id sid tid token lemma pos cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 1 key key JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 3 cord-298871-g7mqsbct cord-298871-g7mqsbct NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 4 authors author NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 5 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 6 Sheldon Sheldon NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 7 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 8 George George NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 9 title title NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 10 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 11 Unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 12 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 13 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 14 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 16 wake wake NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 19 Covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 21 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 22 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 23 intertemporal intertemporal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 24 perspective perspective NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 25 date date NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 26 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 27 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 28 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 29 08 08 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 30 - - SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 31 18 18 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 32 journal journal NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 1 33 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 1 Swiss Swiss NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 2 J J NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 3 Econ Econ NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 4 Stat stat NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 5 DOI doi NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 6 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 7 10.1186 10.1186 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 8 / / SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 9 s41937 s41937 NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 10 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 11 020 020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 12 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 13 00058 00058 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 14 - - SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 2 15 6 6 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 3 1 sha sha NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 3 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 4 1 f9d49b9e56b41b6b27481be26ba6b53b064fcf40 f9d49b9e56b41b6b27481be26ba6b53b064fcf40 NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 4 2 doc_id doc_id NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 4 3 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 4 4 298871 298871 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 4 5 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 4 6 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 5 1 g7mqsbct g7mqsbct NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 2 following following JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 3 contribution contribution NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 4 compares compare VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 6 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 7 situation situation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 8 arising arise VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 9 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 12 induced induce VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 13 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 15 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 17 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 18 previous previous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 19 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 20 crises crisis NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 21 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 22 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 6 23 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 2 addition addition NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 5 forecasts forecast VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 7 future future JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 8 trajectory trajectory NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 10 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 11 based base VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 12 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 13 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 14 changes change NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 15 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 16 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 17 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 7 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 1 From from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 2 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 3 historical historical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 4 perspective perspective NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 6 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 7 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 8 as as RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 9 well well RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 10 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 11 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 12 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 13 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 15 federal federal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 16 authorities authority NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 17 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 19 medium medium JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 20 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 21 do do VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 22 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 23 seem seem VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 24 that that RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 25 dramatic dramatic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 8 26 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 1 Current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 2 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 3 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 4 present present VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 5 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 6 different different JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 7 picture picture NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 9 however however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 10 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 11 predicting predict VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 12 increases increase NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 13 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 14 both both CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 16 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 17 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 18 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 19 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 20 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 21 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 22 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 23 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 24 record record NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 25 levels level NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 9 26 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 2 impact impact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 3 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 5 Swiss swiss JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 6 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 7 market market NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 10 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 11 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 12 went go VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 13 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 14 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 15 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 16 March March NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 17 16 16 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 18 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 19 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 21 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 23 wake wake NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 24 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 26 Covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 27 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 28 appears appear VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 29 dramatic dramatic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 10 30 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 1 Roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 2 30,000 30,000 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 3 employed employ VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 4 lost lose VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 5 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 6 jobs job NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 7 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 8 average average NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 9 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 10 March March NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 11 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 12 April April NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 13 after after IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 15 shutdown shutdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 11 16 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 2 just just RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 3 those those DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 4 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 5 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 8 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 9 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 10 rose rise VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 11 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 12 almost almost RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 13 as as RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 14 much much RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 15 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 17 increased increase VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 19 all all DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 20 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 21 2010 2010 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 22 following follow VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 23 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 24 financial financial JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 25 crisis crisis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 12 26 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 1 Accordingly accordingly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 4 State State NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 5 Secretariat Secretariat NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 6 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 7 Economic Economic NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 8 Affairs Affairs NNPS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 9 currently currently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 10 expects expect VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 12 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 13 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 14 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 15 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 16 4.1 4.1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 17 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 20 coming come VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 21 year year NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 23 eventually eventually RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 24 reaching reach VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 25 7 7 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 26 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 27 if if IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 29 shutdown shutdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 30 persists persist VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 31 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 32 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 33 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 34 despite despite IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 35 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 36 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 37 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 38 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 39 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 40 quarter quarter NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 41 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 42 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 43 employed employ VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 44 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 45 presently presently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 46 working work VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 47 short short JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 48 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 49 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 50 avoid avoid VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 51 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 13 52 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 1 Small small JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 2 wonder wonder VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 3 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 4 some some DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 5 now now RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 6 fear fear VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 7 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 8 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 9 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 10 experience experience VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 12 deepest deep JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 13 recession recession NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 14 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 15 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 16 history history NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 17 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 19 coming come VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 20 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 14 21 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 1 Yet yet CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 2 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 4 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 5 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 6 market market NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 7 situation situation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 8 really really RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 9 as as RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 10 dire dire JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 11 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 12 unique unique JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 13 as as RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 14 presently presently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 15 felt feel VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 15 16 ? ? . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 1 After after RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 2 all all RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 4 roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 5 30,000 30,000 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 6 individuals individual NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 7 report report VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 8 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 9 every every DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 10 January January NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 11 without without IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 12 any any DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 13 major major JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 14 repercussions repercussion NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 16 15 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 1 Hence hence RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 3 strong strong JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 4 surges surge NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 5 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 6 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 7 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 8 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 9 unheard unheard JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 10 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 12 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 17 13 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 2 following following JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 3 contribution contribution NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 4 aims aim VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 5 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 6 enlarge enlarge VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 7 upon upon IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 8 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 9 cursory cursory JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 10 evidence evidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 11 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 12 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 13 more more RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 14 indepth indepth JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 15 study study NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 16 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 17 comparing compare VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 19 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 20 situation situation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 21 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 22 previous previous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 23 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 24 crises crisis NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 25 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 26 offering offer VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 27 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 28 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 29 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 30 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 31 future future JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 32 trajectory trajectory NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 33 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 34 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 35 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 36 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 37 basis basis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 38 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 39 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 40 set set NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 41 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 42 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 43 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 44 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 45 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 46 proven prove VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 47 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 48 worth worth NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 49 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 50 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 51 past past NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 18 52 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 2 results result NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 3 show show VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 4 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 5 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 6 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 7 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 8 excess excess NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 10 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 11 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 12 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 13 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 14 unknown unknown JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 15 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 16 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 17 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 19 most most RBS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 20 recent recent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 21 occurrence occurrence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 22 arising arise VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 23 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 24 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 25 1990s 1990s CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 19 26 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 1 By by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 2 decomposing decompose VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 4 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 5 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 6 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 7 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 8 constituent constituent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 9 flow flow NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 10 components component NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 12 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 13 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 14 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 15 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 18 further further RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 19 see see VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 20 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 23 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 24 led lead VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 25 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 26 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 27 new new JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 28 record record NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 29 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 30 respect respect NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 31 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 32 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 33 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 34 almost almost RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 35 equaled equal VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 36 previous previous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 37 marks mark NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 38 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 39 regard regard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 40 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 41 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 20 42 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 2 addition addition NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 4 forecasts forecast NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 5 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 7 future future JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 8 trajectory trajectory NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 11 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 12 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 13 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 15 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 16 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 17 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 18 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 19 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 20 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 21 based base VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 22 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 23 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 24 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 25 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 26 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 27 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 28 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 29 prevailing prevail VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 30 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 31 June June NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 32 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 33 imply imply VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 34 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 35 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 36 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 37 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 38 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 39 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 40 least least JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 41 reach reach VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 42 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 43 perhaps perhaps RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 44 even even RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 45 surpass surpass VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 46 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 47 previous previous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 48 record record NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 49 set set VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 50 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 51 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 52 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 53 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 54 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 55 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 56 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 57 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 58 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 59 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 60 clearly clearly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 61 exceed exceed VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 62 previous previous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 63 milestones milestone NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 21 64 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 1 resolved resolve VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 2 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 3 break break VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 5 high high JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 6 inflation inflation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 7 stemming stem VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 8 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 9 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 10 abandonment abandonment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 13 gold gold NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 14 standard standard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 15 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 16 finance finance VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 18 WWIinduced wwiinduced JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 19 shortages shortage NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 20 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 21 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 22 return return VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 23 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 24 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 25 old old JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 26 gold gold NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 27 standard standard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 22 28 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 2 led lead VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 4 inflation inflation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 5 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 6 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 7 drop drop VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 8 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 9 around around IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 10 +25 +25 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 11 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 12 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 13 1918 1918 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 14 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 16 today today NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 17 barely barely RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 18 imaginable imaginable JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 19 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 20 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 21 −20 −20 NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 22 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 23 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 24 1922 1922 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 23 25 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 2 rapid rapid JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 3 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 5 deflation deflation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 6 caused cause VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 8 economy economy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 9 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 10 collapse collapse VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 11 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 13 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 14 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 15 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 16 soar soar VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 17 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 18 3.4 3.4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 19 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 24 20 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 1 Years year NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 2 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 3 relative relative JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 4 prosperity prosperity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 5 followed follow VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 6 thereafter thereafter RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 7 before before IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 8 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 9 underwent undergo VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 11 global global JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 12 depression depression NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 13 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 14 1931 1931 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 15 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 16 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 17 saw see VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 19 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 20 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 21 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 22 rise rise NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 23 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 24 4.5 4.5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 25 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 26 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 27 1936 1936 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 25 28 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 2 downturn downturn NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 3 did do VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 4 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 5 last last VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 6 long long RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 7 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 8 however however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 9 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 10 thanks thank NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 12 particular particular JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 13 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 15 devaluation devaluation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 16 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 18 Swiss swiss JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 19 franc franc NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 20 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 22 military military JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 23 build build NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 24 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 25 up up NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 26 supported support VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 27 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 28 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 29 large large JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 30 bond bond NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 31 issue issue NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 32 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 33 1936 1936 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 26 34 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 1 After after IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 2 WWII WWII NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 4 years year NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 5 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 6 strong strong JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 7 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 8 broad broad JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 9 growth growth NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 10 followed follow VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 12 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 13 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 14 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 15 virtually virtually RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 16 disappeared disappear VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 27 17 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 2 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 4 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 5 general general JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 6 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 7 shortage shortage NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 8 arose arise VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 9 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 10 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 11 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 12 strong strong JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 13 influx influx NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 15 foreign foreign JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 16 workers worker NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 17 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 18 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 19 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 20 turn turn NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 21 caused cause VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 23 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 24 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 25 foreign foreign JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 26 residents resident NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 27 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 28 rise rise VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 29 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 30 6.1 6.1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 31 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 32 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 33 1950 1950 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 34 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 35 17.2 17.2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 36 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 37 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 38 1970 1970 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 39 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 40 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 41 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 42 last last RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 43 seen see VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 44 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 45 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 46 onset onset NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 47 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 48 WWI WWI NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 28 49 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 1 However however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 4 took take VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 5 65 65 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 6 years year NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 7 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 8 reach reach VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 9 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 10 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 12 1914 1914 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 13 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 14 merely merely RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 15 20 20 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 16 years year NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 17 after after IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 19 WWII WWII NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 29 20 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 2 postwar postwar JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 3 years year NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 5 prosperity prosperity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 6 came come VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 7 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 8 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 9 abrupt abrupt JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 10 end end NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 11 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 13 first first JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 14 oil oil NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 15 price price NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 16 shock shock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 17 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 18 1973/74 1973/74 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 19 followed follow VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 20 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 22 second second JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 23 one one CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 24 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 25 1982 1982 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 30 26 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 1 Employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 2 fell fall VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 3 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 4 almost almost RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 5 8 8 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 6 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 7 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 9 wake wake NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 10 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 12 first first JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 13 shock shock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 16 largest large JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 17 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 18 loss loss NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 19 experienced experience VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 20 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 21 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 22 OECD OECD NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 23 country country NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 24 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 26 wake wake NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 27 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 