id sid tid token lemma pos cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 1 key key JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 2 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 3 cord-318688-ditadt8l cord-318688-ditadt8l NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 4 authors author NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 5 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 6 Mitarai Mitarai NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 8 O. O. NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 9 ; ; : cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 10 Yanagi Yanagi NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 12 N. N. NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 13 title title NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 14 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 15 Suppression suppression NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 16 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 18 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 19 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 20 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 21 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 22 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 23 based base VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 24 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 25 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 26 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 27 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 28 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 29 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 30 analogy analogy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 31 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 32 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 33 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 34 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 35 date date NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 36 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 37 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 38 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 39 09 09 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 40 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 41 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 42 journal journal NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 1 43 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 2 1 nan nan NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 2 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 2 3 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 1 10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 2 sha sha NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 3 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 4 9c49d2bb5a2019878527b439aae299e547304215 9c49d2bb5a2019878527b439aae299e547304215 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 5 doc_id doc_id CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 6 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 7 318688 318688 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 8 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 9 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 3 10 ditadt8l ditadt8l NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 2 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 3 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 4 2019 2019 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 8 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 9 been be VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 10 damaging damage VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 11 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 12 daily daily JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 13 life life NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 14 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 15 declaration declaration NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 16 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 4 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 4 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 5 started start VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 6 studying study VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 7 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 9 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 11 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 12 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 13 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 14 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 15 Recovered recovered JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 17 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 19 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 20 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 21 know know VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 22 about about IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 23 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 24 truth truth NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 25 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 26 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 27 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 28 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 29 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 30 future future NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 5 31 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 1 After after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 2 detailed detailed JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 3 studies study NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 4 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 6 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 10 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 11 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 13 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 14 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 15 dependencies dependency NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 16 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 17 respect respect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 18 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 19 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 20 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 21 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 22 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 23 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 25 lockdown lockdown NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 27 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 28 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 29 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 30 rate rate NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 31 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 32 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 33 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 34 finally finally RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 35 noticed notice VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 36 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 37 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 38 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 39 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 41 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 42 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 44 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 45 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 46 differential differential JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 47 equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 48 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 49 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 50 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 51 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 52 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 53 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 54 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 55 quite quite RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 56 similar similar JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 57 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 58 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 59 " " `` cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 60 helium helium NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 61 ash ash NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 62 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 63 loss loss NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 64 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 65 " " '' cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 66 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 67 deuterium deuterium NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 68 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 69 tritium tritium NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 70 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 71 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 72 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 73 T T NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 74 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 75 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 76 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 6 77 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 1 Based base VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 2 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 3 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 4 analogy analogy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 7 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 8 found find VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 9 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 13 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 14 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 15 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 16 actively actively RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 17 controlled control VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 18 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 20 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 21 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 7 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 1 Then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 3 introduce introduce VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 5 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 6 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 7 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 8 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 9 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 10 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 11 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 12 studied study VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 13 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 14 effect effect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 15 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 16 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 8 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 1 Required require VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 2 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 3 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 4 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 5 terminate terminate VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 8 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 9 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 10 estimated estimate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 11 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 12 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 13 proposed propose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 14 method method NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 9 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 1 To to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 2 show show VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 3 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 4 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 5 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 6 effect effect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 9 choose choose VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 10 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 11 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 13 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 14 calculation calculation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 15 because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 16 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 17 high high JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 18 population population NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 19 density density NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 10 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 2 determine determine VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 6 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 8 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 9 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 10 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 12 initial initial JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 13 uncontrolled uncontrolled JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 14 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 15 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 16 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 17 then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 19 future future JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 20 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 21 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 22 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 23 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 24 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 25 estimated estimate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 26 under under IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 27 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 28 conditions condition NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 11 29 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 1 If if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 3 confirmed confirm VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 4 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 5 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 6 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 7 isolated isolate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 8 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 9 3~8 3~8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 10 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 11 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 12 widely widely RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 13 performed perform VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 14 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 15 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 16 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 18 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 19 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 20 suppressed suppress VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 21 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 22 awaiting await VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 23 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 12 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 1 If if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 3 mild mild JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 4 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 5 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 6 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 7 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 8 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 9 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 10 together together RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 13 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 14 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 15 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 16 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 17 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 18 longer long JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 13 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 2 consider consider VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 3 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 4 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 5 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 6 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 7 might may MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 8 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 10 only only JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 11 solution solution NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 12 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 13 overcome overcome VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 16 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 17 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 18 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 19 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 20 available available JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 14 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 1 Since since IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 3 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 4 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 5 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 7 Jan. January NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 8 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 9 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 10 China China NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 12 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 13 reported report VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 14 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 16 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 17 been be VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 18 studying study VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 21 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 22 using use VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 23 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 24 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 15 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 1 Then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 4 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 5 noticed notice VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 7 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 8 equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 11 quarantine quarantine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 12 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 14 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 15 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 17 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 18 mode mode NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 19 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 20 quite quite RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 21 similar similar JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 22 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 23 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 24 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 25 He He NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 26 ash ash NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 27 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 28 balance balance NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 29 equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 30 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 31 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 32 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 33 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 34 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 36 Mitarai Mitarai NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 37 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 38 Muraoka,1997 Muraoka,1997 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 16 40 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 1 By by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 3 analogy analogy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 6 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 7 found find VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 8 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 10 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 11 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 13 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 14 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 15 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 16 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 17 interpreted interpret VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 18 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 20 natural natural JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 21 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 22 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 23 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 24 means mean VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 25 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 26 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 27 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 28 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 29 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 30 conducted conduct VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 31 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 32 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 33 controlled control VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 34 manner manner NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 35 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 36 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 37 traditional traditional JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 38 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 39 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 17 40 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 2 fact fact NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 3 inspired inspire VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 4 us -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 5 how how WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 6 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 7 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 8 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 9 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 10 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 18 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 2 show show VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 6 possible possible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 7 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 8 calculate calculate VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 10 required require VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 11 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 12 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 14 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 15 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 16 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 17 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 19 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 20 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 21 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 22 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 19 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 3 paper paper NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 5 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 6 chosen choose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 7 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 8 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 9 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 10 population population NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 11 where where WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 12 might may MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 13 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 14 suitable suitable JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 15 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 16 apply apply VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 18 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 19 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 20 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 2 future future JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 3 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 6 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 9 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 10 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 11 conditions condition NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 12 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 14 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 15 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 16 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 17 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 18 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 19 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 20 parameters parameter NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 21 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 3 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 4 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 5 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 6 identified identify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 7 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 8 massive massive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 9 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 10 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 11 then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 12 quickly quickly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 13 isolated isolate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 14 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 16 society society NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 17 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 19 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 20 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 21 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 22 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 23 terminated terminate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 22 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 3 paper paper NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 5 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 6 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 8 traditional traditional JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 10 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 12 Kermack Kermack NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 13 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 14 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 15 McKendrick McKendrick NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 17 1927 1927 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 18 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 19 Nishiura Nishiura NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 20 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 21 Inaba Inaba NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 22 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 23 2006 2006 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 23 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 3 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 5 interpret interpret VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 7 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 8 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 9 using use VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 11 analogy analogy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 12 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 14 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 15 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 16 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 17 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 18 providing provide VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 20 new new JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 21 insight insight NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 22 into into IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 23 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 24 field field NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 24 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 1 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 2 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 3 equations equation NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 4 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 5 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 6 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 7 where where WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 8 S S NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 11 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 25 12 fraction fraction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 26 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 26 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 26 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 26 4 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 26 5 fraction fraction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 1 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 2 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 5 recovered recover VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 6 fraction fraction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 7 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 10 sum sum NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 13 death death NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 14 toll toll NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 15 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 16 recovered recover VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 27 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 1 β β NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 4 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 5 rate rate NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 6 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 7 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 9 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 12 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 13 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 14 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 16 recovered recover VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 17 rate rate NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 18 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 19 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 28 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 2 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 3 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 4 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 6 right right JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 7 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 8 hand hand NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 9 side side NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 11 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 29 12 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 2 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 5 called call VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 7 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 8 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 9 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 10 quarantine quarantine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 11 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 13 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 15 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 16 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 17 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 18 expressed express VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 19 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 20 where where WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 21 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 22 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 23 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 24 dimension dimension NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 25 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 26 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 27 expressing express VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 28 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 29 averaged average VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 30 lifetime lifetime NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 31 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 32 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 33 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 34 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 30 35 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 3 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 4 interpreted interpret VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 5 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 6 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 7 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 8 person person NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 10 finally finally RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 11 removed remove VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 12 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 14 society society NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 15 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 16 recovery recovery NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 17 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 18 death death NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 19 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 21 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 22 period period NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 23 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 24 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 26 Kermack Kermack NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 27 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 28 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 29 McKendrick McKendrick NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 30 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 31 1927 1927 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 31 33 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 32 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 32 2 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 32 3 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 32 4 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 32 5 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 32 6 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 2 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 5 quite quite RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 6 similar similar JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 7 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 9 " " `` cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 10 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 11 He He NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 12 ash ash NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 13 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 14 loss loss NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 15 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 16 " " '' cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 17 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 18 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 19 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 20 " " `` cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 21 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 22 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 23 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 24 " " '' cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 26 Mitarai Mitarai NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 27 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 28 Muraoka Muraoka NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 29 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 30 1997 1997 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 33 32 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 2 loss loss NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 3 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 5 called call VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 7 " " `` cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 8 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 9 confinement confinement NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 10 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 11 " " '' cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 12 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 13 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 14 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 15 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 17 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 18 expresses express VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 20 average average JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 21 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 22 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 23 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 24 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 25 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 26 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 27 escape escape VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 28 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 29 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 30 confined confine VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 31 plasma plasma NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 34 32 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 2 analogy analogy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 3 inspired inspire VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 4 us -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 5 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 6 consider consider VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 7 how how WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 8 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 9 terminate terminate VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 35 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 1 Detailed detailed JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 2 explanations explanation NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 3 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 4 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 5 analogy analogy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 6 will will MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 7 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 8 described describe VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 9 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 11 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 36 12 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 1 If if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 3 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 4 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 5 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 6 quickly quickly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 7 conducted conduct VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 8 within within IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 9 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 10 short short JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 11 