key: cord-0956718-eak6e3s7 authors: nan title: COVIDTrach: a prospective cohort study of mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19 undergoing tracheostomy in the UK date: 2021-07-08 journal: BMJ Surg Interv Health Technol DOI: 10.1136/bmjsit-2020-000077 sha: 331d8b5e01beca42741d70cf3603297fa13b472e doc_id: 956718 cord_uid: eak6e3s7 OBJECTIVES: COVIDTrach is a UK multicentre prospective cohort study project that aims to evaluate the outcomes of tracheostomy in patients with COVID-19 receiving mechanical ventilation and record the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection among healthcare workers involved in the procedure. DESIGN: Data on patient demographic, clinical history and outcomes were entered prospectively and updated over time via an online database (REDCap). Clinical variables were compared with outcomes, with logistic regression used to develop a model for mortality. Participants recorded whether any operators tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 within 2 weeks of the procedure. SETTING: UK National Health Service departments involved in treating patients with COVID-19 receiving mechanical ventilation. PARTICIPANTS: The cohort comprised 1605 tracheostomy cases from 126 UK hospitals collected between 6 April and 26 August 2020. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality following tracheostomy, successful wean from mechanical ventilation and length of time from tracheostomy to wean, discharge from hospital, complications from tracheostomy, reported SARS-CoV-2 infection among operators. RESULTS: The median time from intubation to tracheostomy was 15 days (IQR 11, 21). 285 (18%) patients died following the procedure. 1229 (93%) of the survivors had been successfully weaned from mechanical ventilation at censoring and 1049 (81%) had been discharged from hospital. Age, inspired oxygen concentration, positive end-expiratory pressure setting, fever, number of days of ventilation before tracheostomy, C reactive protein and the use of anticoagulation and inotropic support independently predicted mortality. Six reports were received of operators testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 within 2 weeks of the procedure. CONCLUSIONS: Tracheostomy appears to be safe in mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19 and to operators performing the procedure and we identified clinical parameters that are predictive of mortality. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.Gov (NCT04572438). INTRODUCTION Data indicate that 5%-12% of patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection develop a severe illness requiring critical care, of whom 72%-81% require invasive mechanical ventilation. [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Standard UK intensive care practice is to consider tracheostomy after 7-10 days of invasive mechanical ventilation to aid weaning, facilitate comfort and minimise complications relating to the prolonged presence of an oral endotracheal tube. [6] [7] [8] [9] However, the role of tracheostomy in mechanically What is already known about this subject? ► In the prepandemic setting, tracheostomy is deployed routinely in intensive care patients who required prolonged mechanical ventilation. ► A number of single-centre studies have reported successful outcomes in terms or weaning from ventilation following tracheostomy in patients with COVID-19. ► High rates of infection with SARS-CoV-2 among operators performing the tracheostomy have not been reported in the small number of series that examine this question. What are the new findings? ► We provide outcome data on a national cohort of patients with COVID-19 undergoing tracheostomy and show mortality is not higher than expected. ► Age, days of mechanical ventilation preprocedure, inspired oxygen concentration and positive endexpiratory pressure setting at the time of tracheostomy and upward trending C reactive protein are independently associated with mortality. ► Out of the 1605 tracheostomy cases reviewed, only six cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection among operators were reported. How might these results affect future research or surgical practice? ► The data support the use of tracheostomy among patients with COVID-19 requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation. ► The clinical parameters highlighted in this report should be considered in the clinical decision-making of when to proceed with tracheostomy in ventilated patients with Open access ventilated patients with COVID-19 remains controversial. Guidance at the start of the pandemic, based largely on expert opinion, recommended avoiding or delaying tracheostomy until 14-21 days after intubation, [10] [11] [12] and to only proceed once the patient was COVID-19 reverse transcription (RT)-PCR test negative. [13] [14] [15] These measures aimed to prevent nosocomial infection among healthcare professionals and to avoid futile procedures in ventilated patients with COVID-19 who were predicted not to survive or benefit from the procedure. 16 17 These recommendations have since been challenged as the risk of transmission is now known to decline shortly after symptom onset and the outcome of COVID-19 testing is believed not to correlate with risk of infectivity later in the disease process. 18 19 COVIDTrach is a UK multidisciplinary collaborative project that was established to provide an evidence base for the role of tracheostomy in mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19 in intensive care units (ICUs) and to assess the occurrence of SARS-CoV-2 infection among operators. An interim report documenting the first 548 patients during the first 2 months of the pandemic reported a hospital mortality of 12%, weaning success in 52% and no instances of SARS-CoV-2 infection among operators at the time of writing. 