id author title date pages extension mime words sentence flesch summary cache txt 2r36tx34n2v Rachel Jayne Oidtman Understanding and Forecasting Spatiotemporal Variation in Emerging Arboviruses 2020 .txt text/plain 438 17 35 Third, to test the effect of alternative model assumptions on forecasts of incidence and spread of emerging infectious diseases, I designed an ensemble of forecasting models in the context of the 2015-2016 Zika epidemic in Colombia. In conclusion, my research demonstrates that both specific knowledge of spatiotemporal variation in emerging arboviruses and general knowledge about phenomena affecting emerging infectious diseases are necessary for mitigating uncertainty in forecasts of emerging infectious diseases. cache/2r36tx34n2v.txt txt/2r36tx34n2v.txt