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 13 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 14 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 15 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 16 increased increase VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 17 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 18 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 19 then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 21 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 22 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 23 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 24 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 25 would would MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 26 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 27 reduced reduce VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 37 28 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 3 because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 5 contact contact NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 6 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 7 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 8 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 9 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 10 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 11 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 12 shortened shorten VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 38 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 4 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 7 total total JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 8 population population NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 10 constant constant JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 11 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 12 N(t N(t NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 14 = = NFP cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 15 S(t)+I(t)+R(t S(t)+I(t)+R(t NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 39 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 40 1 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 40 2 constant constant JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 40 3 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 40 4 adding add VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 40 5 Eqs Eqs NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 40 6 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 41 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 41 2 1)-(3 1)-(3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 41 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 41 4 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 4 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 5 calculated calculate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 7 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 10 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 11 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 12 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 13 because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 14 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 15 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 16 constant constant JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 17 population population NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 18 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 19 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 20 short short JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 21 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 42 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 1 To to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 2 solve solve VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 4 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 5 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 8 initial initial JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 9 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 11 set set VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 12 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 13 S(0)=1 S(0)=1 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 14 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 15 R(0)=0 R(0)=0 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 16 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 17 I(0)=given i(0)=given NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 43 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 2 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 3 note note VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 4 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 6 traditional traditional JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 7 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 8 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 9 assumes assume VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 11 permanent permanent JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 12 immunity immunity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 44 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 1 Using use VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 3 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 6 defined define VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 7 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 8 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 9 eff eff NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 45 10 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 46 1 βS(t)/γ βS(t)/γ NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 46 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 46 3 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 46 4 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 2 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 4 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 5 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 6 written write VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 7 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 8 dI dI NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 9 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 10 dt dt NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 11 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 12 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 14 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 15 eff eff NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 47 16 -1)I. -1)i. XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 3 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 6 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 7 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 8 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 9 β β NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 10 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 11 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 13 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 15 initial initial JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 16 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 17 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 18 S(0)=1 s(0)=1 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 19 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 20 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 21 eff eff NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 48 22 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 49 1 S(t)R s(t)r RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 50 1 o o UH cord-318688-ditadt8l 50 2 holds hold VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 50 3 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 2 see see VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 8 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 9 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 10 increases increase VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 11 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 12 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 13 eff eff NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 14 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 15 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 16 decreases decrease VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 17 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 18 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 19 eff eff NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 20 < < XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 21 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 22 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 23 where where WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 24 R R NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 25 eff eff NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 26 expresses express VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 27 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 28 positive positive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 29 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 30 negative negative JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 31 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 32 corresponding correspond VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 33 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 34 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 35 derivative derivative JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 36 dI di NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 37 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 38 dt dt NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 39 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 40 R R NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 41 eff eff NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 42 only only RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 43 shows show VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 44 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 45 tendency tendency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 46 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 47 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 48 present present JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 49 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 50 slice slice NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 51 51 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 2 divided divide VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 4 calculated calculate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 5 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 6 ranges range VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 7 into into IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 9 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 10 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 11 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 12 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 13 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 14 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 16 following following NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 52 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 2 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 3 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 4 starts start VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 5 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 6 May May NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 7 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 9 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 10 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 11 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 12 study study NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 13 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 14 may may MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 15 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 16 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 17 affected affect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 18 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 19 any any DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 20 governmental governmental JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 21 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 22 measures measure NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 53 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 3 Day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 4 48 48 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 5 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 7 start start NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 9 April April NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 10 17 17 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 14 provides provide VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 16 largest large JJS cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 17 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 18 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 20 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 21 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 22 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 23 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 24 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 25 two two CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 26 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 27 later later RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 29 Day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 30 50 50 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 32 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 33 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 34 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 35 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 36 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 37 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 38 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 39 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 40 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 41 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 54 42 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 2 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 3 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 5 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 6 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 8 following follow VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 9 traditional traditional JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 10 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 11 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 12 expressed express VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 13 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 15 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 16 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 17 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 18 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 19 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 20 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 22 3 3 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 24 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 25 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 26 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 27 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 28 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 29 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 30 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 31 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 32 Eq.(2 Eq.(2 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 33 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 34 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 36 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 37 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 38 inverse inverse NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 39 sign sign NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 40 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 41 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 42 do do VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 43 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 44 write write VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 45 down down RP cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 46 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 47 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 48 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 49 following follow VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 50 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 51 simplicity simplicity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 55 52 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 1 Here here RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 3 only only JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 4 one one CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 5 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 6 person person NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 8 assumed assume VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 9 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 11 initial initial JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 56 12 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 1 I(0)= i(0)= NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 2 1/14,000,000=7.14286 1/14,000,000=7.14286 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 3 x10 x10 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 4 -8 -8 NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 5 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 6 S(0)=1 s(0)=1 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 7 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 9 population population NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 11 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 12 14,000,000 14,000,000 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 13 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 14 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 15 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 16 Table Table NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 17 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 57 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 2 calculate calculate VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 4 fraction fraction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 5 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 6 S S NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 8 I -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 9 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 10 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 12 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 13 multiply multiply VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 15 population population NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 16 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 17 obtain obtain VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 19 final final JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 20 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 58 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 1 Above above IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 2 simultaneous simultaneous JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 3 equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 4 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 5 been be VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 6 solved solve VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 7 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 8 Mathematica Mathematica NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 10 wolfram wolfram NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 11 research research NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 59 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 1 Although although IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 3 need need VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 5 β β NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 7 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 9 then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 11 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 12 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 13 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 14 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 15 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 18 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 19 difficult difficult JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 20 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 21 determine determine VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 22 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 23 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 24 Eq.(3 Eq.(3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 26 because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 27 data data NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 28 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 29 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 30 enough enough JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 31 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 32 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 33 smooth smooth JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 34 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 35 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 36 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 60 37 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 3 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 7 reported report VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 8 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 9 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 10 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 11 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 12 3 3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 13 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 14 recent recent JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 15 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 17 Liu Liu NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 18 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 19 Y. Y. NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 20 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 21 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 22 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 23 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 24 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 26 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 27 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 28 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 29 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 30 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 31 range range NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 32 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 33 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 61 34 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 3 main main JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 4 purpose purpose NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 5 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 7 paper paper NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 9 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 10 estimate estimate VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 12 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 13 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 14 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 15 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 16 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 17 analyze analyze VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 19 present present JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 20 situation situation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 21 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 22 detail detail NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 23 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 24 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 25 recovery recovery NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 26 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 27 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 28 most most RBS cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 29 important important JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 62 30 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 4 surveyed survey VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 6 recovery recovery NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 7 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 8 using use VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 10 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 11 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 12 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 15 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 16 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 17 discharged discharge VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 18 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 19 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 21 hospital hospital NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 22 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 23 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 24 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 25 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 26 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 27 1-(a 1-(a CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 63 29 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 2 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 3 difference difference NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 4 between between IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 5 two two CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 6 curves curve NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 8 considered consider VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 9 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 10 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 11 nearly nearly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 13 recovery recovery NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 14 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 15 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 16 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 17 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 18 less less JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 19 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 20 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 21 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 64 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 65 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 65 2 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 65 3 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 2 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 3 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 4 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 6 provides provide VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 8 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 9 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 11 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 13 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 14 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 15 R R NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 16 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 17 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 18 chosen choose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 19 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 21 trial trial NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 22 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 23 error error NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 24 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 25 fit fit VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 26 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 27 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 28 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 29 data data NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 30 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 31 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 32 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 33 Fig.1-(b Fig.1-(b NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 66 35 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 1 Then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 3 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 4 employed employ VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 5 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 6 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 7 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 8 2.9 2.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 9 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 10 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 11 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 12 Liu Liu NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 13 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 14 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 67 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 2 Liu Liu NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 4 T. T. NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 6 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 7 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 9 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 12 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 13 γ=0.057 γ=0.057 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 14 corresponding correspond VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 15 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 17 recovery recovery NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 68 18 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 1 τ=17.54 τ=17.54 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 2 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 3 less less JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 4 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 5 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 6 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 8 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 9 provide provide VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 11 coefficients coefficient NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 12 β β XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 13 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 14 0.1653 0.1653 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 69 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 1 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 3 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 4 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 5 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 7 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 8 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 9 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 12 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 13 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 14 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 16 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 19 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 20 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 21 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 22 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 23 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 24 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 25 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 70 27 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 71 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 72 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 72 2 doi doi XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 72 3 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 2 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 4 Okumura Okumura NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 6 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 73 9 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 3 work work NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 5 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 6 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 7 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 8 started start VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 9 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 10 12 12 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 11 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 12 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 14 state state NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 15 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 16 emergencies emergency NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 18 Japan Japan NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 20 April April NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 21 7 7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 74 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 1 After after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 2 Day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 3 50 50 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 5 introduce introduce VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 7 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 8 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 9 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 10 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 11 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 12 80 80 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 13 % % NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 14 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 16 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 17 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 18 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 19 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 20 means mean VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 21 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 22 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 23 % % NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 24 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 25 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 26 total total JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 27 population population NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 28 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 29 move move VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 30 freely freely RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 31 outside outside RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 32 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 33 80 80 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 34 % % NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 35 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 36 staying stay VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 37 home home RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 75 38 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 2 calculation calculation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 3 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 4 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 5 done do VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 6 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 7 employing employ VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 9 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 10 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 11 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 12 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 13 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 14 multiplied multiply VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 15 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 17 1-c 1-c CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 76 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 77 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 77 2 Kado Kado NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 77 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 77 4 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 77 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 77 6 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 2 means mean VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 9 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 11 reduced reduce VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 12 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 14 1-c 1-c CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 17 namely namely RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 18 S(t)(1-c S(t)(1-c NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 20 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 21 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 22 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 23 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 24 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 25 non non JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 26 - - JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 27 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 28 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 29 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 30 S(t)c S(t)c NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 31 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 32 staying stay VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 33 home home RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 34 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 35 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 78 36 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 1 With with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 3 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 4 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 5 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 6 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 8 Eqs Eqs NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 79 9 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 2 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 4 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 6 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 8 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 9 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 10 written write VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 11 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 12 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 13 calculated calculate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 14 results result NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 15 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 16 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 18 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 80 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 81 1 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 81 2 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 81 3 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 81 4 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 81 5 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 81 6 ratios ratio NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 82 1 c. c. NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 2 initial initial JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 3 values value NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 4 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 6 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 7 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 8 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 9 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 10 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 12 last last JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 13 one one NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 14 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 16 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 17 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 83 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 1 A a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 2 small small JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 3 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 5 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 7 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 8 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 9 at at RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 10 all all RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 11 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 12 reduce reduce VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 13 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 84 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 1 A a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 2 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 3 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 5 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 6 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 7 c=0.8 c=0.8 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 9 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 10 reduce reduce VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 12 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 13 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 15 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 16 substantially substantially RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 17 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 18 but but CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 20 takes take VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 21 two two CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 22 months month NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 24 June June NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 25 18 18 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 26 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 27 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 29 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 30 reduce reduce VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 31 down down RP cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 32 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 33 50 50 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 34 persons person NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 35 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 36 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 37 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 38 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 39 four four CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 40 months month NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 41 down down RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 42 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 43 10 10 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 44 persons person NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 45 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 46 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 85 47 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 1 On on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 3 other other JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 4 hand hand NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 6 if if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 7 c=0.7 c=0.7 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 9 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 11 will will MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 12 take take VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 13 200 200 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 14 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 15 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 16 reduce reduce VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 17 down down RP cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 18 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 19 50 50 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 20 persons person NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 21 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 22 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 86 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 1 If if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 2 c=0.65 c=0.65 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 4 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 7 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 9 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 10 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 11 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 13 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 14 reduced reduce VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 15 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 16 constant constant JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 87 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 2 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 3 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 4 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 5 derived derive VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 6 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 8 condition condition NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 9 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 10 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 11 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 13 1-c 1-c CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 15 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 16 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 17 obtained obtain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 18 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 19 dI dI NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 20 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 21 dt=0 dt=0 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 22 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 23 S(t)~1 s(t)~1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 24 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 25 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 88 26 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 2 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 3 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 4 3 3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 7 providing provide VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 8 c=1 c=1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 9 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 10 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 11 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 12 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 13 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 14 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 15 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 16 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 17 1/2.9 1/2.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 18 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 19 0.655 0.655 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 89 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 2 c=0.6 c=0.6 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 4 chosen choose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 7 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 10 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 11 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 12 increasing increase VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 13 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 14 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 15 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 16 Fig.2 Fig.2 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 17 -(a -(a CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 90 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 2 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 3 note note VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 4 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 6 variation variation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 9 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 10 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 11 leads lead VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 12 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 14 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 15 difference difference NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 16 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 18 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 19 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 21 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 91 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 2 added add VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 4 data datum NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 5 until until IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 6 July July NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 7 9 9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 9 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 10 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 11 compare compare VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 13 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 15 actual actual JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 16 situation situation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 17 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 18 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 19 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 20 Fig.2- Fig.2- NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 22 b b NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 92 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 1 At at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 3 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 4 glance glance NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 7 state state NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 9 emergency emergency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 10 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 11 so so RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 12 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 13 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 14 reduce reduce VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 16 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 93 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 2 actual actual JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 3 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 6 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 8 much much RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 9 smaller small JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 10 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 12 curve curve NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 13 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 14 c=0.8 c=0.8 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 15 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 16 0.9 0.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 17 near near IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 19 end end NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 20 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 21 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 22 state state NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 23 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 24 emergency emergency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 94 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 3 because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 5 assume assume VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 7 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 8 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 10 imposed impose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 11 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 12 only only RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 14 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 15 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 16 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 18 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 19 patients patient NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 20 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 21 free free JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 22 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 23 move move VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 95 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 3 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 6 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 7 patients patient NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 9 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 10 limited limit VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 13 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 14 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 15 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 16 Eq.(2 Eq.(2 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 17 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 18 3 3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 20 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 21 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 22 S(t)(1-c S(t)(1-c . cord-318688-ditadt8l 96 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 1 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 2 βI(t βI(t NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 6 assumption assumption NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 9 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 10 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 11 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 12 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 97 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 4 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 5 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 7 c=0.8 c=0.8 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 8 actually actually RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 9 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 10 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 11 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 98 12 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 99 1 = = LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 99 2 1-(1 1-(1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 99 3 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 99 4 0.8 0.8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 99 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 99 6 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 99 7 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 99 8 0.96 0.96 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 1 if if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 3 transform transform VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 5 form form NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 7 1-c 1-c CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 9 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 10 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 12 1-c 1-c CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 13 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 100 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 1 Although although IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 2 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 3 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 5 c=0.8 c=0.8 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 7 proposed propose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 8 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 9 committee committee NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 10 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 11 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 12 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 13 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 14 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 15 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 16 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 17 0.96 0.96 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 18 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 19 achieved achieve VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 20 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 21 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 22 actual actual JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 23 situation situation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 101 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 2 estimation estimation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 3 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 4 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 5 justified justify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 6 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 8 two two CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 9 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 10 body body NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 11 collision collision NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 12 theory theory NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 13 as as RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 14 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 15 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 16 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 17 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 18 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 19 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 21 Mitarai Mitarai NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 22 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 23 Muraoka,1997 Muraoka,1997 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 25 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 26 corresponding correspond VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 27 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 28 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 29 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 30 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 31 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 32 Eq.(A-1 Eq.(A-1 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 34 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 35 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 102 36 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 1 But but CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 3 red red JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 4 curve curve NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 5 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 6 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 7 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 8 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 9 0.96 0.96 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 11 still still RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 12 higher high JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 13 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 15 actual actual JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 16 values value NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 103 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 4 increased increase VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 6 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 7 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 8 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 9 γ=0.057 γ=0.057 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 11 red red JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 12 line line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 14 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 15 γ=0.09 γ=0.09 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 17 blue blue JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 18 line line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 20 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 21 providing provide VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 22 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 23 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 24 fit fit NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 104 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 2 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 3 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 4 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 5 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 6 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 7 justified justify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 8 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 9 active active JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 11 conducted conduct VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 12 during during IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 13 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 14 period period NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 105 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 106 1 CC CC NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 106 2 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 106 3 BY BY NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 106 4 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 106 5 ND ND NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 106 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 106 7 International international JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 106 8 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 107 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 107 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 107 3 made make VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 107 4 available available JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 107 5 under under IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 107 6 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 107 7 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 107 8 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 1 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 3 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 4 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 5 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 7 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 8 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 9 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 12 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 13 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 14 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 16 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 19 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 20 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 21 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 22 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 23 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 24 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 25 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 108 27 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 109 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 110 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 110 2 doi doi XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 110 3 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 111 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 111 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 111 3 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 111 4 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 112 1 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 1 Temporal temporal JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 2 evolution evolution NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 8 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 9 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 10 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 11 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 12 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 13 ratios ratio NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 14 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 16 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 17 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 18 during during IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 19 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 20 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 21 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 22 state state NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 23 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 24 emergency emergency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 113 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 1 Green green JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 2 line line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 3 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 4 April April NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 5 7 7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 6 shows show VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 8 state state NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 9 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 10 emergency emergency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 114 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 2 a a LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 4 Calculated calculate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 5 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 6 April April NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 7 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 9 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 10 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 11 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 13 b b NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 15 calculated calculate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 16 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 17 July July NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 18 10 10 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 19 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 20 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 115 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 1 Note note VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 2 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 3 red red JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 4 lines line NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 5 show show VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 7 cases case NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 11 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 12 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 116 13 γ=0.057 γ=0.057 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 2 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 3 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 4 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 5 2.9 2.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 7 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 8 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 9 blue blue JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 10 line line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 117 11 γ=0.09 γ=0.09 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 118 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 118 2 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 118 3 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 118 4 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 118 5 1.83 1.83 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 118 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 118 7 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 3 criticized criticize VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 4 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 5 polymerase polymerase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 6 chain chain NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 7 reaction reaction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 9 PCR PCR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 11 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 13 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 14 fully fully RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 15 conducted conduct VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 16 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 17 find find VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 19 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 20 patients patient NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 21 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 22 Japan Japan NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 119 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 3 more more RBR cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 4 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 5 patients patient NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 6 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 7 expected expect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 9 Tanaka Tanaka NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 10 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 11 Oku Oku NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 13 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 120 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 1 However however RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 3 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 5 purpose purpose NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 7 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 8 work work NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 10 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 11 see see VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 13 future future JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 14 tendency tendency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 15 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 16 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 17 study study VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 19 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 20 effect effect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 21 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 23 use use VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 24 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 25 presently presently RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 26 available available JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 27 data datum NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 28 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 29 discussion discussion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 30 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 31 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 32 problem problem NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 121 33 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 1 Even even RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 2 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 4 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 5 wave wave NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 7 over over RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 9 some some DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 10 portion portion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 12 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 13 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 14 still still RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 15 exit exit VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 122 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 4 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 5 patient patient NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 6 would would MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 7 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 8 increased increase VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 9 again again RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 10 as as RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 11 long long RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 12 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 13 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 14 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 15 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 16 lifted lift VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 17 up up RP cord-318688-ditadt8l 123 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 2 predict predict VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 4 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 5 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 7 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 8 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 9 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 10 function function NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 13 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 14 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 15 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 16 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 18 third third JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 19 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 20 that that WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 21 started start VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 22 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 23 100 100 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 24 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 124 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 3 calculation calculation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 6 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 7 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 8 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 9 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 11 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 12 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 14 50 50 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 15 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 16 100 100 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 17 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 19 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 20 assumed assume VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 21 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 22 c=0.9 c=0.9 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 125 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 126 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 126 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 126 3 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 126 4 _SP cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 1 3 3 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 2 -(a -(a CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 6 numbers number NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 9 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 10 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 12 third third JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 13 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 14 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 15 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 16 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 17 c=0.5 c=0.5 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 18 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 19 0.8 0.8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 127 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 3 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 4 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 6 set set VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 7 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 8 c=0.5 c=0.5 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 9 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 11 increases increase VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 12 again again RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 13 up up IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 14 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 15 200 200 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 16 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 17 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 18 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 19 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 20 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 21 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 128 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 1 For for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 2 c=0.6 c=0.6 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 5 increases increase VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 6 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 8 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 9 level level NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 10 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 12 end end NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 13 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 14 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 129 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 1 However however RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 3 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 5 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 6 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 7 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 9 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 10 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 11 c=0.65 c=0.65 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 14 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 15 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 17 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 18 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 19 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 20 becomes become VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 21 constant constant JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 130 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 1 Of of RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 2 course course RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 4 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 5 c=0.7 c=0.7 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 6 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 7 0.8 0.8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 8 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 9 maintained maintain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 10 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 12 will will MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 13 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 14 decreased decrease VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 15 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 16 seen see VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 18 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 131 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 132 1 3-(a 3-(a NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 132 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 132 3 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 3 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 4 keep keep VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 6 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 7 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 8 low low JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 9 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 11 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 12 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 13 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 14 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 15 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 16 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 17 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 18 c=0.65 c=0.65 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 133 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 1 However however RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 4 might may MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 5 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 6 very very RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 