29 first first JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 30 oil oil NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 31 price price NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 32 crisis crisis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 31 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 4 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 5 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 6 did do VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 7 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 8 even even RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 9 reach reach VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 11 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 12 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 13 mark mark NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 32 14 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 1 One one CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 2 reason reason NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 3 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 4 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 5 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 6 universal universal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 7 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 8 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 9 did do VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 10 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 11 exist exist VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 12 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 13 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 14 until until IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 15 April April NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 16 1977 1977 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 33 17 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 2 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 3 result result NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 5 roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 6 80 80 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 7 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 10 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 11 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 12 was be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 13 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 14 insured insure VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 15 against against IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 16 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 17 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 19 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 20 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 22 first first JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 23 oil oil NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 24 price price NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 25 shock shock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 26 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 27 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 28 without without IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 29 benefit benefit NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 30 claims claim NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 31 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 32 many many JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 33 chose choose VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 34 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 35 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 36 report report VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 37 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 38 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 39 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 40 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 41 authorities authority NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 42 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 43 hence hence RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 44 were be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 45 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 46 counted count VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 34 47 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 1 Another another DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 2 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 3 quantitatively quantitatively RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 4 more more RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 5 important important JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 6 reason reason NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 7 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 9 small small JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 10 rise rise NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 12 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 13 was be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 15 large large JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 16 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 18 foreign foreign JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 19 workers worker NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 20 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 21 temporary temporary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 22 work work NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 23 permits permit NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 24 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 25 obligated obligate VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 26 them -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 27 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 28 exit exit VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 29 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 30 when when WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 31 they -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 32 lost lose VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 33 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 34 jobs job NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 35 35 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 1 Around around IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 2 80 80 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 3 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 5 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 6 losses loss NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 7 were be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 8 absorbed absorb VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 9 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 10 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 11 way way NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 12 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 36 13 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 2 proportion proportion NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 4 foreigners foreigner NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 5 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 6 permanent permanent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 7 residence residence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 8 permits permit NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 9 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 10 greatly greatly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 11 increased increase VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 12 since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 13 then then RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 15 however however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 17 so so IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 18 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 19 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 20 losses loss NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 21 today today NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 22 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 23 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 24 much much RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 25 greater great JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 26 impact impact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 27 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 28 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 29 statistics statistic NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 30 than than IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 31 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 32 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 33 past past NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 37 34 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 1 Following follow VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 3 second second JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 4 oil oil NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 5 price price NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 6 shock shock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 7 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 9 1980s 1980 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 10 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 12 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 13 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 14 then then RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 15 did do VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 16 exceed exceed VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 17 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 18 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 19 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 20 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 21 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 23 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 24 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 25 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 38 26 _SP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 1 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 2 shows show NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 4 despite despite IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 6 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 7 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 8 merely merely RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 10 growth growth NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 12 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 13 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 14 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 15 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 16 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 17 declined decline VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 39 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 2 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 3 undoubtedly undoubtedly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 4 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 5 consequence consequence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 6 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 8 introduction introduction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 10 universal universal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 11 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 12 . . NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 13 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 14 Employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 15 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 16 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 17 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 18 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 19 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 20 annual annual JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 21 averages average NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 23 1913 1913 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 24 - - SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 25 2019 2019 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 40 26 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 1 1-Great 1-great CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 2 Deflation deflation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 4 2-Great 2-great CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 5 Depression Depression NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 7 3 3 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 8 - - SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 9 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 10 st st NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 11 oil oil NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 12 price price NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 13 shock shock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 15 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 16 - - SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 17 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 18 nd nd NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 19 oil oil NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 20 price price NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 21 shock shock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 23 5-double 5-double CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 24 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 25 dip dip NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 26 recession recession NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 41 27 , , . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 42 1 6-dotcom 6-dotcom CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 42 2 bubble bubble NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 42 3 burst burst NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 42 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 42 5 7-financial 7-financial CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 42 6 crisis crisis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 42 7 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 43 1 Sources source NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 43 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 43 3 Unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 43 4 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 43 5 1913 1913 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 43 6 - - SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 43 7 1959 1959 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 43 8 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 1 Table table NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 2 F. F. NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 3 18a 18a NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 5 Swiss Swiss NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 6 Economic Economic NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 7 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 8 Social Social NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 9 History History NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 10 Online Online NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 11 ; ; , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 44 12 1960 1960 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 45 1 -2019 -2019 : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 45 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 45 3 Federal Federal NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 45 4 Statistical Statistical NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 45 5 Office Office NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 45 6 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 46 1 Employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 46 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 46 3 1913 1913 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 46 4 -1947 -1947 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 46 5 1948 1948 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 46 6 -2019 -2019 NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 46 7 Office Office NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 46 8 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 47 1 Notes note NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 47 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 2 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 3 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 4 measures measure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 6 registered registered JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 7 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 10 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 11 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 12 (= (= NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 13 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 14 + + -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 15 employed employ VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 48 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 1 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 2 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 3 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 4 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 5 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 7 i.e. i.e. FW cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 9 unemployed/(unemployed unemployed/(unemployed NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 10 + + CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 11 employed employ VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 49 13 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 2 contrast contrast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 3 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 4 official official JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 5 statistics statistic NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 6 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 7 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 8 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 9 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 10 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 11 update update VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 13 denominator denominator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 16 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 17 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 18 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 19 irregular irregular JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 20 intervals interval NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 21 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 23 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 24 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 25 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 26 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 27 chart chart NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 28 below below IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 29 rest rest NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 30 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 31 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 32 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 33 figures figure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 50 34 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 1 Since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 2 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 3 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 4 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 5 exhibited exhibit VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 6 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 7 trend trend NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 8 increase increase NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 9 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 11 period period NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 12 viewed view VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 13 here here RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 16 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 17 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 20 figure figure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 21 may may MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 22 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 23 times time NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 24 lie lie VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 25 below below IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 26 official official JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 27 figures figure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 28 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 29 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 30 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 31 1977 1977 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 32 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 33 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 34 requires require VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 35 registering register VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 36 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 37 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 38 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 39 office office NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 40 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 41 draw draw VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 42 benefits benefit NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 51 43 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 2 next next JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 3 major major JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 4 downturn downturn NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 5 came come VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 6 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 8 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 9 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 10 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 12 form form NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 13 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 14 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 15 double double JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 16 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 17 dip dip NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 18 recession recession NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 52 19 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 2 first first JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 3 decline decline NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 4 arose arise VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 5 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 6 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 7 restrictive restrictive JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 8 monetary monetary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 9 policy policy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 10 aimed aim VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 11 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 12 combatting combat VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 14 high high JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 15 inflation inflation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 16 stemming stem VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 17 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 18 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 19 unintended unintended JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 20 monetary monetary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 21 expansion expansion NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 22 resulting result VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 23 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 24 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 25 introduction introduction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 26 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 27 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 28 new new JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 29 electronic electronic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 30 interbank interbank NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 31 clearing clearing NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 32 system system NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 33 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 34 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 35 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 36 overhaul overhaul NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 37 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 38 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 39 liquidity liquidity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 40 requirements requirement NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 41 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 42 Swiss swiss JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 43 banks bank NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 53 44 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 2 second second JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 3 contraction contraction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 4 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 5 1994/95 1994/95 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 7 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 9 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 10 hand hand NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 12 followed follow VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 13 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 14 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 15 misreading misreading NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 16 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 18 business business NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 19 cycle cycle NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 20 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 22 Swiss Swiss NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 23 National National NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 24 Bank Bank NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 25 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 26 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 27 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 28 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 29 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 30 restrictive restrictive JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 31 monetary monetary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 32 policy policy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 54 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 1 Both both DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 2 shocks shock NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 3 together together RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 4 caused cause VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 6 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 7 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 8 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 9 rise rise VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 10 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 11 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 12 4.5 4.5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 13 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 15 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 16 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 17 last last RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 18 recorded record VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 19 during during IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 21 Great Great NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 22 Depression Depression NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 55 23 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 2 sharp sharp JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 3 rise rise NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 4 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 5 undoubtedly undoubtedly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 6 due due JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 7 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 8 part part NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 9 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 10 increased increase VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 11 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 12 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 13 coverage coverage NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 14 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 16 more more RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 17 sedentary sedentary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 18 foreign foreign JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 19 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 20 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 56 21 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 2 final final JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 3 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 4 slowdowns slowdown NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 5 came come VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 6 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 8 heels heel NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 11 bursting bursting NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 14 dotcom dotcom NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 15 bubble bubble NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 16 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 18 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 19 2000s 2000 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 20 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 22 global global JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 23 financial financial JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 24 crisis crisis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 25 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 26 2008/09 2008/09 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 27 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 28 respectively respectively RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 57 29 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 2 reaction reaction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 4 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 5 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 6 both both DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 7 downturns downturn NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 8 was be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 9 rather rather RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 10 subdued subdue VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 11 compared compare VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 12 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 14 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 15 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 17 changes change NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 19 GDP GDP NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 21 however however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 58 22 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 1 Econometric econometric JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 2 studies study NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 3 indeed indeed RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 4 confirm confirm VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 5 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 7 strength strength NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 10 Okun Okun NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 11 relationship relationship NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 12 linking link VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 13 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 14 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 16 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 17 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 18 sign sign NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 19 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 21 output output NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 22 gap gap NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 23 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 24 been be VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 25 steadily steadily RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 26 decreasing decrease VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 27 since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 28 1990 1990 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 29 3 3 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 59 30 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 2 reason reason NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 3 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 4 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 5 yet yet RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 6 clear clear JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 7 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 9 may may MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 10 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 11 due due JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 12 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 14 trend trend NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 15 decline decline NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 16 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 17 production production NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 18 jobs job NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 19 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 20 typically typically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 21 react react VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 22 more more RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 23 strongly strongly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 24 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 25 business business NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 26 cycle cycle NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 27 fluctuations fluctuation NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 60 28 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 1 Compared compare VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 2 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 4 past past NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 6 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 7 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 8 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 10 4.1 4.1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 11 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 12 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 13 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 15 State State NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 16 Secretariat Secretariat NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 17 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 18 Economic Economic NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 19 Affairs Affairs NNPS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 20 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 21 expecting expect VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 22 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 23 2021 2021 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 24 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 25 thus thus RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 26 does do VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 27 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 28 seem seem VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 29 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 30 high high JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 31 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 32 unique unique JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 61 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 1 Yet yet RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 3 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 4 already already RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 5 mentioned mention VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 8 limitations limitation NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 11 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 12 presented present VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 13 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 14 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 62 15 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 1 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 2 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 3 also also RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 4 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 5 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 6 taken take VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 7 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 8 account account NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 63 9 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 2 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 3 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 4 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 5 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 6 dubious dubious JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 7 quality quality NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 8 prior prior RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 9 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 11 introduction introduction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 13 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 14 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 15 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 16 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 17 April April NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 18 1977 1977 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 64 19 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 3 annual annual JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 4 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 5 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 6 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 8 period period NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 9 before before IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 10 1948 1948 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 11 do do VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 12 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 13 even even RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 14 exist exist VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 65 15 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 1 To to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 2 calculate calculate VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 4 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 5 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 7 defined define VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 8 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 10 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 12 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 13 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 15 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 16 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 17 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 18 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 20 sum sum NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 22 employed employ VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 23 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 24 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 25 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 26 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 27 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 28 period period NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 29 before before IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 30 1948 1948 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 31 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 32 one one PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 33 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 34 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 35 rely rely VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 36 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 37 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 38 national national JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 39 censuses census NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 40 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 41 1910 1910 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 42 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 43 1920 1920 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 44 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 45 1930 1930 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 46 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 47 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 48 1941 1941 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 49 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 50 leaving leave VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 51 large large JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 52 gaps gap NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 53 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 54 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 55 intervening intervene VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 56 years year NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 66 57 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 1 To to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 2 make make VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 3 matters matter NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 4 worse bad JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 7 census census NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 8 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 9 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 10 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 11 those those DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 12 years year NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 13 exhibit exhibit VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 14 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 15 positive positive JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 16 trend trend NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 17 making make VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 19 impossible impossible JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 20 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 21 ascertain ascertain VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 22 how how WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 23 many many JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 24 jobs job NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 25 were be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 26 actually actually RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 27 lost lose VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 28 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 29 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 30 wake wake NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 31 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 32 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 33 Great great JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 34 Deflation deflation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 35 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 36 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 37 1920s 1920s CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 38 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 39 during during IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 40 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 41 Great Great NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 42 Depression Depression NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 43 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 44 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 45 1930s 1930 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 67 46 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 2 discussion discussion NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 3 above above IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 4 focused focus VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 5 solely solely RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 6 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 8 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 10 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 11 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 12 ignored ignore VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 14 flows flow NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 15 underlying underlie VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 16 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 17 changes change NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 68 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 69 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 69 2 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 69 3 due due JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 69 4 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 69 5 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 69 6 availability availability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 69 7 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 2 was be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 3 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 4 until until IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 5 1990 1990 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 6 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 8 Swiss swiss JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 10 registration registration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 11 system system NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 12 was be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 13 digitalized digitalize VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 14 making make VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 16 possible possible JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 17 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 18 study study VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 20 separate separate JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 21 contributions contribution NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 22 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 23 layoffs layoff NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 24 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 25 hires hire VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 26 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 27 changes change NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 28 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 29 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 30 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 31 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 32 unemployed unemployed NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 70 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 1 Such such JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 2 knowledge knowledge NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 3 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 4 indispensable indispensable JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 5 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 6 forging forge VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 7 effective effective JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 8 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 9 market market NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 10 policy policy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 11 since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 12 most most JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 13 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 14 market market NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 15 measures measure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 16 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 17 directed direct VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 18 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 19 flows flow NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 71 20 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 1 For for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 2 example example NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 4 short short JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 5 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 6 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 7 work work NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 8 attempts attempt NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 9 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 10 stem stem VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 11 inflows inflow NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 12 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 13 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 14 while while IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 15 training train VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 16 measures measure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 17 aim aim VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 18 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 19 foster foster VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 20 outflows outflow NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 21 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 22 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 72 23 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 1 Two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 2 variables variable NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 3 stand stand VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 4 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 6 forefront forefront NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 7 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 8 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 9 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 10 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 11 flow flow NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 12 analysis analysis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 13 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 14 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 15 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 17 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 18 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 20 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 22 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 73 23 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 2 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 4 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 5 gives give VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 7 probability probability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 8 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 9 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 10 member member NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 13 active active JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 14 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 15 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 16 becomes become VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 17 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 19 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 20 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 21 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 22 interval interval NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 23 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 24 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 25 calculated calculate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 26 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 27 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 28 number number NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 29 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 30 new new JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 31 entries entry NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 32 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 33 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 34 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 35 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 36 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 37 divided divide VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 38 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 39 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 40 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 41 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 42 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 43 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 44 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 74 45 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 2 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 3 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 4 pertains pertain VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 5 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 7 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 75 10 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 2 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 4 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 6 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 8 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 9 hand hand NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 10 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 11 measures measure VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 13 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 14 length length NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 15 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 16 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 17 spell spell NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 18 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 19 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 21 expressed express VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 22 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 23 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 24 same same JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 25 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 26 units unit NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 27 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 29 interval interval NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 30 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 31 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 32 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 33 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 34 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 35 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 36 refers refer VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 76 37 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 1 Measures measure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 2 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 3 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 4 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 5 apply apply VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 6 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 7 three three CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 8 types type NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 10 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 11 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 12 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 13 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 14 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 15 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 16 beginning beginning NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 17 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 18 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 19 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 20 ending ending NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 21 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 77 22 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 2 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 3 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 5 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 6 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 7 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 8 probably probably RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 10 most most RBS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 11 widespread widespread JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 12 measure measure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 13 since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 14 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 15 measurement measurement NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 16 only only RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 17 requires require VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 18 survey survey NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 19 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 20 cross cross JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 21 - - JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 22 sectional sectional JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 23 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 24 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 25 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 26 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 27 commonly commonly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 28 available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 78 29 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 79 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 79 2 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 79 3 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 79 4 shortcomings shortcoming NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 79 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 79 6 however however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 79 7 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 1 For for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 2 one one CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 5 only only RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 6 records record VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 8 elapsed elapsed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 9 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 10 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 11 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 12 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 14 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 15 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 17 survey survey NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 18 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 19 hence hence RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 20 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 21 truncated truncate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 80 22 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 1 To to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 2 measure measure VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 4 entire entire JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 5 length length NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 6 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 7 completed complete VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 8 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 10 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 11 requires require VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 12 panel panel NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 13 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 15 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 16 prior prior RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 17 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 19 digitalization digitalization NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 20 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 21 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 22 registrations registration NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 23 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 24 1990 1990 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 25 were be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 26 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 27 regularly regularly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 28 available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 29 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 30 regard regard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 31 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 32 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 33 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 34 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 81 35 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 2 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 3 elapsed elapse VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 4 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 5 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 6 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 7 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 8 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 9 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 10 only only RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 11 subject subject JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 12 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 13 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 14 truncation truncation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 15 bias bias NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 16 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 17 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 18 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 19 sampling sampling NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 20 bias bias NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 21 as as RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 22 well well RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 82 23 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 2 sampling sampling NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 3 bias bias NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 4 stems stem VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 5 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 7 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 8 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 9 surveys survey NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 10 sample sample VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 11 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 13 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 15 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 17 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 18 contains contain VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 19 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 20 greater great JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 21 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 22 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 23 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 24 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 25 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 26 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 27 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 28 than than IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 29 found find VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 30 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 31 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 32 flows flow NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 33 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 34 beginning beginning NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 35 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 36 ending ending NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 37 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 83 38 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 1 Which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 2 bias bias NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 3 dominates dominate VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 4 empirically empirically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 5 depends depend VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 6 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 8 shape shape NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 11 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 12 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 13 function function NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 15 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 16 gives give VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 17 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 18 individual individual NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 19 's 's POS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 20 probability probability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 22 exiting exit VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 23 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 24 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 25 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 26 function function NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 27 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 29 elapsed elapsed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 30 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 31 already already RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 32 spent spend VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 33 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 34 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 35 state state NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 84 36 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 1 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 2 decreasing decrease VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 3 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 4 function function NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 5 means mean VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 6 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 8 chances chance NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 10 escaping escape VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 11 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 12 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 14 near near JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 15 future future JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 16 decline decline NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 17 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 19 elapsed elapsed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 20 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 22 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 85 23 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 2 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 3 termed term VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 4 negative negative JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 5 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 6 dependence dependence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 7 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 8 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 9 result result VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 10 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 11 scarring scar VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 12 and/or and/or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 13 unobserved unobserved JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 14 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 15 among among IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 17 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 18 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 86 19 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 1 If if IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 3 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 4 function function NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 5 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 6 decreasing decrease VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 7 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 9 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 10 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 12 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 13 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 14 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 15 exceed exceed VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 17 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 18 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 19 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 20 completed complete VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 21 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 22 despite despite IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 23 being be VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 24 based base VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 25 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 26 truncated truncated JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 27 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 28 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 87 29 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 2 happens happen VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 3 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 4 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 6 case case NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 7 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 8 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 9 6 6 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 88 10 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 1 Completed complete VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 2 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 4 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 6 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 7 hand hand NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 9 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 10 take take VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 11 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 12 forms form NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 89 13 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 2 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 3 pertain pertain VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 4 either either CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 5 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 7 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 8 ending end VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 9 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 10 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 11 those those DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 12 beginning beginning NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 13 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 14 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 15 particular particular JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 16 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 17 interval interval NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 90 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 2 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 3 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 5 ending end VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 6 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 7 depends depend VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 8 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 10 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 11 opportunities opportunity NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 12 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 13 prevailed prevail VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 14 during during IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 16 course course NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 19 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 21 covers cover VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 22 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 23 thus thus RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 24 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 25 backward backward RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 26 looking look VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 91 27 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 2 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 3 consequence consequence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 6 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 7 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 9 completed complete VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 10 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 11 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 12 typically typically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 13 higher high JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 14 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 15 summer summer NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 16 than than IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 17 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 18 winter winter NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 19 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 20 numerous numerous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 21 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 22 ending end VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 23 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 24 summer summer NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 25 begin begin VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 26 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 27 winter winter NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 28 when when WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 29 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 30 openings opening NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 31 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 32 rarer rare JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 92 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 3 following following NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 6 focus focus VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 7 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 9 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 10 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 11 beginning beginning NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 12 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 13 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 14 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 15 because because IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 17 captures capture VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 18 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 19 instead instead RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 20 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 21 past past JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 22 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 23 opportunities opportunity NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 24 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 25 thus thus RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 26 better well RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 27 lends lend VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 28 itself -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 29 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 30 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 31 study study NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 32 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 33 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 34 evolution evolution NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 35 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 36 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 37 opportunities opportunity NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 38 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 39 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 93 40 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 1 However however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 3 unlike unlike IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 5 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 6 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 7 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 8 measures measure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 9 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 11 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 13 beginning beginning NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 14 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 15 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 16 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 17 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 18 observed observe VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 19 directly directly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 20 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 21 instead instead RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 22 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 23 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 24 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 25 calculated calculate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 26 using use VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 27 probability probability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 28 theory theory NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 29 7 7 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 30 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 31 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 32 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 94 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 1 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 2 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 3 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 4 h(t h(t NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 6 gives give VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 8 probability probability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 9 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 10 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 11 jobless jobless JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 12 individual individual NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 13 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 14 exit exit VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 15 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 16 after after IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 17 t t NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 18 periods period NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 19 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 20 being be VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 21 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 95 22 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 2 turn turn NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 5 difference difference NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 7 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 8 − − NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 9 h(t h(t ADD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 12 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 13 termed term VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 14 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 15 survival survival NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 16 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 17 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 18 constitutes constitute VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 20 probability probability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 22 remaining remain VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 23 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 24 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 26 same same JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 27 interval interval NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 96 28 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 3 following following NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 6 treat treat VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 7 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 8 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 9 discrete discrete JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 10 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 11 measure measure VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 13 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 14 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 15 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 97 16 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 1 Under under IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 3 assumption assumption NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 5 stochastically stochastically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 6 independent independent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 7 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 8 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 9 8 8 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 10 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 12 following follow VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 13 product product NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 14 equals equal VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 16 probability probability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 17 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 18 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 19 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 20 spell spell NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 21 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 22 still still RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 23 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 24 k k NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 25 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 26 after after IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 27 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 28 start start NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 98 29 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 1 Since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 2 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 3 