key: cord-0757175-hys9j6dz
authors: Zhu, Jing; Su, Li; Zhou, Yi; Qiao, Juan; Hu, Wei
title: The effect of nationwide quarantine on anxiety levels during the COVID‐19 outbreak in China
date: 2020-11-11
journal: Brain Behav
DOI: 10.1002/brb3.1938
sha: 10a2bb8b6ab40dd779e0f64295569dbd96468976
doc_id: 757175
cord_uid: hys9j6dz

BACKGROUND: In the recent outbreak of COVID‐19, many countries have enacted various kinds of quarantine measures to slow down the explosive spread of COVID‐19. Although these measures were proven to be successful in stopping the outbreak in China, the potential adverse effects of countrywide quarantine have not been thoroughly investigated. METHODS: In this study, we performed an online survey to evaluate the psychological effects of quarantine using the Zung Self‐rating Anxiety Scale in February 2020 when the outbreak had nearly peaked in China. Along with the anxiety scores, limited personal information, such as age, gender, region, education, occupation, and specifically, the type and duration of quarantine, was collected for analysis. RESULTS: From a total of 992 valid questionnaires from 23 provinces in China, clinically significant anxiety symptoms were observed in 9.58% of respondents according to clinical diagnostic standards in China. The specific groups of people showing higher levels of anxiety were (a) adolescents (<18 years); (b) respondents with education lower than junior high school; (c) people with chronic diseases; and (d) frontline medical personnel. Other characteristics, such as gender, marital status, region, and acquaintance with suspected or confirmed cases of COVID‐19, did not affect anxiety levels significantly. Respondents who experienced different forms of quarantine showed different anxiety levels. People undergoing centralized quarantine have higher levels of anxiety. Unexpectedly, longer durations of quarantine did not lead to a significant increase in anxiety level. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest a rather mild psychological influence caused by the countrywide quarantine during the COVID‐19 outbreak in China and provide a reference for other countries and regions battling COVID‐19.

On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared SARS-COV-2-induced COVID-19 a "pandemic" during a news conference in Geneva (European Centre for Disease Prevention & Control, 2020) .

With more than 120,000 confirmed infections and more than 5,000 lives taken in more than 100 countries, there is still no specific medicine to cure the highly transmissible COVID-19 .

Although some promising drugs (e.g., remdesivir, favipiravir) are currently in clinical trials (Dong et al., 2020; , the most effective way to stop COVID-19 by far is still the oldest way that humans have used to battle epidemics for hundreds of years:

quarantine.

China has been conducting quarantine measures in many provinces throughout the country since late January, and the results are significant. In approximately two weeks, the daily number of new patients peaked and then began to decline (World Health Organization, 2020) . Six weeks after quarantine, the daily number of new patients dropped to less than 100 in China (National Health

Commission of the People's Republic of China, 2020a). Similar quarantine methods have also been adopted by other countries, such as the Republic of Korea. Since the beginning of regional quarantine in Daegu, the number of newly diagnosed cases in the Republic of Korea has been declining steadily as well (Choi & Ki, 2020) . Other countries, such as Iran (countrywide quarantine since March 2020) and Italy (countrywide quarantine since March 2020), have also undertaken quarantine measures recently, and more countries might also take these approaches into consideration to stop the COVID-19 outbreak.

However, the decision to quarantine was never an easy option due to predictable enormous negative impacts on the economy and unpredictable psychological harm to the quarantined population.

Previous reports have shown that negative emotions caused by quarantine can lead to various kinds of consequences, such as anxiety, depression, and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD; Brooks et al., 2020) . During the outbreak of SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome) in 2003, an increased prevalence of depression and PTSD was found in quarantined persons (Hawryluck et al., 2004) . During the MERS (Middle East respiratory syndrome) outbreak, quarantined people showed more negative emotions, such as anxiety and anger (Jeong et al., 2016) . This evidence suggests that the potential psychological and other effects of quarantine could be significant and should be carefully taken into consideration.

However, unlike the quarantine measures during SARS or MERS outbreaks, a much larger population in China has been affected by the countrywide quarantine to battle COVID-19. A rough estimation is that more than 100 million people in China were affected by this countrywide quarantine (Tian et al., 2020) , a number never seen before in human history. This raises new concerns regarding the potential adverse effects of large-scale quarantine. Will countrywide quarantine cause broad social panic and even chaos? Conversely, super large-scale quarantine might have no major impacts on the general public because everyone was quarantined, according to the theory of social comparison processes (Festinger, 1954) . These controversial questions cannot be easily answered without systematic investigation but could be critical for future decisions regarding large-scale quarantine.

