id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_xvcjgrz6ifc4zlwc52w6b3hhkq Ian Hacking Slightly More Realistic Personal Probability 1967 15 .pdf application/pdf 8959 648 69 Like each of Professor Savage's difficulties in the theory of personal probability, J. Savage, "Difficulties in the Theory of Personal Probability," in this issue of Philosof what Savage calls "logical implication." Philosophers know, to their cost, the Classical personalism offers a theory of rational belief and reasonable decision. leads to a well known argument for what I shall call the static assumption of personalism: For any &A, and at least any f c A, Probf(h)is defined and satisfies the the model of learning is that Prob(h/e) represents one's personal probability after the same conditional probability symbol represents my confidence or betting rate for the axioms for personal probability, but in such a way that no practical application betting rates must satisfy the probability axioms or else be open to a Dutch book. In the theory of slightly more realistic personal probability, "possible" is construed realistic personal probability if he assigns a betting rate of 0.4 on each inequality, ./cache/work_xvcjgrz6ifc4zlwc52w6b3hhkq.pdf ./txt/work_xvcjgrz6ifc4zlwc52w6b3hhkq.txt