key: cord-0000193-sswimukk authors: Paranthaman, Karthikeyan; Conlon, Christopher P.; Parker, Claire; McCarthy, Noel title: Resource Allocation during an Influenza Pandemic date: 2008-03-03 journal: Emerg Infect Dis DOI: 10.3201/eid1403.071275 sha: c67da0716b299594f705eaae2945f8d1c72b7927 doc_id: 193 cord_uid: sswimukk Resource Allocation during an Influenza Pandemic To the Editor: Planning for pandemic infl uenza is accepted as an essential healthcare service and has included creation of national and international antiviral drug stockpiles and novel approaches to emergency vaccine development (1) . The effectiveness of these strategies in a pandemic may be substantial but is unknown. More certain is that effective management of severe and complicated infl uenza will reduce deaths and that demand will exceed available treatment resources (2) . Appropriate allocation of treatment resources is therefore essential, perhaps more important than any specifi c treatment such as administering antiviral medication to symptomatic patients. Re- (4) . Even more important for most severely ill patients, however, will be deciding whether to admit them to the hospital at all. The UK pandemic-planning criteria currently recommend a scoring system for hospital admission based on an assessment of poor outcome rather than on capacity to benefi t (2). Indeed, age >85 years and severe underlying cognitive impairment, which would rule out admission to critical care in Canada, would strongly favor admission to hospital care in the United Kingdom, the opposite of the situation for a younger cognitively intact person with similar disease severity. If tools are to be developed to support triage at all stages of the patient pathway in a pandemic, societies must consider the ethical issues raised (4,5), debate them, and take a position on the values that should underpin decision making in a pandemic. Even when clear societal goals are established, much work remains to ensure that the healthcare community is equipped to steer healthcare resources to deliver these effectively (6) . Community-acquired pneumonia has been used as a surrogate for infl uenza to test predictive scoring systems for assessing severity and assisting triage decisions (7) . Seasonal infl uenza epidemics would provide the most realistic setting available, in particular, if protocols were in place to test criteria when a relatively severe infl uenza season occurs. In addition to identifying criteria for setting priorities within infl uenza management, such testing will need to consider the balance of resources between infl uenza treatment and treatment of other usual noninfl uenza conditions that will require emergency care during the pandemic. Decisions that must be made during a pandemic are complex, varying from when to stop major elective surgery so critical care capacity can be opened up, to how to triage those who have experienced major trauma and those with infl uenza. These decisions could differ from those same decisions made outside a pandemic, and an adequate evidence base is needed if they are to be of good quality. The third component of our preparation for optimally deploying standard care in a pandemic is being able to change our approach quickly as new knowledge emerges. In the so-called Spanish infl uenza pandemic of 1918-19, the unfamiliar clinical course meant that infl uenza was not even considered when the fi rst cases appeared (8) , and expectations had to be revised concerning who was most vulnerable and at what stage in their clinical course they were most at risk. Therefore, healthcare professionals must develop and test the public health infrastructure to capture patient factors associated with outcome and treatment response during a pandemic and feed this information back into clinical practice rapidly and reliably, as occurred during the epidemic of severe acute respiratory syndrome (9) . International collaboration will be important for sharing this work (10) and developing useful tools early in a pandemic. Having recognized the risk for pandemic infl uenza, we must now complement the research into novel infl uenza treatments by addressing our knowledge gap on how best to use our resources to deliver optimal clinical care in the management of infl uenza guided by effective clinical surveillance. To the Editor: Tick-borne relapsing fever in western North America is a zoonosis caused by spirochetes in the genus Borrelia that are transmitted by argasid ticks of the genus Ornithodoros (1) . Human disease occurs in many focal areas and is associated with infections of Borrelia hermsii, B. turicatae, and possibly B. parkeri (2, 3) . Although the