To quickly understand the psychological impact that the COVID-19 quarantine measures may bring to people, researchers have performed many investigations. However, the results are not consistent.

As far as China is concerned, some studies have shown that the incidence of depression and anxiety among quarantined respondents is significantly higher than that of nonquarantined respondents (Tang et al., 2020; Zhao et al., 2020) . However, another study from China suggests that psychological problems during the epidemic have nothing to do with quarantine control measures but rather are related to the impact of the epidemic on daily life .

The survey results for the population of different countries are also inconsistent. Researchers in Israel found that respondents who underwent quarantine measures showed only low levels of anxiety (Horesh et al., 2020) . Some studies indicate that quarantine leads to increased tension in young people (Ozamiz-Etxebarria et al., 2020; Tee et al., 2020) . In contrast, Irish researchers found that older people in quarantine have increased anxiety (Hyland et al., 2020) .

Therefore, further investigation of the psychological impact of quarantine measures is necessary.

In this study, we performed an online questionnaire survey during the middle stage of the COVID-19 outbreak in China ( Figure S1 ) to understand the psychological effect on quarantined persons using the Zung Self-rating Anxiety Scale (Zung, 1971) . Along with the anxiety scores, limited personal information, such as age, gender, region, education, etc. and specifically, the type and duration of quarantine, was collected for analysis. We further assessed the influence of different types and durations of quarantine used in China. Our results provide new insights into the experiences of quarantined persons during the COVID-19 outbreak in China, which could be important for nationwide containment of COVID-19 in other countries.

The survey was conducted in the form of an online questionnaire between 12:00 p.m. February 19, 2020, and 12:00 p.m. February 26, 2020 (UTC + 8), and consisted of a general information survey and a Zung Self-rating Anxiety Scale (SAS; Zung, 1971 ). The general survey included (a) basic information of the respondent, such as gender, age, region, education level, occupation, marital status and phone number (optional) for further contact and (b) quarantine-related information on the respondent during the COVID-19 outbreak.

Anxiety assessment was performed using the Chinese version of the SAS compiled by William W. K. Zung. The SAS is used to measure the subjective anxiety of subjects using a 4-point scale: no or very little time, a small amount of time, a considerable amount of time, and most or all of the time. Raw scores were then converted to index scores following a previous report (Zung, 1971 ). An index score equal to or larger than 50 is considered to indicate the clinical significance of anxiety (Zung, 1986) : 50-59 is mild anxiety, 60-69 is moderate anxiety, and 70 or more is severe anxiety. The Zung SAS was first introduced in China and translated into Chinese in 1984 by Dr. Zhengyu Wang from the Shanghai Institute of Mental Health (Wang & Chi, 1984) . In 1986, Professor Zisi Dai, an expert from the China National Rating Scale Association, took the lead in establishing the Chinese norm of SAS. After that, Chinese clinicians and researchers extensively used the Chinese version of the Zung SAS (Liu et al., 1995; Wang & Xu, 2009 ). It has also been included in the "Manual of Psychiatric Rating Scales" (2015, Second Edition, edited by Dr. Mingyuan Zhang and Dr. Yanling He, Hunan Science and Technology Press). In our hospital alone, the Chinese version of the Zung SAS has been used more than 200,000 times for the clinical diagnosis of anxiety in the last three years.

The online survey was performed using the professional online survey service Questionnaire Star (https://www.wjx.cn) and then released nationwide through social media software (such as WeChat, Weibo, QQ, etc.). This study was conducted with the respondent's informed consent (including assent/parental consent for adoles-

Xuzhou Eastern Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University.

IP addresses are often used for quality control in online surveys.

Considering that quarantined personnel or families might share the same internet and same IP address, we did not limit the number of questionnaires from the same IP address. Instead, we performed a post hoc check to ensure the reliability of the questionnaires. The target was to recruit 811 participants based on a sample size calculation with a 90% confidence level, 5% significance level, and 5% margin of error around the previously reported prevalence of anxiety disorder in China (Huang et al., 2019) . For a total of 997 questionnaires collected, 5 were identified as invalid questionnaires due to abnormal key data (e.g., 4 years old). For a total of 888 unique IP addresses, 816 (82.26%) IP addresses filed 1 questionnaire, 55 (6.19%) filed 2, 10 (1.13%) filed 3, and 7 (0.79%) filed 4 or more (max 7). The median time to finish this questionnaire was 291 s, with an interquartile range from 215-415 s.

Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 22 (IBM). Cronbach's alpha was used to measure the reliability. The Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin (KMO) value and Bartlett's sphericity test were used to examine the suitability of the data. Independent sample t test was used for analysis of gender, region, health status, and acquaintance with suspected or confirmed cases of COVID-19. For multiple groups of samples (age, education, marital status, and personnel category), one-way ANOVA was used. The confidence level was set at p < .05 unless specified.

For the questionnaire survey, 992 valid questionnaires (see Methods for details) were collected between 12:00 p.m. February 19, 2020 and 12:00 p.m. February 26, 2020 (UTC + 8). Cronbach's alpha was equal to 0.812, suggesting that the reliability was robust. Moreover, the KMO value was 0.917, indicating that the sampling was adequate. Bartlett's sphericity test was considered statistically significant with a p value smaller than .001. Table 2 summarizes the prevalence of anxiety score according to demographics of respondents. According to the clinical diagnosis standards in China and previous reports (Zung, 1986) , 897 (90.42%) had normal SAS scores (<50), and 95 (9.58%) had elevated scores (≥50), indicating the clinical significance of anxiety. Moreover, of these, 67 (6.75%) had mild anxiety, 20 (2.02%) had moderate anxiety, and 8 (0.81%) had severe anxiety. Anxiety scores in different age (F = 3.168, p = .013), education (F = 3.865, p = .004), health status (t = −3.043, p = .005), and personnel category (F = 5.802, p = .001) groups were statistically significant (p < .05). Adolescents which is consistent with an earlier report .

Anxiety scores between different genders (t = 1.508, p = .132), regions (t = 1.269, p = .205), marital status (F = 0.506, p = .678), and people acquainted with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 patients (t = −1.531, p = .126) were not significantly different among the respondents. The mild and not significant difference between respondents inside and outside Hubei Province was not expected because Hubei Province has more than 80% of the infections in the whole country (National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, 2020b).

Multiple types of quarantine have been used during the COVID-19 outbreak in China. Figure 1 

Previous studies suggested that a longer duration of quarantine can result in worse psychological impacts (Brooks et al., 2020) . Figure 2 shows the proportion and SAS scores of people with different quarantine durations. Because the survey was conducted in middle-late February and countrywide quarantine started in late January, most respondents (65.49%) had been quarantined for more than two weeks. Only 4.79% of respondents had a quarantine duration of less than 7 days. Statistical results revealed a mild but not significant difference between anxiety scores in groups with different durations (Figure 2b, F = 1.644, p = .178) . The lowest score was found in the pected finding is encouraging but could be the result of many different reasons, which we will discuss in detail later.

Through this study, we found that countrywide quarantine in China does lead to an increase in anxiety levels in certain populations. For example, frontline personnel for battling COVID-19 (medical or nonmedical) have an increased risk of anxiety. These results are consistent with previous literature (Lee et al., 2018; Tam et al., 2004) . The results of some concurrent studies have also confirmed this finding (Giallonardo et al., 2020; Maciaszek et al., 2020) . The results of this study also show that the following specific groups of people showed increased levels of anxiety in their respective groups: (a) adolescents; (b) respondents with education lower than junior high school;

and (c) people with chronic diseases. This is also consistent with the survey results in the same period (Guo et al., 2020; Khan et al., 2020; Lei et al., 2020; Rossi et al., 2020; Wong et al., 2020) . Therefore, we

suggest that further psychological assistance should be provided to specific populations.

