id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-267210-98jz8tox	Bayham, Jude	The Impact of School Closure for COVID-19 on the US Healthcare Workforce and the Net Mortality Effects	2020-03-13		.txt	text/plain	4330	244	56	We use these estimates to identify the critical level for the importance of healthcare labor supply in increasing a patient's COVID-19 survival probability that would undo the benefits of school closures and ultimately increase cumulative mortality. A 15% decline in the healthcare labor force, combined with reasonable parameters for COVID-19 such as a 15% case reduction from school closings and 2% baseline mortality rate implies that a 15% loss in the healthcare labor force must decrease the survival probability per percent healthcare worker lost by 17.6% for a school closure to increase cumulative mortality. We find that the current best estimates of healthcare worker likely absenteeism to provide child care in the event of school closures imply great uncertainty to whether school closures will ultimately reduce COVID-19 mortality.	./cache/cord-267210-98jz8tox.txt	./txt/cord-267210-98jz8tox.txt