College and Research Libraries Demand-Adjusted Shelf Availability Parameters: A Second Look Philip Schwarz The application of Kantor's demand-adjusted shelf availability model to a medium-sized aca- demic library is described. The model can be applied in a working library environment with relative ease. The data indicate that there are significant differences in shelf availability when the data are sorted, adjusted, and analyzed by last circulation date, acquisition date, and im- print date. There is also a significant difference between the results of data gathered during periods of low and high use. his research report is the sec- ond in a series. The papers describe the use of scientific management techniques to evaluate and describe various library op- erations and services, in order that mana- gerial decisions may be made on a rational rather than an intuitional basis. The pre- vious publication in this series was: Philip Schwarz and Linda Olson, "Examination of Potential Management Decisions Based upon a Core Collection Derived from Last Circulation Date Data" (Menomonie, Wis. Research Report no.1. U.S., Educa- tional Resources Information Center, ERIC Document ED 214 496, Aug. 1982). BACKGROUND In an article appearing in the May 1981 Journal of Academic Librarianship, Paul Kantor described a simple theoretical model for determining shelf availability for library materials. 1 The purpose of this paper is to apply this model to a working library environment and in the process ex- amine several additional considerations not discussed in the Kantor article . These include: (1) gathering data on the time re- quired to apply the model developed by Kantor to a working library environment; (2) determining demand-adjusted shelf availability for a medium-sized university library; (3) determining whether there is any significant difference between the results of data expostulated in what Kantor describes as a naive fashion, and adjusted data sorted by last circulation date, acquisition date, and imprint date; and (4) determine the degree of difference between stack availability as recorded during the initial weeks of the semester when demand for materials is low as com- pared to the latter weeks of a semester when material is in heavy demand. Historically, two approaches have been used to determine shelf availability in li- braries. Shelf availability, as used in this paper, is the probability that a patron go- ing to the shelf will find the item he is look- ing for. One approach to this problem is the collection of data based on expressed demand and described in papers by Buck- land, Kantor, and others .2 Using this tech- nique, demand as expressed by users is measured by actually surveying library users. The user is handed a form or a sur- Ph ilip Schwarz is special assista nt for automation development, University of Wi sconsin- Stout, Men omonie, Wisconsin . Th e author wishes to thank Dr. Paul Ka ntor for commenting on the data . 210 vey worker accompanies the patron around the library and determines the number of items found and the number of items not found. For those items not found, data are gathered to determine the reasons why they are not found. Using this technique, one can identify the poten- tial impact of the various ways a user can be frustrated in his search for library mate- rials. Sources of frustration in order of log- ical occurrence are: (1) collection develop- ment failure-the library has never acquired the item desired by the patron; (2) the patron does not have the necessary skills to use the catalog successfully; (3) the item is checked out; (4) the item is missing from its appropriate location on the shelf; (5) and lastly, the item is on the shelf in its proper location but for some reason the patron cannot locate it. The overall document availability is the prod- uct of all of these factors. Although pro- viding a wide range of useful manage- ment data, this technique requires considerable effort to administer. A simpler technique was introduced by Kaske and elaborated on by Altman and de Prospo. 3 This technique utilizes a small sample drawn from the shelflist . Items in the sample are checked against the stacks and circulation records to determine the percentage of items not found. This ap- proach provides less management infor- mation than the first technique described. One can only determine if the item is in circulation or if it is missing from its proper shelf location. It does not provide information regarding the adequacy of collection development policies, patron skills in using the catalog, or patron skills in locating materials in the collection. In addition, as Kantor points out, the data which this technique provides on circula- tion interference and on "other" factors are subject to inherent bias because of the failure to adjust for the fact that not all ma- terials are equally in demand . 4 The impor- tance of this fact could have a significant impact upon the findings when using this technique. For example, libraries with very old and large collections are likely to find that the collection extends far beyond the interest of the current users. As a result, data gathered using this technique Shelf Availability Parameters 211 are likely to overestimate the probability that an item, in the relatively small subset of materials currently in demand, will be found on the shelf. The items in high de- mand are precisely the ones that are likely to be in circulation or not available for cir- culation for some reason. It is this issue that this paper is intended to address. METHODOLOGY Several points are worth noting in con- nection with this study. The author was able to conduct the comparative analysis of data involving last circulation date, ac- quisition date, and imprint date because the library utilized a circulation system that retained information regarding item circulation activity. It is also worth noting that all library users are limited to a twenty-eight-day circulation period. This may be important if other libraries intend to compare their findings with data pre- sented in this study. The first phase of the study involved the selection of a random sample of 504 items drawn from a total population of 141,000. The random sample was created using a standard computer random number gen- erator program. The numbers, once gen- erated, were sorted into numerical se- quence to facilitate matching against the numerical sequence of the shelflist drawers. Once this was completed, the survey worker went to the shelflist to gather the sample. The survey worker opened the appropriate drawer and laid a ruler alongside the cards. A second set of random numbers was used to select the card or cards in each drawer correspond- ing to the number of samples to be drawn from the drawer. For example, if two sam- ples were to be drawn from a drawer and the random number table indicated they should be drawn from one and ten inches, slips were inserted in the shelflist at these points. The call number, imprint date, and the date of acquisition for each sample were recorded on the data collection form shown in figure 1. If the card happened to be for an item with multiple volumes, a second random number table was used to select the volume number to be recorded on the data collection form. The second phase of the study involved 212 College & Research Libraries July 1983 1=STACI