However, some research results give different conclusions. One study showed that mental health problems have nothing to do with quarantine control measures, but instead the impact on daily life . This may be related to different investigation times and evaluation standards. The investigation time of their study was from February 12 to March 17, 2020. The time was relatively long, covering the peak and recovery periods of in China, so the interviewees' psychological changes were also relatively large. Moreover, the impact on daily life itself is a subjective impression and lacks objective evaluation criteria. Another study showed that the elderly individuals (≥65 years)

in the quarantine area have increased levels of COVID-19-related anxiety (Hyland et al., 2020) . We believe that this may be related to the survey's time, age structure, evaluation tool, and respondents' culture. Their investigation began in the first week of Ireland's national quarantine (March 31-April 5, 2020). Although COVID-19 had been raging around the world for several months, when the epidemic was indeed sensed, everyone needed to adapt, especially the elderly population, because this age group is particularly vulnerable to COVID-19-related mortality (Zhou et al., 2020) . Moreover, the proportion of older adults participating in this study was relatively high (12.20%), reflecting more of their mental state. The study also used the Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale-7 (GAD-7) to assess the respondents' anxiety state, which may differ from the SAS assessment results. Additionally, cultural differences may affect the results of the survey. Although our research found that the length of time under quarantine has no noticeable effect on anxiety, some studies have found that COVID-19-related stress has a delayed effect (Gan et al., 2020) .

By analyzing some recent studies, we found that this effect seems to exist, even though the survey population and tools were different Shi et al., 2020) . This finding is thought to be explained by the "psychological typhoon eye effect." Our research results fill knowledge at a specific point in time, thereby showing the public's psychological changes and trends under quarantine

conditions.

In addition, our research results show that quarantine-related anxiety is relatively low, which is different from the results of another Italian study. They found that quarantine measures can cause high stress and distress (Casagrande et al., 2020) . However, the findings of our results could be unique due to the following conditions in which the study was conducted. (a) The survey was conducted between February 19 and February 26, a time window where the outbreak of COVID-19 had been largely controlled in China ( Figure S1 ).

At this stage, the initial panic of the COVID-19 outbreak has gone, and many people in the country are still under quarantine. This ensured a more accurate reflection of the psychological influence induced by quarantine, which is the main purpose of this study. However, it

is still unclear what happened in the first a few days since the outbreak. (b) Nonetheless, in the early stages of quarantine measures, inadequate hand sanitizer supplies caused anxiety among certain populations such as college students . With the rapid increase in market supply and the gradual decline in the price index, the shortage of medical resources and food supply was effectively alleviated. Financial aid was also beneficial, including fully covered costs for diagnosis and treatment. Other appraoches such as online psychotherapy may be used to coping with stress (Horesh et al., 2020) .

In the human history of fighting epidemics, there are very few successful cases in which the outbreak was stopped by specific drugs or vaccines. This is usually caused by the rapid outbreak and the relatively slow development of specific drugs. When many companies finally developed SARS vaccines that could be used in clinical trials, the epidemic was almost complete (Jiang et al., 2005) . On the one hand, we should keep developing effective drugs and therapies for COVID-19 as soon as possible; on the other hand, we should also consider using reasonable and effective quarantine methods (regional or national) to slow down the spread of the epidemic and buy some time for pharmaceutical research and production.

The more encouraging part of the results is that compared with previous studies of quarantine (Jeong et al., 2016; Reynolds et al., 2008) , the super large-scale quarantine in China did not lead to a significant change in anxiety level. The level of anxiety in Hubei Province, the most severely infected area in the world, was not significantly but only slightly higher than that outside Hubei Province (p = .205). According to Festinger's social comparison theory, individuals in a group tend to compare themselves with other people to determine their self-worth. When the quarantined people were compared and found that they were in the same quarantined situa- (d) The COVID-19 epidemic was a sudden surprise to everyone. We do not know who will be susceptible to quarantine measures, so we have no prequarantine scores for comparison. The current research design cannot be used to evaluate the impact of quarantine on anxiety levels.

As we mentioned earlier, anxiety levels could be a mixed result of many different factors. It is almost impossible to determine the pure contribution of quarantine to anxiety level. For example, worries about potential infection or financial problems could also elevate anxiety scores (McAlonan et al., 2007; Zheng et al., 2005) . Some researchers found that anxiety was associated with a longer duration of home study in China Wang, Pan, Wan, Tan, Xu, McIntyre, et al., 2020) . Problematic smartphone use may also cause increased anxiety (Elhai et al., 2020) . Some respondents even left messages to express their concerns about childcare and education due to school suspensions.

