id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_eqs5md2xkbhadbg25wqtme4e3q Malcolm R. Forster A Philosopher's Guide to Empirical Success 2007 17 .pdf application/pdf 5756 415 67 For instance, empirical success cannot be goodness-of-fit with the data, in any Kepler�s laws empirically more successful than Copernicus�s theory of planetary motion? First of all, how can we define the goodness-of-fit of Kepler�s model? If empirical success were defined as model fit, then it is simply untrue that So, we can�t define empirical success in terms of model fit if we want to maintain the view that Kepler�s laws are empirically more successful than Copernicus�s theory. 3. AIC as a Measure of Empirical Success: Hitchcock and Sober (2004) address a a way of correcting the observed model fit so that it provides an unbiased estimate of the only in terms of the observed model fit, the number of data, and the number of adjustable 4. Cross-Validated Fit as a Measure of Empirical Success: Let me begin with a goodness-of-fit score to estimate how well the model will predict a �typical� data point. ./cache/work_eqs5md2xkbhadbg25wqtme4e3q.pdf ./txt/work_eqs5md2xkbhadbg25wqtme4e3q.txt