id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-277094-2ycmxcuz	Ifguis, Ousama	Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model	2020-06-02		.txt	text/plain	1223	55	57	Since the epidemic of COVID-19 was declared in Wuhan, Hubei Province of China, and other parts of the world, several studies have been carried out over several regions to observe the development of the epidemic, to predict its duration, and to estimate its final size, using complex models such as the SEIR model or the simpler ones such as the SIR model. Also, as the number of infected cases is increasing, it is necessary for modellers to estimate the severity of the epidemic in terms of the total number of people infected, the total number of confirmed cases, the total number of deaths, and basic reproduction and to predict the duration of the epidemic, the arrival of its peak, and its final size. Our simulation study on the optimization of the final size of COVID-19 epidemic evolution in the Kingdom of Morocco, with the SIR model, has allowed us to accurately predict the peak of the infected and death cases (Table 2) , although the number of people tested is very low, about 3,079, until 31 March 2020.	./cache/cord-277094-2ycmxcuz.txt	./txt/cord-277094-2ycmxcuz.txt