 4 E e NN cord-330956-692irru4 50 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 50 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 51 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 51 2 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 51 3 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 51 4 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 51 5 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 51 6 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 51 7 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 51 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 51 9 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 51 10 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 51 11 but but CC cord-330956-692irru4 51 12 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 51 13 yet yet RB cord-330956-692irru4 51 14 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 51 15 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 51 16 infective infective JJ cord-330956-692irru4 51 17 stage stage NN cord-330956-692irru4 51 18 capable capable JJ cord-330956-692irru4 51 19 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 51 20 transmitting transmit VBG cord-330956-692irru4 51 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 51 22 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 51 23 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 51 24 others other NNS cord-330956-692irru4 51 25 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 52 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 52 2 compartment compartment NN cord-330956-692irru4 52 3 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 52 4 dedicated dedicated JJ cord-330956-692irru4 52 5 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 52 6 those those DT cord-330956-692irru4 52 7 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 52 8 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 52 9 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 52 10 infectious infectious JJ cord-330956-692irru4 52 11 but but CC cord-330956-692irru4 52 12 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 52 13 do do VBP cord-330956-692irru4 52 14 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 52 15 infect infect VB cord-330956-692irru4 52 16 others other NNS cord-330956-692irru4 52 17 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 52 18 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 52 19 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 52 20 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 52 21 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 52 22 namely namely RB cord-330956-692irru4 52 23 incubation incubation NN cord-330956-692irru4 52 24 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 52 25 latent latent JJ cord-330956-692irru4 52 26 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 52 27 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 53 1 Other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 53 2 works work NNS cord-330956-692irru4 53 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 53 4 see see VB cord-330956-692irru4 53 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 53 6 Abd20 Abd20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 53 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 53 8 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 53 9 example example NN cord-330956-692irru4 53 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 53 11 consider consider VB cord-330956-692irru4 53 12 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 53 13 additional additional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 53 14 compartment compartment NN cord-330956-692irru4 53 15 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 53 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 53 17 end end NN cord-330956-692irru4 53 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 53 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 53 20 SIR SIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 53 21 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 53 22 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 53 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 53 24 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 53 25 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 53 26 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 53 27 distinguish distinguish VB cord-330956-692irru4 53 28 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 53 29 recovered recover VBN cord-330956-692irru4 53 30 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 53 31 death death NN cord-330956-692irru4 53 32 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 53 33 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 54 1 • • NNP cord-330956-692irru4 55 1 Dead dead JJ cord-330956-692irru4 55 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 55 3 D D NNP cord-330956-692irru4 55 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 55 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 56 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 56 2 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 56 3 dead dead JJ cord-330956-692irru4 56 4 due due IN cord-330956-692irru4 56 5 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 56 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 56 7 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 56 8 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 57 1 1 1 LS cord-330956-692irru4 58 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 58 2 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-330956-692irru4 58 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 58 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 58 5 daily daily JJ cord-330956-692irru4 58 6 death death NN cord-330956-692irru4 58 7 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 58 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 58 9 2.055 2.055 CD cord-330956-692irru4 58 10 10 10 CD cord-330956-692irru4 58 11 −5 −5 NNS cord-330956-692irru4 58 12 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 59 1 2 2 LS cord-330956-692irru4 60 1 At at IN cord-330956-692irru4 60 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 60 3 moment moment NN cord-330956-692irru4 60 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 60 5 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 60 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 60 7 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 60 8 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 60 9 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 60 10 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 60 11 open open JJ cord-330956-692irru4 60 12 question question NN cord-330956-692irru4 60 13 if if IN cord-330956-692irru4 60 14 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 60 15 recovered recover VBN cord-330956-692irru4 60 16 person person NN cord-330956-692irru4 60 17 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 60 18 get get VB cord-330956-692irru4 60 19 re re VBN cord-330956-692irru4 60 20 - - VBN cord-330956-692irru4 60 21 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 60 22 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 61 1 Even even RB cord-330956-692irru4 61 2 though though IN cord-330956-692irru4 61 3 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 61 4 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 61 5 were be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 61 6 recently recently RB cord-330956-692irru4 61 7 reported report VBN cord-330956-692irru4 61 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 61 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 61 10 reinfection reinfection NN cord-330956-692irru4 61 11 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 61 12 value value NN cord-330956-692irru4 61 13 appears appear VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 61 14 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 61 15 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 61 16 statistically statistically RB cord-330956-692irru4 61 17 negligible negligible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 61 18 based base VBN cord-330956-692irru4 61 19 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 61 20 early early JJ cord-330956-692irru4 61 21 evidence evidence NN cord-330956-692irru4 61 22 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 62 1 Thus thus RB cord-330956-692irru4 62 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 62 3 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 62 4 models model NNS cord-330956-692irru4 62 5 become become VBP cord-330956-692irru4 62 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 62 7 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-330956-692irru4 62 8 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 62 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 62 10 SEIRD SEIRD NNP cord-330956-692irru4 62 11 models model NNS cord-330956-692irru4 62 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 62 13 respectively respectively RB cord-330956-692irru4 62 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 63 1 Other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 63 2 works work NNS cord-330956-692irru4 63 3 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 63 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 63 5 TBT tbt NN cord-330956-692irru4 63 6 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 63 7 20,LZG 20,lzg CD cord-330956-692irru4 63 8 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 63 9 20,SSB20 20,ssb20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 63 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 63 11 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 63 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 63 13 existence existence NN cord-330956-692irru4 63 14 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 63 15 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 63 16 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 63 17 seeking seek VBG cord-330956-692irru4 63 18 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 63 19 match match VB cord-330956-692irru4 63 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 63 21 models model NNS cord-330956-692irru4 63 22 proposed propose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 63 23 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 63 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 63 25 numbers number NNS cord-330956-692irru4 63 26 obtained obtain VBN cord-330956-692irru4 63 27 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 63 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 63 29 actual actual JJ cord-330956-692irru4 63 30 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 63 31 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 63 32 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 64 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 64 2 work work NN cord-330956-692irru4 64 3 presented present VBN cord-330956-692irru4 64 4 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 64 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 64 6 GBB GBB NNP cord-330956-692irru4 64 7 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 64 8 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 64 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 64 10 deserves deserve VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 64 11 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 64 12 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 64 13 mentioned mention VBN cord-330956-692irru4 64 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 65 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 65 2 work work NN cord-330956-692irru4 65 3 studies study VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 65 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 65 5 evolution evolution NN cord-330956-692irru4 65 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 65 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 65 8 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 65 9 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 65 10 Italy Italy NNP cord-330956-692irru4 65 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 65 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 65 13 proposes propose VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 65 14 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 65 15 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 65 16 denoted denote VBN cord-330956-692irru4 65 17 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 65 18 SIDARTHE SIDARTHE NNP cord-330956-692irru4 65 19 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 65 20 where where WRB cord-330956-692irru4 65 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 65 22 letters letter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 65 23 correspond correspond VBP cord-330956-692irru4 65 24 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 65 25 eight eight CD cord-330956-692irru4 65 26 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 65 27 denoted denote VBN cord-330956-692irru4 65 28 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 65 29 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 65 30 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 65 31 Infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 65 32 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 65 33 Diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 65 34 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 65 35 Ailing Ailing NNP cord-330956-692irru4 65 36 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 65 37 Recognized recognize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 65 38 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 65 39 Threatened threaten VBN cord-330956-692irru4 65 40 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 65 41 Healed Healed NNP cord-330956-692irru4 65 42 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 65 43 Extinct Extinct NNP cord-330956-692irru4 65 44 respectively respectively RB cord-330956-692irru4 65 45 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 66 1 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 66 2 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 66 3 them -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 66 4 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 66 5 subgroups subgroup NNS cord-330956-692irru4 66 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 66 7 those those DT cord-330956-692irru4 66 8 presented present VBN cord-330956-692irru4 66 9 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 66 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 66 11 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 66 12 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 66 13 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 67 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 67 2 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 3 discriminates discriminate VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 67 4 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 67 5 detected detected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 67 6 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 67 7 undetected undetected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 67 8 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 67 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 67 10 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 67 12 either either CC cord-330956-692irru4 67 13 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 67 14 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 67 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 67 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 67 17 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 67 18 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 67 19 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 67 20 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 67 21 severity severity NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 22 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 67 23 illness illness NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 24 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 67 25 having have VBG cord-330956-692irru4 67 26 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 67 27 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 28 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 67 29 moderate moderate JJ cord-330956-692irru4 67 30 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 67 31 mild mild JJ cord-330956-692irru4 67 32 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 67 33 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 67 34 another another DT cord-330956-692irru4 67 35 one one NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 36 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 67 37 critical critical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 67 38 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 67 39 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 67 40 require require VBP cord-330956-692irru4 67 41 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 42 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 67 43 intensity intensity NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 44 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 67 45 units unit NNS cord-330956-692irru4 67 46 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 68 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 68 2 authors author NNS cord-330956-692irru4 68 3 affirm affirm VBP cord-330956-692irru4 68 4 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 68 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 68 6 distinction distinction NN cord-330956-692irru4 68 7 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 68 8 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 68 9 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 68 10 nondiagnosed nondiagnosed NNP cord-330956-692irru4 68 11 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 68 12 important important JJ cord-330956-692irru4 68 13 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 68 14 nondiagnosed nondiagnosed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 68 15 individuals individual NNS cord-330956-692irru4 68 16 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 68 17 more more RBR cord-330956-692irru4 68 18 likely likely JJ cord-330956-692irru4 68 19 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 68 20 spread spread VB cord-330956-692irru4 68 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 68 22 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 68 23 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 68 24 diagnosed diagnosed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 68 25 ones one NNS cord-330956-692irru4 68 26 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 68 27 since since IN cord-330956-692irru4 68 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 68 29 later later NNS cord-330956-692irru4 68 30 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 68 31 typically typically RB cord-330956-692irru4 68 32 isolated isolate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 68 33 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 68 34 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 68 35 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 68 36 explain explain VB cord-330956-692irru4 68 37 misperceptions misperception NNS cord-330956-692irru4 68 38 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 68 39 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 68 40 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 68 41 fatality fatality NN cord-330956-692irru4 68 42 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 68 43 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 68 44 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 68 45 seriousness seriousness NN cord-330956-692irru4 68 46 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 68 47 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 68 48 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 68 49 phenomena phenomena NN cord-330956-692irru4 68 50 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 69 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 69 2 fact fact NN cord-330956-692irru4 69 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 4 considering consider VBG cord-330956-692irru4 69 5 more more JJR cord-330956-692irru4 69 6 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 69 7 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 69 9 SIDARTHE SIDARTHE NNP cord-330956-692irru4 69 10 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 69 11 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 12 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 69 14 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 69 15 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 69 16 allows allow VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 69 17 better well JJR cord-330956-692irru4 69 18 discrimination discrimination NN cord-330956-692irru4 69 19 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 69 21 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 69 22 agents agent NNS cord-330956-692irru4 69 23 involved involve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 69 24 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 25 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 69 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 69 27 evolution evolution NN cord-330956-692irru4 69 28 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 69 29 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 69 30 well well RB cord-330956-692irru4 69 31 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 32 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 69 33 better well JJR cord-330956-692irru4 69 34 differentiation differentiation NN cord-330956-692irru4 69 35 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 36 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 69 37 role role NN cord-330956-692irru4 69 38 played play VBN cord-330956-692irru4 69 39 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 69 40 each each DT cord-330956-692irru4 69 41 one one CD cord-330956-692irru4 69 42 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 70 1 However however RB cord-330956-692irru4 70 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 70 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 70 4 fact fact NN cord-330956-692irru4 70 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 70 6 considering consider VBG cord-330956-692irru4 70 7 more more JJR cord-330956-692irru4 70 8 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 70 9 implies imply VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 70 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 70 11 knowledge knowledge NN cord-330956-692irru4 70 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 70 13 more more JJR cord-330956-692irru4 70 14 rates rate NNS cord-330956-692irru4 70 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 70 16 probabilities probability NNS cord-330956-692irru4 70 17 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 70 18 constants constant NNS cord-330956-692irru4 70 19 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 70 20 determine determine VBP cord-330956-692irru4 70 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 70 22 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-330956-692irru4 70 23 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 70 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 70 25 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 70 26 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 71 1 Many many JJ cord-330956-692irru4 71 2 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 71 3 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 71 4 values value NNS cord-330956-692irru4 71 5 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 71 6 difficult difficult JJ cord-330956-692irru4 71 7 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 71 8 know know VB cord-330956-692irru4 71 9 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 71 10 practice practice NN cord-330956-692irru4 71 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 71 12 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 71 13 well well RB cord-330956-692irru4 71 14 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 71 15 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 71 16 estimate estimate VB cord-330956-692irru4 71 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 71 18 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 71 19 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 71 20 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 71 21 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 71 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 71 23 such such JJ cord-330956-692irru4 71 24 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 71 25 Ailing ail VBG cord-330956-692irru4 71 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 71 27 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 71 28 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 71 29 undetected undetected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 71 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 71 31 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 72 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 72 2 authors author NNS cord-330956-692irru4 72 3 choose choose VBP cord-330956-692irru4 72 4 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 72 5 constants constant NNS cord-330956-692irru4 72 6 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 72 7 quantities quantity NNS cord-330956-692irru4 72 8 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 72 9 match match VB cord-330956-692irru4 72 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 72 11 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 72 12 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 72 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 72 14 actual actual JJ cord-330956-692irru4 72 15 data datum NNS cord-330956-692irru4 72 16 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 73 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 73 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 73 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 73 4 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 73 5 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 73 6 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 73 7 achieve achieve VB cord-330956-692irru4 73 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 73 9 goal goal NN cord-330956-692irru4 73 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 73 11 better well RBR cord-330956-692irru4 73 12 determining determine VBG cord-330956-692irru4 73 13 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 73 14 policies policy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 73 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 73 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 73 17 believe believe VBP cord-330956-692irru4 73 18 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 73 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 73 20 existence existence NN cord-330956-692irru4 73 21 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 73 22 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 73 23 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 73 24 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 73 25 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 73 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 73 27 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 73 28 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 73 29 used use VBN cord-330956-692irru4 73 30 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 73 31 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 73 32 necessary necessary JJ cord-330956-692irru4 73 33 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 74 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 74 2 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 74 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 74 4 better well RBR cord-330956-692irru4 74 5 guide guide VB cord-330956-692irru4 74 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 74 7 determination determination NN cord-330956-692irru4 74 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 74 9 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 74 10 policies policy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 74 11 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 74 12 mitigate mitigate VB cord-330956-692irru4 74 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 74 14 spread spread NN cord-330956-692irru4 74 15 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 74 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 74 17 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 74 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 74 19 propose propose VBP cord-330956-692irru4 74 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 74 21 use use NN cord-330956-692irru4 74 22 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 74 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 74 24 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 74 25 theory theory NN cord-330956-692irru4 74 26 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 75 1 Control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 75 2 theory theory NN cord-330956-692irru4 75 3 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 75 4 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 75 5 successfully successfully RB cord-330956-692irru4 75 6 implemented implement VBN cord-330956-692irru4 75 7 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 75 8 several several JJ cord-330956-692irru4 75 9 areas area NNS cord-330956-692irru4 75 10 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 75 11 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 75 12 physical physical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 75 13 systems system NNS cord-330956-692irru4 75 14 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 75 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 75 16 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 75 17 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 75 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 75 19 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 75 20 initially initially RB cord-330956-692irru4 75 21 designed design VBN cord-330956-692irru4 75 22 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 76 1 For for IN cord-330956-692irru4 76 2 example example NN cord-330956-692irru4 76 3 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 76 4 economics economic NNS cord-330956-692irru4 76 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 76 6 ecological ecological JJ cord-330956-692irru4 76 7 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 76 8 biological biological JJ cord-330956-692irru4 76 9 systems system NNS cord-330956-692irru4 76 10 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 76 11 many many JJ cord-330956-692irru4 76 12 works work NNS cord-330956-692irru4 76 13 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-330956-692irru4 76 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 76 15 success success NN cord-330956-692irru4 76 16 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 76 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 76 18 implementation implementation NN cord-330956-692irru4 76 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 77 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 77 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 77 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 77 4 regardless regardless RB cord-330956-692irru4 77 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 77 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 77 7 area area NN cord-330956-692irru4 77 8 focused focus VBN cord-330956-692irru4 77 9 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 77 10 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 77 11 good good JJ cord-330956-692irru4 77 12 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 77 13 strategy strategy NN cord-330956-692irru4 77 14 depends depend VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 77 15 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 77 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 77 17 adequate adequate JJ cord-330956-692irru4 77 18 modeling modeling NN cord-330956-692irru4 77 19 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 77 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 77 21 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 77 22 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 77 23 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 77 24 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 77 25 controlled control VBN cord-330956-692irru4 77 26 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 78 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 78 2 proposal proposal NN cord-330956-692irru4 78 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 78 4 use use VB cord-330956-692irru4 78 5 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 78 6 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 78 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 78 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 78 9 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 78 10 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 78 11 new new JJ cord-330956-692irru4 78 12 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 79 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 79 2 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 79 3 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 79 4 first first RB cord-330956-692irru4 79 5 presented present VBN cord-330956-692irru4 79 6 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 79 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 79 8 SHD20 shd20 NN cord-330956-692irru4 79 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 79 10 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 80 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 80 2 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 80 3 work work NN cord-330956-692irru4 80 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 80 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 80 6 authors author NNS cord-330956-692irru4 80 7 use use VBP cord-330956-692irru4 80 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 80 9 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 80 10 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 80 11 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 80 12 show show VB cord-330956-692irru4 80 13 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 80 14 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 80 15 simple simple JJ cord-330956-692irru4 80 16 feedback feedback NN cord-330956-692irru4 80 17 law law NN cord-330956-692irru4 80 18 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 80 19 manage manage VB cord-330956-692irru4 80 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 80 21 response response NN cord-330956-692irru4 80 22 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 80 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 80 24 pandemic pandemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 80 25 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 80 26 4 4 CD cord-330956-692irru4 80 27 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 80 28 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 80 29 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 80 30 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 81 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 81 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 81 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 81 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 81 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 81 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 82 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 82 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 82 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 82 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 82 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 82 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 82 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 82 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 82 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 82 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 82 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 82 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 82 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 82 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 82 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 82 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 82 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 82 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 82 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 82 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 82 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 82 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 82 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 82 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 82 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 82 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 82 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 82 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 83 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 83 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 83 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 83 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 83 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 83 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 83 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 83 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 83 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 83 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 83 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 83 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 83 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 83 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 83 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 84 1 maximum maximum JJ cord-330956-692irru4 84 2 survival survival NN cord-330956-692irru4 84 3 while while IN cord-330956-692irru4 84 4 containing contain VBG cord-330956-692irru4 84 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 84 6 damage damage NN cord-330956-692irru4 84 7 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 84 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 84 9 economy economy NN cord-330956-692irru4 84 10 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 85 1 However however RB cord-330956-692irru4 85 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 85 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 85 4 authors author NNS cord-330956-692irru4 85 5 illustrate illustrate VBP cord-330956-692irru4 85 6 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 85 7 several several JJ cord-330956-692irru4 85 8 examples example NNS cord-330956-692irru4 85 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 85 10 benefits benefit NNS cord-330956-692irru4 85 11 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 85 12 using use VBG cord-330956-692irru4 85 13 feedback feedback NN cord-330956-692irru4 85 14 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 85 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 85 16 but but CC cord-330956-692irru4 85 17 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 85 18 do do VBP cord-330956-692irru4 85 19 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 85 20 present present VB cord-330956-692irru4 85 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 85 22 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 85 23 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 85 24 laws law NNS cord-330956-692irru4 85 25 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 85 26 well well RB cord-330956-692irru4 85 27 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 85 28 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 85 29 do do VBP cord-330956-692irru4 85 30 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 85 31 prove prove VB cord-330956-692irru4 85 32 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 85 33 convergence convergence NN cord-330956-692irru4 85 34 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 85 35 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 85 36 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-330956-692irru4 85 37 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 85 38 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 85 39 closed closed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 85 40 loop loop NN cord-330956-692irru4 85 41 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 85 42 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 86 1 Examples example NNS cord-330956-692irru4 86 2 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 86 3 implemented implement VBN cord-330956-692irru4 86 4 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 86 5 mean mean NN cord-330956-692irru4 86 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 86 7 several several JJ cord-330956-692irru4 86 8 computational computational JJ cord-330956-692irru4 86 9 experiments experiment NNS cord-330956-692irru4 86 10 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 86 11 illustrate illustrate VBP cord-330956-692irru4 86 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 86 13 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 86 14 strategies strategy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 86 15 proposed propose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 86 16 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 87 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 87 2 propose propose VBP cord-330956-692irru4 87 3 here here RB cord-330956-692irru4 87 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 87 5 use use NN cord-330956-692irru4 87 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 