id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-307500-2jwuzfan Gray, Nicholas "No test is better than a bad test": Impact of diagnostic uncertainty in mass testing on the spread of Covid-19 2020-04-22 .txt text/plain 6478 361 57 Three scenarios for cessation of lock-down measures are explored: (1) immediate end of lock-down measures, (2) continued lock-down with antibody testing based immunity passports, and (3) incremental relaxation of lock-down measures with active viral testing. Sensitivity, specifcity, prevalence and test capacity are modified for both active viral and antibody testing to determine their population level effect on the continuing epidemic. This strategy would involve detecting those who have successfully overcome the virus, and are likely to have some level of immunity (or at least reduced susceptibility to more serious illness if they are infected again), so are relatively safe to relax their personal social distancing measures. To explore the effect of imperfect testing on the disease dynamics when strategies are employed to relax the current social distancing measures the SIR model described in the supplimentary material was modified. In order to explore the possible impact of testing strategies on the relaxation of current social distancing measures several scenarios have been analysed. ./cache/cord-307500-2jwuzfan.txt ./txt/cord-307500-2jwuzfan.txt