key: cord-0789971-lzidsq9x authors: Collins, Téa; Akselrod, Svetlana; Bloomfield, Ashley; Gamkrelidze, Amiran; Jakab, Zsuzsanna; Placella, Erika title: Rethinking the COVID-19 Pandemic: Back to Public Health date: 2020-10-08 journal: Annals of global health DOI: 10.5334/aogh.3084 sha: bf733e5cf3ba57f9f820bf6a9ef5a55c3ef477f7 doc_id: 789971 cord_uid: lzidsq9x The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted vast differences across countries in their responses to the emergency and their capacities to implement public health measures that could slow the progression of the disease. As public health systems are the first line of defense during pandemics, it has become clear that sustained investment in strengthening public health infrastructure is a major need in all countries, irrespective of income levels. Drawing on the successful experiences of Switzerland, Georgia, and New Zealand in dealing with COVID-19, we suggest prioritizing core public health capacities with links to the International Health Regulations, improving international cooperation, coordination, and multisectoral action, addressing health inequities by targeting vulnerable groups, and enhancing health literacy, including through sophisticated and sustained communication campaigns to build resilience. These measures will ensure that health systems and communities will be better prepared for the disruptions that future disease outbreaks will inevitably bring. The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted vast differences across countries in their responses to the emergency and their capacities to implement public health measures that could slow the progression of the disease. As public health systems are the first line of defense during pandemics, it has become clear that sustained investment in strengthening public health infrastructure is a major need in all countries, irrespective of income levels. Drawing on the successful experiences of Switzerland, Georgia, and New Zealand in dealing with COVID-19, we suggest prioritizing core public health capacities with links to the International Health Regulations, improving international cooperation, coordination, and multisectoral action, addressing health inequities by targeting vulnerable groups, and enhancing health literacy, including through sophisticated and sustained communication campaigns to build resilience. These measures will ensure that health systems and communities will be better prepared for the disruptions that future disease outbreaks will inevitably bring. Public health is a multidisciplinary field concerned with the understanding of the etiology and distribution of diseases in populations rather than individuals. It looks closely at environmental, social, economic, nutritional, and behavioral factors, applies systems thinking, and employs a range of social and community interventions to preserve and protect the health of whole communities. Even though there are differences across countries in how disease prevention, health promotion, emergency preparedness, social participation, and communication within public health are framed, all share the common elements of essential public health functions, including surveillance, governance and financing, health promotion, health protection/legislation, research and human resources [4] . Evidence suggests that essential public health functions offer the most cost-effective and sustainable way to achieve universal health coverage and the Sustainable Development Goals [5] . Clinical medicine, on the other hand, is mainly concerned with the diagnosis and treatment of individuals who are already suffering from ill-health [6] . Pandemic preparedness and response require close coordination between public health and clinical medicine in all stages of the pandemic, including strengthening the resilience of primary healthcare systems to respond to infectious disease outbreaks and ensure a functional referral to other levels of care [7] ( Table 1) . Historically, the international community has vastly underestimated the risk that new and reemerging pathogens can pose globally. Even if a pandemic does not involve high mortality, the economic and social costs may still be significant. For example, the 2003 SARS pandemic, which encompassed four continents and 37 countries, resulted in a GDP loss of about US$4 billion in Hong Kong and China, US$5 billion in Singapore, and up to US$6 billion in Canada [8]. The Zika virus outbreak, affecting 76 countries, resulted in a loss of between US$7 billion and US$18 billion in Latin America and the Caribbean [9]. Globally, estimated losses from pandemics stand at US$60 billion direct costs per year, amounting to a projected US$6 trillion loss by the end of the 21st century. If indirect costs are counted, the annual number may go as high as US$490 billion [10] . Preliminary estimates indicate that the COVID-19 pandemic has already far exceeded these predictions and could itself cost up to US$10 trillion [11] . In contrast, a relatively modest investment of US$4.5 billion in public health systems, or about 65 cents per person globally, can strengthen global preparedness considerably and save many lives [12] . A sustainable commitment to prevention, including sufficient financing of public health infrastructure, may be politically challenging even in high-income countries. Public health is often considered a politically 'soft target' for budget cuts, as the benefits of population-level public health expenditure are long-term and often seem uncertain to policy-makers [13] . It is estimated that OECD countries allocate only 2% to 4% of total health expenditure to health promotion and disease