87 7 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 87 8 simple simple JJ cord-330956-692irru4 87 9 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 87 10 controller controller NN cord-330956-692irru4 87 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 87 12 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 87 13 standard standard JJ cord-330956-692irru4 87 14 tool tool NN cord-330956-692irru4 87 15 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 87 16 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 87 17 theory theory NN cord-330956-692irru4 87 18 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 87 19 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 87 20 calculate calculate VB cord-330956-692irru4 87 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 87 22 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 87 23 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 87 24 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 88 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 88 2 variable variable NN cord-330956-692irru4 88 3 guides guide VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 88 4 how how WRB cord-330956-692irru4 88 5 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 88 6 determine determine VB cord-330956-692irru4 88 7 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 88 8 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 88 9 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 88 10 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 88 11 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 88 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 88 13 collapse collapse NN cord-330956-692irru4 88 14 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 88 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 88 16 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 88 17 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 88 18 while while IN cord-330956-692irru4 88 19 reducing reduce VBG cord-330956-692irru4 88 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 88 21 damage damage NN cord-330956-692irru4 88 22 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 88 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 88 24 society society NN cord-330956-692irru4 88 25 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 88 26 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 88 27 economy economy NN cord-330956-692irru4 88 28 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 88 29 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 88 30 inevitably inevitably RB cord-330956-692irru4 88 31 produce produce VBP cord-330956-692irru4 88 32 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 89 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 89 2 section section NN cord-330956-692irru4 89 3 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 89 4 addressed address VBN cord-330956-692irru4 89 5 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 89 6 model model VB cord-330956-692irru4 89 7 adequately adequately RB cord-330956-692irru4 89 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 89 9 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 89 10 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 90 1 A a DT cord-330956-692irru4 90 2 suitable suitable JJ cord-330956-692irru4 90 3 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 90 4 should should MD cord-330956-692irru4 90 5 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 90 6 making make VBG cord-330956-692irru4 90 7 unnecessary unnecessary JJ cord-330956-692irru4 90 8 classifications classification NNS cord-330956-692irru4 90 9 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 90 10 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 90 11 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 90 12 obtain obtain VB cord-330956-692irru4 90 13 key key JJ cord-330956-692irru4 90 14 data datum NNS cord-330956-692irru4 90 15 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 90 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 90 17 behavior behavior NN cord-330956-692irru4 90 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 90 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 90 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 90 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 91 1 These these DT cord-330956-692irru4 91 2 data datum NNS cord-330956-692irru4 91 3 include include VBP cord-330956-692irru4 91 4 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 91 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 91 6 deaths death NNS cord-330956-692irru4 91 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 91 8 maximum maximum JJ cord-330956-692irru4 91 9 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 91 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 91 11 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 91 12 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 91 13 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 91 14 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 91 15 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 91 16 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 91 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 91 18 maximum maximum JJ cord-330956-692irru4 91 19 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 91 20 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 91 21 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 91 22 occur occur VB cord-330956-692irru4 91 23 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 91 24 among among IN cord-330956-692irru4 91 25 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 91 26 information information NN cord-330956-692irru4 91 27 useful useful JJ cord-330956-692irru4 91 28 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 91 29 prevent prevent VB cord-330956-692irru4 91 30 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 91 31 reduce reduce VB cord-330956-692irru4 91 32 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 91 33 damage damage NN cord-330956-692irru4 91 34 produced produce VBN cord-330956-692irru4 91 35 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 91 36 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 91 37 outbreak outbreak NN cord-330956-692irru4 91 38 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 92 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 92 2 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 92 3 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 92 4 assumes assume VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 92 5 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 92 6 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 92 7 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 92 8 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 92 9 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 92 10 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 92 11 but but CC cord-330956-692irru4 92 12 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 92 13 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 92 14 able able JJ cord-330956-692irru4 92 15 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 92 16 transmit transmit VB cord-330956-692irru4 92 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 92 18 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 92 19 before before IN cord-330956-692irru4 92 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 92 21 latency latency NN cord-330956-692irru4 92 22 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 92 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 93 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 93 2 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 93 3 consider consider VB cord-330956-692irru4 93 4 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 93 5 those those DT cord-330956-692irru4 93 6 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 93 7 continue continue VBP cord-330956-692irru4 93 8 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 93 9 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 93 10 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 93 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 93 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 93 13 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 93 14 S S NNP cord-330956-692irru4 93 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 93 16 whereas whereas IN cord-330956-692irru4 93 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 93 18 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 93 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 93 20 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 93 21 E e NN cord-330956-692irru4 93 22 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 93 23 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 93 24 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 93 25 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 93 26 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 93 27 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 93 28 but but CC cord-330956-692irru4 93 29 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 93 30 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 93 31 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 93 32 yet yet RB cord-330956-692irru4 93 33 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 93 34 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 93 35 capable capable JJ cord-330956-692irru4 93 36 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 93 37 transmitting transmit VBG cord-330956-692irru4 93 38 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 93 39 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 93 40 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 94 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 94 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 94 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 94 4 part part NN cord-330956-692irru4 94 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 94 6 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 94 7 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 94 8 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 94 9 present present VB cord-330956-692irru4 94 10 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 94 11 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 94 12 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 94 13 incubation incubation NN cord-330956-692irru4 94 14 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 94 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 94 16 moving move VBG cord-330956-692irru4 94 17 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 94 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 94 19 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 94 20 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 94 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 94 22 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 94 23 another another DT cord-330956-692irru4 94 24 part part NN cord-330956-692irru4 94 25 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 94 26 remain remain VB cord-330956-692irru4 94 27 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 94 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 95 1 Asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 95 2 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 95 3 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 95 4 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 95 5 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 95 6 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 95 7 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 95 8 positive positive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 95 9 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 95 10 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 95 11 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 95 12 considered consider VBN cord-330956-692irru4 95 13 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 95 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 95 15 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 95 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 95 17 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 95 18 so so RB cord-330956-692irru4 95 19 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 95 20 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 95 21 includes include VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 95 22 all all DT cord-330956-692irru4 95 23 known know VBN cord-330956-692irru4 95 24 positive positive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 95 25 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 95 26 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 95 27 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 95 28 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 95 29 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 95 30 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 96 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 96 2 addition addition NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 96 4 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 96 5 critical critical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 96 6 issue issue NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 7 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 96 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 96 9 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 96 11 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 96 12 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 96 13 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 96 14 need need VBP cord-330956-692irru4 96 15 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 96 17 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 96 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 96 19 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 96 20 policies policy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 96 21 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 96 22 try try VB cord-330956-692irru4 96 23 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 96 24 keep keep VB cord-330956-692irru4 96 25 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 96 26 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 27 lower low JJR cord-330956-692irru4 96 28 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 96 29 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 96 30 capacity capacity NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 31 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 96 32 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 96 33 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 34 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 35 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 36 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 96 37 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 38 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 96 39 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 96 40 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 96 41 collapse collapse NN cord-330956-692irru4 96 42 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 97 1 Thus thus RB cord-330956-692irru4 97 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 97 3 define define VBP cord-330956-692irru4 97 4 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 97 5 extra extra JJ cord-330956-692irru4 97 6 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 97 7 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 98 1 • • NNP cord-330956-692irru4 98 2 Hospitalized Hospitalized NNP cord-330956-692irru4 98 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 98 4 H H NNP cord-330956-692irru4 98 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 98 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 99 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 99 2 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 99 3 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 99 4 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 99 5 need need VBP cord-330956-692irru4 99 6 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 99 7 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 100 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 100 3 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 4 H h NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 100 6 do do VBP cord-330956-692irru4 100 7 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 100 8 differentiate differentiate VB cord-330956-692irru4 100 9 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 10 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 100 11 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 100 12 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 13 mild mild JJ cord-330956-692irru4 100 14 condition condition NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 15 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 100 16 those those DT cord-330956-692irru4 100 17 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 18 intensive intensive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 100 19 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 20 units unit NNS cord-330956-692irru4 100 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 100 22 ICUs ICUs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 100 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 100 24 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 100 25 despite despite IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 26 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 100 27 fact fact NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 28 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 29 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 100 30 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 31 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 32 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 100 33 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 34 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 100 35 last last JJ cord-330956-692irru4 100 36 subgroup subgroup NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 37 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 100 38 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 100 39 critical critical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 100 40 problem problem NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 41 due due IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 42 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 43 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 100 44 even even RB cord-330956-692irru4 100 45 more more RBR cord-330956-692irru4 100 46 limited limited JJ cord-330956-692irru4 100 47 capacity capacity NN cord-330956-692irru4 100 48 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 100 49 ICUs ICUs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 100 50 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 101 1 Figure figure NN cord-330956-692irru4 101 2 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 101 3 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 101 4 Rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 101 5 processes process NNS cord-330956-692irru4 101 6 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 101 7 describes describe VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 101 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 101 9 progress progress NN cord-330956-692irru4 101 10 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 101 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 101 12 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 101 13 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 101 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 101 15 SEIHRD SEIHRD NNP cord-330956-692irru4 101 16 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 101 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 102 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 102 2 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 102 3 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 102 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 102 5 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 102 6 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 102 7 N n CD cord-330956-692irru4 102 8 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 102 9 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 102 10 constant constant NN cord-330956-692irru4 102 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 102 12 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 102 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 102 14 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 102 15 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 102 16 does do VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 102 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 103 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 103 2 progression progression NN cord-330956-692irru4 103 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 103 4 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 103 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 103 6 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 103 7 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 103 8 modeled model VBN cord-330956-692irru4 103 9 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 103 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 103 11 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 103 12 processes process NNS cord-330956-692irru4 103 13 described describe VBN cord-330956-692irru4 103 14 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 103 15 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 103 16 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 104 1 1 1 LS cord-330956-692irru4 104 2 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 105 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 105 2 proposed propose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 105 3 SEIHRD SEIHRD NNP cord-330956-692irru4 105 4 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 105 5 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 105 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 105 7 spread spread NN cord-330956-692irru4 105 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 105 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 105 10 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 105 11 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 105 12 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 105 13 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 105 14 uniform uniform JJ cord-330956-692irru4 105 15 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 105 16 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 105 17 given give VBN cord-330956-692irru4 105 18 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 105 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 105 20 following follow VBG cord-330956-692irru4 105 21 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 105 22 equations equation NNS cord-330956-692irru4 105 23 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 105 24 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 105 25 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 105 26 presented present VBN cord-330956-692irru4 105 27 normalized normalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 105 28 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 105 29 respect respect NN cord-330956-692irru4 105 30 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 105 31 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 105 32 total total JJ cord-330956-692irru4 105 33 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 105 34 N N NNP cord-330956-692irru4 105 35 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 106 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 106 2 groups group NNS cord-330956-692irru4 106 3 S S NNP cord-330956-692irru4 106 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 106 5 E E NNP cord-330956-692irru4 106 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 106 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 106 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 106 9 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 106 10 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 106 11 H H NNP cord-330956-692irru4 106 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 106 13 D D NNP cord-330956-692irru4 106 14 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 106 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 106 16 state state NN cord-330956-692irru4 106 17 variables variable NNS cord-330956-692irru4 106 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 106 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 106 20 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 106 21 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 106 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 106 23 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 106 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 106 25 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 107 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 107 2 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 107 3 always always RB cord-330956-692irru4 107 4 nonnegative nonnegative JJ cord-330956-692irru4 107 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 108 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 108 2 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 108 3 derivativesṘ derivativesṘ NNP cord-330956-692irru4 108 4 andḊ andḋ EX cord-330956-692irru4 108 5 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 108 6 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 108 7 nonnegative nonnegative JJ cord-330956-692irru4 108 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 108 9 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 108 10 recovered recover VBN cord-330956-692irru4 108 11 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 108 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 108 13 death death NN cord-330956-692irru4 108 14 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 108 15 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 108 16 decrease decrease VB cord-330956-692irru4 108 17 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 108 18 whereasṠ whereasṠ NNP cord-330956-692irru4 108 19 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 108 20 always always RB cord-330956-692irru4 108 21 nonpositive nonpositive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 108 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 108 23 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 108 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 108 25 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 108 26 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 108 27 recovered recover VBN cord-330956-692irru4 108 28 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 108 29 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 108 30 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 108 31 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 108 32 reinfected reinfecte VBN cord-330956-692irru4 108 33 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 109 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 109 2 fact fact NN cord-330956-692irru4 109 3 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 109 4 represented represent VBN cord-330956-692irru4 109 5 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 109 6 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 109 7 . . NNP cord-330956-692irru4 109 8 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 109 9 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 109 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 109 11 states state NNS cord-330956-692irru4 109 12 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 109 13 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 109 14 D d NN cord-330956-692irru4 109 15 only only RB cord-330956-692irru4 109 16 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 109 17 input input NN cord-330956-692irru4 109 18 arrows arrow NNS cord-330956-692irru4 109 19 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 109 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 109 21 state state NN cord-330956-692irru4 109 22 S S NNP cord-330956-692irru4 109 23 only only RB cord-330956-692irru4 109 24 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 109 25 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 109 26 output output NN cord-330956-692irru4 109 27 arrow arrow NN cord-330956-692irru4 109 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 110 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 110 2 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 110 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 110 4 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 110 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 110 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 110 7 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 110 8 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-330956-692irru4 110 9 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 110 10 normalized normalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 110 11 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 110 12 respect respect NN cord-330956-692irru4 110 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 110 14 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 110 15 N N NNP cord-330956-692irru4 110 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 110 17 considered consider VBN cord-330956-692irru4 110 18 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 110 19 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 110 20 constant constant NN cord-330956-692irru4 110 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 111 1 Hence hence RB cord-330956-692irru4 111 2 S s NN cord-330956-692irru4 111 3 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 111 4 E e NN cord-330956-692irru4 112 1 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 113 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 113 2 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 113 3 H h NN cord-330956-692irru4 113 4 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 113 5 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 113 6 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 113 7 D d NN cord-330956-692irru4 113 8 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 113 9 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 113 10 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 113 11 6 6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 114 1 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 114 2 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 114 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 114 4 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 115 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 115 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 115 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 115 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 115 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 115 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 116 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 116 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 116 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 116 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 116 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 116 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 116 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 116 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 116 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 116 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 116 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 116 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 116 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 116 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 116 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 116 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 116 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 116 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 116 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 116 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 116 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 116 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 116 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 116 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 116 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 116 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 116 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 116 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 117 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 117 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 117 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 117 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 117 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 117 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 117 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 117 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 117 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 117 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 117 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 117 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 117 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 117 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 117 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 118 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 118 2 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 118 3 processes process NNS cord-330956-692irru4 118 4 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 118 5 modeled model VBN cord-330956-692irru4 118 6 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 118 7 follows follow NNS cord-330956-692irru4 118 8 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 119 1 • • NNP cord-330956-692irru4 120 1 αSE αSE NNP cord-330956-692irru4 121 1 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 121 2 βSI βSI `` cord-330956-692irru4 121 3 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 121 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 121 5 transmission transmission NN cord-330956-692irru4 121 6 rates rate NNS cord-330956-692irru4 121 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 121 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 121 9 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 121 10 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 121 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 121 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 121 13 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 121 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 121 15 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 121 16 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 121 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 121 18 respectively respectively RB cord-330956-692irru4 121 19 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 121 20 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 121 21 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 121 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 121 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 122 1 α α NNP cord-330956-692irru4 122 2 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 122 3 β β NN cord-330956-692irru4 122 4 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 122 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 122 6 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 122 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 122 8 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 122 9 transmission transmission NN cord-330956-692irru4 122 10 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 122 11 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 122 12 single single JJ cord-330956-692irru4 122 13 contact contact NN cord-330956-692irru4 122 14 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 122 15 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 122 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 122 17 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 122 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 122 19 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 122 20 times time NNS cord-330956-692irru4 122 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 122 22 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 122 23 daily daily JJ cord-330956-692irru4 122 24 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 122 25 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 122 26 contacts contact NNS cord-330956-692irru4 122 27 per per IN cord-330956-692irru4 122 28 person person NN cord-330956-692irru4 122 29 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 122 30 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 122 31 units unit NNS cord-330956-692irru4 122 32 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 122 33 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 122 34 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 122 35 day day NN cord-330956-692irru4 122 36 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 123 1 Typically typically RB cord-330956-692irru4 123 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 123 3 α α NN cord-330956-692irru4 123 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 123 5 grater grater NN cord-330956-692irru4 123 6 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 123 7 β β NNP cord-330956-692irru4 123 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 123 9 assuming assume VBG cord-330956-692irru4 123 10 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 123 11 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 123 12 tend tend VBP cord-330956-692irru4 123 13 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 123 14 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 123 15 contact contact NN cord-330956-692irru4 123 16 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 123 17 subjects subject NNS cord-330956-692irru4 123 18 showing show VBG cord-330956-692irru4 123 19 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 123 20 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 123 21 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 123 22 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 123 23 positive positive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 123 24 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 124 1 Contacts contact NNS cord-330956-692irru4 124 2 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 124 3 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 124 4 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 124 5 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 124 6 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 124 7 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 124 8 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 124 9 neglected neglect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 124 10 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 124 11 excepting except VBG cord-330956-692irru4 124 12 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 124 13 healthcare healthcare NN cord-330956-692irru4 124 14 workers worker NNS cord-330956-692irru4 124 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 125 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 125 2 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 125 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 125 4 contagion contagion NN cord-330956-692irru4 125 5 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 125 6 dead dead JJ cord-330956-692irru4 125 7 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 125 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 125 9 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 125 10 neglected neglect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 125 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 125 12 despite despite IN cord-330956-692irru4 125 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 125 14 fact fact NN cord-330956-692irru4 125 15 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 125 16 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 125 17 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 125 18 were be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 125 19 recently recently RB cord-330956-692irru4 125 20 reported report VBN cord-330956-692irru4 125 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 126 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 126 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 126 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 126 4 recovered recover VBD cord-330956-692irru4 126 5 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 126 6 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 126 7 no no RB cord-330956-692irru4 126 8 longer longer RB cord-330956-692irru4 126 9 able able JJ cord-330956-692irru4 126 10 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 126 11 transmit transmit VB cord-330956-692irru4 126 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 126 13 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 126 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 127 1 • • NNP cord-330956-692irru4 128 1 u u NNP cord-330956-692irru4 128 2 ∈ ∈ VBP cord-330956-692irru4 128 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 128 4 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 128 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 128 6 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 128 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 128 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 128 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 128 10 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 128 11 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 128 12 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 128 13 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 128 14 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 128 15 interventions intervention