We sincerely appreciate all the people, especially doctors and nurses, all over the world who are heroically battling COVID-19 now. Dr. Yi Zhou received funding from the National Natural Science 

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

The authors' contributions are as follows: Jing Zhu and Wei Hu conceived and developed the idea for the paper and revised the manuscript; Li Su contributed to data collection and wrote numerous drafts; Juan Qiao contributed to data analysis and interpretation of the data. Yi Zhou provided advice and assistance with statistical operations and translating. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

The authors assert that all procedures contributing to this work com- anonymously to ensure that personal privacy was not disclosed.

Secure encryption provided by "Questionnaire Star" was performed throughout the entire process, including data collection, transmission, and release.

The peer review history for this article is available at https://publo ns.com/publo n/10.1002/brb3.1938.

The data used in this study are available on request from the corresponding author.

Wei Hu https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6909-0476

The psychological impact of quarantine and how to reduce it: Rapid review of the evidence

The enemy who sealed the world: Effects quarantine due to the COVID-19 on sleep quality, anxiety, and psychological distress in the Italian population

Estimating the reproductive number and the outbreak size of Novel Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using mathematical model in Republic of Korea

Discovering drugs to treat coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)

COVID-19 anxiety symptoms associated with problematic smartphone use severity in Chinese adults

Novel coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) pandemic: Increased transmission in the EU/EEAand the UK-sixth update -12

A theory of social comparison processes

Immediate and delayed psychological effects of province-wide lockdown and personal quarantine during the COVID-19 outbreak in China

The impact of quarantine and physical distancing following COVID-19 on mental health: study protocol of a multicentric Italian population trial

Mental health consequences during the initial stage of the 2020 Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) in Spain

Mental health disorders and associated risk factors in quarantined adults during the COVID-19 outbreak in China: cross-sectional study

SARS control and psychological effects of quarantine

Mental health strategies to combat the psychological impact of COVID-19 beyond paranoia and panic

Risk factors for psychological distress during the COVID-19 pandemic in Israel: Loneliness, age, gender, and health status play an important role

Prevalence of mental disorders in China: A cross-sectional epidemiological study

Anxiety and depression in the Republic of Ireland during the COVID-19 pandemic

Mental health status of people isolated due to Middle East Respiratory Syndrome

SARS vaccine development

The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on mental health & wellbeing among home-quarantined Bangladeshi students: A cross-sectional pilot study

Psychological impact of the 2015 MERS outbreak on hospital workers and quarantined hemodialysis patients

Comparison of prevalence and associated factors of anxiety and depression among people affected by versus people unaffected by quarantine during the COVID-19 epidemic in southwestern China

The psychological impacts of a COVID-19 outbreak on college students in China: A longitudinal study

Online mental health survey in a medical college in China during the COVID-19 outbreak

The factor analysis of self-rating anxiety scale (SAS)

Mental health of medical and non-medical professionals during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic: A cross-sectional nationwide study

Immediate and sustained psychological impact of an emerging infectious disease outbreak on health care workers

National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China

Stress, anxiety, and depression levels in the initial stage of the COVID-19 outbreak in a population sample in the northern Spain

Understanding, compliance and psychological impact of the SARS quarantine experience

COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown measures impact on mental health among the general population in Italy

Prevalence of and risk factors associated with mental health symptoms among the general population in China During the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic

Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in Hong Kong in 2003: Stress and psychological impact among frontline healthcare workers

COVID-19 related depression and anxiety among quarantined respondents

Psychological impact of COVID-19 pandemic in the Philippines

The impact of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China. medRxiv

Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro

Immediate Psychological Responses and Associated Factors during the Initial Stage of the 2019 Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Epidemic among the General Population in China

A longitudinal study on the mental health of general population during the COVID-19 epidemic in China. Brain, behavior, and immunity

Factorial structure of the self-rating anxiety scale patients with psychosis diseases

Chinese version of Zung's self-rating anxiety scale

Anxiety symptoms and preventive measures during the COVID-19 outbreak in Taiwan

Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease

Characteristics of and important lessons from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in China: Summary of a report of 72 314 cases from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention

Potential interventions for novel coronavirus in China: A systematic review

COVID-19 infection outbreak increases anxiety level of general public in China: Involved mechanisms and influencing factors

Exploratory study on psychosocial impact of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak on Chinese students living in Japan

Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: A retrospective cohort study

The immediate mental health impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic among people with or without quarantine managements

COVID-19 in Wuhan: Immediate psychological impact on 5062 health workers. medRxiv

A rating instrument for anxiety disorders

Prevalence of clinically significant anxiety in a family practice setting