id sid tid token lemma pos cord-140977-mg04drna 1 1 key key NN cord-140977-mg04drna 1 2 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 1 3 cord-140977-mg04drna cord-140977-mg04drna NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 1 4 authors author NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 1 5 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 1 6 Maltezos Maltezos NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 1 7 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 1 8 S. S. NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 1 9 title title NN cord-140977-mg04drna 1 10 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 1 11 Methodology methodology NN cord-140977-mg04drna 1 12 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 1 13 Modelling model VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 1 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 1 15 new new JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 1 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 1 17 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 1 18 Spread Spread NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 1 19 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 1 20 Implementation implementation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 1 21 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 1 22 European european JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 1 23 Countries Countries NNPS cord-140977-mg04drna 1 24 date date NN cord-140977-mg04drna 1 25 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 1 26 2020 2020 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 1 27 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 1 28 06 06 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 1 29 - - SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 1 30 27 27 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 1 31 journal journal NN cord-140977-mg04drna 1 32 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 2 1 nan nan NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 2 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 2 3 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 2 4 nan nan NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 2 5 sha sha NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 2 6 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 3 1 81b27081094296177bc4b76dbc14fc533b1e54ca 81b27081094296177bc4b76dbc14fc533b1e54ca NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 3 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-140977-mg04drna 3 3 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 3 4 140977 140977 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 3 5 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 3 6 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 3 7 mg04drna mg04drna NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 4 1 After after IN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 4 3 breakout breakout NN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 4 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 4 6 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 7 caused cause VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 8 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 4 10 new new JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 4 11 virus virus NN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 12 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 4 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 4 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 4 15 mitigation mitigation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 16 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 17 has have VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 4 18 been be VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 19 reached reach VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 20 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 21 most most JJS cord-140977-mg04drna 4 22 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 23 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 4 24 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 4 25 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 26 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 4 27 world world NN cord-140977-mg04drna 4 28 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 5 1 During during IN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 2 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 5 3 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 5 5 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 5 6 more more RBR cord-140977-mg04drna 5 7 accurate accurate JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 5 8 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 5 9 analysis analysis NN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 10 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 5 12 daily daily JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 5 13 reported report VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 14 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 5 15 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 5 16 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 5 17 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 5 18 became become VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 5 19 possible possible JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 5 20 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 5 22 European european JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 5 23 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 5 24 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 5 25 has have VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 5 26 been be VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 27 performed perform VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 28 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 29 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 5 30 work work NN cord-140977-mg04drna 5 31 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 6 1 Based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 2 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 3 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 6 4 proposed propose VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 5 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 6 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 7 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 6 8 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 9 implementation implementation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 10 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 11 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 6 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 13 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 14 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 6 15 large large JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 6 16 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 17 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 6 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 6 19 focused focus VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 6 20 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 6 22 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 6 23 spread spread VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 7 1 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 7 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 7 3 studied study VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 7 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 7 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 7 6 curves curve NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 7 7 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 7 8 as as RB cord-140977-mg04drna 7 9 well well RB cord-140977-mg04drna 7 10 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 7 11 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 7 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 7 13 investigated investigate VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 7 14 probable probable JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 7 15 correlations correlation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 7 16 between between IN cord-140977-mg04drna 7 17 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 7 18 country country NN cord-140977-mg04drna 7 19 's 's POS cord-140977-mg04drna 7 20 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 7 21 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 7 22 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 7 23 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 7 24 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 7 25 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 7 26 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 7 27 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 8 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 8 2 have have VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 8 3 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 8 4 developed develop VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 5 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 8 6 methodology methodology NN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 7 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 8 coupling couple VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 8 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 8 10 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 11 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 8 13 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 8 14 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 8 15 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 16 models model NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 8 17 determining determine VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 8 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 8 19 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 8 20 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 8 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 8 22 effective effective JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 8 23 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 8 24 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 25 referring refer VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 8 26 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 27 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 8 28 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 29 space space NN cord-140977-mg04drna 8 30 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 9 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 9 2 obtained obtain VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 3 results result NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 9 4 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 9 5 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 9 6 could could MD cord-140977-mg04drna 9 7 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 9 8 useful useful JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 9 9 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 9 11 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 12 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 13 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 9 14 recurrence recurrence NN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 15 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 16 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 9 17 repulsive repulsive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 9 18 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 19 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 20 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 9 21 future future NN cord-140977-mg04drna 9 22 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 10 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 10 2 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 10 5 new new JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 10 6 virus virus NN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 10 8 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 10 9 has have VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 10 10 been be VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 11 pandemic pandemic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 10 12 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 13 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 10 14 world world NN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 15 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 16 about about RB cord-140977-mg04drna 10 17 90 90 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 10 18 days day NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 10 19 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 10 20 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 10 21 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 10 22 wavefront wavefront NN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 23 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 10 24 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 25 infection infection NN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 26 has have VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 10 27 reached reach VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 28 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 10 29 mitigation mitigation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 30 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 10 31 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 11 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 11 3 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 4 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 6 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 7 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 8 turning turn VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 11 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 10 thoughts thought NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 11 11 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 12 only only RB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 13 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 14 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 15 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 11 17 painful painful JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 18 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 11 19 serious serious JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 20 implications implication NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 11 21 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 22 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 23 pandemic pandemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 11 25 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 11 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 11 27 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 11 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 11 29 2 2 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 11 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 11 31 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 11 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 11 33 3 3 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 11 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 11 35 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 11 36 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 11 37 4 4 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 11 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 11 39 but but CC cord-140977-mg04drna 11 40 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 41 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 11 42 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 11 43 could could MD cord-140977-mg04drna 11 44 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 45 useful useful JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 46 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 11 47 analyse analyse VB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 48 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 49 way way NN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 50 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 51 growth growth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 52 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 53 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 54 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 55 among among IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 56 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 57 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 11 58 until until IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 59 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 60 10 10 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 11 61 th th NN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 62 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 63 May May NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 11 64 2020 2020 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 11 65 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 11 66 as as RB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 67 well well RB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 68 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 69 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 11 70 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 11 71 correlate correlate VB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 72 these these DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 73 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 74 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 75 main main JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 76 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 11 77 that that WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 78 likely likely RB cord-140977-mg04drna 11 79 played play VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 11 80 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 11 81 significant significant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 11 82 role role NN cord-140977-mg04drna 11 83 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 12 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 2 particular particular JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 12 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 12 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 12 5 consider consider VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 12 6 extremely extremely RB cord-140977-mg04drna 12 7 useful useful JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 12 8 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 12 9 study study VB cord-140977-mg04drna 12 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 12 11 specific specific JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 12 12 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 12 13 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 14 each each DT cord-140977-mg04drna 12 15 country country NN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 16 that that WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 12 17 played play VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 12 18 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 12 19 role role NN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 20 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 12 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 12 22 financial financial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 12 23 level level NN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 24 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 12 25 even even RB cord-140977-mg04drna 12 26 genetic genetic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 12 27 behaviour behaviour NN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 28 against against IN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 29 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 30 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 12 31 new new JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 12 32 corona corona NN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 33 virus virus NN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 34 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 12 35 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 12 36 associated associated JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 12 37 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 12 38 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 13 1 Some some DT cord-140977-mg04drna 13 2 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 13 3 these these DT cord-140977-mg04drna 13 4 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 13 5 used use VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 13 6 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 13 7 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 13 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 13 9 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 13 10 performing perform VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 13 11 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 13 12 studies study NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 13 13 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 14 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 14 2 results result NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 14 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 4 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 14 5 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 6 could could MD cord-140977-mg04drna 14 7 give give VB cord-140977-mg04drna 14 8 us -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 14 9 information information NN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 10 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 11 preparing prepare VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 14 12 more more JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 14 13 effective effective JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 14 14 defensive defensive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 14 15 strategies strategy NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 14 16 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 14 17 practical practical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 14 18 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 14 19 tools tool NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 14 20 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 14 21 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 22 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 14 23 possible possible JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 14 24 future future JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 14 25 return return NN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 26 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 27 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 14 28 pandemic pandemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 29 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 14 30 constitutes constitute VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 14 31 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 14 32 central central JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 14 33 goal goal NN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 34 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 35 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 14 36 present present JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 14 37 work work NN cord-140977-mg04drna 14 38 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 15 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 15 2 outline outline NN cord-140977-mg04drna 15 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 15 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 15 5 paper paper NN cord-140977-mg04drna 15 6 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 15 7 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 15 8 follows follow VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 15 9 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 16 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 16 2 Section section NN cord-140977-mg04drna 16 3 2 2 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 16 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 16 5 present present VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 16 6 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 16 7 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 16 8 methodology methodology NN cord-140977-mg04drna 16 9 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 16 10 parametrizing parametrize VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 16 11 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 16 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 16 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 16 14 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 16 15 Section section NN cord-140977-mg04drna 16 16 3 3 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 17 1 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 17 2 explain explain VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 17 3 how how WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 17 4 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 17 5 couple couple VB cord-140977-mg04drna 17 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 17 7 present present JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 17 8 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 9 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 10 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 17 12 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 17 13 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 17 14 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 15 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 17 16 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 17 Section section NN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 18 4 4 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 17 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 17 20 give give VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 17 21 results result NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 17 22 relevant relevant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 17 23 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 17 25 end end NN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 26 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 17 27 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 28 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 17 29 end end NN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 30 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 17 31 growth growth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 32 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 17 33 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 34 Section section NN cord-140977-mg04drna 17 35 5 5 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 17 36 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 17 37 discuss discuss VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 17 38 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 17 39 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 17 40 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 18 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 18 2 methodology methodology NN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 3 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 18 4 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 5 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 18 7 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 8 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 18 10 growth growth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 11 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 18 13 COVId-19 COVId-19 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 18 14 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 15 that that WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 18 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 18 17 used use VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 18 18 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 19 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 18 20 recent recent JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 18 21 work work NN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 18 23 5 5 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 18 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 18 25 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 18 26 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 18 27 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 18 29 6 6 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 18 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 18 31 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 18 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 18 33 7 7 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 18 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 18 35 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 18 36 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 37 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 18 38 call call VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 18 39 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 18 40 semi semi JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 18 41 - - JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 18 42 gaussian gaussian NN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 43 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 44 n n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 45 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 18 46 degree degree NN cord-140977-mg04drna 18 47 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 18 48 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 19 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 19 2 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 19 3 used use VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 4 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 5 fitting fit VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 19 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 19 7 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 8 's 's POS cord-140977-mg04drna 19 9 growth growth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 10 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 11 various various JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 19 12 indicative indicative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 19 13 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 19 14 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 19 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 19 16 belongs belong VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 19 17 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 19 19 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 20 category category NN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 21 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 22 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 19 23 Regression regression NN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 24 Techniques technique NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 19 25 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 19 26 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 27 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 28 surveillance surveillance NN cord-140977-mg04drna 19 29 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 20 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 2 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 20 3 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 20 4 single single JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 20 5 term term NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 6 expression expression NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 7 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 8 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 9 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 10 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 11 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 20 12 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 20 13 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 14 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 15 c(t c(t VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 20 17 applied apply VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 20 18 