key: cord-0868287-v5htbbzj authors: Janevic, Teresa; Lieb, Whitney; Ibroci, Erona; Lynch, Jezelle; Lieber, Molly; Molenaar, Nina M.; Rommel, Anna-Sophie; de Witte, Lotje; Ohrn, Sophie; Carreño, Juan Manuel; Krammer, Florian; Zapata, Lauren B.; Snead, Margaret Christine; Brody, Rachel I.; Jessel, Rebecca H.; Sestito, Stephanie; Adler, Alan; Afzal, Omara; Gigase, Frederieke; Missall, Roy; Carrión, Daniel; Stone, Joanne; Bergink, Veerle; Dolan, Siobhan M.; Howell, Elizabeth A. title: The influence of structural racism, pandemic stress, and SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy with adverse birth outcomes date: 2022-04-21 journal: Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM DOI: 10.1016/j.ajogmf.2022.100649 sha: a5c4f4627e91480f85acb7771f2c227d3dfa6dfe doc_id: 868287 cord_uid: v5htbbzj Background: Structural racism and pandemic-related stress from the COVID-19 pandemic may increase risk of adverse birth outcomes. Objective: Our objective was to examine associations between neighborhood measures of structural racism and pandemic stress with three outcomes: SARS-CoV-2 infection, preterm birth (PTB) and delivering a newborn small-for-gestational-age (SGA). Our secondary objective was to investigate the joint associations of SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy and neighborhood measures on PTB and SGA. Study Design: We analyzed data for 967 patients from a prospective cohort of pregnant persons in New York City, comprised of 367 White persons (38%), 169 Black persons (17%), 293 Latina persons (30%), 87 Asian persons (9%), 41 persons of unknown race-ethnicity (4%), and 10 of unknown race-ethnicity (1%). We evaluated structural racism (social/built structural disadvantage, racial-economic segregation) and pandemic-related stress (community COVID-19 mortality, community unemployment rate increase) in quartiles by zip code. SARS-CoV-2 serologic enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was performed on blood samples from pregnant persons. We ascertained preterm birth (PTB) and small-for-gestational age (SGA) from an electronic medical record database. We used log-binomial regression with robust standard error for clustering by zip code to estimate associations of each neighborhood measure separately with three outcomes: SARS-CoV-2 infection, PTB, and SGA. Covariates included maternal age, parity, insurance status, and BMI. Models with PTB and SGA as the dependent variables additionally adjusted for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Results: 193 (20%) persons were SARS-CoV-2 seropositive, and the overall risk of PTB and SGA were 8.4% and 9.8%, respectively. Among birthing persons in neighborhoods in the highest quartile of structural disadvantage (n=190), 94% were non-White, 50% had public insurance, 41% were obese, 32% were seropositive, 11% delivered preterm, and 12% delivered an infant SGA. Among birthing persons in neighborhoods in the lowest quartile of structural disadvantage (n=360), 39% were non-White, 17% had public insurance, 15% were obese, 9% were seropositive, 6% delivered preterm, and 10% delivered an infant SGA. In adjusted analyses structural racism measures and community unemployment were associated with both SARS-CoV-2 infection and PTB, but not SGA. High vs. low structural disadvantage was associated with an adjusted relative risk (aRR) of 2.6 for infection (95% Confidence Interval (CI)=1.7, 3.9) and 1.7 for PTB (95%CI=1.0, 2.9); high vs. low racial-economic segregation was associated with aRR of 1.9 (95% CI=1.3, 2.8) for infection and 2.0 (95%CI=1.3, 3.2) for PTB; high vs. low community unemployment increase was associated with aRR of 1.7 (95% CI=1.2, 1.5) for infection and 1.6 (95%CI=1.0, 2.8) for PTB. COVID-19 mortality rate was associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection, but not PTB or SGA. SARS-CoV-2 infection was not independently associated with birth outcomes. We found no interaction between SARS-CoV-2 infection and neighborhood measures on PTB or SGA. Conclusions: Neighborhood measures of structural racism were associated with both SARS-CoV-2 infection and PTB, but these associations were independent and did not have a synergistic effect. Community unemployment rate increases were also associated with an increased risk of PTB independently of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Mitigating these factors might reduce the impact of the pandemic on pregnant people. The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic is exacerbated by pre-existing structures of racism and socioeconomic inequity. 1 In March 2020, New York City (NYC) emerged as the first epicenter of the pandemic in the US and one of the first regions where stark pandemic-related inequities became apparent, including among pregnant people. 