key: cord-0913808-1myamhg1 authors: Permana, Hikmat; Huang, Ian; Purwiga, Aga; Kusumawardhani, Nuraini Yasmin; Sihite, Teddy Arnold; Martanto, Erwan; Wisaksana, Rudi; Soetedjo, Nanny Natalia M. title: In-hospital use of statins is associated with a reduced risk of mortality in coronavirus-2019 (COVID-19): systematic review and meta-analysis date: 2021-02-20 journal: Pharmacol Rep DOI: 10.1007/s43440-021-00233-3 sha: 16b0190d1eb827955e686bb4c67c506506c9befa doc_id: 913808 cord_uid: 1myamhg1 BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The idea of treating COVID-19 with statins is biologically plausible, although it is still controversial. The systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to address the association between the use of statins and risk of mortality in patients with COVID-19. METHODS: Several electronic databases, including PubMed, SCOPUS, EuropePMC, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, with relevant keywords up to 11 November 2020, were used to perform a systematic literature search. This study included research papers containing samples of adult COVID-19 patients who had data on statin use and recorded mortality as their outcome of interest. Risk estimates of mortality in statin users versus non-statin users were pooled across studies using inverse-variance weighted DerSimonian-Laird random-effect models. RESULTS: Thirteen studies with a total of 52,122 patients were included in the final qualitative and quantitative analysis. Eight studies reported in-hospital use of statins; meanwhile, the remaining studies reported pre-admission use of statins. In-hospital use of statin was associated with a reduced risk of mortality (RR 0.54, 95% CI 0.50–0.58, p < 0.00001; I(2): 0%, p = 0.87), while pre-admission use of statin was not associated with mortality (RR 1.18, 95% CI 0.79–1.77, p = 0.415; I(2): 68.6%, p = 0.013). The funnel plot for the association between the use of statins and mortality were asymmetrical. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis showed that in-hospital use of statins was associated with a reduced risk of mortality in patients with COVID-19. Many believe we are now approaching the end of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic by the ultimate discovery of effective SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. However, there is still a time gap before the global vaccination could finally be completed. In the meantime, we still need to take preventive measures for COVID-19 and its fatal complications by not only controlling specific chronic comorbidities [1] [2] [3] [4] , but also seeking the possible adjunctive treatment for patients already in severe COVID-19 condition [5] . Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and thromboembolism are the two notorious complications that cause a high mortality rate among hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19 [6, 7] . Current evidence suggests that lethal complications of SARS-CoV-2 infection originate from the "overactive" inflammatory response, which culminates in cytokine storms [8] . The initial inflammatory response occurs after the SARS-CoV-2 invasion cause disruption of both the epithelial and endothelial cells in alveoli [9, 10] . The subsequent endothelial dysfunction, release of inflammatory cytokines, thrombin generation, and fibrin clot deposition ultimately conclude in ARDS and catastrophic hypercoagulable state in COVID-19 [11] . Statins appear to hold the rationale as adjunctive therapy of COVID-19. Statins are more than lipid-lowering agents; they wield a pleiotropic effect with anti-inflammatory, immunomodulatory, and antithrombotic properties [12] [13] [14] . Studies have shown that statins could improve the outcomes of patients with community-acquired pneumonia [15, 16] . However, the use of statins in COVID-19 patients is still controversial. Cariou et al. reported an increased risk of mortality among statin users [17] , while Zhang et al. reported otherwise [18] . Therefore, we aimed to address the association between the use of statins and risk of mortality in patients with COVID-19. Several electronic databases, including PubMed, SCO-PUS, EuropePMC, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, with relevant keywords ("COVID-19" OR "SARS-CoV-2") AND ("statin" or "HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors" or "simvastatin" or "atorvastatin" or "rosuvastatin" or "pitavastatin" or "lovastatin" or "fluvastatin") AND "mortality", were used to perform a systematic literature search by three independent authors (HP, IH, and NS). We restricted the time of published articles from 1 December 2019 until our search finalization, which was 11 November 2020. Any duplicate records were removed after obtaining the initial results. By screening the title and abstracts, potential articles were then sorted. Afterwards, the full texts of the remaining articles were assessed for relevance based on eligibility criteria. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines was carried out as the core protocol in this study. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) research articles (either observational or interventional studies), (2) in adults patients with confirmed COVID-19 based on reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test, (3) which had data on the use of statins (either pre-admission or in-hospital use of statins), and (4) reported all types of mortality. In-hospital use of statins was defined as the use of statins during hospitalization. In contrast, statins that were chronically or routinely taken before hospital admission were defined as pre-admission use of statins. The latter also included the use of statins, which was not explicitly stated as being continued during hospitalization. The outcome of interest was all types of mortality, including inhospital mortality and 14-or 28-days (30-days) mortality. Non-research letters, review articles, case reports, research samples < 18 years old, and non-English language articles, were excluded from this study. Information from the included studies was collected by three independent authors (HP, IH, NS) using a pre-specified form. This form consisted of the first author, design of the study, location, samples, age, sex, use of statins (preadmission or in-hospital), type and dose of statins, mortality, adjusted estimate, and covariates adjustment. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS), which is quality assessment tool for non-randomized studies [19] , was used independently by the three authors (HP, IH, and NS) for the included studies. Any disagreements were decided through discussion. Meta-analysis of included studies was conducted using STATA 16 (StataCorp LLC, Texas, US). In this analysis, hazard ratio (HR), odds ratio (OR), and risk ratio were regarded as comparable measures of risk estimates and defined as relative risk (RR) in this study. RRs of mortality in statin users versus non-statin users were pooled across studies using inverse-variance weighted DerSimonian-Laird random-effect models. Statistically significant values were considered if the P-values were < 0.05. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using I-square (I 2 ) statistic, with a value of > 50 percent or P-values < 0.10 suggesting heterogeneity. Any significant heterogeneity was further assessed with leave-one-out sensitivity analysis. Funnel-plot asymmetry test was used to assess the presence of publication bias. There were 812 records from our initial searches, which was reduced to 793 after duplicates removal. We excluded 762 records after title and abstract screening. After assessing 31 full texts of the remaining articles for eligibility, eight articles were excluded, because they did not report either number of mortality or adjusted estimates of mortality in the statin group. Five studies were also excluded because they did not report mortality as outcome of interest. Three other articles did not report the use of statin, while two articles were preprints. Thereby, 13 studies with a total of 52,122 patients met our inclusion criteria and were included in the [17, 18, [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] . Eight studies reported in-hospital use of statins; meanwhile, the remaining studies reported pre-admission use of statins. The baseline characteristics of the included studies can be seen in Table 1 . In-hospital use of statin was associated with a reduced risk of mortality (RR 0.54, 95% CI 0.50-0.58], p < 0.00001; I 2 : 0%, p = 0.87) (Fig. 2 ). Pre-admission use of statin was not associated with mortality (RR 1.18, 95% CI 0.79-1.77], p = 0.415; I 2 : 68.6%, p = 0.013) (Fig. 3) . Leave-one out sensitivity analysis could not significantly reduce heterogeneity. Most studies included in this analysis were considered as high quality (Table 1 ). The risk of bias was mainly due to insufficient data validators and inadequate data reporting. The funnel plot for the association between the use of statins, both in-hospitals and pre-admission, and mortality were asymmetrical (Fig. 4a, b ). The differentiation between in-hospital and pre-admission statins use proved to be the key explanation that illuminates the conflicting evidence of previous studies. The association between statins and increased risk of mortality among hospitalized diabetic patients with COVID-19 was previously reported by Cariou et al. [17] ; however, the authors explicitly stated that they lacked information on whether statins were continued during hospitalization. Suppose the study sample on diabetic patients was used as a justification for this occurrence. In that case, it could not explain the results of Saeed et al., which showed a significant reduction of inhospital mortality among diabetic patients with COVID-19 receiving statins [21] . This current meta-analysis showed that in-hospital use of statins was significantly associated with reduced risk of mortality in patients with COVID-19. The mortality risk reduction was almost 50% compared to non-statin users with good consistency across all the included studies. Meanwhile, pre-admission use of statins did not exert the same benefit. Previous two meta-analyses in smaller scales showed conflicting results. Kow et al. reported that the use of statins significantly reduced risk for fatal or severe disease in COVID-19 [31] , whereas Hariyanto et al. showed the insignificant associations between statins and poor outcome [32] . Interestingly, both of the studies did not differentiate between in-hospital and pre-admission use of statins. This