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 19 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 21 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 22 represents represent VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 20 23 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 24 rate rate NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 25 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 26 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 27 infected infected JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 20 28 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 20 29 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 30 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 31 new new JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 20 32 daily daily NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 33 reported report VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 34 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 20 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 20 36 DRC DRC NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 20 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 20 38 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 20 39 coincides coincide VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 20 40 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 41 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 42 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 43 I(t I(t NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 20 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 20 45 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 46 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 47 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 20 48 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 49 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 20 50 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 51 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 20 52 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 20 53 see see VB cord-140977-mg04drna 20 54 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 55 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 20 56 following following NN cord-140977-mg04drna 20 57 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 21 1 Also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 21 2 A a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 21 3 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 21 4 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 21 5 while while IN cord-140977-mg04drna 21 6 n n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 21 7 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 21 8 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 21 9 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 21 10 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 21 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 21 12 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 22 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 2 more more RBR cord-140977-mg04drna 22 3 analytical analytical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 4 approach approach NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 5 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 22 6 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 8 general general JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 9 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 10 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 12 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 13 point point NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 14 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 15 view view NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 22 17 comes come VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 18 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 20 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 21 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 22 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 23 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 25 growth growth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 26 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 22 27 includes include VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 28 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 29 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 30 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 31 terms term NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 22 32 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 33 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 34 form form NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 35 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 36 double double JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 37 summation summation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 38 related relate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 39 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 40 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 41 inverse inverse NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 42 Laplace Laplace NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 22 43 Transform Transform NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 22 44 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 45 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 46 rational rational JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 47 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 48 given give VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 49 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 50 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 22 51 8 8 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 22 52 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 22 53 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 22 54 referring refer VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 22 55 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 56 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 57 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 22 58 Earlier early JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 22 59 stages stage NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 22 60 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 61 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 62 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 63 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 64 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 22 65 large large JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 22 66 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 22 67 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 22 68 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 23 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 2 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 23 3 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 23 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 23 6 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 7 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 8 unaffected unaffected JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 23 9 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 23 10 may may MD cord-140977-mg04drna 23 11 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 23 12 considered consider VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 13 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 23 14 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 23 15 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 23 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 23 17 while while IN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 18 any any DT cord-140977-mg04drna 23 19 alternation alternation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 20 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 23 21 assumed assume VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 22 small small JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 23 23 compared compare VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 24 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 25 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 23 26 total total JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 23 27 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 28 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 29 exposed expose VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 23 30 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 23 31 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 24 1 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 2 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 24 4 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 5 could could MD cord-140977-mg04drna 24 6 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 24 7 called call VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 8 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 24 9 Large large JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 10 Population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 11 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 12 Semi semi JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 13 - - JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 14 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 15 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 16 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 24 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 24 18 LPE LPE NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 24 19 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 24 20 SG SG NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 24 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 24 22 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 24 23 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 25 following follow VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 24 26 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 24 27 A a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 28 ij ij NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 29 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 24 30 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 31 amplitudes amplitude NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 24 32 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 24 33 n n NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 24 34 ij ij NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 24 35 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 24 36 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 37 degrees degree NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 24 38 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 39 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 40 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 24 42 assumed assume VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 43 fractional fractional JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 44 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 45 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 46 general general JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 47 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 24 49 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 24 50 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 51 ij ij NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 24 52 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 24 53 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 54 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 55 constants constant NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 24 56 representing represent VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 24 57 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 58 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 59 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 60 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 24 61 mean mean JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 24 62 infection infection NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 63 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 24 64 respectively respectively RB cord-140977-mg04drna 24 65 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 25 1 Also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 25 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 25 3 M M NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 25 4 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 25 5 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 25 6 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 25 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 25 8 finite finite JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 25 9 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 25 10 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 25 11 terms term NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 25 12 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 25 13 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 25 14 included include VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 25 15 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 26 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 2 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 26 3 easy easy JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 26 4 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 26 5 prove prove VB cord-140977-mg04drna 26 6 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 26 8 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 26 9 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 26 10 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 11 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 26 12 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 13 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 26 14 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 15 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 16 each each DT cord-140977-mg04drna 26 17 term term NN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 18 depends depend VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 26 19 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 20 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 26 21 product product NN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 22 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 23 n n NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 24 ij ij NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 25 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 26 τ τ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 27 ij ij NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 28 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 26 29 that that RB cord-140977-mg04drna 26 30 is is RB cord-140977-mg04drna 26 31 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 26 32 t t NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 33 pij pij NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 34 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 26 35 n n NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 36 ij ij NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 37 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 26 38 ij ij NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 26 39 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 27 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 2 practice practice NN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 27 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 27 5 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 6 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 27 8 required require VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 9 terms term NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 27 10 should should MD cord-140977-mg04drna 27 11 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 27 12 determined determine VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 13 according accord VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 27 14 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 27 16 shape shape NN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 17 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 27 19 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 27 20 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 27 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 27 22 desired desire VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 23 achievable achievable JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 27 24 accuracy accuracy NN cord-140977-mg04drna 27 25 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 28 1 After after IN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 2 investigation investigation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 28 5 fitting fitting JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 28 6 performance performance NN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 28 8 concluded conclude VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 28 9 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 28 11 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 12 most most JJS cord-140977-mg04drna 28 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 28 14 two two CD cord-140977-mg04drna 28 15 terms term NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 28 16 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 17 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 28 18 above above JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 28 19 double double JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 28 20 sum sum NN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 21 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 28 22 adequate adequate JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 28 23 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 24 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 28 25 purpose purpose NN cord-140977-mg04drna 28 26 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 29 1 Also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 29 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 29 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 29 4 cross cross NN cord-140977-mg04drna 29 5 terms term NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 29 6 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 29 7 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 29 8 indices index NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 29 9 ij ij NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 29 10 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 29 11 ji ji NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 29 12 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 29 13 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 29 14 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 29 15 help help VB cord-140977-mg04drna 29 16 more more RBR cord-140977-mg04drna 29 17 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 29 18 flexibility flexibility NN cord-140977-mg04drna 29 19 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 29 20 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 29 21 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 29 22 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 30 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 2 particular particular JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 30 4 a a LS cord-140977-mg04drna 30 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 30 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 30 7 degree degree NN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 8 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 30 10 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 11 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 30 12 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 30 13 cover cover VB cord-140977-mg04drna 30 14 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 30 15 any any DT cord-140977-mg04drna 30 16 early early JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 17 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 30 18 late late JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 19 smaller small JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 30 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 21 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 22 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 30 23 daily daily JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 24 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 30 25 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 30 26 while while IN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 27 b b LS cord-140977-mg04drna 30 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 30 29 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 30 30 mean mean JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 31 infection infection NN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 32 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 33 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 34 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 30 35 characteristic characteristic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 36 inherent inherent JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 37 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 38 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 39 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 30 40 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 41 under under IN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 42 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 30 43 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 30 44 thus thus RB cord-140977-mg04drna 30 45 should should MD cord-140977-mg04drna 30 46 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 30 47 essentially essentially RB cord-140977-mg04drna 30 48 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 30 49 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 31 1 For for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 2 these these DT cord-140977-mg04drna 31 3 reasons reason NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 31 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 31 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 31 6 expression expression NN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 7 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 8 one one CD cord-140977-mg04drna 31 9 term term NN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 10 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 31 11 adequate adequate JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 31 12 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 13 most most JJS cord-140977-mg04drna 31 14 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 31 16 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 31 17 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 31 18 whereas whereas RB cord-140977-mg04drna 31 19 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 31 20 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 31 21 6 6 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 31 22 free free JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 31 23 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 31 24 allow allow VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 31 25 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 31 26 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 31 27 good good JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 31 28 flexibility flexibility NN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 29 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 30 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 31 31 fitting fitting NN cord-140977-mg04drna 31 32 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 32 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-140977-mg04drna 32 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 32 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 32 4 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 32 5 write write VB cord-140977-mg04drna 32 6 For for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 32 8 fitting fitting JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 32 9 procedure procedure NN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 32 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 32 12 have have VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 32 13 used use VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 14 two two CD cord-140977-mg04drna 32 15 alternative alternative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 32 16 tactics tactic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 32 17 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 32 18 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 19 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 20 either either CC cord-140977-mg04drna 32 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 32 22 daily daily JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 32 23 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 24 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 32 25 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 26 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 32 27 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 32 28 integral integral NN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 29 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 32 30 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 32 31 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 33 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 33 2 decision decision NN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 3 depends depend VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 33 4 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 33 6 goodness goodness NN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 7 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 33 9 fit fit NN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 10 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 11 each each DT cord-140977-mg04drna 33 12 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 13 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 14 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 33 16 criterion criterion NN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 17 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 18 minimizing minimize VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 33 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 33 20 χ χ CD cord-140977-mg04drna 33 21 2 2 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 33 22 /dof /dof , cord-140977-mg04drna 33 23 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 33 24 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 25 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 33 26 have have VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 33 27 done do VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 28 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 29 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 33 30 previous previous JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 33 31 work work NN cord-140977-mg04drna 33 32 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 34 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 34 2 5 5 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 34 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 34 4 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 35 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 35 2 starting start VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 35 3 date date NN cord-140977-mg04drna 35 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 35 5 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 35 6 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 35 7 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 35 8 0 0 NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 35 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 35 10 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 35 11 one one CD cord-140977-mg04drna 35 12 day day NN cord-140977-mg04drna 35 13 before before IN cord-140977-mg04drna 35 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 35 15 first first JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 35 16 reported report VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 35 17 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 35 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 35 19 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 35 20 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 35 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 35 22 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 36 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 36 2 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 36 3 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 4 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 5 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 36 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 36 7 fitting fitting JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 36 8 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 9 take take VB cord-140977-mg04drna 36 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 36 11 following follow VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 36 12 forms form NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 36 13 respectively respectively RB cord-140977-mg04drna 36 14 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 36 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 36 16 symbol symbol NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 17 Γ Γ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 36 18 represents represent VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 36 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 36 20 gamma gamma NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 21 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 22 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 36 23 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 36 24 Γ Γ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 36 25 c c NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 26 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 36 27 upper upper JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 36 28 incomplete incomplete JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 36 29 gamma gamma NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 30 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 31 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 36 32 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 37 1 t. t. NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 38 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 38 2 above above IN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 3 generalized generalized JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 38 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 38 5 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 6 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 38 7 has have VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 38 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 38 9 advantage advantage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 10 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 11 providing provide VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 38 12 more more JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 38 13 flexibility flexibility NN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 14 when when WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 38 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 38 16 raw raw JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 38 17 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 38 18 include include VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 38 19 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 38 20 composite composite JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 38 21 structure structure NN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 22 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 38 23 superposition superposition NN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 24 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 25 more more JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 38 26 than than IN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 27 one one CD cord-140977-mg04drna 38 28 growth growth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 38 29 curves curve NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 38 30 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 38 31 could could MD cord-140977-mg04drna 38 32 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 38 33 coexisting coexist VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 