7 difficult difficult JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 8 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 9 maintain maintain VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 10 such such PDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 12 strong strong JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 13 measure measure NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 14 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 15 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 16 viewpoint viewpoint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 17 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 18 economy economy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 134 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 2 no no DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 3 more more JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 4 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 6 set set VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 9 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 11 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 12 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 13 rapidly rapidly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 14 increases increase VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 15 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 16 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 18 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 19 wave wave NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 135 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 2 strong strong JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 3 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 4 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 5 again again RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 6 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 8 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 9 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 11 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 136 12 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 2 oscillatory oscillatory JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 3 situation situation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 4 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 5 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 6 seen see VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 7 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 9 report report NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 11 Ferguson Ferguson NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 13 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 14 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 15 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 16 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 137 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 3 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 4 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 5 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 7 state state NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 9 emergency emergency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 10 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 11 lifted lift VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 12 up up RP cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 13 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 14 May May NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 15 25 25 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 17 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 18 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 20 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 21 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 22 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 23 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 24 slowly slowly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 25 increased increase VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 26 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 27 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 28 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 29 Fig.3-(b Fig.3-(b NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 138 31 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 1 On on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 2 July July NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 3 10 10 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 5 243 243 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 6 persons person NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 7 were be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 9 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 10 positive positive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 139 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 1 To to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 2 estimate estimate VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 4 level level NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 5 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 6 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 7 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 8 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 10 state state NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 12 emergency emergency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 13 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 15 calculated calculate VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 16 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 18 third third JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 19 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 20 started start VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 21 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 22 Day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 23 90 90 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 25 21 21 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 26 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 27 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 29 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 30 fitted fit VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 31 data datum NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 32 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 33 curves curve NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 34 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 35 c=0 c=0 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 36 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 37 0.3 0.3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 38 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 39 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 40 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 41 Fig.3-(b Fig.3-(b NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 140 43 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 2 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 3 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 5 γ=0.09 γ=0.09 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 8 blue blue JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 9 line line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 11 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 12 assumed assume VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 13 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 15 third third JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 16 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 17 because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 19 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 20 difference difference NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 21 between between IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 22 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 23 confirmed confirm VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 24 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 25 discharged discharge VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 26 date date NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 27 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 28 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 29 hospital hospital NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 30 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 31 almost almost RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 32 11 11 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 33 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 34 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 35 Day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 36 80 80 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 37 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 38 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 39 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 40 obtained obtain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 41 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 42 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 43 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 44 method method NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 45 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 46 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 47 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 48 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 141 49 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 142 1 1-(b 1-(b CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 142 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 142 3 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 3 cases case NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 5 c=0.1 c=0.1 NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 6 ~ ~ NFP cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 7 0.25 0.25 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 8 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 9 almost almost RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 11 best good JJS cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 12 fitting fitting JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 13 curves curve NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 14 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 16 new new JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 17 way way NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 18 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 19 life life NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 20 under under IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 21 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 22 condition condition NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 23 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 24 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 25 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 26 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 27 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 28 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 29 mask mask NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 30 wearing wear VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 31 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 32 hand hand NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 33 washing washing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 34 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 35 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 36 social social JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 37 distancing distancing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 38 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 39 may may MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 40 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 41 providing provide VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 42 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 43 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 143 44 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 2 note note VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 3 if if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 5 smaller small JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 6 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 7 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 9 γ=0.057 γ=0.057 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 11 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 13 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 14 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 15 further further RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 16 increased increase VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 17 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 18 c=0.3 c=0.3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 19 ~ ~ NFP cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 20 0.35 0.35 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 144 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 2 note note VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 5 initial initial JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 6 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 9 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 11 patients patient NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 12 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 13 Day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 14 90 90 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 15 sensitively sensitively RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 16 determines determine VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 18 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 19 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 20 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 21 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 22 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 23 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 145 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 146 1 CC CC NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 146 2 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 146 3 BY BY NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 146 4 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 146 5 ND ND NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 146 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 146 7 International international JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 146 8 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 147 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 147 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 147 3 made make VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 147 4 available available JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 147 5 under under IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 147 6 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 147 7 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 147 8 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 1 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 3 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 4 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 5 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 7 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 8 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 9 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 12 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 13 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 14 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 16 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 19 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 20 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 21 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 22 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 23 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 24 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 25 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 148 27 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 149 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 150 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 150 2 doi doi XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 150 3 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 151 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 151 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 151 3 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 151 4 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 152 1 3 3 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 152 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 1 Prediction prediction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 2 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 4 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 5 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 7 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 8 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 9 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 10 function function NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 13 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 14 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 15 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 17 third third JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 18 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 19 until until IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 21 end end NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 22 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 23 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 153 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 1 Each each DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 2 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 3 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 6 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 7 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 8 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 9 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 154 10 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 155 1 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 155 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 156 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 156 2 a a LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 156 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 1 Calculated calculate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 2 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 3 April April NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 5 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 6 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 8 b b NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 10 calculated calculate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 11 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 12 July July NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 13 11 11 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 14 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 15 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 157 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 158 1 Red red JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 158 2 lines line NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 158 3 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 158 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 158 5 γ=0.057 γ=0.057 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 2 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 3 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 4 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 5 2.9 2.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 9 blue blue JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 10 lines line NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 11 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 12 γ=0.09 γ=0.09 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 14 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 15 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 16 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 17 1.83 1.83 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 159 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 1 To to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 2 avoid avoid VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 3 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 4 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 5 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 6 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 11 clear clear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 12 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 14 need need VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 15 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 16 have have VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 17 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 160 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 1 However however RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 3 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 4 obtain obtain VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 5 safe safe JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 6 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 9 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 10 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 11 wait wait VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 12 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 161 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 4 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 5 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 6 manage manage VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 7 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 8 keep keep VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 10 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 13 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 14 as as RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 15 low low JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 16 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 17 possible possible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 18 although although IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 20 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 21 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 22 good good JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 23 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 24 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 25 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 26 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 27 effect effect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 28 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 29 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 162 30 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 3 section section NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 6 propose propose VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 8 comprehensive comprehensive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 10 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 11 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 12 unify unify VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 14 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 15 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 17 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 18 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 19 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 20 together together RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 21 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 22 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 23 show show VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 24 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 25 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 26 relationship relationship NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 163 27 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 164 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 164 2 show show VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 164 3 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 164 4 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 164 5 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 165 1 4 4 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 1 how how WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 3 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 4 consider consider VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 6 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 8 curve curve NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 9 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 11 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 12 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 13 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 14 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 15 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 16 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 17 into into IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 18 account account NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 166 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 1 Figure figure NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 2 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 3 -(a -(a NFP cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 5 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 6 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 7 no no DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 8 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 9 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 10 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 12 human human JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 13 behavior behavior NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 167 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 2 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 4 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 6 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 7 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 8 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 9 2.9 2.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 10 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 11 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 12 section section NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 13 2.1 2.1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 168 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 1 Figure figure NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 2 4-(b 4-(b CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 4 shows show VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 6 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 8 40 40 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 9 % % NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 10 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 11 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 13 c=0.4 c=0.4 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 169 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 2 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 5 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 6 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 7 S(t)(1-c s(t)(1-c IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 9 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 10 free free JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 11 movement movement NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 13 reduced reduce VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 14 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 16 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 17 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 18 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 19 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 21 rest rest NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 22 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 23 them -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 24 S(t)c S(t)c NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 25 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 26 staying stay VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 27 home home RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 170 28 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 3 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 4 line line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 6 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 7 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 9 initial initial JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 10 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 11 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 12 S(0)(1-c S(0)(1-c NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 14 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 17 curve curve NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 18 exists exist VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 19 below below IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 20 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 21 line line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 171 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 3 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 7 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 8 eff eff NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 172 9 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 173 1 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 173 2 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 173 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 173 4 1-c 1-c CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 173 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 173 6 = = NFP cord-318688-ditadt8l 174 1 1.74 1.74 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 174 2 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 174 3 S(t)~1 s(t)~1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 174 4 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 174 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 174 6 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 174 7 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 1 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 2 peak peak JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 3 fraction fraction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 6 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 7 I(t I(t NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 9 would would MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 10 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 11 delayed delay VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 12 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 13 reduced reduce VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 175 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 3 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 4 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 5 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 6 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 7 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 9 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 11 v v NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 13 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 14 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 15 equations equation NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 16 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 17 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 176 18 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 1 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 3 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 4 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 5 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 7 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 8 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 9 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 12 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 13 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 14 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 16 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 19 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 20 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 21 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 22 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 23 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 24 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 25 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 177 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 178 1 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 179 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 180 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 180 2 doi doi XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 180 3 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 2 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 3 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 4 result result NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 6 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 7 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 8 Fig.4-(d Fig.4-(d NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 10 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 12 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 13 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 14 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 15 v=0.3 v=0.3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 16 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 18 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 19 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 20 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 21 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 22 c=0.15 c=0.15 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 181 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 2 do do VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 3 see see VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 4 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 6 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 7 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 8 appear appear VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 9 earlier early RBR cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 10 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 11 any any DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 12 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 13 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 14 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 15 later later RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 16 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 17 restrictions restriction NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 182 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 2 show show VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 4 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 6 curves curve NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 7 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 8 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 183 9 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 1 5 5 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 2 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 3 see see VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 5 effect effect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 8 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 9 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 10 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 184 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 3 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 4 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 5 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 6 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 8 increased increase VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 9 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 11 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 12 seen see VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 13 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 15 peak peak NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 16 fraction fraction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 17 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 19 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 20 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 21 reduced reduce VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 22 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 23 delayed delay VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 185 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 2 condition condition NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 3 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 4 reduce reduce VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 6 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 7 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 9 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 10 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 12 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 13 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 14 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 15 less less JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 16 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 17 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 18 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 19 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 20 eff eff NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 21 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 22 S(t)R s(t)r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 23 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 25 1-c)(1-v 1-c)(1-v CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 27 ≤ ≤ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 28 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 29 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 30 both both CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 31 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 32 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 33 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 34 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 35 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 36 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 37 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 38 into into IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 39 account account NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 186 40 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 187 1 Hence hence RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 187 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 187 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 187 4 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 187 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 187 6 relationship relationship NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 187 7 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 1 c c LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 2 ≥ ≥ CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 3 1 1 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 4 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 5 1/{S(t)R 1/{s(t)r CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 6 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 8 1-v 1-v CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 10 } } -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 11 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 13 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 14 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 15 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 16 6 6 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 17 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 18 S(t S(t NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 188 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 189 1 ~1 ~1 UH cord-318688-ditadt8l 189 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 3 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 4 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 5 increases increase NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 8 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 9 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 10 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 