prevention activities [14] . This relative underinvestment in public health compared with clinical services may not be wise, since investing in public health interventions has been shown to give fourfold economic returns to the health sector, and the wider economy for every dollar invested [15] . On average, individual-level interventions cost five times more than population-based measures [2]. Therefore, strengthening public health functions and reserving medical systems (especially hospital care) as a last resort for individual patients who need specialized care is justified from epidemiological as well as economic perspectives. The World Health Organization (WHO) relies in large part on International Health Regulations 2005 (IHR), a legally binding framework agreed upon by 196 "State Parties," to prevent and control the spread of diseases globally. In response to the IHR, many countries have developed pandemic preparedness plans and provide self-assessment annual reports to WHO on IHR implementation encompassing the core public health capacities across 13 dimensions, including legislation and financing; coordination and national IHR focal point functions; zoonotic events, and the human-animal interface; food safety; laboratory capacity; surveillance; human resources; national health emergency framework; health service provision; risk communication; points of entry; chemical events, and radiation emergencies [16] . The IHR core capacities are an integral part of essential public health operations, and their fulfillment is important for responding to public health emergencies as well as for strengthening overall national health systems and international cooperation. However, the implementation of the IHR commitments has been slow. By the end of 2015, just 35% of countries had core capacities in place [17] . A review of national pandemic preparedness plans of 35 countries in the WHO African region showed that while most countries in the region had a plan (74%), the majority of these plans were inadequate and had not been updated over time. Also, all the plans were heavily dependent on external funding, with no sustainable budget for their implementation [18] . External assistance in resource-constrained countries is often critical to complement limited domestic public health resources, and strategies should be tailored to local needs and priorities [19] . The IHR currently mandates that technical support for surveillance, epidemiology, and other core capacities be provided by high-income countries to low-income countries. During a pandemic, mobilizing bilateral funds may be difficult when all countries are busy taking care of their own needs. However, the recent pledge by the G20 member states of USD21 billion to fight the COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the spirit of solidarity and collective action needed to address global health emergencies [20] . Switzerland has also adopted a comprehensive international cooperation strategy that has placed the response to COVID-19 centerstage (Box 1). Raising the political profile of the challenges that pandemics bring will require a recognition of the political, security, poverty, gender, and developmental dimensions of public health emergencies. The inherent multidimensionality of the pandemic necessitates a coordinated multisectoral and multistakeholder response, including governments, UN agencies, and other non-state actors, such as civil society and the private sector, to link frontline infectious disease responders to a broader humanitarian and development community [21] . The example of Georgia demonstrates how a political commitment, effective public health response, and policy coherence across sectors determined the successful handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. At the time of writing, this small Caucasus country of 4 million people managed to keep the death rate relatively low at 28, out of more than 5,000 reported cases [22] (Box 2). It is well known that socioeconomic and health inequities amplify health risks for poor and marginalized populations. By some estimates, one in three annual deaths globally, that is, over 17 million deaths, are avoidable if countries introduce measures to address health inequities and the underlying determinants [23] . The experience with pandemic influenza suggests that vulnerable populations serve as a familiar clinical index of the severity of a pandemic virus [24] . Indeed, the COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated that the crisis has exacerbated pre-existing chronic conditions and resulted in poor health outcomes in many countries. A recent metaanalysis revealed that hypertension, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases -so-called non-communicable diseases -are major risk factors for patients with COVID-19 [25] . The higher prevalence of these conditions in older people, often combined with increased frailty, explains much of the higher mortality in this group. In Italy, more than two-thirds of hospitalized patients had diabetes, cardiovascular diseases or cancer, or were former smokers [26] . In addition, people with COVID-19 have a higher likelihood of depression and lower healthrelated quality of life [27] . Other important vulnerable population groups at a higher risk are refugees and migrants, as these populations are overrepresented in camps and among the homeless. Living conditions for these vulnerable populations are most affected by income and health insecurity, unemployment, access to basic hygiene measures and health services, and restricted ability to self-isolate or quarantine. Stepping up to the plate: Switzerland prioritizes