differentiation further translated into low levels of heterogeneity and statistically significant association. Statins are widely known as lipid-lowering agents with pleiotropic effects on inflammation, immunomodulation, and oxidative stress [13] . Despite their pharmacodynamic properties, statins are readily available, inexpensive, and have well-established safety profiles, which contribute to the ongoing use of these drugs to improve disease outcome in influenza and other viral illnesses [33] . The use of statins in reducing mortality among hospitalized patients infected with influenza was reported previously by Vandermeer et al. and Laidler et al. [34, 35] , although the latter concluded that the unmeasured variables may confound the effect. However, the evidence that statins reduce mortality in influenza patients has led to their consideration as potential adjunctive treatments to reduce mortality in emerging viral diseases likely to cause significant epidemics [36] . Numerous experts postulated that the benefits of statin in COVID-19 might be related to the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) expressions [13, 37] . ACE2 is the tissue receptor that facilitates the entry of SARS-CoV-2 into host cells [38] . This receptor is expressed not only in the lungs but is also found throughout the body, including the heart, vasculature, brain, gastrointestinal tract, and the kidneys [39] . ACE2 plays an important role in counter-regulating the renin-angiotensin system, especially in the conversion of angiotensin (AT) II to AT-(1-7). AT-(1-7) counteracts the effects of AT II, which induces inflammation, increased oxidative stress, vasoconstriction, and fibrosis, leading to tissue injuries [40] . A previous study reported that statins increase the expression of ACE2 by approximately two-fold [41] , and the increased activity of ACE2 has been associated with decreased incidence of ARDS [42] . Nevertheless, whether there is an association between ACE2 activities and the severity of COVID-19 is still a matter of debate. A recent trial of medication known to upregulate ACE2 expressions showed no effects on the outcome of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 [43, 44] . This study's novel finding, which was the mortality risk reduction only among hospitalized COVID-19 patients with in-hospital use of statins, might be due to the drug's direct antiviral effects (Table 2) . Statins may prevent SARS-CoV-2 entry to the respiratory epithelial cells through the modulation of CD-147, a cell surface protein with an essential role in facilitating viral access to the host cells [45] . Furthermore, the drugs could inhibit SARS-CoV-2 replication by directly interacting with the viral main protease (Mpro), which serves as a key enzyme in proteolytic maturation [46] . The direct nature of antiviral actions of statins in COVID-19 Another potential biological hypothesis on the benefits of using statins to treat COVID-19 relates to their anti-inflammatory, immunomodulatory, and antithrombotic properties [12] . Hyper-inflammatory condition leading to cytokine storms along with hypercoagulable state are considered hallmarks of severe COVID-19 [47] . These conditions may ultimately culminate in MOF and even death [48] . Statins may confer their benefit in attenuating inflammation by the modulation of Toll-like receptor and NOD-like receptor activities [49] , thus reducing the hyperinflammatory state in severe COVID-19. It has been shown previously that high dose administration of simvastatin can reduce the production of IL-6 and IL-1β cytokines [50] . The advent of lung pathology has facilitated the observation of occlusion and micro-thrombosis in the small pulmonary vessels of critically ill COVID-19 patients [51] . It has elucidated the benefit of using anticoagulant therapy in hospitalized COVID-19 patients [52] . It seems that the antithrombotic activities of statins could also play a role. The use of statins is associated with decreased plasma levels of von Willebrand factor antigen (vWF:Ag) and plasma endothelin-1 concentrations [53, 54] . Reduced concentrations of both plasma vWF:Ag and endothelin-1 contribute to the antithrombotic properties of statins. Although this meta-analysis showed preliminary evidence for in-hospital use of statins in reducing the risk of mortality among patients with COVID-19, there were several possible caveats. Any verdict regarding the benefits of statins on the outcome of COVID-19 patients could not be drawn conclusively due to the nature of retrospective and observational studies included in this analysis. These included studies could not accurately measure the strength of the association; thus, further randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm the benefits of statins. Moreover, cautious interpretation of the findings of this meta-analysis should take into account the possible presence of publication bias as denoted by the asymmetrical funnel plot. Lastly, the type and the dose of statins in more than half of the included studies were mostly not described. In-hospital use of statins was associated with a reduced risk of mortality in patients with COVID-19. Meanwhile, preadmission use of statins did not exert the same effect. 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