2 Latina pregnant persons are more likely to test positive for the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) at delivery than non-Latina White persons, [3] [4] [5] and Latina pregnant persons have increased risks for ICU admission and invasive ventilation compared with non-pregnant Black and Latina pregnant persons. 6 Many studies have found that asymptomatic or mild SARS-CoV-2 infection does not seem to increase risk of adverse birth outcomes, but moderate to severe COVID-19 is associated with higher rates of adverse birth outcomes including stillbirth and PTB. [7] [8] [9] [10] It is plausible that SARS-CoV-2 infection interacts synergistically with social determinants of health to increase risk of adverse birth outcomes, potentially explaining disparate findings across study populations, but this hypothesis has not been rigorously tested. Besides direct health effects from SARS-CoV-2 infection, persons of color are also more likely to experience pandemic-related psychosocial and economic impacts during and after pregnancy. 11, 12 Further, evidence suggests that individuals reporting high levels of perceived prenatal stress during the pandemic have a higher risk of preterm birth (PTB) and delivering infants small for gestational age (SGA). 13 Stress might also operate at the community-level. Scholars have described the "collective trauma" of the COVID-19 pandemic on communities, particularly communities of color. 14 Understanding the impact of structural and social changes due to the pandemic on perinatal outcomes has been identified as a research priority. 15 The purpose of this study is to understand how existing structures of racism and socioeconomic inequity, as well as pandemic-related social and economic stressors, influence SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy and adverse birth outcomes. We analyzed data from 967 persons from the Generation C study, a prospective pregnancy cohort. Our first objective was to examine associations between neighborhood measures of structural racism and pandemic stress with three primary outcomes: SARS-CoV-2 infection, PTB and delivering a newborn SGA. Our second objective was to investigate the joint associations of SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy and neighborhood measures on adverse birth outcomes. The Generation C Study is a prospective cohort study of SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy, details of which have been previously published. 16 Birthing patients aged 18 years or older receiving obstetrical care in the Mount Sinai Health System were recruited starting in April 2020. We obtained informed consent per study protocol approved by Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Program for the Protection of Human Subjects. The activity was reviewed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy. Patients were invited by clinical or research staff to participate at either a prenatal care visit or upon admission to labor and delivery. We analyzed blood samples collected of 1137 participants expected to deliver in 2020 based on 40 week gestational length. We limited the sample to live births and excluded participants with twin pregnancies and those who did not reside in NYC, resulting in an analytic sample of 967 persons residing in 144 NYC zip codes. We used an established index to quantify structural disadvantage leading to increased risk of infection. 17 In brief, the index was created using Bayesian Weighted Quantile Sums (BWQS) regression using 2018 U.S. census data and publicly available NYC SARS-CoV-2 test data as of May 7, 2020 from NYC Open and New York Open. 18 The index, henceforth referred to as the Covid Disadvantage Index (CDI), is composed of 10 indicators of the built and social environment, weighted for their contribution to variation in the NYC SARS-CoV-2 infection rate, e.g. the number of people in a household, the proportion of the population who are essential workers, the proportion of the population who rely on public transit to commute, the proportion of people without health insurance, median income, percent working from home, percent unemployed, population density by residential volume, and number of grocers per 1,000 residents. The CDI has not previously been tested in association with SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity. The Index of Concentration at the Extremes (ICE) is a measure of racial and economic segregation that portrays a form of extreme segregation known as spatial polarization . 19 It measures the concentration of Black, low-income households relative to White, high-income households. The ICE has been studied as a proxy for structural racism in association with adverse maternal and infant outcomes. [20] [21] [22] We used ICE measures based on 2014-2018 American Community Survey (ACS) data made available by the Public Health Disparities Geocoding Project. 