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 4 interval interval NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 5 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 6 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 7 length length NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 9 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 10 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 13 1 1 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 15 also also RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 16 gives give VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 18 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 19 length length NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 20 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 21 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 23 measured measure VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 24 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 25 fractions fraction NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 26 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 27 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 28 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 29 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 30 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 31 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 32 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 33 person person NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 34 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 35 spend spend VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 36 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 37 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 38 kth kth JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 39 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 40 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 41 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 99 42 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 1 S S NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 3 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 5 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 6 known know VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 7 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 9 survivor survivor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 10 function function NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 12 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 13 S(k s(k ADD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 15 gives give VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 17 value value NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 18 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 20 function function NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 21 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 23 kth kth NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 24 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 100 25 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 1 Since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 3 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 5 equals equal VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 7 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 8 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 9 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 10 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 11 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 12 person person NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 13 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 14 spend spend VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 15 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 17 kth kth JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 18 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 19 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 20 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 21 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 22 summing sum VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 24 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 26 across across IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 27 all all DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 28 T t NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 29 + + SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 30 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 31 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 32 intervals interval NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 33 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 34 length length NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 35 one one CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 36 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 37 where where WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 38 T T NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 39 equals equal VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 40 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 41 longest long JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 42 spell spell NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 43 length length NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 44 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 45 yields yield VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 46 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 47 total total JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 48 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 49 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 50 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 51 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 52 person person NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 53 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 54 spend spend VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 55 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 56 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 57 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 58 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 59 equivalently equivalently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 60 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 61 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 62 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 63 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 64 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 65 beginning beginning NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 66 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 67 9 9 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 101 68 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 3 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 5 indicates indicate VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 8 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 9 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 10 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 11 equal equal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 12 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 14 area area NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 15 below below IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 17 associated associate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 18 survivor survivor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 19 curve curve NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 102 20 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 2 demographic demographic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 3 terms term NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 6 2 2 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 8 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 9 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 10 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 12 life life NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 13 expectancy expectancy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 14 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 15 birth birth NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 17 where where WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 19 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 20 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 21 represent represent VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 22 age age NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 23 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 24 specific specific JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 25 mortality mortality NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 26 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 103 27 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 2 turn turn NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 5 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 6 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 7 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 8 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 10 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 11 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 12 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 14 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 15 age age NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 16 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 18 living living NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 19 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 20 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 22 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 23 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 24 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 25 ending end VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 26 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 27 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 29 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 30 age age NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 31 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 32 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 33 deceased deceased JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 104 34 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 2 procedure procedure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 3 consists consist VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 4 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 5 calculating calculate VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 7 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 9 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 10 every every DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 11 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 12 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 13 using use VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 15 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 16 monthly monthly JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 17 exit exit NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 18 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 19 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 21 registered registered JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 22 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 23 10 10 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 24 subdivided subdivide VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 25 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 26 elapsed elapsed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 27 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 28 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 29 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 30 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 31 estimates estimate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 105 32 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 1 Note note VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 2 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 3 exits exit NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 4 do do VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 5 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 6 necessarily necessarily RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 7 imply imply VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 8 entering enter VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 9 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 106 10 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 2 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 3 important important JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 4 policy policy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 5 implications implication NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 6 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 7 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 8 no no DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 9 bearing bearing NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 10 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 12 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 13 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 14 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 15 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 17 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 18 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 20 focus focus NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 21 here here RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 107 22 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 3 estimated estimate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 4 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 5 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 6 used use VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 7 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 8 calculate calculate VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 10 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 11 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 13 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 14 apply apply VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 15 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 16 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 17 single single JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 18 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 19 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 22 ensuing ensue VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 23 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 24 measure measure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 25 reflects reflect VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 26 solely solely RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 27 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 28 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 29 opportunities opportunity NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 30 prevailing prevail VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 31 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 32 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 33 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 34 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 108 35 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 2 enables enable VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 4 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 5 assign assign VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 6 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 7 spell spell NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 8 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 9 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 10 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 11 single single JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 12 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 13 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 109 14 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 2 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 3 both both DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 4 unique unique JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 5 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 6 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 7 great great JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 8 practical practical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 9 use use NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 110 10 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 2 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 3 unique unique JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 4 because because IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 6 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 7 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 10 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 11 typically typically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 12 longer long JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 13 than than IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 14 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 15 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 16 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 17 thus thus RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 18 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 19 attributable attributable JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 20 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 21 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 22 individual individual JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 23 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 24 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 25 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 26 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 27 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 28 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 29 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 30 great great JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 31 practical practical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 32 use use NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 33 because because IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 34 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 35 enables enable VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 36 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 37 construction construction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 38 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 39 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 40 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 41 series series NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 42 describing describe VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 43 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 44 evolution evolution NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 45 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 46 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 47 opportunities opportunity NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 48 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 49 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 50 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 51 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 111 52 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 1 Figure figure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 2 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 3 presents present VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 5 seasonally seasonally RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 6 adjusted adjust VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 7 monthly monthly JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 8 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 9 series series NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 10 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 12 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 13 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 15 beginning beginning NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 16 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 18 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 19 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 21 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 22 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 23 January January NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 24 1990 1990 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 25 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 26 June June NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 112 27 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 113 1 See see VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 113 2 Salant Salant NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 113 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 113 4 1977 1977 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 113 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 113 6 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 114 1 6 6 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 115 1 Cf Cf NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 115 2 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 116 1 https://wwz.unibas.ch/de/fruehindikatoren/ https://wwz.unibas.ch/de/fruehindikatoren/ NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 116 2 7 7 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 2 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 3 theory theory NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 5 absorbing absorb VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 6 Markov Markov NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 7 chains chain NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 8 developed develop VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 9 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 10 Kemeny Kemeny NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 11 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 12 Snell Snell NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 14 1960 1960 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 16 forms form VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 18 basis basis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 19 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 20 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 21 approach approach NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 117 22 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 1 Stone stone NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 3 1970 1970 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 4 Stone Stone NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 7 1972 1972 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 8 Stone Stone NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 10 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 11 1973 1973 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 12 introduced introduce VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 13 Markov Markov NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 14 chains chain NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 15 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 16 economic economic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 17 literature literature NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 118 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 1 Sheldon Sheldon NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 3 1996 1996 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 5 first first RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 6 applied apply VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 8 concept concept NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 9 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 10 Swiss swiss JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 11 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 12 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 119 13 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 1 Sider Sider NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 3 1985 1985 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 5 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 6 more more RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 7 recently recently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 8 Shimer Shimer NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 10 2012 2012 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 12 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 13 applied apply VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 14 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 15 similar similar JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 16 approach approach NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 17 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 18 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 19 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 21 US US NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 22 Current Current NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 23 Population Population NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 24 Survey Survey NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 26 CPS CPS NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 120 28 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 1 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 2 method method NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 3 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 4 less less RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 5 straightforward straightforward JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 7 however however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 9 due due IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 10 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 12 survey survey NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 13 quality quality NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 16 CPS CPS NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 17 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 121 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 1 8 8 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 2 Stochastic stochastic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 3 independence independence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 4 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 5 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 6 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 7 assumption assumption NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 9 Markov Markov NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 10 chains chain NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 122 11 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 123 1 9 9 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 123 2 Note note VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 123 3 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 123 4 h(0 h(0 NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 123 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 123 6 = = SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 123 7 0 0 NFP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 124 1 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 124 2 h(T h(t UH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 124 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 124 4 = = SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 124 5 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 124 6 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 2 set set VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 3 T t NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 4 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 5 48 48 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 6 as as RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 7 very very RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 8 few few JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 10 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 12 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 13 last last RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 14 longer long RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 15 than than IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 16 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 17 years year NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 125 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 126 1 10 10 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 1 Registered registered JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 2 unemployed unemployed NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 3 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 4 defined define VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 5 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 6 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 7 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 8 jobless jobless JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 9 aged age VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 10 15 15 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 11 - - SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 12 64 64 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 13 who who WP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 14 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 15 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 16 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 17 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 18 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 19 office office NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 20 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 22 last last JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 23 day day NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 24 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 26 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 27 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 28 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 29 immediately immediately RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 30 available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 31 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 32 work work NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 127 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 1 Registered registered JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 2 jobless jobless JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 3 who who WP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 4 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 5 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 6 immediately immediately RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 7 available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 8 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 10 last last JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 11 day day NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 12 due due JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 13 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 14 say say VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 15 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 16 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 17 participation participation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 19 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 20 active active JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 21 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 22 market market NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 23 policy policy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 25 ALMP ALMP NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 27 program program NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 28 such such JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 29 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 30 re re NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 31 - - NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 32 training training NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 33 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 34 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 35 counted count VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 36 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 37 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 38 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 128 39 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 2 typically typically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 3 make make VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 4 up up RP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 5 roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 6 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 7 fifth fifth NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 9 all all DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 10 people people NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 11 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 12 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 13 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 14 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 15 office office NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 129 16 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 1 Counting count VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 2 them -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 3 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 4 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 5 would would MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 6 raise raise VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 8 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 9 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 10 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 11 one one CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 12 percentage percentage NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 13 point point NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 14 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 15 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 130 16 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 1 Another another DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 2 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 3 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 6 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 7 consist consist NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 9 individuals individual NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 10 who who WP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 11 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 12 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 13 immediately immediately RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 14 available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 15 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 16 work work NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 17 due due JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 18 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 19 say say UH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 21 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 22 illness illness NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 23 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 24 who who WP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 25 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 26 still still RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 27 within within IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 29 notice notice NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 30 period period NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 31 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 32 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 33 who who WP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 34 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 35 working work VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 36 yet yet RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 37 receiving receive VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 38 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 39 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 40 benefit benefit NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 41 such such JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 42 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 43 reimbursement reimbursement NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 44 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 45 commuting commute VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 46 costs cost NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 131 47 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 2 remaining remain VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 3 75 75 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 4 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 5 consist consist NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 6 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 7 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 8 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 132 9 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 133 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 133 2 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 133 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 134 1 156:8 156:8 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 1 Page page NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 2 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 4 9 9 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 5 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 6 based base VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 7 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 9 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 11 along along IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 12 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 14 complementary complementary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 15 series series NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 16 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 18 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 19 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 20 11 11 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 135 21 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 136 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 136 2 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 136 3 comparison comparison NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 136 4 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 136 5 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 136 6 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 136 7 _SP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 1 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 2 indicates indicate VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 5 period period NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 6 covered cover VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 7 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 8 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 9 . . NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 10 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 11 includes include VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 12 three three CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 13 past past JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 14 employment employment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 15 downturns downturn NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 18 double double JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 19 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 20 dip dip NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 21 recession recession NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 22 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 23 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 24 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 25 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 26 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 27 bursting bursting NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 28 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 29 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 30 dotcom dotcom NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 31 bubble bubble NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 32 after after IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 33 2000 2000 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 34 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 35 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 36 financial financial JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 37 crisis crisis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 38 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 39 2008/09 2008/09 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 41 as as RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 42 well well RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 43 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 44 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 45 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 46 downswing downswing NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 47 caused cause VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 48 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 49 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 50 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 51 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 52 March March NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 53 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 137 54 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 1 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 2 number number NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 4 things thing NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 5 stand stand VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 6 out out RP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 7 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 8 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 138 9 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 139 