id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-029725-px209lf0	Anand, Nikhil	Predicting the Spread of COVID-19 Using [Formula: see text] Model Augmented to Incorporate Quarantine and Testing	2020-07-24		.txt	text/plain	3267	180	60	Using the available data of the number of COVID-19 positive cases reported in the state of Kerala, and in India till 26th April, 2020 and 12th May 2020, respectively, the parameter estimation problem is converted into an optimization problem with the help of a least squared cost function. Using the estimated set of parameters, the model predicts that in the state of Kerala, by using certain interventions the pandemic can be successfully controlled latest by the first week of July, whereas the [Formula: see text] value for India is still greater than 1, and hence lifting of lockdown from all regions of the country is not advisable. In such a scenario, assuming the present levels of testing, the model predicts that the number of cases in Kerala can be controlled by the first week of June (as shown in Fig. 8 ).	./cache/cord-029725-px209lf0.txt	./txt/cord-029725-px209lf0.txt