23 We use the term "community stress" to represent neighborhood-level social and economic impacts of the pandemic. The first measure we used was the COVID-19 mortality rate as a marker of community trauma due to death of neighbors, friends, and loved ones. We obtained COVID-19 mortality rates by zip code as of December 2020 from the NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene website. The second measure of pandemic stress was increased unemploymentrate. We obtained monthly unemployment rates from Catalist, LLC 24 by census tract and converted them to zip code using the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) crosswalk. 25 We calculated community unemployment rate changes by subtracting December 2020 from January 2020. We obtained blood specimens from pregnant patients during routine prenatal care and/or admission to labor and delivery. We analyzed SARS-CoV-2 antibody titers using serologic enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA). 26 The test has high sensitivity (95.0%) and specificity (100%), as determined with an initial validation panel of samples, with a positive predictive value of 100%, and a negative predictive value of 97.0%. Although SARS-CoV-2 vaccines became available to health care workers in New York in early December 2020, it is unlikely that any participant was vaccinated prior to serum collection in this analysis. MSHS conducts universal molecular testing for pregnant people prior to admission as standard care. 27 A nucleic acid reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test to detect SARS-CoV-2 is performed on a nasopharyngeal RT-PCR swab sample using the Roche Cobas 6800 System. All patients with a positive RT-PCR result (n=25) also had a positive SARS-CoV-2 antibody result, and were categorized together as "seropositive". We obtained gestational age and birth weight at delivery from the electronic medical record (EMR). PTB was defined as delivery prior to 37 completed weeks gestation based on the best clinical estimate of gestational age. SGA was calculated at the 10 th sex-specific percentile based on the 2017 U.S. birth standard. 28 Race and ethnicity were based on participant self-report in the EMR and categorized: White, non-Latina White (henceforth "White"); Black, non-Latina (henceforth "Black"); Latina; Asian, non-Latina; and Other, non-Latina. We further categorized all categories except non-Latina White as Black, Indigenous, and people of color (BIPOC). We extracted covariates from We divided neighborhood measures into quartiles based on the distribution in the analytic sample and used choropleth maps to describe the geographic distribution (Supplemental Figure 1 ). We used log-binomial marginal regression with a robust variance estimator to account for clustering by zip code to estimate the relative risk for each outcome (SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity, PTB, SGA) by neighborhood measure quartile. We tested for the presence of spatial autocorrelation using Moran's I and Geary's C, using the centroid coordinates for zip code tabulation areas. 29, 30 The residuals from associations between both CDI and ICE with seropositivity showed spatial correlation using Geary's C (p=0.007 for CDI, p=0.003 for ICE), but not Moran's I (p=0.32 for CDI, p=0.74 for ICE). To determine if accounting for this spatial correlation influenced our estimates, we estimated multilevel log binomial models with a Gaussian covariance structure. Estimates and standard errors were similar within two decimal places, so we elected to use the marginal model with an unstructured covariance matrix across models. Covariates were selected based on examining theoretical causal relationships pictorially in a directed acyclic graph, i.e. factors which are plausibly associated with both neighborhood measures and outcomes, but not on the causal pathway. 31 We did not include race/ethnicity as a covariate in adjusted models because we view race/ethnicity as a social construct, a downstream effect of structural racism, 32 and therefore inclusion in multivariable models would dilute the influence of structural racism. We instead stratified associations by non-Latina White vs. BIPOC and tested an interaction term in the total population model. We did not have sufficient sample size to stratify by BIPOC groups; although we acknowledge that this category might encompass a diverse range of exposure to structural racism and pandemic stress. To test the joint association of each neighborhood measure and SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy with adverse birth outcomes, we collapsed structural racism and pandemic stress measures into dichotomous categories, then created a 4-level variable to examine each