1 2 2 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 139 2 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 1 For for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 2 one one CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 5 chart chart NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 6 reveals reveal VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 7 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 9 largest large JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 10 increases increase NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 12 both both CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 14 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 15 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 16 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 18 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 19 occurred occur VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 20 during during IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 22 double double JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 23 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 24 dip dip NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 25 recession recession NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 26 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 27 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 28 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 29 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 140 30 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 1 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 2 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 3 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 4 experienced experience VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 5 such such JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 6 large large JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 7 increases increase NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 8 since since RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 141 9 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 1 For for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 2 another another DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 5 shows show VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 6 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 8 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 9 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 11 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 13 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 14 move move NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 15 roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 16 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 17 unison unison NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 18 across across IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 20 business business NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 21 cycle cycle NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 22 suggesting suggest VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 23 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 24 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 25 shedding shed VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 26 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 27 hiring hire VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 28 freezes freeze NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 29 contribute contribute VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 30 approximately approximately RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 31 equally equally RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 32 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 33 cyclical cyclical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 34 upswings upswing NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 35 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 36 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 142 37 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 1 Unique unique JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 2 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 4 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 5 crisis crisis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 6 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 8 sharp sharp JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 9 upsurge upsurge NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 10 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 11 both both CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 13 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 14 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 15 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 16 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 17 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 143 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 1 Never never RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 2 before before IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 3 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 5 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 6 variables variable NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 7 risen rise VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 8 so so RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 9 quickly quickly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 10 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 11 such such PDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 12 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 13 short short JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 14 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 15 span span NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 144 16 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 2 undoubtedly undoubtedly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 3 stems stem VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 4 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 6 suddenness suddenness NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 7 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 9 universality universality NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 10 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 145 13 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 1 Also also RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 2 striking strike VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 3 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 5 rise rise NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 6 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 7 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 8 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 9 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 10 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 11 record record NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 12 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 13 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 14 especially especially RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 15 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 16 light light NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 19 widespread widespread JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 20 use use NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 22 short short JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 23 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 24 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 25 work work NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 146 26 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 147 1 Duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 147 2 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 147 3 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 147 4 yet yet RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 147 5 risen rise VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 147 6 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 147 7 record record VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 147 8 heights height NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 148 1 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 148 2 may may MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 148 3 if if IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 148 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 148 5 downturn downturn NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 148 6 persists persist VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 148 7 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 1 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 2 major major JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 3 unknown unknown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 4 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 6 moment moment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 7 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 8 how how WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 10 economy economy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 11 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 12 fare fare VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 13 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 15 coming come VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 16 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 149 17 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 1 Official official JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 2 statistics statistic NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 3 do do VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 4 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 5 appear appear VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 6 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 7 provide provide VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 8 much much JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 9 help help NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 10 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 11 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 12 regard regard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 150 13 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 1 For for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 2 example example NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 4 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 5 estimates estimate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 6 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 7 GDP GDP NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 8 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 10 first first JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 11 quarter quarter NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 13 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 15 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 17 experience experience NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 18 shows show NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 19 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 20 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 21 thereafter thereafter RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 22 subject subject JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 23 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 24 significant significant JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 25 revisions revision NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 26 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 27 did do VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 28 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 29 become become VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 30 available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 31 until until IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 32 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 33 June June NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 34 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 35 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 36 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 37 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 38 accessible accessible JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 39 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 40 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 41 second second JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 42 quarter quarter NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 43 until until IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 44 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 45 September September NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 46 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 47 hardly hardly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 48 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 49 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 50 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 51 provide provide VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 52 reliable reliable JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 53 guidance guidance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 54 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 55 economic economic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 56 policy policy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 151 57 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 2 light light NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 4 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 6 various various JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 7 researchers researcher NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 8 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 9 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 10 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 11 begun begin VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 12 searching search VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 13 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 14 more more JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 15 up up IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 16 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 17 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 18 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 19 date date NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 20 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 22 economic economic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 23 activity activity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 152 24 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 1 Some some DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 2 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 3 turned turn VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 4 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 5 transaction transaction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 6 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 7 such such JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 8 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 9 credit credit NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 10 card card NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 11 use use NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 12 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 13 traveled travel VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 14 miles mile NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 15 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 16 while while IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 17 others other NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 18 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 19 focused focus VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 20 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 21 words word NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 22 searched search VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 23 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 24 Google Google NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 25 such such JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 26 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 27 " " `` cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 28 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 29 " " '' cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 30 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 31 " " `` cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 32 vacancies vacancy NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 33 " " '' cord-298871-g7mqsbct 153 34 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 2 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 3 path path NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 5 these these DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 6 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 7 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 8 give give VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 9 interesting interesting JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 10 insights insight NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 11 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 13 general general JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 14 direction direction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 15 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 16 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 18 economy economy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 19 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 20 heading head VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 21 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 22 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 23 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 24 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 25 easily easily RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 26 translated translate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 27 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 28 terms term NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 29 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 30 such such JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 31 major major JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 32 economic economic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 33 variables variable NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 34 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 35 interest interest NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 36 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 37 GDP GDP NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 38 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 39 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 154 40 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 3 following following NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 6 present present VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 7 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 8 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 9 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 10 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 11 avoid avoid VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 12 these these DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 13 shortcomings shortcoming NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 155 14 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 2 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 3 timely timely JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 5 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 6 . . NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 7 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 8 Risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 9 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 10 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 12 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 13 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 14 seasonally seasonally RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 15 adjusted adjust VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 17 January January NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 18 1990-June 1990-june CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 19 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 156 20 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 157 1 Notes note NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 157 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 2 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 4 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 5 measures measure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 7 probability probability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 9 becoming become VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 10 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 11 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 12 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 13 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 14 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 15 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 16 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 17 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 18 equals equal VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 20 number number NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 22 individuals individual NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 23 entering enter VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 24 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 25 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 26 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 27 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 28 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 29 divided divide VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 30 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 31 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 32 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 33 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 34 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 35 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 36 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 37 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 38 according accord VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 39 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 40 official official JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 41 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 42 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 43 statistics statistic NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 158 44 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 2 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 4 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 5 gives give VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 7 number number NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 9 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 10 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 11 cohorts cohort NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 12 entering enter VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 13 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 14 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 15 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 16 expect expect VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 17 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 18 remain remain VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 19 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 20 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 21 state state NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 22 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 23 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 24 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 26 area area NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 27 under under IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 29 survivor survivor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 30 curve curve NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 31 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 32 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 33 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 34 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 35 calculated calculate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 36 using use VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 37 Eq Eq NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 39 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 41 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 42 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 43 computerized computerized JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 44 database database NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 45 underlying underlie VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 46 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 47 official official JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 48 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 49 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 50 statistics statistic NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 159 51 11 11 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 1 Including include VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 2 participants participant NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 3 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 4 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 5 ALMP almp NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 6 program program NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 7 raises raise VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 8 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 9 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 10 2 2 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 11 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 12 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 13 lowers lower VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 14 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 15 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 16 0.02 0.02 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 17 percentage percentage NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 18 points point NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 19 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 20 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 21 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 23 latter latter JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 24 due due IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 25 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 26 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 27 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 28 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 29 some some DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 30 entries entry NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 31 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 32 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 33 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 34 represent represent VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 35 returning return VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 36 participants participant NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 37 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 38 ALMP almp NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 39 programs program NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 40 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 41 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 42 excluded exclude VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 43 when when WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 44 ALMP ALMP NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 45 participants participant NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 46 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 47 counted count VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 48 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 49 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 50 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 160 51 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 161 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 161 2 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 161 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 162 1 156:8 156:8 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 1 Page page NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 2 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 4 9 9 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 5 calculated calculate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 6 monthly monthly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 7 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 9 basis basis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 10 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 12 latest late JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 13 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 14 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 15 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 17 unlike unlike IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 18 GDP GDP NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 19 estimates estimate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 21 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 22 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 23 subject subject JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 24 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 25 multiple multiple JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 26 revisions revision NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 163 27 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 2 addition addition NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 5 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 6 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 7 directly directly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 8 interpretable interpretable JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 9 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 10 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 11 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 12 good good JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 13 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 14 record record NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 15 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 16 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 17 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 18 been be VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 19 freely freely RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 20 available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 21 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 23 public public JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 24 12 12 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 25 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 26 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 27 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 28 decade decade NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 164 29 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 2 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 3 forecast forecast VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 5 future future JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 6 values value NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 7 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 9 i i NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 12 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 13 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 14 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 16 ii ii NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 165 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 166 1 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 166 2 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 166 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 166 4 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 166 5 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 166 6 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 166 7 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 166 8 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 2 forecasts forecast NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 3 represent represent VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 5 values value NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 6 these these DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 7 variables variable NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 8 would would MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 9 assume assume VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 10 were be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 12 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 13 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 14 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 15 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 16 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 17 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 18 prevailing prevail VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 19 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 20 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 21 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 22 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 23 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 24 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 25 remain remain VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 26 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 27 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 29 future future NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 167 30 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 2 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 3 words word NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 5 they -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 6 correspond correspond VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 7 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 10 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 11 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 13 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 15 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 16 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 17 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 18 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 19 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 21 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 22 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 23 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 24 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 25 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 26 prevailing prevail VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 27 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 28 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 29 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 30 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 31 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 32 imply imply VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 33 stochastically stochastically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 34 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 35 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 36 steady steady JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 37 state state NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 38 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 39 i.e. i.e. FW cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 40 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 41 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 42 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 43 longer long JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 44 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 168 45 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 1 Equation equation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 3 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 5 serves serve VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 6 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 7 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 8 point point NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 10 departure departure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 12 deriving derive VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 14 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 15 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 16 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 18 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 19 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 169 20 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 1 Since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 3 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 5 gives give VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 7 probability probability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 8 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 9 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 10 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 11 spell spell NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 12 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 13 still still RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 14 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 15 k k NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 16 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 17 after after IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 18 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 19 start start NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 21 multiplying multiply VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 23 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 24 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 25 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 26 n n NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 27 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 28 entering enter VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 29 cohorts cohort NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 30 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 31 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 32 shown show VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 33 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 35 3 3 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 37 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 38 yields yield VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 39 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 40 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 41 number number NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 42 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 43 individuals individual NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 44 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 45 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 46 associated associated JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 47 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 48 classes class NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 49 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 50 steady steady JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 51 state state NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 170 52 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 1 Repeating repeat VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 3 calculation calculation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 4 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 6 3 3 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 8 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 9 all all DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 10 T t NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 11 + + SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 12 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 13 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 14 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 15 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 16 values value NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 18 k k NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 19 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 20 summing sum VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 22 results result NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 23 therefore therefore RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 24 yield yield VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 26 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 27 number number NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 28 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 29 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 30 U u NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 31 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 32 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 33 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 34 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 35 entering enter VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 36 cohorts cohort NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 37 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 38 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 39 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 40 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 41 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 42 prevailing prevail VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 43 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 44 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 45 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 46 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 47 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 