key: cord-0782950-uitwmhrj
authors: Lumbreras‐Marquez, Mario I.; Fields, Kara G.; Campos‐Zamora, Melissa; Rodriguez‐Bosch, Mario R.; Rodriguez‐Sibaja, Maria J.; Copado‐Mendoza, Diana Y.; Acevedo‐Gallegos, Sandra; Farber, Michaela K.
title: A forecast of maternal deaths with and without vaccination of pregnant women against COVID‐19 in Mexico
date: 2021-06-30
journal: Int J Gynaecol Obstet
DOI: 10.1002/ijgo.13788
sha: 0f616ee8bc1ded07741ccf63b0567f27db628626
doc_id: 782950
cord_uid: uitwmhrj

With 100% COVID‐19 vaccination among pregnant women during May and June of 2021, the overall predicted number of maternal deaths for 2021 in Mexico would significantly decrease.

The forecast estimated 993 deaths for 2021 (Fig. 1) . Accessibility to vaccines in low-and middle-income countries is a powerful way to limit maternal mortality associated with COVID-19 infection. Our study's limitation is that data are provisional. Additionally, incorporating more detailed vaccine characteristics and potential changes in other preventive measures would allow the refinement of our forecast.

The authors have no conflicts of interest. 

Informes Semanales para la Vigilancia Epidemiológica de Muertes Maternas 2020

forecast: Forecasting functions for time series and linear models

Safety and efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA covid-19 vaccine