NNS cord-330956-692irru4 128 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 128 17 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 128 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 128 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 129 1 u u NN cord-330956-692irru4 129 2 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 129 3 0 0 NFP cord-330956-692irru4 129 4 means mean VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 129 5 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 129 6 intervention intervention NN cord-330956-692irru4 129 7 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 129 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 129 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 129 10 grows grow VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 129 11 completely completely RB cord-330956-692irru4 129 12 free free JJ cord-330956-692irru4 129 13 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 129 14 whereas whereas IN cord-330956-692irru4 129 15 u u NNP cord-330956-692irru4 129 16 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 129 17 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 129 18 implies imply VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 129 19 total total JJ cord-330956-692irru4 129 20 elimination elimination NN cord-330956-692irru4 129 21 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 129 22 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 129 23 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 129 24 spread spread VBD cord-330956-692irru4 129 25 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 130 1 • • NNP cord-330956-692irru4 131 1 ν ν NNP cord-330956-692irru4 131 2 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 131 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 131 4 vaccination vaccination NN cord-330956-692irru4 131 5 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 131 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 131 7 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 131 8 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 131 9 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 131 10 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 131 11 became become VBD cord-330956-692irru4 131 12 unable unable JJ cord-330956-692irru4 131 13 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 131 14 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 131 15 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 131 16 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 132 1 Unfortunately unfortunately RB cord-330956-692irru4 132 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 132 3 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 132 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 132 5 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 132 6 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 132 7 ν ν NNP cord-330956-692irru4 132 8 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 132 9 0 0 NFP cord-330956-692irru4 132 10 yet yet RB cord-330956-692irru4 132 11 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 133 1 • • NN cord-330956-692irru4 133 2 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 133 3 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 133 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 133 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 133 6 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 133 7 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 133 8 exposed expose VBD cord-330956-692irru4 133 9 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 133 10 develop develop VBP cord-330956-692irru4 133 11 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 133 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 133 13 γ γ NNP cord-330956-692irru4 133 14 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 133 15 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 133 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 133 17 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 133 18 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 133 19 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 133 20 develop develop VB cord-330956-692irru4 133 21 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 133 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 133 23 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 134 1 ζ ζ LS cord-330956-692irru4 134 2 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 134 3 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 134 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 134 5 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 134 6 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 134 7 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 134 8 overcome overcome VB cord-330956-692irru4 134 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 134 10 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 134 11 staying stay VBG cord-330956-692irru4 134 12 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 134 13 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 135 1 • • NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 2 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 3 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 135 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 135 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 135 6 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 7 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 135 8 infected infect VBD cord-330956-692irru4 135 9 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 135 10 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 135 11 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 135 12 require require VBP cord-330956-692irru4 135 13 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 14 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 135 15 δ δ NNP cord-330956-692irru4 135 16 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 135 17 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 135 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 135 19 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 135 20 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 21 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 135 22 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 23 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 135 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 135 25 need need NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 26 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 135 27 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 28 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 135 29 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 135 30 η η NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 31 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 135 32 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 135 33 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 135 34 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 135 35 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 36 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 135 37 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 135 38 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 135 39 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 135 40 recover recover VBP cord-330956-692irru4 135 41 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 135 42 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 135 43 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 136 1 • • NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 2 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 3 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 136 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 136 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 136 6 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 136 8 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 136 9 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 136 10 die die VBP cord-330956-692irru4 136 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 136 12 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 136 13 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 136 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 136 15 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 136 16 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 17 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 136 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 136 19 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 20 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 136 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 136 22 death death NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 23 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 136 24 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 136 25 µ µ NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 26 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 136 27 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 136 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 136 29 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 136 30 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 31 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 136 32 recover recover VB cord-330956-692irru4 136 33 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 136 34 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 136 35 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 137 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 137 2 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 137 3 used use VBN cord-330956-692irru4 137 4 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 137 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 137 6 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 137 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 137 8 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 137 9 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 137 10 very very RB cord-330956-692irru4 137 11 precisely precisely RB cord-330956-692irru4 137 12 determined determined JJ cord-330956-692irru4 137 13 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 137 14 even even RB cord-330956-692irru4 137 15 differ differ VBP cord-330956-692irru4 137 16 greatly greatly RB cord-330956-692irru4 137 17 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 137 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 137 19 literature literature NN cord-330956-692irru4 137 20 consulted consult VBD cord-330956-692irru4 137 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 137 22 see see VB cord-330956-692irru4 137 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 137 24 FLNG FLNG NNS cord-330956-692irru4 137 25 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 137 26 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 137 27 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 137 28 LGWSR20 lgwsr20 ADD cord-330956-692irru4 137 29 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 137 30 Kan20 Kan20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 137 31 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 137 32 LZG LZG NNP cord-330956-692irru4 137 33 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 137 34 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 137 35 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 137 36 GBB GBB NNP cord-330956-692irru4 137 37 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 137 38 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 137 39 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 137 40 Jon19 Jon19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 137 41 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 137 42 Org Org NNP cord-330956-692irru4 137 43 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 137 44 among among IN cord-330956-692irru4 137 45 many many JJ cord-330956-692irru4 137 46 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 137 47 references reference NNS cord-330956-692irru4 137 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 137 49 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 138 1 Most Most JJS cord-330956-692irru4 138 2 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 138 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 138 4 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 138 5 adopted adopt VBN cord-330956-692irru4 138 6 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 138 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 138 8 references reference NNS cord-330956-692irru4 138 9 adjust adjust VBP cord-330956-692irru4 138 10 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 138 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 138 12 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 138 13 match match VB cord-330956-692irru4 138 14 real real JJ cord-330956-692irru4 138 15 data datum NNS cord-330956-692irru4 138 16 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 138 17 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 138 18 countries country NNS cord-330956-692irru4 138 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 139 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 139 2 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 139 3 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 139 4 taken take VBN cord-330956-692irru4 139 5 into into IN cord-330956-692irru4 139 6 account account NN cord-330956-692irru4 139 7 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 139 8 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 139 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 139 10 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 139 11 7 7 CD cord-330956-692irru4 139 12 All All NNP cord-330956-692irru4 139 13 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 139 14 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 139 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 140 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 140 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 140 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 140 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 140 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 140 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 141 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 141 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 141 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 141 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 141 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 141 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 141 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 141 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 141 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 141 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 141 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 141 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 141 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 141 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 141 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 141 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 141 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 141 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 141 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 141 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 141 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 141 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 141 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 141 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 141 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 141 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 141 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 141 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 142 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 142 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 142 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 142 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 142 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 142 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 142 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 142 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 142 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 142 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 142 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 142 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 142 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 142 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 142 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 143 1 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 143 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 143 3 mainly mainly RB cord-330956-692irru4 143 4 α α NNP cord-330956-692irru4 143 5 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 143 6 β β NN cord-330956-692irru4 143 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 143 8 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 143 9 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 143 10 independent independent JJ cord-330956-692irru4 143 11 either either CC cord-330956-692irru4 143 12 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 143 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 143 14 populations population NNS cord-330956-692irru4 143 15 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 143 16 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 143 17 general general JJ cord-330956-692irru4 143 18 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 143 19 status status NN cord-330956-692irru4 143 20 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 143 21 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 143 22 actions action NNS cord-330956-692irru4 143 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 144 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 144 2 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 144 3 α α NN cord-330956-692irru4 144 4 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 144 5 β β NN cord-330956-692irru4 144 6 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 144 7 related relate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 144 8 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 144 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 144 10 basic basic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 144 11 reproduction reproduction NN cord-330956-692irru4 144 12 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 144 13 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 144 14 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 144 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 144 16 defined define VBN cord-330956-692irru4 144 17 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 144 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 144 19 expected expect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 144 20 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 144 21 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 144 22 secondary secondary JJ cord-330956-692irru4 144 23 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 144 24 produced produce VBN cord-330956-692irru4 144 25 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 144 26 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 144 27 single single JJ cord-330956-692irru4 144 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 144 29 typical typical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 144 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 144 31 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 144 32 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 144 33 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 144 34 completely completely RB cord-330956-692irru4 144 35 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 144 36 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 144 37 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 144 38 Jon19 Jon19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 144 39 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 144 40 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 145 1 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 145 2 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 145 3 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 145 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 145 5 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 145 6 fixed fix VBN cord-330956-692irru4 145 7 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 145 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 145 9 depending depend VBG cord-330956-692irru4 145 10 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 145 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 145 12 does do VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 145 13 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 145 14 such such JJ cord-330956-692irru4 145 15 factors factor NNS cord-330956-692irru4 145 16 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 145 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 145 18 density density NN cord-330956-692irru4 145 19 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 145 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 145 21 community community NN cord-330956-692irru4 145 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 145 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 145 24 general general JJ cord-330956-692irru4 145 25 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 145 26 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 145 27 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 145 28 populace populace NN cord-330956-692irru4 145 29 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 145 30 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 145 31 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 145 32 medical medical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 145 33 infrastructure infrastructure NN cord-330956-692irru4 145 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 145 35 SHD20 shd20 NN cord-330956-692irru4 145 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 145 37 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 146 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 146 2 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 146 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 146 4 most most RBS cord-330956-692irru4 146 5 important important JJ cord-330956-692irru4 146 6 parameter parameter NN cord-330956-692irru4 146 7 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 146 8 understand understand VB cord-330956-692irru4 146 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 146 10 spread spread NN cord-330956-692irru4 146 11 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 146 12 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 146 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 146 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 147 1 If if IN cord-330956-692irru4 147 2 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 147 3 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 147 4 > > SYM cord-330956-692irru4 147 5 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 147 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 147 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 147 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 147 9 growths growth NNS cord-330956-692irru4 147 10 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 147 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 147 12 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 147 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 147 14 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 147 15 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 147 16 increases increase NNS cord-330956-692irru4 147 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 148 1 If if IN cord-330956-692irru4 148 2 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 148 3 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 148 4 < < XX cord-330956-692irru4 148 5 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 148 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 148 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 148 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 148 9 decreases decrease VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 148 10 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 148 11 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 148 12 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 148 13 certain certain JJ cord-330956-692irru4 148 14 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 148 15 disappears disappear VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 148 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 148 17 when when WRB cord-330956-692irru4 148 18 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 148 19 large large JJ cord-330956-692irru4 148 20 enough enough JJ cord-330956-692irru4 148 21 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 148 22 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 148 23 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 148 24 acquire acquire VBP cord-330956-692irru4 148 25 antibodies antibody NNS cord-330956-692irru4 148 26 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 148 27 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 148 28 so so RB cord-330956-692irru4 148 29 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 148 30 called call VBN cord-330956-692irru4 148 31 herd herd NN cord-330956-692irru4 148 32 immunity immunity NN cord-330956-692irru4 148 33 occurs occur VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 148 34 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 149 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 149 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 149 3 actual actual JJ cord-330956-692irru4 149 4 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 149 5 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 149 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 149 7 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 149 8 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 149 9 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 149 10 determined determine VBN cord-330956-692irru4 149 11 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 149 12 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 149 13 2.6 2.6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 149 14 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 149 15 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-330956-692irru4 149 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 149 17 China China NNP cord-330956-692irru4 149 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 19 SHD20 shd20 NN cord-330956-692irru4 149 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 22 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 149 23 2.2 2.2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 149 24 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 149 25 2.7 2.7 CD cord-330956-692irru4 149 26 according accord VBG cord-330956-692irru4 149 27 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 149 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 29 SLX SLX NNP cord-330956-692irru4 149 30 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 149 31 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 149 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 34 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 149 35 ranging range VBG cord-330956-692irru4 149 36 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 149 37 2.76 2.76 CD cord-330956-692irru4 149 38 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 149 39 3.25 3.25 CD cord-330956-692irru4 149 40 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 149 41 Italy Italy NNP cord-330956-692irru4 149 42 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 43 SHD20 shd20 NN cord-330956-692irru4 149 44 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 45 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 149 46 even even RB cord-330956-692irru4 149 47 close close JJ cord-330956-692irru4 149 48 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 149 49 3.28 3.28 CD cord-330956-692irru4 149 50 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 51 LGWSR20 LGWSR20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 149 52 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 149 53 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 150 1 An an DT cord-330956-692irru4 150 2 important important JJ cord-330956-692irru4 150 3 remark remark NN cord-330956-692irru4 150 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 150 5 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 150 6 many many JJ cord-330956-692irru4 150 7 works work NNS cord-330956-692irru4 150 8 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 150 9 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 150 10 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 150 11 depending depend VBG cord-330956-692irru4 150 12 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 150 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 150 14 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 150 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 150 16 admitting admit VBG cord-330956-692irru4 150 17 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 150 18 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 150 19 actions action NNS cord-330956-692irru4 150 20 tend tend VBP cord-330956-692irru4 150 21 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 150 22 reduce reduce VB cord-330956-692irru4 150 23 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 150 24 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 150 25 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 150 26 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 150 27 contact contact NN cord-330956-692irru4 150 28 rates rate NNS cord-330956-692irru4 150 29 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 150 30 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 150 31 decrease decrease VBP cord-330956-692irru4 150 32 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 151 1 Note note VB cord-330956-692irru4 151 2 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 151 3 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 151 4 always always RB cord-330956-692irru4 151 5 occur occur VBP cord-330956-692irru4 151 6 even even RB cord-330956-692irru4 151 7 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 151 8 countries country NNS cord-330956-692irru4 151 9 where where WRB cord-330956-692irru4 151 10 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 151 11 government government NN cord-330956-692irru4 151 12 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 151 13 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 151 14 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 151 15 taken take VBN cord-330956-692irru4 151 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 151 17 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 151 18 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 151 19 spontaneously spontaneously RB cord-330956-692irru4 151 20 tend tend VBP cord-330956-692irru4 151 21 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 151 22 stay stay VB cord-330956-692irru4 151 23 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 151 24 home home NN cord-330956-692irru4 151 25 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 151 26 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 151 27 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 151 28 contact contact NN cord-330956-692irru4 151 29 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 151 30 others other NNS cord-330956-692irru4 151 31 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 152 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 152 2 fact fact NN cord-330956-692irru4 152 3 explains explain VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 152 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 152 5 disparity disparity NN cord-330956-692irru4 152 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 152 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 152 8 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 152 9 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 152 10 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 152 11 countries country NNS cord-330956-692irru4 152 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 152 13 reported report VBN cord-330956-692irru4 152 14 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 152 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 152 16 references reference NNS cord-330956-692irru4 152 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 152 18 see see VB cord-330956-692irru4 152 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 152 20 LGWSR20 LGWSR20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 152 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 152 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 152 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 153 1 Here here RB cord-330956-692irru4 153 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 153 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 153 4 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 153 5 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 153 6 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 153 7 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 153 8 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 153 9 constant constant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 153 10 reproduction reproduction NN cord-330956-692irru4 153 11 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 153 12 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 153 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 153 14 absence absence NN cord-330956-692irru4 153 15 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 153 16 any any DT cord-330956-692irru4 153 17 external external JJ cord-330956-692irru4 153 18 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 153 19 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 153 20 i.e. i.e. FW cord-330956-692irru4 153 21 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 153 22 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 153 23 if if IN cord-330956-692irru4 153 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 153 25 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 153 26 could could MD cord-330956-692irru4 153 27 spread spread VB cord-330956-692irru4 153 28 completely completely RB cord-330956-692irru4 153 29 free free JJ cord-330956-692irru4 153 30 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 153 31 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 153 32 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 153 33 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 153 34 course course NN cord-330956-692irru4 153 35 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 153 36 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 153 37 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 153 38 unrealistic unrealistic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 153 39 scenario scenario NN cord-330956-692irru4 153 40 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 154 1 Specifically specifically RB cord-330956-692irru4 154 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 154 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 154 4 relation relation NN cord-330956-692irru4 154 5 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 154 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 154 7 rates rate NNS cord-330956-692irru4 154 8 α α NNP cord-330956-692irru4 154 9 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 154 10 β β NN cord-330956-692irru4 154 11 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 154 12 R R NNP cord-330956-692irru4 154 13 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 154 14 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 154 15 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 154 16 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 154 17 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 154 18 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 154 19 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 154 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 154 21 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 154 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 154 23 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 154 24 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 154 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 154 26 Jon19,GBB Jon19,GBB NNP cord-330956-692irru4 154 27 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 154 28 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 154 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 154 30 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 154 31 resulting result VBG cord-330956-692irru4 155 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 155 2 section section NN cord-330956-692irru4 155 3 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 155 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 155 5 propose propose VBP cord-330956-692irru4 155 6 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 155 7 pair pair NN cord-330956-692irru4 155 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 155 9 values value NNS cord-330956-692irru4 155 10 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 155 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 155 12 α α NN cord-330956-692irru4 155 13 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 155 14 β β NN cord-330956-692irru4 155 15 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 155 16 evaluate evaluate VB cord-330956-692irru4 155 17 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 155 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 155 19 scenarios scenario NNS cord-330956-692irru4 155 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 156 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 156 2 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 156 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 156 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 156 5 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 156 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 156 7 considered consider VBN cord-330956-692irru4 156 8 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 156 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 156 10 variable variable NN cord-330956-692irru4 156 11 u u NN cord-330956-692irru4 156 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 156 13 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 156 14 determines determine VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 156 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 156 16 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 156 17 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 156 18 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 156 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 156 20 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 156 21 become become VBP cord-330956-692irru4 156 22 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 156 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 157 1 Several several JJ cord-330956-692irru4 157 2 works work NNS cord-330956-692irru4 157 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 157 4 LZG lzg NN cord-330956-692irru4 157 5 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 157 6 20,TBT 20,tbt NN cord-330956-692irru4 157 7 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 157 8 20,GV20,SSB20 20,gv20,ssb20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 157 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 157 10 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 157 11 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 157 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 157 13 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 157 14 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 157 15 dependent dependent JJ cord-330956-692irru4 157 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 157 17 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 157 18 incorporate incorporate VB cord-330956-692irru4 157 19 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 157 20 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 157 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 157 22 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 157 23 impact impact NN cord-330956-692irru4 157 24 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 157 25 governmental governmental JJ cord-330956-692irru4 157 26 actions action NNS cord-330956-692irru4 157 27 among among IN cord-330956-692irru4 157 28 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 157 29 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 157 30 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 158 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 158 2 incubation incubation NN cord-330956-692irru4 158 3 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 158 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 158 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 158 6 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 158 7 γ γ NNP cord-330956-692irru4 158 8 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 158 9 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 158 10 5.1 5.1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 158 11 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 158 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 158 13 Kan20 Kan20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 158 14 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 158 15 FLNG FLNG NNP cord-330956-692irru4 158 16 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 158 17 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 158 18 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 159 1 TWL TWL NNP cord-330956-692irru4 159 2 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 159 3 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 159 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 