48 imply imply VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 49 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 50 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 51 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 52 i.e. i.e. FW cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 53 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 54 13 13 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 55 Dividing divide VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 56 both both DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 57 sides side NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 58 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 59 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 60 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 61 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 62 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 63 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 171 64 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 1 LF lf NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 2 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 4 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 5 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 6 thus thus RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 7 produces produce VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 9 corresponding correspond VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 10 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 11 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 12 U% U% NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 172 13 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 1 Hence hence RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 3 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 4 multiplying multiply VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 6 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 7 series series NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 8 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 9 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 173 10 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 1 2 2 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 3 one one PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 4 obtains obtain VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 5 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 6 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 7 series series NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 8 giving give VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 10 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 11 future future JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 12 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 13 path path NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 16 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 17 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 18 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 20 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 21 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 23 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 24 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 25 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 26 prevailing prevail VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 27 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 29 various various JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 30 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 31 imply imply VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 174 32 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 1 Note note VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 2 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 4 5 5 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 7 unlike unlike IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 8 most most JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 9 leading leading JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 10 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 12 does do VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 13 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 14 rest rest VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 15 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 16 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 17 empirical empirical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 18 regularity regularity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 19 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 21 instead instead RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 23 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 24 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 25 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 26 law law NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 175 27 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 1 Hence hence RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 3 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 4 calculated calculate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 5 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 6 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 7 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 8 would would MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 9 necessarily necessarily RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 10 coincide coincide VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 11 exactly exactly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 12 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 14 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 15 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 16 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 17 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 18 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 19 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 20 if if IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 22 underlying underlie VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 23 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 24 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 25 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 26 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 27 were be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 28 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 29 remain remain VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 30 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 176 31 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 3 latter latter NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 4 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 5 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 6 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 7 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 8 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 9 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 11 update update VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 13 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 14 every every DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 15 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 16 employing employ VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 18 latest late JJS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 19 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 20 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 22 electronic electronic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 23 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 24 registration registration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 25 system system NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 26 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 27 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 28 State State NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 29 Secretariat Secretariat NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 30 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 31 Economic Economic NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 32 Affairs Affairs NNPS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 177 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 2 yields yield VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 3 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 4 rolling roll VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 5 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 6 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 8 future future JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 10 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 11 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 12 monthly monthly JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 13 intervals interval NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 178 14 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 1 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 2 central central JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 3 issue issue NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 4 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 5 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 6 juncture juncture NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 7 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 9 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 10 accuracy accuracy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 12 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 13 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 179 14 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 180 1 Figure figure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 180 2 3 3 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 180 3 provides provide VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 180 4 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 180 5 visual visual JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 180 6 answer answer NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 180 7 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 3 chart chart NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 4 shows show VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 7 relationship relationship NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 8 between between IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 10 predicted predict VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 12 " " `` cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 13 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 14 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 15 " " '' cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 17 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 19 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 20 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 21 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 23 " " `` cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 24 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 25 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 26 " " '' cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 28 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 29 much much JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 30 like like IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 31 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 32 between between IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 33 marginal marginal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 34 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 35 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 36 values value NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 181 37 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 1 When when WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 3 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 6 marginal marginal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 7 value value NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 9 lies lie VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 10 below below IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 12 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 13 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 16 latter latter JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 19 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 20 value value NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 22 falls fall VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 23 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 24 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 25 when when WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 26 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 27 lies lie VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 28 above above IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 29 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 30 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 31 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 32 latter latter JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 33 rises rise VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 182 34 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 2 finding finding NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 3 implies imply VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 4 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 6 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 7 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 8 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 9 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 10 driving drive VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 11 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 12 underlying underlie VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 14 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 15 path path NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 16 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 17 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 18 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 183 19 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 2 acid acid NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 3 test test NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 4 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 5 any any DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 6 leading leading JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 7 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 8 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 9 whether whether IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 11 succeeds succeed VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 12 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 13 predicting predict VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 15 turning turn VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 16 points point NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 17 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 19 series series NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 20 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 21 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 23 pertains pertain VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 184 24 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 1 Figure figure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 2 3 3 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 3 suggests suggest VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 4 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 5 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 6 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 8 case case NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 9 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 10 regard regard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 11 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 12 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 13 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 185 14 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 2 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 5 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 6 was be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 8 only only JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 9 one one CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 10 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 11 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 13 fall fall NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 15 2009 2009 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 16 correctly correctly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 17 predicted predict VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 19 trend trend NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 20 reversal reversal NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 23 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 24 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 25 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 26 2010 2010 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 27 14 14 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 186 28 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 1 At at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 3 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 5 all all DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 6 forecasts forecast NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 7 predicted predict VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 10 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 12 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 13 stood stand VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 14 just just RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 15 above above IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 16 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 17 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 19 late late JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 20 2009 2009 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 21 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 22 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 23 exceed exceed VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 24 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 25 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 26 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 27 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 28 coming come VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 29 year year NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 187 30 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 2 reality reality NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 3 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 5 fell fall VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 6 below below IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 7 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 8 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 188 9 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 1 To to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 2 determine determine VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 4 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 5 lead lead JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 6 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 7 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 9 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 10 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 12 search search VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 13 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 15 lagged lag VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 16 value value NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 19 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 20 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 21 maximizes maximize VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 22 R r NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 23 squared square VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 24 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 25 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 26 regression regression NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 27 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 29 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 30 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 31 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 32 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 33 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 34 single single JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 35 lagged lagged JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 36 value value NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 37 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 38 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 39 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 189 40 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 2 find find VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 3 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 4 R r NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 5 squared square VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 6 reaches reach VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 7 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 8 maximum maximum NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 10 97 97 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 11 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 12 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 13 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 14 lag lag NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 15 length length NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 16 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 17 lead lead JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 18 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 19 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 20 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 21 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 190 22 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 191 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 191 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 191 3 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 191 4 _SP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 1 3 3 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 4 lead lead JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 5 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 6 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 7 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 9 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 10 distance distance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 11 between between IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 13 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 14 curves curve NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 192 15 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 1 12 12 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 2 See see VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 3 https://wwz.unibas.ch/de/fruehindikatoren/ https://wwz.unibas.ch/de/fruehindikatoren/ NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 4 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 5 13 13 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 6 If if IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 7 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 8 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 9 h(t h(t VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 11 do do VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 12 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 13 vary vary VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 14 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 15 elapsed elapse VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 16 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 17 t t NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 18 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 20 4 4 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 22 reduces reduce VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 23 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 24 1/ 1/ CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 25 h h NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 26 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 27 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 28 1/(1−s 1/(1−s CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 30 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 31 terms term NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 32 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 33 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 34 complementary complementary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 35 uniform uniform JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 36 survivor survivor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 37 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 193 38 s. s. NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 2 similarity similarity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 3 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 5 Keynesian keynesian JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 6 income income NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 7 multiplier multiplier NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 8 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 9 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 10 just just RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 11 coincidental coincidental JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 12 since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 13 both both DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 14 represent represent VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 16 sum sum NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 18 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 19 infinite infinite JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 20 decreasing decrease VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 21 geometric geometric JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 22 series series NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 194 23 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 4 similarity similarity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 5 points point VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 6 out out RP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 8 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 9 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 11 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 12 spell spell NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 13 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 14 acts act VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 15 like like IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 16 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 17 multiplier multiplier NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 19 translating translate VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 21 flow flow NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 22 n n CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 23 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 24 new new JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 25 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 26 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 27 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 29 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 30 U u NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 31 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 32 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 195 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 2 longer long RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 4 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 7 larger large JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 8 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 10 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 12 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 13 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 14 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 15 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 16 cohort cohort NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 17 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 18 produces produce VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 196 19 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 3 matrix matrix NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 4 notation notation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 5 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 6 Markov Markov NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 7 chains chain NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 10 reciprocal reciprocal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 11 1/(1−s 1/(1−s CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 13 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 14 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 16 inverse inverse NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 17 matrix matrix NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 19 I−S I−S NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 21 −1 −1 NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 23 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 24 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 25 known know VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 26 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 27 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 28 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 29 matrix matrix NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 30 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 31 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 32 Markov Markov NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 33 chain chain NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 34 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 35 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 36 inputoutput inputoutput NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 37 analysis analysis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 38 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 39 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 40 Leontief Leontief NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 41 inverse inverse NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 42 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 43 where where WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 44 input input NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 45 coefficients coefficient NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 46 replace replace VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 47 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 48 survival survival NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 49 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 50 s(t s(t NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 51 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 52 represented represent VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 53 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 54 S S NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 55 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 56 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 57 inverse inverse NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 58 matrix matrix NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 197 59 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 2 mathematics mathematic NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 3 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 5 same same JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 7 however however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 9 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 10 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 11 why why WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 12 contributions contribution NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 13 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 14 Stone Stone NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 16 1970 1970 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 17 Stone Stone NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 19 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 20 1972 1972 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 21 often often RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 22 appear appear VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 23 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 24 works work NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 25 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 26 input input NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 27 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 28 output output NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 29 analysis analysis NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 198 30 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 199 1 14 14 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 199 2 Cf Cf NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 199 3 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 200 1 Sheldon Sheldon NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 200 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 200 3 2009 2009 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 200 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 200 5 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 1 Sheldon Sheldon NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 2 Swiss Swiss NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 3 Journal Journal NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 5 Economics Economics NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 6 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 7 Statistics Statistics NNPS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 9 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 201 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 202 1 156:8 156:8 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 203 1 Page page NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 203 2 6 6 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 203 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 203 4 9 9 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 1 What what WP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 2 does do VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 4 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 5 portend portend VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 6 now now RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 7 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 9 near near JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 10 future future NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 204 11 ? ? . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 205 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 205 2 curves curve NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 205 3 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 205 4 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 205 5 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 1 3 3 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 2 imply imply VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 3 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 5 based base VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 6 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 8 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 9 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 10 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 11 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 13 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 14 prevailing prevail VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 15 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 16 June June NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 17 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 18 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 20 seasonally seasonally RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 21 adjusted adjust VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 22 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 23 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 24 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 25 3.7 3.7 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 26 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 27 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 29 end end NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 30 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 31 June June NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 32 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 33 exceed exceed VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 34 6 6 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 35 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 36 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 37 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 38 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 39 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 40 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 41 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 42 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 43 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 44 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 45 last last RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 46 reached reach VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 47 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 48 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 49 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 50 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 206 51 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 1 Note note VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 3 though though RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 5 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 7 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 8 tends tend VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 9 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 10 overshoot overshoot VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 12 peaks peak NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 13 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 15 published publish VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 16 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 17 series series NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 18 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 19 0.5 0.5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 20 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 21 1.0 1.0 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 22 percentage percentage NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 23 points point NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 207 24 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 2 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 3 probably probably RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 4 due due JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 5 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 7 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 8 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 9 layoffs layoff NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 10 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 11 usually usually RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 12 quick quick JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 13 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 14 widespread widespread JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 15 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 16 whereas whereas IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 17 recoveries recovery NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 18 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 19 typically typically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 20 gradual gradual JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 21 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 22 uneven uneven JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 208 23 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 1 Consequently consequently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 4 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 5 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 6 expected expect VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 7 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 8 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 9 vary vary VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 10 asymmetrically asymmetrically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 11 across across IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 13 cycle cycle NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 15 increasing increase VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 16 rapidly rapidly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 17 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 18 strongly strongly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 19 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 20 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 21 downturn downturn NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 23 causing cause VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 24 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 25 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 26 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 27 rise rise VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 28 sharply sharply RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 29 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 30 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 31 decreasing decrease VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 32 more more RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 33 gradually gradually RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 34 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 35 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 36 upswing upswing NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 