20 This article presents a larger cohort of 1605 patients and links clinical parameters to patient outcomes using regression analysis and predictive modelling. An invitation for clinicians to participate in the COVIDTrach project was disseminated via the UK Federation of Surgical Specialty Associations, its various member organisations and the Intensive Care Society to reach all UK departments involved in tracheostomy in patients with COVID-19. Inclusion into the study was also advertised on societal websites and social media. Overall, 137 hospital sites agreed to participate across all four nations of the UK. Each participating hospital included all consecutive adult patients over 18 years of age with COVID-19 who underwent elective tracheostomy while receiving invasive mechanical ventilation. Infection was identified by a positive viral RNA test on quantitative RT-PCR testing or when strongly suspected on history, laboratory and radiological findings in the absence of viral RNA test availability or a positive result. Patients under the age of 18 years and those undergoing emergency tracheostomy were excluded. Demographic data, clinical characteristics, SARS-CoV-2 status, ventilatory requirements before tracheostomy, details of the tracheostomy and the use of personal protective equipment (PPE) were all recorded (data dictionary in online supplemental appendix). Clinical outcomes included complications, mortality, time from tracheostomy to weaning from mechanical ventilation, success, and time to tracheostomy decannulation, and time from tracheostomy to hospital discharge. Successful weaning was defined as being free from pressure support for greater than 24 hours. Participants were also asked to report whether any of the operators performing the procedure tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 within 2 weeks of the procedure. Data were collected using an online survey tool (REDCap) with return codes issued to allow participants to update clinical outcomes prospectively. All participants were asked to update the clinical outcomes of their cases by 1 July 2020 and confirm the data were complete. Hospital sites with missing data or data were followed up over the course of July and early August. Hospitals with datasets not updated by 15 August 2020 were removed from the study (n=11). All data collected were anonymised and non-identifiable and did not alter the patient's clinical care. Participant consent was not sought as per the UK Control Of Patient Information (COPI) notice (Department of Health and Social Care, 2020). Variables are presented using either mean (SD), median (IQR) or number (percentage), as appropriate. Groups of variables were compared using either t-tests or χ 2 tests, as appropriate. For regression analysis, all numerical variables, except age and body mass index, were log transformed to remove positive skewness. Logistic regression was used to develop a model for mortality, after imputing missing values using multiple imputation via chained equations. 21 In detail, the imputation model included all potential predictor variables as well as the outcome; 10 imputed datasets were produced. Backwards elimination at the 15.7% significance level was used to remove unimportant variables from the model. This model was internally validated using tenfold cross-validation. Model performance (calibration and discrimination) was assessed using the calibration slope and calibration in the large, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Multiple regression was used to develop a model for (log) time to wean success, since we only had information on those for whom wean was successful and hence there was no censoring. Backward elimination was again applied at the 15.7% significance level. Between 6 April and 26 August 2020, data were received on 1605 tracheostomies from 126 UK hospitals led by a combination of ENT, maxillofacial and intensive care specialists. The number of tracheostomy cases entered by each hospital ranged from 1 to 106 (mean 12, SD 15.2) . Across all cases, over 90% of all data points were completed in all but three variables where completeness was 85% or greater (online supplemental Operators used either a mask with FFP3 level filtration or powered air-purifying respirator (PAPR) in 1563 (99%) of cases (figure 2C). Other PPE included double gloves in 1460 (91%), a surgical gown in 1511 (94%) and a face visor was used in 1261 (96%) of cases in addition to an FFP3 mask. Intraoperative complications were reported in 147 (9%) procedures with oxygen desaturation below 80% being the most common (n=67), followed by intraoperative bleeding (n=29). Postoperative complications occurred in 356 (22%) cases; bleeding was reported in 119 (7%) patients, more frequently following open procedures (p<0.001). A leak around the tracheostomy cuff necessitating a change in tube was reported in 75 (5%) cases, 48 of these were open tracheostomies. One patient died during the tracheostomy procedure, two hundred and seventy-six (17%) patients died before weaning from mechanical ventilation and a further nine (1%) patients died between successful weaning and hospital discharge (table 3) . Overall, 249 (89%) deaths were COVID-19 related and nine patients died of tracheostomy-related complications. The median time from tracheostomy to death was 9 days (IQR 5, 14) . Characteristics of survivors and non-survivors are shown in online supplemental table 2. A multivariable logistic (11, 21) Relevant comorbidities n (%) None 391 (24) 1 563 (35) 2 412 (26) 3 