159 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 160 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 160 2 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 160 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 160 4 developing develop VBG cord-330956-692irru4 160 5 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 160 6 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 160 7 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 160 8 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 160 9 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 160 10 roughly roughly RB cord-330956-692irru4 160 11 estimated estimate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 160 12 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 160 13 8 8 CD cord-330956-692irru4 160 14 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 160 15 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 160 16 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 160 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 161 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 161 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 161 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 161 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 161 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 161 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 162 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 162 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 162 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 162 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 162 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 162 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 162 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 162 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 162 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 162 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 162 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 162 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 162 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 162 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 162 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 162 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 162 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 162 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 162 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 162 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 162 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 162 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 162 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 162 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 162 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 162 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 162 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 162 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 163 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 163 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 163 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 163 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 163 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 163 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 163 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 163 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 163 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 163 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 163 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 163 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 163 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 163 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 163 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 164 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 164 2 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 164 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 164 4 overcome overcome VB cord-330956-692irru4 164 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 164 6 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 164 7 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 164 8 presenting present VBG cord-330956-692irru4 164 9 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 164 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 164 11 ζ ζ NN cord-330956-692irru4 164 12 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 164 13 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 164 14 14.7 14.7 CD cord-330956-692irru4 164 15 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 164 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 164 17 deduced deduce VBN cord-330956-692irru4 164 18 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 164 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 164 20 GBB GBB NNP cord-330956-692irru4 164 21 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 164 22 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 164 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 164 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 164 25 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 165 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 165 2 infectious infectious JJ cord-330956-692irru4 165 3 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 165 4 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 165 5 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 165 6 need need NN cord-330956-692irru4 165 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 165 8 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 165 9 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 165 10 widely widely RB cord-330956-692irru4 165 11 accepted accept VBN cord-330956-692irru4 165 12 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 165 13 14 14 CD cord-330956-692irru4 165 14 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 165 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 165 16 so so RB cord-330956-692irru4 166 1 η η NN cord-330956-692irru4 166 2 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 166 3 1/14 1/14 CD cord-330956-692irru4 166 4 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 167 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 167 2 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 167 4 need need VB cord-330956-692irru4 167 5 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 6 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 167 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 167 8 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 9 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 167 10 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 11 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 167 12 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 167 13 19 19 CD cord-330956-692irru4 167 14 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 167 16 Low20,LZG Low20,LZG NNS cord-330956-692irru4 167 17 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 167 18 20,SSB20 20,ssb20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 167 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 167 20 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 167 21 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 167 22 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 167 23 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 24 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 167 25 symptom symptom NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 26 onset onset NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 27 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 167 28 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 29 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 167 30 δ δ NN cord-330956-692irru4 167 31 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 167 32 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 167 33 5.5 5.5 CD cord-330956-692irru4 167 34 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 167 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 167 36 SLX SLX NNP cord-330956-692irru4 167 37 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 167 38 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 167 39 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 167 40 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 168 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 168 2 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 168 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 168 4 die die VB cord-330956-692irru4 168 5 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 168 6 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 168 7 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 168 8 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 168 9 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 168 10 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 168 11 15 15 CD cord-330956-692irru4 168 12 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 168 13 according accord VBG cord-330956-692irru4 168 14 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 168 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 168 16 WM2 WM2 NNS cord-330956-692irru4 168 17 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 168 18 FLNG FLNG NNP cord-330956-692irru4 168 19 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 168 20 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 168 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 168 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 168 23 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 168 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 168 25 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 168 26 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 168 27 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 168 28 die die VB cord-330956-692irru4 168 29 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 168 30 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 168 31 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 168 32 11.2 11.2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 168 33 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 168 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 168 35 SLX SLX NNP cord-330956-692irru4 168 36 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 168 37 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 168 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 168 39 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 169 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 169 2 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 169 3 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 169 4 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 169 5 recovery recovery NN cord-330956-692irru4 169 6 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 169 7 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 169 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 169 9 µ µ NN cord-330956-692irru4 169 10 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 169 11 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 169 12 16 16 CD cord-330956-692irru4 169 13 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 169 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 169 15 FLNG FLNG NNS cord-330956-692irru4 170 1 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 170 2 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 170 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 170 4 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 171 1 Finally finally RB cord-330956-692irru4 171 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 171 3 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 171 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 171 5 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 171 6 noted note VBN cord-330956-692irru4 171 7 above above RB cord-330956-692irru4 171 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 171 9 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 171 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 171 11 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 171 12 vaccine vaccine NN cord-330956-692irru4 171 13 against against IN cord-330956-692irru4 171 14 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 171 15 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 171 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 171 17 so so RB cord-330956-692irru4 171 18 ν ν NNP cord-330956-692irru4 171 19 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 171 20 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 171 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 172 1 Remark remark NN cord-330956-692irru4 172 2 2.1 2.1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 173 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 173 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 173 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 173 4 most most JJS cord-330956-692irru4 173 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 173 6 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 173 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 173 8 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 173 9 subject subject JJ cord-330956-692irru4 173 10 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 173 11 large large JJ cord-330956-692irru4 173 12 inaccuracies inaccuracy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 173 13 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 173 14 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 173 15 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 173 16 differ differ VBP cord-330956-692irru4 173 17 greatly greatly RB cord-330956-692irru4 173 18 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 173 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 173 20 literature literature NN cord-330956-692irru4 173 21 consulted consult VBD cord-330956-692irru4 173 22 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 174 1 However however RB cord-330956-692irru4 174 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 174 3 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 174 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 174 5 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 174 6 show show VB cord-330956-692irru4 174 7 below below IN cord-330956-692irru4 174 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 174 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 174 10 proposed propose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 174 11 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 174 12 method method NN cord-330956-692irru4 174 13 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 174 14 robust robust JJ cord-330956-692irru4 174 15 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 174 16 such such JJ cord-330956-692irru4 174 17 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-330956-692irru4 174 18 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 174 19 well well RB cord-330956-692irru4 174 20 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 174 21 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 174 22 measurements measurement NNS cord-330956-692irru4 174 23 errors error NNS cord-330956-692irru4 174 24 characterized characterize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 174 25 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 174 26 unreported unreported JJ cord-330956-692irru4 174 27 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 174 28 undiagnosed undiagnosed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 174 29 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 174 30 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 174 31 inaccuracies inaccuracy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 174 32 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 174 33 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 174 34 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 174 35 quantities quantity NNS cord-330956-692irru4 174 36 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 175 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 175 2 propose propose VBP cord-330956-692irru4 175 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 175 4 use use NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 175 6 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 7 theory theory NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 8 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 175 9 determine determine VB cord-330956-692irru4 175 10 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 175 11 nonpharmaceuticals nonpharmaceutical NNS cord-330956-692irru4 175 12 interventions intervention NNS cord-330956-692irru4 175 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 175 14 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 175 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 175 16 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 175 17 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 18 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 175 19 control control VB cord-330956-692irru4 175 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 175 21 evolution evolution NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 22 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 175 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 175 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 25 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 175 26 avoiding avoid VBG cord-330956-692irru4 175 27 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 175 28 collapse collapse NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 29 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 175 30 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 31 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 32 systems system NNS cord-330956-692irru4 175 33 while while IN cord-330956-692irru4 175 34 minimizing minimize VBG cord-330956-692irru4 175 35 harmful harmful JJ cord-330956-692irru4 175 36 effects effect NNS cord-330956-692irru4 175 37 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 175 38 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 175 39 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 40 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 175 41 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 175 42 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 175 43 economy economy NN cord-330956-692irru4 175 44 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 176 1 As as IN cord-330956-692irru4 176 2 noted note VBN cord-330956-692irru4 176 3 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 176 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 176 5 SHD20 SHD20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 176 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 176 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 176 8 " " '' cord-330956-692irru4 176 9 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 176 10 properly properly RB cord-330956-692irru4 176 11 designed design VBN cord-330956-692irru4 176 12 feedback feedback NN cord-330956-692irru4 176 13 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 176 14 based base VBN cord-330956-692irru4 176 15 policy policy NN cord-330956-692irru4 176 16 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 176 17 takes take VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 176 18 into into IN cord-330956-692irru4 176 19 account account NN cord-330956-692irru4 176 20 both both DT cord-330956-692irru4 176 21 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-330956-692irru4 176 22 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 176 23 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-330956-692irru4 176 24 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 176 25 deliver deliver VB cord-330956-692irru4 176 26 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 176 27 stable stable JJ cord-330956-692irru4 176 28 result result NN cord-330956-692irru4 176 29 while while IN cord-330956-692irru4 176 30 keeping keep VBG cord-330956-692irru4 176 31 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 176 32 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 176 33 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 176 34 within within IN cord-330956-692irru4 176 35 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 176 36 desired desire VBN cord-330956-692irru4 176 37 approximate approximate JJ cord-330956-692irru4 176 38 range range NN cord-330956-692irru4 176 39 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 177 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-330956-692irru4 177 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 177 3 keeping keep VBG cord-330956-692irru4 177 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 177 5 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 177 6 within within IN cord-330956-692irru4 177 7 such such PDT cord-330956-692irru4 177 8 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 177 9 range range NN cord-330956-692irru4 177 10 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 177 11 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 177 12 prolonged prolonged JJ cord-330956-692irru4 177 13 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 177 14 allows allow VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 177 15 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 177 16 society society NN cord-330956-692irru4 177 17 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 177 18 slowly slowly RB cord-330956-692irru4 177 19 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 177 20 safely safely RB cord-330956-692irru4 177 21 increase increase VB cord-330956-692irru4 177 22 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 177 23 percentage percentage NN cord-330956-692irru4 177 24 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 177 25 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 177 26 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 177 27 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 177 28 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 177 29 sort sort NN cord-330956-692irru4 177 30 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 177 31 antibodies antibody NNS cord-330956-692irru4 177 32 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 177 33 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 177 34 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 177 35 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 177 36 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 177 37 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 177 38 either either CC cord-330956-692irru4 177 39 suffered suffer VBN cord-330956-692irru4 177 40 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 177 41 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 177 42 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 177 43 have have VBP cord-330956-692irru4 177 44 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 177 45 vaccinated vaccinate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 177 46 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 177 47 preferably preferably RB cord-330956-692irru4 177 48 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 177 49 latter latter JJ cord-330956-692irru4 177 50 " " '' cord-330956-692irru4 177 51 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 178 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 178 2 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 178 3 law law NN cord-330956-692irru4 178 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 178 5 given give VBN cord-330956-692irru4 178 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 178 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 178 8 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 178 9 variable variable NN cord-330956-692irru4 178 10 u u NNP cord-330956-692irru4 178 11 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 178 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 178 13 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 178 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 178 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 179 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 179 2 intervention intervention NN cord-330956-692irru4 179 3 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 179 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 179 5 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 179 6 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 179 7 agencies agency NNS cord-330956-692irru4 179 8 means mean VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 179 9 u u NN cord-330956-692irru4 179 10 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 179 11 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 179 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 179 13 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 179 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 179 15 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 179 16 evolves evolve VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 179 17 naturally naturally RB cord-330956-692irru4 179 18 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 179 19 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 179 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 180 1 At at IN cord-330956-692irru4 180 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 180 3 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 180 4 hand hand NN cord-330956-692irru4 180 5 u u NN cord-330956-692irru4 180 6 = = NN cord-330956-692irru4 180 7 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 180 8 means mean VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 180 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 180 10 total total JJ cord-330956-692irru4 180 11 impossibility impossibility NN cord-330956-692irru4 180 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 180 13 transmitting transmit VBG cord-330956-692irru4 180 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 180 15 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 180 16 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 180 17 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 180 18 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 180 19 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 180 20 course course NN cord-330956-692irru4 180 21 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 180 22 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 180 23 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 180 24 unrealistic unrealistic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 180 25 scenario scenario NN cord-330956-692irru4 180 26 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 181 1 There there EX cord-330956-692irru4 181 2 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 181 3 several several JJ cord-330956-692irru4 181 4 possible possible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 181 5 choices choice NNS cord-330956-692irru4 181 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 181 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 181 8 reference reference NN cord-330956-692irru4 181 9 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 181 10 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 181 11 set set VBN cord-330956-692irru4 181 12 point point NN cord-330956-692irru4 181 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 181 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 181 15 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 181 16 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 181 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 182 1 One one CD cord-330956-692irru4 182 2 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 182 3 them -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 182 4 may may MD cord-330956-692irru4 182 5 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 182 6 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 182 7 small small JJ cord-330956-692irru4 182 8 enough enough JJ cord-330956-692irru4 182 9 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 182 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 182 11 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 182 12 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 182 13 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 182 14 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 182 15 affect affect VB cord-330956-692irru4 182 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 182 17 capacity capacity NN cord-330956-692irru4 182 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 182 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 182 20 intensive intensive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 182 21 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 182 22 units unit NNS cord-330956-692irru4 182 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 182 24 ICUs ICUs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 182 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 182 26 available available JJ cord-330956-692irru4 182 27 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 182 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 182 29 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 182 30 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 182 31 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 182 32 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 183 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 183 2 reference reference NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 3 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 4 maybe maybe RB cord-330956-692irru4 183 5 nonconstant nonconstant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 183 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 183 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 183 8 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 183 9 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 183 10 go go VB cord-330956-692irru4 183 11 up up RP cord-330956-692irru4 183 12 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 183 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 183 14 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 183 15 increase increase NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 16 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 183 17 available available JJ cord-330956-692irru4 183 18 beds bed NNS cord-330956-692irru4 183 19 due due JJ cord-330956-692irru4 183 20 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 183 21 capacity capacity NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 22 additions addition NNS cord-330956-692irru4 183 23 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 183 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 183 25 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 26 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 27 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 28 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 183 29 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 183 30 creation creation NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 31 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 183 32 provisory provisory JJ cord-330956-692irru4 183 33 field field NN cord-330956-692irru4 183 34 hospitals hospital NNS cord-330956-692irru4 183 35 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 183 36 among among IN cord-330956-692irru4 183 37 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 183 38 similar similar JJ cord-330956-692irru4 183 39 measures measure NNS cord-330956-692irru4 183 40 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 184 1 By by IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 2 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 184 3 hand hand NN cord-330956-692irru4 184 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 184 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 184 6 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 184 7 bear bear VB cord-330956-692irru4 184 8 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 9 mind mind NN cord-330956-692irru4 184 10 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 184 12 quantities quantity NNS cord-330956-692irru4 184 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 14 each each DT cord-330956-692irru4 184 15 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 184 16 described describe VBN cord-330956-692irru4 184 17 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 184 19 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 184 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 184 21 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 184 22 subject subject JJ cord-330956-692irru4 184 23 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 24 large large JJ cord-330956-692irru4 184 25 inaccuracies inaccuracy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 184 26 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 184 27 due due IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 28 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 29 unreported unreported JJ cord-330956-692irru4 184 30 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 184 31 undiagnosed undiagnosed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 184 32 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 184 33 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 184 34 except except IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 35 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 36 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 184 37 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 184 38 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 39 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 184 40 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 184 41 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 42 positive positive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 184 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 184 44 I i NN cord-330956-692irru4 184 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 184 46 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 184 47 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 184 48 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 184 49 quite quite RB cord-330956-692irru4 184 50 well well RB cord-330956-692irru4 184 51 known know VBN cord-330956-692irru4 184 52 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 184 53 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 184 54 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 184 55 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 184 56 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 184 57 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 184 58 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 184 59 H h NN cord-330956-692irru4 184 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 185 1 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 185 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 185 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 185 4 course course NN cord-330956-692irru4 185 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 185 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 185 7 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 185 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 185 9 deaths death NNS cord-330956-692irru4 185 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 185 11 D D NNP cord-330956-692irru4 185 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 185 13 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 186 1 For for IN cord-330956-692irru4 186 2 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 186 3 reason reason NN cord-330956-692irru4 186 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 186 5 output output NN cord-330956-692irru4 186 6 variable variable NN cord-330956-692irru4 186 7 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 186 8 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 186 9 fed feed VBN cord-330956-692irru4 186 10 back back RP cord-330956-692irru4 186 11 only only RB cord-330956-692irru4 186 12 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 186 13 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 186 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 186 15 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 186 16 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 187 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 187 2 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 187 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 187 4 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 187 5 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 1 H. H. NNP cord-330956-692irru4 188 2 Hence Hence NNP cord-330956-692irru4 188 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 188 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 188 5 goal goal NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 188 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 188 8 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 9 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 188 11 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 188 12 keep keep VB cord-330956-692irru4 188 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 188 14 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 15 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 188 16 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 188 17 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 188 18 lower low JJR cord-330956-692irru4 188 19 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 188 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 188 21 set set NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 22 point point NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 23 minimizing minimize VBG cord-330956-692irru4 188 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 188 25 external external JJ cord-330956-692irru4 188 26 intervention intervention NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 27 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 188 28 produces produce VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 188 29 social social JJ cord-330956-692irru4 188 30 discomfort discomfort NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 31 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 188 32 clearly clearly RB cord-330956-692irru4 188 33 harm harm VB cord-330956-692irru4 188 34 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 188 35 economy economy NN cord-330956-692irru4 188 36 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 189 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-330956-692irru4 189 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 189 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 189 4 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 5 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 6 should should MD cord-330956-692irru4 189 7 aim aim VB cord-330956-692irru4 189 8 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 189 9 solve solve VB cord-330956-692irru4 189 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 189 11 following follow VBG cord-330956-692irru4 189 12 constrained constrained JJ cord-330956-692irru4 189 13 optimization optimization NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 14 problem problem NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 15 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 189 16 where where WRB cord-330956-692irru4 189 17 T T NNP cord-330956-692irru4 189 18 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 189 19 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 189 20 considered considered JJ cord-330956-692irru4 189 21 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 22 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 189 23 SP SP NNP cord-330956-692irru4 189 24 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 189 25 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 189 26 reference reference NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 27 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 189 29 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 189 30 set set VBN cord-330956-692irru4 189 31 point point NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 32 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 189 33 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 189 34 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 189 35 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 36 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 189 37 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 189 38 considered consider VBN cord-330956-692irru4 189 39 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 189 40 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 189 41 constant constant NN cord-330956-692irru4 189 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 189 43 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 190 1 As as IN cord-330956-692irru4 190 2 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 190 3 reference reference NN cord-330956-692irru4 190 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 190 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 190 6 World World NNP cord-330956-692irru4 190 7 Health Health NNP cord-330956-692irru4 190 8 Organization Organization NNP cord-330956-692irru4 190 9 recommends recommend VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 190 10 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 190 11 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 190 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 190 13 80 80 CD cord-330956-692irru4 190 14 hospital hospital NN cord-330956-692irru4 190 15 beds bed NNS cord-330956-692irru4 190 16 per per IN cord-330956-692irru4 190 17 10000 10000 CD cord-330956-692irru4 190 18 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 190 19 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 190 20 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 190 21 means mean VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 190 22 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 190 23 index index NN cord-330956-692irru4 190 24 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 190 25 0.008 0.008 CD cord-330956-692irru4 190 26 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 