id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
work_wm5bmm5h3zga5o2oexzddecnki	Jan Sprenger	A Novel Solution to the Problem of Old Evidence	2015	20	.pdf	application/pdf	9407	1431	80	The problem arises for anyone who models scientific reasoning by means of Bayesian Conditionalization. A famous case of old evidence in science is the Mercury perihelion anomaly ðGlymour 1980; Earman 1992Þ. Bayesian account, E confirms T if and only if the posterior degree of belief evidence E can substantially confirm theory T, whereas the degree of confirmation is 0 for measures that compare the prior and posterior probability scope of Jeffrey's solution: why should probable theories not be confirmed last section is devoted to placing my proposal in the literature and to a general synopsis of the relation between POE and Bayesian Confirmation Theory ðBCTÞ. are interested in the dynamic POE—modeling our increase in degree of belief in T—then by assumption, old evidence E cannot confirm T. "Bayesian Problems of Old Evidence." In Scientific Theories, ed. "Old Evidence and Logical Omniscience in Bayesian Confirmation Theory." In	./cache/work_wm5bmm5h3zga5o2oexzddecnki.pdf	./txt/work_wm5bmm5h3zga5o2oexzddecnki.txt