joint association (e.g., high stress/seropositive, high stress/seronegative, low stress/seropositive, low-stress/seronegative). We then tested associations between these joint association terms and adverse birth outcomes. We performed several sensitivity analyses. For analyses with SGA as the outcome, we excluded preterm infants (n=81) to disentangle preterm birth and SGA so any observed associations would better reflect intra-uterine growth restriction. We also limited analyses to persons for whom measures were collected prospectively, i.e., persons enrolled before 37 weeks. In our analytic sample, 193 (20%) persons tested positive and 774 (80%) tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Participant demographic and obstetric characteristics are shown overall and by level of structural disadvantage in Table 1 . A higher proportion of persons in Q1 (high disadvantage index) self-identified as Black (29%) or Latina (56%) while a higher proportion of persons in Q4 (low disadvantage index) self-identified as non-Latina White (61%). More persons in Q1 had public health insurance (50%) than persons in Q4 (17%). Compared to persons in Q4, a higher proportion of persons in Q1 were overweight or obese and were nulliparous. In unadjusted analyses, across neighborhood measures, higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity during pregnancy was seen for Q1 compared to Q4 ( (Table 2 ), but the interaction term was statistically significant only for community COVID-19 mortality rate (P<0.001). Overall, 8.4% of births were preterm. SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity was not associated with PTB (Supplemental Figure 2 ). Risk ratios for Q1 vs. Q4 in association with PTB were 1.8 for structural disadvantage (95% CI=1.1, 3.0), 2.2 for racial-economic segregation ICE (95% CI=1.4, 3.4), 1.7 for COVID-19 mortality rate (95% CI=1.0, 2.8), and 1.8 for community unemployment rate increase (95% CI=1.1, 2.9) ( Table 3) . Risk ratios were partially attenuated in adjusted analyses. Among persons identifying as BIPOC, the magnitude of Q1 vs. Q4 adjusted risk ratios was diminished and confidence intervals overlapped 1 for all measures, with the exception of racial and economic segregation, for which the aRR remained of the same magnitude as the overall estimate (aRR=2.0, 95% CI=1.0, 4.0). SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity was not associated with SGA (Supplemental Figure 2) . In unadjusted and adjusted analyses, risk ratios for structural racism and pandemic stress measures and SGA (Q1, Q2, and Q3 vs. Q4) were null (Table 4) . For structural racism measures, pregnant individuals residing in "highly" (Q1) disadvantaged or segregated neighborhoods who were seropositive had the highest risk of PTB ( Figure 1 ), but the joint association was not greater than the combined risk of each risk individually, so no evidence of interaction was present. For pandemic stress measures, no clear pattern of risk was found. Joint association risk ratios for SGA were uniformly null. In the sensitivity analysis restricting SGA models to term infants, associations remained null (Supplemental Table 1 ). Results were also similar when restricting the sample to prospectively collected serum samples (Supplemental Table 2 ). We found that markers of structural racism and inequities were associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection in pregnant persons in NYC. The same structural inequities were also associated with adverse birth outcomes; however, associations were not explained by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Community unemployment was also modestly associated with both SARS-CoV-2 infection and PTB. We did not find interaction between SARS-CoV-2 infection and structural measures of racism and pandemic stress on adverse birth outcomes. Overall, a pattern was seen in which non-Latina White pregnant persons in the most privileged neighborhoods had the lowest risk of adverse outcomes. We found that neighborhood structural and socioeconomic inequities profoundly influenced the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, but that neighborhood inequity and infection did not work synergistically to worsen pregnancy outcomes. This finding adds to the body of evidence on structural racism and the COVID-19 pandemic. 33 Birthing persons in neighborhoods with a higher relative concentration of Black, low-income households and high structural disadvantage were more likely to have SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. This was true regardless of individual patient characteristics, including race/ethnicity. Most notably, our findings regarding community unemployment suggest that the economic crisis accompanying the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with PTB, consistent with existing evidence on the negative impact of unemployment and economic downturns on birth outcomes. Finch et al. found exposure to the Great Recession increased risk of PTB. 34 Similar associations have been reported between macroeconomic conditions and PTB. 35 Notably, pandemic economic stress and PTB in our cohort appeared to be higher for BIPOC persons. Black and Hispanic women in the COVID-19 pandemic were most affected by unemployment. 