190 27 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 190 28 0.8 0.8 CD cord-330956-692irru4 190 29 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 190 30 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 191 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 191 2 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 191 3 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 191 4 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 191 5 used use VBN cord-330956-692irru4 191 6 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 191 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 191 8 SP SP NNP cord-330956-692irru4 191 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 191 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 191 11 closed closed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 191 12 loop loop NN cord-330956-692irru4 191 13 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 191 14 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 191 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 192 1 However however RB cord-330956-692irru4 192 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 192 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 192 4 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 192 5 bear bear VB cord-330956-692irru4 192 6 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 192 7 mind mind NN cord-330956-692irru4 192 8 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 192 9 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 192 10 impact impact NN cord-330956-692irru4 192 11 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 192 12 physical physical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 192 13 contacts contact NNS cord-330956-692irru4 192 14 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 192 15 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-330956-692irru4 192 16 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 192 17 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 192 18 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 192 19 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 192 20 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 192 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 193 1 If if IN cord-330956-692irru4 193 2 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 193 3 individual individual NN cord-330956-692irru4 193 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 193 5 already already RB cord-330956-692irru4 193 6 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 193 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 193 8 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 193 9 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 193 10 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 193 11 required require VBN cord-330956-692irru4 193 12 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 193 13 at at RB cord-330956-692irru4 193 14 most most JJS cord-330956-692irru4 193 15 δ δ NN cord-330956-692irru4 193 16 −1 −1 NN cord-330956-692irru4 193 17 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 193 18 5.5 5.5 CD cord-330956-692irru4 193 19 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 193 20 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 193 21 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 193 22 δ δ NNP cord-330956-692irru4 193 23 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 193 24 + + CC cord-330956-692irru4 193 25 γ γ NN cord-330956-692irru4 193 26 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 193 27 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 193 28 10.6 10.6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 193 29 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 193 30 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 193 31 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 193 32 if if IN cord-330956-692irru4 193 33 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 193 34 infection infection NN cord-330956-692irru4 193 35 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 193 36 recent recent JJ cord-330956-692irru4 193 37 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 194 1 Hence hence RB cord-330956-692irru4 194 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 194 3 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 194 4 exists exist VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 194 5 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 194 6 delay delay NN cord-330956-692irru4 194 7 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 194 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 194 9 adoption adoption NN cord-330956-692irru4 194 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 194 11 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 194 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 194 13 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 194 14 consequences consequence NNS cord-330956-692irru4 194 15 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 194 16 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 194 17 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 194 18 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 194 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 195 1 If if IN cord-330956-692irru4 195 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 195 3 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 195 4 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 195 5 if if IN cord-330956-692irru4 195 6 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 195 7 based base VBN cord-330956-692irru4 195 8 only only RB cord-330956-692irru4 195 9 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 195 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 195 11 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 195 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 195 13 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 195 14 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 195 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 195 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 195 17 following follow VBG cord-330956-692irru4 195 18 10.6 10.6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 195 19 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 195 20 too too RB cord-330956-692irru4 195 21 many many JJ cord-330956-692irru4 195 22 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 195 23 may may MD cord-330956-692irru4 195 24 require require VB cord-330956-692irru4 195 25 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 195 26 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 195 27 exceeding exceed VBG cord-330956-692irru4 195 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 195 29 capacity capacity NN cord-330956-692irru4 195 30 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 195 31 medical medical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 195 32 care care NN cord-330956-692irru4 195 33 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 196 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 196 2 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 196 3 jargoon jargoon NNP cord-330956-692irru4 196 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 196 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 196 6 means mean VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 196 7 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 196 8 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 196 9 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 196 10 almost almost RB cord-330956-692irru4 196 11 two two CD cord-330956-692irru4 196 12 weeks week NNS cord-330956-692irru4 196 13 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 196 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 196 15 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 196 16 operating operate VBG cord-330956-692irru4 196 17 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 196 18 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 196 19 open open JJ cord-330956-692irru4 196 20 loop loop NN cord-330956-692irru4 196 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 197 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-330956-692irru4 197 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 197 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 197 4 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 197 5 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 197 6 needs need VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 197 7 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 197 8 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 197 9 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 197 10 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 197 11 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 197 12 function function NN cord-330956-692irru4 197 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 197 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 197 15 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 197 16 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 197 17 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 197 18 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 197 19 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 197 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 197 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 197 22 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 197 23 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 197 24 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 197 25 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 197 26 E e NN cord-330956-692irru4 197 27 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 197 28 quite quite RB cord-330956-692irru4 197 29 unknown unknown JJ cord-330956-692irru4 197 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 197 31 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 197 32 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 197 33 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 197 34 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 197 35 future future JJ cord-330956-692irru4 197 36 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 197 37 requirements requirement NNS cord-330956-692irru4 197 38 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 197 39 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 197 40 next next JJ cord-330956-692irru4 197 41 10.6 10.6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 197 42 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 197 43 at at RB cord-330956-692irru4 197 44 most most RBS cord-330956-692irru4 197 45 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 198 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 198 2 strategy strategy NN cord-330956-692irru4 198 3 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 198 4 known know VBN cord-330956-692irru4 198 5 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 198 6 predictive predictive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 198 7 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 198 8 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 199 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 199 2 . . NNP cord-330956-692irru4 199 3 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 199 4 shows show VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 199 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 199 6 closed closed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 199 7 loop loop NN cord-330956-692irru4 199 8 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 199 9 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 199 10 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 200 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 200 2 variable variable JJ cord-330956-692irru4 200 3 process process NN cord-330956-692irru4 200 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 200 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 200 6 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 200 7 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 201 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 201 2 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 201 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 201 4 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 201 5 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 201 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 201 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 201 8 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 201 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 201 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 201 11 NPI NPI NNP cord-330956-692irru4 201 12 10 10 CD cord-330956-692irru4 201 13 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 201 14 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 201 15 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 201 16 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 202 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 202 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 202 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 202 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 202 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 202 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 203 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 203 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 203 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 203 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 203 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 203 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 203 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 203 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 203 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 203 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 203 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 203 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 203 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 203 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 203 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 203 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 203 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 203 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 203 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 203 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 203 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 203 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 203 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 203 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 203 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 203 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 203 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 203 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 204 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 204 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 204 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 204 4 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 204 5 practical practical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 204 6 situations situation NNS cord-330956-692irru4 204 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 204 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 204 9 necessary necessary JJ cord-330956-692irru4 204 10 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 204 11 determine determine VB cord-330956-692irru4 204 12 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 204 13 actions action NNS cord-330956-692irru4 204 14 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 204 15 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 204 16 what what WDT cord-330956-692irru4 204 17 level level NN cord-330956-692irru4 204 18 correspond correspond VBP cord-330956-692irru4 204 19 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 204 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 204 21 certain certain JJ cord-330956-692irru4 204 22 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 204 23 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 204 24 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 204 25 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 204 26 but but CC cord-330956-692irru4 204 27 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 204 28 issue issue NN cord-330956-692irru4 204 29 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 204 30 outside outside IN cord-330956-692irru4 204 31 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 204 32 scope scope NN cord-330956-692irru4 204 33 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 204 34 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 204 35 paper paper NN cord-330956-692irru4 204 36 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 205 1 Next next RB cord-330956-692irru4 205 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 205 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 205 4 show show VBP cord-330956-692irru4 205 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 205 6 results result NNS cord-330956-692irru4 205 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 205 8 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 205 9 strategies strategy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 205 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 205 11 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 205 12 applied apply VBD cord-330956-692irru4 205 13 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 205 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 205 15 SEIHRD SEIHRD NNP cord-330956-692irru4 205 16 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 205 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 206 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 206 2 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 206 3 first first JJ cord-330956-692irru4 206 4 series series NN cord-330956-692irru4 206 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 206 6 experiments experiment NNS cord-330956-692irru4 206 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 206 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 206 9 apply apply VBP cord-330956-692irru4 206 10 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 206 11 constant constant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 206 12 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 206 13 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 206 14 u u NNP cord-330956-692irru4 206 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 206 16 that that RB cord-330956-692irru4 206 17 is is RB cord-330956-692irru4 206 18 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 206 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 206 20 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 206 21 shown show VBN cord-330956-692irru4 206 22 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 206 23 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 206 24 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 207 1 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 207 2 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 207 3 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 207 4 open open JJ cord-330956-692irru4 207 5 loop loop NN cord-330956-692irru4 207 6 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 207 7 one one CD cord-330956-692irru4 207 8 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 208 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 208 2 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 208 3 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 208 4 initial initial JJ cord-330956-692irru4 208 5 conditions condition NNS cord-330956-692irru4 209 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 210 1 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 210 2 E e NN cord-330956-692irru4 210 3 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 210 4 0.001 0.001 CD cord-330956-692irru4 210 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 210 6 H h NN cord-330956-692irru4 210 7 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 210 8 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 210 9 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 210 10 D d NN cord-330956-692irru4 210 11 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 210 12 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 210 13 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 211 1 so so RB cord-330956-692irru4 211 2 S s NN cord-330956-692irru4 211 3 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 211 4 0.998 0.998 CD cord-330956-692irru4 211 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 212 1 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 212 2 is is RB cord-330956-692irru4 212 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 212 4 0.1 0.1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 212 5 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 212 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 212 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 212 8 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 212 9 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 212 10 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 212 11 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 212 12 positive positive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 212 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 212 14 first first JJ cord-330956-692irru4 212 15 day day NN cord-330956-692irru4 212 16 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 213 1 0.1 0.1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 213 2 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 213 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 213 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 213 5 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 213 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 213 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 213 8 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 213 9 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 214 1 During during IN cord-330956-692irru4 214 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 214 3 first first JJ cord-330956-692irru4 214 4 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 214 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 214 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 214 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 214 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 214 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 214 10 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 214 11 logical logical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 214 12 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 214 13 consider consider VB cord-330956-692irru4 214 14 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 214 15 both both DT cord-330956-692irru4 214 16 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 214 17 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 214 18 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 214 19 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 214 20 could could MD cord-330956-692irru4 214 21 spread spread VB cord-330956-692irru4 214 22 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 214 23 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 214 24 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 214 25 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 214 26 same same JJ cord-330956-692irru4 214 27 ratio ratio NN cord-330956-692irru4 214 28 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 214 29 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 214 30 contagion contagion NN cord-330956-692irru4 214 31 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 214 32 humans human NNS cord-330956-692irru4 214 33 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 214 34 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 214 35 known know VBN cord-330956-692irru4 214 36 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 215 1 Then then RB cord-330956-692irru4 215 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 215 3 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 215 4 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 215 5 could could MD cord-330956-692irru4 215 6 spread spread VB cord-330956-692irru4 215 7 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 215 8 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 215 9 completely completely RB cord-330956-692irru4 215 10 free free JJ cord-330956-692irru4 215 11 scenario scenario NN cord-330956-692irru4 215 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 215 13 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 215 14 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 215 15 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 215 16 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 215 17 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 215 18 taken take VBN cord-330956-692irru4 215 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 216 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 216 2 scenario scenario NN cord-330956-692irru4 216 3 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 216 4 been be VBN cord-330956-692irru4 216 5 called call VBN cord-330956-692irru4 216 6 " " `` cord-330956-692irru4 216 7 naif naif NN cord-330956-692irru4 216 8 " " '' cord-330956-692irru4 216 9 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 216 10 several several JJ cord-330956-692irru4 216 11 authors author NNS cord-330956-692irru4 216 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 216 13 SSB20 SSB20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 216 14 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 216 15 LZG LZG NNP cord-330956-692irru4 216 16 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 216 17 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 216 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 216 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 217 1 Using use VBG cord-330956-692irru4 217 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 217 3 expression expression NN cord-330956-692irru4 217 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 217 5 2 2 LS cord-330956-692irru4 217 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 217 7 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 217 8 R r NN cord-330956-692irru4 217 9 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 217 10 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 217 11 2.8 2.8 CD cord-330956-692irru4 217 12 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 217 13 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 217 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 217 15 SSB20,LZG SSB20,LZG NNS cord-330956-692irru4 217 16 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 217 17 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 217 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 217 19 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 217 20 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 217 21 assuming assume VBG cord-330956-692irru4 217 22 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 217 23 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 217 24 actions action NNS cord-330956-692irru4 217 25 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 217 26 taken take VBN cord-330956-692irru4 217 27 during during IN cord-330956-692irru4 217 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 217 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 217 30 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 217 31 then then RB cord-330956-692irru4 217 32 α α NN cord-330956-692irru4 217 33 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 217 34 β=0.1786 β=0.1786 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 217 35 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 218 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 218 2 evolution evolution NN cord-330956-692irru4 218 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 218 4 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 218 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 218 6 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 218 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 218 8 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 218 9 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 218 10 dead dead JJ cord-330956-692irru4 218 11 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 218 12 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 218 13 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 218 14 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 218 15 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 218 16 shown show VBN cord-330956-692irru4 218 17 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 218 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 218 19 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 218 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 219 1 3 3 LS cord-330956-692irru4 219 2 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 220 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 220 2 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 220 3 " " `` cord-330956-692irru4 220 4 naif naif JJ cord-330956-692irru4 220 5 " " '' cord-330956-692irru4 220 6 scenario scenario NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 220 8 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 220 9 using use VBG cord-330956-692irru4 220 10 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 220 11 initial initial JJ cord-330956-692irru4 220 12 condition condition NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 13 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 220 14 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 220 15 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 220 16 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 220 17 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 220 18 person person NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 19 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 220 20 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 220 21 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 22 values value NNS cord-330956-692irru4 220 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 220 24 N n NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 25 > > XX cord-330956-692irru4 220 26 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 220 27 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 220 28 000 000 CD cord-330956-692irru4 220 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 220 30 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 220 31 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 220 32 maximum maximum NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 33 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 220 34 always always RB cord-330956-692irru4 220 35 17.75 17.75 CD cord-330956-692irru4 220 36 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 37 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 220 38 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 220 39 exposed expose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 220 40 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 220 41 15.75 15.75 CD cord-330956-692irru4 220 42 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 43 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 220 44 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 220 45 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 220 46 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 220 47 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 220 48 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 220 49 times time NNS cord-330956-692irru4 220 50 when when WRB cord-330956-692irru4 220 51 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 220 52 maximums maximum NNS cord-330956-692irru4 220 53 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 220 54 reached reach VBN cord-330956-692irru4 220 55 depend depend NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 56 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 220 57 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 220 58 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 59 value value NN cord-330956-692irru4 220 60 N n CD cord-330956-692irru4 220 61 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 220 62 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 220 63 shown show VBN cord-330956-692irru4 220 64 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 220 65 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 220 66 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 220 67 . . NNP cord-330956-692irru4 220 68 4 4 CD cord-330956-692irru4 220 69 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 221 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 221 2 delay delay NN cord-330956-692irru4 221 3 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 221 4 both both DT cord-330956-692irru4 221 5 maximums maximum NNS cord-330956-692irru4 221 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 221 7 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 221 8 constant constant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 221 9 value value NN cord-330956-692irru4 221 10 11 11 CD cord-330956-692irru4 221 11 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 221 12 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 221 13 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 221 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 222 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 222 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 222 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 222 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 222 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 222 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 223 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 223 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 223 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 223 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 223 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 223 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 223 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 223 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 223 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 223 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 223 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 223 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 223 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 223 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 223 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 223 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 223 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 223 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 223 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 223 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 223 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 223 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 223 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 223 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 223 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 223 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 223 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 223 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 224 1 Figure figure NN cord-330956-692irru4 224 2 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 224 3 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 224 4 Population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 224 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 224 6 Exposed Exposed NNP cord-330956-692irru4 224 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 224 8 Infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 224 9 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 224 10 Hospitalized Hospitalized NNP cord-330956-692irru4 224 11 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 224 12 Deaths Deaths NNP cord-330956-692irru4 224 13 group group VBP cord-330956-692irru4 224 14 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 224 15 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 224 16 NPI NPI NNP cord-330956-692irru4 224 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 225 1 Naif Naif NNP cord-330956-692irru4 225 2 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-330956-692irru4 225 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 225 4 9 9 CD cord-330956-692irru4 225 5 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 225 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 226 1 Additionally additionally RB cord-330956-692irru4 226 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 226 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 226 4 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 226 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 226 6 dead dead JJ cord-330956-692irru4 226 7 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 226 8 forecasted forecast VBN cord-330956-692irru4 226 9 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 226 10 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 226 11 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 226 12 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 226 13 about about RB cord-330956-692irru4 226 14 5.17 5.17 CD cord-330956-692irru4 226 15 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 226 16 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 226 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 226 18 total total JJ cord-330956-692irru4 226 19 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 226 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 227 1 Clearly clearly RB cord-330956-692irru4 227 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 227 3 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 227 4 " " `` cord-330956-692irru4 227 5 naif naif JJ cord-330956-692irru4 227 6 " " '' cord-330956-692irru4 227 7 scenario scenario NN cord-330956-692irru4 227 8 seemed seem VBD cord-330956-692irru4 227 9 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 227 10 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 227 11 unrealistic unrealistic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 227 12 since since IN cord-330956-692irru4 227 13 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 227 14 tend tend VBP cord-330956-692irru4 227 15 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 227 16 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 227 17 contact contact NN cord-330956-692irru4 227 18 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 227 19 subjects subject NNS cord-330956-692irru4 227 20 showing show VBG cord-330956-692irru4 227 21 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 227 22 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 227 23 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 227 24 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 227 25 positive positive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 227 26 due due IN cord-330956-692irru4 227 27 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 227 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 227 29 severity severity NN cord-330956-692irru4 227 30 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 227 31 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 227 32 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 227 33 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 227 34 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 228 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 228 2 consequence consequence NN cord-330956-692irru4 228 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 228 4 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 228 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 228 6 stated state VBD cord-330956-692irru4 228 7 before before RB cord-330956-692irru4 228 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 228 9 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 228 10 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 228 11 more more RBR cord-330956-692irru4 228 12 realistic realistic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 228 13 scenario scenario NN cord-330956-692irru4 228 14 α α NN cord-330956-692irru4 228 15 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 228 16 greater great JJR cord-330956-692irru4 228 17 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 228 18 β β NNP cord-330956-692irru4 228 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 229 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 229 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 229 3 rest rest NN cord-330956-692irru4 229 4 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 229 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 229 6 paper paper NN cord-330956-692irru4 229 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 229 8 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 229 9 β β NN cord-330956-692irru4 229 10 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 229 11 α/2 α/2 NN cord-330956-692irru4 229 12 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 229 13 take take VB cord-330956-692irru4 229 14 into into IN cord-330956-692irru4 229 15 account account NN cord-330956-692irru4 229 16 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 229 17 assumption assumption NN cord-330956-692irru4 229 18 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 230 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 230 2 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 231 1 5 5 CD cord-330956-692irru4 231 2 shows show VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 231 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 231 4 areas area NNS cord-330956-692irru4 231 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 231 6 every every DT cord-330956-692irru4 231 7 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 231 8 along along IN cord-330956-692irru4 231 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 231 10 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 231 11 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 231 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 231 