120 (7) >3 36 (2) (n=1521/1605) Temperature at tracheostomy >37.5°C, n (%) Day of tracheostomy 377 (23) 1-2 days before 403 (25) 3-4 days before 250 (16) 5 days before 451 (28 Of the survivors, 1229 (93%) had been successfully weaned at the time of analysis with 1154 (88%) having undergone successful tube decannulation and 1049 (81%) discharged from hospital (table 3) . Median time from tracheostomy to discharge from hospital in survivors was 29 days (IQR 21, 42). Characteristics of surviving patients according to length of time to successful wean from ventilation are shown in online supplemental table 3. A multiple regression model for time to wean success was fitted and backward elimination applied. These results suggest that advanced age, male sex, higher PEEP setting, higher inspired oxygen requirement, use of anticoagulation (all p<0.001) and non-invasive ventilation before tracheostomy (p=0.003) were all independently associated with prolonged periods of ventilation following tracheostomy among those for whom wean was successful ( figure 2D ). An association was found between insertion technique and time to successful wean, although the difference was small (median 12 days for percutaneous vs 11 days for open method). No association was found between time from intubation to tracheostomy and time from tracheostomy to successful ventilatory wean (p=0.92). The question 'Did any of the operators test positive for COVID-19 within 2 weeks of the procedure?' was answered in 97% (1558/1605) of cases. Six instances were reported across four hospitals, four after percutaneous tracheostomy and two after open tracheostomy. Five of the cases were performed in intensive care and four within a negative pressure environment. PPE used in these cases included an FFP3 mask in four cases, a fluid-resistant hood with face visor in one, and a PAPR device in one. This study involved 126 UK hospitals reporting on 1605 individual tracheostomies between March and August 2020. (17) Outcome of second to last test before tracheostomy n (%) Positive 678 (75) Negative 228 (25) Number of cases with two negative tests before tracheostomy n (%) 115 (7) Number of days from last test to tracheostomy Median (IQR) 12 (6, 18) During this same period, 7792 patients were recorded by the UK's Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre (ICNARC) as receiving advanced respiratory support in England, Wales and Northern Island. 22 Gender ratio, mean age and body mass index grouping are all comparable between the COVIDTrach database and the ICNARC database indicating our cohort is representative, and the results are likely generalisable to the UK. At the time of censoring, all-cause mortality following tracheostomy in our cohort was 18%. This number is likely to rise as 91 patients were still mechanically ventilated and a further 171 had been weaned but were still in hospital. Prospective multicentre studies of general (non-COVID-19) intensive care populations patients report mortality rates of approximately 30% in the first 30 days following tracheostomy. 23 24 Direct comparisons to this cohort of patients with COVID-19 cannot, however, be drawn as demographics, comorbidities and underlying pathologies will differ considerably and timing of tracheostomy is usually performed earlier than the median 15 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) were obtained by splitting patients by their predicted risk, that is, group 1 comprise the 10% of patients with the lowest predicted risk. (D). Regression coefficients from multiple regression model for time to wean success (n=1031). CRP, C reactive protein; FiO 2 , inspired oxygen concentration; NIV, non-invasive ventilation. Open access days following intubation reported in this study of patients with COVID-19. National data, reported in the ICNARC registry, indicate that the ICU mortality rate in mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19 was 47.8%; however, median duration of critical care stay in nonsurvivors was 10 days (IQR 6, 17) . 22 Given median time to tracheostomy in our cohort was 15 days, patients with COVID-19 undergoing tracheostomy constitute a preselected population who have survived the acute phase and, in general, would have cardiorespiratory stability and are no longer requiring high-level ventilatory support and high-inspired oxygen concentrations. Nonetheless, our data show that tracheostomy in the setting of SARS-CoV-2 infection is not a futile intervention as previously claimed by expert opinion at the start of the pandemic. 16 17 Whether the timing of tracheostomy does influence patient with COVID-19 outcomes is unclear. Early tracheostomy may benefit certain patient groups, 25 26 but metaanalyses have failed to show benefit in a general population of critically ill adults. 27 28 In our cohort, early tracheostomy was independently associated with higher mortality. Moreover, no association was demonstrated between early tracheostomy and shortened time to successful weaning from ventilation. Cause and effect cannot be directly inferred from these data and only prospective randomised studies could address this important question. We found no association between method of tracheostomy and likelihood of successful wean from ventilation, mortality, or discharge from hospital. As in non-COVID-19 series, bleeding was more frequent using the open method, although the overall rate of reported bleeding was low. The percutaneous method has several advantages centred around the ability to perform the procedure at the bedside. In contrast, the open method enables safe procedure in those with difficult neck anatomy and enables the surgical workforce to relieve the task from intensive care staff during periods when a critical care department is working at full capacity. The decision over which method to employ should be locally led and depends on expertise available and close interdisciplinary working. The low rates of reported SARS-COV-2 infection among operators who likely continued to work in other high-risk areas and performed other aerosol generating procedures are encouraging. While asymptomatic cases may have been missed and recall bias may have occurred, the low rates of infection suggest that, with appropriate PPE, the procedure does not pose a high risk of infection with SARS-COV-2 to operators. Our findings are consistent with other series. 