11 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 12 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 13 relaxed relax VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 190 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 1 Of of RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 2 course course RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 3 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 4 depends depend VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 5 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 7 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 8 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 9 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 10 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 11 seen see VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 12 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 13 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 191 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 192 1 6 6 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 192 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 3 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 5 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 6 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 7 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 8 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 9 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 11 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 12 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 13 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 14 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 15 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 17 because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 18 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 19 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 20 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 21 more more RBR cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 22 transmissive transmissive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 193 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 1 So so RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 2 called call VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 3 " " `` cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 4 herd herd NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 5 immunity immunity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 6 " " '' cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 7 holds hold VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 8 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 9 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 10 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 11 over over IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 12 ~50 ~50 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 13 % % NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 14 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 16 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 17 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 18 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 19 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 20 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 21 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 194 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 195 1 6 6 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 195 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 1 However however RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 4 herd herd NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 5 immunity immunity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 6 strategy strategy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 8 quite quite RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 9 dangerous dangerous JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 10 because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 12 lot lot NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 13 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 14 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 15 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 16 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 17 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 18 then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 20 death death NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 21 toll toll NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 22 will will MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 23 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 24 increased increase VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 25 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 26 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 27 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 28 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 29 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 30 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 31 clear clear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 32 yet yet RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 33 whether whether IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 34 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 35 antibody antibody NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 36 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 37 last last VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 38 longer long RBR cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 39 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 40 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 41 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 42 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 196 43 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 1 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 3 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 4 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 5 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 7 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 8 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 9 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 12 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 13 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 14 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 16 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 19 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 20 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 21 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 22 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 23 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 24 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 25 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 197 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 198 1 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 199 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 200 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 200 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 201 1 1101 1101 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 2 note note VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 4 if if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 6 new new JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 7 way way NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 9 life life NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 10 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 11 c=0.1~0.25 c=0.1~0.25 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 13 maintained maintain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 14 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 15 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 16 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 17 Fig.3-(b Fig.3-(b NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 19 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 20 herd herd NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 21 immunity immunity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 22 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 23 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 24 established establish VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 25 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 26 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 27 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 28 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 29 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 30 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 31 30 30 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 32 % % NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 202 33 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 1 At at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 2 present present JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 3 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 5 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 6 no no DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 7 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 9 safe safe JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 10 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 12 how how WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 14 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 15 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 16 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 17 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 18 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 19 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 20 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 21 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 203 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 2 seek seek VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 3 such such PDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 4 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 5 solution solution NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 6 based base VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 7 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 8 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 9 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 204 10 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 1 Fig fig NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 3 6 6 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 4 Relationship relationship NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 5 between between IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 7 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 8 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 9 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 10 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 11 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 12 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 13 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 14 v v NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 15 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 16 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 18 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 205 19 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 2 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 5 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 6 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 7 depends depend VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 8 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 11 coefficient coefficient NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 12 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 206 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 2 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 3 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 4 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 5 determined determine VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 6 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 8 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 9 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 10 where where WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 11 any any DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 12 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 13 measures measure NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 14 were be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 15 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 16 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 17 yet yet RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 207 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 1 Here here RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 2 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 3 know know VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 4 how how WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 6 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 9 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 11 increased increase VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 14 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 15 calculated calculate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 17 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 18 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 20 solid solid JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 21 curve curve NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 23 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 24 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 25 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 26 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 28 dotted dotted JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 29 curve curve NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 31 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 32 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 208 33 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 2 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 5 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 6 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 7 coefficients coefficient NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 8 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 9 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 10 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 11 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 12 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 209 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 210 1 7 7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 210 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 3 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 4 coefficient coefficient NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 6 as as RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 7 small small JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 8 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 9 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 10 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 11 0.04 0.04 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 14 peak peak NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 15 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 16 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 18 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 19 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 20 βS(t)I(t βS(t)I(t . cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 22 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 23 much much RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 24 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 25 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 26 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 27 one one CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 28 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 29 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 30 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 31 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 32 γI(t γI(t NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 211 34 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 2 see see VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 5 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 6 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 8 delayed delay VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 9 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 11 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 12 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 212 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 213 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 213 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 213 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 213 4 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 213 5 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 213 6 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 213 7 increased increase VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 213 8 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 1 For for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 2 example example NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 4 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 5 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 6 0.057 0.057 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 7 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 8 been be VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 9 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 10 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 12 analysis analysis NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 13 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 14 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 15 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 16 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 18 Figs Figs NNPS cord-318688-ditadt8l 214 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 215 1 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 215 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 215 3 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 215 4 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 215 5 3 3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 215 6 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 1 On on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 3 other other JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 4 hand hand NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 6 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 8 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 9 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 10 coefficient coefficient NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 11 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 12 γ= γ= NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 13 0.12 0.12 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 14 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 16 difference difference NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 17 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 18 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 19 peaks peak NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 20 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 21 small small JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 22 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 23 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 24 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 25 delay delay NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 26 becomes become VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 27 shorter short JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 28 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 29 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 30 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 31 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 216 32 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 2 other other JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 3 word word NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 6 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 7 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 9 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 10 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 11 become become VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 12 comparable comparable JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 217 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 2 means mean VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 8 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 10 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 11 increased increase VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 12 if if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 14 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 15 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 16 taken take VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 17 as as RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 18 soon soon RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 19 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 21 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 22 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 23 confirmed confirm VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 218 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 219 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 219 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 219 3 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 219 4 interpreted interpret VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 219 5 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 219 6 follows follow VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 219 7 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 3 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 7 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 8 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 9 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 10 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 11 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 12 β β NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 13 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 14 γ γ NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 15 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 17 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 18 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 19 coefficient coefficient NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 20 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 21 provides provide VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 22 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 23 smaller small JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 24 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 25 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 26 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 27 reducing reduce VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 28 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 29 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 30 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 31 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 32 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 220 33 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 221 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 221 2 . . NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 221 3 7 7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 2 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 3 dependence dependence NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 6 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 7 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 9 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 10 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 11 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 12 Eq.(2 Eq.(2 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 14 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 15 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 16 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 17 ratios ratio NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 18 Outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 19 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 21 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 24 causes cause VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 25 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 26 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 27 economical economical JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 28 loss loss NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 222 29 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 4 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 5 consider consider VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 6 how how WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 7 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 9 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 10 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 11 overcome overcome VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 12 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 13 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 14 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 15 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 16 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 223 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 3 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 4 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 5 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 7 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 9 imposed impose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 10 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 12 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 13 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 14 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 15 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 16 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 17 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 18 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 224 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 2 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 3 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 4 3 3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 6 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 7 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 8 eff eff NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 9 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 10 βS(t)(1-c)/γ βS(t)(1-c)/γ NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 225 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 1 On on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 3 other other JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 4 hand hand NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 6 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 8 excess excess JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 9 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 10 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 11 takes take VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 12 place place NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 14 no no DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 15 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 16 person person NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 17 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 18 isolated isolate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 19 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 20 testing test VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 21 error error NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 23 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 25 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 26 use use VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 27 γ(1+q γ(1+q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 29 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 30 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 31 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 32 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 33 coefficient coefficient NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 226 34 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 2 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 4 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 6 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 7 by by RP cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 8 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 9 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 10 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 227 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 2 leads lead VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 3 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 5 following follow VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 6 linear linear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 7 approximation approximation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 8 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 10 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 12 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 13 < < XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 14 < < XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 15 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 16 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 228 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 229 1 CC CC NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 229 2 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 229 3 BY BY NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 229 4 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 229 5 ND ND NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 229 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 229 7 International international JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 229 8 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 230 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 230 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 230 3 made make VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 230 4 available available JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 230 5 under under IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 230 6 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 230 7 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 230 8 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 1 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 3 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 4 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 5 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 7 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 8 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 9 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 12 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 13 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 14 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 16 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 19 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 20 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 21 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 22 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 23 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 24 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 25 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 231 27 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 232 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 233 1 https://doi.org/10.1101 https://doi.org/10.1101 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 3 exactly exactly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 5 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 6 expression expression NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 7 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 9 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 10 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 11 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 12 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 234 13 q. q. NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 2 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 3 thus thus RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 4 found find VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 5 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 6 there there EX cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 9 equivalence equivalence NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 10 between between IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 11 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 12 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 16 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 17 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 18 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 19 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 235 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 236 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 236 2 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 236 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 236 4 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 236 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 236 6 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 236 7 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 1 However however RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 3 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 4 holds hold VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 5 only only RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 6 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 8 small small JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 9 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 11 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 12 less less JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 13 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 14 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 237 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 1 If if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 3 introduce introduce VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 5 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 6 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 7 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 9 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 10 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 11 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 12 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 14 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 15 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 16 close close RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 17 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 18 q q NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 19 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 20 1 1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 238 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 239 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 239 2 provides provide VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 239 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 239 4 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 239 5 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 239 6 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 2 large large JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 3 q q NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 4 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 5 provides provide VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 7 smaller small JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 8 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 9 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 10 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 240 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 241 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 241 2 situation situation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 241 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 241 4 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 241 5 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 241 6 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 241 7 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 242 1 8 8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 242 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 1 During during IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 3 recovering recover VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 4 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 5 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 6 patient patient NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 9 but but CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 10 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 11 actually actually RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 12 isolated isolate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 13 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 15 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 16 space space NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 17 so so RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 18 far far RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 19 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 21 traditional traditional JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 22 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 23 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 243 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 1 By by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 2 introduction introduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 5 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 6 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 7 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 8 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 9 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 10 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 12 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 13 artificially artificially RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 14 control control VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 15 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 17 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 244 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 1 Fig.8 fig.8 JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 2 Concept Concept NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 4 natural natural JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 5 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 6 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 7 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 8 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 9 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 11 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 12 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 13 proposed propose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 14 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 15 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 16 work work NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 17 Isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 18 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 19 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 21 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 22 effect effect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 23 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 24 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 25 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 26 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 245 27 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 1 To to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 2 confirm confirm VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 3 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 6 calculated calculate VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 8 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 9 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 10 using use VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 12 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 13 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 14 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 15 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 16 changing change VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 17 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 18 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 19 0.2 0.2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 20 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 21 0.8 0.8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 22 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 23 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 24 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 25 Fig.9 Fig.9 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 246 26 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 2 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 5 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 6 actually actually RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 7 decreases decrease VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 8 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 11 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 12 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 13 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 14 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 15 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 17 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 18 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 19 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 247 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 2 required require VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 3 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 4 times time NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 5 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 6 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 7 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 8 τ(1-q τ(1-q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 10 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 11 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 12 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 13 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 15 parenthesis parenthesis NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 16 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 17 each each DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 248 18 q. q. NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 3 seen see VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 4 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 5 3 3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 6 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 7 5 5 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 8 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 9 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 10 necessary necessary JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 11 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 12 reduce reduce VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 14 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 15 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 17 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 18 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 20 small small JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 21 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 249 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 2 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 3 line line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 6 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 7 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 8 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 10 1-q)=1 1-q)=1 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 11 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 12 satisfied satisfied JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 13 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 14 namely namely RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 15 q=0.65 q=0.65 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 16 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 17 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 18 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 19 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 20 2.9 2.