13 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 231 14 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 231 15 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 231 16 NPI NPI NNP cord-330956-692irru4 231 17 actions action NNS cord-330956-692irru4 231 18 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 231 19 illustrative illustrative JJ cord-330956-692irru4 231 20 purposes purpose NNS cord-330956-692irru4 231 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 231 22 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 231 23 β β NN cord-330956-692irru4 231 24 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 231 25 α/2 α/2 NN cord-330956-692irru4 231 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 231 27 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 232 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 232 2 . . NNP cord-330956-692irru4 232 3 6 6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 232 4 shows show VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 232 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 232 6 evolution evolution NN cord-330956-692irru4 232 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 232 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 232 9 Hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 232 10 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 232 11 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 232 12 constant constant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 232 13 NPIs npis NN cord-330956-692irru4 232 14 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 232 15 u u NNP cord-330956-692irru4 232 16 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 232 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 232 18 proposed propose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 232 19 SP SP NNP cord-330956-692irru4 232 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 233 1 Table table NN cord-330956-692irru4 233 2 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 233 3 reports report VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 233 4 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 233 5 results result NNS cord-330956-692irru4 233 6 extracted extract VBN cord-330956-692irru4 233 7 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 233 8 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 233 9 simulations simulation NNS cord-330956-692irru4 233 10 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 234 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 234 2 results result NNS cord-330956-692irru4 234 3 presented present VBN cord-330956-692irru4 234 4 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 234 5 Table Table NNP cord-330956-692irru4 234 6 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 234 7 show show VBP cord-330956-692irru4 234 8 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 234 9 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 234 10 if if IN cord-330956-692irru4 234 11 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 234 12 mitigation mitigation NN cord-330956-692irru4 234 13 policy policy NN cord-330956-692irru4 234 14 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 234 15 12 12 CD cord-330956-692irru4 234 16 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 234 17 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 234 18 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 234 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 235 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 235 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 235 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 235 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 235 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 235 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 236 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 236 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 236 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 236 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 236 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 236 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 236 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 236 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 236 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 236 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 236 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 236 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 236 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 236 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 236 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 236 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 236 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 236 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 236 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 236 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 236 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 236 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 236 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 236 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 236 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 236 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 236 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 236 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 237 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 237 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 237 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 237 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 237 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 237 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 237 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 237 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 237 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 237 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 237 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 237 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 237 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 237 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 238 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 238 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 238 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 238 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 238 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 238 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 238 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 238 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 238 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 238 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 238 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 238 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 238 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 238 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 238 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 238 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 238 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 238 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 238 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 238 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 238 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 238 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 238 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 238 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 238 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 238 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 238 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 238 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 239 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 239 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 239 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 239 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 239 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 239 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 239 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 239 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 239 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 239 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 239 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 239 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 239 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 239 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 239 15 _SP cord-330956-692irru4 240 1 H H NNP cord-330956-692irru4 240 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 240 3 u=0 u=0 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 240 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 240 5 H h NN cord-330956-692irru4 240 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 240 7 u=0.4*(t-28 u=0.4*(t-28 UH cord-330956-692irru4 240 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 240 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 241 1 H H NNP cord-330956-692irru4 241 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 241 3 u=0.4 u=0.4 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 241 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 241 5 SP=0.008 sp=0.008 CD cord-330956-692irru4 242 1 Figure figure NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 2 6 6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 242 3 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 242 4 Population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 242 6 Hospitalized Hospitalized NNP cord-330956-692irru4 242 7 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 8 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 242 9 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 242 10 NPI NPI NNP cord-330956-692irru4 242 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 242 12 blue blue NNP cord-330956-692irru4 242 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 242 14 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 242 15 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 242 16 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 242 17 NPI npi NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 242 19 40 40 CD cord-330956-692irru4 242 20 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 21 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 242 23 yellow yellow NNP cord-330956-692irru4 242 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 242 25 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 242 26 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 242 27 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 242 28 intervention intervention NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 29 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 242 30 40 40 CD cord-330956-692irru4 242 31 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 32 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 33 applied apply VBD cord-330956-692irru4 242 34 4 4 CD cord-330956-692irru4 242 35 weeks week NNS cord-330956-692irru4 242 36 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 242 37 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 242 38 appearance appearance NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 39 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 242 40 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 242 41 first first JJ cord-330956-692irru4 242 42 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 242 44 light light JJ cord-330956-692irru4 242 45 blue blue JJ cord-330956-692irru4 242 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 242 47 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 242 48 SP SP NNP cord-330956-692irru4 242 49 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 242 50 red red NN cord-330956-692irru4 242 51 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 242 52 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 243 1 β β NNP cord-330956-692irru4 243 2 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 243 3 α/2 α/2 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 243 4 adopted adopt VBD cord-330956-692irru4 243 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 243 6 u u NN cord-330956-692irru4 243 7 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 243 8 0 0 NFP cord-330956-692irru4 243 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 243 10 approximately approximately RB cord-330956-692irru4 243 11 81 81 CD cord-330956-692irru4 243 12 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 243 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 243 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 243 15 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 243 16 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 243 17 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 243 18 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 243 19 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 243 20 4.57 4.57 CD cord-330956-692irru4 243 21 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 243 22 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 243 23 die die VB cord-330956-692irru4 243 24 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 244 1 On on IN cord-330956-692irru4 244 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 244 3 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 244 4 hand hand NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 244 6 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 244 7 relatively relatively RB cord-330956-692irru4 244 8 little little JJ cord-330956-692irru4 244 9 aggressive aggressive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 244 10 NPI npi NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 244 12 only only RB cord-330956-692irru4 244 13 40 40 CD cord-330956-692irru4 244 14 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 15 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 244 16 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 17 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 244 18 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 244 19 efficient efficient JJ cord-330956-692irru4 244 20 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 244 21 reducing reduce VBG cord-330956-692irru4 244 22 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 244 23 final final JJ cord-330956-692irru4 244 24 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 25 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 244 26 deaths death NNS cord-330956-692irru4 244 27 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 244 28 well well RB cord-330956-692irru4 244 29 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 244 30 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 244 31 maximum maximum JJ cord-330956-692irru4 244 32 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 33 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 244 34 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 244 35 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 244 36 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 244 37 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 244 38 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 244 39 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 244 40 crucial crucial JJ cord-330956-692irru4 244 41 issue issue NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 42 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 244 43 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 44 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 244 45 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 244 46 collapse collapse VB cord-330956-692irru4 244 47 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 244 48 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 49 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 244 51 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 244 52 maximum maximum JJ cord-330956-692irru4 244 53 value value NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 54 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 244 55 H h NN cord-330956-692irru4 244 56 reaches reach VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 244 57 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 244 58 SP SP NNP cord-330956-692irru4 244 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 244 60 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 245 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-330956-692irru4 245 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 245 3 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 245 4 late late JJ cord-330956-692irru4 245 5 application application NN cord-330956-692irru4 245 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 245 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 245 8 strategy strategy NN cord-330956-692irru4 245 9 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 245 10 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 245 11 4 4 CD cord-330956-692irru4 245 12 weeks week NNS cord-330956-692irru4 245 13 since since IN cord-330956-692irru4 245 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 245 15 first first JJ cord-330956-692irru4 245 16 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 245 17 arose arise VBD cord-330956-692irru4 245 18 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 245 19 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 245 20 significantly significantly RB cord-330956-692irru4 245 21 reduces reduce VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 245 22 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 245 23 numbers number NNS cord-330956-692irru4 245 24 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 246 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 246 2 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 246 3 section section NN cord-330956-692irru4 246 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 246 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 246 6 simulate simulate VBP cord-330956-692irru4 246 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 246 8 behavior behavior NN cord-330956-692irru4 246 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 246 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 246 11 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-330956-692irru4 246 12 described describe VBN cord-330956-692irru4 246 13 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 246 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 246 15 normalized normalized JJ cord-330956-692irru4 246 16 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 246 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 246 18 1 1 LS cord-330956-692irru4 246 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 246 20 subject subject JJ cord-330956-692irru4 246 21 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 246 22 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 246 23 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 246 24 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 246 25 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 246 26 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 247 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 247 2 objective objective NN cord-330956-692irru4 247 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 247 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 247 5 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 247 6 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 247 7 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 247 8 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 247 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 247 10 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 247 11 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 247 12 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 247 13 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 247 14 does do VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 247 15 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 247 16 exceed exceed VB cord-330956-692irru4 247 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 247 18 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 247 19 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 247 20 available available JJ cord-330956-692irru4 247 21 beds bed NNS cord-330956-692irru4 247 22 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 248 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 248 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 248 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 248 4 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 248 5 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 248 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 248 7 highly highly RB cord-330956-692irru4 248 8 variable variable JJ cord-330956-692irru4 248 9 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 248 10 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 248 11 countries country NNS cord-330956-692irru4 248 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 248 13 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 248 14 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 248 15 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 248 16 increased increase VBN cord-330956-692irru4 248 17 during during IN cord-330956-692irru4 248 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 248 19 duration duration NN cord-330956-692irru4 248 20 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 248 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 248 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 248 23 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 248 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 248 25 construction construction NN cord-330956-692irru4 248 26 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 248 27 field field NN cord-330956-692irru4 248 28 hospitals hospital NNS cord-330956-692irru4 248 29 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 248 30 among among IN cord-330956-692irru4 248 31 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 248 32 resources resource NNS cord-330956-692irru4 248 33 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 249 1 On on IN cord-330956-692irru4 249 2 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 249 3 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 249 4 hand hand NN cord-330956-692irru4 249 5 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 249 6 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 249 7 noted note VBN cord-330956-692irru4 249 8 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 249 9 Sec Sec NNP cord-330956-692irru4 249 10 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 250 1 3 3 LS cord-330956-692irru4 250 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 250 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 250 4 adopt adopt VB cord-330956-692irru4 250 5 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 250 6 feedback feedback NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 7 variable variable JJ cord-330956-692irru4 250 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 250 9 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 250 11 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 250 12 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 250 13 may may MD cord-330956-692irru4 250 14 lead lead VB cord-330956-692irru4 250 15 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 250 16 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 250 17 overload overload NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 250 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 250 20 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 21 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 22 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 250 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 250 24 following following JJ cord-330956-692irru4 250 25 10.6 10.6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 250 26 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 250 27 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 250 28 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 250 29 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 250 30 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 250 31 predictive predictive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 250 32 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 33 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 250 34 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 250 35 used use VBN cord-330956-692irru4 250 36 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 250 37 consider consider VB cord-330956-692irru4 250 38 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 250 39 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 40 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 250 41 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 250 42 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 250 43 I. i. NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 44 Not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 250 45 all all DT cord-330956-692irru4 250 46 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 250 47 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 250 48 need need VBP cord-330956-692irru4 250 49 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 250 50 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 251 1 Most Most JJS cord-330956-692irru4 251 2 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 251 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 251 4 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 251 5 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 251 6 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 251 7 mild mild JJ cord-330956-692irru4 251 8 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 251 9 remain remain VBP cord-330956-692irru4 251 10 mild mild JJ cord-330956-692irru4 251 11 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 251 12 severity severity NN cord-330956-692irru4 251 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 251 14 Low20 Low20 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 251 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 251 16 SLX SLX NNP cord-330956-692irru4 251 17 + + SYM cord-330956-692irru4 251 18 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 251 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 251 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 251 21 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 251 22 − − NN cord-330956-692irru4 251 23 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 251 24 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 251 25 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 251 26 81 81 CD cord-330956-692irru4 251 27 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 251 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 251 29 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 252 1 So so RB cord-330956-692irru4 252 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 252 3 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 252 4 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 252 5 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 252 6 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 252 7 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 252 8 19 19 CD cord-330956-692irru4 252 9 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 252 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 252 11 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 252 12 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 252 13 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 252 14 need need VB cord-330956-692irru4 252 15 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 252 16 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 252 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 252 18 following follow VBG cord-330956-692irru4 252 19 δ δ NN cord-330956-692irru4 252 20 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 252 21 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 252 22 5.5 5.5 CD cord-330956-692irru4 252 23 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 252 24 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 253 1 This this DT cord-330956-692irru4 253 2 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 253 3 plus plus IN cord-330956-692irru4 253 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 253 5 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 253 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 253 7 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 253 8 already already RB cord-330956-692irru4 253 9 hospitalized hospitalize VBD cord-330956-692irru4 253 10 H h NN cord-330956-692irru4 253 11 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 253 12 remain remain VB cord-330956-692irru4 253 13 below below IN cord-330956-692irru4 253 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 253 15 set set NN cord-330956-692irru4 253 16 point point NN cord-330956-692irru4 253 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 254 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 254 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 254 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 254 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 254 5 neglect neglect VBP cord-330956-692irru4 254 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 254 7 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 254 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 254 9 beds bed NNS cord-330956-692irru4 254 10 occupied occupy VBN cord-330956-692irru4 254 11 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 254 12 patients patient NNS cord-330956-692irru4 254 13 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 254 14 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 254 15 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 254 16 diseases disease NNS cord-330956-692irru4 254 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 255 1 Hence hence RB cord-330956-692irru4 255 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 255 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 255 4 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 255 5 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 255 6 variable variable NN cord-330956-692irru4 255 7 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 255 8 chosen choose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 255 9 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 255 10 where where WRB cord-330956-692irru4 255 11 k k NNP cord-330956-692irru4 255 12 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 255 13 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 255 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 255 15 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 255 16 scalar scalar JJ cord-330956-692irru4 255 17 gain gain NN cord-330956-692irru4 255 18 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 255 19 values value NNS cord-330956-692irru4 255 20 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 255 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 255 22 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 255 23 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 255 24 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 255 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 255 26 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 256 1 Note note VB cord-330956-692irru4 256 2 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 3 if if IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 256 5 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 256 6 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 256 7 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 256 8 u u NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 9 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 256 10 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 256 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 256 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 256 13 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 256 14 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 256 15 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 16 need need NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 17 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 18 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 19 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 256 20 intervention intervention NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 21 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 22 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 23 one one NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 24 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 256 25 going go VBG cord-330956-692irru4 256 26 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 256 27 require require VB cord-330956-692irru4 256 28 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 29 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 30 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 31 following following JJ cord-330956-692irru4 256 32 5.5 5.5 CD cord-330956-692irru4 256 33 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 256 34 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 256 35 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 256 36 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 37 k k NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 38 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 39 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 256 40 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 256 41 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 256 42 if if IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 43 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 44 percentage percentage NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 45 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 46 19 19 CD cord-330956-692irru4 256 47 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 48 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 49 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 50 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 256 51 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 256 52 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 256 53 equal equal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 256 54 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 55 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 56 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 57 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 58 available available JJ cord-330956-692irru4 256 59 beds bed NNS cord-330956-692irru4 256 60 SP SP NNP cord-330956-692irru4 256 61 − − NNP cord-330956-692irru4 256 62 H H NNP cord-330956-692irru4 256 63 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 256 64 u u NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 65 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 256 66 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 256 67 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 256 68 means mean VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 256 69 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 70 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 71 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 256 72 intervention intervention NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 73 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 256 74 completely completely RB cord-330956-692irru4 256 75 avoid avoid VB cord-330956-692irru4 256 76 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 77 transmission transmission NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 78 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 79 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 80 virus virus NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 81 because because IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 82 all all PDT cord-330956-692irru4 256 83 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 256 84 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 256 85 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 256 86 require require VB cord-330956-692irru4 256 87 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 88 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 89 δ δ NN cord-330956-692irru4 256 90 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 256 91 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 256 92 5.5 5.5 CD cord-330956-692irru4 256 93 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 256 94 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 256 95 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 256 96 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 257 1 Another another DT cord-330956-692irru4 257 2 point point NN cord-330956-692irru4 257 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 257 4 view view NN cord-330956-692irru4 257 5 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 257 6 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 257 7 consider consider VB cord-330956-692irru4 257 8 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 257 9 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 257 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 257 11 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 257 12 tracking tracking NN cord-330956-692irru4 257 13 trajectory trajectory NN cord-330956-692irru4 257 14 problem problem NN cord-330956-692irru4 257 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 257 16 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 257 17 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 257 18 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 257 19 dependent dependent JJ cord-330956-692irru4 257 20 reference reference NN cord-330956-692irru4 257 21 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 257 22 equal equal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 257 23 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 257 24 r(t r(t NNP cord-330956-692irru4 257 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 257 26 = = NFP cord-330956-692irru4 258 1 SP SP NNP cord-330956-692irru4 258 2 − − NNP cord-330956-692irru4 259 1 H(t H(t NNP cord-330956-692irru4 259 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 259 3 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 260 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 260 2 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 260 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 260 4 same same JJ cord-330956-692irru4 260 5 initial initial JJ cord-330956-692irru4 260 6 condition condition NN cord-330956-692irru4 260 7 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 260 8 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 260 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 260 10 former former JJ cord-330956-692irru4 260 11 series series NN cord-330956-692irru4 260 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 260 13 experiments experiment NNS cord-330956-692irru4 260 14 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 260 15 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 260 16 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 260 17 E e NN cord-330956-692irru4 260 18 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 260 19 0.001 0.001 CD cord-330956-692irru4 260 20 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 260 21 i.e. i.e. FW cord-330956-692irru4 260 22 0.1 0.1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 260 23 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 260 24 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 260 25 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 260 26 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 260 27 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 260 28 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 260 29 presenting present VBG cord-330956-692irru4 260 30 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 260 31 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 260 32 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 260 33 first first JJ cord-330956-692irru4 260 34 day day NN cord-330956-692irru4 260 35 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 260 36 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 260 37 suppose suppose VBP cord-330956-692irru4 260 38 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 260 39 0.1 0.1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 260 40 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 260 41 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 260 42 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 260 43 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 260 44 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 260 45 infected infect VBN cord-330956-692irru4 260 46 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 260 47 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 260 48 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 261 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 261 2 . . NNP cord-330956-692irru4 261 3 7 7 CD cord-330956-692irru4 261 4 shows show VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 261 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 261 6 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-330956-692irru4 261 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 261 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 261 9 variables variable NNS cord-330956-692irru4 261 10 vs. vs. IN cord-330956-692irru4 261 11 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 261 12 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 261 13 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 261 14 gain gain NN cord-330956-692irru4 261 15 k k NN cord-330956-692irru4 261 16 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 261 17 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 261 18 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 261 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 262 1 Note note VB cord-330956-692irru4 262 2 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 262 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 262 4 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 262 