38 34 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 39 1 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 39 2 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 39 3 possible possible JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 39 4 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 39 5 happen happen VB cord-140977-mg04drna 39 6 due due IN cord-140977-mg04drna 39 7 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 39 8 restriction restriction NN cord-140977-mg04drna 39 9 measures measure NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 39 10 applied apply VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 39 11 during during IN cord-140977-mg04drna 39 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 39 13 evolution evolution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 39 14 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 39 15 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 39 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 39 17 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 40 1 Regardless regardless RB cord-140977-mg04drna 40 2 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 40 4 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 5 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 6 terms term NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 40 7 used use VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 40 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 40 10 obtained obtain VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 40 12 must must MD cord-140977-mg04drna 40 13 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 40 14 well well RB cord-140977-mg04drna 40 15 understood understand VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 40 17 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 40 19 sense sense NN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 20 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 21 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 40 22 role role NN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 23 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 40 25 problem problem NN cord-140977-mg04drna 40 26 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 41 1 Let let VB cord-140977-mg04drna 41 2 us -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 41 3 consider consider VB cord-140977-mg04drna 41 4 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 41 5 country country NN cord-140977-mg04drna 41 6 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 41 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 41 8 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 41 9 starts start VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 41 10 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 41 11 outbreak outbreak VB cord-140977-mg04drna 41 12 due due IN cord-140977-mg04drna 41 13 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 41 14 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 41 15 small small JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 41 16 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 41 17 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 41 18 infected infected JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 41 19 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 41 20 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 42 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 2 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 42 3 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 42 5 assume assume VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 42 6 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 42 8 country country NN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 9 has have VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 42 10 been be VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 11 isolated isolate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 12 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 13 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 42 14 relatively relatively RB cord-140977-mg04drna 42 15 high high JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 42 16 degree degree NN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 17 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 42 18 but but CC cord-140977-mg04drna 42 19 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 20 course course NN cord-140977-mg04drna 42 21 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 42 22 ideally ideally RB cord-140977-mg04drna 42 23 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 43 1 At at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 2 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 3 point point NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 43 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 6 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 7 starts start VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 43 8 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 9 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 10 transmission transmission NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 11 rate rate NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 12 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 13 depends depend VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 43 14 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 16 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 43 17 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 19 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 20 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 21 each each DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 22 city city NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 23 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 43 24 village village NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 25 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 43 26 while while IN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 27 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 43 28 inherent inherent JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 43 29 properties property NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 43 30 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 31 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 32 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 33 affect affect VB cord-140977-mg04drna 43 34 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 43 35 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 43 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 43 37 e.g. e.g. IN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 38 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 39 immune immune JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 43 40 reaction reaction NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 41 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 43 42 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 43 43 incubation incubation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 44 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 45 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 43 46 recovering recover VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 43 47 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 43 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 43 49 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 44 1 At at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 44 2 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 44 3 point point NN cord-140977-mg04drna 44 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 44 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 44 6 must must MD cord-140977-mg04drna 44 7 clarify clarify VB cord-140977-mg04drna 44 8 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 44 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 44 10 issue issue NN cord-140977-mg04drna 44 11 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 44 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 44 13 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 44 14 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 44 15 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 44 16 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 44 17 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 44 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 44 19 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 45 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 45 2 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 45 3 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 45 4 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 5 models model NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 45 6 assume assume VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 45 7 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 45 9 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 45 11 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 45 12 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 45 13 that that DT cord-140977-mg04drna 45 14 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 45 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 45 16 total total JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 45 17 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 18 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 19 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 45 20 exposable exposable JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 45 21 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 22 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 45 23 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 24 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 45 25 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 45 26 during during IN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 27 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 45 28 evolution evolution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 29 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 45 30 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 45 31 fact fact NN cord-140977-mg04drna 45 32 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 45 33 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 45 34 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 45 35 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 45 36 exactly exactly RB cord-140977-mg04drna 45 37 true true JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 45 38 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 46 1 On on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 46 3 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 46 4 hand hand NN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 5 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 46 6 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 46 7 fraction fraction NN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 8 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 46 10 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 11 concerns concern VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 46 12 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 46 13 who who WP cord-140977-mg04drna 46 14 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 46 15 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 16 quarantine quarantine NN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 17 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 18 different different JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 46 19 reasons reason NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 46 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 46 21 due due IN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 22 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 23 tracing trace VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 46 24 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 46 25 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 46 26 precautionary precautionary JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 46 27 reasons reason NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 46 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 46 29 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 47 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-140977-mg04drna 47 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 47 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 47 4 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 47 5 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 47 6 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 47 7 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 47 8 absolutely absolutely RB cord-140977-mg04drna 47 9 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 47 10 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 47 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 47 12 forecasting forecasting NN cord-140977-mg04drna 47 13 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 47 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 47 15 first first JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 47 16 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 47 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 47 18 during during IN cord-140977-mg04drna 47 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 47 20 growing growing NN cord-140977-mg04drna 47 21 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 47 22 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 47 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 47 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 47 25 should should MD cord-140977-mg04drna 47 26 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 47 27 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 47 28 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 47 29 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 48 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 48 3 second second JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 48 4 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 48 6 around around IN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 48 8 turning turning NN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 9 point point NN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 48 11 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 48 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 48 13 situation situation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 14 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 48 15 more more RBR cord-140977-mg04drna 48 16 clear clear JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 48 17 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 18 means mean NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 48 19 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 20 more more RBR cord-140977-mg04drna 48 21 accurate accurate JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 48 22 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 23 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 48 24 although although IN cord-140977-mg04drna 48 25 high high JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 48 26 fluctuations fluctuation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 48 27 could could MD cord-140977-mg04drna 48 28 still still RB cord-140977-mg04drna 48 29 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 48 30 present present JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 48 31 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 49 1 At at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 49 3 third third JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 49 4 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 49 6 mitigation mitigation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 7 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 49 8 suppress suppress VB cord-140977-mg04drna 49 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 49 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 49 11 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 49 12 overall overall JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 49 13 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 14 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 49 15 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 49 16 made make VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 17 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 49 18 any any DT cord-140977-mg04drna 49 19 trial trial NN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 20 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 21 forecasting forecasting NN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 22 concerns concern NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 49 23 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 49 24 likely likely JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 49 25 future future JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 49 26 comeback comeback NN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 27 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 28 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 49 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 49 30 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 50 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 2 any any DT cord-140977-mg04drna 50 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 50 5 three three CD cord-140977-mg04drna 50 6 stages stage NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 50 7 regardless regardless RB cord-140977-mg04drna 50 8 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 50 10 level level NN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 11 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 12 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 50 13 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 50 14 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 15 specifies specify VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 50 16 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 50 17 associated associate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 18 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 50 19 according accord VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 50 20 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 50 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 23 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 24 used use VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 50 25 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 51 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 51 2 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 51 3 known know VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 4 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 51 6 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 51 7 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 51 8 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 51 9 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 10 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 51 11 symbolized symbolize VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 12 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 13 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 14 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 51 15 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 51 16 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 51 17 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 51 18 important important JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 51 19 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 20 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 51 22 spreading spreading NN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 23 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 51 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 51 26 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 52 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 52 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 52 4 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 52 5 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 6 models model NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 52 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 52 8 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 52 9 determined determine VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 10 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 52 12 first first JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 52 13 moments moment NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 52 14 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 52 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 52 18 mathematically mathematically RB cord-140977-mg04drna 52 19 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 20 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 21 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 52 22 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 52 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 52 24 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 52 25 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 52 26 related relate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 27 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 28 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 52 29 associated associate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 52 30 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 52 31 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 53 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-140977-mg04drna 53 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 53 3 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 53 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 53 5 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 53 6 proven prove VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 53 7 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 53 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 53 9 next next JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 53 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 53 11 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 53 12 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 53 13 does do VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 53 14 n't not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 53 15 depend depend VB cord-140977-mg04drna 53 16 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 53 17 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 53 18 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 53 19 N n CD cord-140977-mg04drna 53 20 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 53 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 53 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 53 23 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 54 1 By by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 2 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 54 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 54 4 present present JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 54 5 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 6 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 54 8 assume assume VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 54 9 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 54 11 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 12 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 13 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 54 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 15 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 54 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 54 17 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 54 18 only only RB cord-140977-mg04drna 54 19 unknown unknown JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 54 20 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 54 21 but but CC cord-140977-mg04drna 54 22 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 54 23 much much RB cord-140977-mg04drna 54 24 smaller small JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 54 25 than than IN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 26 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 54 27 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 28 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 29 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 54 30 country country NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 31 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 54 32 city city NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 33 under under IN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 34 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 35 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 54 36 that that RB cord-140977-mg04drna 54 37 is is RB cord-140977-mg04drna 54 38 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 54 39 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 54 40 constitutes constitute VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 54 41 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 54 42 unbiased unbiased JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 54 43 sample sample NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 44 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 45 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 54 46 potentially potentially RB cord-140977-mg04drna 54 47 exposable exposable JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 54 48 generic generic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 54 49 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 54 50 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 55 1 Once once RB cord-140977-mg04drna 55 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 55 3 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 4 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 55 5 pretty pretty RB cord-140977-mg04drna 55 6 much much RB cord-140977-mg04drna 55 7 eliminated eliminate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 55 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 55 10 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 11 could could MD cord-140977-mg04drna 55 12 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 55 13 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 55 14 estimated estimate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 15 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 55 16 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 55 17 posteriori posteriori FW cord-140977-mg04drna 55 18 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 55 19 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 20 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 55 21 help help NN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 22 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 23 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 55 24 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 55 25 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 55 26 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 27 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 55 28 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 56 1 However however RB cord-140977-mg04drna 56 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 56 3 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 4 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 56 5 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 6 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 56 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 56 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 56 9 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 56 11 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 12 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 56 13 as as RB cord-140977-mg04drna 56 14 well well RB cord-140977-mg04drna 56 15 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 56 17 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 56 18 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 56 19 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 20 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 56 21 already already RB cord-140977-mg04drna 56 22 determined determine VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 23 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 56 25 methodology methodology NN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 26 given give VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 27 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 56 28 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 56 29 next next JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 56 30 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 57 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 57 2 consider consider VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 57 3 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 4 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 57 5 more more RBR cord-140977-mg04drna 57 6 generic generic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 57 7 approach approach NN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 8 facilitates facilitate VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 57 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 57 10 fitting fitting JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 57 11 process process NN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 12 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 57 13 improves improve VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 57 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 57 15 accuracy accuracy NN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 16 because because IN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 17 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 57 19 existence existence NN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 20 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 21 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 57 22 analytical analytical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 57 23 mathematically mathematically RB cord-140977-mg04drna 57 24 optimal optimal JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 57 25 solution solution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 57 26 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 58 1 3 3 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 59 1 Coupling couple VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 59 2 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 59 4 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 59 5 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 59 6 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 7 models model NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 59 8 3 3 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 59 9 _SP cord-140977-mg04drna 59 10 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 59 11 classical classical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 59 12 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 13 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 14 studying study VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 59 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 59 16 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 17 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 18 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 59 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 20 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 59 21 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 59 22 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 59 23 belongs belong VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 59 24 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 25 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 59 26 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 59 27 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 59 28 State State NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 59 29 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 59 30 Space Space NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 59 31 category category NN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 32 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 33 models model NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 59 34 along along IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 35 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 36 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 59 37 large large JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 59 38 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 39 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 40 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 59 41 types type NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 59 42 