37 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 38 causing cause VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 39 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 40 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 41 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 42 decline decline VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 43 slowly slowly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 209 44 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 1 Hence hence RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 4 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 5 may may MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 6 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 7 providing provide VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 8 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 9 overly overly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 10 pessimistic pessimistic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 11 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 12 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 14 moment moment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 210 15 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 1 Based base VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 2 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 4 experience experience NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 5 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 7 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 9 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 10 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 12 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 13 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 14 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 15 probably probably RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 16 more more RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 17 accurate accurate JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 211 18 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 1 On on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 3 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 4 hand hand NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 6 though though RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 7 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 9 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 10 gives give VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 11 no no DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 12 indication indication NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 13 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 14 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 15 approaching approach VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 16 turnaround turnaround NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 212 17 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 1 To to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 2 derive derive VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 4 second second JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 5 leading leading JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 6 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 7 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 9 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 10 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 11 L L NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 13 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 14 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 15 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 213 16 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 1 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 2 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 3 cohort cohort NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 4 sizes size NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 5 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 6 expected expect VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 7 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 8 durations duration NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 9 imply imply VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 10 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 12 future future NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 13 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 14 note note VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 15 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 17 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 18 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 19 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 20 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 21 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 22 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 23 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 24 defined define VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 25 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 26 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 27 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 29 number number NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 30 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 31 jobless jobless JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 32 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 33 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 34 been be VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 35 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 36 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 37 at at RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 38 least least RBS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 39 12 12 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 40 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 41 divided divide VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 42 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 43 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 44 total total JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 45 number number NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 46 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 47 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 214 48 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 1 Hence hence RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 3 based base VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 4 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 6 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 10 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 11 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 13 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 14 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 15 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 16 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 17 implied imply VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 18 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 20 cohort cohort NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 21 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 22 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 23 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 24 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 25 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 26 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 27 prevailing prevail VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 28 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 29 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 30 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 31 calendar calendar NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 32 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 33 equals equal NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 34 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 35 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 36 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 37 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 38 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 39 ratio ratio NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 40 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 41 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 42 area area NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 43 below below IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 44 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 45 survivor survivor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 46 curve curve NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 47 above above IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 48 11 11 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 49 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 50 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 51 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 52 total total JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 53 area area NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 54 under under IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 55 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 56 curve curve NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 215 57 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 3 6 6 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 5 indicates indicate VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 8 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 10 entering enter VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 11 cohorts cohort NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 12 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 13 no no DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 14 bearing bearing NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 15 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 16 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 17 value value NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 18 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 20 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 22 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 23 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 24 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 25 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 216 26 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 2 depends depend VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 3 solely solely RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 4 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 6 slope slope NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 7 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 9 survivor survivor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 10 curve curve NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 11 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 13 underlying underlying JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 14 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 15 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 217 16 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 3 since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 5 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 6 essentially essentially RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 7 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 8 where where WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 9 one one PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 10 draws draw VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 12 line line NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 13 between between IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 14 short short JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 15 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 16 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 17 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 18 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 19 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 20 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 22 6 6 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 24 implies imply VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 25 more more RBR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 26 generally generally RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 27 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 29 size size NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 30 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 31 entering enter VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 32 cohorts cohort NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 33 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 34 no no DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 35 impact impact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 36 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 37 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 38 distribution distribution NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 39 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 40 elapsed elapse VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 41 spell spell NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 42 lengths length NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 43 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 44 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 45 steady steady JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 46 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 47 state state NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 48 stock stock NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 49 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 50 unemployed unemployed NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 218 51 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 1 Figure figure NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 2 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 3 compares compare VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 5 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 6 path path NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 7 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 9 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 10 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 11 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 13 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 15 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 16 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 17 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 18 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 20 " " `` cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 21 expected expect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 22 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 23 " " '' cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 25 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 26 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 27 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 29 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 30 value value NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 32 " " `` cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 33 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 34 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 35 " " '' cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 219 37 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 1 As as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 3 chart chart NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 4 indicates indicate VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 5 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 7 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 8 exhibits exhibit VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 9 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 10 lead lead JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 11 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 13 just just RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 14 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 15 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 16 year year NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 17 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 18 one one PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 19 would would MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 20 expect expect VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 21 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 22 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 23 definition definition NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 24 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 25 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 26 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 27 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 28 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 220 29 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 1 Regressions regression NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 2 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 4 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 5 values value NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 6 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 7 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 8 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 10 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 11 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 12 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 13 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 14 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 15 varying vary VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 16 lagged lag VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 17 values value NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 18 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 19 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 20 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 21 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 22 indicate indicate VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 23 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 24 R r NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 25 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 26 squared squared NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 27 reaches reach VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 28 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 29 maximum maximum NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 30 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 31 91 91 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 32 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 33 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 34 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 221 35 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 2 light light NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 4 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 5 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 6 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 7 horizon horizon NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 8 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 10 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 11 astonishing astonishing JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 12 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 13 observe observe VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 14 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 15 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 222 16 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 223 1 4 4 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 1 how how WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 2 well well RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 4 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 5 predicts predict VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 6 turning turn VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 7 points point NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 8 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 10 observed observed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 11 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 224 12 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 2 know know VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 4 no no DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 5 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 6 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 7 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 8 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 9 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 10 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 11 kind kind NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 13 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 14 ability ability NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 225 15 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 1 Apparently apparently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 4 die die NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 5 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 6 cast cast VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 7 so so RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 8 early early RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 9 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 11 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 12 process process NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 13 that that WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 15 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 16 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 18 economic economic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 19 activity activity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 20 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 21 policy policy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 22 interventions intervention NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 23 fails fail VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 24 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 25 have have VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 26 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 27 impact impact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 28 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 29 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 30 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 31 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 32 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 33 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 34 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 35 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 226 36 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 1 Given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 2 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 3 degree degree NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 5 persistence persistence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 7 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 8 . . NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 9 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 10 implies imply VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 11 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 13 proportion proportion NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 15 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 16 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 17 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 18 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 19 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 20 currently currently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 21 standing stand VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 22 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 23 12 12 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 24 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 25 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 26 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 27 increase increase VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 28 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 29 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 30 record record JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 31 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 32 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 33 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 34 40 40 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 35 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 36 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 37 16 16 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 38 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 39 15 15 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 40 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 41 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 42 this this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 43 although although IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 44 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 45 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 46 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 47 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 48 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 49 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 50 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 51 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 52 currently currently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 53 falling fall VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 227 54 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 1 However however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 4 latter latter JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 5 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 6 merely merely RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 7 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 8 result result NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 11 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 12 strong strong JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 13 influx influx NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 15 new new JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 16 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 17 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 18 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 19 short short JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 20 elapsed elapse VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 21 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 22 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 23 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 24 increases increase VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 26 denominator denominator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 27 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 28 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 29 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 30 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 31 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 32 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 33 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 34 while while IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 35 leaving leave VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 36 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 37 numerator numerator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 38 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 228 39 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 1 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 2 large large JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 3 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 5 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 6 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 7 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 8 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 9 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 10 problematical problematical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 229 11 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 2 tends tend VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 3 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 4 slow slow VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 5 recovery recovery NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 6 because because IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 7 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 8 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 9 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 10 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 12 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 13 declining decline VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 14 hazard hazard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 15 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 16 indicate indicate VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 17 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 18 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 19 greater great JJR cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 20 difficulty difficulty NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 21 finding find VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 22 jobs job NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 23 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 24 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 26 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 27 persistent persistent JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 28 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 29 signals signal NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 30 serious serious JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 31 deficiencies deficiency NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 32 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 33 potential potential JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 34 employers employer NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 35 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 36 or or CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 37 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 38 it -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 39 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 40 continuing continue VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 41 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 42 destroys destroy VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 43 job job NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 44 skills skill NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 230 45 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 2 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 3 result result VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 4 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 5 cyclical cyclical JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 6 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 7 mutating mutate VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 8 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 9 structural structural JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 10 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 11 placing place VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 12 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 13 large large JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 14 drag drag NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 15 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 16 recovery recovery NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 231 17 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 2 discussion discussion NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 3 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 4 shown show VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 5 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 6 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 7 rates rate NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 8 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 9 excess excess NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 10 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 11 4 4 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 12 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 13 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 14 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 16 State State NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 17 Secretariat Secretariat NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 18 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 19 Economic Economic NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 20 Affairs Affairs NNPS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 21 predicts predict VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 22 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 23 2021 2021 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 24 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 25 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 26 historically historically RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 27 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 28 without without IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 29 precedent precedent NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 30 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 31 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 232 32 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 1 Available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 2 statistics statistic NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 3 show show VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 4 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 6 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 7 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 8 rose rise VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 9 above above IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 10 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 11 level level NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 12 during during IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 14 Great Great NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 15 Depression Depression NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 16 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 18 1930s 1930 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 19 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 20 even even RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 21 as as RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 22 recently recently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 23 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 24 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 26 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 27 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 28 during during IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 29 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 30 double double JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 31 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 32 dip dip NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 33 recession recession NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 233 34 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 2 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 3 questionable questionable JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 5 however however RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 7 whether whether IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 8 figures figure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 9 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 10 registered register VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 11 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 12 collected collect VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 13 prior prior RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 14 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 16 introduction introduction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 17 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 18 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 19 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 20 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 21 coverage coverage NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 22 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 23 April April NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 24 1977 1977 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 25 lend lend VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 26 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 27 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 28 comparison comparison NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 29 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 30 today today NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 31 's 's POS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 32 figures figure NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 234 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 1 Before before IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 2 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 3 introduction introduction NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 5 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 6 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 7 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 8 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 9 large large JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 10 majority majority NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 13 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 14 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 16 roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 17 80 80 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 18 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 19 shortly shortly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 20 before before IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 21 April April NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 22 1977 1977 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 24 was be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 25 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 26 insured insure VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 27 against against IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 28 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 29 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 30 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 31 without without IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 32 claims claim NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 33 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 34 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 35 benefits benefit NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 36 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 37 probably probably RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 38 did do VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 39 not not RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 40 report report VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 41 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 42 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 43 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 44 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 45 authorities authority NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 235 46 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 3 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 4 majority majority NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 5 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 6 foreign foreign JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 7 workers worker NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 8 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 9 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 10 prior prior RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 11 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 13 1980s 1980 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 14 only only RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 15 held hold VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 16 temporary temporary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 17 work work NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 18 permits permit NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 19 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 20 had have VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 21 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 22 exit exit VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 23 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 24 when when WRB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 25 they -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 26 lost lose VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 27 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 28 jobs job NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 29 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 30 further further RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 31 lowering lower VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 32 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 33 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 34 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 236 35 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 1 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 2 decomposition decomposition NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 5 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 6 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 7 into into IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 8 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 9 flow flow NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 10 components component NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 11 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 12 