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 262 6 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 262 7 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 262 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 262 9 always always RB cord-330956-692irru4 262 10 smaller small JJR cord-330956-692irru4 262 11 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 262 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 262 13 set set NN cord-330956-692irru4 262 14 point point NN cord-330956-692irru4 262 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 263 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 263 2 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 264 1 8 8 CD cord-330956-692irru4 264 2 shows show VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 264 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 264 4 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 264 5 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 264 6 vs. vs. IN cord-330956-692irru4 264 7 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 264 8 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 265 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 265 2 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 265 3 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 265 4 presents present VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 265 5 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 265 6 maximum maximum JJ cord-330956-692irru4 265 7 value value NN cord-330956-692irru4 265 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 265 9 0.8227 0.8227 CD cord-330956-692irru4 265 10 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 265 11 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 265 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 265 13 area area NN cord-330956-692irru4 265 14 under under IN cord-330956-692irru4 265 15 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 265 16 curve curve NN cord-330956-692irru4 265 17 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 265 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 265 19 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 265 20 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 265 21 vs. vs. IN cord-330956-692irru4 265 22 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 265 23 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 265 24 98.8829 98.8829 CD cord-330956-692irru4 265 25 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 266 1 Of of RB cord-330956-692irru4 266 2 course course RB cord-330956-692irru4 266 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 266 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 266 5 smaller small JJR cord-330956-692irru4 266 6 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 266 7 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 266 8 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 266 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 266 10 less less RBR cord-330956-692irru4 266 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 266 12 damage damage NN cord-330956-692irru4 266 13 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 266 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 266 15 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 266 16 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 266 17 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 266 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 266 19 economy economy NN cord-330956-692irru4 266 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 267 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 267 2 constant constant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 267 3 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 267 4 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 267 5 equal equal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 267 6 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 267 7 0.4 0.4 CD cord-330956-692irru4 267 8 presents present VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 267 9 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 267 10 area area NN cord-330956-692irru4 267 11 under under IN cord-330956-692irru4 267 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 267 13 curve curve NN cord-330956-692irru4 267 14 equal equal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 267 15 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 267 16 100 100 CD cord-330956-692irru4 267 17 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 267 18 equal equal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 267 19 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 267 20 88.8 88.8 CD cord-330956-692irru4 267 21 when when WRB cord-330956-692irru4 267 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 267 23 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 267 24 applied apply VBN cord-330956-692irru4 267 25 after after IN cord-330956-692irru4 267 26 4 4 CD cord-330956-692irru4 267 27 weeks week NNS cord-330956-692irru4 267 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 267 29 see see VB cord-330956-692irru4 267 30 Table table NN cord-330956-692irru4 267 31 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 267 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 267 33 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 268 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 268 2 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 268 3 bear bear VB cord-330956-692irru4 268 4 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 268 5 mind mind NN cord-330956-692irru4 268 6 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 268 7 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 268 8 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 268 9 determined determine VBN cord-330956-692irru4 268 10 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 268 11 governmental governmental JJ cord-330956-692irru4 268 12 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 268 13 popular popular JJ cord-330956-692irru4 268 14 decisions decision NNS cord-330956-692irru4 268 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 268 16 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 268 17 hardly hardly RB cord-330956-692irru4 268 18 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 268 19 change change VB cord-330956-692irru4 268 20 every every DT cord-330956-692irru4 268 21 day day NN cord-330956-692irru4 268 22 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 268 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 268 24 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 268 25 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 268 26 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 268 27 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 268 28 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 268 29 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 268 30 controller controller NN cord-330956-692irru4 268 31 does do VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 268 32 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 269 1 Thus thus RB cord-330956-692irru4 269 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 269 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 269 4 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 269 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 269 6 application application NN cord-330956-692irru4 269 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 269 8 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 269 9 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 269 10 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 269 11 shown show VBN cord-330956-692irru4 269 12 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 269 13 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 269 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 270 1 9 9 LS cord-330956-692irru4 270 2 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 271 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 271 2 amplitudes amplitude NNS cord-330956-692irru4 271 3 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 271 4 times time NNS cord-330956-692irru4 271 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 271 6 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 271 7 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 271 8 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 271 9 were be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 271 10 obtained obtain VBN cord-330956-692irru4 271 11 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 271 12 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 271 13 shown show VBN cord-330956-692irru4 271 14 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 271 15 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 271 16 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 272 1 8 8 CD cord-330956-692irru4 272 2 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 273 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 273 2 detail detail NN cord-330956-692irru4 273 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 273 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 273 5 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-330956-692irru4 273 6 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 273 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 273 8 states state NNS cord-330956-692irru4 273 9 presented present VBN cord-330956-692irru4 273 10 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 273 11 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 273 12 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 274 1 10 10 CD cord-330956-692irru4 274 2 shows show NNS cord-330956-692irru4 274 3 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 274 4 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 274 5 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 274 6 no no DT cord-330956-692irru4 274 7 significant significant JJ cord-330956-692irru4 274 8 changes change NNS cord-330956-692irru4 274 9 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 274 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 274 11 results result NNS cord-330956-692irru4 274 12 presented present VBN cord-330956-692irru4 274 13 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 275 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 275 2 maximum maximum JJ cord-330956-692irru4 275 3 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 275 4 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 275 5 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 275 6 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 275 7 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 275 8 0.0057 0.0057 CD cord-330956-692irru4 275 9 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 275 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 275 11 final final JJ cord-330956-692irru4 275 12 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 275 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 275 14 deaths death NNS cord-330956-692irru4 275 15 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 275 16 0.0132 0.0132 CD cord-330956-692irru4 275 17 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 275 18 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 275 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 275 20 area area NN cord-330956-692irru4 275 21 under under IN cord-330956-692irru4 275 22 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 275 23 curve curve NN cord-330956-692irru4 275 24 u u NN cord-330956-692irru4 275 25 vs. vs. FW cord-330956-692irru4 275 26 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 275 27 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 275 28 87.38 87.38 CD cord-330956-692irru4 275 29 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 276 1 15 15 CD cord-330956-692irru4 277 1 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 277 2 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 277 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 277 4 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 278 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 278 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 278 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 278 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 278 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 278 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 279 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 279 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 279 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 279 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 279 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 279 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 279 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 279 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 279 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 279 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 279 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 279 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 279 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 279 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 279 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 279 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 279 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 279 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 279 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 279 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 279 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 279 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 279 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 279 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 279 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 279 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 279 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 279 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 280 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 280 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 280 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 280 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 280 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 280 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 280 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 280 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 280 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 280 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 280 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 280 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 280 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 280 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 281 1 16 16 CD cord-330956-692irru4 282 1 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 282 2 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 282 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 282 4 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 283 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 283 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 283 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 283 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 283 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 283 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 284 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 284 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 284 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 284 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 284 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 284 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 284 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 284 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 284 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 284 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 284 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 284 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 284 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 284 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 284 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 284 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 284 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 284 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 284 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 284 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 284 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 284 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 284 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 284 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 284 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 284 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 284 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 284 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 285 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 285 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 285 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 285 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 285 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 285 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 285 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 285 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 285 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 285 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 285 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 285 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 285 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 285 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 286 1 17 17 CD cord-330956-692irru4 287 1 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 287 2 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 287 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 287 4 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 288 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 288 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 288 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 288 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 288 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 288 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 289 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 289 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 289 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 289 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 289 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 289 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 289 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 289 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 289 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 289 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 289 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 289 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 289 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 289 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 289 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 289 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 289 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 289 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 289 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 289 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 289 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 289 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 289 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 289 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 289 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 289 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 289 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 289 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 290 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 290 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 290 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 290 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 290 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 290 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 290 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 290 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 290 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 290 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 290 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 290 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 290 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 290 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 290 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 291 1 Table table NN cord-330956-692irru4 291 2 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 291 3 shows show VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 291 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 291 5 main main JJ cord-330956-692irru4 291 6 results result NNS cord-330956-692irru4 291 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 291 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 291 9 application application NN cord-330956-692irru4 291 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 291 11 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 291 12 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 291 13 using use VBG cord-330956-692irru4 291 14 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 291 15 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 291 16 controller controller NN cord-330956-692irru4 291 17 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 291 18 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 291 19 values value NNS cord-330956-692irru4 291 20 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 291 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 291 22 scalar scalar JJ cord-330956-692irru4 291 23 gain gain NN cord-330956-692irru4 291 24 k k NNP cord-330956-692irru4 291 25 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 291 26 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 292 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 292 2 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 292 3 section section NN cord-330956-692irru4 292 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 292 5 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 292 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 292 7 more more RBR cord-330956-692irru4 292 8 realistic realistic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 292 9 situation situation NN cord-330956-692irru4 292 10 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 292 11 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 292 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 292 13 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 292 14 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 292 15 partially partially RB cord-330956-692irru4 292 16 unknown unknown JJ cord-330956-692irru4 292 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 293 1 As as IN cord-330956-692irru4 293 2 mentioned mention VBN cord-330956-692irru4 293 3 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 293 4 Sec Sec NNP cord-330956-692irru4 293 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 294 1 2 2 LS cord-330956-692irru4 294 2 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 294 3 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 294 4 large large JJ cord-330956-692irru4 294 5 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-330956-692irru4 294 6 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 294 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 294 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 294 9 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 294 10 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 294 11 diverge diverge VBP cord-330956-692irru4 294 12 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 294 13 lot lot NN cord-330956-692irru4 294 14 according accord VBG cord-330956-692irru4 294 15 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 294 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 294 17 researched research VBN cord-330956-692irru4 294 18 references reference NNS cord-330956-692irru4 294 19 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 294 20 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 294 21 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 294 22 very very RB cord-330956-692irru4 294 23 different different JJ cord-330956-692irru4 294 24 according accord VBG cord-330956-692irru4 294 25 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 294 26 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 294 27 country country NN cord-330956-692irru4 294 28 studied study VBD cord-330956-692irru4 294 29 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 295 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 295 2 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 295 3 series series NN cord-330956-692irru4 295 4 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 295 5 experiments experiment NNS cord-330956-692irru4 295 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 295 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 295 8 parameter parameter NN cord-330956-692irru4 295 9 α α NN cord-330956-692irru4 295 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 295 11 randomly randomly RB cord-330956-692irru4 295 12 chosen choose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 295 13 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 295 14 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 295 15 randomly randomly RB cord-330956-692irru4 295 16 chosen choose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 295 17 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 295 18 0.15 0.15 CD cord-330956-692irru4 295 19 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 295 20 0.6 0.6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 295 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 296 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 296 2 parameter parameter NN cord-330956-692irru4 296 3 β β XX cord-330956-692irru4 296 4 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 296 5 0.008 0.008 CD cord-330956-692irru4 296 6 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 296 7 0.04 0.04 CD cord-330956-692irru4 296 8 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 297 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 297 2 incubation incubation NN cord-330956-692irru4 297 3 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 297 4 γ γ NN cord-330956-692irru4 297 5 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 297 6 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 297 7 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 297 8 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 297 9 6 6 CD cord-330956-692irru4 297 10 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 297 11 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 298 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 298 2 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 298 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 298 4 present present JJ cord-330956-692irru4 298 5 symptoms symptom NNS cord-330956-692irru4 298 6 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 298 7 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 298 8 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 298 9 40 40 CD cord-330956-692irru4 298 10 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 298 11 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 298 12 80 80 CD cord-330956-692irru4 298 13 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 298 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 299 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 299 2 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 299 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 299 4 recovering recover VBG cord-330956-692irru4 299 5 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 299 6 14 14 CD cord-330956-692irru4 299 7 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 299 8 16 16 CD cord-330956-692irru4 299 9 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 299 10 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 299 11 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 299 12 both both CC cord-330956-692irru4 299 13 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 299 14 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 299 15 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 299 16 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 299 17 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 300 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 300 2 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 300 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 300 4 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 300 5 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 300 6 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 300 7 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 300 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 300 9 considered consider VBN cord-330956-692irru4 300 10 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 300 11 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 300 12 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-330956-692irru4 300 13 distribution distribution NN cord-330956-692irru4 300 14 function function NN cord-330956-692irru4 300 15 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 300 16 mean mean JJ cord-330956-692irru4 300 17 0.19 0.19 CD cord-330956-692irru4 300 18 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 300 19 standard standard JJ cord-330956-692irru4 300 20 deviation deviation NN cord-330956-692irru4 300 21 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 300 22 0.1 0.1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 300 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 301 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 301 2 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 301 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 301 4 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 301 5 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 301 6 δ δ IN cord-330956-692irru4 301 7 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 301 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 301 9 chosen choose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 301 10 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 301 11 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 301 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 301 13 7 7 CD cord-330956-692irru4 301 14 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 301 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 302 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 302 2 probability probability NN cord-330956-692irru4 302 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 302 4 die die VB cord-330956-692irru4 302 5 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 302 6 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 302 7 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 302 8 10 10 CD cord-330956-692irru4 302 9 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 302 10 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 302 11 16 16 CD cord-330956-692irru4 302 12 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 302 13 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 303 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 303 2 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 303 3 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 303 4 die die VB cord-330956-692irru4 303 5 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 303 6 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 303 7 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 303 8 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 303 9 12 12 CD cord-330956-692irru4 303 10 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 303 11 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 304 1 Finally finally RB cord-330956-692irru4 304 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 304 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 304 4 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 304 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 304 6 recovering recover VBG cord-330956-692irru4 304 7 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 304 8 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-330956-692irru4 304 9 µ µ NN cord-330956-692irru4 304 10 −1 −1 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 304 11 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 304 12 randomly randomly RB cord-330956-692irru4 304 13 chosen choose VBN cord-330956-692irru4 304 14 between between IN cord-330956-692irru4 304 15 10 10 CD cord-330956-692irru4 304 16 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 304 17 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 304 18 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 304 19 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 305 1 In in IN cord-330956-692irru4 305 2 addition addition NN cord-330956-692irru4 305 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 305 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 305 5 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 305 6 consider consider VBP cord-330956-692irru4 305 7 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 305 8 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 305 9 exists exist VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 305 10 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 305 11 noncompliance noncompliance NN cord-330956-692irru4 305 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 305 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 305 14 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 305 15 interventions intervention NNS cord-330956-692irru4 305 16 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 306 1 Hence hence RB cord-330956-692irru4 306 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 306 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 306 4 apply apply VBP cord-330956-692irru4 306 5 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 306 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 306 7 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 306 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 306 9 1 1 LS cord-330956-692irru4 306 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 306 11 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 306 12 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 306 13 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 306 14 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 306 15 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-330956-692irru4 306 16 distribution distribution NN cord-330956-692irru4 306 17 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 306 18 mean mean NN cord-330956-692irru4 306 19 80 80 CD cord-330956-692irru4 306 20 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 306 21 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 306 22 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 306 23 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 306 24 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 306 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 306 26 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 306 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 306 28 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 306 29 standard standard JJ cord-330956-692irru4 306 30 deviation deviation NN cord-330956-692irru4 306 31 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 306 32 10 10 CD cord-330956-692irru4 306 33 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 306 34 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 307 1 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 307 2 is is RB cord-330956-692irru4 307 3 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 307 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 307 5 assume assume VBP cord-330956-692irru4 307 6 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 307 7 there there EX cord-330956-692irru4 307 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 307 9 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 307 10 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 307 11 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 307 12 average average NN cord-330956-692irru4 307 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 307 14 noncompliance noncompliance NN cord-330956-692irru4 307 15 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 307 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 307 17 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 307 18 measures measure NNS cord-330956-692irru4 307 19 adopted adopt VBN cord-330956-692irru4 307 20 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 308 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 308 2 initial initial JJ cord-330956-692irru4 308 3 conditions condition NNS cord-330956-692irru4 308 4 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 308 5 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 308 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 309 1 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 309 2 E e NN cord-330956-692irru4 309 3 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 309 4 0.001 0.001 CD cord-330956-692irru4 309 5 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 309 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 309 7 gain gain NN cord-330956-692irru4 309 8 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 309 9 k k NN cord-330956-692irru4 309 10 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 309 11 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 309 12 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 309 13 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 310 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-330956-692irru4 310 2 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 310 3 _SP cord-330956-692irru4 311 1 11 11 CD cord-330956-692irru4 311 2 shows show VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 311 3 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 311 4 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-330956-692irru4 311 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 311 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 311 7 states state NNS cord-330956-692irru4 311 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 311 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 311 10 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 311 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 311 12 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 311 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 311 14 during during IN cord-330956-692irru4 311 15 250 250 CD cord-330956-692irru4 311 16 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 311 17 since since IN cord-330956-692irru4 311 18 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 311 19 first first JJ cord-330956-692irru4 311 20 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 311 21 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 311 22 arose arise VBD cord-330956-692irru4 311 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 312 1 18 18 CD cord-330956-692irru4 312 2 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 312 3 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 312 4 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 312 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 313 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 313 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 313 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 313 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 313 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 313 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 314 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 314 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 314 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 314 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 314 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 314 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 314 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 314 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 314 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 314 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 314 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 314 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 314 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 314 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 314 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 314 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 314 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 314 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 314 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 314 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 314 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 314 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 314 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 314 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 314 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 314 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 314 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 314 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 315 1 Figure figure NN cord-330956-692irru4 315 2 11 11 CD cord-330956-692irru4 315 3 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 315 4 Evolution evolution NN cord-330956-692irru4 315 5 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 315 6 every every DT cord-330956-692irru4 315 7 group group NN cord-330956-692irru4 315 8 over over IN cord-330956-692irru4 315 9 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 315 10 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 315 11 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 315 12 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 315 13 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 315 14 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 315 15 