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 59 43 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 59 44 analytically analytically RB cord-140977-mg04drna 59 45 described describe VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 46 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 59 47 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 59 48 9 9 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 59 49 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 59 50 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 60 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 60 2 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 3 belongs belong VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 60 4 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 60 6 continuum continuum NN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 7 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 60 8 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 60 9 models model NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 60 10 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 60 12 special special JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 60 13 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 14 applied apply VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 15 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 16 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 60 17 earlier early JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 60 18 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 19 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 20 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 60 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 22 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 60 23 assuming assume VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 60 24 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 25 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 60 26 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 27 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 60 28 much much RB cord-140977-mg04drna 60 29 greater great JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 60 30 than than IN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 31 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 60 32 infected infected JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 60 33 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 34 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 60 35 people people NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 60 36 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 60 37 8 8 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 60 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 60 39 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 61 1 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 61 2 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 3 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 61 4 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 61 5 applied apply VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 6 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 61 7 when when WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 61 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 61 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 10 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 61 11 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 12 each each DT cord-140977-mg04drna 61 13 latest late JJS cord-140977-mg04drna 61 14 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 15 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 61 16 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 61 17 total total JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 61 18 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 19 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 20 infected infected JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 61 21 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 61 22 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 61 23 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 61 24 unbiased unbiased JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 61 25 sample sample NN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 26 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 27 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 61 28 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 61 29 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 62 1 Under under IN cord-140977-mg04drna 62 2 these these DT cord-140977-mg04drna 62 3 assumptions assumption NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 62 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 62 5 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 62 6 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 62 7 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 62 8 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 62 9 related relate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 62 10 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 62 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 62 12 classical classical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 62 13 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 62 14 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 62 15 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 62 16 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 62 17 even even RB cord-140977-mg04drna 62 18 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 62 19 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 62 20 extensions extension NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 62 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 62 22 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 62 23 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 62 24 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 62 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 62 26 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 62 27 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 62 28 means mean NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 62 29 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 62 30 correlating correlate VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 62 31 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 62 32 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 62 33 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 63 1 Below below RB cord-140977-mg04drna 63 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 63 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 63 4 give give VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 63 5 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 63 6 brief brief JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 63 7 description description NN cord-140977-mg04drna 63 8 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 63 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 63 10 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 63 11 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 63 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 63 13 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 63 14 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 64 1 Let let VB cord-140977-mg04drna 64 2 us -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 64 3 describe describe VB cord-140977-mg04drna 64 4 briefly briefly NN cord-140977-mg04drna 64 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 64 6 three three CD cord-140977-mg04drna 64 7 state state NN cord-140977-mg04drna 64 8 equations equation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 64 9 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 64 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 64 11 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 64 12 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 64 13 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 65 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 65 2 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 65 3 S s NN cord-140977-mg04drna 65 4 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 65 5 S(t S(t NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 65 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 65 7 represents represent VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 65 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 65 9 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 65 10 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 65 11 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 65 12 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 65 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 65 14 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 65 15 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 65 16 I(t I(t NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 65 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 66 1 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 66 2 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 66 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 66 4 infected infected JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 66 5 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 66 6 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 66 7 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 66 8 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 66 9 R(t r(t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 66 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 67 1 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 67 2 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 4 recovered recover VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 5 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 67 6 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 67 7 all all DT cord-140977-mg04drna 67 8 referred refer VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 9 per per IN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 10 unit unit NN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 11 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 12 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 67 13 usually usually RB cord-140977-mg04drna 67 14 measured measure VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 15 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 67 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 67 17 days day NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 67 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 67 19 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 68 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 68 2 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 68 3 factor factor NN cord-140977-mg04drna 68 4 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 68 5 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 68 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 68 7 transmission transmission NN cord-140977-mg04drna 68 8 rate rate NN cord-140977-mg04drna 68 9 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 68 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 68 11 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 68 12 factor factor NN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 1 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 2 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 69 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 69 4 recovering recover VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 69 5 rate rate NN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 6 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 69 7 N n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 8 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 69 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 69 10 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 11 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 69 13 system system NN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 69 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 69 16 total total JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 69 17 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 18 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 19 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 69 20 assumed assume VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 21 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 69 22 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 23 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 69 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 69 25 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 69 26 that that RB cord-140977-mg04drna 69 27 is is RB cord-140977-mg04drna 69 28 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 69 29 S S NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 70 1 + + CC cord-140977-mg04drna 71 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 71 2 + + CC cord-140977-mg04drna 72 1 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 72 2 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 72 3 N n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 72 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 72 5 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 72 6 every every DT cord-140977-mg04drna 72 7 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 72 8 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 73 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 73 2 assumptions assumption NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 73 3 concerning concern VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 73 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 73 5 initial initial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 73 6 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 73 7 final final JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 73 8 conditions condition NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 73 9 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 73 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 73 11 S(0 S(0 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 73 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 73 13 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 73 14 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 73 15 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 73 16 S(∞ S(∞ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 73 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 73 18 > > XX cord-140977-mg04drna 73 19 0 0 NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 73 20 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 73 21 I(∞ I(∞ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 73 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 73 23 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 73 24 0 0 NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 74 1 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 74 2 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 74 3 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 74 4 does do VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 74 5 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 74 6 have have VB cord-140977-mg04drna 74 7 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 74 8 analytical analytical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 74 9 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 74 10 solution solution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 74 11 additional additional JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 74 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 74 13 two two CD cord-140977-mg04drna 74 14 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 74 15 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 74 16 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 74 17 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 74 18 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 74 19 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 74 20 during during IN cord-140977-mg04drna 74 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 74 22 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 74 23 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 74 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 74 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 74 26 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 75 1 A a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 75 2 solution solution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 3 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 75 4 derived derive VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 5 only only RB cord-140977-mg04drna 75 6 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 75 8 approximation approximation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 9 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 75 10 βR βR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 75 11 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 75 12 N n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 13 < < XX cord-140977-mg04drna 75 14 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 75 15 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 75 16 that that RB cord-140977-mg04drna 75 17 is is RB cord-140977-mg04drna 75 18 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 75 19 when when WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 75 20 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 75 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 22 essentially essentially RB cord-140977-mg04drna 75 23 concerns concern VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 75 24 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 75 25 small small JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 75 26 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 27 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 28 recovered recover VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 29 compared compare VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 30 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 31 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 75 32 total total JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 75 33 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 34 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 75 35 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 75 36 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 76 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 76 2 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 76 3 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 76 4 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 76 5 Taylor Taylor NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 76 6 's 's POS cord-140977-mg04drna 76 7 expansion expansion NN cord-140977-mg04drna 76 8 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 76 9 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 76 10 exponential exponential JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 76 11 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 76 12 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 76 13 used use VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 76 14 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 77 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 77 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 77 3 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 77 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 77 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 77 6 work work VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 77 7 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 77 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 77 9 general general JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 77 10 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 77 11 without without IN cord-140977-mg04drna 77 12 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 77 13 assumption assumption NN cord-140977-mg04drna 77 14 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 78 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 78 3 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 78 4 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 5 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 78 6 C(t C(t NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 78 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 78 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 78 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 78 10 integral integral NN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 11 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 78 13 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 14 c(t c(t VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 78 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 78 17 must must MD cord-140977-mg04drna 78 18 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 78 19 compared compare VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 20 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 78 22 total total JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 78 23 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 24 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 25 infected infected JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 78 26 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 78 27 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 78 28 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 78 29 while while IN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 30 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 78 31 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 32 A a NN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 33 undertakes undertake VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 78 34 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 78 35 scaling scaling NN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 36 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 78 37 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 78 38 particular particular JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 78 39 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 78 40 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 79 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 79 2 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 3 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 4 does do VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 79 5 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 79 6 necessarily necessarily RB cord-140977-mg04drna 79 7 coincides coincide VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 79 8 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 79 10 inverse inverse NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 11 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 79 13 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 79 14 mean mean JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 79 15 infection infection NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 16 rate rate NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 17 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 79 18 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 79 19 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 79 20 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 79 21 but but CC cord-140977-mg04drna 79 22 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 79 23 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 79 24 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 25 expresses express VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 79 26 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 79 27 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 79 28 effective effective JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 79 29 transmission transmission NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 30 rate rate NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 31 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 79 32 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 33 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 79 34 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 79 35 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 80 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 80 2 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 80 3 n n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 80 4 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 80 5 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 80 6 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 80 7 equalized equalize VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 80 8 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 80 9 any any DT cord-140977-mg04drna 80 10 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 80 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 80 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 80 13 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 80 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 80 15 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 80 16 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 80 17 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 81 1 However however RB cord-140977-mg04drna 81 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 81 3 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 81 4 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 5 contributes contribute VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 81 6 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 81 8 key key JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 81 9 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 10 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 81 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 13 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 14 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 81 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 81 16 so so RB cord-140977-mg04drna 81 17 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 81 18 called call VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 19 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 81 20 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 81 21 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 81 22 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 23 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 81 24 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 81 25 R R NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 81 26 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 81 27 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 81 28 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 81 29 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 81 30 defined define VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 31 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 32 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 33 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 81 34 0 0 NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 81 35 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 81 36 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 81 37 equal equal JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 81 38 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 39 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 81 40 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 81 41 = = NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 82 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 82 2 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 82 3 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 82 4 β)(S(0)/N β)(S(0)/N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 82 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 82 6 , , . cord-140977-mg04drna 83 1 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 83 2 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 83 3 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 83 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 83 5 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 83 6 mean mean VB cord-140977-mg04drna 83 7 recovering recover VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 83 8 rate rate NN cord-140977-mg04drna 83 9 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 83 10 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 84 1 Because because IN cord-140977-mg04drna 84 2 S(0 S(0 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 84 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 85 1 ≈ ≈ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 85 2 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 85 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 85 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 85 5 becomes become VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 85 6 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 85 7 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 85 8 ≈ ≈ XX cord-140977-mg04drna 86 1 a a LS cord-140977-mg04drna 86 2 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 86 3 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 86 4 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 87 1 However however RB cord-140977-mg04drna 87 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 87 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 87 4 S(0)/N S(0)/N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 87 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 87 6 represents represent VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 87 7 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 87 8 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 87 9 threshold threshold NN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 87 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 87 12 so so RB cord-140977-mg04drna 87 13 called call VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 14 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 87 15 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 16 density density NN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 17 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 87 18 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 87 19 above above IN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 20 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 87 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 87 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 23 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 87 24 initiated initiate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 25 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 87 26 growing grow VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 87 27 when when WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 87 28 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 29 o o NN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 30 = = , cord-140977-mg04drna 87 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 87 32 a a NN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 33 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 87 34 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 87 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 88 1 > > XX cord-140977-mg04drna 89 1 1 1 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 89 2 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 90 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-140977-mg04drna 90 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 90 3 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 90 4 effective effective JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 90 5 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 90 6 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 7 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 90 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 90 9 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 10 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 11 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 90 12 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 90 13 variable variable NN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 14 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 15 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 90 16 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 17 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 18 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 19 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 90 20 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 90 21 defined define VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 22 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 23 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 90 24 same same JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 90 25 way way NN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 26 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 90 27 follows follow VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 91 1 Because because IN cord-140977-mg04drna 91 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 91 3 condition condition NN cord-140977-mg04drna 91 4 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 91 5 creating create VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 91 6 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 91 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 91 8 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 91 9 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 91 10 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 91 11 > > XX cord-140977-mg04drna 91 12 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 91 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 91 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 91 15 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 91 16 condition condition NN cord-140977-mg04drna 91 17 should should MD cord-140977-mg04drna 91 18 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 92 1 S S NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 92 2 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 92 3 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 93 1 > > XX cord-140977-mg04drna 93 2 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 93 3 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 93 4 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 93 5 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 93 6 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 94 1 Also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 94 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 94 3 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 94 4 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 94 5 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 94 6 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 94 7 should should MD cord-140977-mg04drna 94 8 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 94 9 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 94 10 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 94 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 94 12 0 0 NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 94 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 95 1 ≡ ≡ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 95 2 R R NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 95 3 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 95 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 95 5 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 95 7 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 95 8 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 9 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 10 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 95 11 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 12 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 13 should should MD cord-140977-mg04drna 95 14 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 95 15 R R NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 95 16 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 95 18 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 19 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 95 21 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 95 22 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 95 23 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 95 24 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 95 25 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 96 1 = = NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 97 1 ∞ ∞ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 97 2 takes take VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 97 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 97 4 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 97 5 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 97 6 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 97 7 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 97 8 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 97 9 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 97 10 S s NN cord-140977-mg04drna 97 11 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 97 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 97 13 ∞ ∞ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 97 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 97 15 < < XX cord-140977-mg04drna 97 16 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 97 17 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 97 18 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 98 1 By by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 98 2 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 98 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 98 4 expressions expression NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 98 5 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 98 6 Eq Eq NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 98 7 . . NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 98 8 9 9 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 98 9 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 98 10 including include VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 98 11 only only RB cord-140977-mg04drna 98 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 98 13 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 98 14 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 98 15 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 98 16 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 98 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 98 18 derivative derivative NN cord-140977-mg04drna 98 19 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 98 20 one one PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 98 21 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 98 22 estimate estimate VB cord-140977-mg04drna 98 23 roughly roughly RB cord-140977-mg04drna 98 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 98 25 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 98 26 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 98 27 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 98 28 any any DT cord-140977-mg04drna 98 29 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 99 1 t. t. NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 100 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 100 2 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 100 3 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 100 4 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 100 5 shown show VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 100 6 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 100 7 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 100 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 100 9 S(∞)/N S(∞)/N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 100 10 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 100 11 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 100 12 determined determine VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 100 13 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 100 14 solving solve VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 100 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 100 16 following following JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 100 17 transcendental transcendental JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 100 18 equation equation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 100 19 numerically numerically RB cord-140977-mg04drna 100 20 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 101 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-140977-mg04drna 101 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 101 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 101 4 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 101 5 conclude conclude VB cord-140977-mg04drna 101 6 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 7 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 8 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 9 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 101 11 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 101 13 outbreak outbreak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 14 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 101 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 101 18 rising rise VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 101 19 branch branch NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 20 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 101 22 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 101 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 101 25 have have VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 101 26 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 101 27 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 101 28 < < XX cord-140977-mg04drna 101 29 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 30 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 31 < < XX cord-140977-mg04drna 101 32 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 33 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 101 34 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 101 35 exactly exactly RB cord-140977-mg04drna 101 36 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 37 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 101 38 peak peak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 39 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 40 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 101 41 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 101 42 , , . cord-140977-mg04drna 102 1 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 102 2 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 102 3 = = NN cord-140977-mg04drna 102 4 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 103 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 103 2 because because IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 3 S S NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 103 4 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 103 5 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 103 6 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 103 7 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 8 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 103 9 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 103 10 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 103 12 explain explain VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 103 13 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 15 next next JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 103 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 103 17 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 103 18 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 20 mitigation mitigation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 21 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 103 23 leading lead VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 103 24 branch branch NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 25 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 26 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 27 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 103 29 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 103 30 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 31 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 32 < < XX cord-140977-mg04drna 103 33 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 103 34 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 103 35 tends tend VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 103 36 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 37 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 38 minimum minimum JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 103 39 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 40 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 41 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 42 asymptotic asymptotic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 103 43 tail tail NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 44 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 45 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 46 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 47 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 48 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 103 49 Once once RB cord-140977-mg04drna 103 50 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 51 above above JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 103 52 relationship relationship NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 53 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 103 54 achieved achieve VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 55 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 103 56 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 57 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 58 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 103 59 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 103 60 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 103 61 determined determine VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 62 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 63 solving solve VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 103 64 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 103 65 derived derive VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 66 algebraic algebraic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 103 67 equation equation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 103 68 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 104 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-140977-mg04drna 104 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 104 3 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 104 4 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 104 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 104 6 initial initial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 104 7 motivation motivation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 104 8 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 104 9 perform perform VB cord-140977-mg04drna 104 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 104 11 following follow VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 104 12 analysis analysis NN cord-140977-mg04drna 104 13 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 105 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 105 2 methodology methodology NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 3 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 4 accomplishing accomplish VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 105 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 105 6 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 105 7 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 105 8 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 9 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 105 11 idea idea NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 12 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 105 13 exploit exploit VB cord-140977-mg04drna 105 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 105 15 property property NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 16 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 17 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 105 18 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 19 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 20 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 105 21 maximum maximum NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 22 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 23 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 105 24 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 105 25 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 26 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 105 27 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 105 28 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 105 29 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 30 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 31 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 105 32 nτ nτ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 33 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 105 34 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 35 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 105 36 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 105 37 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 105 38 easily easily RB cord-140977-mg04drna 105 39 proven prove VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 40 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 41 differentiation differentiation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 105 42 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 106 1 On on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 106 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 106 3 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 106 4 hand hand NN cord-140977-mg04drna 106 5 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 106 6 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 106 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 106 8 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 106 9 model model VB cord-140977-mg04drna 106 10 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 106 11 peak peak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 106 12 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 106 13 expected expect VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 106 14 some some DT cord-140977-mg04drna 106 15 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 106 16 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 106 17 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 106 18 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 107 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 107 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 107 3 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 107 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 107 5 typical typical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 107 6 effect effect NN cord-140977-mg04drna 107 7 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 107 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 107 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 107 10 's 's POS cord-140977-mg04drna 107 11 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 107 12 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 108 1 Considering consider VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 108 2 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 3 both both DT cord-140977-mg04drna 108 4 models model NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 108 5 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 108 6 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 108 7 fitted fit VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 8 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 108 10 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 108 11 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 108 12 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 13 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 108 14 vicinity vicinity NN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 15 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 16 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 108 17 peak peak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 18 must must MD cord-140977-mg04drna 108 19 agree agree VB cord-140977-mg04drna 108 20 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 108 21 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 108 22 therefore therefore RB cord-140977-mg04drna 108 23 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 108 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 108 25 must must MD cord-140977-mg04drna 108 26 claim claim VB cord-140977-mg04drna 108 27 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 28 I i NN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 29 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 30 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 108 31 C(t c(t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 32 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 108 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 108 34 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 109 1 Let let VB cord-140977-mg04drna 109 2 us -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 109 3 first first RB cord-140977-mg04drna 109 4 find find VB cord-140977-mg04drna 109 5 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 109 6 expression expression NN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 7 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 109 9 S S NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 109 10 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 109 11 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 12 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 109 13 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 109 14 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 109 16 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 109 17 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 18 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 109 19 symbolizing symbolize VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 109 20 them -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 109 21 by by RB cord-140977-mg04drna 109 22 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 109 23 S S NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 109 24 p p NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 109 25 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 109 26 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 27 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 28 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 109 29 I i NN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 30 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 109 31 respectively respectively RB cord-140977-mg04drna 109 32 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 110 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 110 2 order order NN cord-140977-mg04drna 110 3 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 110 4 relate relate VB cord-140977-mg04drna 110 5 S S NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 110 6 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 110 7 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 110 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 110 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 110 10 replace replace VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 110 11 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 110 12 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 110 13 Eq Eq NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 110 14 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 111 1 6 6 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 111 2 into into IN cord-140977-mg04drna 111 3 Eq Eq NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 111 4 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 112 1 8 8 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 112 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 112 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 112 4 obtain obtain VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 112 5 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 112 6 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 112 7 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 112 8 taking take VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 112 9 into into IN cord-140977-mg04drna 112 10 account account NN cord-140977-mg04drna 112 11 that that DT cord-140977-mg04drna 113 1 S(0 S(0 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 113 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 114 1 ≈ ≈ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 114 2 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 114 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 114 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 114 5 derive derive VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 114 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 114 7 solution solution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 115 2 later later JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 115 3 result result NN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 4 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 115 6 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 115 7 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 8 gives give VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 115 9 us -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 115 10 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 115 11 expression expression NN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 12 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 13 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 14 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 15 Also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 115 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 115 17 according accord VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 115 18 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 115 19 Eq Eq NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 115 20 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 116 1 7 7 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 116 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 116 3 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 116 5 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 116 6 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 116 8 might may MD cord-140977-mg04drna 116 9 have have VB cord-140977-mg04drna 116 10 From from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 11 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 116 12 equation equation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 116 14 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 116 15 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 116 16 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 116 17 definition definition NN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 18 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 19 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 20 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 116 21 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 116 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 116 23 obtain obtain VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 116 24 Based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 25 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 116 26 Eq Eq NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 116 27 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 117 1 14 14 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 118 1 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 118 2 calculate calculate VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 118 3 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 4 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 5 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 6 follows follow VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 118 7 Adding add VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 118 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 118 9 three three CD cord-140977-mg04drna 118 10 functions function NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 118 11 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 118 13 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 118 14 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 15 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 118 16 S S NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 118 17 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 18 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 118 19 I i NN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 20 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 21 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 118 22 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 23 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 118 24 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 118 25 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 118 26 derive derive VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 118 27 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 118 28 algebraic algebraic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 118 29 equation equation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 2 order order NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 3 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 119 4 achieve achieve VB cord-140977-mg04drna 119 5 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 119 6 equation equation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 7 independent independent JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 119 8 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 9 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 10 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 119 11 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 119 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 119 13 must must MD cord-140977-mg04drna 119 14 express express VB cord-140977-mg04drna 119 15 I I NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 119 16 p p NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 119 17 /N /N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 119 18 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 19 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 119 20 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 21 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 22 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 119 23 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 24 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 119 25 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 119 26 that that RB cord-140977-mg04drna 119 27 is is RB cord-140977-mg04drna 119 28 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 119 29 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 30 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 119 31 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 119 32 maximum maximum JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 119 33 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 34 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 35 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 119 36 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 37 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 119 38 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 119 39 5 5 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 119 40 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 119 41 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 119 42 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 119 43 Eq Eq NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 119 44 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 120 1 8 8 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 120 2 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 120 3 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 120 4 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 120 5 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 120 6 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 120 7 integration integration NN cord-140977-mg04drna 120 8 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 120 9 upper upper JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 120 10 limit limit NN cord-140977-mg04drna 120 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 120 12 infinity infinity NN cord-140977-mg04drna 120 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 120 14 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 120 15 follows follow VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 120 16 Aβτ Aβτ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 120 17 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 120 18 1−n0 1−n0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 121 1 Γ(n γ(n CC cord-140977-mg04drna 121 2 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 122 1 + + CC cord-140977-mg04drna 122 2 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 122 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 122 4 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 122 5 + + CC cord-140977-mg04drna 122 6 S(∞ S(∞ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 122 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 122 8 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 122 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 