29 30 Infectivity and viral load is believed to peak around the time of symptom onset and then decline over the following 3-4 days. 31 32 Considering the median time from symptom presentation to hospitalisation is 4 days and that tracheostomy is not usually considered until at least 7 days after intubation, the risk of infectivity is predicted to be low even if the procedure is performed between the first and second week of ventilation. 3 33 Our results, therefore, do not support guidance suggesting tracheostomy should be delayed until 14-21 days after intubation to reduce the potential for infection among operators. 12 14 Similarly, our findings and data showing a positive COVID-19 test does not correlate with risk of infectivity later in the disease process, suggest tracheostomy should not be delayed to achieve a negative COVID-19 test. Delaying in these circumstances defers the potential benefits of tracheostomy and increases the risk of complications relating to prolonged endotracheal intubation without any clear benefit to the patient or operators involved in the procedure. (17) Died between wean from ventilation and discharge from hospital 9 (1) Cause of death following tracheostomy, n (%) COVID-19 related 249 (89) Tracheostomy related 9 (3) Other 22 (8) Weaning from mechanical ventilation in survivors, n (%) Successfully weaned from mechanical ventilation 1229 (93) Still ventilated at the time of analysis 91 (7) Time (days) from tracheostomy to successful wean, median (IQR) 11 (7, 18) Total length (days) of critical care in survivors, median (IQR) 33 (25, 44) Total length (days) of critical care in nonsurvivors, median (IQR) (N=264) 23 (16, 32) Successful tracheostomy decannulation at analysis, n (%) 1154 (88) Discharge from hospital, n (%) 1049 (81) Time (days) from tracheostomy to discharge from hospital in survivors, median (IQR) Contributors NH contributed to literature search, figures, study design, data collection, analysis, interpretation and writing. AS contributed to study design, data analysis and interpretation and writing. GA contributed to data analysis, interpretation and writing. TJ and AA contributed to study design, data interpretation and writing. MS contributed to data analysis and interpretation and writing COVIDTrach is supported by the Wellcome Trust University College London COVID-19 Rapid Response award (BRC732/JK/101400) and the NIHR Clinical Research Network. NH is an NIHR Clinical lecturer and is supported by the Royal College of Surgeons (RCSEng) and the Academy of Medical Sciences (SGL021\1046) Characteristics of and Important Lessons From the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in China: Summary of a Report of 72 314 Cases From the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention Critical care utilization for the COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: early experience and forecast during an emergency response Epidemiology, clinical course, and outcomes of critically ill adults with COVID-19 in New York City: a prospective cohort study Baseline characteristics and outcomes of 1591 patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 admitted to ICUs of the Lombardy region Clinical characteristics and morbidity associated with coronavirus disease 2019 in a series of patients in metropolitan Detroit Should tracheostomy be performed as early as 72 hours in patients requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation? 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Timing of tracheostomy in critically ill patients: a meta-analysis Early vs late tracheostomy in critically ill patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis Safety and prognosis in percutaneous vs surgical tracheostomy in 27 patients with COVID-19 Early percutaneous tracheostomy for patients with COVID-19 Virological assessment of hospitalized patients with COVID-2019 Tracheostomy in the COVID-19 era: global and multidisciplinary guidance Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study The REDCap Consortium: building an international community of software platform partners Research electronic data capture (REDCap)--a metadata-driven methodology and workflow process for providing translational research informatics support Competing interests None declared.Patient consent for publication Not required.Ethics approval COVIDTrach has been approved by the UK Research and Ethics Council and the Health Research Authority (20/HRA/3766) as a prospective cohort study, the Scottish Public Benefit and Privacy Panel and Northern Island's Privacy Advisory Committee and was registered as a service evaluation or research study at each participating site.Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.Data availability statement All data relevant to the study are included in the article or uploaded as supplementary information. Data are included in the supplementary materials.Open access This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See: http:// creativecommons. org/ licenses/ by-nc/ 4. 0/.