ecologic parameters that maintain B. hermsii and B. turicatae differ, human infections usually occur in rustic cabins (B. hermsii) and caves (B. turicatae) inhabited by ticks and their terrestrial vertebrate hosts (1) . Recently, Gill et al. (4) provided evidence that the argasid bat tick, Carios kelleyi, feeds upon humans. Subsequently, Loftis et al. (5) used PCR analysis and DNA sequencing to detect in C. kelleyi an unidentifi ed Borrelia species that was closely related to B. turicatae and B. parkeri. We report the partial molecular char-acterization of another novel tickborne relapsing fever spirochete in C. kelleyi, which expands our knowledge for this group of pathogenic spirochetes and their potential vertebrate hosts and tick vectors. C. kelleyi were collected August 18, 2005, from a house in Jones County, Iowa, built in 1857. Bats had been excluded from the attic since 1992. Nine months before ticks were collected, bats were prevented from roosting under the eaves. DNA was extracted from 31 nymphal C. kelleyi, as described previously (6) . For each tick, regions of the glpQ, fl aB, and 16S rRNA genes were amplifi ed and sequenced as described (3, 7, 8) . Sequences were assembled by using the SeqMan program in the Lasergene software package (DNASTAR, Madison, WI, USA). Fourteen (45.1%) of 31 ticks were positive by PCR for >1 of the genes tested. Partial DNA sequences were determined from tick no. 16, for which amplicons for all 3 genes were obtained. The partial fl aB sequence had 4 bases different from the 300-base sequence (98.66% identity) reported previously (GenBank accession no. AY763104) for another Borrelia sp. found in C. kelleyi (5) . We constructed a 1,992-bp concatenated sequence that contained 1,273 bp of the 16S rRNA, 351 bp of fl aB, and 368 bp of glpQ. This concatenated sequence was aligned with homologous, trimmed DNA sequences of the same length obtained from representative full-length sequences determined previously for B. hermsii, B. turicatae, and B. parkeri (3, 9) (Figure) . This C. kelleyi spirochete was more closely related to B. turicatae and B. parkeri than to B. hermsii but was clearly distinct from all 3 species (DNA sequence identities of 98.89%, 98.75%, and 95.98% to B. turicatae, B. parkeri, and B. hermsii, respectively). A glpQ amplicon from another nymphal tick (no. 3) was sequenced (GenBank accession no. EF688578) and was unique in the database; it was also considerably different from the glpQ sequence determined from tick 16, with 325 of 368 bases matching (88.3% identity). The Borrelia glpQ sequence from tick 3 had 85.1%-89.1% identity compared with glpQ sequences from B. hermsii, B. turicatae, and B. parkeri. This fi nding suggests the presence of at least 2 relapsing fever group spirochetes in C. kelleyi that await further characterization. We found a novel Borrelia in bat ticks that is closely related to, but distinct from, the other known species of tick-borne relapsing fever spirochetes in North America. The human health implications of the new relapsing fever group spirochete are not yet known. The willingness of C. kelleyi to feed on humans and the fact that infection with bacteria closely related to true relapsing fever spirochetes occurs in Ehrlichia chaffeensis: a prototypical emerging pathogen Human ehrlichiosis: report of the 1st case in Venezuela First case of human ehrlichiosis in Mexico Evidence of rickettsial spotted fever and ehrlichial infections in a subtropical territory of Jujuy, Argentina Serologic evidence for human ehrlichiosis in Chile More about human monocytotropic ehrlichiosis in Brazil: serological evidence of nine new cases Polymerase chain reaction evidence of Ehrlichia chaffeensis, an etiologic agent of human ehrlichiosis, in dogs from southeast Virginia Ehrlichia canis-like agent isolated from a man in Venezuela: antigenic and genetic characterization Human infection with Ehrlichia canis accompanied by clinical signs in Venezuela Human monocytic ehrlichiosis in children How prepared is Europe for pandemic infl uenza? Analysis of national plans Pandemic fl u: UK infl uenza pandemic contingency plan Critical care contingency planning in the event of an emergency where the number of patients substantially exceeds normal critical care capacity. Best Practice Guidance Development of a triage protocol for critical care during an infl uenza pandemic Ethical issues in pandemic planning Translating clinical research into clinical practice: impact of using prediction rules to make decisions Physiological-social score (PMEWS) vs. CURB-65 to triage pandemic infl uenza: a comparative validation study using community-acquired pneumonia as a proxy