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 21 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 22 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 23 agrees agree VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 24 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 25 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 26 numerical numerical JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 27 one one CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 250 28 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 1 If if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 3 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 4 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 5 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 6 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 7 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 9 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 10 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 11 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 14 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 15 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 17 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 18 decreases decrease NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 251 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 2 required require VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 3 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 4 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 5 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 6 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 7 longer long JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 8 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 10 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 11 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 13 imposed impose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 14 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 16 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 17 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 18 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 19 will will MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 20 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 21 seen see VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 22 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 23 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 24 next next JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 25 section section NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 252 26 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 2 required require VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 3 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 4 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 5 thus thus RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 6 obtained obtain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 7 becomes become VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 8 quite quite RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 9 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 253 10 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 1 If if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 2 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 3 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 4 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 5 done do VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 6 as as RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 7 soon soon RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 8 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 10 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 11 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 12 identified identify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 13 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 15 reduces reduce VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 17 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 254 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 255 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 255 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 256 1 9 9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 1 Temporal temporal JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 2 evolution evolution NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 8 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 9 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 10 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 11 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 12 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 13 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 14 parameters parameter NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 15 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 16 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 17 any any DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 18 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 19 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 20 c=0 c=0 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 257 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 2 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 3 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 4 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 5 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 7 1-q 1-q CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 9 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 10 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 11 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 12 17.54 17.54 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 13 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 258 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 259 1 Red red JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 259 2 lines line NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 259 3 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 259 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 259 5 γ=0.057 γ=0.057 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 260 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 260 2 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 260 3 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 260 4 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 260 5 2.9 2.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 260 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 260 7 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 261 1 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 262 1 CC CC NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 262 2 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 262 3 BY BY NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 262 4 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 262 5 ND ND NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 262 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 262 7 International international JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 262 8 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 263 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 263 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 263 3 made make VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 263 4 available available JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 263 5 under under IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 263 6 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 263 7 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 263 8 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 1 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 3 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 4 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 5 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 7 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 8 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 9 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 11 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 12 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 13 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 14 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 16 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 19 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 20 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 21 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 22 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 23 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 24 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 25 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 264 27 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 265 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 266 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.18.20197723 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 266 2 doi doi XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 266 3 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 267 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 267 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 3 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 4 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 6 imposed impose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 7 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 9 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 10 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 12 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 13 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 14 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 15 relaxed relaxed JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 268 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 2 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 3 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 4 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 5 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 6 longer long JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 7 than than IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 8 that that DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 9 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 11 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 12 alone alone RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 269 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 1 Equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 3 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 4 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 5 6 6 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 7 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 8 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 9 written write VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 10 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 11 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 12 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 13 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 14 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 16 effective effective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 17 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 18 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 19 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 20 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 21 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 22 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 23 eff eff NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 270 24 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 271 1 βS(t)/γ βS(t)/γ NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 271 2 = = NFP cord-318688-ditadt8l 272 1 S(t)R s(t)r RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 273 1 o o UH cord-318688-ditadt8l 274 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 274 2 1-c 1-c CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 274 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 274 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 274 5 1-q 1-q CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 274 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 274 7 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 2 means mean VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 5 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 6 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 8 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 9 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 11 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 12 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 275 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 1 For for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 2 example example NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 4 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 6 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 7 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 8 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 9 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 10 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 11 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 12 0.3 0.3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 13 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 14 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 15 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 16 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 17 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 18 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 19 q q NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 20 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 21 0.7 0.7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 22 provides provide VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 24 1-c)(1-q)= 1-c)(1-q)= CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 25 0.7 0.7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 26 0.3 0.3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 27 0.21 0.21 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 28 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 29 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 30 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 31 almost almost RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 32 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 33 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 34 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 35 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 36 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 37 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 38 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 39 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 40 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 41 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 42 0.8 0.8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 276 43 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 1 Long long JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 2 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 3 prediction prediction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 4 until until IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 6 end end NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 8 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 9 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 10 corresponding correspond VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 11 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 12 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 277 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 1 3 3 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 4 conducted conduct VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 5 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 6 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 7 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 8 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 11 q=0.5 q=0.5 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 12 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 13 0.7 0.7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 278 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 1 Results result NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 2 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 3 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 4 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 5 Fig.10 Fig.10 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 6 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 8 third third JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 9 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 10 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 11 how how WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 13 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 14 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 16 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 17 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 18 controlled control VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 19 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 20 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 21 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 22 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 23 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 24 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 25 together together RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 26 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 27 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 28 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 29 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 30 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 31 c=0.3 c=0.3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 32 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 33 corresponding correspond VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 34 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 35 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 36 parameters parameter NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 37 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 38 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 39 new new JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 40 way way NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 41 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 42 life life NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 43 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 44 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 45 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 46 Fig.3-(b Fig.3-(b NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 47 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 279 48 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 1 For for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 2 q=0.55 q=0.55 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 8 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 10 reduced reduce VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 11 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 12 3 3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 13 persons person NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 14 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 15 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 16 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 18 end end NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 19 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 20 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 280 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 1 For for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 3 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 5 q=0.7 q=0.7 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 8 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 9 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 11 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 13 0.6 0.6 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 14 person person NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 15 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 16 50 50 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 17 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 281 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 1 Thus thus RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 3 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 4 found find VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 5 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 7 longer long JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 8 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 9 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 11 permitted permit VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 12 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 13 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 14 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 15 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 16 imposed impose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 17 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 19 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 20 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 21 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 22 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 23 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 24 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 25 called call VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 26 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 27 combined combined JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 28 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 282 29 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 2 condition condition NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 5 flat flat JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 6 curve curve NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 7 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 9 third third JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 10 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 11 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 12 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 13 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 14 R r NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 15 o o NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 16 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 17 2.9 2.9 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 18 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 19 c=0.3 c=0.3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 20 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 21 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 22 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 23 Fig.10 Fig.10 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 283 24 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 1 To to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 2 compare compare VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 4 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 5 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 7 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 8 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 9 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 11 third third JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 12 phase phase NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 13 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 15 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 16 condition condition NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 17 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 18 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 19 except except IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 20 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 21 c=0 c=0 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 284 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 1 To to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 2 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 4 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 5 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 6 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 8 necessary necessary JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 9 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 10 isolate isolate VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 12 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 13 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 14 within within IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 15 5.2 5.2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 16 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 18 q=0.7 q=0.7 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 20 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 21 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 22 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 23 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 24 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 25 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 26 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 27 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 285 28 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 286 1 11 11 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 286 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 1 However however RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 3 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 5 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 6 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 7 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 9 c=0.3 c=0.3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 10 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 11 7.8 7.8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 12 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 14 q=0.55 q=0.55 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 16 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 17 enough enough JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 18 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 19 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 21 Fig fig NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 23 10 10 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 287 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 1 Thus thus RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 3 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 4 found find VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 5 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 6 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 8 easier easy JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 9 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 10 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 12 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 13 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 14 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 15 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 16 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 17 if if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 19 mild mild JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 20 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 21 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 22 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 23 imposed impose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 24 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 25 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 26 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 27 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 288 28 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 289 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 289 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 1 11 11 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 2 Dependencies Dependencies NNPS cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 5 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 6 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 8 infected infect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 9 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 12 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 14 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 15 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 16 c=0 c=0 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 290 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 2 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 3 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 4 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 5 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 7 1-q 1-q CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 9 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 10 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 11 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 12 17.54 17.54 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 13 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 291 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 1 When when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 2 peoples people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 3 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 4 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 5 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 6 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 7 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 9 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 292 10 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 2 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 3 - - SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 4 7 7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 7 finally finally RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 8 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 9 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 10 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 12 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 13 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 14 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 15 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 16 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 17 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 18 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 20 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 21 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 22 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 23 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 24 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 25 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 26 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 28 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 29 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 30 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 31 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 32 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 33 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 34 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 293 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 294 1 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 295 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 1 https://doi.org/10.1101 https://doi.org/10.1101 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 2 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 3 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 4 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 5 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 6 within within IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 7 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 8 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 11 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 12 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 13 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 14 > > XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 15 0.55 0.55 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 17 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 18 within within IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 19 7 7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 20 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 22 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 23 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 24 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 25 Fig.10 Fig.10 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 26 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 27 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 28 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 296 29 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 1 Thus thus RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 3 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 4 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 5 affect affect VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 7 daily daily JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 8 life life NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 9 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 10 social social JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 11 economy economy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 13 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 14 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 15 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 16 strategy strategy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 17 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 18 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 19 hopeful hopeful JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 20 solution solution NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 297 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 2 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 3 noticed notice VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 5 interesting interesting JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 6 papers paper NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 7 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 9 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 11 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 12 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 13 quarantine quarantine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 14 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 15 overcome overcome VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 17 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 19 Niu Niu NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 20 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 21 Xu Xu NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 22 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 23 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 298 25 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 2 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 3 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 5 word word NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 6 " " `` cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 7 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 8 " " '' cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 9 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 10 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 11 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 13 reference reference NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 15 Wilder Wilder NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 16 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 17 Smith Smith NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 18 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 19 Freedman Freedman NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 20 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 21 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 299 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 1 Accurate accurate JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 2 data datum NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 3 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 4 viral viral JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 5 load load NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 6 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 7 respect respect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 