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 315 16 gain gain NN cord-330956-692irru4 315 17 k k NN cord-330956-692irru4 315 18 p p NN cord-330956-692irru4 316 1 = = SYM cord-330956-692irru4 316 2 1 1 CD cord-330956-692irru4 316 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 316 4 left left RB cord-330956-692irru4 316 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 316 6 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 316 7 considering consider VBG cord-330956-692irru4 316 8 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 316 9 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 316 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 316 11 noncompliance noncompliance NN cord-330956-692irru4 316 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 316 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 316 14 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 316 15 policies policy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 316 16 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 316 17 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 316 18 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 317 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 317 2 picture picture NN cord-330956-692irru4 317 3 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 317 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 317 5 right right NN cord-330956-692irru4 317 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 317 7 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 317 8 zoom zoom NN cord-330956-692irru4 317 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 317 10 that that DT cord-330956-692irru4 317 11 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 317 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 317 13 left left NN cord-330956-692irru4 317 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 318 1 Set Set VBN cord-330956-692irru4 318 2 point point NN cord-330956-692irru4 318 3 equal equal JJ cord-330956-692irru4 318 4 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 318 5 0.008 0.008 CD cord-330956-692irru4 318 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 319 1 Table table NN cord-330956-692irru4 319 2 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 319 3 reports report VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 319 4 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 319 5 results result NNS cord-330956-692irru4 319 6 extracted extract VBN cord-330956-692irru4 319 7 from from IN cord-330956-692irru4 319 8 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 319 9 series series NN cord-330956-692irru4 319 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 319 11 simulations simulation NNS cord-330956-692irru4 319 12 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 320 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 320 2 similarity similarity NN cord-330956-692irru4 320 3 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 320 4 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 320 5 results result NNS cord-330956-692irru4 320 6 reported report VBN cord-330956-692irru4 320 7 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 320 8 Tables table NNS cord-330956-692irru4 320 9 2 2 CD cord-330956-692irru4 320 10 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 320 11 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 320 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 320 13 as as RB cord-330956-692irru4 320 14 well well RB cord-330956-692irru4 320 15 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 320 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 320 17 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-330956-692irru4 320 18 shown show VBN cord-330956-692irru4 320 19 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 320 20 Figs Figs NNPS cord-330956-692irru4 320 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 321 1 7 7 CD cord-330956-692irru4 321 2 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 321 3 11 11 CD cord-330956-692irru4 321 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 321 5 show show VBP cord-330956-692irru4 321 6 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 321 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 321 8 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 321 9 controller controller NN cord-330956-692irru4 321 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 321 11 robust robust JJ cord-330956-692irru4 321 12 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 321 13 parameter parameter VB cord-330956-692irru4 321 14 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-330956-692irru4 321 15 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 321 16 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 321 17 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 321 18 noncomplaince noncomplaince NN cord-330956-692irru4 321 19 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 321 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 321 21 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 321 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 321 23 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 321 24 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 321 25 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 321 26 course course NN cord-330956-692irru4 321 27 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 321 28 always always RB cord-330956-692irru4 321 29 occurs occur VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 321 30 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 321 31 practice practice NN cord-330956-692irru4 321 32 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 322 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 322 2 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 322 3 controller controller NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 4 proposed propose VBD cord-330956-692irru4 322 5 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 322 6 guide guide VB cord-330956-692irru4 322 7 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 322 8 adoption adoption NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 322 10 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 322 11 shown show VBD cord-330956-692irru4 322 12 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 322 13 efficiency efficiency NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 14 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 322 15 keep keep VB cord-330956-692irru4 322 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 322 17 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 322 19 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-330956-692irru4 322 20 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 322 21 below below IN cord-330956-692irru4 322 22 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 322 23 set set NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 24 point point NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 25 given give VBN cord-330956-692irru4 322 26 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 322 27 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 322 28 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 29 system system NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 30 capacity capacity NN cord-330956-692irru4 322 31 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 323 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-330956-692irru4 323 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 323 3 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 323 4 very very RB cord-330956-692irru4 323 5 simple simple JJ cord-330956-692irru4 323 6 strategy strategy NN cord-330956-692irru4 323 7 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 323 8 robust robust JJ cord-330956-692irru4 323 9 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 323 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 323 11 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-330956-692irru4 323 12 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 323 13 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 323 14 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 323 15 level level NN cord-330956-692irru4 323 16 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 323 17 noncompliance noncompliance NN cord-330956-692irru4 323 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 323 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 323 20 19 19 CD cord-330956-692irru4 323 21 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 323 22 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 323 23 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 323 24 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 324 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 324 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 324 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 324 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 324 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 324 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 325 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 325 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 325 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 325 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 325 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 325 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 325 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 325 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 325 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 325 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 325 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 325 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 325 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 325 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 325 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 325 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 325 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 325 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 325 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 325 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 325 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 325 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 325 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 325 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 325 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 325 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 325 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 325 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 326 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 326 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 326 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 326 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 326 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 326 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 326 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 326 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 326 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 326 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 326 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 326 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 326 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 326 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 327 1 Figure figure NN cord-330956-692irru4 327 2 12 12 CD cord-330956-692irru4 327 3 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 328 1 Control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 328 2 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 328 3 over over IN cord-330956-692irru4 328 4 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 328 5 using use VBG cord-330956-692irru4 328 6 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 328 7 proportional proportional JJ cord-330956-692irru4 328 8 controller controller NN cord-330956-692irru4 328 9 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 328 10 considering consider VBG cord-330956-692irru4 328 11 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 328 12 % % NN cord-330956-692irru4 328 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 328 14 noncompliance noncompliance NN cord-330956-692irru4 328 15 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 328 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 328 17 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 328 18 policies policy NNS cord-330956-692irru4 328 19 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 328 20 average average JJ cord-330956-692irru4 328 21 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 329 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 329 2 blue blue JJ cord-330956-692irru4 329 3 curve curve NN cord-330956-692irru4 329 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 329 5 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 329 6 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 329 7 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 329 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 329 9 3 3 CD cord-330956-692irru4 329 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 329 11 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 329 12 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 329 13 red red JJ cord-330956-692irru4 329 14 curve curve NN cord-330956-692irru4 329 15 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 329 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 329 17 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 329 18 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 329 19 considering consider VBG cord-330956-692irru4 329 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 329 21 randomic randomic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 329 22 noncompliance noncompliance NN cord-330956-692irru4 329 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 330 1 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 330 2 measures measure NNS cord-330956-692irru4 330 3 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 331 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 331 2 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 331 3 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 331 4 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 331 5 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 331 6 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 331 7 method method NN cord-330956-692irru4 331 8 aims aim VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 331 9 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 331 10 guide guide VB cord-330956-692irru4 331 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 331 12 adoption adoption NN cord-330956-692irru4 331 13 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 331 14 NPIs npi NNS cord-330956-692irru4 331 15 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 331 16 order order NN cord-330956-692irru4 331 17 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 331 18 minimizing minimize VBG cord-330956-692irru4 331 19 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 331 20 social social JJ cord-330956-692irru4 331 21 impact impact NN cord-330956-692irru4 331 22 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 331 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 331 24 economical economical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 331 25 damages damage NNS cord-330956-692irru4 331 26 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 332 1 As as IN cord-330956-692irru4 332 2 an an DT cord-330956-692irru4 332 3 example example NN cord-330956-692irru4 332 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 332 5 recently recently RB cord-330956-692irru4 332 6 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 332 7 Argentine argentine JJ cord-330956-692irru4 332 8 government government NN cord-330956-692irru4 332 9 relaxed relax VBD cord-330956-692irru4 332 10 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 332 11 restrictions restriction NNS cord-330956-692irru4 332 12 adopted adopt VBN cord-330956-692irru4 332 13 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 332 14 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 332 15 quarantine quarantine NN cord-330956-692irru4 332 16 period period NN cord-330956-692irru4 332 17 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 332 18 allowing allow VBG cord-330956-692irru4 332 19 more more JJR cord-330956-692irru4 332 20 economic economic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 332 21 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 332 22 recreational recreational JJ cord-330956-692irru4 332 23 activities activity NNS cord-330956-692irru4 332 24 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 332 25 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 332 26 cities city NNS cord-330956-692irru4 332 27 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 333 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 333 2 only only JJ cord-330956-692irru4 333 3 criterion criterion NN cord-330956-692irru4 333 4 used use VBN cord-330956-692irru4 333 5 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 333 6 adopt adopt VB cord-330956-692irru4 333 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 333 8 measure measure NN cord-330956-692irru4 333 9 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 333 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 333 11 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 333 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 333 13 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 333 14 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 333 15 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 333 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 333 17 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 333 18 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 333 19 infected infected JJ cord-330956-692irru4 333 20 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 333 21 doubled double VBD cord-330956-692irru4 333 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 333 23 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 333 24 so so RB cord-330956-692irru4 333 25 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 333 26 called call VBN cord-330956-692irru4 333 27 doubling double VBG cord-330956-692irru4 333 28 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 333 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 333 30 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 334 1 Even even RB cord-330956-692irru4 334 2 thought think VBD cord-330956-692irru4 334 3 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 334 4 decision decision NN cord-330956-692irru4 334 5 also also RB cord-330956-692irru4 334 6 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 334 7 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 334 8 considered consider VBN cord-330956-692irru4 334 9 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 334 10 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 334 11 closed closed JJ cord-330956-692irru4 334 12 loop loop NN cord-330956-692irru4 334 13 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 334 14 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 334 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 334 16 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 334 17 criterion criterion NN cord-330956-692irru4 334 18 adopted adopt VBD cord-330956-692irru4 334 19 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 334 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 334 21 little little JJ cord-330956-692irru4 334 22 improvised improvised JJ cord-330956-692irru4 334 23 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 335 1 An an DT cord-330956-692irru4 335 2 open open JJ cord-330956-692irru4 335 3 question question NN cord-330956-692irru4 335 4 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 335 5 how how WRB cord-330956-692irru4 335 6 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 335 7 translate translate VB cord-330956-692irru4 335 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 335 9 rate rate NN cord-330956-692irru4 335 10 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 335 11 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-330956-692irru4 335 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 335 13 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 335 14 NPI NPI NNP cord-330956-692irru4 335 15 calculated calculate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 335 16 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 335 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 335 18 controller controller NN cord-330956-692irru4 335 19 into into IN cord-330956-692irru4 335 20 concrete concrete JJ cord-330956-692irru4 335 21 actions action NNS cord-330956-692irru4 335 22 adopted adopt VBN cord-330956-692irru4 335 23 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 335 24 governments government NNS cord-330956-692irru4 335 25 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 335 26 public public JJ cord-330956-692irru4 335 27 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 335 28 authorities authority NNS cord-330956-692irru4 335 29 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 336 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-330956-692irru4 336 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 336 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 336 4 must must MD cord-330956-692irru4 336 5 bear bear VB cord-330956-692irru4 336 6 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 336 7 mind mind NN cord-330956-692irru4 336 8 that that IN cord-330956-692irru4 336 9 these these DT cord-330956-692irru4 336 10 measures measure NNS cord-330956-692irru4 336 11 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 336 12 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 336 13 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 336 14 continuously continuously RB cord-330956-692irru4 336 15 varied varied JJ cord-330956-692irru4 336 16 along along IN cord-330956-692irru4 336 17 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 336 18 time time NN cord-330956-692irru4 336 19 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 336 20 as as IN cord-330956-692irru4 336 21 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 336 22 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 336 23 signal signal NN cord-330956-692irru4 336 24 does do VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 336 25 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 336 26 but but CC cord-330956-692irru4 336 27 they -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 336 28 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 336 29 decisions decision NNS cord-330956-692irru4 336 30 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 336 31 will will MD cord-330956-692irru4 336 32 remain remain VB cord-330956-692irru4 336 33 valid valid JJ cord-330956-692irru4 336 34 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 336 35 at at IN cord-330956-692irru4 336 36 least least JJS cord-330956-692irru4 336 37 few few JJ cord-330956-692irru4 336 38 days day NNS cord-330956-692irru4 336 39 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 337 1 However however RB cord-330956-692irru4 337 2 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 337 3 although although IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 4 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 5 issue issue NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 337 7 out out IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 8 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 9 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 10 scope scope NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 11 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 12 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 13 paper paper NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 14 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 337 15 some some DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 16 decision decision NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 17 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 337 18 be be VB cord-330956-692irru4 337 19 changed change VBN cord-330956-692irru4 337 20 every every DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 21 day day NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 22 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 337 23 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 24 example example NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 25 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 337 26 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 27 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 28 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 29 individuals individual NNS cord-330956-692irru4 337 30 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 31 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 32 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 337 33 leave leave VB cord-330956-692irru4 337 34 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-330956-692irru4 337 35 homes home NNS cord-330956-692irru4 337 36 or or CC cord-330956-692irru4 337 37 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 38 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 39 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 40 people people NNS cord-330956-692irru4 337 41 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 337 42 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 337 43 get get VB cord-330956-692irru4 337 44 into into IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 45 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 46 store store NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 47 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 337 48 among among IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 49 other other JJ cord-330956-692irru4 337 50 little little JJ cord-330956-692irru4 337 51 decisions decision NNS cord-330956-692irru4 337 52 that that WDT cord-330956-692irru4 337 53 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 337 54 change change VB cord-330956-692irru4 337 55 every every DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 56 day day NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 57 according accord VBG cord-330956-692irru4 337 58 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 337 59 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 337 60 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 61 variable variable NN cord-330956-692irru4 337 62 suggests suggest VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 337 63 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 338 1 20 20 CD cord-330956-692irru4 338 2 All all DT cord-330956-692irru4 338 3 rights right NNS cord-330956-692irru4 338 4 reserved reserve VBN cord-330956-692irru4 338 5 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 339 1 No no DT cord-330956-692irru4 339 2 reuse reuse NN cord-330956-692irru4 339 3 allowed allow VBN cord-330956-692irru4 339 4 without without IN cord-330956-692irru4 339 5 permission permission NN cord-330956-692irru4 339 6 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 340 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 340 2 which which WDT cord-330956-692irru4 340 3 was be VBD cord-330956-692irru4 340 4 not not RB cord-330956-692irru4 340 5 certified certify VBN cord-330956-692irru4 340 6 by by IN cord-330956-692irru4 340 7 peer peer NN cord-330956-692irru4 340 8 review review NN cord-330956-692irru4 340 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 340 10 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 340 11 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 340 12 author author NN cord-330956-692irru4 340 13 / / SYM cord-330956-692irru4 340 14 funder funder NN cord-330956-692irru4 340 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 340 16 who who WP cord-330956-692irru4 340 17 has have VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 340 18 granted grant VBN cord-330956-692irru4 340 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-330956-692irru4 340 20 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 340 21 license license NN cord-330956-692irru4 340 22 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 340 23 display display VB cord-330956-692irru4 340 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 340 25 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 340 26 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 340 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-330956-692irru4 340 28 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 341 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 341 2 copyright copyright NN cord-330956-692irru4 341 3 holder holder NN cord-330956-692irru4 341 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 341 5 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 341 6 preprint preprint NN cord-330956-692irru4 341 7 this this DT cord-330956-692irru4 341 8 version version NN cord-330956-692irru4 341 9 posted post VBN cord-330956-692irru4 341 10 May May NNP cord-330956-692irru4 341 11 30 30 CD cord-330956-692irru4 341 12 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 341 13 2020 2020 CD cord-330956-692irru4 341 14 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 341 15 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 342 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.27.20115295 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.27.20115295 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 342 2 doi doi NN cord-330956-692irru4 342 3 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 343 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-330956-692irru4 343 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-330956-692irru4 343 3 SimCOVID simcovid NN cord-330956-692irru4 343 4 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 344 1 An an DT cord-330956-692irru4 344 2 open open JJ cord-330956-692irru4 344 3 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 344 4 source source NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 5 simulation simulation NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 6 program program NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 7 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 344 8 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 344 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 10 outbreak outbreak NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 11 Impact Impact NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 12 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 344 13 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 344 14 interventions intervention NNS cord-330956-692irru4 344 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 344 16 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 344 18 to to TO cord-330956-692irru4 344 19 reduce reduce VB cord-330956-692irru4 344 20 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 21 mortality mortality NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 22 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 344 23 healthcare healthcare NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 24 demand demand NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 25 Modelling model VBG cord-330956-692irru4 344 26 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 344 27 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-330956-692irru4 344 28 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 29 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 344 30 implementation implementation NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 31 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 344 32 population population NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 33 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 344 34 wide wide JJ cord-330956-692irru4 344 35 interventions intervention NNS cord-330956-692irru4 344 36 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 344 37 Italy Italy NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 38 Análisis Análisis NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 39 del del NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 40 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 41 por por FW cord-330956-692irru4 344 42 medio medio FW cord-330956-692irru4 344 43 de de FW cord-330956-692irru4 344 44 un un NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 45 modelo modelo FW cord-330956-692irru4 344 46 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 47 Notes Notes NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 48 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 344 49 R R NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 50 0 0 CD cord-330956-692irru4 344 51 Modeling modeling NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 52 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 344 53 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 54 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 344 55 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 344 56 campus campus NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 57 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-330956-692irru4 344 58 outbreak outbreak NN cord-330956-692irru4 344 59 Annelies Annelies NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 60 Wilder Wilder NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 61 - - HYPH cord-330956-692irru4 344 62 Smith Smith NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 63 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 344 64 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 344 65 Joacim Joacim NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 66 Rockl Rockl NNP cord-330956-692irru4 344 67 ov ov XX cord-330956-692irru4 344 68 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 345 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 345 2 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-330956-692irru4 345 3 number number NN cord-330956-692irru4 345 4 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 345 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 345 6 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 345 7 higher high JJR cord-330956-692irru4 345 8 compared compare VBN cord-330956-692irru4 345 9 to to IN cord-330956-692irru4 345 10 SARS SARS NNP cord-330956-692irru4 345 11 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-330956-692irru4 345 12 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-330956-692irru4 345 13 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 345 14 what what WP cord-330956-692irru4 345 15 are be VBP cord-330956-692irru4 345 16 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 345 17 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 345 18 mild mild JJ cord-330956-692irru4 346 1 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-330956-692irru4 346 2 ? ? . cord-330956-692irru4 347 1 A a DT cord-330956-692irru4 347 2 conceptual conceptual JJ cord-330956-692irru4 347 3 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 4 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 347 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 347 6 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 7 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 8 2019 2019 CD cord-330956-692irru4 347 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 347 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 347 12 outbreak outbreak NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 13 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 347 14 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 15 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 347 16 China China NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 17 with with IN cord-330956-692irru4 347 18 individual individual JJ cord-330956-692irru4 347 19 reaction reaction NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 20 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 347 21 governmental governmental JJ cord-330956-692irru4 347 22 action action NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 23 Estimating estimate VBG cord-330956-692irru4 347 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 347 25 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 347 26 proportion proportion NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 27 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 347 28 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 29 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 30 2019 2019 CD cord-330956-692irru4 347 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 347 32 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 347 34 cases case NNS cord-330956-692irru4 347 35 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 347 36 board board NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 37 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 347 38 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 39 Princess Princess NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 40 cruise cruise NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 41 ship ship NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 42 Global global JJ cord-330956-692irru4 347 43 health health NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 44 -SEIR -seir NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 45 model model NN cord-330956-692irru4 347 46 World World NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 47 Health Health NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 48 Organization Organization NNP cord-330956-692irru4 347 49 . . . cord-330956-692irru4 348 1 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-330956-692irru4 348 2 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 348 3 2019 2019 CD cord-330956-692irru4 349 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 349 2 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-330956-692irru4 349 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 349 4 How how WRB cord-330956-692irru4 349 5 control control NN cord-330956-692irru4 349 6 theory theory NN cord-330956-692irru4 349 7 can can MD cord-330956-692irru4 349 8 help help VB cord-330956-692irru4 349 9 us -PRON- PRP cord-330956-692irru4 349 10 control control VB cord-330956-692irru4 350 1 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-330956-692irru4 351 1 The the DT cord-330956-692irru4 351 2 novel novel JJ cord-330956-692irru4 351 3 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-330956-692irru4 351 4 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 351 5 2019-nCov 2019-ncov CD cord-330956-692irru4 351 6 , , , cord-330956-692irru4 351 7 is be VBZ cord-330956-692irru4 351 8 highly highly RB cord-330956-692irru4 351 9 contagious contagious JJ cord-330956-692irru4 351 10 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 351 11 more more RBR cord-330956-692irru4 351 12 infectious infectious JJ cord-330956-692irru4 351 13 than than IN cord-330956-692irru4 351 14 initially initially RB cord-330956-692irru4 351 15 estimated estimate VBN cord-330956-692irru4 351 16 A a DT cord-330956-692irru4 351 17 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-330956-692irru4 351 18 description description NN cord-330956-692irru4 351 19 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 351 20 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 351 21 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-330956-692irru4 351 22 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 351 23 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-330956-692irru4 351 24 disease disease NN cord-330956-692irru4 351 25 2019 2019 CD cord-330956-692irru4 351 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 351 27 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-330956-692irru4 351 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 351 29 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 352 1 A a DT cord-330956-692irru4 352 2 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 352 3 study study NN cord-330956-692irru4 352 4 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 352 5 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-330956-692irru4 353 1 An an DT cord-330956-692irru4 353 2 updated update VBN cord-330956-692irru4 353 3 estimation estimation NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 4 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 353 5 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 353 6 risk risk NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 7 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 353 8 transmission transmission NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 9 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 353 10 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 353 11 novel novel JJ cord-330956-692irru4 353 12 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-330956-692irru4 353 14 2019-nCov 2019-ncov CD cord-330956-692irru4 353 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-330956-692irru4 353 16 Effect effect NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 17 of of IN cord-330956-692irru4 353 18 changing change VBG cord-330956-692irru4 353 19 case case NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 20 definitions definition NNS cord-330956-692irru4 353 21 for for IN cord-330956-692irru4 353 22 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 23 on on IN cord-330956-692irru4 353 24 the the DT cord-330956-692irru4 353 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 26 curve curve NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 27 and and CC cord-330956-692irru4 353 28 transmission transmission NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 29 parameters parameter NNS cord-330956-692irru4 353 30 in in IN cord-330956-692irru4 353 31 mainland mainland NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 32 China China NNP cord-330956-692irru4 353 33 : : : cord-330956-692irru4 353 34 a a DT cord-330956-692irru4 353 35 modelling modelling NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 36 study study NN cord-330956-692irru4 353 37 Covid Covid NNP cord-330956-692irru4 353 38 19 19 CD cord-330956-692irru4 353 39 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-330956-692irru4 353 40 pandemic pandemic NN