122 10 symbol symbol NN cord-140977-mg04drna 122 11 Γ Γ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 122 12 represents represent VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 122 13 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 122 14 gamma gamma NN cord-140977-mg04drna 122 15 function function NN cord-140977-mg04drna 122 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 122 17 n n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 122 18 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 122 19 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 122 20 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 122 21 0 0 NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 123 1 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 123 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 123 3 particular particular JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 123 4 values value NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 123 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 123 6 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 123 7 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 123 8 fitting fitting NN cord-140977-mg04drna 123 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 123 10 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 123 11 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 123 12 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 123 13 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 123 14 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 123 15 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 123 16 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 123 17 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 124 1 Replacing replace VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 124 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 124 3 above above JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 124 4 expression expression NN cord-140977-mg04drna 124 5 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 124 6 Eq Eq NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 124 7 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 125 1 18 18 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 125 2 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 125 3 setting set VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 125 4 s s NN cord-140977-mg04drna 126 1 N n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 126 2 = = NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 127 1 S(∞)/N S(∞)/N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 128 1 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 128 2 obtain obtain VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 129 1 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 129 2 transcendental transcendental JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 129 3 equation equation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 4 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 129 5 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 129 6 solved solve VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 7 only only RB cord-140977-mg04drna 129 8 numerically numerically RB cord-140977-mg04drna 129 9 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 10 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 11 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 129 12 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 13 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 129 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 129 15 combined combined JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 129 16 unknown unknown NN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 17 s s NN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 18 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 129 19 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 129 20 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 129 21 found find VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 22 numerically numerically RB cord-140977-mg04drna 129 23 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 24 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 129 25 again again RB cord-140977-mg04drna 129 26 another another DT cord-140977-mg04drna 129 27 transcendental transcendental JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 129 28 Eq eq NN cord-140977-mg04drna 129 29 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 130 1 10 10 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 130 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 130 3 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 130 4 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 130 5 multiple multiple JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 130 6 iterations iteration NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 130 7 leading lead VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 130 8 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 130 9 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 130 10 converging converging JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 130 11 accurate accurate JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 130 12 solution solution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 130 13 within within IN cord-140977-mg04drna 130 14 12 12 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 130 15 loops loop NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 130 16 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 131 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 131 2 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 3 n n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 4 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 131 6 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 7 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 131 8 essentially essentially RB cord-140977-mg04drna 131 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 131 10 expresser expresser NN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 11 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 12 R R NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 131 13 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 131 14 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 131 15 while while IN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 16 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 131 17 obtained obtain VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 18 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 19 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 20 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 21 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 131 22 concerns concern VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 131 23 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 131 24 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 131 25 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 131 26 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 27 fitted fit VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 28 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 29 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 131 30 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 131 31 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 32 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 131 33 daily daily JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 131 34 reported report VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 131 35 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 131 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 131 37 DRC DRC NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 131 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 131 39 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 132 1 From from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 3 obtained obtain VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 4 solution solution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 5 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 6 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 7 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 132 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 132 9 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 132 10 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 132 11 calculate calculate VB cord-140977-mg04drna 132 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 13 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 14 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 15 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 16 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 132 17 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 18 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 132 19 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 20 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 132 21 βR βr XX cord-140977-mg04drna 132 22 0 0 NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 132 23 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 132 24 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 132 25 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 26 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 132 27 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 132 28 calculated calculate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 29 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 30 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 31 peak peak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 32 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 33 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 34 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 35 daily daily JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 132 36 reported report VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 37 recovered recover VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 38 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 132 39 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 40 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 41 formula formula NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 42 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 132 43 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 44 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 132 45 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 46 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 47 /I /i NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 48 tot tot NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 132 49 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 132 50 p p NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 132 51 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 132 52 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 132 53 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 132 54 tot tot VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 132 55 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 132 56 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 57 represents represent VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 132 58 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 59 integral integral NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 60 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 61 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 62 DRC DRC NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 132 63 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 64 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 65 upper upper JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 132 66 limit limit NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 67 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 132 68 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 132 69 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 70 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 71 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 132 72 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 133 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 2 particular particular JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 133 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 133 4 Implementing implement VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 133 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 133 6 above above JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 133 7 methodology methodology NN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 133 9 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 10 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 133 11 home home NN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 12 made make VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 13 software software NN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 14 codes code NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 133 15 written write VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 16 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 17 Matlab Matlab NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 133 18 platform platform NN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 133 20 10 10 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 133 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 133 22 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 133 23 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 133 24 obtained obtain VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 133 25 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 133 26 fitting fitting NN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 27 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 28 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 133 29 DRC DRC NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 133 30 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 31 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 32 Greece Greece NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 133 33 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 34 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 133 35 mitigation mitigation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 36 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 37 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 133 38 shown show VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 39 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 133 40 Fig Fig NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 133 41 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 134 1 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 134 2 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 134 3 Fig Fig NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 134 4 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 135 1 2 2 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 135 2 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 136 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 136 2 fitted fit VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 136 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 136 4 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 136 5 n n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 136 6 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 136 7 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 136 8 4.57 4.57 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 136 9 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 136 10 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 136 11 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 136 12 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 136 13 5.96 5.96 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 136 14 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 136 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 136 16 solutions solution NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 136 17 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 136 18 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 136 19 = = NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 137 1 2.90 2.90 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 138 1 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 138 2 s s NN cord-140977-mg04drna 138 3 N n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 138 4 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 138 5 0.06 0.06 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 138 6 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 139 1 For for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 139 3 parameter parameter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 4 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 139 6 used use VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 139 7 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 139 8 typical typical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 139 9 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 139 10 average average JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 139 11 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 12 found find VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 13 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 139 15 literature literature NN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 16 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 139 17 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 139 18 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 19 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 139 20 0.10 0.10 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 139 21 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 139 22 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 139 23 same same JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 139 24 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 25 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 139 26 used use VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 139 27 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 28 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 139 29 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 139 30 analyzed analyze VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 139 31 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 139 32 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 140 1 Two two CD cord-140977-mg04drna 140 2 characteristic characteristic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 140 3 parametrizations parametrization NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 140 4 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 140 5 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 140 6 large large JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 140 7 normalized normalize VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 140 8 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 140 9 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 140 10 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 140 11 small small JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 140 12 one one CD cord-140977-mg04drna 140 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 140 14 64 64 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 140 15 times time NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 140 16 smaller small JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 140 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 140 18 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 140 19 that that RB cord-140977-mg04drna 140 20 is is RB cord-140977-mg04drna 140 21 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 140 22 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 140 23 Belgium Belgium NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 140 24 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 140 25 Malta Malta NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 140 26 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 140 27 respectively respectively RB cord-140977-mg04drna 140 28 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 140 29 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 140 30 given give VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 140 31 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 140 32 Fig Fig NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 140 33 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 141 1 3 3 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 141 2 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 141 3 Fig Fig NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 141 4 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 142 1 4 4 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 142 2 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 143 1 Definitely definitely RB cord-140977-mg04drna 143 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 143 3 without without IN cord-140977-mg04drna 143 4 seeing see VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 143 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 143 6 vertical vertical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 143 7 scale scale NN cord-140977-mg04drna 143 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 143 9 one one PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 143 10 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 143 11 not not RB cord-140977-mg04drna 143 12 distinguish distinguish VB cord-140977-mg04drna 143 13 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 143 14 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 143 15 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 143 16 large large JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 143 17 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 143 18 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 143 19 small small JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 143 20 normalized normalize VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 143 21 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 143 22 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 144 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 144 2 only only JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 144 3 visible visible JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 144 4 difference difference NN cord-140977-mg04drna 144 5 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 144 6 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 144 7 glance glance NN cord-140977-mg04drna 144 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 144 9 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 144 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 144 11 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 144 12 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 144 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 144 14 29 29 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 144 15 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 144 16 16 16 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 144 17 days day NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 144 18 respectively respectively RB cord-140977-mg04drna 144 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 144 20 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 145 1 4 4 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 145 2 Study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 145 5 end end NN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 6 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 145 7 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 8 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 145 9 end end NN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 11 growth growth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 12 For for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 13 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 145 14 data data NN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 15 analysis analysis NN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 145 17 selected select VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 145 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 145 19 29 29 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 145 20 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 145 21 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 22 EU EU NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 145 23 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 145 24 including include VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 145 25 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 145 26 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 145 27 UK UK NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 145 28 obtained obtain VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 145 29 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 145 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 145 31 11 11 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 145 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 145 33 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 146 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 146 2 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 146 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 146 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 146 5 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 146 6 relevant relevant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 146 7 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 146 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 146 9 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 146 10 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 146 11 summarized summarize VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 146 12 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 146 13 Table Table NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 146 14 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 146 15 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 147 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 2 particular particular JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 147 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 147 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 147 5 used use VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 147 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 147 7 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 8 density density NN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 9 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 147 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 147 11 estimated estimate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 12 normalized normalize VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 13 total total JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 147 14 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 15 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 16 infected infected JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 147 17 individuals individual NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 147 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 147 19 determined determine VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 20 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 147 22 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 23 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 24 deaths death NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 147 25 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 26 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 147 27 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 147 28 typical typical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 147 29 constant constant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 147 30 factor factor NN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 147 32 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 147 33 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 147 34 Gross Gross NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 147 35 Domestic Domestic NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 147 36 Product Product NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 147 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 147 38 GDP GDP NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 147 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 147 40 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 147 41 nominal nominal JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 147 42 per per IN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 43 capita capita NN cord-140977-mg04drna 147 44 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 148 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 148 2 degree degree NN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 4 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 5 among among IN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 148 7 above above JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 148 8 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 148 9 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 148 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 148 11 modelling modelling NN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 148 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 148 14 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 148 15 studied study VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 16 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 17 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 148 18 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 148 19 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 148 20 pearson pearson NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 148 21 linear linear JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 148 22 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 23 coefficient coefficient NN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 24 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 148 25 given give VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 26 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 27 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 148 28 following following JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 148 29 formula formula NN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 30 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 148 31 X X NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 148 32 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 148 33 Y Y NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 148 34 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 148 35 considered consider VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 148 36 normal normal JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 148 37 random random JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 148 38 variables variable NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 148 39 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 149 1 σ σ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 149 2 x x NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 149 3 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 149 4 σ σ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 149 5 y y NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 149 6 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 149 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 149 8 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 149 9 standard standard JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 149 10 deviations deviation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 149 11 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 149 12 Cov(X Cov(X NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 149 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 149 14 Y Y NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 149 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 149 16 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 149 17 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 149 18 covariance covariance NN cord-140977-mg04drna 149 19 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 150 1 However however RB cord-140977-mg04drna 150 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 3 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 5 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 150 6 done do VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 7 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 8 practice practice NN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 9 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 11 calculated calculate VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 150 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 150 13 " " `` cord-140977-mg04drna 150 14 sampling sampling NN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 15 pearson pearson NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 16 coefficient coefficient NN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 17 " " '' cord-140977-mg04drna 150 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 150 19 SPC SPC NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 150 21 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 22 r(X r(X NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 23 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 24 Y Y NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 150 26 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 27 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 28 n n LS cord-140977-mg04drna 150 29 observed observe VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 150 30 random random JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 150 31 pairs pair NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 150 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 150 33 X x UH cord-140977-mg04drna 150 34 i i NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 35 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 36 Y Y NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 37 i i NN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 38 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 39 ... ... NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 40 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 41 X x NN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 42 n n NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 43 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 44 Y Y NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 45 n n NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 150 47 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 150 48 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 150 49 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 150 50 X x NN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 51 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 150 52 represent represent VB cord-140977-mg04drna 150 53 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 150 54 first first JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 150 55 selected select VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 56 variable variable NN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 57 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 150 58 Y Y NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 150 59 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 150 60 second second JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 150 61 one one NN cord-140977-mg04drna 150 62 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 151 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 151 2 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 151 3 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 151 4 concerned concern VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 151 5 eight eight CD cord-140977-mg04drna 151 6 pairs pair NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 151 7 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 151 8 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 151 9 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 151 10 illustrated illustrate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 151 11 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 151 12 Table Table NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 151 13 2 2 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 151 14 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 152 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 152 2 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 152 3 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 152 4 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 152 5 linear linear JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 152 6 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 152 7 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 152 8 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 152 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 152 10 following follow VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 152 11 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 152 12 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 152 13 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 153 1 For for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 153 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 153 3 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 153 4 density density NN cord-140977-mg04drna 153 5 D d NN cord-140977-mg04drna 153 6 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 153 7 no no DT cord-140977-mg04drna 153 8 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 153 9 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 153 10 found find VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 153 11 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 153 12 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 153 13 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 153 14 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 154 1 2 2 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 154 2 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 155 1 For for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 155 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 155 3 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 155 4 parameters parameter VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 155 5 n n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 155 6 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 155 7 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 155 8 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 155 9 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 155 10 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 155 11 strong strong JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 155 12 anti anti JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 155 13 - - JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 155 14 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 155 15 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 155 16 found find VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 155 17 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 156 1 3 3 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 156 2 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 157 1 For for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 157 3 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 157 4 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 5 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 6 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 7 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 157 8 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 157 9 strong strong JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 157 10 anti anti JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 157 11 - - JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 157 12 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 13 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 157 14 found find VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 15 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 16 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 157 17 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 157 18 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 157 19 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 20 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 157 21 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 157 22 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 157 23 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 158 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 158 2 scatter scatter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 3 plot plot NN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 4 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 158 6 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 158 7 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 158 8 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 9 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 10 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 158 11 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 158 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 158 13 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 158 14 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 15 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 16 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 17 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 158 18 shown show VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 19 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 158 20 Fig Fig NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 158 21 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 159 1 5 5 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 159 2 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 160 1 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 160 2 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 3 gives give VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 160 4 us -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 160 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 160 6 following following JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 160 7 message message NN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 8 : : : cord-140977-mg04drna 160 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 160 10 higher high JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 160 11 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 12 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 160 13 results result NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 160 14 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 15 less less JJR cord-140977-mg04drna 160 16 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 160 17 delay delay NN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 18 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 160 20 upcoming upcoming JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 160 21 peak peak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 22 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 23 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 160 24 DRC DRC NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 160 25 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 160 26 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 161 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 161 2 obtained obtain VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 161 3 slope slope NN cord-140977-mg04drna 161 4 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 161 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 161 6 linear linear JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 161 7 fit fit NN cord-140977-mg04drna 161 8 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 162 1 −8.4 −8.4 NN cord-140977-mg04drna 162 2 ± ± NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 162 3 0.2 0.2 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 162 4 days day NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 162 5 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 163 1 On on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 163 3 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 163 4 hand hand NN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 5 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 163 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 163 7 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 8 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 163 9 among among IN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 163 11 analyzed analyze VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 12 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 163 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 163 14 present present JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 163 15 statistical statistical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 163 16 fluctuations fluctuation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 163 17 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 18 about about IN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 19 2 2 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 163 20 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 21 4.6 4.6 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 163 22 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 163 23 obeying obey VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 163 24 roughly roughly RB cord-140977-mg04drna 163 25 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 163 26 gaussian gaussian JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 163 27 distribution distribution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 28 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 29 mean mean JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 163 30 value value NN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 31 2.96 2.96 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 163 32 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 163 33 standard standard JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 163 34 deviation deviation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 35 0.68 0.68 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 163 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 163 37 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 163 38 relative relative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 163 39 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 163 40 mean mean VB cord-140977-mg04drna 163 41 23 23 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 163 42 % % NN cord-140977-mg04drna 163 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 163 44 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 164 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 164 2 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 164 3 n n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 4 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 164 5 τ τ NN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 6 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 164 7 fluctuate fluctuate VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 164 8 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 164 9 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 164 11 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 164 12 see see VB cord-140977-mg04drna 164 13 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 14 Fig Fig NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 164 15 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 164 16 6 6 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 164 17 while while IN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 164 19 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 164 20 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 21 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 22 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 23 shows show VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 164 24 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 164 25 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 164 26 obeying obey VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 164 27 similarly similarly RB cord-140977-mg04drna 164 28 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 164 29 gaussian gaussian JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 164 30 distribution distribution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 31 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 32 mean mean JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 164 33 25.7 25.7 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 164 34 days day NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 164 35 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 164 36 standard standard JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 164 37 deviation deviation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 38 7.8 7.8 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 164 39 days day NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 164 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 164 41 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 164 42 relative relative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 164 43 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 164 44 mean mean VB cord-140977-mg04drna 164 45 30 30 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 164 46 % % NN cord-140977-mg04drna 164 47 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 164 48 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 165 1 Since since IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 2 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 3 0 0 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 165 4 fluctuates fluctuate NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 165 6 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 165 7 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 8 turn turn NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 165 10 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 11 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 12 due due IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 13 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 14 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 165 15 linear linear JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 165 16 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 165 18 among among IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 165 20 different different JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 165 21 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 22 randomly randomly RB cord-140977-mg04drna 165 23 without without IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 24 presenting present VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 165 25 any any DT cord-140977-mg04drna 165 26 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 27 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 28 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 165 29 associated associate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 30 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 31 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 165 32 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 165 33 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 165 34 conclude conclude VB cord-140977-mg04drna 165 35 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 36 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 165 37 normalized normalized JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 165 38 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 39 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 40 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 165 41 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 42 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 165 43 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 165 44 explained explain VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 45 only only RB cord-140977-mg04drna 165 46 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 47 taking take VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 165 48 into into IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 49 account account NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 50 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 165 51 reasons reason NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 52 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 165 53 aspects aspect NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 54 related relate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 55 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 56 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 165 57 way way NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 58 citizens citizen NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 59 interact interact VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 165 60 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 165 61 behave behave VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 165 62 as as RB cord-140977-mg04drna 165 63 well well RB cord-140977-mg04drna 165 64 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 65 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 165 66 degree degree NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 67 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 68 social social JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 165 69 distances distance NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 70 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 165 71 mobility mobility NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 72 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 165 73 transport transport NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 74 within within IN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 75 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 165 76 country country NN cord-140977-mg04drna 165 77 's 's POS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 78 major major JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 165 79 cities city NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 165 80 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 166 1 Also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 166 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 166 3 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 166 4 crucial crucial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 166 5 role role NN cord-140977-mg04drna 166 6 played play VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 166 7 definitely definitely RB cord-140977-mg04drna 166 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 166 9 degree degree NN cord-140977-mg04drna 166 10 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 166 11 quarantine quarantine NN cord-140977-mg04drna 166 12 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 166 13 likely likely RB cord-140977-mg04drna 166 14 some some DT cord-140977-mg04drna 166 15 individual individual JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 166 16 biological biological JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 166 17 differentiations differentiation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 166 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 166 19 genetic genetic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 166 20 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 166 21 other other JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 166 22 related related JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 166 23 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 166 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 166 25 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 166 26 _SP cord-140977-mg04drna 167 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 167 2 capability capability NN cord-140977-mg04drna 167 3 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 167 4 surveying survey VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 167 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 167 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 167 7 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 167 8 during during IN cord-140977-mg04drna 167 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 167 10 three three CD cord-140977-mg04drna 167 11 main main JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 167 12 stages stage NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 167 13 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 167 14 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 167 15 important important JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 167 16 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 167 17 could could MD cord-140977-mg04drna 167 18 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 167 19 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 167 20 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 167 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 167 22 daily daily JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 167 23 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 167 24 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 167 25 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 167 26 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 167 27 modelling modelling NN cord-140977-mg04drna 167 28 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 167 29 presented present VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 167 30 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 168 1 In in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 168 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 168 3 mitigation mitigation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 168 4 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 168 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 168 6 surveying surveying NN cord-140977-mg04drna 168 7 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 168 8 even even RB cord-140977-mg04drna 168 9 more more RBR cord-140977-mg04drna 168 10 useful useful JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 168 11 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 168 12 crucial crucial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 168 13 when when WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 168 14 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 168 15 restriction restriction NN cord-140977-mg04drna 168 16 measures measure NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 168 17 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 168 18 starting start VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 168 19 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 168 20 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 168 21 relaxed relaxed JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 168 22 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 169 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 169 2 crucial crucial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 169 3 condition condition NN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 4 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 5 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 169 6 new new JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 169 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 8 reappearance reappearance NN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 9 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 169 10 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 11 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 12 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 169 13 effective effective JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 169 14 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 169 15 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 169 17 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 18 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 19 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 169 20 as as RB cord-140977-mg04drna 169 21 well well RB cord-140977-mg04drna 169 22 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 23 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 169 24 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 25 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 169 26 corresponding correspond VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 169 27 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 28 threshold threshold NN cord-140977-mg04drna 169 29 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 170 1 However however RB cord-140977-mg04drna 170 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 170 3 because because IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 4 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 170 6 large large JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 7 statistical statistical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 8 fluctuations fluctuation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 170 9 caused cause VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 10 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 170 12 poor poor JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 13 statistics statistic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 170 14 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 15 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 170 16 as as RB cord-140977-mg04drna 170 17 well well RB cord-140977-mg04drna 170 18 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 19 because because IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 20 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 21 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 170 22 low low JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 23 slope slope NN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 24 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 25 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 170 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 27 curve curve NN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 28 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 29 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 170 30 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 31 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 170 32 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 170 33 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 34 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 170 35 hard hard JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 36 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 170 37 achieve achieve VB cord-140977-mg04drna 170 38 accurate accurate JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 39 numbers number NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 170 40 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 170 41 but but CC cord-140977-mg04drna 170 42 only only RB cord-140977-mg04drna 170 43 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 170 44 qualitative qualitative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 45 estimate estimate NN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 46 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 170 47 follows follow VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 170 48 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 171 1 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 171 2 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 171 3 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 171 4 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 171 5 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 171 6 estimated estimate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 171 7 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 171 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 171 9 expressions expression NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 171 10 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 171 11 Eq Eq NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 171 12 . . NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 171 13 9 9 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 171 14 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 171 15 using use VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 171 16 average average JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 171 17 numerical numerical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 171 18 approximations approximation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 171 19 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 171 20 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 171 21 slope slope NN cord-140977-mg04drna 171 22 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 171 23 dI dI NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 171 24 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 171 25 dt dt NN cord-140977-mg04drna 171 26 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 172 1 An an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 172 2 alternative alternative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 172 3 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 172 4 practical practical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 172 5 formula formula NN cord-140977-mg04drna 172 6 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 172 7 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 172 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 172 9 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 172 10 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 172 11 SG SG NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 172 12 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 172 13 LPE LPE NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 172 14 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 172 15 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 172 16 easily easily RB cord-140977-mg04drna 172 17 proven prove VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 172 18 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 172 19 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 172 20 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 172 21 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 172 22 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 173 1 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 173 2 1 1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 174 1 + + CC cord-140977-mg04drna 174 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 174 3 nτ nτ IN cord-140977-mg04drna 174 4 /t /t NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 174 5 − − CD cord-140977-mg04drna 174 6 1)/β 1)/β CD cord-140977-mg04drna 174 7 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 175 1 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 175 2 formula formula NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 3 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 175 4 valid valid JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 175 5 only only RB cord-140977-mg04drna 175 6 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 175 8 vicinity vicinity NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 9 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 175 11 peak peak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 12 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 175 13 namely namely RB cord-140977-mg04drna 175 14 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 175 16 narrow narrow JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 175 17 range range NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 18 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 19 0.5 0.5 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 175 20 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 21 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 22 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 23 1.5 1.5 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 175 24 t t NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 25 p p NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 26 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 175 27 because because IN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 28 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 175 29 fitted fit VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 30 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 31 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 175 32 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 175 33 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 175 34 one one CD cord-140977-mg04drna 175 35 differ differ VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 175 36 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 37 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 175 38 slopes slope NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 175 39 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 40 both both DT cord-140977-mg04drna 175 41 side side NN cord-140977-mg04drna 175 42 tails tail NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 175 43 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 176 1 Once once RB cord-140977-mg04drna 176 2 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 3 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 4 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 176 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 6 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 176 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 176 8 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 9 density density NN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 10 threshold threshold NN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 11 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 176 12 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 13 turn turn NN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 14 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 176 15 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 176 16 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 176 17 calculated calculate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 18 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 176 19 should should MD cord-140977-mg04drna 176 20 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 176 21 S(t)/N s(t)/n NN cord-140977-mg04drna 176 22 = = NFP cord-140977-mg04drna 177 1 1 1 LS cord-140977-mg04drna 177 2 / / SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 177 3 R r NN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 4 e e NN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 5 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 177 6 assuming assume VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 177 7 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 177 9 normalized normalized JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 177 10 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 11 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 177 12 can can MD cord-140977-mg04drna 177 13 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 177 14 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 177 15 estimated estimate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 16 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 17 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 177 18 similar similar JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 177 19 level level NN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 20 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 21 accuracy accuracy NN cord-140977-mg04drna 177 22 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 178 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-140977-mg04drna 178 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 178 3 crucial crucial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 178 4 condition condition NN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 5 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 178 7 mitigation mitigation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 8 stage stage NN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 9 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 178 10 written write VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 11 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 12 The the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 178 13 derivative derivative NN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 14 has have VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 178 15 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 178 16 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 178 17 calculated calculate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 18 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 19 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 178 20 average average JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 178 21 slope slope NN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 22 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 178 23 ∆I/∆t ∆I/∆t NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 178 24 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 178 25 preferably preferably RB cord-140977-mg04drna 178 26 at at IN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 27 least least JJS cord-140977-mg04drna 178 28 within within IN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 29 one one CD cord-140977-mg04drna 178 30 week week NN cord-140977-mg04drna 178 31 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 179 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 179 2 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 179 3 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 179 4 slope slope NN cord-140977-mg04drna 179 5 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 179 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 179 7 w w NN cord-140977-mg04drna 179 8 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 179 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 179 10 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 179 11 average average JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 179 12 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 179 13 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 179 14 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 179 15 week week NN cord-140977-mg04drna 179 16 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 179 17 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 179 18 av av VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 179 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 179 20 crucial crucial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 179 21 condition condition NN cord-140977-mg04drna 179 22 becomes become VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 179 23 where where WRB cord-140977-mg04drna 179 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 179 25 used use VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 179 26 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 179 27 typical typical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 179 28 values value NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 179 29 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 179 30 β β NN cord-140977-mg04drna 179 31 = = SYM cord-140977-mg04drna 179 32 0.1 0.1 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 179 33 days day NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 179 34 −1 −1 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 179 35 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 179 36 N N NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 179 37 S(∞ S(∞ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 179 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-140977-mg04drna 180 1 ≈ ≈ NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 180 2 15 15 CD cord-140977-mg04drna 180 3 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 180 4 having have VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 180 5 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 180 6 practical practical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 180 7 result result NN cord-140977-mg04drna 180 8 as as IN cord-140977-mg04drna 180 9 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 180 10 case case NN cord-140977-mg04drna 180 11 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 180 12 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 181 1 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 181 2 simplified simplify VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 181 3 formula formula NN cord-140977-mg04drna 181 4 combined combine VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 181 5 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 181 6 one one CD cord-140977-mg04drna 181 7 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 181 8 week week NN cord-140977-mg04drna 181 9 measurements measurement NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 181 10 should should MD cord-140977-mg04drna 181 11 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 181 12 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 181 13 useful useful JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 181 14 because because IN cord-140977-mg04drna 181 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 181 16 relative relative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 181 17 fluctuations fluctuation NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 181 18 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 181 19 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 181 20 DRC DRC NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 181 21 are be VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 181 22 expected expect VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 181 23 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 181 24 be be VB cord-140977-mg04drna 181 25 very very RB cord-140977-mg04drna 181 26 large large JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 181 27 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 182 1 A a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 182 2 systematic systematic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 182 3 analysis analysis NN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 4 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 5 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 182 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 7 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 182 8 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 9 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 182 10 new new JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 182 11 virus virus NN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 182 13 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 14 spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 15 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 182 16 presented present VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 17 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 18 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 182 19 work work NN cord-140977-mg04drna 182 20 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 183 1 For for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 183 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 183 3 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 183 4 analysis analysis NN cord-140977-mg04drna 183 5 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 183 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 183 7 used use VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 183 8 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 183 9 model model NN cord-140977-mg04drna 183 10 that that WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 183 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 183 12 called call VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 183 13 LPE LPE NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 183 14 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 183 15 SG SG NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 183 16 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 183 17 facilitates facilitate VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 183 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 183 19 parametrization parametrization NN cord-140977-mg04drna 183 20 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 183 21 an an DT cord-140977-mg04drna 183 22 analytical analytical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 183 23 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 183 24 description description NN cord-140977-mg04drna 183 25 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 184 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 184 2 also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 184 3 presented present VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 184 4 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 184 5 methodology methodology NN cord-140977-mg04drna 184 6 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 184 7 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 184 8 coupling coupling NN cord-140977-mg04drna 184 9 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 184 10 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 184 11 SIR SIR NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 184 12 - - HYPH cord-140977-mg04drna 184 13 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 184 14 models model NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 184 15 aiming aim VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 184 16 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 184 17 determine determine VB cord-140977-mg04drna 184 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 184 19 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 184 20 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 184 21 effective effective JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 184 22 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 184 23 numbers number NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 184 24 based base VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 184 25 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 184 26 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 184 27 fitted fit VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 184 28 parameters parameter NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 184 29 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 185 1 Analysing analyse VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 185 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 185 3 daily daily JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 185 4 reported report VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 5 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 185 6 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 7 European european JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 185 8 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 185 9 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 185 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 185 11 found find VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 185 12 no no DT cord-140977-mg04drna 185 13 correlation correlation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 14 between between IN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 185 16 population population NN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 17 density density NN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 18 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 185 19 normalized normalized JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 185 20 size size NN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 21 or or CC cord-140977-mg04drna 185 22 GDP gdp NN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 23 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 185 25 countries country NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 185 26 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 27 respect respect NN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 28 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 185 29 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 185 30 spreading spread VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 185 31 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 185 32 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 186 1 Another another DT cord-140977-mg04drna 186 2 important important JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 3 finding finding NN cord-140977-mg04drna 186 4 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 186 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 6 study study NN cord-140977-mg04drna 186 7 was be VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 186 8 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 186 9 strong strong JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 10 anti anti JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 11 - - JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 12 correlation correlation JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 13 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 186 14 statistically statistically RB cord-140977-mg04drna 186 15 significant significant JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 16 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 186 17 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 186 18 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 186 19 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 20 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 186 21 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 186 22 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 186 23 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 186 24 peaking peak VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 186 25 time time NN cord-140977-mg04drna 186 26 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 187 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-140977-mg04drna 187 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 187 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 187 4 found find VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 187 5 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 187 6 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 187 7 basic basic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 187 8 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 187 9 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 187 10 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 187 11 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 187 12 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 187 13 studied study VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 187 14 showed show VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 187 15 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 187 16 uniform uniform JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 187 17 distribution distribution NN cord-140977-mg04drna 187 18 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 187 19 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 187 20 wide wide JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 187 21 range range NN cord-140977-mg04drna 187 22 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 187 23 values value NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 187 24 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 188 1 This this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 188 2 means mean VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 188 3 that that IN cord-140977-mg04drna 188 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 188 5 is be VBZ cord-140977-mg04drna 188 6 mainly mainly RB cord-140977-mg04drna 188 7 influenced influence VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 188 8 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 188 9 many many JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 188 10 factors factor NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 188 11 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 188 12 generic generic JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 188 13 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 188 14 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 188 15 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 188 16 society society NN cord-140977-mg04drna 188 17 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 188 18 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 188 19 country country NN cord-140977-mg04drna 188 20 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 189 1 Databased databased JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 189 2 analysis analysis NN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 3 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 189 4 modelling modelling NN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 5 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 189 6 forecasting forecasting NN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 7 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 189 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 189 10 outbreak outbreak NN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 11 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 189 12 analysis analysis NN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 13 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 189 15 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 16 China China NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 189 17 by by IN cord-140977-mg04drna 189 18 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 189 19 modeling modeling NN cord-140977-mg04drna 190 1 A a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 190 2 Robust robust JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 190 3 Stochastic Stochastic NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 190 4 Method method NN cord-140977-mg04drna 190 5 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 190 6 Estimating estimate VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 190 7 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 190 8 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 190 9 Potential potential NN cord-140977-mg04drna 190 10 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 190 11 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-140977-mg04drna 191 1 Predicting predict VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 191 2 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 3 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 4 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 5 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 6 cases case NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 191 7 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 8 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 11 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 12 China China NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 13 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 14 early early JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 15 data datum NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 191 16 Parametrization Parametrization NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 17 Model Model NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 18 Motivated motivate VBN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 19 from from IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 20 Physical physical JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 21 Processes process NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 191 22 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 23 Studying study VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 191 24 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 25 Spread spread NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 26 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 27 CIVID-19 CIVID-19 `` cord-140977-mg04drna 191 28 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 29 Polynomial polynomial JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 30 growth growth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 31 in in IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 32 branching branch VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 191 33 processes process NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 191 34 with with IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 35 diverging diverge VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 191 36 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 37 number number NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 38 Fractal Fractal NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 39 kinetics kinetic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 191 40 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 41 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 42 pandemic pandemic NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 43 A a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 44 Contribution Contribution NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 45 to to IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 46 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 47 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 48 Theory Theory NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 49 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 50 Epodemics Epodemics NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 51 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 52 modeling modeling NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 53 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 54 infectious infectious JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 55 disease disease NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 56 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 191 57 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 58 would would MD cord-140977-mg04drna 191 59 like like VB cord-140977-mg04drna 191 60 to to TO cord-140977-mg04drna 191 61 thank thank VB cord-140977-mg04drna 191 62 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 63 daughter daughter NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 64 V. V. NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 65 Maltezou Maltezou NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 66 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 191 67 a a DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 68 Graduate Graduate NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 69 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 70 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 71 Department Department NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 72 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 73 Agriculture Agriculture NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 74 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 75 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 76 Aristotle Aristotle NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 77 University University NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 78 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 79 Thessaloniki Thessaloniki NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 80 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 191 81 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 191 82 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 83 Athens Athens NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 84 School School NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 85 of of IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 86 Fine Fine NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 87 Arts Arts NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 88 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 191 89 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 90 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 91 discussions discussion NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 191 92 on on IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 93 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 94 global global JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 95 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 191 96 problem problem NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 97 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 191 98 which which WDT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 99 gave give VBD cord-140977-mg04drna 191 100 me -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 191 101 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 102 warmth warmth NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 103 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 191 104 the the DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 105 motivation motivation NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 106 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 107 doing do VBG cord-140977-mg04drna 191 108 this this DT cord-140977-mg04drna 191 109 work work NN cord-140977-mg04drna 191 110 . . . cord-140977-mg04drna 192 1 Also also RB cord-140977-mg04drna 192 2 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 192 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-140977-mg04drna 192 4 thank thank VBP cord-140977-mg04drna 192 5 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 192 6 colleagues colleague NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 192 7 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 192 8 Prof. Prof. NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 192 9 Emeritus Emeritus NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 192 10 E. E. NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 192 11 Fokitis Fokitis NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 192 12 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 192 13 E. E. NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 192 14 Katsoufis Katsoufis NNP cord-140977-mg04drna 192 15 , , , cord-140977-mg04drna 192 16 for for IN cord-140977-mg04drna 192 17 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 192 18 insightful insightful JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 192 19 comments comment NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 192 20 and and CC cord-140977-mg04drna 192 21 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-140977-mg04drna 192 22 useful useful JJ cord-140977-mg04drna 192 23 discussions discussion NNS cord-140977-mg04drna 192 24 . . .