id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-033412-acjskz00 Ruan, Yongsen On the founder effect in COVID-19 outbreaks – How many infected travelers may have started them all? 2020-09-24 .txt text/plain 3424 241 63 How many incoming travelers [I(0) at time 0, equivalent to the "founders" in evolutionary genetics] infected with SARS-CoV-2 who visit or return to a region could have started the epidemic of that region? To obtain I(0), we analyze the genetic divergence among viral populations of different regions. By applying the "individual-output" model of genetic drift to the SARS-CoV-2 diversities, we obtain I(0) < 10, which could have been achieved by one infected traveler in a long-distance flight. Since the epidemic in any bordered region could have been started by one single infected traveler, or by 1,000 of them, we take the population genetic approach to analyzing the divergence among viral populations in relation to the "founder effect" [4] . For studying population differentiation, the source population infecting the travelers needs to harbor genetic variants in non-trivial frequencies to yield informative data [10] . ./cache/cord-033412-acjskz00.txt ./txt/cord-033412-acjskz00.txt