36 This differential impact of the economic crisis at the individual level could explain our findings. Both structural racism and pandemic stress were associated with higher risk of PTB but did not appear to be worsened in combination with SARS-CoV-2 infection. A major goal of our analysis was to test if SARS-CoV-2 infection interacted with social vulnerability on the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes, which might have in part explained conflicting findings regarding SARS-CoV-2 infection and PTB. 37 The mechanism supporting a potential synergistic effect is plausible. Both psychosocial stress in highly impacted neighborhoods and SARS-CoV-2 infection might trigger an inflammatory response in both the mother and fetus, which in turn might influence parturition or impaired fetal growth . 38 Our findings do not support this hypothesis. However, clinicians should be aware of the potential negative effects of structural racism and the economic crisis on patients. A major challenge in researching adverse birth outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic is that etiology is difficult to detect due to the likely co-occurrence of both protective and harmful factors. Protective factors due to COVID-19 related lockdown measures include, but are not limited to working from home, limited commuting, reduced physical stress, wearing of masks, all of which can decrease the risk of infection and environmental pollutants. 39 Others have suggested a potential decrease in iatrogenic PTB given reduced antepartum surveillance. 40 Additionally, policies to mitigate the economic impact of the pandemic such as enhanced unemployment benefits and eviction moratorium might also have lessened the stress of these structural factors and therefore buffered risk of PTB. Future research might test at the individual level if pregnant persons experiencing social and economic stressors such as unemployment were at higher risk of PTB. This analysis had several limitations. First, we did not have information on spontaneous vs. medically indicated PTB. However, both PTB subtypes might be elevated by SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity and/or social disadvantage. 41, 42 Second, we had no information on the timing of SARS-CoV-2 infection; the antibody assays used did not indicate when an infection occurred. An important limitation is that did we have information on disease severity; it is possible that a synergistic effect of infection and disadvantage is limited to moderate or severe cases. We also were not able to systematically capture PTB or SGA still births due to enrollment after 20 weeks gestation. Another limitation was the inability to robustly examine associations within all racialethnic subgroups, which would have allowed stronger testing of mechanisms. Finally, our prospective cohort was not population-based. The study does have several strengths. The Generation C study leverages high numbers of infected patients and can classify patients as ever vs. never infected through antibody testing, which allows us to disentangle community stress exposures from infection. Further, the study population is diverse, with a substantial number of Black and Latina patients across neighborhood types. White patients, however, clustered in the more privileged neighborhoods and had low risk of adverse outcomes. This strong imprint of structural racism on our data created statistical limitations for some analyses, underscoring the need for COVID-19 research to focus within populations of those most affected-Black and Latina individuals. Further, NYC might not be representative of other urban populations. Also, out-migration of pregnant persons from NYC during the pandemic limits generalizability. 43 In our study of pregnant persons in NYC, the same neighborhoods most affected by structural racism and pandemic stress experienced the highest risk of PTB. However, no evidence was found that SARS-CoV-2 infection and pandemic stress had synergistic effects on adverse birth outcomes. Nonetheless, our study demonstrates that pregnant persons of color are disproportionately impacted by SARS-CoV-2 infection and pandemic-related community stressors. Mitigating structural racism and socioeconomic inequity could reduce the impact of the pandemic on pregnant persons. 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