id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-331354-ungzlp6b	Mimkes, J.	Test-adjusted results of mortality for Covid-19 in Germany, USA, UK	2020-11-04		.txt	text/plain	1554	145	75	Our investigations for Germany, USA and UK indicate that deaths do not follow the number of infections, but the positive rate of tests, multiplied by a constant factor F and shifted by about two weeks. These test adjusted results of mortality allow for the estimation of the number of deaths of Covid-19 about two weeks ahead, even in a sharply rising state of the pandemic. Normally, in mortality calculations the series of daily deaths (D k + L) follows the series of daily infections (I k) by a time lag (L) and is smaller by the case fatality ratio CFR, D k + L = CFR * I k. The daily test volume T k and the daily positive rate of infections P k are given by the Robert-Koch-Institute, in figs. In UK, the test adjusted infection data (I k / T k) also lead to a realistic prediction of the death series of the Covid-19 pandemic ( fig.	./cache/cord-331354-ungzlp6b.txt	./txt/cord-331354-ungzlp6b.txt