international solidarity to strengthen the resilience of health systems to health shocks in countries with fragile economies. Switzerland's International Cooperation Strategy 2021-2024 emphasizes equitable access to quality basic services, particularly in the area of health. Switzerland's Foreign Health Policy 2019-2024 also aims to strengthen the resilience to health shocks of health systems in low-and middle-income countries. Finally, the prevention of epidemics in these countries, as well as in countries weakened by conflicts and other chronic crises, is one of the priorities of the Swiss Agency for Development Cooperation (SDC) Health Policy. Thanks to Switzerland's strategic role and positioning in global health, its presence in the health sector in various countries and the flexibility of its instruments, Switzerland was able to quickly contribute to the fight against the pandemic. The Federal Council decided to respond to various appeals from international organizations and forums (UN, ICRC, G20, etc.) with CHF 400 million, distributed as follows: To date, Georgia has performed well in its response to the COVID-19 pandemic, with a relatively low number of cases and mortality. Georgia's success is likely due to a number of factors: The government started preparing early and has maintained a good level of public confidence in its activities; the response has been multisectoral; the public health community has led from the start; Georgia followed all IHR requirements from the very early stages of the epidemic; monitoring and surveillance of the infection, early laboratory detection and diagnostics, contact tracing, forecasting, daily reporting to the government and awareness-raising in the population through the mass media were performed at a high professional level. The health system has been strengthening its human resources for health for a number of years, so the frontline workers were well-prepared for the emergency. In addition, Georgia mounted a multisectoral response involving not only the health sector but also the ministries of education, finance, foreign affairs and border security. The leading Georgian public health institution -the National Center for Disease Control and Public Healthcontinually monitored the best practices of major world health institutions, such as WHO, Public Health England, the BMJ, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), the US CDC, the Chinese CDC, the Robert Koch Institute, and the Bunderswehr Institute of Microbiology, and incorporated best practices from these entities into the fight against COVID-19. The fact that the public health community in Georgia led the response to COVID-19 was critical to the country's successful response to the outbreak. In sum, a strong public health leadership from the beginning of the outbreak, policy coherence and multisectoral collaboration, implementation of IHR at the national level, international cooperation and community engagement through public education campaigns were important determining factors in slowing the spread and managing the infection throughout the country. It is also worth noting that 80% of refugees live in lowor middle-income countries (LMIC), the countries that are expected to experience the fourth wave of COVID-19, after China, Europe, and the USA [28] . People living with disabilities is another group experiencing high vulnerability during public health emergencies. Explicitly including vulnerable populations in pandemic preparedness plans will help reduce disproportionate negative outcomes for them and will also support a more equitable distribution of health across different groups, while seeking to maximize overall population health. This will also support building the resilience of communities as a whole so they will be better protected against the disruptions that future disease outbreaks may bring. Risk communication and sustained public health information campaigns are a big part of emergency preparedness and effective pandemic response. However, the uptake of information is dependent on literacy rates, cultural sensitivities, pre-existing beliefs, and familiarity with basic science (e.g. the germ theory of disease) [29] . The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the fact that the lack of health literacy is "an underestimated public health problem globally [30] ." Health literacy, defined as "the degree to which individuals have the capacity to obtain, process and understand basic health information and services needed to make appropriate health decisions [31] ," is a prerequisite for adopting healthy behaviors that can prevent both communicable and noncommunicable diseases. In Europe, nearly half the adult population is reporting having problems with health literacy and a lack of relevant competencies to take care of their health and that of their families [32] . Low health literacy is linked to poor hygiene practices at the individual, household, community, and institutional levels, which may lead to or exacerbate disease outbreaks. Handwashing with soap has been recognized as one of the most cost-effective health interventions to reduce the burden of disease. Yet, only 19% of the global population is estimated to wash their hands with soap after using sanitation facilities [33] . Efforts to improve population health literacy can bring tremendous benefits in terms of building populations' resilience to health threats, promoting healthy lifestyle changes, and empowering individuals to make informed health decisions. Decision-makers have a responsibility to identify the health literacy needs of their populations and invest in sustained public information campaigns as