8 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 10 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 11 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 12 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 13 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 14 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 15 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 16 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 300 17 reference reference NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 2 Hellewell Hellewell NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 3 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 4 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 5 . . NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 7 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 9 Glasser Glasser NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 10 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 301 11 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 302 1 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 1 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 2 2011 2011 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 3 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 4 improve improve VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 6 estimation estimation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 7 proposed propose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 8 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 9 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 10 work work NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 303 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 1 Because because IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 2 only only RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 3 average average JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 4 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 5 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 6 been be VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 7 used use VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 8 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 9 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 10 work work NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 304 11 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 1 However however RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 3 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 4 work work NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 5 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 6 beyond beyond IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 7 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 8 paper paper NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 305 9 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 306 1 Big big JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 306 2 problem problem NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 306 3 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 306 4 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 4 there there EX cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 5 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 6 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 7 lot lot NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 8 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 9 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 10 but but CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 11 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 12 cases case NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 14 Dickens Dickens NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 15 et et FW cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 16 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 17 . . NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 18 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 19 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 20 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 21 Long Long NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 22 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 23 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 24 . . NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 25 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 26 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 307 27 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 3 active active JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 4 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 5 massive massive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 6 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 8 so so RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 9 important important JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 10 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 11 quick quick JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 12 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 13 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 15 identified identify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 16 person person NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 308 17 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 309 1 Such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 309 2 technology technology NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 309 3 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 309 4 been be VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 309 5 under under IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 309 6 active active JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 309 7 development development NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 309 8 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 1 For for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 2 example example NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 4 recently recently RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 6 new new JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 7 method method NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 8 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 9 invented invent VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 10 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 11 TakaraBio TakaraBio NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 12 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 13 USA USA NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 14 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 15 allow allow VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 16 faster fast JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 17 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 18 larger large JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 19 scale scale NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 20 PCR pcr NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 21 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 22 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 23 where where WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 24 5,000 5,000 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 25 tests test NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 26 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 27 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 28 done do VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 29 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 30 about about RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 31 two two CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 32 hours hour NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 34 TakaraBio TakaraBio NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 35 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 310 37 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 1 As as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 2 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 3 National National NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 4 Institute Institute NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 5 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 6 Health Health NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 7 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 8 aiming aim VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 9 at at IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 11 6 6 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 12 million million CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 13 PCR PCR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 14 test test NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 15 per per IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 16 day day NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 17 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 18 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 19 aggressive aggressive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 20 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 21 plan plan NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 22 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 23 promising promise VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 24 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 25 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 26 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 27 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 29 Tromberg Tromberg NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 30 et et FW cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 31 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 32 . . NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 33 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 34 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 311 36 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 1 Recently recently RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 3 innovative innovative JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 4 technique technique NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 5 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 6 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 7 vocal vocal JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 8 biomarkars biomarkar NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 10 proposed propose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 11 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 12 MIT MIT NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 13 Lincoln Lincoln NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 14 Laboratory Laboratory NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 15 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 16 identify identify VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 18 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 19 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 20 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 21 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 22 positive positive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 24 Quatieri Quatieri NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 25 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 26 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 27 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 28 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 312 30 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 1 Vocal vocal JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 2 change change NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 3 before before IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 4 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 5 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 6 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 7 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 8 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 9 detected detect VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 10 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 11 processing process VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 12 speech speech NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 13 recording recording NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 313 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 2 addition addition NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 4 contact contact NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 5 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 6 tracing tracing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 7 technique technique NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 8 using use VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 9 communication communication NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 10 tool tool NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 11 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 12 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 314 13 useful useful JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 2 Hellewell Hellewell NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 3 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 4 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 5 . . NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 7 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 315 9 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 1 Various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 2 new new JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 3 ideas idea NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 4 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 6 different different JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 7 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 8 areas area NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 9 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 10 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 11 developed develop VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 12 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 13 overcome overcome VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 14 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 316 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 1 To to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 2 know know VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 4 truth truth NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 5 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 7 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 10 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 11 studied study VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 13 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 14 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 15 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 16 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 17 equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 18 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 19 detail detail NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 317 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 1 Based base VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 2 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 4 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 5 He He NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 6 ash ash NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 7 removal removal NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 8 study study NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 9 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 10 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 11 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 12 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 13 T T NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 14 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 15 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 17 Mitarai Mitarai NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 18 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 19 Muraoka,1997 Muraoka,1997 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 21 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 23 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 24 found find VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 25 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 26 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 27 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 28 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 29 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 30 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 31 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 32 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 33 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 34 interpreted interpret VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 35 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 36 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 37 natural natural JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 38 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 39 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 40 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 41 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 42 means mean VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 43 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 44 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 45 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 46 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 47 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 48 conducted conduct VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 49 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 50 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 51 controlled control VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 52 manner manner NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 53 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 54 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 55 traditional traditional JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 56 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 57 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 318 58 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 2 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 4 introduce introduce VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 6 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 7 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 8 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 9 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 10 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 11 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 12 control control VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 14 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 15 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 319 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 2 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 3 finally finally RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 4 found find VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 5 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 7 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 8 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 9 ratio ratio NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 10 c c NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 13 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 14 rate rate NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 15 v v NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 17 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 19 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 20 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 21 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 22 parameter parameter NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 23 q q NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 24 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 25 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 26 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 27 respect respect NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 28 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 29 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 30 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 31 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 32 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 320 33 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 2 means mean VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 4 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 5 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 6 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 8 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 9 function function NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 11 vaccination vaccination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 12 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 14 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 15 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 321 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 2 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 3 actual actual JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 4 situation situation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 5 especially especially RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 6 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 8 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 9 wave wave NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 10 when when WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 12 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 13 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 14 patient patient NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 15 decreases decrease NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 17 massive massive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 18 PCR PCR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 19 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 20 etc etc FW cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 21 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 22 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 23 conducted conduct VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 24 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 25 then then RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 26 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 27 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 28 especially especially RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 29 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 30 symptom symptom NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 31 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 32 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 33 identified identify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 34 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 35 isolated isolate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 36 as as RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 37 soon soon RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 38 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 39 possible possible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 322 40 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 2 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 3 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 4 construct construct VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 5 such such PDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 6 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 7 advanced advanced JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 8 social social JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 9 system system NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 10 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 11 great great JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 12 care care NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 13 about about IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 14 human human JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 15 rights right NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 323 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 1 Without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 2 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 3 system system NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 6 economic economic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 7 activity activity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 8 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 9 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 10 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 11 maintained maintain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 12 unless unless IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 13 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 14 safe safe JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 15 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 16 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 17 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 18 supplied supply VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 324 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 3 study study NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 6 required require VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 7 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 8 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 9 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 10 3 3 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 11 ~ ~ SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 12 5 5 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 13 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 14 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 15 any any DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 16 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 17 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 18 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 19 but but CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 21 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 22 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 23 longer long JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 24 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 25 5 5 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 26 ~ ~ CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 27 8 8 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 28 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 29 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 30 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 31 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 32 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 33 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 34 c=0.3 c=0.3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 35 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 36 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 37 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 38 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 325 39 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 2 note note VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 3 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 4 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 5 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 7 obtained obtain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 8 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 10 new new JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 11 way way NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 12 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 13 life life NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 14 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 15 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 16 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 17 Fig.3-(b Fig.3-(b NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 326 19 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 1 Although although IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 3 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 4 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 5 depends depend VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 6 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 8 basic basic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 9 reproduction reproduction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 10 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 13 required require VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 14 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 15 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 16 obtained obtain VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 17 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 18 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 19 study study NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 20 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 21 quite quite RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 22 realistic realistic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 23 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 24 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 25 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 26 accomplished accomplish VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 327 27 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 1 Above above IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 3 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 4 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 5 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 6 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 7 justified justify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 8 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 10 fact fact NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 11 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 12 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 13 median median JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 14 duration duration NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 15 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 16 viral viral JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 17 shedding shedding NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 18 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 20 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 21 group group NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 22 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 23 19 19 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 24 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 26 Long long RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 27 et et FW cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 28 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 29 . . NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 30 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 31 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 328 33 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 2 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 4 quite quite RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 5 similar similar JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 6 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 7 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 8 employed employ VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 9 value value NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 10 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 11 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 12 period period NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 13 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 14 recovery recovery NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 15 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 16 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 17 = = SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 18 17.54 17.54 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 19 days day NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 329 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 2 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 3 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 4 concept concept NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 5 may may MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 6 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 7 able able JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 8 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 9 explain explain VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 11 part part NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 12 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 13 success success NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 14 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 15 South South NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 16 Korea Korea NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 17 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 18 Taiwan Taiwan NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 19 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 20 suppress suppress VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 21 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 22 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 330 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 2 conclusion conclusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 4 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 5 reliable reliable JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 7 simple simple JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 9 massive massive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 10 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 11 method method NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 12 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 13 if if IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 14 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 15 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 16 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 17 done do VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 18 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 19 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 20 short short JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 21 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 22 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 23 case case NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 24 identification identification NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 25 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 26 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 27 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 28 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 29 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 30 overcome overcome VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 31 without without IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 32 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 33 strong strong JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 34 outing outing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 35 restriction restriction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 36 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 37 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 38 lockdown lockdown NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 39 before before IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 40 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 41 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 42 completed complete VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 331 43 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 1 Medical medical JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 2 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 3 institutes institutes NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 4 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 5 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 6 companies company NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 7 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 8 actively actively RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 9 developing develop VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 11 vaccine vaccine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 12 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 13 curtail curtail VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 14 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 332 16 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 2 contrast contrast NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 3 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 4 only only RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 6 central central JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 7 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 8 local local JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 9 governments government NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 10 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 11 do do VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 12 wide wide RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 13 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 14 repeated repeated JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 15 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 16 quick quick JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 18 testing testing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 19 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 20 quick quick JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 21 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 333 22 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 2 bureaucratic bureaucratic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 3 system system NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 4 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 5 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 7 public public JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 8 health health NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 9 center center NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 10 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 12 ministry ministry NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 13 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 14 health health NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 15 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 16 play play VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 17 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 18 important important JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 19 role role NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 20 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 21 manage manage VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 22 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 23 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 24 control control NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 25 together together RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 26 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 27 various various JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 28 laws law NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 334 29 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 1 Upon upon IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 2 considering consider VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 3 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 4 simple simple JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 5 theory theory NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 6 proposed propose VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 7 here here RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 10 believe believe VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 11 government government NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 12 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 13 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 14 definitely definitely RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 15 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 16 main main JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 17 player player NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 18 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 