id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-269643-12qm4h9w Liu, Pai Dynamic interplay between social distancing duration and intensity in reducing COVID-19 US hospitalizations: A “law of diminishing returns” 2020-07-17 .txt text/plain 4902 292 48 We uncover and highlight the importance of social distancing duration and intensity in lowering hospitalization demand-to-supply during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic in the USA. Calibrating our model using epidemiological data from this time period enabled us to unbiasedly address the question "How long and with what intensity does the USA need to implement social distancing intervention during the COVID-19 pandemic?" For a short (i.e., up to two weeks) duration, we find a near-linear decrease in hospital beds demand with increasing intensity [Formula: see text] of social distancing. Therefore, we term the period March 19-28 as the "latency period" (see the shaded area in Fig. 1) , and the period thereafter as "benefits manifestation period." Calibrating our model using baseline epidemiological data corresponding to the "latency period" enabled us to unbiasedly probe and address the question: How long and with what intensity does the US need to implement social distancing as a sustainable public policy during the COVID-19 pandemic? ./cache/cord-269643-12qm4h9w.txt ./txt/cord-269643-12qm4h9w.txt