part of pandemic preparedness and response. A highly effective public communications campaign has been critical to New Zealand's success with its pandemic response to date (Box 3). While the world is still waiting for a much-needed vaccine and treatment against COVID-19, now is the time to rethink and 'reboot' our approach to pandemic preparedness by strengthening public health systems and multisectoral coordination and their links to the IHR. Countries vary in terms of geographic and population sizes, the level of economic development, epidemiological profiles, political systems, health systems maturity, and other contextual factors influencing their ability to plan and respond to epidemics. However, pandemic preparedness should be part of a broader public health strategy in any setting, and long-term investments will be required to strengthen core public health capacities even after the current pandemic abates and other priorities emerge. This will contribute to building resilient communities capable Box 3: Building public trust and confidence: sustained clear communication was a key public health intervention in New Zealand's successful pandemic response, especially in achieving high levels of cooperation with a countrywide 'lockdown.' The New Zealand Ministry of Health started daily media briefings on 27 January, a month before the country's first case of COVID-19 on 28 February. These briefings, led by senior public health officials, informed the population about emerging evidence and experience in other countries to ensure, inter alia, that the population knew what was happening and what might happen next. The country had a comprehensive pandemic influenza plan. However, it quickly became apparent from the experience of other countries that a move from 'stamping' out the virus to 'managing it' would not only have a significant impact on the health and wellbeing of the population, it would also likely compromise the health care system and have a sizable economic and social effect. Health and other government officials worked closely with political leaders to build confidence and trust across the country in the core public health interventions (testing, contact tracing, and isolating cases and potential contacts) and in pursuing a strategy of elimination involving substantial border restrictions. A sustained public communications campaign with clear and simple messages helped people to understand the actions underway and provided practical advice on what people could do to look after their own and their family's health. When the Government announced and implemented in March a strict nationwide 'lockdown', requiring most people to stay at home for at least four weeks, there was a high degree of public support (over 90 percent) and co-operation, despite the considerable impact on people's lives and livelihoods. The simple message of "Stay home; Save lives; Be kind" was highly effective in unifying people behind the lockdown, which was successful in breaking the chain of COVID-19 transmission across the country. of enduring the unavoidable public health threats of tomorrow, including the shocks of pandemics. There is no good substitute for prevention. Strong organized efforts by multiple stakeholders, including governments, civil society, international, public and private organizations, and individuals at all levels, will be key not only to improving pandemic preparedness but also to achieving sustainable strengthening of health systems for a healthier future and well-being for all. GHRFF Commission Why inequality could spread COVID-19 Commission on a Global Health Risk Framework for the Future. The Neglected Dimension of Global Security: A Framework to Counter Infectious Disease Crises Return on investment of public health interventions: A systematic review. Epidemiol Community Health Using economic evidence to help make the case for investing in health promotion and disease prevention. The European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies. World Health Organization The Impact of Chronic Underfunding on America's Public Health System: Trends, Risks, and Recommendations Return on investment of public health interventions: A systematic review. Epidemiol Community Health World Health Organization. Strengthening health security by implementing international health regulations Lessons learnt from implementation of the International Health Regulations: A systematic review Pandemic influenza preparedness in the WHO African region: Are we ready yet? Pandemics: Risks, Impacts, and Mitigation Gridlock, innovation and resilience in global health governance Situation Report -198 Saudi Arabia 2020: G20 contributes over USD21 billion to fight COVID-19 Mobilising "vulnerability" in the public health response to pandemic influenza Health equity: The key for transformational change Does comorbidity increase the risk of patients with COVID-19: Evidence from metaanalysis COVID-19 and Italy: What next? People with suspected COVID-19 symptoms were more likely depressed and had lower health-related quality of life: The potential benefit of health literacy Refugee and migrant health in the COVID-19 response COVID-19: Health literacy is an underestimated problem Health Literacy: A Prescription to End Confusion Health literacy in Europe: Comparative results of the European health literacy survey (HLS-EU) Hygiene and health: Systematic review of handwashing practices worldwide and update of health effects The authors have no competing interests to declare. All authors had a role in writing the manuscript.Publisher's Note This paper underwent peer review using the Cross-Publisher COVID-19 Rapid Review Initiative.