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 13 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 14 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 15 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 17 made make VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 18 possible possible JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 19 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 21 digitalization digitalization NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 22 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 23 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 24 federal federal JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 25 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 26 registration registration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 27 system system NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 28 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 29 1990 1990 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 30 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 31 indicates indicate VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 32 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 33 increases increase NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 34 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 35 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 36 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 37 flow flow NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 38 variables variable NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 39 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 40 contributed contribute VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 41 roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 42 equally equally RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 43 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 44 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 45 sharp sharp JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 46 rise rise NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 47 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 48 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 49 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 50 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 51 following follow VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 52 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 53 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 54 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 55 induced induce VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 56 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 57 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 58 March March NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 237 59 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 1 This this DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 2 has have VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 3 seen see VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 4 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 5 risk risk NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 6 rise rise NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 7 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 8 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 9 record record NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 10 height height NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 11 despite despite IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 13 fact fact NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 14 that that IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 15 roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 16 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 17 quarter quarter NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 18 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 19 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 20 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 21 force force NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 22 went go VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 23 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 24 short short JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 25 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 26 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 27 Fig Fig NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 238 28 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 239 1 4 4 LS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 1 Current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 2 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 3 expected expected JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 4 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 5 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 6 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 7 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 8 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 9 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 10 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 11 January January NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 12 1990-June 1990-june CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 13 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 14 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 15 seasonally seasonally RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 16 adjusted adjust VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 240 17 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 241 1 Notes note NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 241 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 2 expected expected JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 3 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 5 longterm longterm JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 6 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 7 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 8 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 9 given give VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 10 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 11 equals equal VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 12 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 13 ratio ratio NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 14 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 16 area area NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 17 under under IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 19 survivor survivor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 20 curve curve NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 21 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 22 that that DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 23 month month NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 24 above above IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 25 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 26 11-month 11-month JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 27 mark mark NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 28 divided divide VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 29 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 30 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 31 entire entire JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 32 area area NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 33 underneath underneath IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 34 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 35 same same JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 36 curve curve NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 37 according accord VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 38 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 39 Eq Eq NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 41 6 6 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 43 work work NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 44 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 45 avoid avoid VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 46 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 242 47 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 2 average average JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 3 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 4 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 5 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 6 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 7 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 8 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 10 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 11 hand hand NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 12 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 13 remains remain VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 14 just just RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 15 below below IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 16 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 17 record record NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 18 length length NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 19 set set VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 20 during during IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 22 double double JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 23 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 24 dip dip NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 25 recession recession NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 26 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 27 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 28 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 29 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 243 30 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 2 leading lead VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 3 indicators indicator NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 4 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 6 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 7 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 8 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 10 share share NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 11 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 12 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 13 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 14 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 15 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 17 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 18 have have VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 19 yielded yield VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 20 comparatively comparatively RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 21 accurate accurate JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 22 forecasts forecast NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 23 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 24 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 25 past past NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 26 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 27 point point NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 28 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 29 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 30 worsening worsen VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 31 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 32 market market NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 33 situation situation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 34 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 35 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 36 coming come VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 37 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 244 38 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 1 Based base VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 2 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 3 current current JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 4 indicator indicator NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 5 values value NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 8 can can MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 9 expect expect VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 11 seasonally seasonally RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 12 adjusted adjust VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 13 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 14 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 15 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 16 climb climb VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 17 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 18 3.7 3.7 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 19 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 20 at at IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 21 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 22 end end NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 23 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 24 June June NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 25 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 26 roughly roughly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 27 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 28 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 29 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 30 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 31 next next JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 32 5 5 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 33 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 34 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 35 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 36 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 37 proportion proportion NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 38 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 39 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 40 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 41 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 42 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 43 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 44 rise rise VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 45 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 46 12 12 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 47 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 48 currently currently RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 49 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 50 over over IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 51 40 40 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 52 % % NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 53 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 54 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 55 next next JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 56 16 16 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 57 months month NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 245 58 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 2 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 3 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 5 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 6 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 7 equals equal VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 9 previous previous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 10 record record NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 11 set set VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 12 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 13 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 14 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 15 1990s 1990 NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 16 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 17 while while IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 18 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 19 forecast forecast NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 20 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 21 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 22 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 23 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 24 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 25 represents represent VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 26 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 27 new new JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 28 high high JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 29 mark mark NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 246 30 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 2 strong strong JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 3 increase increase NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 4 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 5 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 6 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 7 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 8 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 9 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 10 particularly particularly RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 11 worrisome worrisome JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 12 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 13 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 14 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 15 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 16 unemployed unemployed JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 17 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 18 hard hard JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 19 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 20 place place VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 21 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 22 hence hence RB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 23 put put VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 24 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 25 drag drag NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 26 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 27 recovery recovery NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 247 28 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 1 In in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 2 looking look VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 3 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 5 future future NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 8 expect expect VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 9 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 10 shedding shed VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 11 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 12 taper taper VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 13 off off RP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 14 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 15 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 16 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 17 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 18 eased ease VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 19 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 20 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 21 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 22 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 23 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 24 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 25 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 26 lengthen lengthen VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 27 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 28 businesses business NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 29 enact enact VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 30 hiring hire VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 31 freezes freeze NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 32 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 33 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 34 attempt attempt NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 35 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 36 climb climb VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 37 out out RP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 38 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 39 under under IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 40 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 41 mountain mountain NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 42 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 43 debt debt NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 44 they -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 45 accumulated accumulate VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 46 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 47 lieu lieu NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 48 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 49 VAT vat NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 50 refunds refund NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 51 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 52 survive survive VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 53 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 54 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 248 55 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 1 Lengthening lengthen VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 2 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 3 spells spell NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 4 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 5 increase increase VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 6 long long JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 7 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 8 term term NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 9 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 10 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 11 sure sure JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 12 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 13 but but CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 14 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 15 effect effect NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 16 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 17 reduced reduce VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 18 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 19 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 20 increased increase VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 21 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 22 on on IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 23 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 24 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 25 rate rate NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 26 is be VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 27 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 28 as as IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 29 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 30 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 31 forces force NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 32 counteract counteract VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 33 each each DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 34 other other JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 249 35 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 2 future future NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 3 will will MD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 4 have have VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 5 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 6 show show VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 7 which which WDT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 8 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 10 two two CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 11 effects effect NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 12 proves prove VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 13 to to TO cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 14 be be VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 15 decisive decisive JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 250 16 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 251 1 Abbreviations abbreviation NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 251 2 ALMP ALMP NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 251 3 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 252 1 Active active JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 252 2 labor labor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 252 3 market market NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 252 4 policy policy NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 252 5 ; ; : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 252 6 Cf Cf NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 252 7 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 1 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 2 Confer confer VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 3 / / SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 4 conferatur conferatur NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 5 ; ; : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 6 GDP gdp NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 7 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 8 Gross gross JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 9 domestic domestic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 10 product product NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 11 ; ; : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 12 OECD OECD NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 13 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 14 Organisation Organisation NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 15 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 16 Economic Economic NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 17 Co Co NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 18 - - NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 19 operation operation NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 20 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 21 Development Development NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 22 ; ; : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 23 WWI WWI NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 24 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 25 World World NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 26 War War NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 27 I I NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 28 ; ; : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 29 WWII WWII NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 253 30 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 1 World World NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 2 War War NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 3 II II NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 4 Swiss swiss JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 5 monetary monetary JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 6 history history NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 7 since since IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 8 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 9 early early JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 10 19 19 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 11 th th XX cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 12 century century NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 13 Bestimmungsfaktoren Bestimmungsfaktoren NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 14 der der NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 15 Entwicklung Entwicklung NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 16 der der NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 17 Arbeitslosigkeit Arbeitslosigkeit NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 18 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 19 der der NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 20 Schweiz Schweiz NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 21 i -PRON- PRP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 22 m be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 23 Zeitraum Zeitraum NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 24 1990 1990 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 25 - - SYM cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 26 2009 2009 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 254 27 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 1 Study study NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 2 commissioned commission VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 3 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 4 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 6 state state NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 7 secretariat secretariat NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 8 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 9 economic economic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 10 affairs affair NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 11 Does do VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 12 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 13 cause cause VB cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 14 future future JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 15 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 255 16 ? ? . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 1 Definitions definition NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 3 questions question NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 4 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 5 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 6 answers answer NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 7 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 8 a a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 9 continuous continuous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 10 time time NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 11 model model NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 12 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 13 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 14 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 15 state state NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 256 16 dependence dependence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 1 Finite Finite NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 2 Markov Markov NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 3 chains chain NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 4 Niveau Niveau NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 5 und und IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 6 Struktur Struktur NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 7 der der NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 8 Arbeitslosigkeit Arbeitslosigkeit NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 9 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 10 der der NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 11 Schweiz Schweiz NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 257 12 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 258 1 Geld Geld NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 258 2 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 258 3 Währung Währung NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 258 4 und und IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 258 5 Konjunktur Konjunktur NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 258 6 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 258 7 1 1 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 258 8 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 1 Swiss Swiss NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 2 National National NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 3 Bank Bank NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 4 Search Search NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 5 theory theory NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 6 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 7 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 8 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 259 9 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 1 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 2 theory theory NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 4 sorts sort NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 5 Unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 6 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 7 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 8 insurance insurance NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 9 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 260 10 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 1 Wende Wende NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 2 auf auf NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 3 dem dem NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 4 Schweizer Schweizer NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 5 Arbeitsmarkt Arbeitsmarkt NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 6 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 7 Sicht Sicht NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 8 Reassessing reassess VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 10 ins in NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 11 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 12 outs out NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 13 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 14 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 15 Unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 16 duration duration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 17 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 18 incidence incidence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 19 Demographic demographic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 20 input input NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 21 - - HYPH cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 22 output output NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 261 23 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 1 An an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 2 extension extension NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 3 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 4 social social JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 5 accounting account VBG cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 6 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 7 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 8 matrix matrix NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 9 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 11 active active JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 12 sequence sequence NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 13 A a DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 14 system system NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 15 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 16 social social NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 17 matrices matrices NNPS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 18 Publisher Publisher NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 19 's 's POS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 20 Note Note NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 21 Springer Springer NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 22 Nature Nature NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 23 remains remain VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 24 neutral neutral JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 25 with with IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 26 regard regard NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 27 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 28 jurisdictional jurisdictional JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 29 claims claim NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 30 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 31 published publish VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 32 maps map NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 33 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 34 institutional institutional JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 262 35 affiliations affiliation NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 2 author author NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 3 acknowledges acknowledge VBZ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 4 helpful helpful JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 5 comments comment NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 6 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 7 an an DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 8 anonymous anonymous JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 9 referee referee NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 10 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 11 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 12 editor editor NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 263 13 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 264 1 Author author NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 264 2 's 's POS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 264 3 contributions contribution NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 265 1 All all DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 265 2 contributions contribution NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 265 3 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 265 4 attributable attributable JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 265 5 to to IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 265 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 265 7 author author NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 265 8 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 2 author author NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 3 read read VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 4 and and CC cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 5 approved approve VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 6 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 7 final final JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 8 manuscript manuscript NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 266 9 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 267 1 None none NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 267 2 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 2 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 3 presented present VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 4 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 5 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 6 paper paper NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 7 were be VBD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 8 generated generate VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 9 by by IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 10 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 11 author author NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 12 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 13 raw raw JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 14 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 15 drawn draw VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 16 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 17 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 18 electronic electronic JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 19 unemployment unemployment NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 20 registration registration NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 21 system system NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 22 of of IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 23 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 24 State State NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 25 Secretariat Secretariat NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 26 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 27 Economic Economic NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 28 Affairs Affairs NNPS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 29 in in IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 30 Berne Berne NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 31 , , , cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 32 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 268 33 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 1 The the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 2 raw raw JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 3 data datum NNS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 4 are be VBP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 5 available available JJ cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 6 under under IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 7 permission permission NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 8 from from IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 9 the the DT cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 10 State State NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 11 Secretariat Secretariat NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 12 for for IN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 13 Economic Economic NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 14 Affairs Affairs NNPS cord-298871-g7mqsbct 269 15 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 270 1 None none NN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 270 2 . . . cord-298871-g7mqsbct 271 1 Received receive VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 271 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 271 3 17 17 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 271 4 June June NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 271 5 2020 2020 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 272 1 Accepted accept VBN cord-298871-g7mqsbct 272 2 : : : cord-298871-g7mqsbct 272 3 30 30 CD cord-298871-g7mqsbct 272 4 July July NNP cord-298871-g7mqsbct 272 5 2020 2020 CD