19 terminate terminate VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 20 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 21 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 22 disease disease NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 335 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 1 None none NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 2 declared declare VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 5 author author NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 6 / / SYM cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 7 funder funder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 9 who who WP cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 10 has have VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 11 granted grant VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 12 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 13 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 14 license license NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 15 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 16 display display VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 18 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 19 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 21 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 22 was be VBD cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 23 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 24 certified certify VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 25 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 26 peer peer NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 27 review review NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 336 29 preprint preprint NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 2 copyright copyright NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 3 holder holder NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 4 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 5 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 6 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 7 version version NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 8 posted post VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 9 September September NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 10 20 20 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 11 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 12 2020 2020 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 337 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 338 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 338 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 1 1101 1101 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 2 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 3 Analogy Analogy NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 4 between between IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 5 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 6 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 7 research research NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 339 10 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 1 In in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 2 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 3 deuterium deuterium NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 4 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 5 tritium tritium NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 6 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 7 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 8 reactions reaction NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 9 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 10 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 11 following follow VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 12 reaction reaction NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 13 takes take VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 14 place place NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 340 15 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 341 1 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 341 2 + + CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 341 3 T t NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 341 4 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 341 5 > > XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 1 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 3 3.5 3.5 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 4 MeV MeV NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 6 + + CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 7 n n NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 9 14.7 14.7 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 10 MeV MeV NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 342 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 1 Here here RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 2 high high JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 3 energy energy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 4 alpha alpha NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 5 particles particle NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 7 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 8 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 9 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 11 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 12 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 13 removed remove VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 14 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 15 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 16 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 17 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 18 T T NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 19 plasmas plasma NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 20 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 21 losing lose VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 22 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 23 energy energy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 24 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 25 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 26 surrounding surround VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 27 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 28 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 29 T T NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 30 plasmas plasma NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 343 31 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 2 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 3 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 4 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 5 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 6 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 7 expressed express VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 8 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 10 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 11 balance balance NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 12 equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 13 given give VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 14 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 16 Eq.(3 Eq.(3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 18 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 20 Ref Ref NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 344 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 345 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 345 2 Mitarai Mitarai NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 345 3 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 345 4 Muraoka,1997 Muraoka,1997 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 345 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 345 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 1 dn dn NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 2 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 3 dt dt NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 4 = = NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 5 σV σV NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 6 DT DT NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 7 n n NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 8 D d NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 9 n n NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 10 T T NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 11 − − NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 346 12 n n XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 347 1 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 347 2 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 348 1 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 2 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 3 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 4 shows show VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 6 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 7 He He NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 8 production production NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 9 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 10 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 11 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 12 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 13 T T NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 14 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 15 reactions reaction NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 16 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 17 where where WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 18 n n NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 19 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 20 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 21 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 22 deuterium deuterium NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 23 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 349 24 density density NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 1 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 2 n n NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 3 T T NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 6 tritium tritium NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 7 density density NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 350 9 < < XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 351 1 σV σv XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 351 2 > > XX cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 1 DT DT NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 2 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 3 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 4 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 5 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 6 T t NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 7 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 8 rate rate NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 9 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 10 σ σ NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 352 11 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 1 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 2 cross cross NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 3 section section NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 6 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 7 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 8 T t NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 9 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 10 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 11 V v NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 12 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 14 relative relative JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 15 velocity velocity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 16 between between IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 17 D D NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 18 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 19 T t NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 20 particles particle NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 353 21 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 2 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 4 also also RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 5 analogous analogous JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 6 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 8 first first JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 9 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 10 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 11 Eq Eq NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 354 12 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 2 2 2 LS cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 4 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 6 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 7 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 9 which which WDT cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 10 expresses express VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 12 collision collision NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 14 close close JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 15 contact contact NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 17 between between IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 18 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 20 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 21 infective infective JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 22 persons person NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 355 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 2 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 3 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 4 expresses express VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 6 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 7 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 8 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 9 escaping escape VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 10 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 11 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 12 plasma plasma NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 356 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 1 Escaping escape VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 2 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 4 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 5 He -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 6 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 7 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 8 average average NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 9 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 10 shown show VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 11 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 12 Fig Fig NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 357 13 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 358 1 A a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 358 2 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 2 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 3 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 4 exactly exactly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 6 same same JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 7 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 8 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 9 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 10 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 11 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 12 SIR SIR NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 13 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 14 equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 16 2 2 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 359 18 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 2 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 3 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 4 interpreted interpret VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 5 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 6 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 7 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 8 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 9 person person NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 10 goes go VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 11 out out RP cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 12 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 14 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 15 space space NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 16 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 17 τ τ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 18 γ γ NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 19 During during IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 20 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 21 infectious infectious JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 22 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 23 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 24 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 25 persons person NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 26 moves move VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 27 freely freely RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 360 28 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 2 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 3 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 5 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 6 isolated isolate VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 7 immediately immediately RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 8 after after IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 9 infection infection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 10 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 11 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 12 He He NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 13 ash ash NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 361 14 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 2 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 3 long long RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 4 been be VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 5 studying study VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 6 how how WRB cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 8 can can MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 9 exhaust exhaust VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 10 these these DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 11 4 4 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 12 He He NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 13 ash ash NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 14 particles particle NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 15 quickly quickly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 16 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 17 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 18 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 19 plasma plasma NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 20 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 21 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 22 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 23 tokamak tokamak NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 24 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 25 helical helical JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 26 reactors reactor NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 362 27 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 2 have have VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 3 noticed notice VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 4 that that IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 5 especially especially RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 6 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 7 an an DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 8 advanced advanced JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 9 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 10 reactor reactor NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 11 such such JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 12 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 13 neutron neutron NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 14 lean lean NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 15 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 16 reactor reactor NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 17 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 18 exhaust exhaust NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 19 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 20 ash ash NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 21 particles particle NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 22 are be VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 23 crucially crucially RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 24 important important JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 26 Mitarai Mitarai NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 27 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 28 et et NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 29 al al NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 30 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 31 2018 2018 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 363 33 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 2 particle particle NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 3 confinement confinement NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 4 time time NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 5 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 6 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 7 second second JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 8 term term NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 9 should should MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 10 be be VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 11 as as RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 12 short short JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 13 as as IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 14 possible possible JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 15 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 16 build build VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 17 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 18 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 19 reactor reactor NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 364 20 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 1 This this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 2 fusion fusion NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 3 concept concept NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 4 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 6 quite quite RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 7 similar similar JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 8 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 9 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 11 strategy strategy NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 12 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 13 maintain maintain VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 14 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 15 economic economic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 16 activity activity NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 17 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 18 isolating isolate VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 19 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 20 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 21 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 22 quickly quickly RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 365 23 . . . cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 1 CSV CSV NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 2 data datum NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 3 Institutional Institutional NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 4 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 5 not not RB cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 6 home home NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 7 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 8 based base VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 9 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 11 could could MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 12 contain contain VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 13 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 16 Impact Impact NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 17 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 18 non non JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 19 - - JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 20 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 21 interventions intervention NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 23 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 25 to to TO cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 26 reduce reduce VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 27 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 28 mortality mortality NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 29 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 30 healthcare healthcare NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 31 demand demand NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 32 16 16 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 33 March March NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 34 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 35 Imperial Imperial NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 36 College College NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 37 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 38 Response Response NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 39 Team Team NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 40 Modeling Modeling NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 41 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 42 public public JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 43 health health NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 44 emergency emergency NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 45 responses response NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 366 46 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 1 Lessons lesson NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 2 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 3 SARS SARS NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 4 Feasibility Feasibility NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 5 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 6 controlling control VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 7 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 8 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 9 by by IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 10 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 11 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 12 cases case NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 13 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 14 contacts contact NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 15 Growth growth NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 16 or or CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 367 17 Decline decline NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 368 1 will will MD cord-318688-ditadt8l 368 2 this this DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 368 3 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 368 4 Lead lead VB cord-318688-ditadt8l 368 5 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 368 6 ? ? . cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 1 Physical physical JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 2 Meaning Meaning NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 3 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 4 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 5 Reproduction Reproduction NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 6 Number Number NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 7 R R NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 8 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 10 Determination determination NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 11 -to -to ADD cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 12 access access VBP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 13 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 14 behavior behavior NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 15 modification modification NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 16 based base VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 17 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 18 a a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 19 simple simple JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 20 model model NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 21 equation equation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 22 - - : cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 23 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 24 Reprint Reprint NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 25 from from IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 26 RAD RAD NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 27 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 28 IT21 IT21 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 29 WEB web NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 30 journal journal NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 31 Contributions contribution NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 32 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 33 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 34 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 35 theory theory NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 36 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 37 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 38 - - : cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 39 I i NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 40 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 41 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 42 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 43 2019 2019 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 44 novel novel JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 45 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 47 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 369 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 1 The the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 2 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 3 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 6 is be VBZ cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 7 higher high JJR cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 8 compared compare VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 9 to to IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 10 SARS SARS NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 11 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 12 Clinical clinical JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 13 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 14 immunological immunological JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 15 assessment assessment NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 16 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 17 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 18 SARS SARS NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 19 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 20 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 21 infections infection NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 22 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 23 NATURE nature NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 24 MEDICINE medicine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 25 | | HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 26 www www NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 27 Ignition Ignition NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 28 Analyses analysis NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 29 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 30 Burn Burn NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 31 Control Control NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 32 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 33 Diagnostics Diagnostics NNPS cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 34 Developments Developments NNPS cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 35 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 36 ITER ITER NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 37 Ignition Ignition NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 38 Studies Studies NNPS cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 39 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 40 D-3 D-3 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 41 He He NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 42 Spherical Spherical NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 43 Tokamak Tokamak NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 44 Reactor Reactor NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 45 Prediction Prediction NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 46 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 47 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 48 Disease Disease NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 49 Outbreak Outbreak NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 50 with with IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 51 Particular Particular NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 52 Emphasis Emphasis NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 53 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 54 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 55 Statistical Statistical NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 370 56 Issues issue NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 1 Using use VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 2 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 3 Model Model NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 4 Deciphering decipher VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 5 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 6 power power NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 7 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 8 isolation isolation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 9 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 10 controlling control VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 11 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 12 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 13 A a DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 14 Framework Framework NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 15 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 16 Biomarhkers Biomarhkers NNPS cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 17 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 371 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 1 Based base VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 2 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 3 Coordination Coordination NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 4 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 5 Speech Speech NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 6 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 7 Production Production NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 8 Subsystems Subsystems NNPS cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 9 High High NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 10 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 11 throughput throughput NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 12 viral viral JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 13 detection detection NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 14 via via IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 15 qPCRhttps qpcrhttp NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 16 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 17 //www //www VBN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 18 Estimation estimation NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 19 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 20 true true JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 21 number number NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 22 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 23 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 24 infected infected JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 25 people people NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 26 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 27 Japan Japan NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 28 using use VBG cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 29 LINE line NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 30 questionnaire questionnaire NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 31 Special special JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 32 report report NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 33 on on IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 34 " " `` cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 35 Rapid Rapid NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 36 Scaling Scaling NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 37 Up up IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 38 of of IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 39 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 40 Diagnostic Diagnostic NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 41 Testing Testing NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 42 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 43 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 44 United United NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 372 45 States States NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 1 -The -The NFP cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 2 NIH NIH NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 3 RADx RADx NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 4 Initiative Initiative NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 5 Isolation Isolation NNP cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 6 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 7 quarantine quarantine NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 8 , , , cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 9 social social JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 10 distancing distancing NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 11 and and CC cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 12 community community NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 13 containment containment NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 14 : : : cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 15 pivotal pivotal JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 16 role role NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 17 for for IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 18 old old JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 19 - - HYPH cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 20 style style NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 21 public public JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 22 health health NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 23 measures measure NNS cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 24 in in IN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 25 the the DT cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 26 novel novel JJ cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 27 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 29 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-318688-ditadt8l 373 31 outbreak outbreak NN